politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets punters move away from Brexit happening

Inevitably today has seen a lot of activity on the Brexit linked betting markets as our charts of Betfair movements from Bedata.io show. The broad consensus of punters is that Brexit is less likely to happen in 2019.
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The deeper Brexiteer plan is that the Conservative Party is now captured for evermore, and the opposition is wildly split. The hard left is in control of Labour, and the Lib Dems, well, they can go high in vote share without getting many seats (as we've seen in the recent-ish past). So what if we fail to leave in 2019, 2020, 2021 - a non-Tory government will be a disaster, probably in charge during a recession, and a no-Deal Tory party will win a landslide when it inevitably collapses. Johnson is collateral damage.
Of course demographics put this at risk, and it was the strategy of the Bennite tendency in 1979 with regard to keeping Labour socialist, so it may have flaws.
Edit: wait, you're talking about a situation in which Jez leads the party but Beckett is PM? On any other day that would seem strange.
taxes up for top 5%, and corporations
If government resigns and says "over to you Parliament" they'll be like ferrests in a sack by tea time.
Jezza? Old Ma Beckett? Ken Clarke? Swinson? Harman? Bercow?
The Rabble Alliance will fall apart in hours if they've actually got to start making some decisions...
We will redesign the system to serve public health - not private wealth - using compulsory licensing to secure generic versions of patented medicines
That's going the full Venezuela, and also withdrawing from decades of international agreements on patent law (not to mention also requiring us to leave the EU and have no trade deal with them - I wonder how many of the cheering activists figured that out?)
I wake up on the sofa, fully clothed, my laptop on one side and a half-eaten Hawaiian pizza on the other.
Groggy, I pick up the laptop and refresh my Chrome tabs.
The Tories have again failed to win a majority. The Lib Dems are on track to top 50 seats and the Brexit Party have two MPs. Scotland is a disaster zone for the blues and reds. There is talk of a rainbow coalition.
I flick over to Twitter.
"THREAD. Why not forming a government is good news for Boris Johnson and Brexit..."
I've read the judgement fully. An excellent piece of work that IMO will stand down the generations.
They thought Remain had won by a pretty good margin.
(Oh, and to everyone else, start buying US dollars, Swiss francs and Japanese yen)
https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1176527201791033345
Boris may be a rogue, but Corbyn is certifiably insane.
https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1176529665256591366
Whatever the merits of each of these many, many policy announcements, it seems to me that those running Labour at the top have absolutely no idea how slow and difficult passing controversial legislation will be.
It wasn't just about less immigrants surely to goodness?
Bear in mind I can find Piers Morgan at 500/1.
Anger is going to boil over in the ballot box and a hell of a lot are going to be swept away by it.
Anyway, I must be off. Play nicely, everyone.
That amazed me, given the expected impact on exchange rates.
And of cos regardless of brexit, high tech research is what the uk needs to do more and more of, not have all the companies thinking their IP could be sequestered.
Chortle .....
@Femi_Sorry
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5h
Boris Johnson is currently in New York, where he was born, and will soon be attempting to enter the UK.
Maybe you're right,
@BorisJohnson
, maybe we should send back any migrant who breaks our laws?
I remember on one of Boris's "walkabouts" a couple of weeks ago, he did manage to find a crowd of oldies who worryingly were cheering most of his lines. "We need to leave on 31 October, don't we?" YES! "We need to put more police on the streets, don't we" YES! The one line of his that didn't work was when he said "And we need to have an election, don't we?" - the crowd were completely muted at that, before one woman shouted out something like "we just want you to get us out of Europe!"
They really ought to stop that.
I wonder if Betfair simply convert from and to Sterling on the date of the transaction, need to research that. It wouldn’t make sense for them to be taking on currency exchange risk.
Boris will be Leader of the Opposition regardless with Corbyn forced to prop up a Clarke or Harman premiership until extension has been passed and Boris then pushes a VONC he will have to support
That seems atm to be Johnson
... no wonder he stood no chance in the Tory leadership contest.