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Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com

This follows the latest round of voting which saw:
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*don't rejoice
Time to review all my bets on Labour not to win a majority at GE2024.
Suspect turn out in the members election will be low.
Tory MPs need to be thinking that the choice for PM is now either Mordaunt or Truss. Sunak loses to either with members quite handsomely. Truss is continuity-Boris. Is that what they really want?!
RAF Coningsby hits 40.
And the sort of tax cuts we would prefer (fuel duty) aren't ones that your typical freebie loving Tory party member pensioner cares about.
In Truss we trust.
Dull wins
Liz Truss is the best person for PM though. 👍 But I'd rather get my £5000, so Rishi v Truss is a win/win.
I wouldn't have trusted RS to do that, despite his words.
His best attempt in the debates was a lame 'hur, you used to be a LD'. If that's the best he can do she will wipe the floor with him and make her own ineptitude a sign of being 'real'.
Betfair next prime minister
2.18 Liz Truss 46%
2.42 Rishi Sunak 41%
8 Penny Mordaunt 13%
370 Dominic Raab
Next Conservative leader
2.12 Liz Truss 47%
2.44 Rishi Sunak 41%
7.4 Penny Mordaunt 14%
To be in final two
1.01 Rishi Sunak 99%
1.25 Liz Truss 80%
4.3 Penny Mordaunt 23%
I'll never forget Tony Marlow standing at the front of the gaggle of Redwood supporters for his press conference in the committee room, resplendent in his loudly and proudly dated pink striped blazer. It was on a hot day just like today's too I think.
As the heavy rain reaches Bath and Bournemouth...and it's looking grey to the west from here on the Island, and the first rumble of distant thunder
Or they genuinely think she’s going to deliver “something”
Maybe Kemi would be more effective as Home Secretary....??
They were elected on a mandate to level up. She’s gonna ditch it all and go straight for tax cuts.
Economic illiteracy. Political insanity.
Can’t you see the members polling stinks, it flips about more dramatically in space of a week than yougov polling.
Zero chance of Truss becoming leader. The Badenoch vote can’t stand Truss which is why they aren’t voting for the embaressing Thatcher tribute act already.
Starmer leads Truss by 12% as preferred PM, that is 1997 style defeat at least in voteshare
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1549063999605465089?s=20&t=3_uq_zqmP975cjN3ODN6dw
Boy, he must be having the time of his life.
Maybe Truss will surprise, massively, on the upside. It would be hard for her to UNDERperform expectations
I'm only in the £400-600 space. A tenth of yours!
Bozo had Covid to deal with and the ability to throw money at the problem.
Truss has an energy crisis to deal with (that will become very real when it dawns on Germany that Russia has shut down the gas pipeline permanently) and the money that could be used to solve it has already been spent.
This is looking like a walloping, will we see a marge majority turned into another large majority - but for the other party?
This really is the AU elections all over again
Can I say thank you to everyone who helped bring Boris down. Either I get that payout, or we get Boris replaced with the even better alternative of Liz Truss. This is a fantastic moment in politics. 😎
So, my assumption is that it stays orthodox in the next round - any "clever" tactical switching away from Sunak will be very small scale and individual in nature and will not be encouraged by the campaign.
And that also means, though Badenoch votes will not transfer as a bloc, the bias towards Truss will be enough for Truss / Sunak.
In any instance, Sunak's member deficit and the likelihood of his opponents blowing it sufficiently to enhance his member support is similar in each case.
For a bit.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/23/uk-lost-up-to-16bn-due-to-and-error-in-covid-loans-schemes
https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1549399308688048130
James Heale
@JAHeale
·
17m
It’s ridiculous to compare this hot summer to 1976. Back then MPs had to choose between Crosland, Jenkins, Healey, Benn, Callaghan and Foot for PM.