I do wonder if my and @kinabalu ’s fabled but somewhat outre prediction that neither Biden nor Trump would run might still have legs?
How Trump be stopped? He won't be in prison come the GE (his court cases are just going to get bogged down in the legal process), he is ahead in the polls, he controls the Republican base.
I do wonder if my and @kinabalu ’s fabled but somewhat outre prediction that neither Biden nor Trump would run might still have legs?
How Trump be stopped? He won't be in prison come the GE (his court cases are just going to get bogged down in the legal process), he is ahead in the polls, he controls the Republican base.
I can think of a few ways. I’m no longer forecasting it. But, who knows?
Not entirely sure this is the right time for the Telegraph to publish this article.
"Let’s think twice before banning crossbows Knee-jerk legislation has a long history of being ineffective, indeed counterproductive, in tackling the problem it is purporting to solve MICHAEL MOSBACHER"
Turning on the US news media channels who usually run defence for Democrats are talking consistently about when, not if.
Their sheepishness in changing their opinions has made them look weak and ridiculous.
That hasn't stopped the media in the past.....they ran Trump is a Russian agent for 2+ years, jumping on all sorts of crazy conspiracy theories. Rather than focusing on Trump being an ego-maniac who is really only out for himself, making him ill suited for POTUS.
I have no idea what he is talking about...my staff...love my staff....they add things to the end...my wife...she give me hell...erhh well...errhhh...that's enough.
Donald Trump, Jr has praised Joe Biden’s performance at the Nato summit, saying he is “doing ok” and “could stay in if he wanted to. He’s not too bad.”
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
On a good day that is true. The first 30 minutes of the debate, no, he was absolutely out of it. He couldn't speak. I think its probably both, he is old and on a good day struggles, on a bad day, he has no clue.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
He still has a far better grasp of policies than Trump has ever had. But he can't express himself particularly clearly generally, and at times it is painful to listen to. You can't win a close election like that even if you can do the day job. And the question of whether he could still do the day job in 4 years time is impossible for him to answer sufficiently.
One of the last questions asked by a reporter is about whether the campaign showed Biden polling that suggested Harris could beat Trump if the president steps aside. Biden dismissed the question and said the polling doesn't exist.
One of the last questions asked by a reporter is about whether the campaign showed Biden polling that suggested Harris could beat Trump if the president steps aside. Biden dismissed the question and said the polling doesn't exist.
Well it does.
He ended up saying he'd only drop out if they say it's impossible for him to win.
The bar is now so low, talking words for an hour is seen as passed the bar. I think back to Obama vs McCain, and they said well McCain is too old, too out of it, not smart enough, Christ how standards have fallen.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
He still has a far better grasp of policies than Trump has ever had. But he can't express himself particularly clearly generally, and at times it is painful to listen to. You can't win a close election like that even if you can do the day job. And the question of whether he could still do the day job in 4 years time is impossible for him to answer sufficiently.
Yes. This is the point. He showed an excellent grasp of policy - and off the cuff when asked. But it isn't good enough is it? It's whether you can lead in the toughest job. I think he may well have put to bed the idea he's senile. But he's just, old? He's a guy of a certain age who struggles with the rigours of the presidency. No disparagement. I'd be delighted if I am like Biden at 81. I have huge sympathy with him and his politics and he was the right man in 2020. But come on. It's not about him. It's not good enough.
I'm covered green Harris, level overall Trump beating Harris Nd long Biden. Happier after the presser than before it. He did not exhibit senility or dementia on that performance.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
He certainly did much better tonight than I expected.
And Betfair agrees. Nomination:
Pre press conference: 3.15 Post press conference: 2.34
The thing is that at least most polls show him doing better than Harris.
And will the debate performance just drop out of memories, just like Trump's conviction has. There is another debate but it's two months before polling day - so may just drop away as well.
He certainly did much better tonight than I expected.
And Betfair agrees. Nomination:
Pre press conference: 3.15 Post press conference: 2.34
The thing is that at least most polls show him doing better than Harris.
And will the debate performance just drop out of memories, just like Trump's conviction has. There is another debate but it's two months before polling day - so may just drop away as well.
I think this will come down to a "Whose side are you on" election.
“And now I want to hand it over to the president of Ukraine. A man who has as much courage as he has determination. Ladies and gentlemen, president Putin”
He certainly did much better tonight than I expected.
And Betfair agrees. Nomination:
Pre press conference: 3.15 Post press conference: 2.34
The thing is that at least most polls show him doing better than Harris.
And will the debate performance just drop out of memories, just like Trump's conviction has. There is another debate but it's two months before polling day - so may just drop away as well.
I think this will come down to a "Whose side are you on" election.
And if they're sensible, it'll be "Trump, or the American People" not "Trump or Biden"
Not sure if there is a betting opportunity here... But latest developments in Vaughan Gething saga means he must be toast by now......
Couldn't happen to a more self serving arrogant condescending c*** - with the possible exception of Nigel Farage..
Racist Welsh, like the Scots getting rid of their first non white First Minister at the first opportunity?
I absolutely reject your accusation. I have no problem with his skin colour or place of birth. I have a huge problem with his corruption and arrogance.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
His decline has been obvious for several years but covered up by his team who now look like a bunch of liars.
On the other hand not much being said by Trump he is following the Starmer approach of keeping shtum while his opponent makes mistakes.
PB brains trust: If I wanted to go somewhere in Europe for a week on my own, wanting some sunshine and perhaps some socialising with 25-35 year olds, for not a large sum of money, where should I go?
How about Napoli? Plenty of sun, cheaper than most other parts of western europe, a young crowd in the centre (older folk go to Sorrento or Capri), plenty of buzzy cafes and bars, v.good transport, and lots to see and do.
And where you will be remembered for eternity as your lifeless body will be entombed in ash and lava when Campi Flegrei erupts (95% chance of eruption in next 12 months!!)
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
His opponents apparently share that analysis.
All signs point to Trump allies now working strategically to keep Biden in the race. Case in point: Trump himself has been uncharacteristically disciplined not to upend the Dem infighting by piling on, or by reclaiming the news cycle with a VP. They do not want Biden to drop out. https://x.com/sahilkapur/status/1811616095498842548
Don Jr says Biden did well enough to stay in the race. Jesse Watters guesses this may keep him in for weeks/months. The Heritage Foundation says they'll sue to keep Biden on the ballot (Trump hasn't even selected a VP yet, this isn't a thing). Pretty obvious what they're doing! https://x.com/EmmaVigeland/status/1811564038838423986
A curious absence of statements that the White House staff have acted criminally in hiding Biden's 'dementia'. Though I'm reasonably sure Leon's Twitter feed will carry on saying so.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
His opponents apparently share that analysis.
All signs point to Trump allies now working strategically to keep Biden in the race. Case in point: Trump himself has been uncharacteristically disciplined not to upend the Dem infighting by piling on, or by reclaiming the news cycle with a VP. They do not want Biden to drop out. https://x.com/sahilkapur/status/1811616095498842548
Don Jr says Biden did well enough to stay in the race. Jesse Watters guesses this may keep him in for weeks/months. The Heritage Foundation says they'll sue to keep Biden on the ballot (Trump hasn't even selected a VP yet, this isn't a thing). Pretty obvious what they're doing! https://x.com/EmmaVigeland/status/1811564038838423986
A curious absence of statements that the White House staff have acted criminally in hiding Biden's 'dementia'. Though I'm reasonably sure Leon's Twitter feed will carry on saying so.
Kamala Harris has known the state of play for years. She now has to defend why she has participated in a cover up.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
His decline has been obvious for several years but covered up by his team who now look like a bunch of liars.
On the other hand not much being said by Trump he is following the Starmer approach of keeping shtum while his opponent makes mistakes.
While Trump's surrogates say in plain terms it's fine for Biden to carry on. That's really not the Starmer approach.
My view on Biden. As someone who has grandparents and a parent struggle with their brain going. He's not senile. He responds to questions well. Quicker than many would. But...he's too old and it's a struggle to deal with the quickness and work of the presidency.
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
I agree, I've always thought it's just old age. He's probably slightly better than most 82 year olds.
On the one hand, it's not the performance of someone who can credibly ask for four more years; on the other hand it makes the hyperbole from the likes of @Leon look a bit stupid - but not enough to rebut it in a politically useful manner.
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
His decline has been obvious for several years but covered up by his team who now look like a bunch of liars.
On the other hand not much being said by Trump he is following the Starmer approach of keeping shtum while his opponent makes mistakes.
While Trump's surrogates say in plain terms it's fine for Biden to carry on. That's really not the Starmer approach.
Oh dont be silly, Starmer had his outriders much like Trump. Youre just letting your Trumpitis cloud your judgement.
In terms of VP picks in case Harris becomes the nominee .
Much depends on whether Dems think the Senate is salvageable. You’d want to avoid giving up a Senator from a tough state to win in Georgia if Ossoff was in the frame .
If Biden does withdraw then I can only see Harris in contention . The Dems can’t win if they piss off black voters and the optics would look terrible if they tried to put someone else in .
Of course, if Harris did become the nominee one person we could firmly rule out as her VP pick is Gavin Newsom. Both Californians.
Obvious candidates would then become Whitmer, Beshear, Buttigieg.
Beshear would be the best at balancing a Harris ticket from most points of view if he could be persuaded to put himself forward, but given his commitment to Kentucky and lack of interest in national office he may well not.
Comments
It would very quickly become apparent to too many people to keep quiet.
I don't even think many people would keep it quiet even if they could do so.
What's remarkable is that so many leading Dems have done so for so long.
Many must have know and kept quiet.
I'm starting to wonder if it's actually going to take place.
"Let’s think twice before banning crossbows
Knee-jerk legislation has a long history of being ineffective, indeed counterproductive, in tackling the problem it is purporting to solve
MICHAEL MOSBACHER"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/11/lets-think-twice-before-banning-crossbows/
I don't think for a minute he thinks his Vice President is Trump. But he can't articulate what he is thinking clearly any more.
Good grief, it gets worse.
Both Houses to Trump and loads of state legislatures. Sad that he’s now going to trash his legacy and refuse to stand down .
I suspect Jill and Hunter Biden are the problem and keep telling him to run .
Bonnie Greer started off as a Biden supporter and about 15 mins later she changed her mind after seeing the footage of the Putin mix-up.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0021096/newsnight-the-pressure-mounts-on-joe-biden
Biden 47% Trump 44%
Harris 47% Trump 47%
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view
It's not physicality, it's dexterity. Maybe those who doubt him are wrong. But he's the President. And running against the greatest threat to Western Peace, ever. Time to get off the stage Joe and help others.
Biden also has such low expectations now if he does even slightly better than the first debate that is a win for him
Well it does.
[Cue weird whisper] "They're not saying that..."
He did not exhibit senility or dementia on that performance.
And Betfair agrees. Nomination:
Pre press conference: 3.15
Post press conference: 2.34
The thing is that at least most polls show him doing better than Harris.
And will the debate performance just drop out of memories, just like Trump's conviction has. There is another debate but it's two months before polling day - so may just drop away as well.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/articles/c98qxp15y55o
“And now I want to hand it over to the president of Ukraine. A man who has as much courage as he has determination. Ladies and gentlemen, president Putin”
https://x.com/bidenhq/status/1811533805829689460 <<—-posted on HIS OWN CAMPAIGN ACCOUNT.
“I wouldn’t have picked vice-president Trump to be vice-president, if I didn’t think she was up to the job”
https://x.com/tpostmillennial/status/1811547150557290543 <<— not from his own account this time!
And he's only going to get worse. A few days back I posted a White House clip of him back in February this year; the decline since then is quite clear.
He's a very stubborn old guy, and that leaves the Democrats with a big problem. If he doesn't step down between now and the convention, he's just gambling with all that he's achieved for what's very likely an illusory chance of another four years.
On the other hand not much being said by Trump he is following the Starmer approach of keeping shtum while his opponent makes mistakes.
All signs point to Trump allies now working strategically to keep Biden in the race. Case in point: Trump himself has been uncharacteristically disciplined not to upend the Dem infighting by piling on, or by reclaiming the news cycle with a VP. They do not want Biden to drop out.
https://x.com/sahilkapur/status/1811616095498842548
Don Jr says Biden did well enough to stay in the race. Jesse Watters guesses this may keep him in for weeks/months. The Heritage Foundation says they'll sue to keep Biden on the ballot (Trump hasn't even selected a VP yet, this isn't a thing). Pretty obvious what they're doing!
https://x.com/EmmaVigeland/status/1811564038838423986
A curious absence of statements that the White House staff have acted criminally in hiding Biden's 'dementia'.
Though I'm reasonably sure Leon's Twitter feed will carry on saying so.
https://x.com/jahimes/status/1811558379661185359
Joe Biden’s record of public service is unrivaled. His accomplishments are immense. His legacy as a great president is secure.
He must not risk that legacy, those accomplishments and American democracy to soldier on in the face of the horrors promised by Donald Trump.
So much for the growth agenda. Keep killing those jobs.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/07/11/decision-to-approve-cumbrian-coal-mine-was-unlawful/
That's really not the Starmer approach.
Obvious candidates would then become Whitmer, Beshear, Buttigieg.
Beshear would be the best at balancing a Harris ticket from most points of view if he could be persuaded to put himself forward, but given his commitment to Kentucky and lack of interest in national office he may well not.