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  • volcanopete
    volcanopete Posts: 2,078

    What should the Conservatives do?

    Kick out May, and let Corbyn try to govern.

    It'll be painful, but better in the medium- or long-term.

    Not possible, I don't think, there's no chance of Corbyn passing a Queen's Speech.
    Jezza would bring in a Clean Air Act to tackle air pollution within 30 days.If he does try to implement the Labour manifesto,he has the democratic legitimacy to do so.An emergency budget to end Tory austerity is the clear priority.
  • nunu
    nunu Posts: 6,024
    Roger said:

    Caroline Lucas huge majority. The progressives are moving forward everywhere.

    except Scotland?
  • Winstanley
    Winstanley Posts: 434
    kle4 said:

    Do the Tories stick to Hard Brexit or do get the Great Betrayal?

    It was the Brexit election and the Tories lost.

    They should scrap Brexit.
    Labour were supporting Brexit going in to this election!

    As nickP speculated, their less gung ho approach, whilst not going as far as the LDs, night have been crucial in some places.
    Definitely. All about the kind of Brexit. Most Remainers fon't want another unpleasant and divisive referendum.
  • another_richard
    another_richard Posts: 27,927

    What should the Conservatives do?

    Kick out May, and let Corbyn try to govern.

    It'll be painful, but better in the medium- or long-term.

    Probably but risky.

    Corbyn would never be able to fulfil his promises and it would all fall apart quickly.
    People want change. That's what leavers promised, but they didn't think through the consequences.
    People want to live in the lifestyle and with the services they think they deserve and they want the government to ensure that they can do so.

    Its going to end very badly.
  • Nigelb
    Nigelb Posts: 79,357

    What should the Conservatives do?

    Kick out May, and let Corbyn try to govern.

    It'll be painful, but better in the medium- or long-term.

    How on earth do they let Corbyn try to govern with the current parliamentary numbers ?
    It doesn't compute.
    But neither can they effectively govern themselves.

    Nice little puzzle May has left her successor.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    North Devon Tories by 4000.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    dr_spyn said:

    Lab gain Crewe and Nantwich.

    FFS. I remember the by-election there, 2008. DC. Better times.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
  • asjohnstone
    asjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    AlistairM said:

    It is possible to appoint @RuthDavidsonMSP to the House of Lords and into the Cabinet as perhaps Secretary of State for Scotland...

    — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) June 9, 2017

    Is this true?

    Legally, of course it is.

    Politically a non runner. She'd turn it down for starters...
  • marke09
    marke09 Posts: 926
    CONFIRMED: Wales is a Lib Dem free zone - Plaid take Ceredigion
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Paul Mason is feeling smug today: see his twitter. Newsnight tonight with him and Iain Dale should be hilarious. Polly Mackenzie will also have something to be cheerful about, given how well the LDs have done.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    319 now implies no more losses
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Charles said:

    stjohn said:

    May is not far off evens to be next PM. I think she will carry on - because she should.

    Of course her ambitious colleagues are falling over themselves to ,"offer their services to the country". But she stood on a mandate to deliver BREXIT and the electorate have given her the most votes. So she stood stand and deliver.

    I'm not arguing through my pocket. I'm trying to interpret the GBP's thinking. She may well want to walk away - but this is her moment in history. To navigate the British people through BREXIT.

    I've talked myself around. May for next PM at 1.89.

    I'm on!

    It's clear that the electorate want 'none of the above'.

    There are big issues that need to be addressed: Brexit, terrorism and social care.

    May should propose a national government, with a 2.5 year term.
    She can't. Not with the likes of Corbyn and McDonnell.

    Davis might be able to work with Starmer, however.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    It looks like Jeremy Corbyn is going through the same number of Tory Prime Ministers as he has wives. :smiley:
  • Alanbrooke
    Alanbrooke Posts: 25,926

    May is unworthy to shine Cameron's and Osborne's shoes.

    Increasing student fees to £9k per year doesn't look like the best of ideas any more does it.

    Well some of us did say it was a bad idea back in 2010.

    If only Clegg had told them where to go.
    It's easy. *If* you think that 50% of children need to go to university, then fees at that level are necessary. *If* you think it should be less than 50%, then fee can be less.

    That's where the discussion should have been. Sadly, aside from on here, it has not been.
    I'm in the 20-25% go to university and fund them properly camp - it worked well enough like that into the 1990s.

    But as soon as you threaten teenagers with £9k per year debt then you're at risk of some populist (and that's what Corbyn is masquerading as) offering to stop that burden.
    as well as pissing off parents who dont see why their kids should be racked up with debt

    Two kids means £54k fees debt (plus other university debts).

    Unaffordable housing in many middle class areas and then the government has the bright idea of the dementia tax.
    it costs about £50k per kid for a degree

    two grads getting married have a £100k mortgage around their neck before they get anywhre near a house
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Wow - I see the LDs went back over 20% in Gordon. The price of tactical voting to get the SNP out.
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905
    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
  • atia2
    atia2 Posts: 207
    JackW said:

    atia2 said:

    Yes, but we haven't had a PM in the Lords since Salisbury.

    Not so. Lord Home was PM from the HoL.
    Pedantry. That situation lasted four days before Lord Home renounced his peerage and became Sir Alec. The point being that it was unacceptable even then to govern from the Lords.
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    I'm staying up for that.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    kle4 said:

    Tories now on 311 - enough to pass a Queens Speech with DUP backing.

    The next government will be Tory. How long it lasts is another question entirely.

    Tory minority government is the only viable one.

    What is DUP Brexit policy?

    Soft border with Ireland?
    That was already on th eTory wishlist I would think.
    In practice a soft border means a soft Brexit.

    A new Tory leader will surely want to reshuffle the Brexit team.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    marke09 said:

    CONFIRMED: Wales is a Lib Dem free zone - Plaid take Ceredigion

    Damn.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
  • FrankBooth
    FrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Roger said:

    Boris loses half his majority. How could he possibly become leader when he's more responsible for the mess we're in than anyone except TM herself.

    'Do the Remainers have a new spring in their step?' They certainly do. They're the biggest long term winners

    Roger, we had a referendum on the EU won by leavers. We have had a GE in which both main parties appeared to accept the result. The one party that didn't was the Lib Dems who've hardly surged forward.
  • Commiserations to Tissue Price.
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited June 2017

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    Plaid gain Ceredigion from LD by 104.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    "Crosby's team didn't understand May."
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    kle4 said:

    Tories now on 311 - enough to pass a Queens Speech with DUP backing.

    The next government will be Tory. How long it lasts is another question entirely.

    Tory minority government is the only viable one.

    What is DUP Brexit policy?

    Soft border with Ireland?
    That was already on th eTory wishlist I would think.
    In practice a soft border means a soft Brexit.

    A new Tory leader will surely want to reshuffle the Brexit team.
    The big question (other than whether hard or soft is even viable and what would that mean) is how much the Tories hold together if they should roll back on the hard stuff a little. UKIP are still waiting ini the wings, and with new Tory marginals created, if we had another quick election after some Tories get upset over a softer brexit approach, that is problematic for the party, even as it is probably what most of theMPs in the commons think is the best approach.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    AndyJS said:

    Plaid gain Ceredigion from LD by 104.

    So quite a good night for them, annoyingly. They held Arfon by 92 votes.
  • atia2
    atia2 Posts: 207

    it costs about £50k per kid for a degree

    two grads getting married have a £100k mortgage around their neck before they get anywhre near a house

    This is the whole point. Under the Tories, nominal taxes are lower than under other parties, but the actual cost of having a sensible existence is much, much higher. It's a con.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251

    What should the Conservatives do?

    Kick out May, and let Corbyn try to govern.

    It'll be painful, but better in the medium- or long-term.

    Probably but risky.

    Corbyn would never be able to fulfil his promises and it would all fall apart quickly.
    People want change. That's what leavers promised, but they didn't think through the consequences.
    People want to live in the lifestyle and with the services they think they deserve and they want the government to ensure that they can do so.

    Its going to end very badly.
    People wan change, because they want the lifestyle want whether they pay for it of preferably not.

    It is going to end badly.

    If Corbyn can get people to accept higher taxes, and those taxes are spent well and not pissed down union black holes, then good on him. If not, then we're fucked.

    But people want change.
  • another_richard
    another_richard Posts: 27,927

    May is unworthy to shine Cameron's and Osborne's shoes.

    Increasing student fees to £9k per year doesn't look like the best of ideas any more does it.

    Well some of us did say it was a bad idea back in 2010.

    If only Clegg had told them where to go.
    It's easy. *If* you think that 50% of children need to go to university, then fees at that level are necessary. *If* you think it should be less than 50%, then fee can be less.

    That's where the discussion should have been. Sadly, aside from on here, it has not been.
    I'm in the 20-25% go to university and fund them properly camp - it worked well enough like that into the 1990s.

    But as soon as you threaten teenagers with £9k per year debt then you're at risk of some populist (and that's what Corbyn is masquerading as) offering to stop that burden.
    as well as pissing off parents who dont see why their kids should be racked up with debt

    Two kids means £54k fees debt (plus other university debts).

    Unaffordable housing in many middle class areas and then the government has the bright idea of the dementia tax.
    it costs about £50k per kid for a degree

    two grads getting married have a £100k mortgage around their neck before they get anywhre near a house
    Loose change to some of the Bullingdon crowd.

    But it was blindingly obviously back in 2010 that it would produce disaster sooner or later.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Commiserations to @Tissue_Price. He fought the good fight which cannot be said for most of us. Oh, and I have never cared for Caroline Flint.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited June 2017

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    Gotta ditch David Davis for that, and Boris and Fox.

    Spreadsheet Phil would be a better bet.
  • eek
    eek Posts: 30,708
    edited June 2017

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here and can't bet as corporate network goes via Singapore....
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905
    Danny565 said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Lab gain Crewe and Nantwich.

    Excellent election for Labour in the North West.
    Treating public sector workers like shite for 7 years won't have helped the Tories in many of the seats they lost..
  • OUT
    OUT Posts: 569
    Crewe to Lab
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251

    Commiserations to @Tissue_Price. He fought the good fight which cannot be said for most of us. Oh, and I have never cared for Caroline Flint.

    +1
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here
    What kind of bizarre time zone are you in? :D
  • marke09
    marke09 Posts: 926
    tlg86 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Plaid gain Ceredigion from LD by 104.

    So quite a good night for them, annoyingly. They held Arfon by 92 votes.
    seats up vote down by 2%
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Kensington must be on a knife-edge.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    I'm staying up for that.
    I've been up 23 hours now, I think I'll give it a miss. Truly staggered by this outcome, and worried by the uncertainty - a Corbyn majority or at least a clear working arrangement he could cobble together would have been clearer.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    OUT said:

    Crewe to Lab

    My grand-auntie will be annoyed.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Next PM market - need to check rules.

    Surely May remains PM whilst new leadership election takes place.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here and can't bet as corporate network goes via Singapore....
    Have you been up all night or just woken up?
  • eek
    eek Posts: 30,708
    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here
    What kind of bizarre time zone are you in? :D
    India - for just this week watching a project go utterly pearshaped....
  • RoyalBlue
    RoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    How many seats did the Tories lose by less than 1000 votes, and how many did Labour lose by the same margin?

    It feels like the Tory vote has been inefficient in the most cruel way possible.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    eek said:

    RobD said:

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here
    What kind of bizarre time zone are you in? :D
    India - for just this week watching a project go utterly pearshaped....
    You weren't working on the Tory campaign were you? :p:D
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Totally agree. For Theresa May to only beat Jeremy Corbyn by 2.5% in the popular vote is utterly shocking and she has to resign by lunchtime I think.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    kle4 said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    I'm staying up for that.
    I've been up 23 hours now, I think I'll give it a miss. Truly staggered by this outcome, and worried by the uncertainty - a Corbyn majority or at least a clear working arrangement he could cobble together would have been clearer.
    I think over 26 hours - and a third a bottle of whisky and one F1 engine - for me. ;)
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Lab won Crewe & Nantwich by 48
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Crewe & Nantwich: Labour gain by 48 votes.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Forecast still saying 14 for LD - I don't think that is possible with Ceredigion done?
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238

    OUT said:

    Crewe to Lab

    My grand-auntie will be annoyed.
    Send her a nice box of choccies.
  • eek
    eek Posts: 30,708
    edited June 2017

    eek said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    This is from Coffee House, the Spectator blog.

    Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse)

    Theresa May to give a speech at 10am amid reports she will resign:https://t.co/ZdyrWpwDUy
    June 9, 2017

    Hm, do I wait up almost four hours for it....
    Is it 10.22 where you are?
    pm, yeah.
    It is 1.22 AM here and I am thinking of cracking open my first can of beer.
    10:54 am here and can't bet as corporate network goes via Singapore....
    Have you been up all night or just woken up?
    Got a decent amount of sleep between 9pm and 2am time UK can't sort out my bets but only lost a few quid on Tory majority bets.

    More than made up for with Scottish seat bets - which will pay for a very nice night out...
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    atia2 said:

    it costs about £50k per kid for a degree

    two grads getting married have a £100k mortgage around their neck before they get anywhre near a house

    This is the whole point. Under the Tories, nominal taxes are lower than under other parties, but the actual cost of having a sensible existence is much, much higher. It's a con.
    Low taxes are of little benefit if you wind up paying for education, health and social care on top of the taxes.

    This is something that Lab got right, it wasn't the planned nationalisations that won it for them.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    LDs nowhere in my seat, Labour now 17% in front in a shire county seat - they are really screwed for the next elections.
  • wills66
    wills66 Posts: 103
    I'd intended to catch the exit poll, wait around for a few results and then get some kip. Been up all night and now it's time to go to work :-(

    The country doesn't seem to want either a right-wing Tory govt or a left-wing Labour one. Which of them is going to try and shift back to the centre first before the next election?

    My guess is the Tories, because Corbyn isn't going anywhere. Can they manage it and not fracture? Beats me.

    WillS.
  • Cyclefree
    Cyclefree Posts: 25,709

    Cyclefree said:

    The biggest winners are the hard Left. Sadly.

    The Tories need to have a proper leadership election and need to rethink their approach to Brexit. Quite fundamentally in my view.

    I'm glad Wes Streeting won. I was at a lunch with him recently and liked him. Very sad about Nick Clegg. But glad that the Lib Dems did better than expected.

    It's a funny old world, as someone once said, that the Tories will have got one of their highest shares of the vote and done very well in Scotland but it feels like a defeat for them.

    Still, thankfully at least no PM Corbyn - for now - and even if I'm not a Corbyn supporter, good that the young have turned out to vote. It is not good to have people not voting and if it means that politicians listen to their concerns so much the better.

    The trouble is all groups are being bribed and the economy is simply not strong enough to pay for all the promises. At some point soon reality is going to hit and it's not going to be pretty.

    Finally, I am going to buff my nails and blow my own trumpet.

    I thought Corbyn might just do it and said as much on here a few days ago, to general derision.

    I was wrong but not as wrong as all those predicting large Tory majorities.

    "The biggest winners are the hard Left. Sadly."

    You - and we - need to ask why.
    In a word: complacency.

    Because the moderate social democratic left did not make its case. And nor did the Tories make the case for themselves. And the criticism of Corbyn's hard Left views were that they were vote losers not that they were morally wrong and why they are so. Nor did they show how his economic policies will cause harm and have caused harm everywhere they have been tried.

    So for those wanting change - and there is plenty wrong at the moment which needs changing - Labourwas the obvious option.
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
    Yes, first time ever. Never thought 40% was possible though. Playing the man rather than the policies was not good for the Tories in the end.
  • ThreeQuidder
    ThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Two votes!!!
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    CHINNED
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SNP hold NE Fife by 2 votes.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    SNP hold Fife North East by 2 votes.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    edited June 2017
    The lucky gits! :D
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
    To a degree - they are largest party, just shy of a majority. So its a demand for change, but not too much. Thanks country.
  • ThreeQuidder
    ThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    kle4 said:

    Forecast still saying 14 for LD - I don't think that is possible with Ceredigion done?

    Richmond Park & St Ives?
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    Truro and Falmouth goes Tory. Massive Labour surge though.
  • nrs3079
    nrs3079 Posts: 14
    LBC reporting that there could be as little 42 votes between Zac and Olney in Richmond Park. Everything crossed that the 42 is in favour of Zac.
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    The biggest winners are the hard Left. Sadly.

    The Tories need to have a proper leadership election and need to rethink their approach to Brexit. Quite fundamentally in my view.

    I'm glad Wes Streeting won. I was at a lunch with him recently and liked him. Very sad about Nick Clegg. But glad that the Lib Dems did better than expected.

    It's a funny old world, as someone once said, that the Tories will have got one of their highest shares of the vote and done very well in Scotland but it feels like a defeat for them.

    Still, thankfully at least no PM Corbyn - for now - and even if I'm not a Corbyn supporter, good that the young have turned out to vote. It is not good to have people not voting and if it means that politicians listen to their concerns so much the better.

    The trouble is all groups are being bribed and the economy is simply not strong enough to pay for all the promises. At some point soon reality is going to hit and it's not going to be pretty.

    Finally, I am going to buff my nails and blow my own trumpet.

    I thought Corbyn might just do it and said as much on here a few days ago, to general derision.

    I was wrong but not as wrong as all those predicting large Tory majorities.

    "The biggest winners are the hard Left. Sadly."

    You - and we - need to ask why.
    In a word: complacency.

    Because the moderate social democratic left did not make its case. And nor did the Tories make the case for themselves. And the criticism of Corbyn's hard Left views were that they were vote losers not that they were morally wrong and why they are so. Nor did they show how his economic policies will cause harm and have caused harm everywhere they have been tried.

    So for those wanting change - and there is plenty wrong at the moment which needs changing - Labourwas the obvious option.
    There were 2 leadership elections, and a Conservative campaign. I think the case was made. It just failed to convince people who voted for Brexit that the status quo was suddenly nice.
  • AlistairM
    AlistairM Posts: 2,005
    I'm just looking at the vote numbers for 2015 vs 2017 (so far).

    Con: 11,334,576 -> 13,438,849
    Lab: 9,347,304 -> 12,742,291

    May added 2.1M votes onto the best Cameron ever did but still ends up having to resign because Labour added 3.4M.

    Incredible really when you think that Blair got a big majority in 2005 with just 9,567,589 votes!
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    I like Stephen Gethins. Pleased he won.
  • RochdalePioneers
    RochdalePioneers Posts: 30,611
    Best Labour result in terms of votes cast since 1997 - or to put it the other way Jezhollah got 2m more votes than Blair in 2001.

    A fascinating evening. A dozen of those seats won by a double digit vote majority going the other way, and Jeremy would be PM. As it is we don't know who the PM will be...

    One option:
    1. May resigns at 10am. They'll anoint Boris as populist Foreign Secretary
    2. DUP put demands in that the Tories can't back - they want the single market to protect their border
    3. Tory Queens Speech contains no material at all barring Brexit. Will it pass...?

    Lets be honest. The incoming government has no authority. No traction. No power to negotiate a glass of water from the EU never mind a cost-free hard brexit with access to the single market. What a cluster fuck by the Maybot. Let "Strong and Stable" go down as the stupidest campaign strategy of this generation.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Bad luck LDs in Fife. Goddamnit, too many SNP MPs survived just about.
  • Nigelb
    Nigelb Posts: 79,357
    Rather spectacular German tax fraud,which amy other day might make a big headline:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-40199259
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    Ineffective unionist voting again. 24% voting Tory when they were distant 3rd last time
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    kle4 said:

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
    To a degree - they are largest party, just shy of a majority. So its a demand for change, but not too much. Thanks country.
    A demand for change in the midst of the biggest change in two generations - Brexit.

    God knows where that leads.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Artist said:

    Ineffective unionist voting again. 24% voting Tory when they were distant 3rd last time

    Next time... :p
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Con can't afford any more losses to get 319.

    But at risk:

    Kensington
    Richmond Park
    St Ives

    Maybe a chance of gaining Dudley North?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Labour defence list is complete, apart from Dudley North. Of the 117 seats on the list, they've lost 5 and held 111.

    The 5 they've lost are Middlesbrough South, Walsall North, Copeland, Stoke South, Mansfield.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VAUtJZzfnfYS_uarczPdRBJ1XgVNGfvyBU6Adz5YDGc/edit
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    kle4 said:

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
    To a degree - they are largest party, just shy of a majority. So its a demand for change, but not too much. Thanks country.
    A demand for change in the midst of the biggest change in two generations - Brexit.

    God knows where that leads.
    The public is somewhat confused, and are now relying on highly partisan politicians to try to cobble something together from our vague indications, for the best outcome for the country, even though we also punish any hint of compromise or telling of harsh truths.

    It's going to be a tough few years.
  • Charles
    Charles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    stjohn said:

    May is not far off evens to be next PM. I think she will carry on - because she should.

    Of course her ambitious colleagues are falling over themselves to ,"offer their services to the country". But she stood on a mandate to deliver BREXIT and the electorate have given her the most votes. So she stood stand and deliver.

    I'm not arguing through my pocket. I'm trying to interpret the GBP's thinking. She may well want to walk away - but this is her moment in history. To navigate the British people through BREXIT.

    I've talked myself around. May for next PM at 1.89.

    I'm on!

    It's clear that the electorate want 'none of the above'.

    There are big issues that need to be addressed: Brexit, terrorism and social care.

    May should propose a national government, with a 2.5 year term.
    Maybe that isn't such a bad thing, in terms of Brexit.. having both parties involved.
    Damning with faint praise, much?
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    AndyJS said:

    Crewe & Nantwich: Labour gain by 48 votes.

    Shit. My sister lives there.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    Nigelb said:

    Rather spectacular German tax fraud,which amy other day might make a big headline:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-40199259

    Nah. It's not as bad as the prostitutes-and-armbands scandal.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/insurance/8524688/Insurance-giant-Munich-Re-admits-it-used-prostitutes-to-reward-staff.html
  • Torby_Fennel
    Torby_Fennel Posts: 438
    I stayed up and watched the whole thing - with the help of grapefruit juice, Pringles and (yes...) popcorn. :D

    I'm sad about the Lib Dem losses (especially Nick Clegg) but happy to see the overall gains. This looks, overall, like a much stronger and effective Lib Dem parliamentary team now - and I don't particularly mean in the numerical sense but more in terms of the individual people involved.

    Off to work now. Hope I can stay awake for another 9 hours there. :D
  • Dura_Ace
    Dura_Ace Posts: 14,645



    Lets be honest. The incoming government has no authority. No traction. No power to negotiate a glass of water from the EU never mind a cost-free hard brexit with access to the single market. What a cluster fuck by the Maybot. Let "Strong and Stable" go down as the stupidest campaign strategy of this generation.

    You are forgetting that Brexit means Brexit.
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    atia2 said:

    JackW said:

    atia2 said:

    Yes, but we haven't had a PM in the Lords since Salisbury.

    Not so. Lord Home was PM from the HoL.
    Pedantry. That situation lasted four days before Lord Home renounced his peerage and became Sir Alec. The point being that it was unacceptable even then to govern from the Lords.
    You call it "pedantry" I call it accuracy.
  • Alistair
    Alistair Posts: 23,670
    Simple easy to understand rule, take the worst SNP poll result and take off 3.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Just woken up and the exit poll was right. Lol.

    Note to the Tories. Stop fucking about and deal with Brexit properly. It's time to stop swaggering about like Lord Flash and eat some humble pie.

    You voted Labour IIRC, so congratulations - looks like there is a demand for change in this country :)
    To a degree - they are largest party, just shy of a majority. So its a demand for change, but not too much. Thanks country.
    A demand for change in the midst of the biggest change in two generations - Brexit.

    God knows where that leads.
    The public is somewhat confused, and are now relying on highly partisan politicians to try to cobble something together from our vague indications, for the best outcome for the country, even though we also punish any hint of compromise or telling of harsh truths.

    It's going to be a tough few years.
    Indeed.
  • stjohn
    stjohn Posts: 1,910
    Well if May does resign, Betfair says there are only 5 Tory runners:

    May 2.44-2.58

    Boris 4-4.3 (Foreign Sec)
    Davis 12-12.5 (Europe Sec and previous Shadow Home Secretary).
    Rudd 7.8-10.5 (Home Sec)
    Hammond 50-140 (Chancellor)
    Gove 70-110 (Previously at Education and Justice)

    All have problems but at current prices I'm happy with my score on Gove.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    stjohn said:

    May is not far off evens to be next PM. I think she will carry on - because she should.

    Of course her ambitious colleagues are falling over themselves to ,"offer their services to the country". But she stood on a mandate to deliver BREXIT and the electorate have given her the most votes. So she stood stand and deliver.

    I'm not arguing through my pocket. I'm trying to interpret the GBP's thinking. She may well want to walk away - but this is her moment in history. To navigate the British people through BREXIT.

    I've talked myself around. May for next PM at 1.89.

    I'm on!

    It's clear that the electorate want 'none of the above'.

    There are big issues that need to be addressed: Brexit, terrorism and social care.

    May should propose a national government, with a 2.5 year term.
    Maybe that isn't such a bad thing, in terms of Brexit.. having both parties involved.
    Damning with faint praise, much?
    Thought it was a good one. maybe not a national government, but at least on Brexit.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Well, I also haven't had anything to eat for 13 hours, or a drink in 10, so I;m going to have breakfast and go to bed.

    Congratulations Jeremy Corbyn and Labour, mixed blessings to the LDs, and pull your bloody socks up Tories.
  • Charles
    Charles Posts: 35,758
    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    stjohn said:

    May is not far off evens to be next PM. I think she will carry on - because she should.

    Of course her ambitious colleagues are falling over themselves to ,"offer their services to the country". But she stood on a mandate to deliver BREXIT and the electorate have given her the most votes. So she stood stand and deliver.

    I'm not arguing through my pocket. I'm trying to interpret the GBP's thinking. She may well want to walk away - but this is her moment in history. To navigate the British people through BREXIT.

    I've talked myself around. May for next PM at 1.89.

    I'm on!

    It's clear that the electorate want 'none of the above'.

    There are big issues that need to be addressed: Brexit, terrorism and social care.

    May should propose a national government, with a 2.5 year term.
    Labour will expect to win comfortably in 2022 now - why jeopardize that by working with the Tories?
    Because Corbyn will be 72 then.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    edited June 2017
    Surely May has to remain PM - unless Con choose new leader unopposed.
  • ThreeQuidder
    ThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    kle4 said:

    we also punish any hint of compromise or telling of harsh truths.

    This is why we get the politicians we have.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    stjohn said:

    May is not far off evens to be next PM. I think she will carry on - because she should.

    Of course her ambitious colleagues are falling over themselves to ,"offer their services to the country". But she stood on a mandate to deliver BREXIT and the electorate have given her the most votes. So she stood stand and deliver.

    I'm not arguing through my pocket. I'm trying to interpret the GBP's thinking. She may well want to walk away - but this is her moment in history. To navigate the British people through BREXIT.

    I've talked myself around. May for next PM at 1.89.

    I'm on!

    It's clear that the electorate want 'none of the above'.

    There are big issues that need to be addressed: Brexit, terrorism and social care.

    May should propose a national government, with a 2.5 year term.
    Labour will expect to win comfortably in 2022 now - why jeopardize that by working with the Tories?
    Because Corbyn will be 72 then.
    A successor will emerge by then.
  • Razedabode
    Razedabode Posts: 3,117
    Must be senior Tories now sensing blood. They will move to remove her.

    The campaign was shambolic. Atrocious. Manifesto was a suicide note.

    ..god knows where we go from here.
This discussion has been closed.