politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The European Elections Results Thread
Options
Comments
-
Eastern:
UKIP 35% Con 28% Lab 17% Grn 8% LD 7%0 -
Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics0
-
Disappointed by the turnout figures, even with all the extra interest of a UKIP win.
East of England, LDs only down 7%...granted as they were only at 14% to begin with, which makes it less great.0 -
Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...0
-
Green 133,331Next said:
Eastern
AIFE 26,564
BNP 12,465
CPA 11,627
Con 446,569 3
EDem 16,497
Green 133,331
Lab 271,601 1
LD 108,010
No2EU 4,870
UKIP 542,812 3
LD 108,010
0 -
That's a 1% swing...Scott_P said:@murdo_fraser: In Perth & Kinross the Tory vote is UP 1%, SNP DOWN by same margin. 2% swing SNP to Tory #EP2014
0 -
Rise in UKIP vote more than twice than for Labour in Eastern region, 15% vs 7%.0
-
In the East, Duff by name and Duff by nature. Anyone else hate the English?0
-
Nick Robinson: Labour might not necessarily come second.0
-
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
0 -
Watch the INDYREF market in that case.RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
0 -
Labour need to gain 13% on the tories to come 2nd - not going to do it by much0
-
Oooooh Nick brings up the issue of labour coming third0
-
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
99.9% certain that BBC are showing cumulative seats and vote shares on their ticker.0
-
All over according to Betfair now.0
-
Not clear to Toenails that Labour will get 2nd !0
-
Labour currently in third place despite one of their best regions being declared in NE.0
-
Maitlis - "LDs tanking" 0
-
There's two realistic options for LD seats, 1 in London, 1 in SEE.Slackbladder said:No lib dem seats for the east....
Not likely to get one anywhere else. SWE is a real longshot.
(imho of course).0 -
Yep - quite irresponsible really - was far from clear for the first 5 minutes.Sunil_Prasannan said:99.9% certain that BBC are showing cumulative seats and vote shares on their ticker.
0 -
Labour currently in third place and libDems in fifth, I wish I had another bottle of JD0
-
Does TSE have an Ed is Crap thread ready-to-go?0
-
I can see them winning seats in fptp system now,SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
UKIP 1.01 £2.00
£0.02 ^_~0 -
Lib Dems on 3% in Wales so far ... Ouch!0
-
Looks like AIFE on about 2%, by my rough sums0
-
Wales looks like Lab 32 UKIP 29 Cpn 19 Plaid 17. 1 seat each on these figures0
-
UNS after two results
UKIP 25
Con 21
Lab 19
LD 0
Grn 20 -
Christ. MOE nought?YossariansChild said:Lib Dems on 3% in Wales so far ... Ouch!
0 -
Mr. Slackbladder, Suzanne Evans could win a seat.0
-
Tories only needed a few thousand votes to keep NE seat, so close0
-
Do you have MOE in a real vote?welshowl said:0 -
Betfair: UKIP 1.01 Most Votes0
-
If I've got this right, then Andrew Duff, LibDem, and president of the Union of European Federalists has lot his seat
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Duff
SeanT will be gutted.0 -
LDs losing 2/3 of their vote in Wales....SeanT said:
0 -
so far looks like Labour taking votes off LD and UKIP from others Con obnly losing 2%0
-
Voters rejecting Ed Miliband's Labour and forming a new Opposition.....0
-
Tories were 12% ahead of Lab in 2009. Looks like 1% now after 2 results. Lab need a >6% Con-Lab swing to beat the Tories.Casino_Royale said:
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
Sky have voteshare C -2.8, Lab 8.2.
Not enough.0 -
Lib dems could seriously have problems in the general election... Clegg could come under eve more pressureSeanT said:0 -
One or two perhaps. But not sure what that will change. Unless it leads to the end of FPTP. That really would be seismic. And fantastic.Slackbladder said:
I can see them winning seats in fptp system now,SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
That 1.01 is just people cashing out tbh.Stuart_Dickson said:Betfair: UKIP 1.01 Most Votes
0 -
I forecast (not officially) that no party would get more than 27% and top 3 parties will be within 1%. So, UKIP 27%, Lab, 27% and Conservative 25%. Sorry, to forecast this now onve elections coming in.0
-
Duff? Isn't that the one who hates England?Fat_Steve said:If I've got this right, then Andrew Duff, LibDem, and president of the Union of European Federalists has lot his seat
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Duff
SeanT will be gutted.0 -
Quite right, Mr. O.. It will be back to political business as usual on Tuesday. A fun night but it will change next to nothing. We must also remember that OGH said that Thursday was a disaster for UKIP and their popular support has dropped massively.SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
Cheers Rod. So Labour around 24% nationally?RodCrosby said:
Tories were 12% ahead of Lab in 2009. Looks like 1% now after 2 results. Lab need a 6% con-Lab swing to beat the Tories.Casino_Royale said:
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
Sky have voteshare C -2.8, Lab 8.2.
Not enough.
0 -
Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 1m
The Green Party has beaten the Liberal Democrats in Sheffield (Nick Clegg's constituency area) on popular vote.0 -
-
UKIP will storm north Wales, it's tailor-made for them.0
-
I predicted a few days ago that UKIP would get 171 seats at the locals and 34.4% for the Euros.
In the event I fell short by about 5% for the locals, there being only 161 seats. If I extrapolate from that to the Euros UKIP would get 32.68%.
IT LOOKS LIKE I'LL BE PROVED RIGHT0 -
HurstLlama said:
Quite right, Mr. O.. It will be back to political business as usual on Tuesday. A fun night but it will change next to nothing. We must also remember that OGH said that Thursday was a disaster for UKIP and their popular support has dropped massively.SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
Given split UKIP/Con votes, there is a real chance now of EdM winning most seats in 2015, but not having real legitimacy.
Perhaps he should begin discussions with Clegg? Who would have thought it? The one person who may remain in Government for 10 years running would be Nick Clegg!0 -
Bloody hellski, here you go again. If this hobby horse of yours was real flesh and blood you'd have flogged it into Morrison's burgers by now.SouthamObserver said:
One or two perhaps. But not sure what that will change. Unless it leads to the end of FPTP. That really would be seismic. And fantastic.Slackbladder said:
I can see them winning seats in fptp system now,SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
London may come to Labour's aid in keeping 2nd place....0
-
Yes and good riddance to him. Now onto the 2nd bottle.Stuart_Dickson said:
Duff? Isn't that the one who hates England?Fat_Steve said:If I've got this right, then Andrew Duff, LibDem, and president of the Union of European Federalists has lot his seat
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Duff
SeanT will be gutted.
0 -
Broxtowe result UKIP 9488 Labour 8118 Con 7386 Green 2374 LD 1957 Pseudo-UKIP 467, BNP 444, Eng Dem 311 Harmony 43. UKIP ahead by less than initially expected but overall E Mids result currently expected to be UKIP 2 (+1) Con 2 (NC) Lab 1 (NC) LD 0 (-1)0
-
This Front Nazional guy does not seem happy with the line of questioning.0
-
It's going to be mighty close for second place between Con and Lab. Labour are probably third in England whatever happens.0
-
It just gets better.marke09 said:Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 1m
The Green Party has beaten the Liberal Democrats in Sheffield (Nick Clegg's constituency area) on popular vote.0 -
I think UKIP should get the seats their vote deserves, that's all.GeoffM said:
Bloody hellski, here you go again. If this hobby horse of yours was real flesh and blood you'd have flogged it into Morrison's burgers by now.SouthamObserver said:
One or two perhaps. But not sure what that will change. Unless it leads to the end of FPTP. That really would be seismic. And fantastic.Slackbladder said:
I can see them winning seats in fptp system now,SouthamObserver said:
In what way, do you think? Seriously - I genuinely can't see it.Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
0 -
OGH has lost pride and money tonight.0
-
Just as Marine le Pen has a real chance to utterly change French politics!Slackbladder said:Farage has a real chance here to utterly change uk politics
UKIP and FN, two parties with successful futures ahead of them.
Fortunately for all of us that is where their success will remain.
0 -
LibDems couldn't believe they were 5th and demanded that their and Green bundles were recounted. Result: 7 LibDem votes turned out to be UKIP...0
-
"ze 'oribble single currency which is the Euro" - I think this FN guy might have won himself some English votes...0
-
Incredible.AndyJS said:It's going to be mighty close for second place between Con and Lab. Labour are probably third in England whatever happens.
0 -
Con down less than 3% from 2009 seems extraordinarily good given they were approx 15% ahead in GE opinion polls at that point.0
-
Green - Lib Dem match vote looks good0
-
FN spokesman on the beeb already half cut and not taking any shit from the old duffer - amusing viewing0
-
Lab on 24.3% based on Sky's +/- ticker.Casino_Royale said:
Cheers Rod. So Labour around 24% nationally?RodCrosby said:
Tories were 12% ahead of Lab in 2009. Looks like 1% now after 2 results. Lab need a 6% con-Lab swing to beat the Tories.Casino_Royale said:
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
Sky have voteshare C -2.8, Lab 8.2.
Not enough.
Con on 25.3%0 -
Liver transplant before 2015?SeanT said:
If that happens, I am opening a SECOND bottle of St Henri 2004, and possibly cracking open the 25 year old Macallan.Stuart_Dickson said:
Duff? Isn't that the one who hates England?Fat_Steve said:If I've got this right, then Andrew Duff, LibDem, and president of the Union of European Federalists has lot his seat
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Duff
SeanT will be gutted.
0 -
You cant help but smile...NickPalmer said:LibDems couldn't believe they were 5th and demanded that their and Green bundles were recounted. Result: 7 LibDem votes turned out to be UKIP...
0 -
Mr. Speedy, shade unfair. The nature of publicly, regularly offering tips is that some will fail, and some will come good.0
-
Right, do i crack open the whisky now?0
-
Nick Clegg is closer to being ex-leader of the LD tonight and LePen is one step closer to the presidency in France.0
-
UKIP smash Newark. Hope no one threw money away on OGH's tip.0
-
UKIP in lead in Newark & Sherwood district council with 33%.
Ha ha ha.0 -
Ha ha ha. Cheers Nick!NickPalmer said:LibDems couldn't believe they were 5th and demanded that their and Green bundles were recounted. Result: 7 LibDem votes turned out to be UKIP...
0 -
"Grandad, who were the Liberal Democrats?"0
-
If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.0
-
Kellner: Greens to beat LDs.0
-
Bear in mind at all times people - no-one was voting Thursday for the possibility of Ed Miliband being Prime Minister. Read across to 2015 has limited value.
I expect a good % of UKIP former Tories lending their vote to the Tories to prevent PM Ed. I expect a good % of UKIP former Labour to stay with UKIP because they really can't wear the idea of PM Ed.0 -
0
-
Peter Kellner pouring water on the flames of the Conservatives beating Labour. The big metropolitan cities should save them.0
-
Yawn.MikeSmithson said:If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.
0 -
Harriet Harman confident of nothing.0
-
Would that we lived in more enlightened times. I certainly miss my 2nd vote.MikeSmithson said:If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.
0 -
Kellner reckons Labour are getting 2nd due to metropolitan strength.RodCrosby said:
Lab on 24.3% based on Sky's +/- ticker.Casino_Royale said:
Cheers Rod. So Labour around 24% nationally?RodCrosby said:
Tories were 12% ahead of Lab in 2009. Looks like 1% now after 2 results. Lab need a 6% con-Lab swing to beat the Tories.Casino_Royale said:
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
Sky have voteshare C -2.8, Lab 8.2.
Not enough.
Con on 25.3%0 -
Watch the Sky +/- %
If it adds to less than 12% for Lab minus Con, then Lab are heading for third.
Currently 11.0%0 -
Watching the news I'm guessing the FN result will probably have far more effect on those running the EU than the UKIP vote.
I would also add that the FN vote doesn't surprise me at all having lived on the border with France for decades, worked with many French people and having worked in France.
You can call them racists and by UK standards they certainly are but I get the impression that their feelings pretty much align themselves with the general UK populace. They are just less frightened of saying exactly what they feel.0 -
We'll see about that. Labour could do very badly in places like Kent and Southampton.Pulpstar said:
Kellner reckons Labour are getting 2nd due to metropolitan strength.RodCrosby said:
Lab on 24.3% based on Sky's +/- ticker.Casino_Royale said:
Cheers Rod. So Labour around 24% nationally?RodCrosby said:
Tories were 12% ahead of Lab in 2009. Looks like 1% now after 2 results. Lab need a 6% con-Lab swing to beat the Tories.Casino_Royale said:
How do you calculate?RodCrosby said:Labour on the way to third place nationally after that result...
Sky have voteshare C -2.8, Lab 8.2.
Not enough.
Con on 25.3%0 -
It would surprise me if the tories are second given that a lot of their more 'natural areas' had no local elections last week0
-
Quite. What sort of a comment is that? If my Auntie had b*llocks, she'd be my Uncle.Stuart_Dickson said:
Yawn.MikeSmithson said:If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.
0 -
Yippee!AndyJS said:Kellner: Greens to beat LDs.
0 -
Return to rotten boroughs Mike ?MikeSmithson said:If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.
0 -
Ogh and dan hodges, both lose their judgement when it comes to ukipSeanT said:
Our Genial Host looks like a total dork, and a loser. Sorry. But there it is. He just lacks judgement, and gets too emotional - like many - when it comes to UKIP.Speedy said:OGH has lost pride and money tonight.
However he is a big enough guy to admit the facts, when he gets it wrong.0 -
Of course Oxford and Cambridge universities had their own MPs until 1950. Clement Atlee decided to get rid of them.MikeSmithson said:If the Euro elections were confined to the two cities that compete in the Boat Race then Ukip would be nowhere.
0 -
I take Peter Kellner's point about urban areas yet to come in but he included in that Newcastle.. That's in the North East and already counted..0
This discussion has been closed.