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What’s tonight’s debate going to this betting market? – politicalbetting.com

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  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,304
    Aspiration Rishi! It’s about Aspiration not tax 🫣
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,658
    biggles said:

    Is it possible the £2000 could end up on some posters.

    If it was the cost of ending this debate...
  • MuesliMuesli Posts: 202

    Muesli said:

    Sunak absolutely blows it on the NHS question. Groans from the audience.

    Sunak getting huge claps for his answers on NHS.

    He’s screwering Starmer on the strikes.
    Are you watching the same debate as everyone else? It’s on ITV/STV now if you fancy tuning in.
    Your biased.
    My biased what?
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,415
    Starmer belatedly hitting back on the £2000 tax rise point. Too late.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,119
    RobinL said:

    That's three party leaders who've had public encounters with liquids in this campaign so far: Sunak, Davey, Farage.

    Great first post! Make peace with it being all downhill from there…
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,463
    Its much more interesting reading your reactions than watching the debate.

    For someone so interested in politics I have a serious aversion to actual politicians.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,153
    Oh dear Sunak after a good start implodes on the NHS question .

    Suck it up and go private !
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,769
    Audience applauding tax on private schools

    Starmer dismantling the £2,000 claim very well - and is then shouted down.

    And as the debate goes on - and Sunak rants on - I expect he will slap it down fairly hard as a blatant lie.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Starmer committing to not raising NI... Good news for Londoners.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    edited June 4
    Sunak is at it again !

    Starmer talking about Liz fucking Truss.

    Why shouldn’t pensioners pay tax on the state pension ?
  • eekeek Posts: 27,962
    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    A figment of MoonRabbit's imagination....
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,390
    biggles said:

    I hope Keir’s wife doesn’t ever do any private work….

    She is a Solictor working for the NHS occupational health, so I wouldn't think much private work possible.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    Its much more interesting reading your reactions than watching the debate.

    For someone so interested in politics I have a serious aversion to actual politicians.

    This is why I’m not actually watching; I’m not sure I can withstand the nuclear levels of cringe.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,628
    Rishi embarrassing himself over pensioners paying tax - that's only happening cos CON have frozen the personal allowance!!!!!
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    Starmer, you need to definitely deny some of these tax rises.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    If Labour are elected Pensioners will pay tax on their income? Sounds good to me. Now roll out NI for all ages.
  • eekeek Posts: 27,962
    Chameleon said:

    Starmer committing to not raising NI... Good news for Londoners.

    That's because the sane approach is to raise income tax by 3p....
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,157
    biggles said:

    Is it possible the £2000 could end up on some posters.

    With a picture of a bomb. They could probably recycle one of several different one’s from previous elections.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,390
    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613
    edited June 4
    Question – cannot believe how bad things in education, what can you do for them?

    Sunak – most powerful way to transform lives. Record investment in schools and transforming education. Best readers in the world.
    Starmer – pattern here, teachers say education broken and PM trying to avoid last 14 years. Schools we need more teachers. 6500 more teachers to fill gaps.
    Moderator – why raise VAT onprivate schools?
    Starmer – all kids need core teachers, state schools need more teachers, get rid of tax break a tough choice (gets applause) but needed.
    Sunak – Don’t agree, people who work hard should have that freedom. You heard him, he will raise taxes. Not ending here. £2000 for every kids (audience grumble at repeated line perhaps).
    Starmer – classic pretend labour policy to treasurer, get a false readout. What they put in for analysis is not our policy.

    Moderator doesn't want them to talk about specific figure

    Asks for similarities in position - will you raise income tax (both no), raise NI (both no), other than private schoosl won't raise VAT (both no).

    Good vision moment for their opponents who think they are both the same, and to pin them down on how to pay for things.

    Starmer gets applause about non-dom loopholes, and on oil and gas tax rises.

    Rishi says non-dom already scrapped. Goes back to civil servants on Labour policies. Triple lock plus, but he doesn't address how he will pay for things.

    Starmer not bad, but could be firmer, Rishi is confident but a bit too repetitive


    Moderator still letting Rishi talk over Starmer - he is enjoying getting to ask questions for a change.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,941
    Sunak is desperate.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    He's such a shit isn't he. But retirement tax line will land well.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,331
    Julie is terrible. What has happened to her?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,304

    Rishi embarrassing himself over pensioners paying tax - that's only happening cos CON have frozen the personal allowance!!!!!

    Sunak nailing Starmer on Labours tax on pensioners. If Labour have an answer, no one gave it to Starmer in preparation. Could prove to be big this.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,769
    A break. Thank GOD
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,652
    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    I hope Keir’s wife doesn’t ever do any private work….

    She is a Solictor working for the NHS occupational health, so I wouldn't think much private work possible.
    Oh, I got the idea she's a medic

  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
    Thanks

    In that case pensioners should be happy they have had such a large rise in the state pension instead of whining.
  • I think it's been piss poor but almost entirely because the moderation has been shocking!
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,604
    Sunak talking too much - but at the same time he may well be firming up waverers.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613
    Question IFS – conspiracy of silence to not reconise issues

    Can you rule out cuts? Starmer says won’t do austerity, Rishi waffled. But yes/no questions are dumb anyway.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,532

    Sunak: if you elect Labour "for the first time in our history pensioners will pay tax".

    Erm, pensioners already pay tax.

    As my Mum will tell you!
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,123
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
    Is that a situation that has been developing with the triple lock?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,023
    "@IanDunt

    Right. TV debates. Basically the worst possible way to spend an evening. I'm starting with this. I do not rule out escalating to rum and possibly arsenic."

    https://x.com/IanDunt/status/1798081859160805807
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113

    Julie is terrible. What has happened to her?

    She’s having a mare here.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,331
    I thought they weren’t allowed ads during debates? This is probably the worst quality UK debate I have seen.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    eek said:

    Chameleon said:

    Starmer committing to not raising NI... Good news for Londoners.

    That's because the sane approach is to raise income tax by 3p....
    Wonder how much rolling out NI to all would raise, that's the easy first move.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,658
    nico679 said:

    Oh dear Sunak after a good start implodes on the NHS question .

    Suck it up and go private !

    If you can afford to go private you get faster care and you free NHS capacity for those who can't. What exactly is wrong with that? Starmer is not bothered about his relatives dying. Well, at least he is consistent.
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,415
    eek said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    A figment of MoonRabbit's imagination....
    Sunak's repeated "Starmer's pension tax" over and over. Every time Starmer tried to refute, Sunak starts shouting over him. Really poor behaviour, but it might cut through.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,747

    Sunak is a brilliant leader of the opposition. This government sound like right load of Bastards. thank God Sunak has a plan to fix all of their mistakes.

    I'm told he has a clear plan.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,728
    Isn't this dire?
  • GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 2,200
    Not the finest debate. I think an Andrew Neil-style debate would probably be more illuminating
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,532
    Phew! Commercials :lol:
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,670

    Peter said:

    This may also change things at the margin. MSM now acknowledging covid jabs may be dangerous.
    this from Dr Aseem Malhotra.

    BREAKING FRONT PAGE TELEGRAPH

    ‘Covid jab may have led to rise in excess deaths’

    FINALLY mainstream media acknowledgement in U.K.

    We did it 🔥🔥🔥

    https://x.com/DrAseemMalhotra/status/1797922073798717524

    Is this a PB record, banned after ONE posting?
    Given that TheScreamingEagles is hospital bound with an abscess and rcs1000 has an elderly father to worry about, I should imagine PB will be in the no-fucks-given zone for some time. This is not the time to mess around... :(
  • I think Starmer connected better on a human level.

    Sunak had some good lines.

    I can't see it changing anyone's mind?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,304
    Sunak ahead on points so far. I’m enjoying this.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,119

    30 minutes, people :lol:

    I won't be watching - I have a very low tolerance for cringe. I will rely on PB to tell me all about it.
    Oh! Mum says she's "embargoing" me from watching Rishi v. SKS on the living room TV, I'll have to watch it upstairs in my bedroom :lol:
    Sent to your room at the age of 43. Who are you - Timothy Lumsden?
    48!
    That’s not making it better!
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    Andy_JS said:

    "@IanDunt

    Right. TV debates. Basically the worst possible way to spend an evening. I'm starting with this. I do not rule out escalating to rum and possibly arsenic."

    https://x.com/IanDunt/status/1798081859160805807

    Crack on with the arsenic Mr Dunt.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    I hope Keir’s wife doesn’t ever do any private work….

    She is a Solictor working for the NHS occupational health, so I wouldn't think much private work possible.
    Ah, ok, fair enough. Odd, but admirable, career path.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,027

    Sunak ahead on points so far. I’m enjoying this.

    Is he? Seems an utter shit and I’ve always voted Tory
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,153
    Taz said:

    Julie is terrible. What has happened to her?

    She’s having a mare here.
    Very poor and is allowing Sunak loads of time and keeps cutting off Starmer .
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 837
    Sunak won that first half for me, far more combative.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,390
    Taz said:

    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
    Thanks

    In that case pensioners should be happy they have had such a large rise in the state pension instead of whining.
    The obvious retort is to ask why pensioners should get a higher personal allowance than workers.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Andy_JS said:

    Chameleon said:

    Well Starmer's a liar on the private healthcare point.

    How do you know?
    Anyone who says if they have a choice between paying a few grand (that they have to hand) or letting their family member die they'll go for the die option they're a liar.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,532
    MikeL said:

    Sunak talking too much - but at the same time he may well be firming up waverers.

    THE FIGHTBACK STARTS HERE!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613
    First impressions - Sunak trying hard, has a few clear lines to take about lack of Labour plan (but also Labour have a lot of plans to raise Tax), Starmer bringing back to record of last 14 years and Rishi trying to avoid responsibility.

    Sunak aggressive, but light on detail. Starmer not sure how to respond to the interruptions, but has had the stronger reaction moments.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,604
    Q: What has Starmer said he will actually do?

    I think most people would be hard pressed to remember anything.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,119
    Taz said:

    30 minutes, people :lol:

    I won't be watching - I have a very low tolerance for cringe. I will rely on PB to tell me all about it.
    Oh! Mum says she's "embargoing" me from watching Rishi v. SKS on the living room TV, I'll have to watch it upstairs in my bedroom :lol:
    Sent to your room at the age of 43. Who are you - Timothy Lumsden?
    Language turbotubbs.
    Dark secret - my IRL name is indeed Timothy. I have been regaled with that phrase on many an occasion!
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,175
    I'm getting the feeling that despite being a repulsive little herbert, Sunak is winning this! Labour supporters complaining about the moderator etc.

    Oh well, you've got to give it to him if he's winning something.
  • Starmer got more laughs and more claps.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,769
    Will a producer have had a word in the break?
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
    Thanks

    In that case pensioners should be happy they have had such a large rise in the state pension instead of whining.
    The obvious retort is to ask why pensioners should get a higher personal allowance than workers.
    Yet Starmer missed that open goal. He’s supposed to be a soccer fan too.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    Oh I have the confected applause on coming back from the break! It’s not the Chase!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 62,652
    Interesting so far with Sunak very animated and Starmer struggling at times especially on Junior Doctors pay and pension tax

    Not sure it will change any votes
  • I'm getting the feeling that despite being a repulsive little herbert, Sunak is winning this! Labour supporters complaining about the moderator etc.

    Oh well, you've got to give it to him if he's winning something.

    I think Sunak is coming across rude and entitled. But he's got some good lines.

    They should just mute the other mic when speaking, SKS has interrupted Rishi too
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,769

    Will a producer have had a word in the break?

    EDIT - yes. She has just read the riot act whilst staring hard at Sunak
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Sunak probably winning this at the moment for me. Obviously if you know the retirement tax is all Sunak's doing it's probably the other way.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613

    I'm getting the feeling that despite being a repulsive little herbert, Sunak is winning this! Labour supporters complaining about the moderator etc.

    Oh well, you've got to give it to him if he's winning something.

    He's deflected attacks reasonably effectively by being aggressive, will be interesting if he can keep that up.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    Etchingham has clearly been rebuked by the production team for her poor handling of the debate. Hence the comment at the start.
  • UnpopularUnpopular Posts: 876

    This debate is truly awful, the moderation is shocking, they get an insult in against the other party "let me respond to this" "no".

    Any decent debate lets people respond to what is said. Shockingly bad.

    Yeah, weak when she should be strong and overbearing when she should let things run. Shockingly bad.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,532
    biggles said:

    Oh I have the confected applause on coming back from the break! It’s not the Chase!

    "Just another day at the office, Bradley!"
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    Did Sunak just say asylum seekers would be “out on our streets” in an implication there are some sort of zombie?

    Yuck.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,197
    Muesli said:

    Sunak screeching “EXPLAIN” constantly at Starmer shows the problem with hiring @bigjohnowls as your debating coach.

    He needs to theatrically ask the audience to explain every time Starmer gets some applause.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,463
    Taz said:

    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    Starmer’s pension tax could sway a lot of votes tonight.

    Which is ?
    The State Pension being higher than the personal allowance.
    Thanks

    In that case pensioners should be happy they have had such a large rise in the state pension instead of whining.
    Can oldies be happy if they're not complaining about something ?

    See the 'granny tax' for a classic case of oldies whining after being given extra.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,123
    Not sure this sort of comment helps Starmer's cause:

    https://x.com/MartinSLewis/status/1798090620822552655

    Martin Lewis @MartinSLewis
    So it seems the raise taxes £2,000 line is done by costing the Labour spending proposals and then calculating the impact pro-rata. Now of course even if correct it doesn't have to come from tax it could be from borrowing etc. #ITVdebate
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,331

    This debate is truly awful, the moderation is shocking, they get an insult in against the other party "let me respond to this" "no".

    Any decent debate lets people respond to what is said. Shockingly bad.

    That’s exactly the problem. It’s 1.01 moderating and she’s failing.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,628
    Rishi's got a plan...
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited June 4
    Starmer needs to stop treating this like a university lecture and go into the trenches and nail Sunak on his record.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,304
    Sunak winning over the audience with this strong debating performance.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,747

    Rishi's got a plan...

    A clear one, apparently.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    edited June 4
    LOL - the moderator isn’t supposed to lose it! Who moderates her?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,658

    Rishi's got a plan...

    Who knew?
  • Sunak winning over the audience with this strong debating performance.

    I know you're just here to troll at this point but can you make it entertaining at least?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,331

    Sunak won that first half for me, far more combative.

    You are biased of course, but I agree. But that was because of amateurish moderation. Starmer more measured and prime ministerial.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,628
    edited June 4
    Glad there are only 2 head to head debates not 6

    Looking forward to the 7 way debates :smiley:
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613
    Question – immigration – so many broken promises, why should I trust you to do anything

    (silly question – ask what they plan to do please)
    Sunak – immigration is too high, both legal immigration needs tobe capped and illegal immigration. Flights in July if I am PM, Starmer will release them and no deterrent. Stick to our plan.
    Starmer – Levels of migration at record highs, never been that high save in last year. PM says it is too high, well who is in charge. Most liberal PM on immigration (clearly said to anger Reform I expect).
    He promises, like with NHS< he would stop boats, So far 10000 have crossed. Record. He’s failed to keep promise. (No answer on his plans though).
    Sunak – choice is about the future (he’s used this line several times). You have to remove illegals. Planes will go to Rwanda. What will Starmer do to illegals?
    Starmer – Smash gangs running trade (applause), I prosecured terrorist gangs, I can bring down this. Won’t do gimmicks. If it would work he would not have c alled election
    Sunak – we put laws to put 1000 criminals in prison. He voted against. Says one thing does another (gets applause)
    Starmer – why are numbers higher?
    Sunak – it’s a challenge.

    Almost a real debate for a moment there
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,157
    Away from debateageddon, Labour might have problems in Barking. Having eased out the previous candidate for alleged conduct issues. The candidate they’ve imposed in his stead seems far from squeaky clean in that area.

    https://x.com/tomorrowsmps/status/1798090379859734821?s=61
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,896
    I haven't watched the debate. Too busy at work and sort of decided not to do so too.

    I know this is probably an impossible question to ask in an election campaign where everyone is very invested, including me, but...

    Does anyone have an objective take on how well Starmer and Sunak have done here please?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,604
    edited June 4
    tlg86 said:

    Not sure this sort of comment helps Starmer's cause:

    https://x.com/MartinSLewis/status/1798090620822552655

    Martin Lewis @MartinSLewis
    So it seems the raise taxes £2,000 line is done by costing the Labour spending proposals and then calculating the impact pro-rata. Now of course even if correct it doesn't have to come from tax it could be from borrowing etc. #ITVdebate

    Following the Truss debacle I don't think Labour would risk funding much of it from borrowing.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,113
    edited June 4
    I don’t think this will shift anything in the polls but SKS does not impress so far.

    Sunak is delivering the sort of performance I’d expect from him. God knows why he wants to do one of these a week.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,613
    Sunak says he is clear about EHRC, gets some applause, still not totally direct on leaving it, but heavy implication. Starmer applause on saying he won't do that.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Christ this is a shocking bit from Starmer, not sure why the holocaust needed invoking.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,769

    I haven't watched the debate. Too busy at work and sort of decided not to do so too.

    I know this is probably an impossible question to ask in an election campaign where everyone is very invested, including me, but...

    Does anyone have an objective take on how well Starmer and Sunak have done here please?

    Define objective...
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,849
    Starmer says he doesn’t think anyone should cross the channel. Huge policy shift. Chunnel bricked up!
This discussion has been closed.