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SystemSystem Posts: 11,727
edited June 2016 in General

Read the full story here

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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    :o
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    This is going to be emotional.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,100
    It's all EUver now
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,883
    Could just be a regional effect, the Midlands will be vital.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,547
    OK, so who got on leave at 16?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,252
    edited June 2016
    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    We need a proper tory area.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    No, I just missed it.
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    wow :)
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,222
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Nigel Farage.
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Next Scottish Independence Referendum before 2020 is still 5/1 with Ladbrokes. Might be a useful investment of Leave profits.
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    GravitationGravitation Posts: 281
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    Really depends on turnout.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Verily, the octo-lemur spake, and the world trembled.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,322
    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,932
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    11.3 ONLY £50
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,313
    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    Whats with the new thread every 10 mins.
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    GravitationGravitation Posts: 281
    MikeL said:

    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.

    Isn't that always the case?
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    MikeL said:

    It's down now to Middle England Con voters.


    Come on you blues. Come on you blues.
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    RepublicanToryRepublicanTory Posts: 563
    when is the first big tory area to declare??
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    DavidL said:

    We need a proper tory area.

    Absolutely. Must be more news from early counting in the South East?
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,272
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    It's the big question isn't it: 60:40 for Remain in London, Scotland, NI...

    makes it very, very close

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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,222
    Why do I get the feeling that places like Woking (where I live) are going to decide this?
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    This may not even be that close.

    Very annoyed I did not put more on Leave today.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953
    edited June 2016
    Artist said:

    Could just be a regional effect, the Midlands will be vital.

    Yeah have the Tory Shires stuck with Dave or abandoned him?
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    lapop keys don wok lol.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,081
    If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Farage losing his rag with Burley.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    John_M said:

    lapop keys don wok lol.

    Sure it ain't the plock? ;)
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    initforthemoneyinitforthemoney Posts: 736
    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    nil by mouth?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    HYUFD said:

    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result

    GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,188
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    I have £500@5/2 on LEAVE and £250@4/2 on LEAVE
    I may have mentioned it.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,313
    ThreeQuidder said:

    Farage losing his rag with Burley.

    "I regret the death of Jo Cox" That's big of him.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,322
    Per MORI - Con voters are overwhelmingly satisfied with Cameron.

    If so, will they really have finished him?
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    EPG said:

    If Sunderland reflected a downward revision in REMAIN probability by - generously - 30 per cent to just over half per cent, then sterling has another ten cents or so to fall. UK losing 10 per cent of purchasing power overnight.

    U.k needs to rebalance the economy anyway.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,272
    We need to see midland, SE, London and Wales results!
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    DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    When are we getting some more results?
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,071
    Peter Kellner sticking to 55% Remain. Brave. If some Remain areas are 70% + will any Leave areas match that?
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    London turnout absolutely vital.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,040
    Broxtowe
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Nigel a lot more upbeat.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Kay burley trolling Farage like a goodun!
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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    Baronetcy for Farage if Leave win. :P
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Big retrace in GBPUSD to just over 1.46.

    Farage body language didn't look convinced at all either way.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Leanne wood not sounding very happy at all.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,272
    FrankBooth said:

    Peter Kellner sticking to 55% Remain. Brave. If some Remain areas are 70% + will any Leave areas match that?

    Clacton, Castle Point, the Thanets, Southend
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,313
    surbiton said:

    London turnout absolutely vital.

    It could all come down to the transport issues and the weather...
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,252
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sunderland Central voted 19% UKIP in 2015, Houghton and Sunderland South 22% UKIP, it will be significantly more Leave than the UK as a whole regardless of the result

    GE2010, Tories did better than expected early, in some places in NE scoring significant vote share in places they never normally get anything....but as the night went on they kept missing and missing and missing.
    Indeed, the NorthEast was also more UKIP than nationally at the 2014 Euro elections, it should lean Leave
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,603
    Trying to stay calm. As a Remainer, at least I have all my bets on Leave. The 8-1 this morning may be some comfort in the early hours.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,322
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    What's the rational for that?
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    RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    tlg86 said:

    Why do I get the feeling that places like Woking (where I live) are going to decide this?

    and as a result something as localised as train delays could really decide it - not just in imagination.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !
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    asjohnstoneasjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    CornishBlue said:

    Baronetcy for Farage if Leave win. :P

    Duke Nigel of Sunderland
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    Brave....he was sticking with his incorrect prediction for last year general election for many hours though.

    Still feel middle England will go safety first and vote Remain and that will be just enough.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,603
    Sterling down 6%
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Greg_Callus: Remember 10:10pm when I said 12/1 Leave was good value? Now 6/4. Bets in sterling may be worthless by tomorrow, mind https://t.co/wAHIruFVwL
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Leanne Wood looking distinctly uncomfortable.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    RobD said:

    John_M said:

    lapop keys don wok lol.

    Sure it ain't the plock? ;)
    Ha! I've just opened a bottle of fizz. This is all very entertaining.

    The world is clearly ending - sound of pneumatic drilling outside my window now. And here was me worrying my TV would bother the neighbours...
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Didn't get on at 16. Got £40 at 7s and £50 at 8s (and £2 at 13/2 cos I didnt want to walk out Coral's show without backing something after I cycled by my polling place and saw how low Scotland's turnout would be)
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960
    numbertwelve said:

    OK, so who got on leave at 16?

    Me, but only sheepishly.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    Hanretty has 41% Remain for par. I have 45%.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/silvesterldn/status/746120786155569152
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Has the Remain Campaign now officially usurped Andy Burnham's 2015 leadership bid as the worst election campaign in history?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,040
    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    Floater said:

    Nigel a lot more upbeat.

    Has he been off for a quick sharpener?
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Too early to call... No shit sherlock.
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    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 2,003
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
    Oxford, Slough, Brighton, Bristol, Exeter, Cambridge, Norwich. Not sure about Luton.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,603
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    Noses and faces come to mind. When Nissan leave Sunderland, don't blame me.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    edited June 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??

    All the wide boys with their secret polling showing upto 10% Remain lead.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Getting some more results soon?
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    Working class Labour voters combinin with working class Tories and Kippers to win it for Leave.
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    AugustineAugustine Posts: 19
    I have to go to bed. But could it be? Could it really be ...?
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Danny565 said:

    Has the Remain Campaign now officially usurped Andy Burnham's 2015 leadership bid as the worst election campaign in history?

    The Leave campaign was really terrible.
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    Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,639
    Biggest fall in pound since erm exit.

    Excellent news for uk exports. Bad news for vw.

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    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    PlatoSaid said:

    The world is clearly ending - sound of pneumatic drilling outside my window now. And here was me worrying my TV would bother the neighbours...

    Someone digging a bomb shelter?

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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,313
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Seriously who the F*ck was buying sterling today ??

    All the wide boys with their secret polling showing upto 10% Remain lead.
    A prize for the biggest fund/organisation to blow up tomorrow?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Mr. Pulpstar, some people who appear not to have noticed how useless polling was just a year ago.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tamworth will be interesting. Right in the middle of England.
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    http://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd
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    The_WoodpeckerThe_Woodpecker Posts: 403
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Ave_it said:

    All the southern LAB areas will be REMAIN so it's still REMAIN!

    What Southern Lab areas?
    London?
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    RepublicanToryRepublicanTory Posts: 563
    Pulpstar said:

    Broxtowe

    Did Laura K say Broxtowe was looking Leave??
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,322
    What happened to the private polls for the City?

    They didn't predict any of this?
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    AndyJS said:

    williamglenn said:

    As goes Nuneaton, so goes the UK.

    Hanretty has 41% Remain for par. I have 45%.

    I suspect he is closer than you. Midlands will be big for Leave.

    London will stand alone.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    Is SeanT busy selling his flat? :D
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,272
    surbiton said:

    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
    As a Leaver, I find the NE England results encouraging, but the Scottish results are meh.

    I'd hoped we'd get Scotland below 60:40, but no sign of that yet.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,587
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    The spread betting sites have live graphs, which I am using, but I have an account. Not sure what you can get without one.
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    surbiton said:

    Mortimer said:

    AndyJS said:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746121561409785856

    That is a big call right now.
    He is putting his reputation on the line after Newcastle and Sunderland. However, we have to consider these are from the same part of the country. No equivalent results from anywhere else.
    Yes, though Clackwhatever wasn't great for Remain either.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited June 2016
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone have a link so that I can track GBPUSD?

    https://www.oanda.com/currency/live-exchange-rates/
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Worth noting among all the focus on the North East that Clackmannanshire was bang in line with par
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953
    Fenster said:

    Leanne Wood looking distinctly uncomfortable.

    I thought so. I think REMAIN is doing badly in Wales judging by her body language...
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    AndyJS said:

    Tamworth will be interesting. Right in the middle of England.

    What was the 50:50 centre for Clackmannanshire on your s/s? 58:42 pretty good for leave I thought?
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    KentRising said:

    London should still put Remain over; London's biiiiiig.

    The North West is big too. Not going to be close in the North West.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    surbiton said:

    Ironically, it could be Labour voters may give the Tory Right their win !

    That was always going to be the case for Leave to win.
This discussion has been closed.