politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the results start to come in it’s a great night for UKIP
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Ladies and Gentlemen this is something we call a groundbreaker
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u0fk6syQ7iY0 -
A very intelligent speech with a clear subtext.Casino_Royale said:Hannan speech very impressive, IMHO. Very good. He's making a better UKIP speech than Farage.
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No, but it's our best information.Slackbladder said:0 -
Errr yes...thats why you have a referendumcorporeal said:
No, but it's our best information.Slackbladder said:
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@gabyhinsliff: People moaning about why are we listening to 2nd place @DanHannanMEP ; because he's more interesting than the others. & I disagree with him0
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Rochdale Pioneers And North West. UKIP won East and West Midlands, Yorkshire, South East, East and South West0
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Tower Hamlets — probably completely unaware that they're holding up the rest of England in terms of Euro results. Banana republic, allegedly.0
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dugierbandier Obama led on leadership and economy in 2008, on leadership in 2012, though behind on economy0
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The. LibDems won their South East seat by only 16 votes.... That was a close call.0
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So the Tories didn't win a single region then? (assuming Labour win London)0
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Is Jim Waterson standing in a hole? He must be 4foot 10 and 5 stone wet through.0
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Sky News - claiming that An Independence From Europe cost UKIP a third seat in the South East.0
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Yes, he's a very intelligent man.AveryLP said:
A very intelligent speech with a clear subtext.Casino_Royale said:Hannan speech very impressive, IMHO. Very good. He's making a better UKIP speech than Farage.
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Hortence But Blair clearly won the 1994 Euros by comparison0
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A case for primary legislation to put Tower Hamlets under direct rule?AndyJS said:
Yes, they really are a basketcase in every respect.AndreaParma_82 said:I alert you that Tower Hamlets have not finished counting the local elections from Thursday...so I am not sure if they will ever finish counting the Euro ballots...
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With London still to come a tory lead of 80K is not going to be enough. But so close...
Labour must be disappointed about this.0 -
So what's your point?Slackbladder said:
Errr yes...thats why you have a referendumcorporeal said:
No, but it's our best information.Slackbladder said:
Mine is that UKIP/Hannan are interpreting the election results as a desire to leave the EU, the polling rejects this.
Your point is what?0 -
Retweeted by Britain Elects 2014
Dan Crawford @dancrawford85 19m
Beginning to think the polls might open for the General Election before Tower Hamlets finishes counting.0 -
UKIP claiming AIFE cost them a seat in the SW...0
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Fitalass Salmond looking sour on BBC earlier, saying even if Scotland gets a UKIP MEP still a lower UKIP voteshare than rUK0
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If Con had won that seat in NE instead of Lab then Con would definitely have beaten Lab on seats.0
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Labour are going to come 2nd, but now it's all about the rounding - if they're stuck on the same 0dp score as the tories it won't look like 2nd in the graphics.0
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Andrew Lilco needs some media training.0
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So will Tower Hamlets or the Western Isles declare first (and are these the two most dissimilar councils in the UK?)0
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For me Hannan, Farage and Farron have all been impressive this evening. Labour's spokespeople faded into a uniform, non-descript nothing, Salmond was awful.
Hung Parliament next year.0 -
I don't know the figures, but on the BBC map Brighton has turned from Green to Red. Not entirely unexpected, but I'm still unconvinced Lucas can hold on in 2015.0
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Agreed.SouthamObserver said:For me Hannan, Farage and Farron have all been impressive this evening. Labour's spokespeople faded into a uniform, non-descript nothing, Salmond was awful.
Hung Parliament next year.0 -
Does anyone have a view on how the final GB vote shares might come out at once London is declared?0
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No 16,000. LD 187,000 Labour 342,000. So they were 187000 - (342000 / 2 ) ahead of the second labour candidate.timmo said:The. LibDems won their South East seat by only 16 votes.... That was a close call.
In fact the "last" MEP was actually UKIP's 4th - the LDs had just a little more than a quarter of UKIP's vote.
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If the final result is indeed UKIP 29, Lab 24, Con 24, LibDem 7 then none of the polls have really distinguished themselves, although most within the margin of error0
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Danny Alexander Looking shellshocked on BBC, admits an awful night apart from 1 SE MEP0
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We can only hope.Casino_Royale said:
A case for primary legislation to put Tower Hamlets under direct rule?AndyJS said:
Yes, they really are a basketcase in every respect.AndreaParma_82 said:I alert you that Tower Hamlets have not finished counting the local elections from Thursday...so I am not sure if they will ever finish counting the Euro ballots...
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Can't be fussed to stay up for London. Green seat must be nailed-on, but what about the LDs?
Night all...0 -
Double agreed. I think that's spot on.maaarsh said:
Agreed.SouthamObserver said:For me Hannan, Farage and Farron have all been impressive this evening. Labour's spokespeople faded into a uniform, non-descript nothing, Salmond was awful.
Hung Parliament next year.
Danny Alexander doing the 1000yd stare right now..0 -
Projections from Ity
PD 41.8%
5 Stars 21.6
Forza Italia 16.3
Lega 6
Alfano/UDC 4.1
Tsipras 4.1
Brothers of Italy 3.4%
Threshold is at 4%, so 2 lists on the edge0 -
And the North West!RochdalePioneers said:
And the north east!Speedy said:So the only regions that UKIP have not won are Scotland, Wales (by a few thousand) and London.
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Are the BBC genuinely going to go thru this whole broadcast and not mention Northern Ireland once?0
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BBC now has a few London numbers.
Lab 31
UKIP 19
Con 18
LD 12
Green 11
Don't know which boroughs the above relate to.0 -
Danny looks like he's about to cry.0
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Nuttall on Sky...0
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That's a good result for Italy, is it not Andrea?AndreaParma_82 said:Projections from Ity
PD 41.8%
5 Stars 21.6
Forza Italia 16.3
Lega 6
Alfano/UDC 4.1
Tsipras 4.1
Brothers of Italy 3.4%
Threshold is at 4%, so 2 lists on the edge
Comedians in retreat.
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Does anyone have the current total votes in the areas declared so far?0
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Well, another sterling performance from PB this evening. Top class work one and all.
A great win for UKIP, not bad for the Tories, pretty poor for Labour, abysmal for the LDs. But we'll all read too much into this vote. What matters for the GE is where the UKIP votes go and how the no-shows on Thursday swing come next May.0 -
not really, I'm not impressed with Ed or the current Labour party. just think these kind of predictions are pretty worthless.kjohnw said:
straws and clutching methinks !dugarbandier said:
Until Obama the US never had a black president, and has never had a woman president.kjohnw said:peter kellner saying no opposition who is behind on leadership ratings AND economy ratings has ever gone on to form a government. i.e. Ed is toast!
They used to say no team bottom of the English premier league at Christmas could survive..
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Agree with that. Glad you included Farron on that list. Thought he was measured and gave a good response.SouthamObserver said:For me Hannan, Farage and Farron have all been impressive this evening. Labour's spokespeople faded into a uniform, non-descript nothing, Salmond was awful.
Hung Parliament next year.
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Member of LD executive Michael Todd on BBC now calling for Clegg to go0
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Oh Southam you are to much of a spurs supporter. Always on the negative0
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London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
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I think UKIP have won 5 regions out of a possible 9 (excluding NI).0
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Feel sorry for Danny! Looks crushed.0
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Danny Alexander has a face like a slapped arse.0
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Hortence I think it was quite clear by then Blair was going to win the leadership election, but either way Labour won the Euros as a marker for its general election victory in 19970
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Nuttall downplaying UKIP's chances in "Niewirk"...0
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Glass of whisky and a revolver on it's way to Clegg?
(metaphorically speaking of course
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What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
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Beaker following the spin line of "great job by Clegg". Yes, losing 41% of councillors this time and 92% of MEPs is such a triumph0
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You'd think those figures with Scotland would put Labour ahead of the Tories overall.Casino_Royale said:
What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 90 -
That's what smoking and drinking does to you!AndyJS said:Farage, back in the day:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/files/2014/05/faragefront2.gif
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That's an interesting volte face.MikeK said:PinkNews @pinknews 25m
Openly gay UKIP MEP elected in Scotland http://p.ink.cx/S7l8o8
They tweeted a couple of days ago that a UKIP MEP in Scotland would set back the LGBT "cause"
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Carola said:
Havent read the link... does it show UKIP would not win tonight as OGH predicted?
Dont tell me we won despite the snide move????0 -
Margaret Beckett was the acting leader of the Labour Party at the time of the 1994 European Elections.HYUFD said:Hortence I think it was quite clear by then Blair was going to win the leadership election, but either way Labour won the Euros as a marker for its general election victory in 1997
William Hague won the 1999 European Elections as a marker for his general election victory in 2001. Oh wait.....er......0 -
The media seems to be obsessed with printing photos of Farage looking like a braying horse. I think they must think it will decrease Farage's support but the opposite could be true:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/10855972/Ukip-storms-European-elections.html0 -
Don't know.Casino_Royale said:
What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
However I think very, very unlikely Lab gets 2 more seats than Con in London.
So I DECLARE: Con and Lab will tie on seats.
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Nick Robinson UKIP gone up by 13% in 75%+ white areas, only 10% in less white areas0
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Looks like it's gong to finish up:AndyJS said:
You'd think those figures with Scotland would put Labour ahead of the Tories overall.Casino_Royale said:
What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
UKIP 29% Lab 25% Con 24% Green 8% Lib-Dem LOL!
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The party collectively signed off on the coalition. I went, I was there.RochdalePioneers said:Beaker following the spin line of "great job by Clegg". Yes, losing 41% of councillors this time and 92% of MEPs is such a triumph
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London results being held up by what is being described as a "big turnout" in Tower Hamlets, whatever that might mean. I can't possibly imagine what they're referring to.0
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>50% turnout in Tower Hamlets?? Hmm.0
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Dimbleby - "A shambles in Tower Hamlets holding everything up."
Well said, sir.0 -
London latest (400,000 votes counted):
Lab 37
Con 22
UKIP 15
Green 10
LD 8
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Tower Hamlets have given up, they're all in the canteen watching David Dimbleby, watching them.
Waiting for Godot.0 -
Am I missing something? Even though Labour will do well in London, are the Tories not over performing versus UNS in Scotland? Will that not tip the scales back to the blue camp?GIN1138 said:
Looks like it's gong to finish up:AndyJS said:
You'd think those figures with Scotland would put Labour ahead of the Tories overall.Casino_Royale said:
What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
UKIP 29% Lab 25% Con 24% Green 8% Lib-Dem LOL!
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Sounds like Ukip might have lost more votes through spoiled votes - people voting for AIFE then realising it was wrong, scrubbing it out and then putting a second cross for Ukip - than actual AIFE votes.isam said:Carola said:
Havent read the link... does it show UKIP would not win tonight as OGH predicted?
Dont tell me we won despite the snide move????
So the difference in lost votes might actually be a lot bigger than it seems.
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London declaration expected at 2am...0
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Thanks for the reply, appreciated. Yes, I'm more familiar with his writing and soft-ball technical economics interviews in the depths of Sky City reports. Never seen him perform in a bear-pit environment.maaarsh said:
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So we're been kept waiting by one set of religious nutters in the Western Isles and another set of religious nutters in Tower Hamlets.
Night everyone.
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Northern Ireland doesn't count until Monday and given the local council results will be pretty much as you were.
The Conservatives are standing in NI for this Euro election., Be well lucky to grab 10k first preferences.0 -
is that right about Margaret Beckett? Cos thats a great pub quiz question: Name the last Labour leader to win a Euro election?0
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London latest (550,000 votes counted):
Lab 33
Con 25
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 70 -
And that may have been the right decision at the time. Now that it has literally gutted your party at council level do you agree with the cabal that Clegg should hold on so you can lose a third or more of your councillors running next year, or pull the plug and save something you can rebuild from?corporeal said:
The party collectively signed off on the coalition. I went, I was there.RochdalePioneers said:Beaker following the spin line of "great job by Clegg". Yes, losing 41% of councillors this time and 92% of MEPs is such a triumph
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All Scotland votes are IN the BBC total (except Western Isles).
Con lead Lab by 80,000 excluding London.0 -
Not sure. The way everyone has been going on about London saving Ed's bacon I just assumed London would get Lab over the line ahead of Con.dyedwoolie said:
Am I missing something? Even though Labour will do well in London, are the Tories not over performing versus UNS in Scotland? Will that not tip the scales back to the blue camp?GIN1138 said:
Looks like it's gong to finish up:AndyJS said:
You'd think those figures with Scotland would put Labour ahead of the Tories overall.Casino_Royale said:
What does that pump out the forecast national GB totals out?MikeL said:London latest:
Lab 32
Con 24
UKIP 17
Green 10
LD 9
UKIP 29% Lab 25% Con 24% Green 8% Lib-Dem LOL!
In any case there's really nothing in it and yet again we see Ed Milliband is one of the most ineffective Leaders Of The Opposition in living memory...0 -
If Lab didn't have postal votes as a cushion Cerise would be running for the airport as we speak.Casino_Royale said:>50% turnout in Tower Hamlets?? Hmm.
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