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New poll has big majority for rejoin – politicalbetting.com

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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    Sandpit said:

    Disagree entirely. First world problems should be described in soft and neutered language, with terms such as atrocity, poverty and genocide, reserved for actual atrocity, poverty and genocide.

    A huge part of the recent political polarisation, comes from the use of needlessly catastrophic language. A tax rate moving by 2% isn’t a war or a terrorist attack, and politics suffers when we describe it as such.
    'Genocide' certainly shouldn't be bandied around but generally, no, we need to keep the zip and colour in our comms. If we go around treading on eggshells with language, ruling out words like 'poverty' and 'atrocity' we lose a lot and gain very little. Eg ...

    There is too much child poverty in Blackpool.
    Bow ties are an atrocity.

    Both these things are true and I must be free to say so.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Pulpstar said:

    Lots of handwaving away a big majority for rejoin in this poll this morning.
    The main concern of the leave voting public, immigration - and the bit people are really concerned about illegal immigration and large numbers hasn't really improved since Brexit.

    It's been extremely effective on controlling EU immigration.

    That's gone from hundreds of thousands per annum to net negative.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    Lol, an economist speaks.
    Can you tell me where I can find numbers for 'Scottish' inflation?
    https://www.fiscalcommission.scot/despite-economic-positivity-inflation-remains-too-high/#:~:text=The bad news is that,, compared with 2021/22.

    They will show up here by Christmas
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed and Starmer has zero interest in rejoin now anyway, indeed his current policy is little different to what Theresa May's Brexit policy was.

    If and only if Labour win back the redwall seats at the next general election and then are clearly ahead in the polls for most of their time in government will they even consider rejoining the EEA let alone the EU.

    It would likely take a Labour government in power for a decade or a hung parliament with the LDs or SNP holding the balance of power for rejoining the EU to be on the agenda at all
    If that is Starmer's rationale we might as well carry on with the current sh*tshow.

    Anyway I know you have your finger on the pulse of current Conservative thinking, it seems like you must have top drawer Labour connections too, as you seem to know how they think.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Tenner on England. high roller me.
  • Smoke over the Crimea Bridge always brings me joy:

    https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1690306918256873473

    Usual caveats apply; might just be the Russians playing about, or the bridge deciding it's had enough of all this rubbish and it just wants a nice peaceful sleep on the (sea) bed...

    You mean it should eff off to the bottom of the sea?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    Foxy said:

    Yes, but would have ended the dispute, would have saved money, and be in a position to improve waiting lists.

    The Sunak government really isn't up to much.
    So workers on an average wage have to face higher inflation and higher cost of living while already relatively high paid doctors get a massive well above average inflation fuelled pay rise without even committing to working longer hours to improve their productivity?
  • Miklosvar said:

    What a TERRIBLE national anthem.

    God save the King???

    What about the rest of us plebs?
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,964

    Why would they have to "sneak" it past people? According to the poll it is 2:1 in favour of rejoining. When it gets to 3:1 or 4:1 will they still have to "sneak" it in?

    If the country wants it then it will happen and the fact that we threw away all the advantages we had negotiated over the years is entirely our own fault.
    Just the fault of the Conservatives who, to conceal their own divisions, decided to hold an advisory referendum, and after the event, to implement Brexit without having given any thought to the details and consequences of what they were doing.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,731

    Why would they have to "sneak" it past people? According to the poll it is 2:1 in favour of rejoining. When it gets to 3:1 or 4:1 will they still have to "sneak" it in?

    If the country wants it then it will happen and the fact that we threw away all the advantages we had negotiated over the years is entirely our own fault.
    Leon is concerned we might do it while he’s off on a jaunt overseas ?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,176
    HYUFD said:

    Personally I actually agree on that, Jerusalem should be the English national anthem when England play sport for the King is King of Scotland, Wales, NI, Australia, Canada and NZ too not just England.

    God Save the King should be reserved for sports the UK as a whole plays as one team like the Olympics or Davis Cup or for events when the King or a member of the royal family is in attendance alongside the national anthems
    Wow, we agree on something. I also agree that Jerusalem should be the English anthem.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,371
    edited August 2023

    You mean it should eff off to the bottom of the sea?
    And a video:
    https://twitter.com/Kolowrat_/status/1690307984272805889

    Who knows if it's just the Russians mucking around with smokescreens, or the bridge has been hit, but I do hope it's the latter.

    (the black smoke seems interesting...)

    And a larger pic:
    https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1690312315449839616/photo/1
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Smoke over the Crimea Bridge always brings me joy:

    https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1690306918256873473

    Usual caveats apply; might just be the Russians playing about, or the bridge deciding it's had enough of all this rubbish and it just wants a nice peaceful sleep on the (sea) bed...

    Edit: "At least one span fell on the bridge and another small ship was hit" - Crimean local chats

    Russians are saying they shot down two missiles near the bridge, but the bridge itself is undamaged.

    https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/12-august-occupational-authorities-report-2-missiles-were

    Let’s hope the Ukranian reports are more accurate. That bridge is going to be like Mr Eagles’ favourite online stepmom, by the time this war is over.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    Miklosvar said:

    Tenner on England. high roller me.

    Not massively confident but I'm on them to lift the trophy.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited August 2023

    If that is Starmer's rationale we might as well carry on with the current sh*tshow.

    Anyway I know you have your finger on the pulse of current Conservative thinking, it seems like you must have top drawer Labour connections too, as you seem to know how they think.
    Well I know Starmer has ruled out rejoining the EU, has ruled out rejoining the single market and has ruled out restoring free movement if Labour win the next election and that will be in the Labour manifesto. As I said if Labour win at most we will return to Theresa May's Deal for the time being with a little more regulatory alignment with the EEA than Boris' deal.

    Theresa will I am sure be laughing her head off given had Labour not voted against her Deal in the first place it would have passed into UK law easily
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,338
    HYUFD said:

    https://www.fiscalcommission.scot/despite-economic-positivity-inflation-remains-too-high/#:~:text=The bad news is that,, compared with 2021/22.

    They will show up here by Christmas
    I see stuff about how UK inflation affects the Scottish economy but not a baw hair of anything about specific Scottish inflation. Poor effort.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317

    It's been extremely effective on controlling EU immigration.

    That's gone from hundreds of thousands per annum to net negative.

    Only to be replaced by Indian sub-Continent immigration (tbf as promised by Boris Johnson). Either are fine by me, but I did prefer reciprocal freedom of movement which is why I voted Remain.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161
    Carnyx said:

    A friend who does his own 3-D printing as part of his professional modelmaking (for films/animations) was recently talking about it to me.

    There are also third party printers - sort of like Amazon printing books on demand for the original 'vendor' and sending them to the customer.

    Also, looking at some stuff on offer [edit: not Games Workshop] , the quality control is often iffy - raster lines still visible, like a bad pic on an old B&W telly or as if it was carved from plywood and not proiperly sealed. That's another issue, because what is on the marketing webpage is often a graphic image not a phot of the real thing. I have a sense that this is holding some back (it would hold me back) but it's presumably solvable by better tech and market place dynamics.
    There are loads of reasons why 3d-printing isn't ready yet to eat Games Workshop's lunch. It's definitely not yet a technology where it "just works" - but one of Games Workshop's challenges here is that their customer base does include nerdy people who are prepared to spend a lot of time fiddling about with things until they look nice. So they're precisely the sort of people who will be prepared to experiment with layer heights and curing times until the model comes out how they want it.

    I did a test print at a local library which has a couple of 3d printers, and I decided that it wasn't for me. At least not yet.

    Over time the technology improves, it becomes more user-friendly, and as the number of people using it gradually increases potential future customers get to see other people's models. It's an interesting test for a successful company.

    Also, contrary to Malmsebury's assertion, a lot of the executives at GW are in it for the long haul. I think the current CEO has been in place for 7 years, and was previously the CFO. The CEO before that was in post even longer - led a management buyout I believe. I don't know whether that will make it easier or harder for them to see what's coming for them though.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,155

    Wow, we agree on something. I also agree that Jerusalem should be the English anthem.
    More a fan of “I vow to thee my country”.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    kinabalu said:

    'Genocide' certainly shouldn't be bandied around but generally, no, we need to keep the zip and colour in our comms. If we go around treading on eggshells with language, ruling out words like 'poverty' and 'atrocity' we lose a lot and gain very little. Eg ...

    There is too much child poverty in Blackpool.
    Bow ties are an atrocity.

    Both these things are true and I must be free to say so.
    We can agree to disagree.

    There’s very little poverty in the UK at all. Calling inequality, poverty, helps no-one. There’s poverty in India and Africa.

    Bow ties are a perfectly acceptable formal evening dress, Russia kidnapping Ukranian children is an atrocity.
  • Leon said:

    Absurd hyperbole from the Guardian


    “This World Cup had already achieved so much for football in Australia, but that moment will now go down in the long list of sporting greatness in this country, alongside Cathy Freeman’s 400m, Shane Warne’s ball of the century, and John Aloisi’s penalty. Absolutely extraordinary.”

    Don Bradman? David Campese? Margaret Court? Ian Thorpe? Rod Laver?

    Only those accustomed to failure get excited about winning a quarter final.

    Whereas Australia has a long history of wining finals and being world leaders in sport.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    boulay said:

    More a fan of “I vow to thee my country”.
    Trouble is everyone thinks the Other Country in stanza 2 is the USSR, after the film.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,176
    boulay said:

    More a fan of “I vow to thee my country”.
    Jerusalem is not about war or conquest or whatever or how we are better than everyone else - it's about building paradise. It's constructive and woke AF.
  • It's been extremely effective on controlling EU immigration.

    That's gone from hundreds of thousands per annum to net negative.

    With higher wages for those facing less competition.

    These higher wages, I point out, is openly opposed by some Conservatives.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I see stuff about how UK inflation affects the Scottish economy but not a baw hair of anything about specific Scottish inflation. Poor effort.
    HYUFD thinks the Scots have a separate currency, evidently.
  • Jerusalem is not about war or conquest or whatever or how we are better than everyone else - it's about building paradise. It's constructive and woke AF.
    It’s a bloody dirge.

    Bohemian Rhapsody for our national anthem.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    "Rolf Degen
    @DegenRolf

    People believe they are better at using ChatGPT critically, ethically and efficiently than others. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4528736"

    https://twitter.com/DegenRolf/status/1687722826831130625
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2023

    God save the King???

    What about the rest of us plebs?
    The King looks after the plebs.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    Jerusalem is not about war or conquest or whatever or how we are better than everyone else - it's about building paradise. It's constructive and woke AF.
    It's pretty brave to think one has the first idea what it's about. Is it pro-buiding? Yes but also profoundly nimby - green and pleasant.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,712

    Isn't that the intuitive explanation for all the focus on trans? LGB just isn't worth being an activist for anymore.
    There's also a lot of polling on trans issues in that thread that will disappoint those who want a culture war.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited August 2023

    I see stuff about how UK inflation affects the Scottish economy but not a baw hair of anything about specific Scottish inflation. Poor effort.
    To that can be added the further rising prices Scots will face when buying their groceries or clothes or eating out as Scottish doctors splurge their new found dosh pushing up prices for everyone else who is not getting as big a rise.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited August 2023

    Also written by a radical mystic opposed to empire, capital, slavery and war, which is nice.
    Blake was woke as fuck.
    He'd fit right into the brown rice, crystals, and hookah emporium that is Glasto today.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,338
    HYUFD said:

    To that can be added the further rising prices Scots will face when buying their groceries and paying their petrol or eating out as Scottish doctors splurge their new found dosh pushing up prices for everyone else who is not getting as big a rise.
    Cannae move for splurging MDs roon here.
  • Andy_JS said:

    The King looks after the plebs.
    I don't think so!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    Only to be replaced by Indian sub-Continent immigration (tbf as promised by Boris Johnson). Either are fine by me, but I did prefer reciprocal freedom of movement which is why I voted Remain.
    I must have missed the UK trade deal with India giving Indians free movement to the UK
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    Cannae move for splurging MDs roon here.
    Helping local businesses and employees ...
  • It’s a bloody dirge.

    Bohemian Rhapsody for our national anthem.
    You're just a rich boy from a rich family! :lol:
  • ...replacing the EU.
    The EU wasn't a punchbag, as much as it was an excuse by politicians.

    Oh I'd love to do something about your concern, but unfortunately the EU won't let us ...

    One of the main advantages of Brexit is that excuse has been taken away now. Our MPs can do whatever we elect them to do, and there's no excuses anymore.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2023
    Bob said:

    Nice you enjoy womens football. I cant get into it myself.
    I prefer it. Less histrionics and more play. And it's genuinely surprising when someone loses their temper and does something stupid, like the England player who got sent off in the previous match.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,731
    edited August 2023
    boulay said:

    More a fan of “I vow to thee my country”.
    All earthly things above” ?
    Bollocks to that.

    Nice melody, though.
  • Andy_JS said:

    The King looks after the plebs.
    His mum didn’t save us plebs during the prorogation crisis.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Leon said:

    On Brexit, yesterday I saw this interesting FT graphic on biz investment in the UK. The impact of Brexit is stark, here (the pandemic even more so). After climbing steadily, investment suddenly flatlines after the Leave vote, stays flat, until it plunges during Covid

    But in the last year or two it has speedily recovered and is now above its position in 2019

    At some point the cruel costs of Brexit (and they exist, like the pains of giving birth) will begin to fade. Wounds become scars - or stretch marks. The country will adjust and grow again - in a new direction. That is the law of life. Identifying the pivotal moment is not easy however. It may be happening now in plain sight. Or not


    I am perfectly happy with Brexit.

    All its "challenges" can be fixed by normalisation of relations with the EU and additional bilateral alignment and co-operation deals in future.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    True, but I will still miss my freedom of movement.
    Why?

    You can go pretty much anywhere for 90 days every 180 days. Repeat ad infinitum. In fact, you can exercise full free movement 50% of the time. You might be able to do so all the time if you flipped around countries.

    I think the longest I've spent abroad in one country my whole life in one stint is 42 days.

    It's wholly academic to me.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,320

    There are loads of reasons why 3d-printing isn't ready yet to eat Games Workshop's lunch. It's definitely not yet a technology where it "just works" - but one of Games Workshop's challenges here is that their customer base does include nerdy people who are prepared to spend a lot of time fiddling about with things until they look nice. So they're precisely the sort of people who will be prepared to experiment with layer heights and curing times until the model comes out how they want it.

    I did a test print at a local library which has a couple of 3d printers, and I decided that it wasn't for me. At least not yet.
    The "industry" is already moving to physible subscription services like Titanforge or Loot Studios. If GW don't get on board with this new model they are going to be Blockbuster Video.

    One of the Ukrainians is deep into this shit and I spend a lot of time tweaking my Flashforge so that it produces a passable Drow Priestess.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Scott_xP said:

    The figurehead for the future Tory EU campaign will of course be Margaret Thatcher

    Are you advocating the Resurrection?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,731

    Also written by a radical mystic opposed to empire, capital, slavery and war, which is nice.
    Blake was woke as fuck.
    And mad as a box of crazy frogs.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Sandpit said:

    Russians are saying they shot down two missiles near the bridge, but the bridge itself is undamaged.

    https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/12-august-occupational-authorities-report-2-missiles-were

    Let’s hope the Ukranian reports are more accurate. That bridge is going to be like Mr Eagles’ favourite online stepmom, by the time this war is over.
    Now the Russians are saying that the smoke clearly coming from the bridge itself, is just a smokescreen they set off.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    Why?

    You can go pretty much anywhere for 90 days every 180 days. Repeat ad infinitum. In fact, you can exercise full free movement 50% of the time. You might be able to do so all the time if you flipped around countries.

    I think the longest I've spent abroad in one country my whole life in one stint is 42 days.

    It's wholly academic to me.
    It's freedom of *absence* of movement is the problem, I would possibly be thinking about a little place in France or Spain if I could live in it more than 3 on, 3 off

    Mind you the Spanish golden visa rules look quite accommodating
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317

    Why?

    You can go pretty much anywhere for 90 days every 180 days. Repeat ad infinitum. In fact, you can exercise full free movement 50% of the time. You might be able to do so all the time if you flipped around countries.

    I think the longest I've spent abroad in one country my whole life in one stint is 42 days.

    It's wholly academic to me.
    I was planning on retiring to Southern France. No matter, Boris Johnson became Prime Minister, so I suppose Brexit was worth all the heartache in the grand scheme of things.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Miklosvar said:
    How sad. Let’s hope that some sort of a solution can be found, that disincentivises such crossings before more deaths happen.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Sandpit said:

    How sad. Let’s hope that some sort of a solution can be found, that disincentivises such crossings before more deaths happen.
    The only solution is to stop boats from leaving in the first place.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482
    Late morning all :)

    Vaguely on topic, times change, people change.

    To be fair, there are decisive moments via referendum which won't be changed - the Conservatives opposed the London Mayoralty and the Scottish Parliament but the referenda decided otherwise and for all the vitriol against Khan, I've yet to hear a Conservative publicly advocating the abolition of the office.

    Perhaps there will come a time when the Conservatives realise or believe they can never win the Mayoralty they will shift to a position of abolition or of a second referendum on whether it should continue or be abolished.

    For now, the shadow of June 2016 remains long and powerful - will it be so by for example 2036? There are those who earn a living by trying to predict the future but the cross currents of change (technological, economic, demographic, cultural and political) aren't easy to read. Bluntly put, I don't know what the EU or the UK will look like in 2036 - will they even exist in their current forms?

    The current thrust of nationalist populism will run its course - we're seeing a little bit of environmental denialism but whether that will be anything I don't know. It's more likely IF the impacts of climate change become more severe with time, the clamour to "do something" will also grow.

    So, those who sit with seemingly fixed positions may turn out to be as effective as a chocolate fireguard. There will come a day when sentiment has moved on and perhaps those who shout about the triumphs of leaving the EU and the joys of sovereignty will find themselves, pace the Edinburgh Fringe Featival, perfoming to an empty room.

    The other option is, as with the Scottish Parliament, we'll learn to live with the status quo and build a genuine new identity for the UK outside the EU - that's perfectly possible and advocating joining or re-joining the EU will be about as popular as praising Harry and Meghan is now.

    The one thing which is certain is the UK cannot pretend Europe isn't there - migrants don't care seemingly - and it will be that Europe-wide issues will necessitate regional co-operation and engagement.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,821
    Nigelb said:

    And mad as a box of crazy frogs.
    Hard to know exactly what Jerusalem was intended to be about, because, as you say, Blake was mad.
    My interpretation had always been: "I love my country - it has many good features, though I recognise it is not perfect - I will strive tomake it better" - which is about as positive a sentiment as you could hope for in an anthem. But it could genuinely be a weird vision if burning gild swords etc.
    Still, fine words and a fine tune. I'd beveryhappy with it as an anthem.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,291
    darkage said:

    Regarding Brexit polling I am quite suspicious of it, I suspect it reflects the rapid die off of 2016 Brexit voters. But if you put the question back to voters again and they actually have to contemplate what being in the EU means (giving up sovereignty, having to follow rules that you don't have complete control over, having to accept unlimited immigration) then it would probably be a very close run thing, so high risk for any government to advocate.

    There would need to be a change in circumstances whereby rejoining the EU became massively in our interest - I don't think these circumstances exist yet.

    The people who have died off between 2016 and 2023 are predominantly those who were in their 80's or more in 2016, who were born on/before 1936. They were predominantly Remainers. It's the Boomers (those born 1945-1964) who were predominantly(?) Leavers, and they are in 2023 aged between 59 and 78. The wacky munchkins with their neoliberal Cold-War mindset will be with us for the next 15-20 years. Any movement towards Remain that occured between 2016 and 2023 was not caused by deaths.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,821
    I'm perfectly happy with Brexit too.
    Apart from anything else, tge UK appears to be growing, sluggishly, while Western Europe is seeing contraction.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,130
    History is written by the winners.

    Since Brexit has no winners history will record it as an epic mistake.

    Future voters will seek to remedy that.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482
    Andy_JS said:

    The only solution is to stop boats from leaving in the first place.
    And that solution is - because Suella and Rishi need all the help they can get on this one ?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,712
    .

    The EU wasn't a punchbag, as much as it was an excuse by politicians.

    Oh I'd love to do something about your concern, but unfortunately the EU won't let us ...

    One of the main advantages of Brexit is that excuse has been taken away now. Our MPs can do whatever we elect them to do, and there's no excuses anymore.
    They still have excuses: the Blob, lefty lawyers, the ECHR, Westminster (for those politicians in Edinburgh, Cardiff etc.).

    Would you say that one of the main advantages of Scottish independence would be that an excuse has been taken away from Scottish politicians?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    Leon said:

    There’s no way you can sneak Actual Rejoining of the EU past the people. It will require a referendum, and before that referendum will be years of drama. The formal request for membership. The debate in the EU. The demands of each EU nation. The question of euro and Schengen. The likely vetoes from France or Ireland or Greece in a bad mood

    You simply can’t wish all this agony away, and it is one reason we will never even try to Rejoin
    Maybe. Probably even. But the past isn't always the best guide to the future. I'm sketching out - and it is only a sketch - a scenario whereby having moved closer and closer to Europe over a period of years there develops a settled consensus, politics and public, that this should be converted to full EU membership. We're using our guest pass every day, always down there, so why not get the card so we don't have to sign in and out the whole time? Pretty easy decision. Have a referendum if we want, to rubber stamp, allow the rump leavers to let off some steam, and that's that. 72/28. Bang on the polls. No blood because the matter had effectively been settled already. National Interest. Democratic. Mature.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,273
    viewcode said:

    The people who have died off between 2016 and 2023 are predominantly those who were in their 80's or more in 2016, who were born on/before 1936. They were predominantly Remainers. It's the Boomers (those born 1945-1964) who were predominantly(?) Leavers, and they are in 2023 aged between 59 and 78. The wacky munchkins with their neoliberal Cold-War mindset will be with us for the next 15-20 years. Any movement towards Remain that occured between 2016 and 2023 was not caused by deaths.
    You are assuming life expectancy is close to the same for remainers and leavers. Even the names give a clue that this may not be the case.....
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,689
    Dodgy keeper!
  • Nooo!!!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Colombia 1
    England 0
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Not the plan.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,674
    edited August 2023

    I was planning on retiring to Southern France. No matter, Boris Johnson became Prime Minister, so I suppose Brexit was worth all the heartache in the grand scheme of things.
    "I was supposed to die in France. I never even saw France."
  • Andy_JS said:

    Colombia 1
    England 0

    Trouble is without Lauren James, it is not clear where England's chances will come from, let alone goals.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,689
    Even dodgier keeper!
  • That's better!
    1-1
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    stodge said:

    And that solution is - because Suella and Rishi need all the help they can get on this one ?
    send Suella Braverman to the beaches of Northern France.

    Five seconds of talking to her and they'll be fleeing back to their own country as fast as they can to get away from her.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    boulay said:

    More a fan of “I vow to thee my country”.
    Only verse one, though. Not the bit about “there’s another country”.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    ydoethur said:

    send Suella Braverman to the beaches of Northern France.

    Five seconds of talking to her and they'll be fleeing back to their own country as fast as they can to get away from her.
    Section 9.2.2 Peacetime Mining

    Mindful of the safety of its citizens, during peacetime a nation may deploy armed and controlled mines in its own internal waters at any time without notification. A nation may also mine its own archipelagic waters and territorial sea during peacetime when necessary for its national security. If a nation deploys armed mines in its archipelagic waters or the territorial sea, appropriate international notification––e.g., through the International Maritime Organization and other diplomatic channels––of the existence and location of such mines is required. However, deploying controlled mines in a nation’s own archipelagic waters or territorial sea is not subject to such notification or removal requirements.

    Because the right of innocent passage through territorial seas can be suspended only temporarily, armed mines must be removed or rendered harmless as soon as the security threat that generated their deployment has ended. Armed mines may not be emplaced in international straits or archipelagic sea-lanes during peacetime.

    https://warontherocks.com/2014/10/an-act-of-war-the-law-of-naval-mining/

    Not seeing the problem here.
  • We had a boat sinking. People drowning. Some of them kids. In that situation you send all available rescuers. Because we are human and people drowning is bad

    Unless you are the right wing, or a Tory politician. Where hardening people's souls is a vote winning strategy. So that people on the Daily Mail demand that the RNLI not attend - they don't care that people be left to drown.

    Is this what the right call common sense politics?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    The chancellor, Jeremy Hunt's brother has died of cancer aged 53. RIP
    https://twitter.com/RachelReevesMP/status/1690093415709523969?s=20
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,192
    edited August 2023
    Leon said:

    In some ways yes, some ways no. But the plain fact is, for the Tories to become the party of Rejoin you’d have to miraculously replace 90% of their members, 95% of their activists and about 75% of their MPs, and their overriding philosophical position of the last decade, and also get the entire party to accept Britain should once again subordinate itself to Brussels, after a tragic mistake which they passionately supported

    I mean, when you look at it like that, it’s just not
    gonna happen, is it?

    If Rejoin ever becomes a major idea in UK politics (something I obviously and gravely doubt) it will come from Labour (with the LDs and SNP as a supporting cast)
    That did sort of happen (in the Brexit direction) just a couple of years ago. Conservative Party membership rose by about two thirds in as many years and then Boris gutted the parliamentary party.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Miklosvar said:

    It's freedom of *absence* of movement is the problem, I would possibly be thinking about a little place in France or Spain if I could live in it more than 3 on, 3 off

    Mind you the Spanish golden visa rules look quite accommodating
    I think that's still very possible if you have means.

    Personally, I've never had any desire to retire to France or Spain.

    Visit and stay a few weeks, sure.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    Good day for the cash fans seeing the PL start is delayed because e-ticketing doesn't work properly.
  • That is an often overlooked point. High property prices suck money away from the rest of the economy.
    Away from some parts of the economy but towards other parts.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Scott_xP said:

    History is written by the winners.

    Since Brexit has no winners history will record it as an epic mistake.

    Future voters will seek to remedy that.

    Even if that's true (which I don't think it is) it doesn't follow that the natural outcome to remediate it would be Rejoin which, firstly, plenty of people in the UK would still hate and, secondly, the EU would have to openly offer and build to an accession treaty without anyone vetoing - like France. They can read the opinion polls just as well as we can and a simple British majority at a point in time just wouldn't cut it, nor a British GE result that delivered a majority for a party that advocated it.

    It's far more likely the EPU evolves into something more collaborative with the UK in it or we develop a close form of associate EU membership from outside. The world has moved on.

    You're baselining your thinking in the status quo ante bellum of 2016 as much as the most gung-ho Brexiters do.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Scott_xP said:

    History is written by the winners.

    Since Brexit has no winners history will record it as an epic mistake.

    Future voters will seek to remedy that.

    You've clearly never studied the interwar years.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,338

    We had a boat sinking. People drowning. Some of them kids. In that situation you send all available rescuers. Because we are human and people drowning is bad

    Unless you are the right wing, or a Tory politician. Where hardening people's souls is a vote winning strategy. So that people on the Daily Mail demand that the RNLI not attend - they don't care that people be left to drown.

    Is this what the right call common sense politics?

    Lee Anderson currently being kept gagged and bound in the basement of CCH hq to prevent him talking 'common sense politics'.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    That is an often overlooked point. High property prices suck money away from the rest of the economy.
    Yes, so much of our wealth in residential property, and so much of our expenditure needed to buy or rent it, this can't be healthy.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    HYUFD said:

    The chancellor, Jeremy Hunt's brother has died of cancer aged 53. RIP
    https://twitter.com/RachelReevesMP/status/1690093415709523969?s=20

    Nice tweet from Rachel Reeves. She seems a decent sort.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    I was planning on retiring to Southern France. No matter, Boris Johnson became Prime Minister, so I suppose Brexit was worth all the heartache in the grand scheme of things.
    You can still do that provided you have a minimum income: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/retirement-france-wealth-inheritance-forced-heirship-tax/#:~:text=If you are retiring to,investments you can draw on.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited August 2023

    We had a boat sinking. People drowning. Some of them kids. In that situation you send all available rescuers. Because we are human and people drowning is bad

    Unless you are the right wing, or a Tory politician. Where hardening people's souls is a vote winning strategy. So that people on the Daily Mail demand that the RNLI not attend - they don't care that people be left to drown.

    Is this what the right call common sense politics?

    One of the most popular complaints seems to be that the incident was in French waters, so (presumably) they should have been left to drown etc. if the French didn't get there in time.
  • Off topic, how many ex-referees watching the footy noticed the poor positioning of the lady doing the England/Colombia game?

    She's been poor generally, but her bad positioning led to her impeding a defender in the build-up to the Colombian goal.

    Good game though, and England deserved the luck this time, unlike in their previous game.
  • Carnyx said:

    One of the most popular complaints seems to be that the incident was in French waters, so (presumably) they should have been left to drown etc. if the French didn't get there in time.
    If they hadn't tried to enter the country illegally, they wouldn't have got into difficulty in the water.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,673
    edited August 2023
    DavidL said:

    Nice tweet from Rachel Reeves. She seems a decent sort.
    She has learned her lesson.

    From 2014.

    https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/amp/entry/vince-cable-wife_n_4608721/
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,338

    If they hadn't tried to enter the country illegally, they wouldn't have got into difficulty in the water.
    Looks like Lee has escaped..
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    Off topic, how many ex-referees watching the footy noticed the poor positioning of the lady doing the England/Colombia game?

    She's been poor generally, but her bad positioning led to her impeding a defender in the build-up to the Colombian goal.

    Good game though, and England deserved the luck this time, unlike in their previous game.

    They’ve only played 1 decent game in the tournament but they are still in it. How many times have we seen German teams only come alive in the latter stages of tournaments?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,712
    Interesting, and depressing, article on Nagorny Karabakh and possible renewed Armenian/Azerbaijani conflict: https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/armenia-azerbaijan-on-the-brink-again/

    Possible parallels with other long-running territorial disputes.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    There's another currently world-leading British company facing that sort of challenge. Games Workshop, based in Nottingham, are the world's leading manufacturer of toy soldiers, and the best at plastic injection moulding. But here comes 3d-printing, threatening to upend their business model.

    Will they adapt to the new technology, or will it kill them? Nearly £4bn of share capital and £135m in yearly dividend payments want to know - but the board don't mention it in their annual report to investors...
    The ineptitude with which the British run business does my nut.
  • On topic....Rejoin? What cobblers is this?

    Even if we were given the chance (we won't be) on similar terms to those we tore up (we won't) it would be in principle wrong to reverse the democratic decision and its immediate consequences.

    Even if it was a bad decision (it was) we have to live with the consequernces. We made the bed, we lie in it.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    You can still do that provided you have a minimum income: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/consumer-affairs/retirement-france-wealth-inheritance-forced-heirship-tax/#:~:text=If you are retiring to,investments you can draw on.
    Yes, looking at it it seems if you are merely comfortably off the restrictions on FOM don't really bite.

    https://www.henleyglobal.com/residence-investment
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,338

    On topic....Rejoin? What cobblers is this?

    Even if we were given the chance (we won't be) on similar terms to those we tore up (we won't) it would be in principle wrong to reverse the democratic decision and its immediate consequences.

    Even if it was a bad decision (it was) we have to live with the consequernces. We made the bed, we lie in it.

    Nothing worse than having to lie in a bed that someone else has shat..
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    Indeed.

    The sooner we replace God Save The King the better.
    You want Princess Charlotte to take the throne?
This discussion has been closed.