Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result
If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.
Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result
GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.
Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result
GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
Indeed, the NorthEast was also more UKIP than nationally at the 2014 Euro elections, it should lean Leave
@Greg_Callus: Remember 10:10pm when I said 12/1 Leave was good value? Now 6/4. Bets in sterling may be worthless by tomorrow, mind https://t.co/wAHIruFVwL
Didn't get on at 16. Got £40 at 7s and £50 at 8s (and £2 at 13/2 cos I didnt want to walk out Coral's show without backing something after I cycled by my polling place and saw how low Scotland's turnout would be)
He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
As a Leaver, I find the NE England results encouraging, but the Scottish results are meh.
I'd hoped we'd get Scotland below 60:40, but no sign of that yet.
He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
Yes, though Clackwhatever wasn't great for Remain either.
Comments
Come on you blues. Come on you blues.
makes it very, very close
Very annoyed I did not put more on Leave today.
I may have mentioned it.
If so, will they really have finished him?
Farage body language didn't look convinced at all either way.
Still feel middle England will go safety first and vote Remain and that will be just enough.
The world is clearly ending - sound of pneumatic drilling outside my window now. And here was me worrying my TV would bother the neighbours...
Excellent news for uk exports. Bad news for vw.
They didn't predict any of this?
London will stand alone.
I'd hoped we'd get Scotland below 60:40, but no sign of that yet.