Sir John Curtice updates the BBC forecast as Farage wins – politicalbetting.com
Sir John Curtice updates the BBC forecast as Farage wins – politicalbetting.com
NEW: BBC Forecast reduces Labour majority, Tories up beyond 150 seats:LAB: 405CON: 154LIB: 56SNP: 6REF: 4
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Con (Braverman) 17,561
Lab 11,482
LD 9,533
Ref 9,084
Grn 2,056
Rejoin 210
A number of donors are publicly warning they will withhold funds unless Mr Biden is replaced as the party's candidate following his disastrous debate performance last week.
They include Abigail Disney, an heiress to the Disney family fortune, Hollywood producer Damon Lindelof, Hollywood agent Ari Emanuel, and philanthropist and entrepreneur Gideon Stein.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjl65p8j87ko
Lab 15,336
Ref 10,533
Con 8,269
Grn 1,115
LD 1,036
TUSC 222
It is only in Tory v LD seats where the Tories are doing significantly worse than 1997, especially in strong Remain seats.
Tories are doing better in Scotland though than 1997 it looks like and will avoid the wipe out they received then
I laughed. I tried not to. But I laughed. I am a bad person
Exit poll had Newton Abbot at 41% shot for them, Stratford-on-Avon 36%, Chichester 15%, and NE Hampshire 9%. Where are the equivalent misses so far?
Her problem may well be that she's not deranged enough.
Suella's evil.
So she'll probably win...
(I still think tories if any sense should wait a bit before choosing)
The next tory PM is still at sixth form or at least at an Oxford Ball.
Con (Holden) 12,905
Lab 12,885
Ref 11,354
LD 2,292
Grn 2,123
Holden-on
Labour Lab 32.6% −25.9
Conservative Con 4.6% −9.7
Reform UK Reform 3.1% +1.9
Liberal Democrat Lib Dem 2.7% +2.7
Party of Women Women 0.5% +0.5
https://election.news.sky.com/elections/general-election-2024/bristol-central-99
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/12273/chronicle-of-a-bet-foretold-thin-gruel-politicalbetting-com
Ref 15,520
Con 13,510
Lab 7,629
Grn 1,506
LD 1,375
Suella however...