politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Looks like Donald Trump is E pluribus unum
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Least we get a trade deal and not hassled to give the Falklands back to the Argies.0
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269-269 looking scarily plausible.0
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Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.0 -
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.0 -
@Pulpstar"
'Apologies if this sounds blunt, but does Wisconsin have any massive black populations tucked away ?'
No a very small black community, Wisconsin is typical small town America.0 -
Down to 75k with rural districts yet to report and most of the urban districts in. Looks like it will be very, very close.rcs1000 said:0 -
Can we have a thread on the Richmond Park byelection please?0
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HRC projected popular vote lead now down to 1%.......
I'd think about getting out those bets.0 -
Clinton won't easily concede if she's a clear winner in the popular vote and a whole stack of states are on a knife-edge. There'll be automatic recounts to wait for.0
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NYT Trump chances of victory greater than 95%.0
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I apologise to Speedy, you're right about the blue blob.0
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Think Michigan will be the Sheffield moment.DavidL said:This is starting to remind me of Brexit after Sunderland. Surely it is all over.
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Test match is about to start.0
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I don't know how you get that. He only needs one of the rust belts and he crosses 270.rcs1000 said:269-269 looking scarily plausible.
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Just cashed out on Trump on a £100 profit. Thanks again to this site.0
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Just amazing that we are talking about WI and MI tonight.0
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Not any other Democrat but both Bernie and Biden would be doing much better than Clinton with wwc in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio.williamglenn said:
Trump continues to be underestimated even as he cruises to victory.rcs1000 said:
Any other Democrat would have cruised it.Danny565 said:
Quite. Joe Biden would've cruised home.nunu said:
I'm very angry at the Democrats. Picking Mrs. Establishment when it was clear people are sick of centrist established politicians.FrancisUrquhart said:CNN presenters getting very angry at the pollsters.
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HRC 8/1, all resistance gone0
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Yep!nunu said:
Not any other Democrat but both Bernie and Biden would be doing much better than Clinton with wwc in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio.williamglenn said:
Trump continues to be underestimated even as he cruises to victory.rcs1000 said:
Any other Democrat would have cruised it.Danny565 said:
Quite. Joe Biden would've cruised home.nunu said:
I'm very angry at the Democrats. Picking Mrs. Establishment when it was clear people are sick of centrist established politicians.FrancisUrquhart said:CNN presenters getting very angry at the pollsters.
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CNN projects Hillary wins California and Hawaii, Trump projected to win Idaho. Oregon and Washington state too close to call0
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http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/pennsylvaniaMaxPB said:
Down to 75k with rural districts yet to report and most of the urban districts in. Looks like it will be very, very close.rcs1000 said:
Look at the counties with sub 50% counts so far, looks close but I hold by my earlier forecast,0 -
Trump also closing in Maine.0
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California in for Hillary.
Was genuinely starting to wonder about that
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The Map.RobD said:Just amazing that we are talking about WI and MI tonight.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/clinton-trump-vote-maps-2016/0 -
Betfair is crazy at the moment.0
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More Evangelicals have voted for Trump than voted for Bush, an Evangelical- just think about that - Sky News0
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Been in bed the last half hour listening to Radio 4, great entertainment.0
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Oregon and Washington not called on closing time for the first time since 1988.0
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Hillary Clinton now leads the Electoral College on 190 to Donald Trump's 171
Trump ahead in the popular vote on 49.1% to Clinton's 46.5%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/president0 -
Well, it seems that the effing liberal elite are upping their hate of the ordinary people - we are all racists and swear and smoke and look at cleavages and laugh at fat people - and we are amoeba. So, as in Brexit, it seems now Trump. The people are saying to the elite: F*ck you. On that basis, I would love a Trump presidency. On the other hand, I actually don't because he will run the White House by Twitter. But Clinton is and her type, like Clegg and Blair are awful, awful, awful people. It's their fault. They should be nice the working man. Every man is not a dodgy character. Every white is not a racist, every working class person is not a thickie. Respect us and you get a vote. Otherwise what they see the thickies will start becoming President of the United States.0
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Bernie and Biden are both compromised regarding behaviour towards women so they wouldn't have been able to run the same playbook against Trump. He would have overwhelmed them but in a different way.nunu said:
Not any other Democrat but both Bernie and Biden would be doing much better than Clinton with wwc in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio.williamglenn said:
Trump continues to be underestimated even as he cruises to victory.rcs1000 said:
Any other Democrat would have cruised it.Danny565 said:
Quite. Joe Biden would've cruised home.nunu said:
I'm very angry at the Democrats. Picking Mrs. Establishment when it was clear people are sick of centrist established politicians.FrancisUrquhart said:CNN presenters getting very angry at the pollsters.
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Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.0 -
MWHAHAHAHAHAHA
Nothing else.0 -
Caril Bialik, on 538, says this looks a lot like polling error.0
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why did Dems pick her?
puzzling0 -
Yes. Why would they not after tonight?rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.0 -
Both my arse and JackW's are competing for the amount of whoop-ass that the ECV market is likely to serve up to us.Pulpstar said:Can Trump slow down a touch, I'm losing £15 a point of my profits for every ECV Hillary is below 250 votes.
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There was no early vote in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania or Michigan. If there were they might of seen this coming.0
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Just backed Hillary at 8.80
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30%.Paristonda said:
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,0 -
Cook dropped from the third ball!!0
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LOL - Fox quote from Clinton headquarters
"We're expecting a long night. Nothing has ever come easy for Clinton - she's had to fight for everything her whole life"
Doesn't sound like a winner...0 -
At which point I appoint Amando Iannouci as my personal Lord and Savior. He had the election in Vemployment tied 269-269rcs1000 said:269-269 looking scarily plausible.
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Had a nibble at 8.8, seemed too good to turn down!0
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Just cashed out on Betfair.0
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Meanwhile Hillary is winning CT by only 6%.0
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According to wikipedia it does. 6.3% african american and 1.8% mixed race..Speedy said:
It doesn't have any minorities.Casino_Royale said:
I think it's <10% minority</p>Pulpstar said:Apologies if this sounds blunt, but does Wisconsin have any massive black populations tucked away ?
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Beeb:
Clinton finally ahead again on ECVs:
Clinton 190
Trump 1870 -
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In the present climate anything is possible, Le Pen is Trump, Juppe Clintonrcs1000 said:
30%.Paristonda said:
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,0 -
She's lawyering up.Charles said:LOL - Fox quote from Clinton headquarters
"We're expecting a long night. Nothing has ever come easy for Clinton - she's had to fight for everything her whole life"
Doesn't sound like a winner...0 -
Minnesota keeps trending towards Trump . Down to a predicted 1% win by HRC....0
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The NYT are forecasting a Trump victory in Utah with probability 83%.DecrepitJohnL said:Any news on the 25/1 guy in Utah?
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Just incredible in a tight 2-horse race.TheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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All previous assumptions are out the window now. Le Pen CAN win.rcs1000 said:
30%.Paristonda said:
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,0 -
I think that is just denial. Trump is going to clear out the mid West. Ohio is the canary that calls this electionTheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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Its safer than Michigan thenCasino_Royale said:
According to wikipedia it does. 6.3% african american and 1.8% mixed race..Speedy said:
It doesn't have any minorities.Casino_Royale said:
I think it's <10% minority</p>Pulpstar said:Apologies if this sounds blunt, but does Wisconsin have any massive black populations tucked away ?
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We'll see.HYUFD said:
In the present climate anything is possible, Le Pen is Trump, Juppe Clintonrcs1000 said:
30%.Paristonda said:
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,0 -
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North Carolina projected for Donald Trump0
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Both candidates have been at 9 on Betfair in the last 150 minutes!0
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Tissue Price. How would you rate Clinton's chances of winning the popular vote in % terms?Tissue_Price said:1.7 on Clinton popular vote...
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Hilary 10/1 by 5am0
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There's going to be a mandatory recount in Florida, and possibly other places too.DavidL said:
I think that is just denial. Trump is going to clear out the mid West. Ohio is the canary that calls this electionTheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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The week between first and second ballot does give the French a chance to consider before they make the final decision. There is a fair bit of evidence that a lot of people would have thought twice about Brexit if they had realised it might win. Trump, less clear, although I doubt the Clinton leads of recent days did his campaign any harm.rcs1000 said:
30%.Paristonda said:
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.rcs1000 said:
'for sure'?Paristonda said:Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,0 -
He called it waaaaay to earlywilliamglenn said:0 -
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)0
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She was handed everything by Bill.Charles said:LOL - Fox quote from Clinton headquarters
"We're expecting a long night. Nothing has ever come easy for Clinton - she's had to fight for everything her whole life"
Doesn't sound like a winner...
She didn't even campaign much, or had any policies.0 -
Probably time to go to bed, and see what winnings I have to collect in the morning.0
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Call me crazy, but I think MI will go to Clinton by a whisker.
Her problem is WI.0 -
NYT: MI now close - Clinton only +1.00
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North Carolina called for Trump0
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Which simply delays the final declaration?TheScreamingEagles said:
There's going to be a mandatory recount in Florida, and possibly other places too.DavidL said:
I think that is just denial. Trump is going to clear out the mid West. Ohio is the canary that calls this electionTheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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Is Theresa May another winner tonight?0
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It has been done I believe: it's automatically triggered. Fox just called Florida for Trump.TheScreamingEagles said:
There's going to be a mandatory recount in Florida, and possibly other places too.DavidL said:
I think that is just denial. Trump is going to clear out the mid West. Ohio is the canary that calls this electionTheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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That would look miraculous given the way the night has goneRobD said:
There's reason to believe Alaska will go blue?Saltire said:If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
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I'd be boarding a private et to Qatar myself.williamglenn said:
She's lawyering up.Charles said:LOL - Fox quote from Clinton headquarters
"We're expecting a long night. Nothing has ever come easy for Clinton - she's had to fight for everything her whole life"
Doesn't sound like a winner...0 -
Nate Silver is giving Trump a 49% chance of winning the election.0
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And PA, and MN.numbertwelve said:Call me crazy, but I think MI will go to Clinton by a whisker.
Her problem is WI.0 -
FL has been R for about three hoursJennyFreeman said:
It has been done I believe: it's automatically triggered. Fox just called Florida for Trump.TheScreamingEagles said:
There's going to be a mandatory recount in Florida, and possibly other places too.DavidL said:
I think that is just denial. Trump is going to clear out the mid West. Ohio is the canary that calls this electionTheScreamingEagles said:Just backed Hillary at 8.8
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Saltire said:
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
I make it that Trump only needs one of PA, MI, WI or MN to win the Presidency.0 -
Isn't WI supposed to be safer than MI?numbertwelve said:Call me crazy, but I think MI will go to Clinton by a whisker.
Her problem is WI.0