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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Peterborough Chronicle. About that by-election

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  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,481
    Anyway, I must be off. Play nicely, everyone.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/07/brexit-strange-death-british-conservatism

    “The Tory party has been contaminated by a revolutionary project which bears very little resemblance to its historic traditions”

    You could imagine the same article written about (or at least the same principles being applied) in 1975 with reference to Heath and Thatcher (/Joseph).
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    When I used to work around those parts we used to use the Victoria and the Duke of Kendal.

    Victoriapaddington.co.uk

    Dukeofkendal.co.uk
    Thanks. Most useful.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    62% of Tory MPs have endorsed a candidate. If they were representative, the result of the first round would be:

    Johnson 78, Gove 53, Hunt 53, Raab 38, Javid 26, Hancock 21,
    Harper 10, McVey 10, Stewart 10, Leadsom 8, Gyimah 6.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited June 2019
    IanB2 said:

    Well I am with BT Broadband, and if I turn my router off and on, my IP address changes.
    Why are you so obsessed? If this were in meatspace you’d be a stalker.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Mr. Sandpit, just last year, I think.

    The odds seemed excessively generous. As a rule, I dislike long term bets, but that one was too good to miss.

    That is indeed excessively generous.
    Lewis is 1.25 for this year’s title, right now that looks like the odds on him getting injured.
    Mercedes are 1.02 already for the constructors’.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Byronic is either SeanT or a very good imitator.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    IanB2 said:

    Well I am with BT Broadband, and if I turn my router off and on, my IP address changes.
    Not an expert but you have an IP address within your home network (e.g. 192.168.1.0) and an external one that's different and can be traced to an approximate location.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,983
    IanB2 said:

    Of course he is. It's blindingly obvious. Let's move on...
    Striving to be anonymous is not a characteristic of SeanT that ever leapt out.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Anyway, I must be off. Play nicely, everyone.

    See you later, TSE.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Posters’ identity is not really a fruitful subject. What they say is more interesting.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,644
    tlg86 said:

    So I see, but I knew what would happen here when Southam posted this last week. The weatherman sounded happy when he announced at the end of the Six O'Clock News that it will get even colder next week. :(
    Weathermen should be paid by results.

    When they appear on TV, a little box should appear in the corner showing in percentage terms how accurate yesterday's forecast was and how they've done so far this year. Until this procedure is adopted they have all the credibility of Astrologers, and should be rewarded accordingly.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    edited June 2019
    IanB2 said:

    I noticed a Peterborough Conservative member on the TV last night before the result was out. He claimed Nigel Farage would get 450 seats in a GE if their was No Brexit. The individual must have been a social member as he clearly does not understand how FPTP elections work to make wild predictions like that. I actually thought it was quite an amusing comment and shows how Brexit has warped the minds of those Tory members who view everything through the lens of Brexit being executed. The Tories certainly need a period in opposition, the only problem is Labour are not fit for Government either...
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,482
    Betfair have totally got it wrong over the May markets' settlement.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,673

    NEW THREAD

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,291
    matt said:

    You could imagine the same article written about (or at least the same principles being applied) in 1975 with reference to Heath and Thatcher (/Joseph).
    Good point. I've stated on here frequently that parties don't have principles per se, they are a coalition of tribes who use principles retrospectively to justify whatever they just did. It's the tribe that's the governing thing, not the principles. British Conservatism isn't dying, it's evolving, as it always has done.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,674
    edited June 2019

    Weathermen should be paid by results.

    When they appear on TV, a little box should appear in the corner showing in percentage terms how accurate yesterday's forecast was and how they've done so far this year. Until this procedure is adopted they have all the credibility of Astrologers, and should be rewarded accordingly.
    One wonders what it must have been like to be Captain Stagg giving his weather forecast to General Eisenhower the day before D-Day...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594
    That's quite interesting information, though I don't know that it is all that significant - a harder Brexiteer already has 50ish nominations, so with transfers from the already declared and just a few more is probably safe even if most of those who have not declared are ones who were May loyalists.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2019
    Freggles said:

    Not an expert but you have an IP address within your home network (e.g. 192.168.1.0) and an external one that's different and can be traced to an approximate location.
    People are confusing internal and external IP addresses.

    192.168.x.x are internal addresses, as are 10.x.x.x. These are defined by your own network equipment.

    Look at a website such as www.whatismyip.com for what your external IP address is to the outside world. Most residential ISP connections don’t guarantee that this address is static, they’ll often make a point of changing it occasionally to stop you running a server on it (they charge a lot more for business connections with static IP addresses).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594
    IanB2 said:

    Of course he is. It's blindingly obvious. Let's move on...
    I honestly got no sense of that until people started banging on about it, why keep doing so?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    kle4 said:

    I honestly got no sense of that until people started banging on about it, why keep doing so?
    Neither had I until I saw viewcode's post. As I said, let's move on.

    Although it seems odd that rcs went checking up on a user's IP and posting the results here? There's nothing wrong with switching account names, surely?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    MaxPB said:

    Genuinely, you know fuck all about fuck all. You chat so much shit, but make it sound clever but in reality it's just shit rolled in glitter.

    I'm literally scouting a potential holding company site for us in Vilnius which will have about 100 people while the rest of our European operation has been consolidated to our new Liverpool Street HQ. We've brought jobs from Europe to London.

    Ultimately, the market is proving us right and you wrong. Investors loathe the EU, us leaving will cause investors to leave the EU.
    Are you really this childish and antisocial in the flesh? I ask because most people I meet everyday do keep to the norms of polite society.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651

    You're one of the last posters I would expect to conflate "being investigated for" and "being guilty of" in order to score political points. How disappointing.
    Er....that’s why I used the phrase “being formally investigated for”. We will see what the Commission rules.

    My personal view is that (a) there have far too many instances of anti-semitism by Labour members to be able to say that this is just 1 or 2 rotten apples; ( b) Labour’s response to the problems has been truly abysmal; and (c) Corbyn has shown an utter failure of leadership.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651

    No we don't. When did gun control, abortion or religion become key issues in British politics?
    Gun control is irrelevant.

    Abortion is an issue in NI. I hope it doesn’t become one here.

    Religion: see the Rushdie Fatwa / Birmingham schools etc.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/07/brexit-strange-death-british-conservatism

    “The Tory party has been contaminated by a revolutionary project which bears very little resemblance to its historic traditions”

    Bugger! I was going to do a thread header on just that. Ah well. Back to the drawing board.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    MaxPB said:

    Lithuania is much, much warmer than I thought it would be and the local red wine is very drinkable.

    Lithuania's gain is could well be Frankfurt's loss. I think here or Estonia will be the front runners, and now there's a daily flight from LCY it's definitely in the running.

    Vilnius is miserable in winter. I’d strongly recommend Tallinn if those are the choices
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    IanB2 said:

    Its seriously hot in parts of central Europe right now. Maybe the heat just passed us by?
    Dunno about any of that. My garden needs RAIN. I was promised nearly an inch today.

    I got barely 4mm.

    The South Eastern drought continues.

    The rain is needed.
This discussion has been closed.