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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May do

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  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited June 2017
    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    CONSERVATIVES GAIN DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM FROM LABOUR.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,805
    May's smile at the count has something of the rictus about it...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,126
    Norfolk NW
    Con gain
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @STVColin: Tories reckon they are 26 ahead in Ed SW
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,364
    ThreeQuidder said:

    Con gain Dagenham!

    :o
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,730
    Theresa May's Team gain from reluctant Labour Labour MP Jon Cruddas in Dagenham and Rainham.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour gain Kirkaldy
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    LAB GAIN Cardiff North
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Con GAIN Dagenham.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    jonny83 said:

    Corbyn thinks May should go surprise surprise.

    Lots of us agree with him
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,364
    edited June 2017
    HYUFD said:

    Norfolk NW
    Con gain

    :o That's a con hold?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,402
    FattyBolger said:

    AndyJS said:

    Tories gain Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock from SNP.

    Wheres MalcolmG?
    I think the first year undergraduates turned off the one-core server before they left for the evening. ;)

    (Gratuitous Eliza reference)
  • llefllef Posts: 301
    tory winner in aberconwy (prefers soft brexit) thinks this result will embolden hard brexiters in tory party, as they lose seats in remain areas.....
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    AndyJS said:

    Corbyn talking rubbish, the Conservatives haven't lost support, they've increased their share by 7% so far.

    Perception is key.

    But if the Tories do get most seats, or even a slim majority, fact is they are the most popular party, even if they've gone backwards.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    alex. said:

    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
    So I shouldn't be watching ITV...
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    YES! The Cowley Tech and Fen Poly sages are united in outlook again. God I love the Tory party.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,309
    KentRising said:

    Con GAIN Dagenham.

    LOLWUT.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Con gain Dagenham.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    SeanT said:

    GideonWise said:

    May looks like she's aged 10-years in a night.

    My god. Her face. That's a woman who is resigning tomorrow. Wow.
    Just said to wife - that is one stressed individual
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,400
    alex. said:

    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
    Which is it?
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    :+1:
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Scott_P said:

    @STVColin: Tories reckon they are 26 ahead in Ed SW

    Heard they shifted resources from that to Ed N? Cut it a bit tight :-)
  • DearPBDearPB Posts: 439
    Sandpit said:

    AndyJS said:

    Corbyn talking rubbish, the Conservatives haven't lost support, they've increased their share by 7% so far.

    Corbyn's been talking rubbish for the last 40 years!
    He's not even a very good rabble rouser - rambling and confused
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Norfolk NW
    Con gain

    :o That's a con hold?
    That's a Con Hold
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Bedford goes bye bye
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour gain Bedford
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,126
    Labour gain East Lothian from SNP
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,805
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    Fallon is awful.
    As PM inconceivable.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Lab gain Bedford.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,690
    Lab gain Bedford
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    LAb gain Bedford
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    not_on_fire said:

    LD Gain Bath!!

    No more Con gains please LDs - I want you to do well, but I do think a Tory majority would be best outcome.

    May looking shell shocked until she remembers to put on a smile.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    Lab gaining seats everywhere. Not a regional/local thing
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,690
    Blimey, he sounds like me

    https://twitter.com/joncstone/status/872999951030210560
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,522
    ThreeQuidder said:

    Con gain Dagenham!

    This must be the oddest election since the 1922-29 period.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    alex. said:

    LAb gain Bedford

    The vote swap system works OGH!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
    If North Norfolk, Witney and Bath rumours are true, then they will get 12. If they get Kingston too, that makes 13.
    St Ives possible as well.
    Shush about StIves please.....

    Tory hold, good for my book innit.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Nigelb said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    Fallon is awful.
    As PM inconceivable.

    Fallon's my local MP. Decent chap but not PM material.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Beverley_C said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    :+1:
    +1
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,860
    Labour gain Bedford.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,690
    CORRECTION LAB HOLD DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Kirkcaldy back to SLab!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Con gain Aberdeen South.
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    2nd recount in Perth
    Fife NE only 3 votes in it.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,432
    Tories win GordoN!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    This shit just gets weirder. Con Gain Dagenham now o_O ?!
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Prediction Fallen: Con on 318
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Lab hold Dagenham. ITV were right
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,402
    I want to cry.

    We cannot escape the mess.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    numbertwelve said:

    KentRising said:

    Con GAIN Dagenham.

    LOLWUT.
    What?! Look, British people, no more elections until you can figure your shit out.
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Sean_F said:

    ThreeQuidder said:

    Con gain Dagenham!

    This must be the oddest election since the 1922-29 period.
    Sky got it wrong. Labour held it.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,364
    rcs1000 said:

    Tories win GordoN!

    YEEEESSSS
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    CORRECTION LAB HOLD DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM

    Oh balls.
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    Clutching at straws tonight......at least the Krankie woman gas been put back in her box
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Correction

    Cruddas won
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,364
    The election was worth it!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,432
    OUT said:

    2nd recount in Perth
    Fife NE only 3 votes in it.

    Which way?
  • GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    Ruth really doing the business in Scotland. If only May had kept up her side of the bargain.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Mortimer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
    If North Norfolk, Witney and Bath rumours are true, then they will get 12. If they get Kingston too, that makes 13.
    St Ives possible as well.
    Shush about StIves please.....

    Tory hold, good for my book innit.
    Well its good for mine too.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/bbcphilipsim/status/873000107150647296
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    And the DUP hold on in North Belfast in what was talked up as another big challenge from Sinn Fein.

    The unionists got a fright in the Assembly elections and they are turning out.

    That looks like 10 then if they can take South Belfast. Two more than most expected.

    SDLP wipe out.


  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,730
    Error Corrected by Sky: Lab HOLD Dagenham and Rainham
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    Nah John Major got over 48,000 votes in Huntingdon in 1992
    Nowhere near. Sir Cooper Rawson got over 75000 for the Tories in 1931
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    What's happening in Dagenham?
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Nigelb said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    Fallon is awful.
    As PM inconceivable.

    My thoughts exactly.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Mortimer said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    CORRECTION LAB HOLD DAGENHAM AND RAINHAM

    Oh balls.
    How do they get that wrong?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    alex. said:

    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
    nope gone blue
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    Salmond red eyed. He's a goner
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited June 2017
    LABOUR HAVE CANTERBURY!! -BBC
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,554
    Everybody free, same time, in say 3 months?
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    RobD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Tories win GordoN!

    YEEEESSSS
    Er Alex Salmond is currently being interviewed on ITV and it hasn't declared yet?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,364
    Chris_A said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    Nah John Major got over 48,000 votes in Huntingdon in 1992
    Nowhere near. Sir Cooper Rawson got over 75000 for the Tories in 1931
    For brighton? Wikipedia mentioned it was a multi-member constituency.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    How hard is tit to only report the declaration facts? Jesus christ ITV/BBC/Sky.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    The SNP seem to be losing seats in droves
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Laura K saying LAB gain Canterbury.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,273
    Laura K says Canterbury is going Labour
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I'm pleased my Bedford tip came off.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,826
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    Why? He strikes me as a walking disaster.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    Only downside to this SNP stuff is that if they can go up quickly, then down quickly, they can group again. But a problem for another day.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Floater said:

    alex. said:

    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
    nope gone blue
    No held, Sky issued a correction
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,432
    What's the third LD seat?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,126
    edited June 2017
    houndtang said:

    Corbyn almost certain to be PM now - if not in next few days than within next two years?

    No, Boris will probably take over now, go all populist tax cuts and spending bilge, yes it will be Berlusconi/Reaganomics rather than fiscal conservatism really but the voters will like it and Corbyn's plans make even less economic sense so it is what we will have to do to keep him out. What it means for Brexit who knows?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    rcs1000 said:

    What's the third LD seat?

    Bath
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    jonny83 said:

    Laura K says Canterbury is going Labour

    Oooh snap
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    I feel sorry for her - badly advised and clearly not up to it
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,402
    SeanT said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    Corbyn's speech is excellent.

    I can't quite believe I've said that.

    It's fucking terrible. He starts well then goes into auto lefty-waffle.
    I'm not sure millionaire international jet-set Viagra-dependents are the target audience. ;)
  • PaulMPaulM Posts: 613
    Edinburgh Zoo's going to be busy bringing in pandas
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Only in Britain do we see the PM standing next to 'Lord Buckethead' while waiting for her declaration.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,432
    edited June 2017
    Mortimer said:

    rcs1000 said:

    What's the third LD seat?

    Bath
    Confirmed gain. Wow.

    And by a big margin too.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,690
    MaxPB said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
    Why? He strikes me as a walking disaster.
    Dave and George trust him.

    Remember it was he who went postal on Ed Miliband in 2015.

    Something the Tories failed to do on Corbyn this time.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Everybody free, same time, in say 3 months?

    Summer not traditionally a good time to sell books. Better get cracking, given the beating my book has taken overnight...
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,730
    Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold on in North Belfast in what was talked up as another big challenge from Sinn Fein.

    The unionists got a fright in the Assembly elections and they are turning out.

    That looks like 10 then if they can take South Belfast. Two more than most expected.

    SDLP wipe out.


    June 2017 was the last election with one-sided sectarian pacts, though.
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    rcs1000 said:

    OUT said:

    2nd recount in Perth
    Fife NE only 3 votes in it.

    Which way?
    Dunno.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Floater said:

    alex. said:

    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    Not according to ITV. Labour hold
    nope gone blue
    No held, Sky issued a correction
    Ahh - watching sky and didn't hear any correction - sorry
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    rcs1000 said:

    What's the third LD seat?

    Bath, Twickenham, Dunbartonshire East.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,309
    The champagne corks are popping somewhere in DUP HQ...
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    Salmond sounds broken, dejected.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    LD have a 6,000 majority in Bath...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,126
    South Ribble Conservative hold
This discussion has been closed.