politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The indyref results thread – As YouGov have a poll out
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1st declaration in Clackmannasnshire? Then North Lanks? What happened to Western Isles?
BBC Parliament feed (Sco) seems to be less offensive than others.0 -
Recount in Orkney due to 1 vote decrepancy.0
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Interesting a lot of agreement between Jim Sillars and Michael Forsyth on ITV on lack of differences between main parties and lack of thought into new constitution plans0
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He's talking to Huw Edwards right now (or at least a YES fan named Malcolm!)Itajai said:Where is malcolmg?
If NO win, will he be back?0 -
So to summarise
South Ayrshire NO, as predicted
Dundee YES, as predicted
Borders NO, as predicted
Edinburgh, NO, as predicted but much more than predicted
North Lanarkshire: YES, against predictions but not by much
North Ayrshire: YES, against prediction and by quite a lot
Falkirk: NO, against prediction but not by much
So: things still on for a No. Falkirk cancels out North Lanarkshire, and North Ayrshire's switch to Yes is outweighed by Edinburgh's massive No.
Fair summary?0 -
She's my favourite. I dont know what to make of it - except it's not punditry.numbertwelve said:This woman on BBC reporting from the Midlothian count sounds like she doesn't really know what to say. Ramble ramble ramble
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ooo I like the bar chart on the Guardian's blog.0
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Numbercruncher reckoned that with an overall tie Dundee would be 58.1% Yes and Clackmannanshire 56.7% Yes. If Yes have only just won Dundee and neck and neck in Clackmannanshire then YES are in big trouble.0
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FT columnist
"There is no easy answer. Anyone sensible who has been watching events in Scotland will draw unnerving conclusions. If today’s elites do not provide more closely accountable government they will be swept aside by the politics of exclusion. A globalisation that enriches the richest and impoverishes the rest is not sustainable. The case for open, inclusive societies has to be remade."
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/66eea470-3e76-11e4-b7fc-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz3DiPm92Kk0 -
ITV No from Western Isles0
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New Thread0
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I predicted 50.29% YES.0
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New Thread0
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There are no results yet.viewcode said:So to summarise
South Ayrshire NO, as predicted
Dundee YES, as predicted
Borders NO, as predicted
Edinburgh, NO, as predicted but much more than predicted
North Lanarkshire: YES, against predictions but not by much
North Ayrshire: YES, against prediction and by quite a lot
Falkirk: NO, against prediction but not by much
So: things still on for a No. Falkirk cancels out North Lanarkshire, and North Ayrshire's switch to Yes is outweighed by Edinburgh's massive No.
Fair summary?0 -
...deafening...and possibly ominous?oxfordsimon said:0 -
How close would it need to be to force a total recount?0
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Unfortunately I'm not entering the real figures because I only have an iPad with me at the moment and it's difficult to use a spreadsheet with those.RobD said:0 -
One of the curiosities that bears examination is that far more 16-17 year olds were added to the register in Dundee than actually exist. Maybe these kids, whose ages apparently went down to 11, did not in fact turn up.Saltire said:The low turnout in Dundee may indicate that not as many newly registered voters have actually voted compared to the hopes of the Yes campaign. Will be interesting to see the turnout for Glasgow in case there is a similar number.
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Probably less than 50,000 votes overall.manofkent2014 said:How close would it need to be to force a total recount?
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GLASGOW 54 Yes 46 No say Yes0
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We have no results yet, can't just go on whether people in Yes look glum.0
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There will be no total recounts - these can only happen on a local authority basismanofkent2014 said:How close would it need to be to force a total recount?
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That's a huge statement by Cameron. Wow.
I'd be surprised if his stock doesn't now rise. If it wasn't for that berk Carswell a GE2015 victory would be a certainty from here.0