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The July 20th by-elections – latest betting – politicalbetting.com
The July 20th by-elections – latest betting – politicalbetting.com
As can be seen the money is going on the LDs to take Mid Bedfordshire and Somerton with LAB the easy winners in BoJo’s old seat of Uxbridge.
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The Government needs to pick some things it currently asks public sector employees to do, which its no longer going to ask them to do. At that point you can have cuts. I have my own ideas, I'm sure others have others.
Simply saying "cuts" without actually cutting anything isn't going to work though.
I know there was that bad interview for the LD candidate in Somerton, but that sort of thing is survivable.
Have Corbyn and his friends called on both sides to Stop the War in Russia yet ?
I'm wondering how good the coup is going to get. 😂
Putin today: the prisoners I pardoned so they could join my former caterer's militia should please stop participating in his armed uprising against my defense ministry
For those of you new to this media environment. The main sources of info are an army that lies about everything; a warlord who owns an infamous troll factory and lied about it for years; and the Kremlin. And Russia destroyed the media, so there aren't any good independent sources
https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1672528720261677056?cxt=HHwWgICw_c6AgrYuAAAA
Unless we see actual military efforts taking place to properly impede Wagner then no-one is resisting them currently.
Where was this reported as happening ? If it was in or around Ukraine rather than South of Moscow it might be less notable.
Interesting that Prigozhin has basically called out the war in Ukraine as unnecessary, undermined the case for it and said that it was all Shoigu's fault the war started. That doesn't sound like someone in a hurry to get back to having his men killed in Ukraine again. See analysis at 9:11am here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-66006142
That’s not suggesting Prigozhin is a hero or a nice man. The world will not be especially safe with him and his buddies in charge. But it will mark a change in Ukraine.
Phillips P. OBrien
@PhillipsPOBrien
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@PhillipsPOBrien
To understand what Prigozhin has done in seizing control of Rostov and Voronezh, think of him as the Royal Navy in the Mediterranean in 1800, and the Russian army in Ukraine is Napoleon’s army in Egypt.
Phillips P. OBrien
@PhillipsPOBrien
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@PhillipsPOBrien
In other words, the Russian army can’t function if Prigozhin won’t let it, it needs the supply routes working. Napoleon won all the battles in Egypt but had to pull out because he could not keep the supply routes open
How bad could this get?
Let's hope for a more peaceful transfer of power, because in a country as vast and well-armed as Russia, even with thugs like Progozhin, that would be preferable.
Especially if its valuable military hardware that is destroyed, with no dead Ukrainians on either side of the conflict.
Is it true that leader of the Albagner Group Alex (Russia Today) Salmond is marching with his forces on Dundee today to topple the leader of the Scottish government, hunkered down with his loyal followers in the Caird Hall?
It could be either a very quick palace coup, or a long and bloody civil conflict. To be honest I think those two options are the most likely.
First rule of being a dictator: don’t let anyone else have an army.
(I'm so perky I get on my own nerves).
This is the beginning of the end of the War in Ukraine I think.
It may be the start of one in Russia, mind.
❗️Prigozhin audio message 10:19AM BST - "no one will surrender to the demands of the President":
"Regarding the betrayal of the Motherland, the President is deeply mistaken. We’re patriots of our Motherland. We fought and we are fighting, all fighters of PMC Wagner. And no one is going to surrender to the demands of the President, FSB, or anyone else. Because we don’t want the country to live further in corruption lies, and bureaucracy.
When we fought in Africa, we were told that we needed Africa, and then they dumped it, because they stole all the money that was meant to come for help.
When we were told we are fighting with Ukraine, we went and fought. But it turned out that the ammo, weapons, all money put towards this were also being stolen, while officials are sitting and saving them for themselves for an incident that happened today, when someone is going towards Moscow."
Now they are not saving anything, they are striking us with planes and helicopters at the columns with civilians. And they hit civilians because they’re missing. And they hit anywhere they can.
Thus, we are the patriots, but those resisting us today are those who gathered around scumbags.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1672536701997072384
At the moment, anything is possible - apart from a transition to democracy.
Plus tanks, technicals, supply trucks, etc.
https://twitter.com/CalibreObscura/status/1672534220122599424
A quick palace coup is great, get rid of Putin.
A long and bloody civil conflict is great. Russians fighting Russians is infinitely better than Russians fighting Ukrainians.
They aren’t here to convince us that Woke Trans Gay NATO is a threat to our Vital Essence.
They are here to get timing information as to when Russia should launch the Next Big Stupidity.
And also big conventional forces. They may be full out of date equipment, but there's tons of them.
Rumours of the Albanians in any way matching the murderous efficiency of the Wagner Group are much exaggerated
Boris Johnson rides a tidal wave of “I fucking told you” back to No 10….
That’s the 10/10
At 9 we have Global Nuclear War
At 8…
No need to answer.
1) is pineapple on pizza a war crime?
2) an airliner crashes on the Ukraine/Republic of China border. On which side do you bury the survivors?
3) which is more legendary - @TSE’s modesty or the quietness of his taste in shoes?
Some useful tips for Trump if he loses in 2024. To quote crocodile Dundee, “mate, that ain’t a coup. This is a coup”. GOP should start hiring convicts into a private militia.
Conventional forces - yes they have these. So if they're using them on each other that's better than using them on Ukrainians.
Either way, a civil war or coup is better than Putin continuing as a dictator invading other nations.
Well that was the most lame attempt at a coup d'etat I've ever seen. A couple old tanks and a couple dozen trucks carrying a couple hundred disheveled "soldiers" in ill-fitting uniforms. The modest parade was escorted by Rosgvardia into Rostov; Prigozhin pretended to "occupy" the city, then he had a chat with a couple generals, after which he and his motley group of "insurrectionists" drove away again. Now Putin says they're all in VERY big trouble and will be dealt with promptly and harshly. That's it, folks. Show's over. We will now resume the war where we left off a few hours ago.
8:44 AM · Jun 24, 2023
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https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/1672510901256171520?s=20
As has been commented up thread, better the devil you don’t know.
What's going to be over by the end of the weekend? Putin's regime?
The highway of death on the M4 or Swan Lake?
They've clearly not sent us their best operator this weekend.
A country as vast and well-armed as that does not spiral into chaos without it affecting large areas of the rest of the world, for diverse, military, migratory , and economic reasons. It wouldn't be something we could just cheerfully watch from our armchairs.
Ukraine’s counteroffensive is having less success and Russian forces are showing more competence than western assessments expected, two western officials and a senior US military official tell CNN. The counteroffensive is “not meeting expectations on any front,” one of them said
4:05 PM · Jun 22, 2023
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https://twitter.com/I_Katchanovski/status/1671897144301854721?s=20
His ambitions and lack of willingness to remain in the shadows have certainly altered.