Clinton won't easily concede if she's a clear winner in the popular vote and a whole stack of states are on a knife-edge. There'll be automatic recounts to wait for.
Well, it seems that the effing liberal elite are upping their hate of the ordinary people - we are all racists and swear and smoke and look at cleavages and laugh at fat people - and we are amoeba. So, as in Brexit, it seems now Trump. The people are saying to the elite: F*ck you. On that basis, I would love a Trump presidency. On the other hand, I actually don't because he will run the White House by Twitter. But Clinton is and her type, like Clegg and Blair are awful, awful, awful people. It's their fault. They should be nice the working man. Every man is not a dodgy character. Every white is not a racist, every working class person is not a thickie. Respect us and you get a vote. Otherwise what they see the thickies will start becoming President of the United States.
CNN presenters getting very angry at the pollsters.
I'm very angry at the Democrats. Picking Mrs. Establishment when it was clear people are sick of centrist established politicians.
Quite. Joe Biden would've cruised home.
Any other Democrat would have cruised it.
Trump continues to be underestimated even as he cruises to victory.
Not any other Democrat but both Bernie and Biden would be doing much better than Clinton with wwc in Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio.
Bernie and Biden are both compromised regarding behaviour towards women so they wouldn't have been able to run the same playbook against Trump. He would have overwhelmed them but in a different way.
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
30%.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
30%.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
In the present climate anything is possible, Le Pen is Trump, Juppe Clinton
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
30%.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
All previous assumptions are out the window now. Le Pen CAN win.
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
30%.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
In the present climate anything is possible, Le Pen is Trump, Juppe Clinton
Wow. This is for Trump for sure. Looks like a decent EC margin as well. We have truly reached tipping point.
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'for sure'?
Alright for sure may be a bit strong, but the same voters that went Brexit and Trump will come out for LP, you can't put too much faith in figures on Juppe after tonight.
30%.
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
The week between first and second ballot does give the French a chance to consider before they make the final decision. There is a fair bit of evidence that a lot of people would have thought twice about Brexit if they had realised it might win. Trump, less clear, although I doubt the Clinton leads of recent days did his campaign any harm.
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
There's reason to believe Alaska will go blue?
That would look miraculous given the way the night has gone
If Clinton wins PA and MI but loses WI then it will come down to the split votes in Maine and Nebraska or indeed the elector in D.C who says he won't vote for Clinton (Assuming that Alaska does go blue)
I make it that Trump only needs one of PA, MI, WI or MN to win the Presidency.
Comments
Looks quite simple, polls wrong from the start and brexit 2.0.
Marine Le Pen will win in 2017 for sure, despite polls to the contrary. Get betting.
'Apologies if this sounds blunt, but does Wisconsin have any massive black populations tucked away ?'
No a very small black community, Wisconsin is typical small town America.
Getting closer and outstanding precincts favour Trump.
I'd think about getting out those bets.
Look at the counties with sub 50% counts so far, looks close but I hold by my earlier forecast,
Was genuinely starting to wonder about that
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/clinton-trump-vote-maps-2016/
Trump ahead in the popular vote on 49.1% to Clinton's 46.5%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/president
Nothing else.
puzzling
That's been the FN ceiling in a lot of two way votes in the last three years,
"We're expecting a long night. Nothing has ever come easy for Clinton - she's had to fight for everything her whole life"
Doesn't sound like a winner...
Clinton finally ahead again on ECVs:
Clinton 190
Trump 187
She didn't even campaign much, or had any policies.
Her problem is WI.
I make it that Trump only needs one of PA, MI, WI or MN to win the Presidency.