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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa’s Tories drop to their lowest level yet on the Commons

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  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    DavidL said:

    FFS. May. Is she even human? I don't really rate Rudd but bloody hell. Talk about taking one for the team.

    May never fails to find a way to underwhelm.

    What are you on about?
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Ignore YouGov. Look at Hanretty: http://electionforecast.co.uk/
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    JohnO said:

    Theresa May made the absolutely correct decision to stay away from that momentum rally.

    JohnO has spoken! :D
  • valleyboyvalleyboy Posts: 606

    Get a grip. I voted Labour 2015, and Remain last year. Had Corbyn not been in charge, I would have voted Labour this year as well.

    Do not blame me that the Labour party has put extremists in charge who plan to tax the hilt out of everyone but are not being entirely honest about it.
    You do seem to have done a u turn in your political allegiances which would have made May and Thatcher proud.Perhaps you never were labour.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    edited May 2017
    Yorkcity said:

    Yes I agree she looks more at ease than May .
    While I think May should have agreed to go (although having been so firm against it, and Corbyn deciding at the last minute to do so, changing her mind would have been unhelpful to her that late in the day), I think Rudd handled it better than she could have.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    rcs1000 said:

    There were concerns raised about the individual on five separate occasions, including once by his own Imman. The problem is that there are probably thousands of people who are reported each year, such as SeanT's own dry cleaners. Most of the time it's nothing. And often people fall through the net (nothing suspicious in his mobile phone call patterns, nothing to see here, move on).

    We're getting better at tracking those we need to monitor. And for every Manchester, there are five guys who's plans are disrupted. But this is a multi-decade effort, and we're (really) only ten years in.

    Modestly more resources, targeted modestly better, combined with better infiltration, and - like with the IRA and similar movements - we'll reduce Islamic terrorism to a minor, but chronic, condition. Maybe that's not enough, but that is the direction we're heading in.
    Except this wasn't a spur of the moment, kitchen knife job. The scary part is that Abedi seems to have built himself a bomb which raises questions of why his web and credit card use were not correlated. Or even whether they were but he was not expected to strike just yet.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited May 2017
    isam said:

    Fuck me do you honestly think that's still funny?!
    Yup. Even more now.

    Taking the piss out of Nuttall is a joy in a truly dismal debate.

    The format is terrible. I am sorry, but it should be UK parties only.
  • Cyan said:

    1 Corbyn
    2 Farron
    3 Nuttall
    4 Rudd
    5 Robertson
    6 Lucas
    7 Wood
    Listening on the radio, I'd go with:

    1) Rudd
    2) Farron
    3) Corbyn
    4) Robertson
    5) Lucas
    6) Nuttall
    7) Wood

    Farron might be better to relax and joke about a bit more - he's better at that than rehearsing the slightly laboured prepared anecdotes
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Ishmael_Z said:

    What earthly business is it of yours, you nasty little man?
    It is my business, I'm a voter and it reflects poorly on cowardly Theresa May.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    I just somehow think Yougov have done it to give the headline writers what they wanted. There is no such thing as inviolable excellence and credibility any more - we all have to earn a crust.
    You also think that the Jo Cox murder was a false flag operation, so this latest conspiracy theory of yours is hardly surprising.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    1. Corbyn, 2= Lucas and Farron, 4= Robertson and Rudd, 6. Wood, 7. Nuttall. Lucas is a good performer but slipped into stereotype too often. Robertson didn't connect as much as I expected him to. Rudd was robotically effective but unappealing. Format didn't suit Nuttall at all.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    Freggles said:

    Ignore YouGov. Look at Hanretty: http://electionforecast.co.uk/

    Hmmmmm...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,233
    edited May 2017
    Freggles said:

    Ignore YouGov. Look at Hanretty: http://electionforecast.co.uk/

    Yes, Wales and a couple of other very specific seats are slightly off but its generally alot more correct.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Chameleon said:


    Ehh, from my perspective he can make a better future for the next 10 or so years, by the time the debts are called in I can then be living & working in a different country.

    That's an interesting post, highlighting the greed, selfishness and moral cowardice that underpins Labour - we'll take what we want because we are good people and deserve it and you are evil and we hate you all. It always has been fundamental to Labour of course (look up Emmanuel Shinwell if you don't believe me) but I don't think I've ever seen quite such a stunning lack of self-awareness of it, not even in O'Farrell's memoirs (where he admits in the 1980s he was essentially a Fascist).

    Tony Blair persuaded people that actually it wasn't the case and Labour did care about real people with real lives for a while, but Labour (a) failed to actually capitalise on that by a significant rejigging of our economy and welfare system when they had the chance and (b) has forgotten that painfully learned lesson that actually most people really do see them with a clear eye and hate them not because of MSM bias but because loads of them are truly vile human beings.

    I have always thought it is no coincidence that the leaders of both the Fascist and Communist parties in this country emerged from Labour. I wonder if we're about to see history repeat itself there?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,176

    It is my business, I'm a voter and it reflects poorly on cowardly Theresa May.
    I'm sure you're a swing voter.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    isam said:

    Fuck me do you honestly think that's still funny?!
    Your reaction definitely is :lol:
  • CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    bobajobPB said:

    Nuttall pronounces the eighth letter of the alphabet haitch. That's unforgivable.

    That'll be because he's Catholic. Aitch or haitch is a shibboleth in Northern Ireland.

  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    LucyJones said:


    Maybe Amber Rudd, as a grown woman, decided for herself that she was willing and able to appear in this debate?
    The question is did she decide for herself or did her boss make the decision for her?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    edited May 2017
    Freggles said:

    Ignore YouGov. Look at Hanretty: http://electionforecast.co.uk/

    379-195. Would work for me. Large, but not huge majority, so can be held to account, hopefully low enough to get Corbyn out.

    The seat predictor on there just seems so out of whack. LDs likely to gain Bristol West, one of only two the model suggests better than 50% chance of a gain? Everything I have heard coming out of Bristol is that they love Corbyn and if they are surging anyway, it is there.

    It does predict Tory tacticals not great in Scotland, preventing LD gains from SNP. I hope that is not true.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    valleyboy said:

    You do seem to have done a u turn in your political allegiances which would have made May and Thatcher proud.Perhaps you never were labour.
    Yes, I was so 'never' Labour that I voted for them the first time I could ever vote in a GE.

    You act as if I've become a kind of advocate for Conservatism when really all I've done is be critical of Corbyn and his acolytes - as I have been for the last two years on the site now.

    I've spent most of the last few weeks being very critical of May.

    But I know that the Corbynistas have a 'with us or without us' attitude and those who don't worship Corbyn are ''bad'' people.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    A couple of months ago, PBTories were bemoaning "the lack of a strong opposition" and saying how terrible it was that we were becoming a "one-party state".

    How come, now that it looks like there might be a strong opposition, all that talk has disappeared??
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    It's actually an idea worth looking at, if done in the right way (which Labour won't, of course), particularly if at least some of the proceeds are used to reduce undesirable taxation elsewhere.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    To the hard-left, anyone with a house is a rockfeller whose deserves to be sucked dry by the government and left homeless.
    Moronic.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,273
    Look you don't know the conversation Rudd and May had. She could have told May she wants to keep working and doing this is, if that's the case May isn't going to go against that.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Danny565 said:

    I'd settle for only a 1992-size majority, tbh.
    Remember the Labour vote share in 1992 was super-efficient. UNS would have given Major a majority of 77.

    It seems unlikely it will be that efficient this time, although ICM dropped a hint they may take several seats by small margins.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,865
    edited May 2017
    kle4 said:

    He doesn't like to brag, naturally. It's that humility that earned him a sainthood.
    The Nuttall meme keeps giving...
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    IanB2 said:

    It's actually an idea worth looking at, if done in the right way (which Labour won't, of course), particularly if at least some of the proceeds are used to reduce undesirable taxation elsewhere.
    Land value tax.. jeez about as toxic as Chernobyl
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Danny565 said:

    A couple of months ago, PBTories were bemoaning "the lack of a strong opposition" and saying how terrible it was that we were becoming a "one-party state".

    How come, now that it looks like there might be a strong opposition, all that talk has disappeared??

    It doesn't look like there will be a strong opposition.

    As long as Corbyn remains in post...
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    valleyboy said:

    You do seem to have done a u turn in your political allegiances which would have made May and Thatcher proud.Perhaps you never were labour.
    I think that's unfair. I disagree with the Apo about taxes etc. - there is a non-reckless alternative to Tory austerity economics - but I sympathise that it's hard to vote for a man like Corbyn.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,176
    So...

    Are we getting a ComRes tonight?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    Well, that is what "redistribution" means, and socialist parties believe in redistribution, and Corbyn is a socialist. I'm not sure why that should be a surprise to anyone.
    Our revered national institution the NHS does that, every day.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Yorkcity said:

    Moronic.
    No, that's you implying I was always going to vote Tory LOL.

    But I do know that Corbyn supporters after seeing that and still voting for him, do so without a care in the world for other people and how his policies will impact them.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328
    Freggles said:

    Your reaction definitely is :lol:
    I AM funny though!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581

    Land value tax.. jeez about as toxic as Chernobyl
    I've seen it provoke a reaction here, but not many places else and no mentions IRL yet, so if it is toxic, the Tories haven't leaped on it yet.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    SeanT said:

    I thought Farron did quite well. Indeed I like him the more I see him. Oh god, I'm turning into a Lib Dem.
    Don't worry. Open a £50 bottle of red and you will recover.
  • macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    That was pretty crap, weak presenter, too many participants and an audience akin to Man Utd going to Anfield with no away fans. No real winner but Corbyn for sure has justified the faith MacLuskey showed in him. Individual musings.

    Rudd - Started well away from home on the economy, missed her chance on the security.
    Corbyn - Gets his slogans across easily, most people though are no fools.
    Farron - The Liberal who isn't a Liberal, Mr State control
    Nuttall - Scouse is not good for a party leader
    Lucas - Talks drivel but very well.
    Robertson - Rides the tide of free subsidy from your neighbour with joy but not much gratitude.
    Wood - What was the point

    May probably did right, she wouldn't have enjoyed the format and certainly wouldn't have dominated.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,865

    1. Corbyn, 2= Lucas and Farron, 4= Robertson and Rudd, 6. Wood, 7. Nuttall. Lucas is a good performer but slipped into stereotype too often. Robertson didn't connect as much as I expected him to. Rudd was robotically effective but unappealing. Format didn't suit Nuttall at all.

    I thought Rudd did OK. I'd much rather she was prospective PM than the execrable Theresa.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Dadge said:

    I think that's unfair. I disagree with the Apo about taxes etc. - there is a non-reckless alternative to Tory austerity economics - but I sympathise that it's hard to vote for a man like Corbyn.
    Exactly. Had they not had Corbyn/McDonnell at the helm, I'd be voting Labour at this GE. But I can't vote for someone whose Shadow Chancellor does not even respect democracy FFS.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Cyclefree said:

    How difficult is it to understand the difference between using your own assets to spend on yourself to look after yourself when you need care (the Tory proposal) and taking your wealth to spend on others (what Labour will do)?

    Look at @BJO - one moment howling at the unfairness of the Dementia tax because the Governnment will steal Granny's house and this evening demanding that the wealthy i.e. those with houses be taxed even more than now.

    Why is the former "theft" and the latter not?

    Oh, I remember now. The latter is being done by Labour and so is OK and the former by Tories and therefore evil.

    It's utterly pathetic.

    You have completely lost it IMO

    Your hatred of Corbyn clouds everything you post now.

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors

    What sort of Government introduces cuts that mean disabled people suffer more misery and in some commit suicide to give sweeties to those who are already well off.

    I thought you had some compassion.

    Me Me Me society has to end.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited May 2017
    ydoethur said:

    Remember the Labour vote share in 1992 was super-efficient. UNS would have given Major a majority of 77.

    It seems unlikely it will be that efficient this time, although ICM dropped a hint they may take several seats by small margins.
    YouGov is also suggesting a highly efficient Labour vote this time around.

    Whilst I doubt Labour will only be 3-4% behind in the popular vote like YG is suggesting, I do think their swing model looks plausible - the big Tory swings being concentrated most in safe Labour seats and in safe Tory seats, which thus means they essentially "waste" a lot of their extra votes.

    Looking at the YouGov Seat Model, it seems to me that it's possible that even a 10% lead for the Tories (which is more likely than not, I think) would only get them a wafer-thin majority.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,366

    Yes, I was so 'never' Labour that I voted for them the first time I could ever vote in a GE.

    You act as if I've become a kind of advocate for Conservatism when really all I've done is be critical of Corbyn and his acolytes - as I have been for the last two years on the site now.

    I've spent most of the last few weeks being very critical of May.

    But I know that the Corbynistas have a 'with us or without us' attitude and those who don't worship Corbyn are ''bad'' people.

    If you were a secret Tory all along you did a bloody good job of hiding it. You certainly had me fooled.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    Land value tax.. jeez about as toxic as Chernobyl
    They seem to manage alright in France with a property tax, which isn't so far away. Indeed the combination of Council Tax and Business Rates is a surrogate for a land tax, of sorts.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    jonny83 said:

    Look you don't know the conversation Rudd and May had. She could have told May she wants to keep working and doing this is, if that's the case May isn't going to go against that.

    Very true people should not make assumptions .
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    The question is did she decide for herself or did her boss make the decision for her?
    And that is absolutely nothing to do with you or anybody other than Rudd and May. Of all the vile ways to try and score political points...talk about scraping the barrel.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    ydoethur said:

    That's an interesting post, highlighting the greed, selfishness and moral cowardice that underpins Labour - we'll take what we want because we are good people and deserve it and you are evil and we hate you all. It always has been fundamental to Labour of course (look up Emmanuel Shinwell if you don't believe me) but I don't think I've ever seen quite such a stunning lack of self-awareness of it, not even in O'Farrell's memoirs (where he admits in the 1980s he was essentially a Fascist).

    Tony Blair persuaded people that actually it wasn't the case and Labour did care about real people with real lives for a while, but Labour (a) failed to actually capitalise on that by a significant rejigging of our economy and welfare system when they had the chance and (b) has forgotten that painfully learned lesson that actually most people really do see them with a clear eye and hate them not because of MSM bias but because loads of them are truly vile human beings.

    I have always thought it is no coincidence that the leaders of both the Fascist and Communist parties in this country emerged from Labour. I wonder if we're about to see history repeat itself there?
    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    jonny83 said:

    Look you don't know the conversation Rudd and May had. She could have told May she wants to keep working and doing this is, if that's the case May isn't going to go against that.

    May had the perfect excuse to step in and relieve Rudd, so by looking compassionate and decisive. She's useless.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    isam said:

    I AM funny though!
    Not as funny as Nuttall, who was a member of Monty Python before he went into politics.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328
    Jonathan said:

    Not as funny as Nuttall, who was a member of Monty Python before he went into politics.
    Leftie humour = unfunny, as you prove time and again!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Danny565 said:

    A couple of months ago, PBTories were bemoaning "the lack of a strong opposition" and saying how terrible it was that we were becoming a "one-party state".

    How come, now that it looks like there might be a strong opposition, all that talk has disappeared??

    Because Corbyn is not a strong opponent, merely a very scary one?

    I didn't want him as a Labour leader not just because he's useless (although he is) or dishonest (although even by political standards Traingate, IRA members, Eisen etc are pretty bad) but because he's an actual menace to our economy and our democracy. Whether he'd be as bad as Chavez I don't know but there are far too many uncomfortable parallels with Allende.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,233
    I think the reaction to @The_Apocalypse vote intention shows precisely why people keep their vote between themselves and the ballot box.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    glw said:

    If you were a secret Tory all along you did a bloody good job of hiding it. You certainly had me fooled.
    To a lot of Corbynistas everyone who opposes the hard-left is a 'Tory' or a 'Blairite.'
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    It is my business, I'm a voter and it reflects poorly on cowardly Theresa May.
    You are a piece of shit. Trust me on this.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    IanB2 said:

    They seem to manage alright in France with a property tax, which isn't so far away. Indeed the combination of Council Tax and Business Rates is a surrogate for a land tax, of sorts.
    Yeah but council tax is non existent or very low,.. at the end of the day you can only tax people so much until they rebel./.. Corbyn's policies will lead to serious trouble.

    ONE THING WE WILL LEARN FROM THIS ELECTION IS IGNORE THE POLLS> END OF>

    Whats going on on the ground matters and reports thereof are far more important, if accuirately described.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,176

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors
    That's not quite true, is it? Isn't the argument that it encourages talented higher earners to stay in Britain and contribute to our economy?

    If the talent goes, so do the jobs.

    Not saying I agree with that - but cut the hyperbole. There is a reason that isnt 'because Monsters'.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    isam said:

    Leftie humour = unfunny, as you prove time and again!

    To be fair, proving that is much easier than proving Fermat's Last Theorem like Paul Nuttall did.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    isam said:

    Leftie humour = unfunny, as you prove time and again!
    What's leftie about poking fun at Nuttall? I've nothing against the guy, but a gentle meme like that is by most meme standards amusing.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,865

    You have completely lost it IMO

    Your hatred of Corbyn clouds everything you post now.

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors

    What sort of Government introduces cuts that mean disabled people suffer more misery and in some commit suicide to give sweeties to those who are already well off.

    I thought you had some compassion.

    Me Me Me society has to end.
    This. I used to enjoy Cyclefree's posts but I agree the tenor has changed.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Chameleon said:

    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
    FWIW, the much derided Tory plan on social care did exactly this. It required rich pensioners to pay for their social care.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    SeanT said:

    She IS useless. We agree. But if you were living in the UK, would you vote for Jezza?

    No. Because you're not a Marxist, Islamist-loving scumbag

    We have no choice, even as we despair of the choice. We have to vote for the hapless May
    Maybe she'll be replaced in a few years?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328

    To be fair, proving that is much easier than proving Fermat's Last Theorem like Paul Nuttall did.
    That is quite sharp! Fair play
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    We surely are getting a post debate poll aren't we? I want to know how much people liked being told evil Tories cut things.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328
    kle4 said:

    What's leftie about poking fun at Nuttall? I've nothing against the guy, but a gentle meme like that is by most meme standards amusing.
    Agree to disagree. Doesn't make me laugh but each to their own
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Pulpstar said:

    I think the reaction to @The_Apocalypse vote intention shows precisely why people keep their vote between themselves and the ballot box.

    Agreed. Ms Apocalypse doesn’t have to justify to anyone how she is voting.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    Listening on the radio, I'd go with:

    1) Rudd
    2) Farron
    3) Corbyn
    4) Robertson
    5) Lucas
    6) Nuttall
    7) Wood

    Farron might be better to relax and joke about a bit more - he's better at that than rehearsing the slightly laboured prepared anecdotes
    Relaxing and joking about is his natural style, and at conference he is brilliant at it. The leadership has him caught between being himself and playing the more serious statesman, a style which doesn't suit him at all.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited May 2017
    Chameleon said:

    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
    Also just to add to your 'vile human being' bit, perhaps you need to consider what made people take up these views in the first place. While I agree that there are people of my generation (16-24) that are vile in their opinions towards those that have benefited so much from Government policies, if there wasn't so much unfairness in the system then they likely wouldn't have these views.
  • The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Completely off topic but relevant to MI5 after Manchester. The uk intelligence services infiltrated the IRA many years ago, some of the infiltrators rose to the top and we are where we are. People are amazed at the queen meeting Martin mcguiness. The long term solution is the same with other terrorism, there are casualtys along the way but at least the security services no longer recruit from just Oxbridge but from a wide range of backgrounds
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Paul Nuttall and his Kipper fans know all about great comedy.

    After all, Nuttall wrote Ronnie Barker's scripts, while still a schoolboy.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.
    He and Corbyn have so much baggage. I know plenty of people love Corbyn, but there are too many instances of people, even MPs, saying they don't like him, don't think he is up to it, that he at the very least offputs plenty of people too. It is interesting to think how someone without that baggage might put the same message, and how they'd be received.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    isam said:

    Agree to disagree. Doesn't make me laugh but each to their own
    Well it isn't' laugh out loud funny - I'm judging it by most memes, which are not funny at all.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    @leomckinstry - in previous debates I've always thought the BBC audience was fairly balanced (as opposed to the usual QT audience!). But something has obviously gone wrong tonight. That said, it probably didn't hurt the Tories too much.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328

    The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.

    They stay at home with the family and vote Tory
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SeanT said:

    I hope so. With luck in the first weeks after the election. Rudd would be much better. TMay freezes in the headlights. Not great for Brexit.
    I like Rudd, because she was married to the great AA Gill.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    That's not quite true, is it? Isn't the argument that it encourages talented higher earners to stay in Britain and contribute to our economy?

    If the talent goes, so do the jobs.

    Not saying I agree with that - but cut the hyperbole. There is a reason that isnt 'because Monsters'.
    When did you last attend a foodbank. I find the suffering of people. nearly all of whom are in work, distressing
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    IanB2 said:

    Relaxing and joking about is his natural style, and at conference he is brilliant at it. The leadership has him caught between being himself and playing the more serious statesman, a style which doesn't suit him at all.

    Yes, there's something in that. He needs to work on getting the Charles Kennedy balance - able to go on HIGNFY but also with the gravitas to speak on (as was) the Iraq War and be listened to.

    I so wish Kennedy hadn't drunk himself to oblivion and death. Biggest wasted talent of our time. (Pun unintentional but...)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Must admit it would be a rather fun to see how Corbyn fares in front of a hostile Tory/UKIP crowd.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Chameleon said:

    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
    So out of curiosity, why do you shout your support for Corbyn, who would entrench that unfairness by making all benefits including pensions universal, rather than May who is proposing that people at least partially support themselves from their own resources?

    Incidentally, Corbyn will not make university tuition fees free. It seems unlikely that universities - who are not actually Government bodies, please remember, but private charities - would accept the level of funding he can offer. They would instead charge private fees as they do to overseas students.

    The supreme irony of Corbynism will be that his policies on education based on class warfare and free at the point of use would hammer our state education system and our university to pieces and leave only the very rich able to afford education at any level. Is that what you want? Really? Because if so I see no reason to modify my views on you.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    This. I used to enjoy Cyclefree's posts but I agree the tenor has changed.
    +1. I am not sure what went wrong; the early period works were so thoughtful.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    kle4 said:

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    Exactly.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,233
    Oh Jesus the utterly shite Yougov on.
    That isn't bad for the Stories though.
  • saddosaddo Posts: 534

    So...

    Are we getting a ComRes tonight?

    As they selected the so called balanced audience for tonight's debate, can anyone trust their read on labour support?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,233

    Exactly.
    Poll tax, bedroom tax, dementia tax, garden tax :o
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    isam said:

    Agree to disagree. Doesn't make me laugh but each to their own
    It was funny the first 3000 times. Now, not so much.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,581
    Jonathan said:

    Must admit it would be a rather fun to see how Corbyn fares in front of a hostile Tory/UKIP crowd.

    Yes indeed. I get the impression he can usually handle an aggressive response, he's expecting it almost, it's when he gets irritated that he loses his cool.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Cyan

    He's a scouser.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    kle4 said:

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    Poll tax seemed more sensible than community charge .
  • isamisam Posts: 41,328
    Why would this be outrageous? This is what we are up against, the kind of attitude that makes terrorism more likely

    https://twitter.com/politicshome/status/870000212621664257
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    Land value tax explicitly ignores whether land has buildings on it or pp for buildings on it. The term is indeed silly, but so is calling things taxes which are not taxes at all eg bedroom, dementia etc.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,233
    Rudd was prepped well for that.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507

    You have completely lost it IMO

    Your hatred of Corbyn clouds everything you post now.

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors

    What sort of Government introduces cuts that mean disabled people suffer more misery and in some commit suicide to give sweeties to those who are already well off.

    I thought you had some compassion.

    Me Me Me society has to end.
    That's a bit paranoid.

    The government isn't starving the public. We don't live in Stalin's Russia.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Probably been commented on already, but the YouGov Seat Predictor (for whatever it's worth) predicts Amber Rudd to lose her seat.
This discussion has been closed.