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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The European Elections Results Thread

SystemSystem Posts: 11,697
edited May 2014 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The European Elections Results Thread

The results should start to be announced shortly, please use this thread to discuss the results.

Read the full story here


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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    First!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,998
    Mr. Slackbladder, I'm guessing you're not a Lib Dem ;)
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    Unlike Labour...
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2014
    O/T:

    I was hoping to have the final real vote figures from the local elections ready by now but I haven't been able to do it, partly because of the poor quality of some council websites. I'll carry on with the job while the Euro results come in.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dGZMVENacEVqMUI0bWZaQk13c041S3c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited May 2014
    Betfair Most Votes
    UKIP 1.14
    Lab 6.4
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Golden dawn third in greece??
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    6th !

    A place behind the Lib Dems.
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    Oh my Isabel..
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,882
    Melt-down for the Lib-Dems?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    Its not just our results that are going to spook the EU, FN in France, Syriza in Greece...
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    GIN1138 said:

    Melt-down for the Lib-Dems?

    One can but hope.
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    40.5% turnout in London for European Parl elections
    Area with highest: Tower Hamlets (50.8%) Lowest: Kensington & Chelsea 33.6%
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966

    40.5% turnout in London for European Parl elections
    Area with highest: Tower Hamlets (50.8%) Lowest: Kensington & Chelsea 33.6%

    Looking good for Labour there.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Candidates and agents called by returning officer in Yorkshire. So result ready for 10 PM
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    3mins to go.. Get ready for fireworks
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.

    I'll be able to afford a holiday in the Maldives if UKIP win Newark.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.

    Those numbers could change a bit tonight if UKIP get over 30%.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966

    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.

    The Cons won't come 3rd in South East. What is Toenails smoking...
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    AndyJS said:

    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.

    I'll be able to afford a holiday in the Maldives if UKIP win Newark.
    :)
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Commentators already talking about things they already know...
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    AndyJS said:

    LAB now 15/1 in Newark. Mike tipped them when they were at 3/1.

    I'll be able to afford a holiday in the Maldives if UKIP win Newark.

    How much have you got on UKIP there O_OOOOOOOOOOO
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Candidates arrived in Sunderland. Result ready to be announced
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557

    3mins to go.. Get ready for fireworks

    UKIP 1.09 Betfair most votes
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    You have to hand it to Sunderland, they are superb at counting the votes.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Vernon not a appy bunny at the moment
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    40.82% turnout in Exeter
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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited May 2014
    Pulpstar said:

    Its not just our results that are going to spook the EU, FN in France, Syriza in Greece...

    And that will be the main story in the media for the next few weeks.

    Pressure will build for the EU to engage in a reform dialogue. All to Cameron's benefit.

    A hint of what was to come was Barroso's efforts a couple of weeks ago to contain Britain's desire for renegotiation to an exemption for a single country rather than a pan Union movement.

    Barroso is losing. It is Cameron and Hague's timing which will be lauded in years to come.

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,998
    Mr. Pulpstar, this is why punters are better than pundits, because it's the ultimate in payment for performance.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Apparently North East to declare at about 10:30pm.

    Result in 2009:

    Lab 25.0%
    Con 19.8%
    LD 17.6%
    UKIP 15.4%
    BNP 8.9%
    Green 5.8%

    http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/europe-north-east/
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited May 2014
    Sky: Lib/Lab/Con concede UKIP have won...
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    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    I think this is only the third time I've played this -

    http://youtu.be/8hojDnWRKrw
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    Merkel winning in Germany. Women leaders do seem to be pretty good in general.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Fascist France....
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    corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    As a Lib Dem, bracing myself.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited May 2014
    SWEDEN FINAL RESULT

    Left Party 6.3 +0.6
    Social Democrats 24.5 +0.1
    Greens 15.1 +4.1
    Centre Party 6.6 +1.1
    Liberals 9.9 -3.7
    Christian Democrats 6.0 +1.3
    Moderates 13.5 -5.3
    Pirate Party 2.2
    Sweden Democrats 9.9 +6.7
    Feminist Initiative 5.3 +3.1
    oth 0.7
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,998
    Mr. Pulpstar, perhaps. They're rarer, which may mean a higher standard is necessary for a woman to become leader, so the only female leaders tend to be very good, whereas men can be anywhere from superb to Gordon Brown.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151
    AveryLP said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Its not just our results that are going to spook the EU, FN in France, Syriza in Greece...

    Pressure will build for the EU to engage in a reform dialogue. All to Cameron's benefit.
    Lol, just what Cameron needs to further his protectionist, anti-globalization agenda.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,236
    Policy director for Conservative Future Scotland (who looks about 12).

    Jack Wyllie ‏@jackwyllie1 36 mins
    I'd love nothing better than UKIP to take a seat in Scotland.
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Sky News Newsdesk ‏@SkyNewsBreak 1m

    Sources from three main political parties say they expect UKIP to win the European parliament vote in UK
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Not impressed by the blonde woman in the BBC election studio. Is supposed to be an expert but doesn't know the answer to any concrete questions from Dimbleby.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    edited May 2014
    corporeal said:

    As a Lib Dem, bracing myself.

    Youd be better off bending over and your pants down.
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    compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Sorry to piss on so many chips:

    Lord Ashcroft ‏@LordAshcroft 42m
    @georgeeaton Ignore them. I am not releasing an exit poll.
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    bunncobunnco Posts: 169
    Conservatives beat UKIP in South Norfolk

    An Anti 487 1.3%
    BNP 226 0.6%
    Christian 226 0.6%
    Conservative 12168 32.5%
    Eng Dems 300 0.8%
    Greens 4399 11.8%
    Labout 4968 13.3%
    Lib Dem 2664 7.1%
    No2EU 95 0.3%
    UKIP 11898 31.8%
    37431 100.0%

    Bunnco - Your Man on the Spot
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    FN winning in France is more significant than UKIP winning here I think tbh...

    Its like the BNP winning here.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    I was hoping to have the final real vote figures from the local elections ready by now but I haven't been able to do it, partly because of the poor quality of some council websites. I'll carry on with the job while the Euro results come in.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dGZMVENacEVqMUI0bWZaQk13c041S3c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0

    Keep up the brilliant work, Andy!
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Policy director for Conservative Future Scotland (who looks about 12).

    Jack Wyllie ‏@jackwyllie1 36 mins
    I'd love nothing better than UKIP to take a seat in Scotland.

    Back to school then.
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391

    AndyJS said:

    O/T:

    I was hoping to have the final real vote figures from the local elections ready by now but I haven't been able to do it, partly because of the poor quality of some council websites. I'll carry on with the job while the Euro results come in.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dGZMVENacEVqMUI0bWZaQk13c041S3c&usp=sheets_web#gid=0

    Keep up the brilliant work, Andy!

    +1
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    Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397
    I'm pleasantly surprised by the BBC's European election coverage. Really slick and a nice split between local and international coverage.
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    The 'An Independence from Europe' party has took around 1,500 votes in Sunderland.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Far right in Sweden gets 10%. Pretty amazing.
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245

    Sorry to piss on so many chips:

    Lord Ashcroft ‏@LordAshcroft 42m
    @georgeeaton Ignore them. I am not releasing an exit poll.

    Thanks for the update trigger.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    AndyJS said:

    Not impressed by the blonde woman in the BBC election studio. Is supposed to be an expert but doesn't know the answer to any concrete questions from Dimbleby.

    Yeah, but shes fit, so we can give her the benefit of the doubt
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,998
    Mr. PB, and Isabel Hardman[sp] is rather lovely.
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    marke09 said:

    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    The 'An Independence from Europe' party has took around 1,500 votes in Sunderland.

    They're dim up north.
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    Good to see the centre-right parties falling in Europe as a whole, down to 211 seats vs 265 in the last Parliament. Divisions in the right are making them unelectable
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    AIFE is the only thing stopping me tucking into the 1.1 on UKIP on Betfair...
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,490
    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Lib/Lab/Con concede UKIP have won...

    Strange. Still a bit of money at 1.1+ available on Betfair for UKIP.

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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557

    corporeal said:

    As a Lib Dem, bracing myself.

    Youd be better off bending over and your pants down.
    :)
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966

    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Lib/Lab/Con concede UKIP have won...

    Strange. Still a bit of money at 1.1+ available on Betfair for UKIP.

    Small AIFE danger to UKIP ?
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    Swiss_BobSwiss_Bob Posts: 619

    Mr. Pulpstar, this is why punters are better than pundits, because it's the ultimate in payment for performance.

    Exactly, 'putting your money where your mouth is' is the ultimate in conviction, not done lightly :-)

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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,943
    Socialists and PP both well down in Spain.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    UKIP 1.04 Most Seats
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    maaarsh said:

    marke09 said:

    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    The 'An Independence from Europe' party has took around 1,500 votes in Sunderland.

    They're dim up north.
    Is that in Sunderland or North East region though ?
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    Beeb suggesting FN to get 25% in France.
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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949

    Beeb suggesting FN to get 25% in France.

    Quadrupling their vote share, sensational.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557

    Socialists and PP both well down in Spain.

    Good. Both are a complete waste of space.

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,998
    Indeed, Mr. Bob, and announcing beforehand what your bets/tips are helps to concentrate the mind.
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    Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Is it really that much of a shock that FN won in France?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,490
    Anyone know when we're actually going to get the UK results?
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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    Pulpstar said:

    FN winning in France is more significant than UKIP winning here I think tbh...

    Its like the BNP winning here.

    FN are far more principled. Their main policy is the dissolution of the EP.

    BNP and UKIP are all for the troughing to continue.

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    No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 3,845
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Retweeted by Dan Hodges
    Sunny Hundal ‏@sunny_hundal 1m

    Nick Griffin is out! No longer an MEP at European Parliament! pic.twitter.com/vaztA5JIU1 (ht @CllrBarrieG)
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    SeanT said:

    Fascist France....

    The FN are not Fascist, any more than Sinn Fein are terrorists.

    SF largest party by far on the new expanded Belfast City Council - 19 seats out of 60, DUP 2nd place with 13.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Sky: North East region declaration imminent

    UKIP top poll in Southampton
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    UKIP candidate in South East predicting at least 4 MEPs.

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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited May 2014
    bunnco said:

    Conservatives beat UKIP in South Norfolk

    An Anti 487 1.3%
    BNP 226 0.6%
    Christian 226 0.6%
    Conservative 12168 32.5%
    Eng Dems 300 0.8%
    Greens 4399 11.8%
    Labout 4968 13.3%
    Lib Dem 2664 7.1%
    No2EU 95 0.3%
    UKIP 11898 31.8%
    37431 100.0%

    Bunnco - Your Man on the Spot

    Great to see you back, Bunnco!

    Especially with such good news.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,948
    edited May 2014
    corporeal said:

    As a Lib Dem, bracing myself.

    They gave it a go, I'll give them that, but the basics are that even most of those who want to stay in the EU don't like the EU, so the pro-EU vote should rather go to the Tories or Labour, with the LD position even more unpopular than their core national policies.

    That said, I voted for them, possibly out of sympathy. I like to have as many parties having MPs and MEPs as is possible under the systems we use, so I don't think they deserve a wipeout.

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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Ukip to get 4 or possibly 5! Meps in south east!... From Sky
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    Peterborough result: UKIP - 15,379 CON - 11,744 LAB - 11,526 GRN - 2,579 LDEM - 2,089 AIfE - 1,031
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    North East invoming...
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    North East in
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited May 2014

    Policy director for Conservative Future Scotland (who looks about 12).

    Jack Wyllie ‏@jackwyllie1 36 mins
    I'd love nothing better than UKIP to take a seat in Scotland.

    Ha Ha. What a useless rabble Davidson's sorry bunch are.
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    Kettering result: UKIP - 8,718 CON - 7,441 LAB - 4,685 GRN - 1,169 LDEM - 913
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151
    AveryLP said:


    FN are far more principled. Their main policy is the dissolution of the EP.

    It turns out they have a number of more mainer policies.
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    BBC calling UKIP on 34%.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,970
    East Midlands 2 UKip 2 Tory 1 Labour according to Sky
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    13K for AIFE
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    Swiss_BobSwiss_Bob Posts: 619
    SeanT said:

    Fascist France....

    The FN are not Fascist, any more than Sinn Fein are terrorists.

    Not all of them, obviously, I'm guessing you also don't think all UKIP supporters are racists!
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    13k fir an independence from europe in north east...
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,948

    Good to see the centre-right parties falling in Europe as a whole, down to 211 seats vs 265 in the last Parliament. Divisions in the right are making them unelectable

    And yet still the largest grouping, so hardly unelectable.

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2014
    North East:

    Lab: 221,988 (36.47%)
    UKIP: 177,660 (29.19%)
    Con: 107,733 (17.70%)
    LD: 36,093 (5.93%)
    Green: 31,605 (5.19%)
    AIFE: 13,934 (2.29%)
    BNP: 10,360 (1.70%)
    Eng Dem: 9,279 (1.52%)
    TOTAL: 608,652

    Changes:

    Lab +11.5%
    UKIP +13.8%
    Con -2.1%
    LD -11.7%
    Green -0.6%
    BNP -7.2%
    Eng Dem -0.7%

    Tories and LDs wiped out in NE.
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    fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,279
    FPT.
    Twitter
    Swivel Eyed Broon ‏@Mr_Mark_Brown 1m
    Edinburgh: BNP 676 Britain 1st 1035 Greens 22,836 Labour 32,758 Lib Dem 12,575 No2EU 548 Tories 27,554 SNP 32,721 UKIP 10,992 #EP2014

    David Mundell MP ‏@DavidMundellMP 7m
    @ScotTories top poll in Dumfries & Galloway #europeanelections vote with both increased vote and vote share. Well done team
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,490
    UKIP - 33%, Lab - 27 %, Con - 24%, Green - 5%, LD - 5%

    Labour quite a bit higher than I expected.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,970
    Best news of the night will be BNP gone.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    AndyJS said:

    Far right in Sweden gets 10%. Pretty amazing.

    Indeed. They've just gone from 0 MEPs to 2 MEPs.

    The Swedish conservative party (Moderates) are in utter shock. They all look physically sick. Just 13.5% is abyssmal.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,966
    13934 AIFE
    10360 BNP
    107733 Con
    9279 Eng Dem
    31605 Green
    221988 Labour
    36093 Lib Dem
    177660 UKIP

    North East
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    NORTH EAST: LAB - 221,988 UKIP - 177,660 CON - 107,773 LDEM - 36,093
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,676
    Callanan Out!!!!!
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    UKIP win a seat in the NE! Amazing!

    2 Lab
    1 UKIP
This discussion has been closed.