Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa’s Tories drop to their lowest level yet on the Commons

1678911

Comments

  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,149

    p
    When did you last attend a foodbank. I find the suffering of people. nearly all of whom are in work, distressing

    You've just deflected. Maybe you should answer my point? Tories are not evil. They may see the world differently but they are not out to hurt people. What ever happened to respecting your opponent?

    There has been a human cost to left wing policies in history too.
  • Options
    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Jonathan said:

    Must admit it would be a rather fun to see how Corbyn fares in front of a hostile Tory/UKIP crowd.

    Maybe he should come on a PB Tory night out.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,088
    AndyJS said:

    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.

    Nuttall is no Farage though, and the SNP are coming off high tide in Scotland. And Tim Farron has been completely drowned out. So perhaps inevitable.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,050
    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Chameleon said:


    Ehh, from my perspective he can make a better future for the next 10 or so years, by the time the debts are called in I can then be living & working in a different country.

    That's an interesting post, highlighting the greed, selfishness and moral cowardice that underpins Labour - we'll take what we want because we are good people and deserve it and you are evil and we hate you all. It always has been fundamental to Labour of course (look up Emmanuel Shinwell if you don't believe me) but I don't think I've ever seen quite such a stunning lack of self-awareness of it, not even in O'Farrell's memoirs (where he admits in the 1980s he was essentially a Fascist).

    Tony Blair persuaded people that actually it wasn't the case and Labour did care about real people with real lives for a while, but Labour (a) failed to actually capitalise on that by a significant rejigging of our economy and welfare system when they had the chance and (b) has forgotten that painfully learned lesson that actually most people really do see them with a clear eye and hate them not because of MSM bias but because loads of them are truly vile human beings.

    I have always thought it is no coincidence that the leaders of both the Fascist and Communist parties in this country emerged from Labour. I wonder if we're about to see history repeat itself there?
    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
    Also just to add to your 'vile human being' bit, perhaps you need to consider what made people take up these views in the first place. While I agree that there are people of my generation (16-24) that are vile in their opinions towards those that have benefited so much from Government policies, if there wasn't so much unfairness in the system then they likely wouldn't have these views.
    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Yorkcity said:

    kle4 said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    Poll tax seemed more sensible than community charge .
    Before my time. Sometimes it might well both work and be appropriate, as of course governments do pull the same trick as the opposition, giving something a name in an effort to shape its perception. But I'd bet it is usually the opposite, a cynical branding only.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,339
    kle4 said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    One that hasn't caught on is the train tax. I'd love to ask Jezza if the cost of my season ticket (£3,130) would come down if the railways were nationalised. I reckon about £2,200 covers the running cost and the tiny profit Stagecoach make on the franchise. The rest goes to the government in premium payments (i.e. tax). But I bet Jezza doesn't know about that.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,118
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Hanretty
    Low Seats High Swing
    Conservatives 331 379 426 49
    Labour 150 195 241 -37
    Liberal Democrats 2 7 15 -1
    SNP 34 46 55 -10
    Plaid Cymru 1 2 4 -1
    Greens 0 1 2 0
    UKIP 0 1 5 0
    Other 1 1 1 0

    YouGov are geniuses, or fools. But they aren't herding at least, with most in the Hanretty range instead.
  • Options
    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    kle4 said:

    Yorkcity said:

    kle4 said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    Poll tax seemed more sensible than community charge .
    Before my time. Sometimes it might well both work and be appropriate, as of course governments do pull the same trick as the opposition, giving something a name in an effort to shape its perception. But I'd bet it is usually the opposite, a cynical branding only.
    What would you call the bedroom tax then that is more recent .
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,088
    Danny565 said:

    Probably been commented on already, but the YouGov Seat Predictor (for whatever it's worth) predicts Amber Rudd to lose her seat.

    High Peak is also too close to call. If you believe that :)
  • Options
    Isn't it extraordinary that Mr. Corbyn and most of the other participants would not shake Paul Nuttall;s hand. Just a simple want of courtesy and certainly JC has shaken the hands of far worse people!
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    edited May 2017
    Yorkcity said:

    kle4 said:

    Yorkcity said:

    kle4 said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    The names taxes get given are rarely sensible. Heck, the word tax gets applied to things that aren't taxes!
    Poll tax seemed more sensible than community charge .
    Before my time. Sometimes it might well both work and be appropriate, as of course governments do pull the same trick as the opposition, giving something a name in an effort to shape its perception. But I'd bet it is usually the opposite, a cynical branding only.
    What would you call the bedroom tax then that is more recent .
    The reduction or removal of a benefit, which even if it is terrible, is not a tax.

    But I still refer to it as the bedroom tax. It's what most people know it as.
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Miss Aco

    Agreed. Problem I have is that I am warming to Jezza. His policies are as left wing as er, Harold Wilson's. And he's been by far the best leader in the campaign. McMao and Abbott? Yeah, major negatives. I'd need assurances that centrists would hold senior positions in Cabinet.
  • Options
    TMA1TMA1 Posts: 225
    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    Ha.
    Houses with gardens are being knocked down all over the place and being replaced by flats and multiple houses/ homes. I see this happening every day with my own eyes. Repeat... I am seeing it.
    What world are you living in?
    People will be shafted by this tax. If they are not to be there is no point to it. It is labours intention to shaft these people and when they have got them by the short and curlies they will shaft them out of existance. This is just one of their mechanisms to squeeze the wealth out of people and give ir to anybody willing to piss it up the wall.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583

    The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.

    I'd love to see a Question Time episode where a garage mechanic said something like "Terrorist suspects? Why don't we just shoot them?"
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,982
    .
    tlg86 said:

    One that hasn't caught on is the train tax. I'd love to ask Jezza if the cost of my season ticket (£3,130) would come down if the railways were nationalised. I reckon about £2,200 covers the running cost and the tiny profit Stagecoach make on the franchise. The rest goes to the government in premium payments (i.e. tax). But I bet Jezza doesn't know about that.

    To be fair Stagecoach are pretty much the exemplary franchise holders. If you were in Arriva Trains Wales (biggest return, massive overcrowding, absolutely no new rolling stock) or Southern (enough said) territory you might think differently.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    glw said:

    The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.

    I'd love to see a Question Time episode where a garage mechanic said something like "Terrorist suspects? Why don't we just shoot them?"
    The one in Barking was pretty realistic
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Danny565 said:

    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%

    That would be quite the surge, albeit the way of things in recent living memory.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958
    ydoethur said:



    So out of curiosity, why do you shout your support for Corbyn, who would entrench that unfairness by making all benefits including pensions universal, rather than May who is proposing that people at least partially support themselves from their own resources?

    Incidentally, Corbyn will not make university tuition fees free. It seems unlikely that universities - who are not actually Government bodies, please remember, but private charities - would accept the level of funding he can offer. They would instead charge private fees as they do to overseas students.

    The supreme irony of Corbynism will be that his policies on education based on class warfare and free at the point of use would hammer our state education system and our university to pieces and leave only the very rich able to afford education at any level. Is that what you want? Really? Because if so I see no reason to modify my views on you.

    I applauded May when she proposed the policy, then she rowed back on it, and now no-one really knows what the policy is (capped at £????)?

    With regards to the levels that tuition fees are set at, currently the vast majority of people are unlikely to ever pay back their loans, especially as inflation rises so it in effects acts like an additional 9% tax on income for those unfortunate enough to be born after 1995, so it is likely that they could be lowered to back to the £3000 level at a minimal cost. Any cost incurred could be easily offset by things such as means testing the state pension or creating a pensioner health-care levy on pensioners.

    In all honesty the politics of the UK seems to be just so far removed from my politics that its come to the point where I want to maximise my economic wellbeing and get out.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    Agreed. Problem I have is that I am warming to Jezza. His policies are as left wing as er, Harold Wilson's. And he's been by far the best leader in the campaign. McMao and Abbott? Yeah, major negatives. I'd need assurances that centrists would hold senior positions in Cabinet.

    Corbyn was allied with the militant tendency in the 1980s. If he was as left wing as Wilson I'd have no issues with him, but that manifesto is deceptively ''moderate'' for Corbyn.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2017
    Danny565 said:

    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%

    At the local elections a few weeks ago the Tories narrowly got most votes in H&R.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    glw said:

    The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.

    I'd love to see a Question Time episode where a garage mechanic said something like "Terrorist suspects? Why don't we just shoot them?"
    The only Question Time we need?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p3tUqRBiMVo&index=52&list=FLg5SdxeHca5JpoZ1j9-RpJg
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,070

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,050
    Jonathan said:

    Must admit it would be a rather fun to see how Corbyn fares in front of a hostile Tory/UKIP crowd.

    I suspect it would depend on the size of it. A hostile crowd of 40+ and he would start shouting and screaming very quickly. A crowd of about 5/6 he'd probably enjoy a discussion with. A crowd of say 20-odd and he would start well and then lose it as he realised they were all laughing at him. (To be fair to May, she didn't lose it at those idiots the other night who started laughing at her when she dared to remind them Corbyn's policies were unaffordable merely because they are unaffordable. I can't see Corbyn doing that successfully.)

    Anyway, I am off to bed. I hope my posts have given people something to ponder (there's always a first time)!
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,339

    .

    tlg86 said:

    One that hasn't caught on is the train tax. I'd love to ask Jezza if the cost of my season ticket (£3,130) would come down if the railways were nationalised. I reckon about £2,200 covers the running cost and the tiny profit Stagecoach make on the franchise. The rest goes to the government in premium payments (i.e. tax). But I bet Jezza doesn't know about that.

    To be fair Stagecoach are pretty much the exemplary franchise holders. If you were in Arriva Trains Wales (biggest return, massive overcrowding, absolutely no new rolling stock) or Southern (enough said) territory you might think differently.
    ATW is let by the Welsh Assembly - so Labour should sort that out themselves. And the issues on GTR are being driven by the government rather than franchise holder. They're just doing what they're told.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,101
    Sean_F said:

    Cyclefree said:

    IanB2 said:

    Dadge said:

    SeanT said:

    Fucking outrageous audience. Totally gamed by activists.

    Cancel the fucking Licence Fee. Grrrr.......

    :-D
    It's not cowardice.
    But they aren't.

    You can't say you're voting for a 'better future' and then vote for people who will crash the economy (Labour).

    Economically incompetent people cannot deliver a better future especially for the most vulnerable in society that many Corbynistas speak of wanting to protect.
    You have been hanging round with the PB tories too long!

    Hard Brexit is the most damaging economic policy possible.
    Corbyn will likely give us a Hard Brexit anyway, given how terrible he is likely to be as a negotiator. We are f*cked either way, but we will probably be less f*cked with Hammond/Rudd as Chancellor than McDonnell.
    Government is coming for a slice of property equity whatever. The Tories have already given that game away.
    I'd still rather that the person behind that not be a Marxist.

    How difficult is it to understand the difference between using your own assets to spend on yourself to look after yourself when you need care (the Tory proposal) and taking your wealth to spend on others (what Labour will do)?

    Look at @BJO - one moment howling at the unfairness of the Dementia tax because the Governnment will steal Granny's house and this evening demanding that the wealthy i.e. those with houses be taxed even more than now.

    Why is the former "theft" and the latter not?

    Oh, I remember now. The latter is being done by Labour and so is OK and the former by Tories and therefore evil.

    It's utterly pathetic.

    You have completely lost it IMO

    Your hatred of Corbyn clouds everything you post now.

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors

    What sort of Government introduces cuts that mean disabled people suffer more misery and in some commit suicide to give sweeties to those who are already well off.

    I thought you had some compassion.

    Me Me Me society has to end.
    That's a bit paranoid.

    The government isn't starving the public. We don't live in Stalin's Russia.
    Why has foodbank attendance shot up so much Sean

    Have you ever been to one?

    If not you will not understand how desperate some people in the country are.
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    IanB2 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    IanB2 said:

    Dadge said:

    SeanT said:

    Fucking outrageous audience. Totally gamed by activists.

    Cancel the fucking Licence Fee. Grrrr.......

    :-D
    It's not cowardice. It's confidence in one's own views.
    It's not like Labour party supporters aren't voting for their own interests too.

    Get your hypocrisy in check.
    But they aren't.

    You can't say you're voting for a 'better future' and then vote for people who will crash the economy (Labour).

    Economically incompetent people cannot deliver a better future especially for the most vulnerable in society that many Corbynistas speak of wanting to protect.
    You have been hanging round with the PB tories too long!

    Hard Brexit is the most damaging economic policy possible.
    Corbyn will likely give us a Hard Brexit anyway, given how terrible he is likely to be as a negotiator. We are f*cked either way, but we will probably be less f*cked with Hammond/Rudd as Chancellor than McDonnell.
    Government is coming for a slice of property equity whatever. The Tories have already given that game away.
    I'd still rather that the person behind that not be a Marxist.

    How difficult is it to understand the difference between using your own assets to spend on yourself to look after yourself when you need care (the Tory snip

    It's utterly pathetic.

    You have completely lost it IMO

    Your hatred of Corbyn clouds everything you post now.

    You talk about Morals what kind of Government starves its own people to cut the top rate of tax for its donors

    What sort of Government introduces cuts that mean disabled people suffer more misery and in some commit suicide to give sweeties to those who are already well off.

    I thought you had some compassion.

    Me Me Me society has to end.
    This. I used to enjoy Cyclefree's posts but I agree the tenor has changed.
    +1. I am not sure what went wrong; the early period works were so thoughtful.
    That was in the days when Paul Nuttall was still ghost writing them.
  • Options
    juniusjunius Posts: 73
    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?
  • Options
    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,331
    AndyJS said:

    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.

    To be fair and taking the policy detail out of it, Corbyn has run a much much better campaign than Weird Ed.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    isam said:

    Why would this be outrageous? This is what we are up against, the kind of attitude that makes terrorism more likely

    She's a Green, they are all moonbats.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,101
    kle4 said:

    Hanretty
    Low Seats High Swing
    Conservatives 331 379 426 49
    Labour 150 195 241 -37
    Liberal Democrats 2 7 15 -1
    SNP 34 46 55 -10
    Plaid Cymru 1 2 4 -1
    Greens 0 1 2 0
    UKIP 0 1 5 0
    Other 1 1 1 0

    YouGov are geniuses, or fools. But they aren't herding at least, with most in the Hanretty range instead.

    I am far closer to Henretty than YG
  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    TMA1 said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    Ha.
    Houses with gardens are being knocked down all over the place and being replaced by flats and multiple houses/ homes. I see this happening every day with my own eyes. Repeat... I am seeing it.
    What world are you living in?
    People will be shafted by this tax. If they are not to be there is no point to it. It is labours intention to shaft these people and when they have got them by the short and curlies they will shaft them out of existance. This is just one of their mechanisms to squeeze the wealth out of people and give ir to anybody willing to piss it up the wall.
    Is "shaft out of existence" a euphemism for having everyone who owns a house stood up against a wall and shot? Or will Labour let it rest at holding Guardian-reading muesli parties in what used to be ordinary people's gardens?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfzwIms-M5M
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    junius said:

    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?

    Don't be a c*** all your life.. have a day off.
  • Options
    chloechloe Posts: 308
    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    junius said:

    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?

    Well someone suggested Rudd might be moved to the Foreign Office, so maybe she'll send her again.

    AndyJS said:

    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.

    To be fair and taking the policy detail out of it, Corbyn has run a much much better campaign than Weird Ed.
    He has, and that's embarrassing for Ed too, and the end result will be very hard on the poor chap.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,101
    junius said:

    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?

    lol
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958
    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    Agreed. Problem I have is that I am warming to Jezza. His policies are as left wing as er, Harold Wilson's. And he's been by far the best leader in the campaign. McMao and Abbott? Yeah, major negatives. I'd need assurances that centrists would hold senior positions in Cabinet.

    Corbyn was allied with the militant tendency in the 1980s. If he was as left wing as Wilson I'd have no issues with him, but that manifesto is deceptively ''moderate'' for Corbyn.
    Corbyn and his ilk were belittling Wilson for selling out socialism in the 1970s.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,088
    AndyJS said:

    Danny565 said:

    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%

    At the local elections a few weeks ago the Tories narrowly got most votes in H&R.
    Always get a good few extra "government" voters in the GE though normally.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    I have sympathy with this. And it has me wondering whether May's retreat from even the hint of seeking a bigger contribution from pensioners has played particularly badly with the young?
  • Options
    kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    edited May 2017
    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Rudd is the only Cabinet minister who YouGov predicts to lose their seat -- although Cairns, Greening and Boris(!!) all have Labour within 10% of them on these projections.
  • Options
    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,331

    junius said:

    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?

    Don't be a c*** all your life.. have a day off.
    It was a fair quip. Take it on the chin, like isam does.
  • Options
    TMA1TMA1 Posts: 225

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Chameleon said:


    Ehh, from my perspective he can make a better future for the next 10 or so years, by the time the debts are called in I can then be living & working in a different country.

    That's an interesting post, highlighting the greed, selfishness and moral cowardice that underpins Labour - we'll take what we want because we are good people and deserve it and you are evil and we hate you all. It always has been fundamental to Labour of course (look up Emmanuel Shinwell if you don't believe me) but I don't think I've ever seen quite such a stunning lack of self-awareness of it, not even in O'Farrell's memoirs (where he admits in the 1980s he was essentially a Fascist).

    Tony Blair persuaded people that actually it wasn't the case and Labour did care about real people with real lives for a while, but Labour (a) failed to actually capitalise on that by a significant rejigging of our economy and welfare system when they had the chance and (b) has forgotten that painfully learned lesson that actually most people really do see them with a clear eye and hate them not because of MSM bias but because loads of them are truly vile human beings.

    I have always thought it is no coincidence that the leaders of both the Fascist and Communist parties in this country emerged from Labour. I wonder if we're about to see history repeat itself there?
    For what it is worth, I usually consider myself a fiscal conservative. However the policies of both parties over the past few decades have enriched the baby-boomers beyond belief, and as their demands on the state grow (e.g. healthcare) the burden to fund this has been put on the young, not the old. Until the balance has been fixed we can expect a further rise in radical politics.
    FWIW, the much derided Tory plan on social care did exactly this. It required rich pensioners to pay for their social care.
    Correct but Chameleon could not recognise someone agreeing with the main plank of his philosophy. You could not make it up. Yet he must be in the upper percentile of intelligent people in the country.
    Firstly what must go on in the minds of the more gullible and secondly can you blame politicians off all strips for their (often derided) approach?
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Dadge said:

    valleyboy said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Dadge said:

    SeanT said:

    Fucking outrageous audience. Totally gamed by activists.

    Cancel the fucking Licence Fee. Grrrr.......

    :-D

    Corbyn hasn't been that good really, but the 35% of the audience who support him have definitely done him a favour. The silence of the Tories in the audience speaks volumes. They're cowards - they silently sit on their hands and then they go into the polling station and vote to protect their interests.
    It's not cowardice. It's confidence in one's own views.
    It's not like Labour party supporters aren't voting for their own interests too.

    Get your hypocrisy in check.
    But they aren't.

    You can't say you're voting for a 'better future' and then vote for people who will crash the economy (Labour).

    Economically incompetent people cannot deliver a better future especially for the most vulnerable in society that many Corbynistas speak of wanting to protect.
    You have been hanging round with the PB tories too long!

    Hard Brexit is the most damaging economic policy possible.
    No, I just don't want to see that Garden Tax and have a situation where my parents go into negative equity on their mortgage.

    Corbyn will likely give us a Hard Brexit anyway, given how terrible he is likely to be as a negotiator. We are f*cked either way, but we will probably be less f*cked with Hammond/Rudd as Chancellor than McDonnell.
    Put you cross in the Tory box , do not bullshit us you were going to do anything else.
    Get a grip. I voted Labour 2015, and Remain last year. Had Corbyn not been in charge, I would have voted Labour this year as well.

    Do not blame me that the Labour party has put extremists in charge who plan to tax the hilt out of everyone but are not being entirely honest about it.
    You do seem to have done a u turn in your political allegiances which would have made May and Thatcher proud.Perhaps you never were labour.
    I think that's unfair. I disagree with the Apo about taxes etc. - there is a non-reckless alternative to Tory austerity economics - but I sympathise that it's hard to vote for a man like Corbyn.
    Exactly. Had they not had Corbyn/McDonnell at the helm, I'd be voting Labour at this GE. But I can't vote for someone whose Shadow Chancellor does not even respect democracy FFS.
    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,982
    tlg86 said:

    ATW is let by the Welsh Assembly - so Labour should sort that out themselves. And the issues on GTR are being driven by the government rather than franchise holder. They're just doing what they're told.

    Current ATW is a Westminster-let franchise, though yes, next one will be Assembly-controlled (and a pig's ear they're making of it too).
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
    That Labour's desperation to knock a hole in the Tories' commanding lead has pushed them into positions that defend the few against the many is one of the ironies of this election.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,050
    edited May 2017
    Chameleon said:


    I applauded May when she proposed the policy, then she rowed back on it, and now no-one really knows what the policy is (capped at £????)?

    With regards to the levels that tuition fees are set at, currently the vast majority of people are unlikely to ever pay back their loans, especially as inflation rises so it in effects acts like an additional 9% tax on income for those unfortunate enough to be born after 1995, so it is likely that they could be lowered to back to the £3000 level at a minimal cost. Any cost incurred could be easily offset by things such as means testing the state pension or creating a pensioner health-care levy on pensioners.

    In all honesty the politics of the UK seems to be just so far removed from my politics that its come to the point where I want to maximise my economic wellbeing and get out.

    It wouldn't be minimal cost. It is a graduate tax, of course you are right, but it's actually going to pay off most of the principal over the 30 years of the average graduate earnings. Some may not pay much, but others will pay far more. The real killer, and to this extent I do agree, is the interest on it, which will prove problematic for people repaying it. However, that is a different problem that probably can be adjusted.

    Also the cost of tuition on most university courses is more than £9,000 (although that also says a lot about the corruption and inefficiency of HE). So even now they are running at a loss. Corbyn has proposed to increase that loss substantially. Guess where cuts fall under such circumstances? Hint: not where they should. The first subjects to die would be Stem, which is very expensive to run.

    The policy May espoused is still there. There has been the suggestion of possible watering down further on, but no change to the manifesto. So if you approve of it, you have the option of voting for it.

    Anyway, hope you have found that instructive. Good night.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    I'm of the 18-24 generation as well.

    All of that is true.

    But Corbyn would make things even worse for our generation.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958
    IanB2 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    I have sympathy with this. And it has me wondering whether May's retreat from even the hint of seeking a bigger contribution from pensioners has played particularly badly with the young?
    It's played badly with me, and people I know. She's seen as being in thrall to the elderly. That being said however I think that lots of youths will have barely noticed it, or the rowback.
  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017

    Corbyn was allied with the militant tendency in the 1980s.

    No he wasn't. He opposed their expulsion; that's all. They weren't allied to anyone. They had a a few people who they controlled, but Corbyn wasn't one of them. His politics were and are very different from theirs. Nationalise hundreds of monopolies was their most famous slogan. Corbyn was always a Labour party man, never an entrist. Pretty moderate during the miners' strike.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,101

    AndyJS said:

    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.

    To be fair and taking the policy detail out of it, Corbyn has run a much much better campaign than Weird Ed.
    Ed was Crap (somebody said)
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291
    glw said:

    The BBC has to do something about their audience selection for QT audiences. There was no way that lot were representative of the British public. Typically, they vociferously cheered unilateral disarmament, when the vast majority of voters support the nuclear deterrent; even Corbyn has had to backtrack on his personal beliefs on that point because of the strength of the public opinion. It never ceases to amaze me how on QT we have endless interventions from students and public sector employees, all decrying the wicked Tories. "As a student," "as a nurse", "as a doctor", "as a civil servant", "as a local government officer." Where are the retailers, the estate agents, the petrol station attendants, the cleaners, the advertising copywriters, the shop assistants, the entrepreneurs, the car sales staff, the mechanics? No less than 83 per cent of the British workforce are in the private sector. Judging by Question Time audience contributions, you would think that figure was about 10 per cent.

    I'd love to see a Question Time episode where a garage mechanic said something like "Terrorist suspects? Why don't we just shoot them?"
    It might play out like this.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04clpd7h0b0
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,325

    .

    tlg86 said:

    One that hasn't caught on is the train tax. I'd love to ask Jezza if the cost of my season ticket (£3,130) would come down if the railways were nationalised. I reckon about £2,200 covers the running cost and the tiny profit Stagecoach make on the franchise. The rest goes to the government in premium payments (i.e. tax). But I bet Jezza doesn't know about that.

    To be fair Stagecoach are pretty much the exemplary franchise holders. If you were in Arriva Trains Wales (biggest return, massive overcrowding, absolutely no new rolling stock) or Southern (enough said) territory you might think differently.
    Try northern rail.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Cyan said:

    Corbyn was allied with the militant tendency in the 1980s.

    No he wasn't. He opposed their expulsion; that's all.
    That's all?!
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,070

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.

    Deselection won't happen. Corbynistas do not control the party machine. I can't vote Labour this time. But it's not a binary choice. A vote for the Tories is a vote for a party that is prepared to inflict sustained damage to the UK economy and millions of ordinary Britons.

  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited May 2017
    surbiton said:




    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.

    LOL.

    This is why Labour won't win next week.

    Don't know why you're so shocked though. You've been perfectly okay with me for the last two years, and I said the exact same for that time period.

    Maybe you just don't like home truths?
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958
    edited May 2017
    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
    Yeah, he's no saviour of the young either, but I know lots of people are eyeing up the free uni and then are looking to emigrate after they finish (Canada is the overwhelming favourite).
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    surbiton said:

    Dadge said:

    valleyboy said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Dadge said:



    :-D

    Corbyn hasn't been that good really, but the 35% of the audience who support him have definitely done him a favour. The silence of the Tories in the audience speaks volumes. They're cowards - they silently sit on their hands and then they go into the polling station and vote to protect their interests.

    It's not cowardice. It's confidence in one's own views.
    It's not like Labour party supporters aren't voting for their own interests too.

    Get your hypocrisy in check.
    But they aren't.

    You can't say you're voting for a 'better future' and then vote for people who will crash the economy (Labour).

    Economically incompetent people cannot deliver a better future especially for the most vulnerable in society that many Corbynistas speak of wanting to protect.
    You have been hanging round with the PB tories too long!

    Hard Brexit is the most damaging economic policy possible.
    No, I just don't want to see that Garden Tax and have a situation where my parents go into negative equity on their mortgage.

    Corbyn will likely give us a Hard Brexit anyway, given how terrible he is likely to be as a negotiator. We are f*cked either way, but we will probably be less f*cked with Hammond/Rudd as Chancellor than McDonnell.
    Put you cross in the Tory box , do not bullshit us you were going to do anything else.
    Get a grip. I voted Labour 2015, and Remain last year. Had Corbyn not been in charge, I would have voted Labour this year as well.

    Do not blame me that the Labour party has put extremists in charge who plan to tax the hilt out of everyone but are not being entirely honest about it.
    You do seem to have done a u turn in your political allegiances which would have made May and Thatcher proud.Perhaps you never were labour.
    I think that's unfair. I disagree with the Apo about taxes etc. - there is a non-reckless alternative to Tory austerity economics - but I sympathise that it's hard to vote for a man like Corbyn.
    Exactly. Had they not had Corbyn/McDonnell at the helm, I'd be voting Labour at this GE. But I can't vote for someone whose Shadow Chancellor does not even respect democracy FFS.
    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.
    Yes, especially as it is rather shallow...
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,101
    Tonight's message from Lynton Crosby to the people of the UK: No Theresa May is better than a bad Theresa May
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819

    Tonight's message from Lynton Crosby to the people of the UK: No Theresa May is better than a bad Theresa May

    Ha! Funny and true.
  • Options
    dyingswandyingswan Posts: 189
    Another triumph for BBC impartiality of audiences. They really do excel at that. If they ran a football club no away fans would be let in.
  • Options
    chloechloe Posts: 308
    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    He's toxic in my world too but he has not been properly challenged and as far as I can tell he is the one with the momentum (and I don't just mean his Corbyistas) in this election.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Alistair said:

    Calling it a garden tax is f'ing stupid as a garden doesn't have planning permission to build on so would be low value.

    Land value tax explicitly ignores whether land has buildings on it or pp for buildings on it. The term is indeed silly, but so is calling things taxes which are not taxes at all eg bedroom, dementia etc.
    But lvt, as I understand it, does take into account planning status. Unimproveable land has a lower potential rental value than land that can be improved and so would have a lower taxable value.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited May 2017
    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
    Yeah, he's no saviour of the young either, but I know lots of people are eyeing up the free uni and then are looking to emigrate after they finish (Canada is the overwhelming favourite).
    Canada has pretty tough immigration laws. Good luck to them if they think it'll be easy to get in there.
  • Options
    TMA1TMA1 Posts: 225

    Tonight's message from Lynton Crosby to the people of the UK: No Theresa May is better than a bad Theresa May

    Where was Nicola?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    chloe said:

    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    He's toxic in my world too but he has not been properly challenged and as far as I can tell he is the one with the momentum (and I don't just mean his Corbyistas) in this election.
    That's what the polls say, although apart from YouGov they still say good Tory win.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
    Yeah, he's no saviour of the young either, but I know lots of people are eyeing up the free uni and then are looking to emigrate after they finish (Canada is the overwhelming favourite).
    Canada has pretty tough immigration. Good luck to them if they think it'll be easy to get in there.
    It's not too bad providing that you have a useful degree, however if they can't get into Canada they'll just switch countries until they find one that they can get in to.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Doors someone have a link to the NEV from the local elections?
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,583
    dr_spyn said:

    It might play out like this.

    Brilliant, even better than Enfield and Whitehouse. Smith and Jones did a lot of spoof interviews sending up TV of that time, and they nailed them.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    I doubt Corbyn's toxicity to the British public. He has an eccentric favourite uncle's appeal whilst May is an unloved and avoided aunt.
  • Options
    hoveitehoveite Posts: 43
    Pulpstar said:

    AndyJS said:

    Danny565 said:

    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%

    At the local elections a few weeks ago the Tories narrowly got most votes in H&R.
    Always get a good few extra "government" voters in the GE though normally.
    There is a plan to upgrade the rail line between Hastings and London. Plenty of people in Hastings think this would be good for the area - and that it is more likely to happen if the local MP is in the cabinet and in a position to push it through. If Hastings home owners vote for what they think is most likely to benefit them financially they'll vote for Amber Rudd.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291
    David Cowling on recent polling changes.

    http://survation.com/tide-turned-david-cowling/

    Some food for thought.
  • Options
    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,331

    surbiton said:




    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.

    LOL.

    This is why Labour won't win next week.

    Don't know why you're so shocked though. You've been perfectly okay with me for the last two years, and I said the exact same for that time period.

    Maybe you just don't like home truths?
    To be honest, the reason I will vote LAB this time is because they are trying to offer something different. A good share will encourage a future Labour campaign to be bold, in a way that recent Labour campaigns haven't and ideally with a leader with wider appeal. Corbyn will not win, for all the reasons espoused by many here, but If he gets 35% plus it will show there is an appetite for something different. Theresa is just more of the same pain, with added foxhunting.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    hoveite said:

    Pulpstar said:

    AndyJS said:

    Danny565 said:

    Hastings & Rye - YouGov

    Labour 45%
    Conservatives 42%

    At the local elections a few weeks ago the Tories narrowly got most votes in H&R.
    Always get a good few extra "government" voters in the GE though normally.
    There is a plan to upgrade the rail line between Hastings and London. Plenty of people in Hastings think this would be good for the area - and that it is more likely to happen if the local MP is in the cabinet and in a position to push it through. If Hastings home owners vote for what they think is most likely to benefit them financially they'll vote for Amber Rudd.
    You'll still have to put up with narrower carriages than everyone else; that tunnel south of Sevenoaks killed enough people digging it the first time.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    IanB2 said:

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
    Yes, I know. But they'll never get into power, and I'd like to vote for a left of centre party at this GE, ideally.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    dr_spyn said:

    David Cowling on recent polling changes.

    http://survation.com/tide-turned-david-cowling/

    Some food for thought.

    For a variety of reasons, I find this election confusing.

    Him and me both.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    Alistair said:

    Doors someone have a link to the NEV from the local elections?

    There are NEV figures here

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_local_elections,_2017
  • Options
    chloechloe Posts: 308
    kle4 said:

    chloe said:

    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    He's toxic in my world too but he has not been properly challenged and as far as I can tell he is the one with the momentum (and I don't just mean his Corbyistas) in this election.
    That's what the polls say, although apart from YouGov they still say good Tory win.
    True but the media coverage is constantly negative for Tories and May, that has to cut through to voting?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735

    IanB2 said:

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
    Yes, I know. But they'll never get into power, and I'd like to vote for a left of centre party at this GE, ideally.
    The LibDems under Farron are clearly left of centre, without Labour's crazy bits. Indeed in some areas, such as their tax policy, they are more redistributive (which used to be the key left/right differentiator) than Labour.
  • Options
    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    dr_spyn said:

    David Cowling on recent polling changes.

    http://survation.com/tide-turned-david-cowling/

    Some food for thought.

    In his conclusion he raises the possibility of low turnout because some voters feel this might be an unnecessary election. If turnout is low who does that favor?
  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    kle4 said:

    Cyan said:

    Corbyn was allied with the militant tendency in the 1980s.

    No he wasn't. He opposed their expulsion; that's all.
    That's all?!
    Tony Benn and Eric Heffer opposed Militant's expulsion too. Benn, Heffer and Corbyn were in the Campaign Group. They opposed the expulsion because they thought they might be next, probably, or at least they feared a takeover by the right. Militant wasn't a faction of the party: they were their own party, and everyone in Labour knew it. Most people despised them, even on the left of the party, even many who opposed their expulsion. I wouldn't call the relationship with the CG and people like Corbyn an "alliance". Corbyn has always been a genuine guy. He's never been like Derek Hatton.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    chloe said:

    kle4 said:

    chloe said:

    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    He's toxic in my world too but he has not been properly challenged and as far as I can tell he is the one with the momentum (and I don't just mean his Corbyistas) in this election.
    That's what the polls say, although apart from YouGov they still say good Tory win.
    True but the media coverage is constantly negative for Tories and May, that has to cut through to voting?
    But what if it has had an effect, which we have seen in the narrowing Tory lead. The question is will that continue? Hell, Lab went up even after the first few difficult days they had over the bank holiday period.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    surbiton said:




    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.

    LOL.

    This is why Labour won't win next week.

    Don't know why you're so shocked though. You've been perfectly okay with me for the last two years, and I said the exact same for that time period.

    Maybe you just don't like home truths?
    To be honest, the reason I will vote LAB this time is because they are trying to offer something different. A good share will encourage a future Labour campaign to be bold, in a way that recent Labour campaigns haven't and ideally with a leader with wider appeal. Corbyn will not win, for all the reasons espoused by many here, but If he gets 35% plus it will show there is an appetite for something different. Theresa is just more of the same pain, with added foxhunting.
    I hope you're right re future campaigns. We need something different, and May is certainly not the answer - indeed she could be our worst PM in decades if she carries on the way she has.

    A competent left of centre alternative is what this country needs. I hope in the summer Labour members go for that.

    Thank you for not acting like I'm the worse person in the world because of my fears regarding Corbyn/McDonnell.
  • Options
    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    kjohnw said:

    chloe said:

    I doubt if debates in themselves change voting intentions much but the main story from this debates is that May did not take part meaning continuing negative coverage. Not helpful in getting the core message across about who is best able to get a good Brexit deal.

    More tightening in the polls to be expected. Corbyn for all his many faults is proving once again to be an excellent campaigner. He has proved that in winning two leadership elections and I am finding it hard not to envisage a victory for him in this election.

    The message of coalition of chaos and friend of Hamas et al is not being heard.

    not in your world but in the real world Corbyn is toxic and the silent majority will dismiss him on June 8
    I doubt Corbyn's toxicity to the British public. He has an eccentric favourite uncle's appeal whilst May is an unloved and avoided aunt.
    Eccentric
    kle4 said:

    junius said:

    Will Theresa May actually turn up for the Brexit negotiations ?

    Well someone suggested Rudd might be moved to the Foreign Office, so maybe she'll send her again.

    AndyJS said:

    One thing we can all agree on. It'll be a bit embarrassing for Ed Miliband if Corbyn gets a higher share of the vote than he did.

    To be fair and taking the policy detail out of it, Corbyn has run a much much better campaign than Weird Ed.
    He has, and that's embarrassing for Ed too, and the end result will be very hard on the poor chap.
    To be fair Ed was up against Ukip and a good Tory leader.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @britainelects: Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 42% (-1)
    LAB: 39% (+3)
    LDEM: 7% (-2)
    UKIP: 4% (-)

    (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May)
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    ydoethur said:




    I teach them. And have done now for 11 years in schools and universities, including inner city Bristol and the leafy suburbs of Gloucestershire to the mid-point of Cannock.

    They would. They really would. Greed is not predicated on unfairness. After all by that logic rich businessmen would stop earning when they'd had enough. Yet they don't. Don't look at Trump because he isn't exactly nice to look at (!) but the key difference between him and a socialist is that he has money and they don't. Their ultimate aims are very similar.

    Well I can't claim to speak for everyone of my generation, and there are likely some individuals like you describe, but in general, at least among my circle, there is a feeling of a loaded deck against us and while we see our tuition fees and rents skyrocket the elderly, that have benefitted massively from house price inflation see their pensions rise by 3% year-by-year even when inflation is near zero.
    Well, Corbyn was furious tonight that Rudd was removing the triple lock pension bribe (in fairness I think he was repeatedly asking that, even though its not something the tories would contest, in part to disrupt Rudd's attempt to answer on social care)
    Yeah, he's no saviour of the young either, but I know lots of people are eyeing up the free uni and then are looking to emigrate after they finish (Canada is the overwhelming favourite).
    Canada has pretty tough immigration. Good luck to them if they think it'll be easy to get in there.
    It's not too bad providing that you have a useful degree, however if they can't get into Canada they'll just switch countries until they find one that they can get in to.
    Canada is also a rare place with a property bubble worse than ours
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
    Yes, I know. But they'll never get into power, and I'd like to vote for a left of centre party at this GE, ideally.
    The LibDems under Farron are clearly left of centre, without Labour's crazy bits. Indeed in some areas, such as their tax policy, they are more redistributive (which used to be the key left/right differentiator) than Labour.
    The LDs are WAY too Europhile for me. I was originally going to vote for them, but they've put me off gradually over the course of this campaign.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,958
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
    Yes, I know. But they'll never get into power, and I'd like to vote for a left of centre party at this GE, ideally.
    The LibDems under Farron are clearly left of centre, without Labour's crazy bits. Indeed in some areas, such as their tax policy, they are more redistributive (which used to be the key left/right differentiator) than Labour.
    Unfortunately their leader is the least liberal of them all!
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,149
    Scott_P said:

    @britainelects: Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 42% (-1)
    LAB: 39% (+3)
    LDEM: 7% (-2)
    UKIP: 4% (-)

    (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May)

    39% :smiley:
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,332


    Why has foodbank attendance shot up so much Sean

    Have you ever been to one?

    If not you will not understand how desperate some people in the country are.

    So, will Labour close down food banks and pretend - in that Stalinist way - "There is no poverty in our Socialist Utopia?"

    And send the food to landfill, like they did under the last Labour Govt.?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,735
    edited May 2017

    surbiton said:




    Please do not vote Labour Your vote will contaminate our pool.

    LOL.

    This is why Labour won't win next week.

    Don't know why you're so shocked though. You've been perfectly okay with me for the last two years, and I said the exact same for that time period.

    Maybe you just don't like home truths?
    To be honest, the reason I will vote LAB this time is because they are trying to offer something different. A good share will encourage a future Labour campaign to be bold, in a way that recent Labour campaigns haven't and ideally with a leader with wider appeal. Corbyn will not win, for all the reasons espoused by many here, but If he gets 35% plus it will show there is an appetite for something different. Theresa is just more of the same pain, with added foxhunting.
    Another good thing, if the majority is smaller than originally anticipated, they won't risk the fox hunting vote. If a Tory government tried it and failed, it would be consigned to history alongside cock fighting, bull-baiting and the rest.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,819
    Scott_P said:

    @britainelects: Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 42% (-1)
    LAB: 39% (+3)
    LDEM: 7% (-2)
    UKIP: 4% (-)

    (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May)

    Closest yet, LDs still stucka round 7-8.

    It is impressive that rain or shine, good day, great day or bad day, Labour don't dip at all. Getting close to 2005 numbers? I know the LDs are well down, but really?
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 56,523

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    bobajobPB said:

    Miss Aco

    That story is someone from the Tories claiming it would lead to those fees! Ignore!

    The trouble is I really don't trust McDonnell. I'm very ill at ease to find out what he'd do.

    If Labour had normal political figures in the main jobs, it'd be one thing. I'd take Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor anyday over McMao.

    They are all steeped in the confrontational, agit-prop politics of the 70s and 80s. They are appalling and McDonnell is worst of all. But they are not going to win. The Tories are. The damage a no deal Brexit would inflict on the UK is worse than anything McDonnell could do - primarily because he could not get it through Parliament. I am not voting Labour next week. But there's no way on earth I could vote for a party seriously proposing that walking away deal-less from the EU is anything other than a total and unmitigated catastrophe. A party that thinks that way cannot be trusted.

    Those are fair points, and as I said before I'll probably protest vote Green, in the end.

    I seriously hope that Labour MPs would not entertain any crazy ideas by McDonnell and Corbyn. But I fear the threat of deselection may lead to some being pressured into voting for them if the worst happened.
    Voting Green to evade the more crazy of Labour's policies is certainly a novel approach, I grant you.
    Yes, I know. But they'll never get into power, and I'd like to vote for a left of centre party at this GE, ideally.
    The LibDems under Farron are clearly left of centre, without Labour's crazy bits. Indeed in some areas, such as their tax policy, they are more redistributive (which used to be the key left/right differentiator) than Labour.
    The LDs are WAY too Europhile for me. I was originally going to vote for them, but they've put me off gradually over the course of this campaign.
    Very interesting you're a centrist and a bit of a eurosceptic, Apocalypse. I must confess I thought you were a very solid left-winger and very pro-EU.

    I do hope we can do something to persuade you to lend us your vote this once over the next week or so.
This discussion has been closed.