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Can I Tell You a Secret? – politicalbetting.com
Can I Tell You a Secret? – politicalbetting.com
Most of the things that make voters happy or sad, richer or poorer… well… governments have very little power over them.
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Edit, oh and yes, my dad was paying 15% at one point. But that was on a house that he bought for £20K and which sold for £600K a few years ago.
Using real deceased people's identities for their undercover officers. But not just babies', Day of the Jackal style: actual adults'.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/11/undercover-police-public-inquiry-identity-michael-hartley-frank-bennett
All Trump can do is talk down America. Because there's only one with a track record of making America great again.
It is an honour to be appointed Chairman of Reform UK.
Against all odds, under @Nigel_Farage leadership, our people’s movement won 4 million votes, 14% of the vote, elected 5 MPs with 98 second places.
This is just the beginning. The important work of professionalising the party, building national infrastructure and continuing to grow membership has already begun.
I will bring all my expertise, energy and passion to the role to ensure we achieve our mission of returning Great Britain to greatness.
Coincidence? Bad luck? Maybe. But then all the good things that happened under Biden might be down to luck and coincidence as well
I'm reminded of the famous Harold Wilson maxim on this subject.
Before the election, some of the Tory-inclined on here would regularly sound off about how well wages were doing and how the self-employed were coining it in and how that would bring workers back to the Conservative fold.
Back in the real world, I'd argue my standard of living hasn't improved since 2010 - I've run hard to stand still. It's not so much the cost of a pint of milk that's the issue - it's the cost of things like insurance and utilties which have strained the finances. I feel I've been gouged by often foreign-owned companies and my hard earned is going to subsidise people in other countries.
The current model of capitalism has failed - it's not capitalism itself which has failed but how it is being used in the 2020s.
But on the other hand, that was just Biden following Trump's plan.
Regarding Israel and Gaza: I do wonder if Putin's hand was involved there too. Russia and Iran are close. And Iran is the main backer of Hamas. It was definitely in Putin's interest to have the West distracted by Israel. Could he have nudged (supplied money) etc? Or am I being paranoid?
But that's about it, no? I mean you could point to China's military build up, but that started long before either Trump or Biden became President.
Not the figures of someone who is done...
It was under him we had a global pandemic and lockdowns.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/live/c6pp2llm5krt
So, can anyone see behind the first statement from Louise Haigh, the Transport Minister:
New Transport Secretary Louise Haigh promised to deliver the biggest overhaul to transport in a generation.
The Secretary of State immediately convened officials to begin work at pace across the department on rail reform, further devolution of bus powers, ensuring infrastructure works for the whole country, and supporting local authorities to fix roads for the long term.
In her first address to Department for Transport (DfT) staff on Monday (8 July 2024), Haigh set out her 5 strategic priorities, putting transport at the heart of mission-driven government.
They include:
improving performance on the railways and driving forward rail reform
improving bus services and growing usage across the country
transforming infrastructure to work for the whole country, promoting social mobility and tackling regional inequality
delivering greener transport
better integrating transport networks
Getting straight into action, the Transport Secretary’s first official visit later this week will be focused on plans to deliver better buses in every corner of the country, beginning a round of engagement with Mayors and devolved leaders who will be key delivery partners.
And we have:
The newly-appointed Rail Minister, Lord Hendy of Richmond Hill CBE will also bring decades of experience to help realise the Government’s ambition of transforming infrastructure and improving public transport to deliver for passengers.
In addition, the Prime Minister has announced the appointment of new ministers at the Department, including Future of Roads Minister Lilian Greenwood MP, Local Transport Minister Simon Lightwood MP, and Aviation, Maritime, and Security Minister Mike Kane MP.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/transport-secretary-sets-out-5-key-priorities-to-deliver-the-biggest-overhaul-to-transport-in-a-generation
Thoughts?
I note that Tory polling started falling with Partygate and it was a fairly flat line of decline from then until the start of the election campaign, barring the blip down with Truss. So, yes, inflation was a big part of that, but that doesn’t mean Partygate wasn’t part of it as well. All incumbents during this recent period of inflation have been hit in subsequent elections, but not all equally.
Not Googled or espned that..
From a personal perspective, my fondest transport wish - reform of the hopeless motorcycle licensing system, the proposals for which have been sitting on a DfT shelf since 2016 - now looks vanishingly unlikely to happen.
Jimmy Anderson on the list
It’s an example of the contrarianism and polarisation seen by both sides in US politics, and the change in leadership happened just as the vaccine rollout started. The liberal media switched almost overnight from “Trump’s dangerous vaccine” to “Biden’s wonderful vaccine”.
What this tells you is that the principle reason why costs - of food, etc - have risen is not because of paying people more, but because input costs are more expensive, in particular:
(1) Energy is much more expensive than it was (thanks to the Russian invasion of Ukraine)
(2) Agricultural products are also much more expensive (same reason, albeit indirectly via the Haber process)
Could I see some links?
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/the-risks-and-rewards-of-operation-warp-speeds-approach-to-vaccines
All Britons
Yes: 39%
No: 51%
18-24 year olds
Yes: 55%
No: 32%
65+ year olds
Yes: 18%
No: 73%
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/society
Why are our old people so miserable?
Which prompted me to write a thread header on the same day, published the next day, on why I was quitting the Tories.
The polls started turning after that.
Here’s Kamala Harris saying that she won’t take a vaccine if Trump says to do so. https://m.youtube.com/shorts/Iks_qLgnmrY
Although I’m all for public holidays; the only trouble is that someone has to catch up on them!
Rule number one of the internet is that nothing gets wiped from it.
2.72
Yesterdy afternoon it was 1.5.
I think the end is nigh
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd197zdxv52o
The market is very jumpy on any poor news for him, and always has been.
It doesn't mean that anyone "knows" anything.
That just happened all in its own, I suppose ?
The problems began as we came out of Covid - why did no one realise there would be a surge in demand once people were "unlocked" and why did no one recognise the consequences of it happening unevenly and the impact on global supply chains?
A more phased unlocking might have helped but all that demand pumped into the economy in one big splurge had only one effect - inflation. This was compounded by the supply shock of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the supply chains were put under inordinate stress.
Inflation eventually wore down the cash reserves which had accumulated during the pandemic but the global supply impacts have continued - oil is $80-85 a barrel in summer now.
When you have economies based on consumption and people stop or are forced to stop consuming, you get big problems. You also get big problems when, to quote the late Freddie Murcury "they want it all and they want it now".
@maggieNYT
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NEW: The Biden team tests Harris strength against Trump.
@reidepstein
@ShaneGoldmacher
@llerer
me
https://x.com/maggieNYT/status/1811433963208188380
Everything I read indicates she is the kind of person who sees value in developing a framework for government and stakeholders to make informed decisions about future initiatives aimed toward achieving the opportunity for positive outcomes in the transport sector, particularly with regard to disenfranchised groups.
Imagine what such an administration would be emboldened to do.”
https://x.com/BillKristol
I suggest they get used to the idea, because unless the Dems see sense in the next month...
Americans divide 46-47% between Biden and Trump if the election were today,
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-age-campaign-poll/story?id=111825221
My theory is that the residents of St John’s Wood don’t like the idea of thousands of the ‘wrong type’ of people starting to queue up the night before!
Keir Starmer ‘went too far’ by confirming use of Storm Shadow missiles inside Russia
Defence sources said that they were ‘disappointed’ the Prime Minster had allowed the conversation with President Zelensky to be made public
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/11/starmer-ukraine-british-storm-shadow-missiles-russia/