politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How are the Dominoes going to fall?

Rishi Sunak’s radical and immense pledges to try to secure a viable post-Covid-19 economy by directly subsidising the great majority of the cost of temporarily redundant staff with the aim of keeping them from unemployment and keeping the businesses from bankruptcy was extraordinary.
Comments
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Cheered me up no end. Thanks!0
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Indeed, last time there was a similar global health crisis with Spanish flu a century ago we got the Roaring Twenties but then the rise of Fascism and Communism in the Thirties so measures have to be taken carefully.
Of course the Great Plague of the 1660s did coincide with the more colourful period of the Restoration though on the other side1 -
Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?0
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FPT:
That does not alter the fact that the bulk of MPs were English as was a large number of his cabinet.Casino_Royale said:
How do you explain the Gordon Brown adminstration then?Beibheirli_C said:
Surely the English have been running the show since well before the Act of Union? The UK Parliament has always been composed of 3/4 English seats and the rest of the country gets maybe up to 25%.williamglenn said:Do you think the root cause could be a form of British nationalism that denies English nationhood? Before the recent fetishisation of "the UK", we knew very well what England was.
So any wounds are likely self-inflicted...
Scottish MPs occupied several key offices of state and ministries.0 -
No way would Boris go for that. It would have the political effect of handing back Labour the Red Wall.logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
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I see the public are acting like total inconsiderate bell-ends at supermarkets again. Just how much bloody food do you need?
A couple of weeks ago I literally did a bigger than normal supermarket shop and a CostCo trip and yes I have run out of a couple of things like apples, but still have more than enough food for a good couple of months if I am not too picky.
e.g A few bags of porridge last for bloody ever. Mix in some slightly different fillers with syrup or cinnamon etc and you basically have breakfast sorted for months to come.2 -
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
2 -
As long as the number of new cases daily is increasing it is hard to see major decisions being taken, as the path of the epidemic will remain uncertain. When we know how many people will be infected in the current wave, probably by May, that will be the time for decisions.
This virus has caused a wave of panic. Politicians especially are afraid of change. Of course this level of spending is unsustainable for any length of time. The fact that the government is planning anyway this suggests that they expect the epidemic to be resolved quite soon.
If the epidemic cannot be contained it will peak and then remain out of control, but with a declining number of cases. At this stage the time will have come to plan a return to normality, although there may be a further wait to carry out these plans.0 -
I see South Korea's numbers are creeping up again.0
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Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.0 -
I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.0 -
There had to be a cut off point on some date. I think March 1st is fair enough, given that was well before all this started.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.0 -
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.3 -
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
If they really are, I would say go f##k yourself. The worst they can do is eventually try and levy a fine.1 -
I don't see how giving £2000 to one person and £0 to another in the same financial situation is a fairer scheme than giving both £1000 each.FrancisUrquhart said:
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.0 -
You aren't giving £0 to others. There is the whole benefit system from which you can draw money. Yes there will be unfortunate edge cases, but there is no right answer to this problem.DAlexander said:
I don't see how giving £2000 to one person and £0 to another in the same financial situation is a fairer scheme than giving both £1000 each.FrancisUrquhart said:
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.
For the vast majority in low / middle income, they will continue to receive a level of income upon which they have set their life up around.2 -
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/12413001150941470720 -
Because this intervention is to deal with the reaction to the government's advice to stay at home. It's not related to someone getting the sack three months ago for some other random reason.DAlexander said:
I don't see how giving £2000 to one person and £0 to another in the same financial situation is a fairer scheme than giving both £1000 each.FrancisUrquhart said:
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.2 -
Spain: Cases almost 25000 - up 25%: Deaths 1300 - up 33%: 25% more in ICU!
Not good. The week to come could be worse.1 -
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Why would there be a different motivation to stay home if you lost your job on 28th Feb rather than 1st March?RobD said:
Because this intervention is to deal with the reaction to the government's advice to stay at home. It's not related to someone getting the sack three months ago for some other random reason.DAlexander said:
I don't see how giving £2000 to one person and £0 to another in the same financial situation is a fairer scheme than giving both £1000 each.FrancisUrquhart said:
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.
How will the scheme encourage a self employed worker to stay at home?0 -
Tell them to go do one. These aren't normal times. But is it true or a journalist getting overexcited? Like lots of things countries have done aren't inline with normal EU operating procedures.RobD said:
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/12413001150941470720 -
Can't say I enjoyed the Header but I do agree with it. If you offered me a deep recession, a debt crisis and no growth for the next 10 years - but no hyper inflation and no breakdown of society - I would take it.
Link below is about weaknesses in the government's response -
https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/10-days-that-changed-britains-coronavirus-approach0 -
Sir Kier Starmer and Lisa Nandy would be an asset to a national unity government imo.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
Even BJ hero Churchil had a better government with prominent Labour cabinet members.1 -
The scheme is to compensate people who would otherwise lose their jobs because of the government's advice. I am not sure how someone who lost their job a long time a go can claim it was caused by that advice.DAlexander said:
Why would there be a different motivation to stay home if you lost your job on 28th Feb rather than 1st March?RobD said:
Because this intervention is to deal with the reaction to the government's advice to stay at home. It's not related to someone getting the sack three months ago for some other random reason.DAlexander said:
I don't see how giving £2000 to one person and £0 to another in the same financial situation is a fairer scheme than giving both £1000 each.FrancisUrquhart said:
You can't win. If they did UBI, say £1000 a month, you would have loads of people on £30-40k a year claiming they now can't exist, can't make the mortgage payments etc, because they budget on the basis of £3k a month rather than £1k.DAlexander said:I have to admit I'm still in a state of shock at the government plans to pay some people 80% of their wage for jobs that have essentially ceased to exist, quite likely permanently.
Other people who lost their job on February 28th, rather than March 1st will get nothing and self-employed not much more.
I can't help but feel that giving everyone a basic income would have been a fairer way if money had to be handed out like this.
How will the scheme encourage a self employed worker to stay at home?
Help for the self employed is definitely an area that needs improvement.0 -
I don't think there's a single factor behind how our national identity got mangled, but the way unionists have demonised Englishness and used British nationalism as a way to dilute it is definitely in the mix.Beibheirli_C said:FPT:
That does not alter the fact that the bulk of MPs were English as was a large number of his cabinet.Casino_Royale said:
How do you explain the Gordon Brown adminstration then?Beibheirli_C said:
Surely the English have been running the show since well before the Act of Union? The UK Parliament has always been composed of 3/4 English seats and the rest of the country gets maybe up to 25%.williamglenn said:Do you think the root cause could be a form of British nationalism that denies English nationhood? Before the recent fetishisation of "the UK", we knew very well what England was.
So any wounds are likely self-inflicted...
Scottish MPs occupied several key offices of state and ministries.1 -
Fake news, from the times?FrancisUrquhart said:
Tell them to go do one. These aren't normal times. But is it true or a journalist getting overexcited? Like lots of things countries have done aren't inline with normal EU operating procedures.RobD said:
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/12413001150941470720 -
Nandy has gone right down in my estimate during the leadership race.Yorkcity said:
Sir Kier Starmer and Lisa Nandy would be an asset to a national unity government imo.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
Even BJ hero Churchil had a better government with prominent Labour cabinet members.
In all honesty, we don't really have the lots of the likes of say a Steve Webb sitting on the opposition benches, somebody with really expert knowledge.2 -
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Lol. Just do it. See you in the ECJ!RobD said:
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/12413001150941470720 -
Just seen this and I cannot see that they'd be silly enough to try and enforce this anywhere in the current climate. They'd be signing their own death warrant.RobD said:
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/12413001150941470720 -
Is there a source saying it is untrue?williamglenn said:0 -
CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.1 -
I went to see Nandy speak about a month ago in a small intimate venue and she was very impressive. She really got why Labour lost, and she was not willing to “play to the room” just to get cheap applause. I haven’t seen much of the TV content, but she was honestly very impressive.FrancisUrquhart said:
Nandy has gone right down in my estimate during the leadership race.Yorkcity said:
Sir Kier Starmer and Lisa Nandy would be an asset to a national unity government imo.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
Even BJ hero Churchil had a better government with prominent Labour cabinet members.
In all honesty, we don't really have the lots of the likes of say a Steve Webb sitting on the opposition benches, somebody with really expert knowledge.1 -
From previous thread, but feels relevant to this one too, re entropy and the 2nd law of thermodynamics.geoffw said:
Oh, I am sure that it has. What is the effect of this pandemic if not the obliteration of order in our world? It is like a thorough shuffle of a sorted pack of cards. Or like a wave washing over a sandcastle leaving a disarray of grains of sand. As people have said, tomorrow's world will not be the status quo ante. Much energy (enthalpy) will be spent to restore the myriad of damaged structures (human, social and commercial) to a semblance of the earlier order. Increasing entropy is an irresistible force of nature, just appearing in the guise of a virus epidemic.DavidL said:
I am not sure that entropy has yet pushed its way onto our list of problems.0 -
Direct aid limits are raised to 800,000 EUR, which is consistent with the Times story.
https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report-international/eu-eases-rules-more-on-government-handouts-for-virus-tax-relief1 -
Amidst the chaos, the No1 fantasy in PBers wet dreams remains a Government of National Unity - reassuring2
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I've only just noticed your avatar, @williamglenn ... very good!2
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I like that. Did you write it?geoffw said:Oh, I am sure that it has. What is the effect of this pandemic if not the obliteration of order in our world? It is like a thorough shuffle of a sorted pack of cards. Or like a wave washing over a sandcastle leaving a disarray of grains of sand. As people have said, tomorrow's world will not be the status quo ante. Much energy (enthalpy) will be spent to restore the myriad of damaged structures (human, social and commercial) to a semblance of the earlier order. Increasing entropy is an irresistible force of nature, just appearing in the guise of a virus epidemic.
0 -
LOL. Tis too.RobD said:I've only just noticed your avatar, @williamglenn ... very good!
0 -
She is excellent except when she ties herself in knots over trans issues. Piers Morgan made her look stupid, which was her own fault for not having the same straight talking approach as she does on other issues.Gallowgate said:
I went to see Nandy speak about a month ago in a small intimate venue and she was very impressive. She really got why Labour lost, and she was not willing to “play to the room” just to get cheap applause. I haven’t seen much of the TV content, but she was honestly very impressive.FrancisUrquhart said:
Nandy has gone right down in my estimate during the leadership race.Yorkcity said:
Sir Kier Starmer and Lisa Nandy would be an asset to a national unity government imo.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
Even BJ hero Churchil had a better government with prominent Labour cabinet members.
In all honesty, we don't really have the lots of the likes of say a Steve Webb sitting on the opposition benches, somebody with really expert knowledge.
She ought to get Shadow Home Secretary to work side by side with Starmer.1 -
Monty's back on Friday evenings.Cyclefree said:CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.0 -
It's nice that PBers who have spent the last week virtually calling the press traitors and at best lying idiots, have now got over that.williamglenn said:0 -
Repeated FPT: Is this EU story actually true or fake news?RobD said:
Sounds like the Danish scheme was approved in 24 hrs despite also being against the rules. If this is just a journalist realising its against some rules that can be waived its fake news and pathetic journalism trying to sow division at a time like this.
I dont have access to the Times so not sure if the EU are genuinely trying to stop the aid or someone is just quoting existing rules which are already being waived in the exceptional circumstances?1 -
It’s bad journalism used to wind up the anti EU sentiment, has anyobpne seen any such notice from the EU. Apart from the fact that they would get clearance in 24 hours if they wanted it or they could use the emergency clause to do what they want.felix said:
What is this?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
1 -
I'd have agreed but she was very poor on the gender issue - not a problem unique to any party - the LDs are worse but in Labour it's causing ridiculous rifts and of course will leave the bulk of the population wondering WTF!Gallowgate said:
I went to see Nandy speak about a month ago in a small intimate venue and she was very impressive. She really got why Labour lost, and she was not willing to “play to the room” just to get cheap applause. I haven’t seen much of the TV content, but she was honestly very impressive.FrancisUrquhart said:
Nandy has gone right down in my estimate during the leadership race.Yorkcity said:
Sir Kier Starmer and Lisa Nandy would be an asset to a national unity government imo.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure we all want the likes Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler having influence over the government strategy....logical_song said:Is a National Government really a possibility - and would it be a good thing?
Even BJ hero Churchil had a better government with prominent Labour cabinet members.
In all honesty, we don't really have the lots of the likes of say a Steve Webb sitting on the opposition benches, somebody with really expert knowledge.0 -
Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.0
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Entirely likely then.felix said:
Just seen this and I cannot see that they'd be silly enough to try and enforce this anywhere in the current climate. They'd be signing their own death warrant.RobD said:
It was discussed at the tail end of the last thread.FrancisUrquhart said:
Link?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1241300115094147072
The EU has probably come out of this pandemic the worst, second only to Trump.
EDIT: OK, they are MAYBE third to the Iranian Ayatollahs....0 -
The story from Bloomberg suggests the rules were only just changed to the limit described in the Times article.noneoftheabove said:
Repeated FPT: Is this EU story actually true or fake news?RobD said:
Sounds like the Danish scheme was approved in 24 hrs despite also being against the rules. If this is just a journalist realising its against some rules that can be waived its fake news and pathetic journalism trying to sow division at a time like this.
I dont have access to the Times so not sure if the EU are genuinely trying to stop the aid or someone is just quoting existing rules which are already being waived in the exceptional circumstances?0 -
A certain cohort, which overlaps almost entirely with Remainers?isam said:Amidst the chaos, the No1 fantasy in PBers wet dreams remains a Government of National Unity - reassuring
0 -
I really enjoyed this tweet.
https://twitter.com/toaster_pastry/status/1241206661114499074?s=210 -
Sometimes we all want to say that.Gallowgate said:I really enjoyed this tweet.
https://twitter.com/toaster_pastry/status/1241206661114499074?s=210 -
I like that. Did you write it?kinabalu said:geoffw said:Oh, I am sure that it has. What is the effect of this pandemic if not the obliteration of order in our world? It is like a thorough shuffle of a sorted pack of cards. Or like a wave washing over a sandcastle leaving a disarray of grains of sand. As people have said, tomorrow's world will not be the status quo ante. Much energy (enthalpy) will be spent to restore the myriad of damaged structures (human, social and commercial) to a semblance of the earlier order. Increasing entropy is an irresistible force of nature, just appearing in the guise of a virus epidemic.
Who else?
(edit: the quotes are buggered up, apologies)1 -
In these difficult times, there's always Grindr....Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
3 -
If it is true it will blow the pro eu camp out of the waterwilliamglenn said:
Outrageous and unlike me to say this but 'they can get stuffed'0 -
I'm not sure these apps are appropriate in our new social-distancing world.MarqueeMark said:
In these difficult times, there's always Grindr....Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
0 -
I know little to nothing about the Tinder machine, but can't you pay to extend your range?Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
0 -
Next week: wisteria?Cyclefree said:CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.0 -
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Does it count as close contact if you don't even know their name?RobD said:
I'm not sure these apps are appropriate in our new social-distancing world.MarqueeMark said:
In these difficult times, there's always Grindr....Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
0 -
How is your daughter coping?Cyclefree said:CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.0 -
An improvement on hysteria.MarqueeMark said:
Next week: wisteria?Cyclefree said:CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.0 -
This whole thing could have second waves, and other countries getting their peaks later, and countries will want to limit movement for long after until it becomes part of the psyche. This morning I'm wondering which will be the first party to come up with a "progressive" low-immigration policy. People won't be moving about for a long time after this. You could come up with a Greta Thunberg argument or something that a smaller, more local world is more environmentally friendly.2
-
Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.0 -
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:1 -
Would be glad to see an actual denial.Stark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:0 -
One thing that has been discussed here, but so far I have seen no data for, is the number of tests being carried out in Germany. I have no Idea why the Robert Koch Institute is not publishing this. I find it hard to believe that only positive test results are being sent to them.
I heard this morning on a radio program the figure 100 000 test in the last week. I doubt this is an exact figure but if it is halfway accurate then this is much higher than in the UK, roughly three times as many. This corroberates a bit of the idea that the German testing is picking up more positives in young/middle aged adults than in other countries, leading to a much lower death rate.
Another interesting thing is that the Johns Hopkins positive case numbers are starting to diverge from the RKI numbers. THis was even the second news item in the DLF radio news this morning, without really explaining why. It would seem strange if private organisations test results were being published somewhere without the RKI being informed.
0 -
People worried about chlorinated chicken are going to buy food from a country that incredibly low food hygiene standards, regularly has large scale food scandals due to counterfeit and tampering, such as the contaminated milk powder and where the lack of even the most minimal animal welfare standards more than likely was the source for this outbreak in the first place.NickPalmer said:Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.
Well its a theory.
Its one thing to think well I will buy this cheaper desk fan, what's the worst that could happen, it doesn't work as well as the 100x as expensive Dyson, but food....1 -
Everyone has the ability to live broadcast these days...RobD said:
I'm not sure these apps are appropriate in our new social-distancing world.MarqueeMark said:
In these difficult times, there's always Grindr....Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
0 -
Even if the story was utterly baseless, a denial would still be spun as 'EU in humiliating U-turn amid Brit fury over lethal red tape' (or whatever). I wouldn't bother if I were them.RobD said:
Would be glad to see an actual denial.Stark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:0 -
If there had been chlorinated pangolin, none of this would have happened. Just sayin'FrancisUrquhart said:
People worried about chlorinated chicken are going to buy food from a country that incredibly low food hygiene standards, regularly has large scale food scandals due to counterfeit and tampering, such as the contaminated milk powder and where the lack of even the most minimal animal welfare standards more than likely was the source for this outbreak in the first place.NickPalmer said:Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.
Well its a theory.0 -
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse0 -
No, it would be a sensible move by the EU. But from what I can see, the state aid limit was only just raised to the figure described in the Times article.Stark_Dawning said:
Even if the story was utterly baseless, a denial would still be spun as 'EU in humiliating U-turn amid Brit fury over lethal red tape' (or whatever). I wouldn't bother if I were them.RobD said:
Would be glad to see an actual denial.Stark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:1 -
The people who were loudest in opposing chlorinated chicken will be silent about Chinese food of dubious standard.FrancisUrquhart said:
People worried about chlorinated chicken are going to buy food from a country that incredibly low food hygiene standards, regularly has large scale food scandals due to counterfeit and tampering, such as the contaminated milk powder and where the lack of even the most minimal animal welfare standards more than likely was the source for this outbreak in the first place.NickPalmer said:Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.
Well its a theory.
Its one thing to think well I will buy this cheaper desk fan, what's the worst that could happen, it doesn't work as well as the 100x as expensive Dyson, but food....1 -
Then the damage is doneStark_Dawning said:
Even if the story was utterly baseless, a denial would still be spun as 'EU in humiliating U-turn amid Brit fury over lethal red tape' (or whatever). I wouldn't bother if I were them.RobD said:
Would be glad to see an actual denial.Stark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:0 -
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse0 -
It is very strange that the Germans aren't releasing the testing numbers. Perhaps they don't think it is important for the public to know the number of exact number of negatives, rather more important to simply reassure the public that significant testing is being conducted.eristdoof said:One thing that has been discussed here, but so far I have seen no data for, is the number of tests being carried out in Germany. I have no Idea why the Robert Koch Institute is not publishing this. I find it hard to believe that only positive test results are being sent to them.
I heard this morning on a radio program the figure 100 000 test in the last week. I doubt this is an exact figure but if it is halfway accurate then this is much higher than in the UK, roughly three times as many. This corroberates a bit of the idea that the German testing is picking up more positives in young/middle aged adults than in other countries, leading to a much lower death rate.
Another interesting thing is that the Johns Hopkins positive case numbers are starting to diverge from the RKI numbers. THis was even the second news item in the DLF radio news this morning, without really explaining why. It would seem strange if private organisations test results were being published somewhere without the RKI being informed.
At the end of the day, over the past 3 weeks on here we have taken the UK figures and really over analyzed each day, and it doesn't really help the situation.0 -
If restricting the movement of people is the aim, focusing on reducing tourism and business travel would have more relevance.Monkeys said:This whole thing could have second waves, and other countries getting their peaks later, and countries will want to limit movement for long after until it becomes part of the psyche. This morning I'm wondering which will be the first party to come up with a "progressive" low-immigration policy. People won't be moving about for a long time after this. You could come up with a Greta Thunberg argument or something that a smaller, more local world is more environmentally friendly.
0 -
An alternative possibility is that countries default on debt owned by China.NickPalmer said:Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.
How much of the US national debt is owned by China as an example.0 -
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse0 -
Is helping every actor in the market really market distorting? Is this a state aid issue?0
-
I'll let you in on a little secret, Big_G.... I don't think there is one. That's why he's just mouthing off about Brexiteers instead.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse1 -
This is very funny. Also very true.RobD said:
If there had been chlorinated pangolin, none of this would have happened. Just sayin'FrancisUrquhart said:
People worried about chlorinated chicken are going to buy food from a country that incredibly low food hygiene standards, regularly has large scale food scandals due to counterfeit and tampering, such as the contaminated milk powder and where the lack of even the most minimal animal welfare standards more than likely was the source for this outbreak in the first place.NickPalmer said:Thanks to Davoid for adding to the general merriment
. But seriously, we do need to be thinking about these things.
Isn't another possibility that Chinese production of most things (including tinned food) recovers (IF they have overcome the virus) and people short of domestic goods to buy swirch to buying Chinese exports on a scale not yet seen? As a result, the renminbi shoots up, the Chinese population accelerates to first world standards, and the rest of the world gets poorer - but not necessarily dramatically so.
This "Chinese economy to the rescue" scenario may sound unliukely, but it's actually pretty much what's happened with consumer goods already - they would be far more expensive except that we've all switched to buying cheaper Asian-made exports.
Well its a theory.0 -
The story doesn't make sense in its own terms because it says that "selective tax advantages" will be allowed.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse0 -
Andalucia case numbers up 15% - mildly encouraging against 25% in Spain overallnichomar said:
It’s bad journalism used to wind up the anti EU sentiment, has anyobpne seen any such notice from the EU. Apart from the fact that they would get clearance in 24 hours if they wanted it or they could use the emergency clause to do what they want.felix said:
What is this?RobD said:Are the EU really banning part of the Chancellors rescue package?
Interesting move.0 -
I first read that as actor, as in movie star....and thought well it does seem like every one of them has coronavirus, so probably do need income support!TheWhiteRabbit said:Is helping every actor in the market really market distorting? Is this a state aid issue?
0 -
And this is the problem with the EURobD said:
I'll let you in on a little secret, Big_G.... I don't think there is one. That's why he's just mouthing off about Brexiteers instead.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse
It is so easy to believe the story and in the absence of a denial it must be assumed this is their position, and devastating for their remaining support in the UK0 -
An excellent thread header. My dad thinks the first scenario is more likely, I think the latter scenario is more likely. Hopefully the government can thread the needle.0
-
In that case provide the denialwilliamglenn said:
The story doesn't make sense in its own terms because it says that "selective tax advantages" will be allowed.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse0 -
I speculated about such a political platform a year or two back.Monkeys said:This whole thing could have second waves, and other countries getting their peaks later, and countries will want to limit movement for long after until it becomes part of the psyche. This morning I'm wondering which will be the first party to come up with a "progressive" low-immigration policy. People won't be moving about for a long time after this. You could come up with a Greta Thunberg argument or something that a smaller, more local world is more environmentally friendly.
It would link trade and overseas aid policies to countries which had appropriate levels of environmental and human rights standards.
International travel and tourism would receive higher taxation.
Globalised finance and big business would be more heavily regulated and a 'localism' agenda encouraged.1 -
If the EU had to deny every dubious claim about them promulgated by the British media they'd need a press department the size of the Chinese army.Big_G_NorthWales said:
And this is the problem with the EURobD said:
I'll let you in on a little secret, Big_G.... I don't think there is one. That's why he's just mouthing off about Brexiteers instead.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse
It is so easy to believe the story and in the absence of a denial it must be assumed this is their position, and devastating for their remaining support in the UK1 -
Well they do have one of those....Stark_Dawning said:
If the EU had to deny every dubious claim about them promulgated by the British media they'd need a press department the size of the Chinese army.Big_G_NorthWales said:
And this is the problem with the EURobD said:
I'll let you in on a little secret, Big_G.... I don't think there is one. That's why he's just mouthing off about Brexiteers instead.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse
It is so easy to believe the story and in the absence of a denial it must be assumed this is their position, and devastating for their remaining support in the UK0 -
Wisteria is easy... In August cut the stems back to five buds each, leaving any you intend to form new branches. Train as required. In January trim the same stems back to three buds. Otherwise leave well alone.MarqueeMark said:
Next week: wisteria?Cyclefree said:CYCLEFREE’s GARDENING CORNER
In response to @MattW’s question re pruning of forsythia.
1. Get some sharp clean secateurs so the cut is a clean one. You don’t want to be tearing at the twigs or branches.
2. No problem with pruning now - or you could wait until it’s finished flowering. The advantage of pruning now is that the stems with flowers you cut off can be put in the house to brighten it. The forsythia will still flower next year. It’s a tough old plant.
3. Lop off all the long extra stems that are sticking out. Then gradually cut down to the height and width you want. Aim to make it a rounded shape - a bit like a rounded arch - so that it looks pleasing to you and so as you pass it there aren’t bits sticking into you or catching. There is no magic to this - just step back every few minutes just to look at it form different angles.
4. The key to this is to remember that all plants will grow up to the light so if you leave the they will just reach for the sky. If untouched this ends up leaving you with lots of flowers at the top and bare branches at the bottom. So by cutting at the top and cutting the shoots heading skywards you force the plant to send out side shoots which will flower and it will look rounder and squatter and fatter so you get a burst of really bright yellow sunshine just where you want it.
5. Cut just above a flower or bud - a nice neat cut and sloping downwards. This minimises the possibility of any infection. Cut right down to the base any stems which look empty or straggly.
Plants are fine with pruning. It generally makes them stronger. Forsythia is as tough as old boots.0 -
And travel to visit family. But also, this is what pandemics do - they make people more anti-immigration. People are going to get used to controlling borders. One thing that's amusing me about all this is that people that were previously remainers have often been very vocal about shutting the country down and restricting movement, and going WHY haven't we closed all the schools and shut down all the flights YESTERDAY? This will impact our minds long-term I think. It's not about aims, it's about outcomes.williamglenn said:
If restricting the movement of people is the aim, focusing on reducing tourism and business travel would have more relevance.Monkeys said:This whole thing could have second waves, and other countries getting their peaks later, and countries will want to limit movement for long after until it becomes part of the psyche. This morning I'm wondering which will be the first party to come up with a "progressive" low-immigration policy. People won't be moving about for a long time after this. You could come up with a Greta Thunberg argument or something that a smaller, more local world is more environmentally friendly.
0 -
or BristlrMarqueeMark said:
In these difficult times, there's always Grindr....Gallowgate said:Well I’ve reached a crisis point. I’ve run out of people to swipe left or right on, on Tinder.
0 -
And it still doesn't work.FrancisUrquhart said:
Well they do have one of those....Stark_Dawning said:
If the EU had to deny every dubious claim about them promulgated by the British media they'd need a press department the size of the Chinese army.Big_G_NorthWales said:
And this is the problem with the EURobD said:
I'll let you in on a little secret, Big_G.... I don't think there is one. That's why he's just mouthing off about Brexiteers instead.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Please provide the denial then the issue is dealt withStark_Dawning said:
Dear oh dear.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Then provide a link to denial of the storyStark_Dawning said:
Entirely predictable I'm afraid. The Brexit evangelists are nothing if not exhibitionists. They'll feel that the virus crisis has stolen their limelight and are desperate to be centre of attention again.williamglenn said:
If true it a devastating own goal and will see any support for the EU collapse
It is so easy to believe the story and in the absence of a denial it must be assumed this is their position, and devastating for their remaining support in the UK0