Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Six hours or so before we start to get an idea

168101112

Comments

  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,023
    Whats this exit poll? Watching CNN where it counted down to 0 and.....still no exit poll. Guess i was expecting a UK style dramatic poll.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,101
    RobD said:

    tyson said:

    Hi...can someone please put out some links for
    sky news
    fox news
    CNN

    for us poor people out of the UK

    Many thanks

    Sky news - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y60wDzZt8yg
    Many thanks Rob...I've just found it from your link...... Good stuff

  • Kay burley in the US...question is who is she going to make cry?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    Just gone 1.2 / 5.8

    From 1.21 / 5.7
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 27,525
    rpjs said:

    RobD said:

    Jonathan said:

    When does Sunderland declare?

    Their are four in the US, which do you mean? :D
    Their? THEIR? THEIR?

    Off to ConHome for six weeks for you for that awful crime against the English language
    That is an immediate suspension from our party - red card for Rob - we only want those who speak proper like.
    To be fair to Rob he's working in a country that regularly outrages the English language.

    If he starts missing 'u' from words like colour and favour Rob'd be like Mark Reckless to me.
    Occasionally you see British English spellings here to give a sense of poshness - there are some venues in NYC that spell their names with "Theatre" for instance. This can lead to hilariousness sometimes though: there's a condo near me called "Tappan Manour".
    Sounds like an author of an Indian cookbook.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Whats this exit poll? Watching CNN where it counted down to 0 and.....still no exit poll. Guess i was expecting a UK style dramatic poll.

    Don't give CNN the views. They are fuckers with their exit poll information.
  • the 1.2 will go at 22.10
  • rpjs said:

    RobD said:

    Jonathan said:

    When does Sunderland declare?

    Their are four in the US, which do you mean? :D
    Their? THEIR? THEIR?

    Off to ConHome for six weeks for you for that awful crime against the English language
    That is an immediate suspension from our party - red card for Rob - we only want those who speak proper like.
    To be fair to Rob he's working in a country that regularly outrages the English language.

    If he starts missing 'u' from words like colour and favour Rob'd be like Mark Reckless to me.
    Occasionally you see British English spellings here to give a sense of poshness - there are some venues in NYC that spell their names with "Theatre" for instance. This can lead to hilariousness sometimes though: there's a condo near me called "Tappan Manour".
    As immature young men working in NYC, when taking part in the bar quizzes in the local bars we always called ourselves "the w;;kers" as no one there ever seemed to know that swear word or what it meant.... i presume that's changed since Trump came on the scene.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526

    Kay burley in the US...question is who is she going to make cry?

    She's on the look out for dogs expressing the zeitgeist.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,411

    Dromedary said:

    There's £200K laying Clinton at 1.2 at Betfair.

    Pulpstar? :)
    Lol no I'm nowhere near that league.

    @Gettingbetter Maybe :)
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569

    Kay burley in the US...question is who is she going to make cry?

    All of us.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    Presume the CNN Exits before polls close will just be demographic stuff, not vote shares.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526
    edited November 2016
    Sorry fake tweet... deleted.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,574
    edited November 2016
    ToryJim said:
    Trump will say the Establishment encompasses both parties, desperate to keep dividing power between Bush-Clinton-Bush Clinton....
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,101

    tyson said:

    Hi...can someone please put out some links for
    sky news
    fox news
    CNN

    for us poor people out of the UK

    Many thanks

    live streams of US CNN and Fox
    http://www.zahitvstation.com/watch-cnn-usa-live
    http://www.zahitvstation.com/watch-fox-news-live

    Many thanks Yossarian...really appreciated

  • ToryJim said:
    Trump will say the Establishment encpomasses both parties, desperate to keep dividing power between Bush-Clinton-Bush Clinton....
    But I will be jumping around the living room like a nine year old at Xmas.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Is Drudge quoting exit polls?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,098
    Conway is annoying me already.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 80,150
    edited November 2016
    MikeL said:

    Presume the CNN Exits before polls close will just be demographic stuff, not vote shares.

    What out for the crucial breaking news of the breakdown of one armed Armenian lesbians in Montana....
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,269
    CNN exit poll shortly...
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I think part of Indiana has closed.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526
    edited November 2016
    CNN - 38% want change
    22% good judgement
    22% experience
    15% cares about me
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited November 2016

    the 1.2 will go at 22.10

    22.11 now and £171K is left.

    Edit: £207K now.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    CNN:

    44% Want judgement / experience
    38% Want change

    12% decided within last week
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Speedy said:

    I think part of Indiana has closed.

    I thought it was 6pm Eastern Time and 7pm for a small part of the state.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited November 2016
    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.
  • Alistair said:

    Speedy said:

    I think part of Indiana has closed.

    I thought it was 6pm Eastern Time and 7pm for a small part of the state.
    Polls close early in the States - we open till 10pm here in the UK.
  • Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Neither look particularly good for her.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526
    MikeL said:

    CNN:

    44% Want judgement / experience
    38% Want change

    12% decided within last week

    It's 22% judgement and 22% experience separately. The former could be split between the two depending on your views.

    These initial numbers look good for Trump.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,098
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,411
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Horror number for Hillary with latinos tbh.
  • MikeL said:

    CNN:

    44% Want judgement / experience
    38% Want change

    12% decided within last week

    :sunglasses:
  • SeanT said:

    Weirdly boring. Clinton's gonna walk it.

    It's not over till the Trouser suit-wearing lady sings!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Mortimer said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
    Indeed.

    There is a lot of speculation on CBS of Trump beating Romney's numbers with minorities and women.
  • SeanT said:

    Weirdly boring. Clinton's gonna walk it.

    Steady on Sean. Where's the hyperbole old chap?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,411
    I'm going to pick up a chinese.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,098
    How many plumbers voted for a hug, we need to know these things - they are far more important than the ACTUAL VOTES, right???
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Jeez... thats good for Trump.
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    When is the Sunderland moment? Trump will l give us a big BOOM! I don't want him to win, but will enjoy it anyways.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,504
    I think I will start on my bottle of very nice Turkish red. It looks like a long night.
  • Essexit said:

    Attempt to get some sleep failed miserably...time to power through on caffeine tonight and at work tomorrow.

    I'm gonna try and stay up all night till, say, 5 or 6, then have a lie in tomorrow :)
  • GarzaGarza Posts: 45
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    White women college graduates only 51%? Ouch, not good for Clinton.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,098
    Pulpstar said:

    I'm going to pick up a chinese.

    Just had a very nice meal at Rabbit on the KR.
  • Pulpstar said:

    I'm going to pick up a chinese.

    Is this the start of a Trump microphone-left-on moment?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,574
    SeanT said:

    Weirdly boring. Clinton's gonna walk it.

    Well that's just guaranteed a fucking long night!
  • Pulpstar said:

    I'm going to pick up a chinese.

    Do they wanted to be picked up? Don't do it by their .
  • TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited November 2016
    ITV News "looks to be a good night for Hillary"
  • Sporting has Hillary's ECVs spread down again at 301-311 (Trump's : 227-237).

    It's looking as if Mike and yours truly were right to sell our spreads* a couple of days ago.

    * Mostly in my case
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Who does that favour, Speedy?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,101
    IanB2 said:

    I think I will start on my bottle of very nice Turkish red. It looks like a long night.

    Turkish/Red seems like mutually exclusive concepts

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited November 2016
    42% can bring change, Ohio CBS exit poll.
    Experience 23%.
    Judgement 18
    Cares about me 15

    Trumpian again.
  • Those early numbers, I'm just going on Amazon to order a shovel as I might be building a bomb shelter in the morning....
  • Speedy said:

    Mortimer said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
    Indeed.

    There is a lot of speculation on CBS of Trump beating Romney's numbers with minorities and women.
    The noise you just heard was a certain ARSE exploding :wink:
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    DanSmith said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Jeez... thats good for Trump.
    Indeed. Obama against Romney won 75% of Latinos. An 8% lead in Hillary's best white demographic is awful.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Mortimer said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
    27% is same as Romney for Latinos, I don't believe it.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526
    CNN: Only a third feel better off than 4 years ago.
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    So glad I can just sleep through this and see what the result is in the morning, it helps that my insomnia hit hard last night so now I am so tired I shall be asleep within the next ten minutes hopefully.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Dixie said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Who does that favour, Speedy?
    Good for Trump.

    But it is only exits, I suspect they might be a bit more screwy than usual this year.
  • OK, so YouGov had Clinton winning by 4% nationally, leading 62:27 with Hispanics. SO note a dire number, but not great.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,504
    tyson said:

    IanB2 said:

    I think I will start on my bottle of very nice Turkish red. It looks like a long night.

    Turkish/Red seems like mutually exclusive concepts

    Lol

    Urla Vourla. Very nice.
  • nunu said:

    Mortimer said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
    27% is same as Romney for Latinos, I don't believe it.
    Utter tosh.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Dixie said:

    When is the Sunderland moment? Trump will l give us a big BOOM! I don't want him to win, but will enjoy it anyways.


    Michigan. Apparently very high blue collar worker turnout.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    If these Exits are bad for Clinton it's had no effect on Betfair yet.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 50,526

    OK, so YouGov had Clinton winning by 4% nationally, leading 62:27 with Hispanics. SO note a dire number, but not great.

    The college educated white women is more of a concern for her.
  • rpjs said:

    RobD said:

    Jonathan said:

    When does Sunderland declare?

    Their are four in the US, which do you mean? :D
    Their? THEIR? THEIR?

    Off to ConHome for six weeks for you for that awful crime against the English language
    That is an immediate suspension from our party - red card for Rob - we only want those who speak proper like.
    To be fair to Rob he's working in a country that regularly outrages the English language.

    If he starts missing 'u' from words like colour and favour Rob'd be like Mark Reckless to me.
    Occasionally you see British English spellings here to give a sense of poshness - there are some venues in NYC that spell their names with "Theatre" for instance. This can lead to hilariousness sometimes though: there's a condo near me called "Tappan Manour".
    As immature young men working in NYC, when taking part in the bar quizzes in the local bars we always called ourselves "the w;;kers" as no one there ever seemed to know that swear word or what it meant.... i presume that's changed since Trump came on the scene.
    When I was in New York once I saw a British character in a TV episode use the word "wanker" while they bleeped the word "damn"!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,541
    Trump Train revving up?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited November 2016
    IanB2 said:

    I think I will start on my bottle of very nice Turkish red. It looks like a long night.

    Stone cold sober here.

    Punting while pissed is a very bad idea. ;)
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,261
    The data so far is looking bad for Clinton... it just depends how much you trust it.
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Hillary watch out in

    Michigan!
  • Pulpstar said:

    I'm going to pick up a chinese.

    Don't tell The Donald.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Dixie said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Speculation of Trump winning more than Romney.

    Who does that favour, Speedy?
    Trump hitting Romney's numbers with minorities, good for Trump.

    Hillary beating Trump by less than 10 with college educated white women means it's probably tied with college educated white voters in general, good for Trump.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    CNN:

    Republican sources concerned about PA and NC
  • Those early numbers, I'm just going on Amazon to order a shovel as I might be building a bomb shelter in the morning....

    :+1:
  • Looks like we'll be weeping for humanity then, by the morning.
  • CNN: Only a third feel better off than 4 years ago.

    The US economic data has been very good, so the next president might get the credit for Obama's recovery!
  • Well it's a bitch fest on sky...well you on write for the NY Post says writer for Time magazine...
  • Properly shitting myself here..
  • Is this CBS exit poll conducted by the same people who did the Primrose Hill exit poll in June ?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 51,574
    MikeL said:

    If these Exits are bad for Clinton it's had no effect on Betfair yet.

    Betfair players aren't always the sharpest knives in the block though. Brexit, anyone?
  • Chameleon said:

    The data so far is looking bad for Clinton... it just depends how much you trust it.

    and yet BF Clinton has dropped a tad
  • Betfair just gone 5s on Donald.
    Pile on, lads.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Meanwhile in the land of the possible future El Presidente.

    Why do the spy watchers of the FBI have a warrant out to investigate Trump and some of his associates, a warrant only obtained in October? Links with a foreign nation or foreign ne'er do wells

    He really needs to win and even if he does, the people looking into him are genuinely good operators.

    Either he or associates will be fortunate not to be up in a court.


  • MikeL said:

    If these Exits are bad for Clinton it's had no effect on Betfair yet.

    Betfair is starting to come in for Clinton... 1.18
  • nunu said:

    Mortimer said:

    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    Those are much lower for HRC than I would have expected.
    27% is same as Romney for Latinos, I don't believe it.
    Stage 1 : Denial.
  • Donald 6 on Betfair
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,581
    Betfair moves to Clinton:

    1.18 / 6.2
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    North carolina CBS exit poll

    Change 35
    Judgement 23
    Experience 21
    Cares about me 17
  • Properly shitting myself here..

    we spurs fans are repeatedly in that position - you get an addiction to it sadly
  • CNN ‏@CNN_PoIitics 23m
    BREAKING: The first Florida exit poll numbers have been released.

    Trump 55%
    Clinton 39%
    Johnson 6%
  • CNN: Only a third feel better off than 4 years ago.

    The US economic data has been very good, so the next president might get the credit for Obama's recovery!
    Not if the 1% continue to get most of the benefit.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,101
    IanB2 said:

    tyson said:

    IanB2 said:

    I think I will start on my bottle of very nice Turkish red. It looks like a long night.

    Turkish/Red seems like mutually exclusive concepts

    Lol

    Urla Vourla. Very nice.
    Urla Vourla...sounds like something an Umpa Lumpa would drink...you stick to that and I'll keep to my Chianti

  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited November 2016
    Speedy said:

    Latinos 65-27 for Hillary.

    CBS exit polls.

    White women college graduates 51-43 Hillary.

    The Washington Post were saying five days ago that college-educated white women were Clinton's "firewall". The WP-ABC tracking poll had her beating Trump 56-36 in that demographic, and among Latinos 67-24. Will the story of this election be that in the privacy of the polling booth middle class white women don't care much about one guy who grabs women's genitals but they think that something should be done about the number of Mexican immigrants? On the two kinds of fear here, this recent piece by Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert, is worth reading.


  • No sh*t sherlock

    CNN First exit polls: Clinton and Trump don't excite voters
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,067
    edited November 2016
    too slow...
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,261

    Chameleon said:

    The data so far is looking bad for Clinton... it just depends how much you trust it.

    and yet BF Clinton has dropped a tad
    Given how BF reacted at GE2015 and the EU ref I'm not sure that we should be using it to aid our interpretations at all.
  • Calm down Clintonites.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 731
    Hi all. Apologies if already covered. Andrew Neil is doing the BBC coverage from 23:15. He knows a fair bit about US politics, better than Dimbleby! I'm minded to watch that, any thoughts?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,541
    edited November 2016
    Snip
This discussion has been closed.