Skip to content

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Has the 2017 general election killed Scottish nationalism ston

2456

Comments

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Con hold Shipley. The rumours were fake news.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Broxtowe by 863 votes.

    Excellent.

    Is the route to a majority still there???
    By a thread?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,267
    Con only -9... not many losses to come.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774
    Just updated the thread header, hope you spot my subtle pun
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited June 2017
    dr_spyn said:

    No more Scottish panda jokes from Salmond.

    The pandas can now start making jokes about Salmond....!
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,831
    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Con hold Shipley. That was previously declared lost.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    BBC

    Ronnie Campbell 55.9
    Con 37.3
    AndyJS said:

    Sky says Lab hold Blyth Valley, which is odd because I thought it was counting tomorrow...

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,113
    Davies holds Shipley
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 26,052
    MAAAAALLLLLLCCCCCCC

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    SNP have outperformed the current forecast, they have 33 vs 32 seats.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707
    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Shipley. The rumours were fake news.

    Good, we aren't using 10k majorities lol.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,338
    Labour take Sutton & Plymouth Devonport.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196

    Just updated the thread header, hope you spot my subtle pun

    Made me chuckle.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    jonny83 said:

    Ruth stopping a Labour coalition of chaos.

    I think I love her. Sadly, she is spoken for, and I'm not her type anyway.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Lab gain Plymouth Sutton.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,267
    As the 'good' shipley news comes in, Plymouth Sutton falls.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Broxtowe by 863 votes.

    Excellent.

    Is the route to a majority still there???
    Possibly.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,055
    Esther Mcvey returns to parliament!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,332
    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Shipley. The rumours were fake news.

    Good, we aren't using 10k majorities lol.
    Thank christ for that.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774
    Lab gain Plymouth Sutton
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Tory hold shipley
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    MikeL said:

    Maths Fail on previous thread.

    CON WILL EASILY HAVE A MAJORITY IN ENGLAND & WALES

    BY MILES

    Faisal too keen to try and find an angle to sock the Tories.

    Forgets his basic maths.
  • AHMatlockAHMatlock Posts: 15
    Did I just read correctly that Gobby has also held Broxtowe? I'm not sure whether to cheer or weep...
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    dr_spyn said:

    Labour take Sutton & Plymouth Devonport.

    9000 missing postal votes?
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Just updated the thread header, hope you spot my subtle pun

    No, I can't see a *subtle* pun there,
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,809
    4:30am. myst sleep now. Nytol.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,810
    Con now down 10 seats

    16 gains
    26 losses
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Salmond getting a rough ride from some in the audience for his Gloria Gaynor tribute act....
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Salmond amazing speech even in defeat! Compare and contrast that with Theresa May gone in June
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2017
    There's a pleasing symmetry in seeing Scottish seats which were profitable long-odds SNP gains in 2015 turning into profitable long-odds SNP losses this time.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Plymouth Sutton & Devonport

    Lab gain

    Lab 53.4
    Con 39.9
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tory majority in Mansfield is 1,057 votes.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976

    Just updated the thread header, hope you spot my subtle pun

    A pun for every occasion – you must have been wishing for that result :lol:
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,750

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    MikeL said:

    Con now down 10 seats

    16 gains
    26 losses

    Oh Dear.

    Can we have Cameron back please?
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Con hold Hazel Grove, the seat where I grew up.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,816
    Scott_P said:

    Were you up for Alex Salmond?

    Hell yes :smiley:

    He won't give a fuck, he'll be off to the Lords.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,257
    The Conservative vote increased by 18.5% in Mansfield.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774
    Labour gain Colne Valley.

    Eek
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,930
    Comrades gain Colne Valley
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    Ruth Davidson is a star.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Lab gain colne valley
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Labour gain Colne Valley.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707
    Dura_Ace said:

    Scott_P said:

    Were you up for Alex Salmond?

    Hell yes :smiley:

    He won't give a fuck, he'll be off to the Lords.
    I thought the SNP don't take seats there.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,831
    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's more to the right that Ruth is.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,338
    Labour take Colne Valley - 978 maj.
  • PaulMPaulM Posts: 613
    Phillip Davies won Shipley - contrary to what was reported before
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774
    Dura_Ace said:

    Scott_P said:

    Were you up for Alex Salmond?

    Hell yes :smiley:

    He won't give a fuck, he'll be off to the Lords.
    The SNP don't accept peerages
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Salmond smoked.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,113
    Con Hold Hazel Grove
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,830
    Pulpstar said:

    How close was Don Valley ?

    5169
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,332

    Labour gain Colne Valley.

    Eek

    Darn, thats 11 losses now.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 56,384
    MikeL said:

    Con now down 10 seats

    16 gains
    26 losses

    10 of which are in Scotland. Bizarre.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,914
    edited June 2017
    Chameleon said:

    May is 100% gone. She's easily in her last 24 hours as leader.

    If she steps down, who is the PM? Isn't she obliged to at least begin the the next government as the leader of a minority government?

    Her electoral gamble has backfired and her GE campaign has been dire. But May is likely to be the leader of the winning party in the GE with just short of a majority and therefore now arguably has a democratic responsibility to form a government, if she is in a position to do so.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's more to the right that Ruth is.
    Not sure she is. As far as I can see, beyond being anti-independence, Davidson doesn't really seem to have any clear politics.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,816

    Dura_Ace said:

    Scott_P said:

    Were you up for Alex Salmond?

    Hell yes :smiley:

    He won't give a fuck, he'll be off to the Lords.
    The SNP don't accept peerages
    Yet. It'd be right up Eck's street.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707
    stjohn said:

    Chameleon said:

    May is 100% gone. She's easily in her last 24 hours as leader.

    If she steps down, who is the PM? Isn't she obliged to at least begin the the next government a the leader of a minority government?

    Her electoral gamble has backfired and her GE campaign has been dire, But May is likely to be the leader of the winning party in the GE with just short of a majority and therefore now arguably has a responsibility to form a government, if she is in a position to do so.
    She can resign as party leader but remain as PM for the transition.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,910

    Just updated the thread header, hope you spot my subtle pun

    Definitely no subtle pun there.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's been led by your dog-collar. And you're sitting pretty in Switzerland. The rest of us have to live with this result.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Presumably the boundary review is dead? Again.
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Dura_Ace said:

    Scott_P said:

    Were you up for Alex Salmond?

    Hell yes :smiley:

    He won't give a fuck, he'll be off to the Lords.
    Nope.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Labour now officially exceeded their 2015 seats total.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Colne Valley Labour gain.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707

    Presumably the boundary review is dead? Again.

    Yeah. Maybe revivable if the 650 number is kept. But that would involve going back to the drawing board, again.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    When was the last self-inflicted disaster at this scale?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,750
    edited June 2017

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's been led by your dog-collar. And you're sitting pretty in Switzerland. The rest of us have to live with this result.
    I think you'll find I'm in Enfield right now.

    And when did I tell her to confiscate people's homes?
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    As someone said earlier tonight, Gordon Brown is now vindicated for not calling an election in 2007
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Tories close to majority.

    5 more years of Tory government.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    Danny565 said:

    Labour now officially exceeded their 2015 seats total.

    Hmm - I think I promised to donate money to them if they managed that. Darn.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707

    Tories close to majority.

    5 more years of Tory government.

    Still need 74 seats :p
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,578
    i just tweeted George Freeman (mid norfolk tory) about him being next Tory leader and got a like. Feels like he may challenge now
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's been led by your dog-collar. And you're sitting pretty in Switzerland. The rest of us have to live with this result.
    I think you'll find I'm in Enfield right now.
    for how long?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774

    When was the last self-inflicted disaster at this scale?

    Ted Heath 1974.

    Or Baldwin in 1923
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391
    RobD said:

    Tories close to majority.

    5 more years of Tory government.

    Still need 74 seats :p
    Only 100 left aren't there?!
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,831
    Danny565 said:

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's more to the right that Ruth is.
    Not sure she is. As far as I can see, beyond being anti-independence, Davidson doesn't really seem to have any clear politics.
    I'd disagree. Davidson is socially liberal, fiscally conservative. She's be on the left of the party, where Ken Clarke is.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,089
    Danny565 said:

    Labour now officially exceeded their 2015 seats total.

    All the Europhobes have done is make Corbyn a God.
  • BigIanBigIan Posts: 198
    The SNP forecast is less than the number of seats they've already won.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,257
    Conservatives get 41% in Bolsover.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,750

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's been led by your dog-collar. And you're sitting pretty in Switzerland. The rest of us have to live with this result.
    I think you'll find I'm in Enfield right now.
    for how long?
    At least until Monday.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,830
    Inflation has got so bad that even free money has become very expensive.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Con hold Northampton North. Thought somebody said they lost that
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,707
    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    Tories close to majority.

    5 more years of Tory government.

    Still need 74 seats :p
    Only 100 left aren't there?!
    Yeah, but a lot of big rural seats left.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    MaxPB said:


    I think you'll find I'm in Enfield right now.


    for how long?

    Stalker.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,391

    kle4 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Labour now officially exceeded their 2015 seats total.

    Hmm - I think I promised to donate money to them if they managed that. Darn.
    You didn't promise to donate it now, though, did you?

    Why not wait until they have a leader and policy position you find more amenable :)
    A loophole,I like it. Also I'm poorer than I was anticipating being tonight, so it'd have to wait anyway.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2017
    Does anyone remember the Copeland byelection?

    Seems so long ago, now.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    BBC projecting a 3% Tory lead. 43 to 40.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,774
    The Tory fuck ups

    1) May backing Fox hunting
    2) Dementia tax and pretending you hadn't u-turned
    3) Theresa May failing the Turing Test
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    SKY- UKIP's current share is 1.9%
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,750
    Danny565 said:

    BBC projecting a 3% Tory lead. 43 to 40.

    Poor.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,927
    Tory vote share 43%.
    Labour vote share 40%.

    Mental.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 64,196
    Tories shouldn't have lost seats like Portsmouth South, Canterbury, Peterborough, Ipswich, Lincoln, Bedford, and Warwick & Leamington.

    There's the majority, right there.

    And it could have been worse. Much worse.

    Ruth Davidson has saved the country.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BradenDavy: The best part about the Gordon result was the fact Alex Salmond had to stand there and watch as Aberdeenshire told him where to go. #GE2017
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour passed 232 miliband total.
    256 to get to 2010 total
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,274
    Danny565 said:

    MaxPB said:

    It is one of the most moderate Conservatives - Ruth Davidson - that has saved the Tories tonight. The country has not swung as right, as some Conservatives imagined that it had.

    Theresa May isn't right wing.
    She's more to the right that Ruth is.
    Not sure she is. As far as I can see, beyond being anti-independence, Davidson doesn't really seem to have any clear politics.
    I believe she is a Cameroon, well that is the impression I got. If she does want to move to Westminster it will be interesting to hear her policy stances.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,810
    Danny565 said:

    BBC projecting a 3% Tory lead. 43 to 40.

    I think that's UK.

    GB will be 44-41
This discussion has been closed.