The 'disaster' in Florida contained the signs of why Biden was going to win the Presidency. He lost the battle and won the war. John King called it right on CNN: 'to win the Presidency you have to win the suburbs.' In Florida, despite haemorrhaging latino votes, Biden was +5% over Clinton in the suburbs. If repeated it meant other states would come into play. It's why the Democrats are gaining in the Midwest, Georgia too. It's also why at the darkest hour I bought Biden at 262 EVS.
In retrospect, the Democrat decision to focus on the Midwest instead of Florida and Texas looks like a blinder.
The 'disaster' in Florida contained the signs of why Biden was going to win the Presidency. He lost the battle and won the war. John King called it right on CNN: 'to win the Presidency you have to win the suburbs.' In Florida, despite haemorrhaging latino votes, Biden was +5% over Clinton in the suburbs. If repeated it meant other states would come into play. It's why the Democrats are gaining in the Midwest, Georgia too. It's also why at the darkest hour I bought Biden at 262 EVS.
In retrospect, the Democrat decision to focus on the Midwest instead of Florida and Texas looks like a blinder.
Before I went to bed last night (yes I actually managed to sleep) I was thinking it was else to ignore the cries of go all in for Texas. All that would have done is repeat 2016 mistakes.
I think this election has shown the democrats need to learn how to wisely spend money though, the senate races were not great. Still 2 runoffs in Georgia could go the Dems way.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
Apparently it made him into a cycle path.
That put an end to his confident, carfree childhood.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
Apparently it made him into a cycle path.
That put an end to his confident, carfree childhood.
Apparently he was very driven as a child. Driven everywhere.
The 'disaster' in Florida contained the signs of why Biden was going to win the Presidency. He lost the battle and won the war. John King called it right on CNN: 'to win the Presidency you have to win the suburbs.' In Florida, despite haemorrhaging latino votes, Biden was +5% over Clinton in the suburbs. If repeated it meant other states would come into play. It's why the Democrats are gaining in the Midwest, Georgia too. It's also why at the darkest hour I bought Biden at 262 EVS.
In retrospect, the Democrat decision to focus on the Midwest instead of Florida and Texas looks like a blinder.
Likewise their decision not to run Bloomberg, who decided to dump his money on Florida, Texas and Ohio.
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
The most likely reason that is true will be the lasting overhang in legacy from the virus.
Both parties have the challenge of finding more effective candidates.
For the Reps - as one of them acknowledged on Fox - Trump has motivated the rural base like no other previous Rep, and these level of turnouts are unlikely to repeat. A new candidate has this handicap to overcome with new votes from elsewhere.
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
What a lot of ramping. Sounds like you got out of bed with a very sore loser head.
It's not often that an incumbent is defeated (only thrice before in American history) and, for all his faults, Trump's record on the economy was impressive, at least on paper. The economy was a significant factor. He really ramped up the 401(k) issue which is crucial for many Americans: some 50% own stocks and shares (31% have 401(k)) and as he has bigged-up his Wall St credentials, it was a significant factor.
Betfair still seems to be giving Trump an implied probability not much under 10%. I wonder what that's based on.
There’s a lag effect because of outstanding money on the table, which hasn’t been taken up in the middle of the night. A lot of punters are probably already exposed to the limit of what they are comfortable; how much of the free money have you taken up?
All the commentary in today’s UK newspapers on Trump is written prior to his Basil Fawlty breakdown in the small hours, and already feels overtaken by events.
Betfair still seems to be giving Trump an implied probability not much under 10%. I wonder what that's based on.
There’s a lag effect because of outstanding money on the table, which hasn’t been taken up in the middle of the night. A lot of punters are probably already exposed to the limit of what they are comfortable; how much of the free money have you taken up?
I don't bet any more. I'm only here for the information.
The 'disaster' in Florida contained the signs of why Biden was going to win the Presidency. He lost the battle and won the war. John King called it right on CNN: 'to win the Presidency you have to win the suburbs.' In Florida, despite haemorrhaging latino votes, Biden was +5% over Clinton in the suburbs. If repeated it meant other states would come into play. It's why the Democrats are gaining in the Midwest, Georgia too. It's also why at the darkest hour I bought Biden at 262 EVS.
In retrospect, the Democrat decision to focus on the Midwest instead of Florida and Texas looks like a blinder.
Before I went to bed last night (yes I actually managed to sleep) I was thinking it was else to ignore the cries of go all in for Texas. All that would have done is repeat 2016 mistakes.
I think this election has shown the democrats need to learn how to wisely spend money though, the senate races were not great. Still 2 runoffs in Georgia could go the Dems way.
No need to go ‘all in’ - but if they’d earlier on in the campaign invested the $200m squandered on two Senate seats they lost by double figures, it might have been considerably closer.
Obviously that was never going to happen, but it’s an illustration of what might have been possible. The election for governor in two years time might be very interesting. It certainly will be in Georgia.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
In Philadelphia, police are reportedly investigating a tip about an alleged plot to attack the Pennsylvania Convention Center, where officials are counting ballots.
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
What a lot of ramping. Sounds like you got out of bed with a very sore loser head.
It's not often that an incumbent is defeated (only thrice before in American history) and, for all his faults, Trump's record on the economy was impressive, at least on paper. The economy was a significant factor. He really ramped up the 401(k) issue which is crucial for many Americans: some 50% own stocks and shares (31% have 401(k)) and as he has bigged-up his Wall St credentials, it was a significant factor.
Bush, Carter, Hoover, Taft, Cleveland, Van Buuren, Adams.
The United States recorded 102,830 new cases of Covid-19 on Thursday – a record daily high, and the second consecutive day the country recorded more than 100,000 infections.
The states that recorded the most new cases were Texas (9,509), Illinois (7,538), Wisconsin (5,936) and California (5,519). It’s an open question whether voting activity will emerge as a significant driver of new cases in the coming weeks.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
Would need a Pennsylvania level of split but given we have no idea what the split it I am calling Alaska as a live race.
So back in the good old Biden landslide days I had this thought that maybe Florida would get called for Biden while Alaskans were still at work, same-day voters would figure the race was over and go for a beer instead, and Biden would get a weirdly high vote share because his vote had already been mailed.
Maybe I got all that right, except the "called for *Biden*" part...
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
What a lot of ramping. Sounds like you got out of bed with a very sore loser head.
It's not often that an incumbent is defeated (only thrice before in American history) and, for all his faults, Trump's record on the economy was impressive, at least on paper. The economy was a significant factor. He really ramped up the 401(k) issue which is crucial for many Americans: some 50% own stocks and shares (31% have 401(k)) and as he has bigged-up his Wall St credentials, it was a significant factor.
Bush, Carter, Hoover, Taft, Cleveland, Van Buuren, Adams.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
I doubt he'd go that far but I do think there's a tipping point somewhere when the GOP all start to move against him and say, "nope, it's over" and just stop entertaining Trump's bullshit. It's not happening before the media have called it, but maybe after that.
I had been very sceptical of the Democrat campaign (from an ocean away, so what the **** do I know?) but I genuinely cannot believe they failed to win a landslide victory against the worst President in my lifetime, a man who is clearly suffering from some form of cognitive decline and who was literally recorded bragging about sexual assault. The Democrats are going to get obliterated in 2024 when they're up against any Republican less toxic than Trump (which is any Republican).
What a lot of ramping. Sounds like you got out of bed with a very sore loser head.
It's not often that an incumbent is defeated (only thrice before in American history) and, for all his faults, Trump's record on the economy was impressive, at least on paper. The economy was a significant factor. He really ramped up the 401(k) issue which is crucial for many Americans: some 50% own stocks and shares (31% have 401(k)) and as he has bigged-up his Wall St credentials, it was a significant factor.
Bush, Carter, Hoover, Taft, Cleveland, Van Buuren, Adams.
That’s more than three.
You're quite right. Sorry.
It has however only happened three times since the First World War, so you do have a point. Heck, they even elected Roosevelt four times despite him repeatedly breaking his word, running a corrupt government and leaving his whole eastern flank horribly exposed to the Japanese.
Edit - I’ve discounted Ford as he was a truly unique case.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
Blimey. I see it's starting to trend.
The impending fight is the Democrats best hope for the Georgian run-offs. Ordinarily I'd expect them to lose both but there's going to be one hell of a bloodbath in the GOP soon. Going into the run-offs with a fractious party isn't going to help the Republicans.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
I doubt he'd go that far but I do think there's a tipping point somewhere when the GOP all start to move against him and say, "nope, it's over" and just stop entertaining Trump's bullshit. It's not happening before the media have called it, but maybe after that.
I wonder. After the last 72 hours, if he did go for it I think he can be fairly sure the Senate and the House would back him as the likeliest way to ensure a proper transition.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
It will certainly be nice to see some dignity back in the White House. Biden has personified that since Tuesday.
Would need a Pennsylvania level of split but given we have no idea what the split it I am calling Alaska as a live race.
So back in the good old Biden landslide days I had this thought that maybe Florida would get called for Biden while Alaskans were still at work, same-day voters would figure the race was over and go for a beer instead, and Biden would get a weirdly high vote share because his vote had already been mailed.
Maybe I got all that right, except the "called for *Biden*" part...
I don't think the Dems will win either the Senate seat or the ECs, but I hadn't realised that zero mail ballots had been counted.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
It will certainly be nice to see some dignity back in the White House. Biden has personified that since Tuesday.
Would need a Pennsylvania level of split but given we have no idea what the split it I am calling Alaska as a live race.
So back in the good old Biden landslide days I had this thought that maybe Florida would get called for Biden while Alaskans were still at work, same-day voters would figure the race was over and go for a beer instead, and Biden would get a weirdly high vote share because his vote had already been mailed.
Maybe I got all that right, except the "called for *Biden*" part...
I don't think the Dems will win either the Senate seat or the ECs, but I hadn't realised that zero mail ballots had been counted.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
It will certainly be nice to see some dignity back in the White House. Biden has personified that since Tuesday.
Truly has.
In fairness, I despise the man, but Pence has also said all the right things.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
Apparently it made him into a cycle path.
That’s just pedalling nonsense.
There’s a whole chain of it on this one.
In tandem with lots of other rubbish
Have to leave this freewheeling discussion to get ready for work.
So to anyone that followed my tip on Ossoff, you haven't quite lost your money yet Apologies that it's going to be tied up until January.
Of the two Georgia runoffs*, Ossoff is the best hope for the Dems because the special senate was a jungle primary with a split GOP ticket.
Does Ossoff have a chance? Normally GOP do better on these runoffs in January. However, it's evident that Perdue is a weak candidate and vulnerable to attack.
I think it's a real possibility that the two runoffs will split with a win apiece. If the GOP hold the two outstanding senate races in North Carolina and Alaska then that will give them the Senate 51-49. Neither are a shoo-in, despite Thom Tillis declaring himself the winner.
(* I'm assuming no unexpected late surge for Perdue today)
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
I doubt he'd go that far but I do think there's a tipping point somewhere when the GOP all start to move against him and say, "nope, it's over" and just stop entertaining Trump's bullshit. It's not happening before the media have called it, but maybe after that.
I wonder. After the last 72 hours, if he did go for it I think he can be fairly sure the Senate and the House would back him as the likeliest way to ensure a proper transition.
I just feel like it picks a fight with the Trump base that he doesn't want or need, unless he plans to retire.
A lot of people have claimed that Donald Trump suffers from some kind of mental illness. I wonder if it's to do with an accident he had when he was young, and he got run over by a bike.
Apparently it made him into a cycle path.
That’s just pedalling nonsense.
There’s a whole chain of it on this one.
In tandem with lots of other rubbish
Have to leave this freewheeling discussion to get ready for work.
Squeezing into that Lycra is tough so early in the morning?
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
Is that not the only way he gets a pardon?
Trump could try to pardon himself, or he could hand over power to Pence of his own volition. Ill health grounds might be good, as he'll want to make that defence if there are also state charges that aren't covered by the pardon.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
Is that not the only way he gets a pardon?
Trump could try to pardon himself, or he could hand over power to Pence of his own volition. Ill health grounds might be good, as he'll want to make that defence if there are also state charges that aren't covered by the pardon.
I'm sure his head would explode before he could bring himself to do that.
I know this is naughty but the long slow demise of Donald Trump is really rather delicious. I'm not a vindictive type but in this case it's thoroughly deserved. Although I think he may, genuinely, be mentally ill.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Does it look to everyone else as though Pence is finally gearing up to invoke the 25th?
I doubt he'd go that far but I do think there's a tipping point somewhere when the GOP all start to move against him and say, "nope, it's over" and just stop entertaining Trump's bullshit. It's not happening before the media have called it, but maybe after that.
I wonder. After the last 72 hours, if he did go for it I think he can be fairly sure the Senate and the House would back him as the likeliest way to ensure a proper transition.
I just feel like it picks a fight with the Trump base that he doesn't want or need, unless he plans to retire.
Well, the Trump family have clearly given up, as the other hopefuls have started firing at high profile rival Nikki Haley:
He’s building a great circumstantial case for PA being a nest of vipers and home to fraud. With quotes from CNN. Video. Anonymous testimony of people claiming to have been ordered to commit election fraud. Basically, like The Wire shifted north.
The primary reason people voted for Trump is Law and Order.If the George Floyd murder had not happened i suspect Biden would have won by a landslide.People may be shocked by 60 plus million voting for Trump but the flipside of that is that others are shocked by the MSM's and others uncritical embrace of BLM . Plenty of Videos of BLM mobs expose them as violent bullies.If they were labelled 'right wing' the MSM would be calling them out for the fascist bullies those mobs often are Not a single Premier League footballer has rebelled against taking the knee despite the fact BLM has a manifesto that is anti-capitalist,anti nuclear family and anti the police.And yet very few media outlets are criticising the premier league for the lack of diversity of opinion within it. Personally i find both Trumps behaviour and the elites sycophancy to BLM both shocking .
Betfair still seems to be giving Trump an implied probability not much under 10%. I wonder what that's based on.
Not everyone runs the rollong numbers like the kind of political nerd on this site. You wake up and the raw figures say he's ahead in GA and PA and you thnk "wow, that's a bargain". You need to look at the rolling averages and votes remaining to see that the odds are overwhelmingly with Biden in both states at the moment.
He’s building a great circumstantial case for PA being a nest of vipers and home to fraud. With quotes from CNN. Video. Anonymous testimony of people claiming to have been ordered to commit election fraud. Basically, like The Wire shifted north.
Which means it's good that Biden is likely to win Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada and now Georgia. The ECV and national share will look so convincing that Trump's scattergun challenges have lost potency (except of course to the conspiracy loons but hey).
Florida 2000 was so different because it came down to 1 state and a visible, tangible, issue: the hanging chads.
Where the race stands (0510 GMT) – politicalbetting.com
Comments
In retrospect, the Democrat decision to focus on the Midwest instead of Florida and Texas looks like a blinder.
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324585201654210560?s=20
I think this election has shown the democrats need to learn how to wisely spend money though, the senate races were not great. Still 2 runoffs in Georgia could go the Dems way.
Apparently it made him into a cycle path.
GA Presidential Election Results
Trump (R): 49.4% (2,448,056 votes)
Biden (D): 49.37% (2,446,577 votes)
Trump Margin: +1,479 (-318)
I can only assume some punters, especially over here, don't study the detail?
Both parties have the challenge of finding more effective candidates.
For the Reps - as one of them acknowledged on Fox - Trump has motivated the rural base like no other previous Rep, and these level of turnouts are unlikely to repeat. A new candidate has this handicap to overcome with new votes from elsewhere.
It's not often that an incumbent is defeated (only thrice before in American history) and, for all his faults, Trump's record on the economy was impressive, at least on paper. The economy was a significant factor. He really ramped up the 401(k) issue which is crucial for many Americans: some 50% own stocks and shares (31% have 401(k)) and as he has bigged-up his Wall St credentials, it was a significant factor.
Could the dream be alive?
PA crossover should come by around 9am GMT, or perhaps a little before.
If the Dems flipped the Senate there it would liven things up some more
Would need a Pennsylvania level of split but given we have no idea what the split it I am calling Alaska as a live race.
Obviously that was never going to happen, but it’s an illustration of what might have been possible.
The election for governor in two years time might be very interesting. It certainly will be in Georgia.
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324600180176551936?s=20
That’s more than three.
The states that recorded the most new cases were Texas (9,509), Illinois (7,538), Wisconsin (5,936) and California (5,519). It’s an open question whether voting activity will emerge as a significant driver of new cases in the coming weeks.
The end result won't be close. He will have lost by c. 5% nationally and convincingly in the ECV's. I still have Biden on 306 but it 'might' be 290. Had the results been counted differently this would have been done and dusted.
Maybe I got all that right, except the "called for *Biden*" part...
Edit - I’ve discounted Ford as he was a truly unique case.
The impending fight is the Democrats best hope for the Georgian run-offs. Ordinarily I'd expect them to lose both but there's going to be one hell of a bloodbath in the GOP soon. Going into the run-offs with a fractious party isn't going to help the Republicans.
https://twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1324604024822194176?s=20
https://twitter.com/Grochowa2/status/1324601035399127040?s=20
Of the two Georgia runoffs*, Ossoff is the best hope for the Dems because the special senate was a jungle primary with a split GOP ticket.
Does Ossoff have a chance? Normally GOP do better on these runoffs in January. However, it's evident that Perdue is a weak candidate and vulnerable to attack.
I think it's a real possibility that the two runoffs will split with a win apiece. If the GOP hold the two outstanding senate races in North Carolina and Alaska then that will give them the Senate 51-49. Neither are a shoo-in, despite Thom Tillis declaring himself the winner.
(* I'm assuming no unexpected late surge for Perdue today)
Biden has won. There is no miracle pill now for Trump.
https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/donald-trump-junior-targets-nikki-haley-for-lack-of-action-over-vote-fraud-claims-2321468
https://freeimage.host/i/0611-matt-gallery-web-p1-trans-nvbqzqnjv4bqqvzuuqpflyliwib6n.3D4eAF
Plenty of Videos of BLM mobs expose them as violent bullies.If they were labelled 'right wing' the MSM would be calling them out for the fascist bullies those mobs often are
Not a single Premier League footballer has rebelled against taking the knee despite the fact BLM has a manifesto that is anti-capitalist,anti nuclear family and anti the police.And yet very few media outlets are criticising the premier league for the lack of diversity of opinion within it.
Personally i find both Trumps behaviour and the elites sycophancy to BLM both shocking .
In hindsight Trump should have spent more time in PA and less in Florida and Texas.
GA 2.5k
Florida 2000 was so different because it came down to 1 state and a visible, tangible, issue: the hanging chads.
https://www.npr.org/2018/11/12/666812854/the-florida-recount-of-2000-a-nightmare-that-goes-on-haunting
"You're doomed, doomed, do yer hear what I say Donald? ... you're doomed !!!!