politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How are the Dominoes going to fall?
Comments
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The ones in HDU/ICU will see plenty of death in normal times, there were a right good few during my hospital visiting during my wife's recent 5 week stay.rcs1000 said:
Eh?rottenborough said:A chilling tweet...
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/1241402681161179142
"Staff will receive free burials when it's over" would be a lot more chilling.
At least it assumes staff will be alive at the end of this process.0 -
I'm not worried about it. I just thought people might be interested in a feature of the package that -Mortimer said:Indeed. IMO anyone worried about biz gaming the system doesn't understand the likely economic implications of this current crisis.
1. Will partially explain the rush of business closures we are about to see.
2. Is a loophole that businesses who are NOT struggling can exploit.
Is that not extremely interesting?0 -
Bizarrely, Waitrose's standard email response now includes the instructions for sending it out:
Everything else that we’re no longer replying to - branch service complaints, product enquiries, jobs, complaining about customer bulk buying, etc. Use the following template:
Thank you for contacting Waitrose & Partners.
We are so sorry, but due to the current high demand for our services at this difficult time, we won’t be able to respond to your query as personally as we would have liked. However, please be assured that we will be noting your comments.0 -
Precisely. I can't wait.malcolmg said:
Is that the one where you get stung for 40 quid a month so you can pretend you are cycling with a bunch of freaks and some whiny bint prattles on in a high pitched squeaky voiceMortimer said:
Just ordered a Peloton! I'm told it will arrive April 2nd. I won't be shocked if it doesn't...AlastairMeeks said:Not all businesses are suffering. Try buying home gym equipment.
I know there are cheaper ways of doing the same thing, but as an iPhone user I find it reassuringly expensive.0 -
That is the insult of insultsFloater said:
Take that back right now!!!!! :-)matthiasfromhamburg said:
You're starting to sound a bit like HYUFD, lately.rcs1000 said:
Eh?rottenborough said:A chilling tweet...
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/1241402681161179142
"Staff will receive free burials when it's over" would be a lot more chilling.
At least it assumes staff will be alive at the end of this process.0 -
I'm not sure that's a compliment.matthiasfromhamburg said:
You're starting to sound a bit like HYUFD, lately.rcs1000 said:
Eh?rottenborough said:A chilling tweet...
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/1241402681161179142
"Staff will receive free burials when it's over" would be a lot more chilling.
At least it assumes staff will be alive at the end of this process.0 -
I run a (largely online) business. More orders since 5pm last night than in the whole of the previous 4 days put together.kinabalu said:
I'm not worried about it. I just thought people might be interested in a feature of the package that -Mortimer said:Indeed. IMO anyone worried about biz gaming the system doesn't understand the likely economic implications of this current crisis.
1. Will partially explain the rush of business closures we are about to see.
2. Is a loophole that businesses who are NOT struggling can exploit.
Is that not extremely interesting?
I think people were incredibly reassured by the statement made yesterday. Despite some in the media stirring the pot.0 -
"Lotta things goin' on" says the blob, looks uncomfortable.0
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Not really though.kinabalu said:
This is a possible example of the "gaming" of Sunak's package that I posted about earlier.Scott_xP said:
JL can place employees "on furlough" and pay 20% of wages instead of 100%.
They can do this even if without the package they were not going to fire people at this point.
They've closed the stores because they don't have any customers.
Admitted JLP is not quite like other companies, but they wouldn't keep staff (sorry: "partners") for long if they didn't have the revenue to pay them
It's more like that it's an example of Sunak's policy working.1 -
Hopefully they do not use the American's over here or you will be driven insane by those voicesMortimer said:
Precisely. I can't wait.malcolmg said:
Is that the one where you get stung for 40 quid a month so you can pretend you are cycling with a bunch of freaks and some whiny bint prattles on in a high pitched squeaky voiceMortimer said:
Just ordered a Peloton! I'm told it will arrive April 2nd. I won't be shocked if it doesn't...AlastairMeeks said:Not all businesses are suffering. Try buying home gym equipment.
I know there are cheaper ways of doing the same thing, but as an iPhone user I find it reassuringly expensive.0 -
Why would you say something like that?rcs1000 said:
I'm not sure that's a compliment.matthiasfromhamburg said:
You're starting to sound a bit like HYUFD, lately.rcs1000 said:
Eh?rottenborough said:A chilling tweet...
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/1241402681161179142
"Staff will receive free burials when it's over" would be a lot more chilling.
At least it assumes staff will be alive at the end of this process.0 -
Bones from the same source is also engaging and there are hundreds (quite literally) of episodes.IanB2 said:
I am quite enjoying Monk on Amazon Prime at the moment. Think autistic Colombo with OCD, in San Fran. Each episode is stand alone and contains a crime mystery, so it’s an engaging way to spend chunks of 45 minutes.another_richard said:Given the circumstances we find ourselves in I am going to take a slightly different approach to the review this week. As opposed to selecting a single subject to critique, I thought it would be more helpful to pick out five 5-star (IMO) hidden gems freely accessible online, which can be enjoyed at home.
I've tried to mix it up a bit, taking in a classic kids TV series, an amazing speech, a great documentary, magnificent opera, and tip top pod.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-51968653
I'm sure some PBers can themselves suggest other things of interest.
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That's the anti-Korea strategy, the "we don't want to know" strategy, the "oh please go around spreading CV-19" strategy.IanB2 said:Health officials in New York City and Los Angeles County are signaling a change in local strategy when it comes to coronavirus testing, recommending that doctors avoid testing patients except in cases where a test result would significantly change the course of treatment.
I'm not sure it will pan out well.0 -
I believe the PC term is 'menstrual cyclist'malcolmg said:
Is that the one where you get stung for 40 quid a month so you can pretend you are cycling with a bunch of freaks and some whiny bint prattles on in a high pitched squeaky voiceMortimer said:
Just ordered a Peloton! I'm told it will arrive April 2nd. I won't be shocked if it doesn't...AlastairMeeks said:Not all businesses are suffering. Try buying home gym equipment.
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I've recently discovered Newsroom. Its really enjoyable. Good old Sorkin!Fysics_Teacher said:
Bones from the same source is also engaging and there are hundreds (quite literally) of episodes.IanB2 said:
I am quite enjoying Monk on Amazon Prime at the moment. Think autistic Colombo with OCD, in San Fran. Each episode is stand alone and contains a crime mystery, so it’s an engaging way to spend chunks of 45 minutes.another_richard said:Given the circumstances we find ourselves in I am going to take a slightly different approach to the review this week. As opposed to selecting a single subject to critique, I thought it would be more helpful to pick out five 5-star (IMO) hidden gems freely accessible online, which can be enjoyed at home.
I've tried to mix it up a bit, taking in a classic kids TV series, an amazing speech, a great documentary, magnificent opera, and tip top pod.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-51968653
I'm sure some PBers can themselves suggest other things of interest.1 -
Trump as good as ever.0
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what's with the Venezuelan flag though?FrancisUrquhart said:Much better...no waffle, straight to the point.
https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1241388730180608003?s=201 -
0
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Trump the only person in the world praising panic buying0
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The blob talks a lot about the other 148 countries and all the governors and what they are doing, not so much about his tremendous success.
The messaging seems to change.0 -
BluestBlue said:
I believe the PC term is 'menstrual cyclist'malcolmg said:
Is that the one where you get stung for 40 quid a month so you can pretend you are cycling with a bunch of freaks and some whiny bint prattles on in a high pitched squeaky voiceMortimer said:
Just ordered a Peloton! I'm told it will arrive April 2nd. I won't be shocked if it doesn't...AlastairMeeks said:Not all businesses are suffering. Try buying home gym equipment.
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At what point can I suggest to my wife that we eat the dog?2
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We all socialists now...Charles said:
what's with the Venezuelan flag though?FrancisUrquhart said:Much better...no waffle, straight to the point.
https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1241388730180608003?s=200 -
"Wallmart's doing very well.....busier than Christmas...."alex_ said:Trump the only person in the world praising panic buying
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I think they just need to change the time they release the numbers.
https://twitter.com/DHSCgovuk/status/1241405397606584321?s=200 -
A lot of things he’s banking as being the first President in history to do.matthiasfromhamburg said:The blob talks a lot about the other 148 countries and all the governors and what they are doing, not so much about his tremendous success.
The messaging seems to change.0 -
Trump reading is like word spaghetti...0
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Seriously? He actually said that.CarlottaVance said:
"Wallmart's doing very well.....busier than Christmas...."alex_ said:Trump the only person in the world praising panic buying
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Maybe they were going to close on Monday with or without the package. That is possible. I did say that JL was only a possible example of what I'm saying.Charles said:Not really though.
They've closed the stores because they don't have any customers.
Admitted JLP is not quite like other companies, but they wouldn't keep staff (sorry: "partners") for long if they didn't have the revenue to pay them
It's more like that it's an example of Sunak's policy working.
But you do get my general points, I'm sure -
1. The package will make closing a no-brainer decision for some businesses that otherwise would have struggled on for a while.
2. There is scope for abuse by businesses that are not seriously struggling.
And to be clear, I raise this purely for interest, not because I oppose the package.0 -
Restriced number of entries coupled with announcement of sunday's closures and rumours on weekend's bans....ended up with these situations in front of Milan supermarkers (but it was the same in other cities) yesterday
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43BXI4fo5mI
But we are orderly!0 -
Yes, I really enjoyed it. Sadly, got canned after two, or maybe three series.Mortimer said:
I've recently discovered Newsroom. Its really enjoyable. Good old Sorkin!Fysics_Teacher said:
Bones from the same source is also engaging and there are hundreds (quite literally) of episodes.IanB2 said:
I am quite enjoying Monk on Amazon Prime at the moment. Think autistic Colombo with OCD, in San Fran. Each episode is stand alone and contains a crime mystery, so it’s an engaging way to spend chunks of 45 minutes.another_richard said:Given the circumstances we find ourselves in I am going to take a slightly different approach to the review this week. As opposed to selecting a single subject to critique, I thought it would be more helpful to pick out five 5-star (IMO) hidden gems freely accessible online, which can be enjoyed at home.
I've tried to mix it up a bit, taking in a classic kids TV series, an amazing speech, a great documentary, magnificent opera, and tip top pod.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-51968653
I'm sure some PBers can themselves suggest other things of interest.0 -
God he is back on the corporate advertising. Trump should wear a suit jacket with all the corporate logos on each time he does a press conference, so he doesn't need to waste time name checking them all.1
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What are you calling fantastic weather? We had about three weeks with max temp 23/24 but there is no evidence it has made a difference. Someone did say they thought the virus killing temp was 27Chameleon said:
We've got 8 fantastic days of weather ahead. Plenty of time to grab a few cold drinks and sunbathe.rottenborough said:Any good news on all this today? I need some.
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Driven by circumstances, against previous messaging. Looks defensive and increasingly weak.alex_ said:
A lot of things he’s banking as being the first President in history to do.matthiasfromhamburg said:The blob talks a lot about the other 148 countries and all the governors and what they are doing, not so much about his tremendous success.
The messaging seems to change.0 -
Earlier this week the AVMA banned all non-emergency treatments in vet clinics to preserve PPE.Nigelb said:NY beginning to be overwhelmed:
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/han/advisory/2020/covid-19-03202020.pdf
To preserve PPE for HCW providing medically necessary care for hospitalized patients, the NYC Health Department is directing healthcare facilities to IMMEDIATELY STOP TESTING NON-HOSPITALIZED PATIENTS FOR COVID-19 unless test results will impact the clinical management of the patient. In addition, do not test asymptomatic people, including HCWs or first responders. COVID-19 testing is only indicated for HOSPITALIZED PATIENTS....
Similar shortage of PPE to us.0 -
I think he just meant self isolating in the garden would be quite pleasantnichomar said:
What are you calling fantastic weather? We had about three weeks with max temp 23/24 but there is no evidence it has made a difference. Someone did say they thought the virus killing temp was 27Chameleon said:
We've got 8 fantastic days of weather ahead. Plenty of time to grab a few cold drinks and sunbathe.rottenborough said:Any good news on all this today? I need some.
1 -
Great. As I say, I'm not slagging it off. I'm just thinking of how it might play out in certain situations. People wanted to hear something big and reassuring. They heard something big and reassuring.Mortimer said:I run a (largely online) business. More orders since 5pm last night than in the whole of the previous 4 days put together.
I think people were incredibly reassured by the statement made yesterday. Despite some in the media stirring the pot.0 -
Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
0 -
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
The Italy "total cases" number has now had three days in a row of growing at 15%.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday0 -
So grim from Italy.
But I think we will be worse than them all.
Observing my fairly middle class neighbours operating today. They don't have a clue.0 -
Pence pimping for Preachers....0
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Knocking on wood.rcs1000 said:
The Italy "total cases" number has now had three days in a row of growing at 15%.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
When it was just over in China you could understand it, but now it is wall to wall about Italy, France, Spain...GideonWise said:So grim from Italy.
But I think we will be worse than them all.
Observing my fairly middle class neighbours operating today. They don't have a clue.0 -
We've had this in Spain for the past week - very well organised and orderly - some gaps on the shelves but still plenty of options.AndreaParma_82 said:Restriced number of entries coupled with announcement of sunday's closures and rumours on weekend's bans....ended up with these situations in front of Milan supermarkers (but it was the same in other cities) yesterday
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43BXI4fo5mI
But we are orderly!0 -
Worldometers reports total cases at 53,578 (+6557) - same deaths as you.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/0 -
Wrong rhetoric and won't work.rottenborough said:0 -
What do you sell Mortimer , if that is not too rude a question. Feel free not to answer if so.Mortimer said:
I run a (largely online) business. More orders since 5pm last night than in the whole of the previous 4 days put together.kinabalu said:
I'm not worried about it. I just thought people might be interested in a feature of the package that -Mortimer said:Indeed. IMO anyone worried about biz gaming the system doesn't understand the likely economic implications of this current crisis.
1. Will partially explain the rush of business closures we are about to see.
2. Is a loophole that businesses who are NOT struggling can exploit.
Is that not extremely interesting?
I think people were incredibly reassured by the statement made yesterday. Despite some in the media stirring the pot.0 -
We had the problems on the shelves on the first couple of days when the crisis was only in Codogno and co and there was some panic buying and supermarkets not ready for it.felix said:
We've had this in Spain for the past week - very well organised and orderly - some gaps on the shelves but still plenty of options.AndreaParma_82 said:Restriced number of entries coupled with announcement of sunday's closures and rumours on weekend's bans....ended up with these situations in front of Milan supermarkers (but it was the same in other cities) yesterday
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43BXI4fo5mI
But we are orderly!
I went last Thursday and there was no problem in the shelves. I took half an hour to get in because they obviously allow only a certain number of people in at the same time.
I managed to order it online last week...it will arrive next Tuesday. I bought enough last week to cope until the online order arrives.0 -
While I am all in favour of gallows humour:rcs1000 said:
Eh?rottenborough said:A chilling tweet...
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/1241402681161179142
"Staff will receive free burials when it's over" would be a lot more chilling.
At least it assumes staff will be alive at the end of this process.
https://twitter.com/bianca_nobilo/status/1241117231481749504?s=090 -
How do you expect shop staff to WFH?kinabalu said:
That is right in principle and (probably) also right for the majority of cases. However there is room for abuse. Example -RobD said:Surely protecting struggling businesses is the whole point of the package? I don't see how this is anything but working as intended.
Company with staff WFH that has a balance sheet strong enough to ride this out for quite some time.
Change the status of those staff from WFH (due to crisis) to On Furlough (due to crisis).
80% please.0 -
Ecstatic that I managed to locate a pc monitor on line today0
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https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1241383725285478400Charles said:
Earlier this week the AVMA banned all non-emergency treatments in vet clinics to preserve PPE.Nigelb said:NY beginning to be overwhelmed:
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/han/advisory/2020/covid-19-03202020.pdf
To preserve PPE for HCW providing medically necessary care for hospitalized patients, the NYC Health Department is directing healthcare facilities to IMMEDIATELY STOP TESTING NON-HOSPITALIZED PATIENTS FOR COVID-19 unless test results will impact the clinical management of the patient. In addition, do not test asymptomatic people, including HCWs or first responders. COVID-19 testing is only indicated for HOSPITALIZED PATIENTS....
Similar shortage of PPE to us.0 -
Is that good or bad, does not sound good but if it was 30% before for example it could bercs1000 said:
The Italy "total cases" number has now had three days in a row of growing at 15%.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
Well it’s shit here at the moment cold, 14 and wet and another two or three days of it.alex_ said:
I think he just meant self isolating in the garden would be quite pleasantnichomar said:
What are you calling fantastic weather? We had about three weeks with max temp 23/24 but there is no evidence it has made a difference. Someone did say they thought the virus killing temp was 27Chameleon said:
We've got 8 fantastic days of weather ahead. Plenty of time to grab a few cold drinks and sunbathe.rottenborough said:Any good news on all this today? I need some.
0 -
I wasn't aware there were mass shortages.alex_ said:Ecstatic that I managed to locate a pc monitor on line today
0 -
What is the right rhetoric?WhisperingOracle said:
Wrong rhetoric and won't work.rottenborough said:
I think we have tried with the nudge. We have tried with information. We will try with the shaming. Ultimately we might try force but I fear there are no resources in the country to apply the necessary force.
I fear it might be every man for himself.0 -
2 billion out of 2 Trillion being 1% in this persons would?rottenborough said:1 -
0.1% surely?BigRich said:
2 billion out of 2 Trillion being 1% in this persons would?rottenborough said:0 -
Antique books.malcolmg said:
What do you sell Mortimer , if that is not too rude a question. Feel free not to answer if so.Mortimer said:
I run a (largely online) business. More orders since 5pm last night than in the whole of the previous 4 days put together.kinabalu said:
I'm not worried about it. I just thought people might be interested in a feature of the package that -Mortimer said:Indeed. IMO anyone worried about biz gaming the system doesn't understand the likely economic implications of this current crisis.
1. Will partially explain the rush of business closures we are about to see.
2. Is a loophole that businesses who are NOT struggling can exploit.
Is that not extremely interesting?
I think people were incredibly reassured by the statement made yesterday. Despite some in the media stirring the pot.0 -
He typed ".1%"BigRich said:
2 billion out of 2 Trillion being 1% in this persons would?rottenborough said:0 -
total is 53k because it is the sum of currently positive + deaths + healedCarlottaVance said:
Worldometers reports total cases at 53,578 (+6557) - same deaths as you.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/0 -
I’m amazed by how many are going in the largest supermarkets where social distancing is impossible. Largest shop in town centre where I am is Waitrose. Jam packed. Reasonably sized Tesco Metro two minutes away. Relatively empty and no queues at tills. Some shortages (as there are everywhere) but more than enough to do a decent shop.GideonWise said:So grim from Italy.
But I think we will be worse than them all.
Observing my fairly middle class neighbours operating today. They don't have a clue.
1 -
Sunny but a litte chilly in London today.nichomar said:
Well it’s shit here at the moment cold, 14 and wet and another two or three days of it.alex_ said:
I think he just meant self isolating in the garden would be quite pleasantnichomar said:
What are you calling fantastic weather? We had about three weeks with max temp 23/24 but there is no evidence it has made a difference. Someone did say they thought the virus killing temp was 27Chameleon said:
We've got 8 fantastic days of weather ahead. Plenty of time to grab a few cold drinks and sunbathe.rottenborough said:Any good news on all this today? I need some.
0 -
Long time lurker, rather nervously typing....AndreaParma_82 said:
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right? Also, the number of tests in Lombardy doubled in the last 24h (from 4931 to 9555), meaning the fraction of positive tests there actually fell from 50% to 33%.0 -
Telling everyone that they're morally to blame for what is, in many cases, trying to adapt to everyone else's demand, will achieve nothing. You have to hammer home the message that if we all might have a rational reasons for wanting more than usual, we all have to do that very gradually, otherwise we all lose out. Shaming people in a society like Britain's will achieve nothing and make them tune out ; that may have its own implications, but that is the daily reality.GideonWise said:
What is the right rhetoric?WhisperingOracle said:
Wrong rhetoric and won't work.rottenborough said:
I think we have tried with the nudge. We have tried with information. We will try with the shaming. Ultimately we might try force but I fear there are no resources in the country to apply the necessary force.
I fear it might be every man for himself.
If trying to hammer home a more civic culture of some European countries doesn't work in a short space of time, the government may have to impose limits and try and police them, however difficult that will be.0 -
Out of stock everywhere. In London anyway.FrancisUrquhart said:
I wasn't aware there were mass shortages.alex_ said:Ecstatic that I managed to locate a pc monitor on line today
0 -
The former, their curve may be (slightly) flattening.malcolmg said:
Is that good or bad, does not sound good but if it was 30% before for example it could bercs1000 said:
The Italy "total cases" number has now had three days in a row of growing at 15%.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
I have found a packet of unopened spaghetti in the cupboard, use by dated 2014.
At what price should I start the bidding?2 -
A business that is not "seriously struggling" would rather have people remain in employment and working. It might trim back individuals, but if it decided to do that then it wouldn't be interested in a 3 month option to keep them on. Retail stores or others that have no revenues in this situation simply would have to fire people, which is what the package avoids.kinabalu said:
Maybe they were going to close on Monday with or without the package. That is possible. I did say that JL was only a possible example of what I'm saying.Charles said:Not really though.
They've closed the stores because they don't have any customers.
Admitted JLP is not quite like other companies, but they wouldn't keep staff (sorry: "partners") for long if they didn't have the revenue to pay them
It's more like that it's an example of Sunak's policy working.
But you do get my general points, I'm sure -
1. The package will make closing a no-brainer decision for some businesses that otherwise would have struggled on for a while.
2. There is scope for abuse by businesses that are not seriously struggling.
And to be clear, I raise this purely for interest, not because I oppose the package.
0 -
Ah thank you! People usually quote "Total cases" - that's what threw me!AndreaParma_82 said:
total is 53k because it is the sum of currently positive + deaths + healedCarlottaVance said:
Worldometers reports total cases at 53,578 (+6557) - same deaths as you.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Watching the US Press Conference - this shuffling back and forth to the single lectern makes the Downing St Press conferences look polished and professional.
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Welcome, ABZ.ABZ said:
Long time lurker, rather nervously typing....AndreaParma_82 said:
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right? Also, the number of tests in Lombardy doubled in the last 24h (from 4931 to 9555), meaning the fraction of positive tests there actually fell from 50% to 33%.2 -
I wanted a monitor as now WAH full time - in the 10 mins between me sourcing 2 monitors and being approved they had gone - In the end I purchased one and got authority afterwards - each obviously more expensive than the lastalex_ said:
Out of stock everywhere. In London anyway.FrancisUrquhart said:
I wasn't aware there were mass shortages.alex_ said:Ecstatic that I managed to locate a pc monitor on line today
0 -
"Use by" or "Best Before"? (usually the latter for dry goods)Foxy said:I have found a packet of unopened spaghetti in the cupboard, use by dated 2014.
At what price should I start the bidding?0 -
Wisdom?alex_ said:
Out of stock everywhere. In London anyway.FrancisUrquhart said:
I wasn't aware there were mass shortages.alex_ said:Ecstatic that I managed to locate a pc monitor on line today
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ABZ said:
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right?
The positive% each day is climbing but not too steeply. Start of the month it was 20%ish, now it's maybe 27%ish (during which period the number of daily tests has increased near ten-fold).
For comparison, the UK figure is maybe around 10% now. Spain's is over 50%.0 -
sounds a bit like summer herenichomar said:
Well it’s shit here at the moment cold, 14 and wet and another two or three days of it.alex_ said:
I think he just meant self isolating in the garden would be quite pleasantnichomar said:
What are you calling fantastic weather? We had about three weeks with max temp 23/24 but there is no evidence it has made a difference. Someone did say they thought the virus killing temp was 27Chameleon said:
We've got 8 fantastic days of weather ahead. Plenty of time to grab a few cold drinks and sunbathe.rottenborough said:Any good news on all this today? I need some.
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From Italy, one big negative out of today's numbers, and two small positives.
The big negative is new cases continue to climb in Lombardy and Veneto, despite those being the earliest places to implement lockdowns. Lombardy saw (if my nunbers are correct, which they may not ne) 3,251 new cases which is 50% above the pace of the last few days. Veneto increased 586 new cases, which is a small increase from 547 the previous day.
The small positives are:
- across all of Italy we continued to see a gentle slowing in the number infected. It increased 14% from the previous day. This has been gradually trending down over the past two weeks from the 30s. But, of course, off much bigger bases each time.
- at least some of the increase in infections is due to the Italians doing much, much more testing. In the last two days, the number tested has risen from (and again excuse my maths here) 17,000 to 33,000. This means the proportion testing positive has gone from 30% to 20%.0 -
Amundsen ate his dogs, Scott did not.IanB2 said:
I was reading an account of the Lewis & Clark expedition recently; during their hard times they got to eat all manner of animals, yet they said dog was what they enjoyed the most.rcs1000 said:At what point can I suggest to my wife that we eat the dog?
Draw your own conclusions.0 -
Welcome. We don't bite. Much*ABZ said:
Long time lurker, rather nervously typing....AndreaParma_82 said:
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right? Also, the number of tests in Lombardy doubled in the last 24h (from 4931 to 9555), meaning the fraction of positive tests there actually fell from 50% to 33%.
* (although once @rcs1000 finishes the dog...)0 -
Best Before, Coop own brand, 500g.CarlottaVance said:
"Use by" or "Best Before"? (usually the latter for dry goods)Foxy said:I have found a packet of unopened spaghetti in the cupboard, use by dated 2014.
At what price should I start the bidding?
Come on, serious bidders only...0 -
I imagine John Lewis are shifting a lot of staff to Waitrose.Charles said:
A business that is not "seriously struggling" would rather have people remain in employment and working. It might trim back individuals, but if it decided to do that then it wouldn't be interested in a 3 month option to keep them on. Retail stores or others that have no revenues in this situation simply would have to fire people, which is what the package avoids.kinabalu said:
Maybe they were going to close on Monday with or without the package. That is possible. I did say that JL was only a possible example of what I'm saying.Charles said:Not really though.
They've closed the stores because they don't have any customers.
Admitted JLP is not quite like other companies, but they wouldn't keep staff (sorry: "partners") for long if they didn't have the revenue to pay them
It's more like that it's an example of Sunak's policy working.
But you do get my general points, I'm sure -
1. The package will make closing a no-brainer decision for some businesses that otherwise would have struggled on for a while.
2. There is scope for abuse by businesses that are not seriously struggling.
And to be clear, I raise this purely for interest, not because I oppose the package.
Also, whilst I have great sympathy for the situation many self employed find themselves in, there are companies (most obviously supermarkets) creating jobs that people can apply for. They shouldn’t just expect the Govt to solve everything. God knows what the Govt does if there’s a repeat of what is happening now in winter.0 -
The edit facility seems to be malfunctioning?0
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cheersmatthiasfromhamburg said:
The former, their curve may be (slightly) flattening.malcolmg said:
Is that good or bad, does not sound good but if it was 30% before for example it could bercs1000 said:
The Italy "total cases" number has now had three days in a row of growing at 15%.AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases0 -
JM1?ABZ said:
Long time lurker, rather nervously typing....AndreaParma_82 said:
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right? Also, the number of tests in Lombardy doubled in the last 24h (from 4931 to 9555), meaning the fraction of positive tests there actually fell from 50% to 33%.0 -
Welcome from me too ABZABZ said:
Long time lurker, rather nervously typing....AndreaParma_82 said:
Total this evening is 233,222rcs1000 said:
Do you know how many tests there were yesterday?AndreaParma_82 said:Italy
Currently positive:: 42.681 (+4.821 net)
including UCI 2.857 (+202 net)
Deaths: 4.825 (+793)
Healed: 6.072 (+943)
So 6557 new cases
It was 206,866 yesterday
This means the fraction of positive cases has remained constant the last couple of days, right? Also, the number of tests in Lombardy doubled in the last 24h (from 4931 to 9555), meaning the fraction of positive tests there actually fell from 50% to 33%.0 -
Are you including the weevils??Foxy said:
Best Before, Coop own brand, 500g.CarlottaVance said:
"Use by" or "Best Before"? (usually the latter for dry goods)Foxy said:I have found a packet of unopened spaghetti in the cupboard, use by dated 2014.
At what price should I start the bidding?
Come on, serious bidders only...
I happen to be a vegetarian0 -
I do wonder if total lockdowns have the potential to be counterproductive, at least in the short term. Because it basically ensures that (especially in small flats) whole families/groups living together will be infected whereas before they may have previously had a fair level of distancing and/or non operation of “common” hours etcrcs1000 said:From Italy, one big negative out of today's numbers, and two small positives.
The big negative is new cases continue to climb in Lombardy and Veneto, despite those being the earliest places to implement lockdowns. Lombardy saw (if my nunbers are correct, which they may not ne) 3,251 new cases which is 50% above the pace of the last few days. Veneto increased 586 new cases, which is a small increase from 547 the previous day.
The small positives are:
- across all of Italy we continued to see a gentle slowing in the number infected. It increased 14% from the previous day. This has been gradually trending down over the past two weeks from the 30s. But, of course, off much bigger bases each time.
- at least some of the increase in infections is due to the Italians doing much, much more testing. In the last two days, the number tested has risen from (and again excuse my maths here) 17,000 to 33,000. This means the proportion testing positive has gone from 30% to 20%.0 -
I can beat that. I have a packet of Lasagne best by 2006 and another use by 2009. I'm working backwards from one dated 2016 which I cooked and ate two days ago. Delicious.Foxy said:I have found a packet of unopened spaghetti in the cupboard, use by dated 2014.
At what price should I start the bidding?
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That will no doubt cover most scenarios. I'm not saying otherwise. I'm postulating a couple of other scenarios that will probably also occur.Charles said:A business that is not "seriously struggling" would rather have people remain in employment and working. It might trim back individuals, but if it decided to do that then it wouldn't be interested in a 3 month option to keep them on. Retail stores or others that have no revenues in this situation simply would have to fire people, which is what the package avoids.
1. A business that would have struggled on for a while without the package decides instead to close now for at least 3 months.
2. A business not struggling that has people WFH due to the crisis re-designates them as being on furlough due to the crisis, thus unlocking the 80%
Yes?0