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System
System Posts: 12,578
edited June 2016 in General

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  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    :o
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    This is going to be emotional.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.
  • eek
    eek Posts: 30,707
    It's all EUver now
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    Could just be a regional effect, the Midlands will be vital.
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,726
    OK, so who got on leave at 16?
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    edited June 2016
    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,866
    We need a proper tory area.
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    No, I just missed it.
  • John_M
    John_M Posts: 7,503
    wow :)
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Nigel Farage.
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    Really depends on turnout.
  • Lowlander
    Lowlander Posts: 941
    Next Scottish Independence Referendum before 2020 is still 5/1 with Ladbrokes. Might be a useful investment of Leave profits.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Verily, the octo-lemur spake, and the world trembled.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.
  • bigjohnowls
    bigjohnowls Posts: 22,951
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    11.3 ONLY £50
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Whats with the new thread every 10 mins.
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    MikeL said:

    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.

    Isn't that always the case?
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    MikeL said:

    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.


    Come on you blues. Come on you blues.
  • RepublicanTory
    RepublicanTory Posts: 563
    when is the first big tory area to declare??
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    DavidL said:

    We need a proper tory area.

    Absolutely. Must be more news from early counting in the South East?
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    It's the big question isn't it: 60:40 for Remain in London, Scotland, NI...

    makes it very, very close

  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Why do I get the feeling that places like Woking (where I live) are going to decide this?
  • SouthamObserver
    SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    This may not even be that close.

    Very annoyed I did not put more on Leave today.
  • GIN1138
    GIN1138 Posts: 22,938
    edited June 2016
    Artist said:

    Could just be a regional effect, the Midlands will be vital.

    Yeah have the Tory Shires stuck with Dave or abandoned him?
  • John_M
    John_M Posts: 7,503
    lapop keys don wok lol.
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.
  • ThreeQuidder
    ThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Farage losing his rag with Burley.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    John_M said:

    lapop keys don wok lol.

    Sure it ain't the plock? ;)
  • initforthemoney
    initforthemoney Posts: 736
    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    nil by mouth?
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    HYUFD said:

    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result

    GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    ThreeQuidder said:

    Farage losing his rag with Burley.

    "I regret the death of Jo Cox" That's big of him.
  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,200
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    I have £500@5/2 on LEAVE and £250@4/2 on LEAVE
    I may have mentioned it.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Per MORI - Con voters are overwhelmingly satisfied with Cameron.

    If so, will they really have finished him?
  • nunu
    nunu Posts: 6,024
    EPG said:

    If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.

    U.k needs to rebalance the economy anyway.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    We need to see midland, SE, London and Wales results!
  • DanSmith
    DanSmith Posts: 1,215
    When are we getting some more results?
  • FrankBooth
    FrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Peter Kellner sticking to 55% Remain. Brave. If some Remain areas are 70% + will any Leave areas match that?
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549
    London turnout absolutely vital.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Broxtowe
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    Nigel a lot more upbeat.
  • dyedwoolie
    dyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Kay burley trolling Farage like a goodun!
  • CornishBlue
    CornishBlue Posts: 840
    Baronetcy for Farage if Leave win. :P
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    Big retrace in GBPUSD to just over 1.46.

    Farage body language didn't look convinced at all either way.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Leanne wood not sounding very happy at all.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    FrankBooth said:

    Peter Kellner sticking to 55% Remain. Brave. If some Remain areas are 70% + will any Leave areas match that?

    Clacton, Castle Point, the Thanets, Southend
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    surbiton said:

    London turnout absolutely vital.

    It could all come down to the transport issues and the weather...
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result

    GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
    Indeed, the NorthEast was also more UKIP than nationally at the 2014 Euro elections, it should lean Leave
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,859
    Trying to stay calm. As a Remainer, at least I have all my bets on Leave. The 8-1 this morning may be some comfort in the early hours.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    What's the rational for that?
  • RealBritain
    RealBritain Posts: 255
    tlg86 said:

    Why do I get the feeling that places like Woking (where I live) are going to decide this?

    and as a result something as localised as train delays could really decide it - not just in imagination.
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549
    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !
  • asjohnstone
    asjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    CornishBlue said:

    Baronetcy for Farage if Leave win. :P

    Duke Nigel of Sunderland
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    Brave....he was sticking with his incorrect prediction for last year general election for many hours though.

    Still feel middle England will go safety first and vote Remain and that will be just enough.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,859
    Sterling down 6%
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Greg_Callus: Remember 10:10pm when I said 12/1 Leave was good value? Now 6/4. Bets in sterling may be worthless by tomorrow, mind https://t.co/wAHIruFVwL
  • Fenster
    Fenster Posts: 2,115
    Leanne Wood looking distinctly uncomfortable.
  • PlatoSaid
    PlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    RobD said:

    John_M said:

    lapop keys don wok lol.

    Sure it ain't the plock? ;)
    Ha! I've just opened a bottle of fizz. This is all very entertaining.

    The world is clearly ending - sound of pneumatic drilling outside my window now. And here was me worrying my TV would bother the neighbours...
  • Lowlander
    Lowlander Posts: 941
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Didn't get on at 16. Got £40 at 7s and £50 at 8s (and £2 at 13/2 cos I didnt want to walk out Coral's show without backing something after I cycled by my polling place and saw how low Scotland's turnout would be)
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Me, but only sheepishly.
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    Hanretty has 41% Remain for par. I have 45%.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/silvesterldn/status/746120786155569152
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Has the Remain Campaign now officially usurped Andy Burnham's 2015 leadership bid as the worst election campaign in history?
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Floater said:

    Nigel a lot more upbeat.

    Has he been off for a quick sharpener?
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Too early to call... No shit sherlock.
  • GarethoftheVale2
    GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 2,350
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
    Oxford, Slough, Brighton, Bristol, Exeter, Cambridge, Norwich. Not sure about Luton.
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549
    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,859
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    Noses and faces come to mind. When Nissan leave Sunderland, don't blame me.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    edited June 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??

    All the wide boys with their secret polling showing upto 10% Remain lead.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Getting some more results soon?
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?
  • Fenster
    Fenster Posts: 2,115
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    Working class Labour voters combinin with working class Tories and Kippers to win it for Leave.
  • Augustine
    Augustine Posts: 19
    I have to go to bed. But could it be? Could it really be ...?
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Danny565 said:

    Has the Remain Campaign now officially usurped Andy Burnham's 2015 leadership bid as the worst election campaign in history?

    The Leave campaign was really terrible.
  • Wulfrun_Phil
    Wulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,784
    Biggest fall in pound since erm exit.

    Excellent news for uk exports. Bad news for vw.

  • glw
    glw Posts: 10,463
    PlatoSaid said:

    The world is clearly ending - sound of pneumatic drilling outside my window now. And here was me worrying my TV would bother the neighbours...

    Someone digging a bomb shelter?

  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??

    All the wide boys with their secret polling showing upto 10% Remain lead.
    A prize for the biggest fund/organisation to blow up tomorrow?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tamworth will be interesting. Right in the middle of England.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Mr. Pulpstar, some people who appear not to have noticed how useless polling was just a year ago.
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    http://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd
  • The_Woodpecker
    The_Woodpecker Posts: 506
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
    London?
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    What happened to the private polls for the City?

    They didn't predict any of this?
  • RepublicanTory
    RepublicanTory Posts: 563
    Pulpstar said:

    Broxtowe

    Did Laura K say Broxtowe was looking Leave??
  • SouthamObserver
    SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    AndyJS said:

    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    Hanretty has 41% Remain for par. I have 45%.

    I suspect he is closer than you. Midlands will be big for Leave.

    London will stand alone.

  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Is SeanT busy selling his flat? :D
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    surbiton said:

    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
    As a Leaver, I find the NE England results encouraging, but the Scottish results are meh.

    I'd hoped we'd get Scotland below 60:40, but no sign of that yet.
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,308
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    The spread betting sites have live graphs, which I am using, but I have an account. Not sure what you can get without one.
  • Wanderer
    Wanderer Posts: 3,838
    surbiton said:

    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
    Yes, though Clackwhatever wasn't great for Remain either.
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited June 2016
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    https://www.oanda.com/currency/live-exchange-rates/
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Worth noting among all the focus on the North East that Clackmannanshire was bang in line with par
  • GIN1138
    GIN1138 Posts: 22,938
    Fenster said:

    Leanne Wood looking distinctly uncomfortable.

    I thought so. I think REMAIN is doing badly in Wales judging by her body language...
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    AndyJS said:

    Tamworth will be interesting. Right in the middle of England.

    What was the 50:50 centre for Clackmannanshire on your s/s? 58:42 pretty good for leave I thought?
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    The North West is big too. Not going to be close in the North West.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,457
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    That was always going to be the case for Leave to win.
This discussion has been closed.

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