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The voting segment that is most hostile to BoJo – ABC1 Remainers – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 11,016
edited June 2021 in General
imageThe voting segment that is most hostile to BoJo – ABC1 Remainers – politicalbetting.com

The above polling is from the latest Opinium poll and shows how different groups feel about the PM based on their socio-economic grouping and what they did in the referendum. We know that ABC1s are the ones who are least enamored by the current occupant of Number 10 but because of the way Opinium presents its data we can break the segment down even more.

Read the full story here

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Comments

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    MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    test
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,887
    Major incident at what appears to be Elephant and Castle station in South London, the smoke from the fire can be seen for miles. https://twitter.com/MeganJearum/status/1409499332596932610/video/1
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,416
    Sorry to go off thread already, but Elephant and Castle station appears to be on fire:
    https://twitter.com/Gem_theEngineer/status/1409497735246528513
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189
    Scott_xP said:

    Major incident at what appears to be Elephant and Castle station in South London, the smoke from the fire can be seen for miles. https://twitter.com/MeganJearum/status/1409499332596932610/video/1

    Shit! That looks awful.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189
    Wonder if it's related to building work??

    https://twitter.com/DrBenLovell/status/1409492770859925515
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    tlg86 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Major incident at what appears to be Elephant and Castle station in South London, the smoke from the fire can be seen for miles. https://twitter.com/MeganJearum/status/1409499332596932610/video/1

    Shit! That looks awful.
    Some kind of flashover or deflagration - not an explosion.
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    eekeek Posts: 24,964
    Equally off topic - Eek Jr was supposed to have a driving test today but that was cancelled due to Covid.

    Which means I've spent the last 6 hours taking her back to Windermere and then heading home via the Dales. Given that these are both towns I know well it's save to say that English Tourism is back in full business - everywhere in Windermere is full and both Windermere, Kendal and Hawes were completely heaving.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,192
    So basically the richer / smarter you are the less favourably you consider the liar in chief.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    Cookie said:

    Sorry to go off thread already, but Elephant and Castle station appears to be on fire:
    https://twitter.com/Gem_theEngineer/status/1409497735246528513

    Looks like a railway arch store/business from some angles.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    Looks like a fire at a workshop under the arches. A big fire, hope everyone got out.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,612
    London Fire Brigade confirms it’s the railway arches near Elephant & Castle rail station- keep windows closed nearby & stay away from the area

    https://twitter.com/SkyScottBeasley/status/1409503027489345540?s=20
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189

    London Fire Brigade confirms it’s the railway arches near Elephant & Castle rail station- keep windows closed nearby & stay away from the area

    https://twitter.com/SkyScottBeasley/status/1409503027489345540?s=20

    So not the tube, thank goodness.
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    Sandpit said:

    Looks like a fire at a workshop under the arches. A big fire, hope everyone got out.

    Paint/inflamable gas probably, then. Though laser cutters have been known to start stuff as well.

    Mind you, a metal fire from machining.....
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    edited June 2021
    eek said:

    Equally off topic - Eek Jr was supposed to have a driving test today but that was cancelled due to Covid.

    Which means I've spent the last 6 hours taking her back to Windermere and then heading home via the Dales. Given that these are both towns I know well it's save to say that English Tourism is back in full business - everywhere in Windermere is full and both Windermere, Kendal and Hawes were completely heaving.

    Great news for business. Hope especially, that a certain pub and restaurant in Millom is having a good day.

    Good luck to Eek Jr for her rescheduled driving test!
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    tlg86 said:

    Arsenal Emirates Stadium are now offering 2nd vaccinations to people 21+ days after their first jab. Pfizer only I think. No appointment needed.

    Seems a slick operation and a lot of younger people turning up.

    https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1409444400166547462?s=20

    Seems today is final day of the pop-up vaccination centre at Arsenal. Closes 8pm.

    https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1409448252005621763?s=20

    Keep it going for FFS....as long as people are turning up, jab them.

    Why should Londoners get their second jab before me?
    The walk in centres are all over the country, not specifically on London.
    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/find-a-walk-in-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccination-site/

    If you've already had your 1st dose, you need to wait 8 weeks before having your 2nd dose.
    Anecdotally that's not true anywhere in the country. People are walking in 3 or 4 weeks after their first dose and getting their second ones. I think they don't want to make it an official policy until they're absolutely sure that the first dose programme has been completed to avoid a rush to vaccine centres by people who want to get double jabbed before the 19th.

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    pingping Posts: 3,731
    edited June 2021
    DavidL said:

    Just as well there's not too many of these ABC1 remainers on here, eh? Otherwise the government would be getting pelters day in and day out.

    PB is very ABC1
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    TazTaz Posts: 11,142
    eek said:

    Equally off topic - Eek Jr was supposed to have a driving test today but that was cancelled due to Covid.

    Which means I've spent the last 6 hours taking her back to Windermere and then heading home via the Dales. Given that these are both towns I know well it's save to say that English Tourism is back in full business - everywhere in Windermere is full and both Windermere, Kendal and Hawes were completely heaving.

    We were there at the end of May and it was thriving. Very noticeable too the amount of ads for bar staff and kitchen staff.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,915

    Have the centrists been defending a leaflet that was actually a smear campaign designed to make Labour look bad?


  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,180

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
    Yes! in fact they like him more than the C2s who agreed with him!
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189
    MaxPB said:

    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    tlg86 said:

    Arsenal Emirates Stadium are now offering 2nd vaccinations to people 21+ days after their first jab. Pfizer only I think. No appointment needed.

    Seems a slick operation and a lot of younger people turning up.

    https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1409444400166547462?s=20

    Seems today is final day of the pop-up vaccination centre at Arsenal. Closes 8pm.

    https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1409448252005621763?s=20

    Keep it going for FFS....as long as people are turning up, jab them.

    Why should Londoners get their second jab before me?
    The walk in centres are all over the country, not specifically on London.
    https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/find-a-walk-in-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccination-site/

    If you've already had your 1st dose, you need to wait 8 weeks before having your 2nd dose.
    Anecdotally that's not true anywhere in the country. People are walking in 3 or 4 weeks after their first dose and getting their second ones. I think they don't want to make it an official policy until they're absolutely sure that the first dose programme has been completed to avoid a rush to vaccine centres by people who want to get double jabbed before the 19th.

    Well I'm far too polite to do anything like that!
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223

    So basically the richer / smarter you are the less favourably you consider the liar in chief.

    Or, to put it another way, the better you did under the status quo the more likely you are to defend it. Which leaves the government is a somewhat ironic position for a Conservative party.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    DavidL said:

    Just as well there's not too many of these ABC1 remainers on here, eh? Otherwise the government would be getting pelters day in and day out.

    OMG Can you just imagine how many negative headers there'd be...oh...wait....
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    sladeslade Posts: 1,930
    Labour in B and S now have a poster like the Lib Dem diamond with the message Vote Kim, the local.
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,180

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
    Yes! in fact they like him more than the C2s who agreed with him!
    I think this might be the first bit of polling since the Brexit referendum when we've seen something (occupational class) that has a stronger determinant on public opinion (approval of Johnson) than Brexit referendum vote.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
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    pingping Posts: 3,731
    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
    Yes! in fact they like him more than the C2s who agreed with him!
    I think this might be the first bit of polling since the Brexit referendum when we've seen something (occupational class) that has a stronger determinant on public opinion (approval of Johnson) than Brexit referendum vote.
    Probably
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    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311
    The other interesting thing to go on the graph would be the percentage of the population in those groups. I don't doubt it is not equal but I'd like to know the relative size of each segment.
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,887
    Downing Street has said Boris Johnson did not sack Matt Hancock as health secretary, or urge him to quit over the scandal, shortly after the Prime Minister suggested otherwise
    https://twitter.com/BlewettSam/status/1409505584521662466
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Pfizer and Moderna vaccines look like they will protect for a very long time against covid.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/28/health/coronavirus-vaccines-immunity.html
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223
    ping said:

    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936

    Zero deaths recorded over the weekend despite this although no doubt there will be the odd laggard recorded. Even allowing for lags the link is broken. That is the key message (other than get your vaccines while their hot, 2 for absolutely nothing).
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,195
    I see the Liar is already lying about sacking Hancock according to Mail. Total and utter fabrication by Johnson. He backed him. He said the matter was closed.

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    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
    Yes! in fact they like him more than the C2s who agreed with him!
    I think this might be the first bit of polling since the Brexit referendum when we've seen something (occupational class) that has a stronger determinant on public opinion (approval of Johnson) than Brexit referendum vote.
    The other interesting question I would have is how popular other potential Tory leaders are. Would they be able to bait and switch. Get support for the Gov from CDE and then switch to a more palatable leader for ABC close to the election Does this polling throw even more Red Wall into Tory hands - where are the Blue wall soft spots?
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,180
    DavidL said:

    ping said:

    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936

    Zero deaths recorded over the weekend despite this although no doubt there will be the odd laggard recorded. Even allowing for lags the link is broken. That is the key message (other than get your vaccines while their hot, 2 for absolutely nothing).
    The small print is that the Registers are normally closed over the weekend, so wouldn't expect any deaths recorded, but the message is right. The vaccines work. Get yours in.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2021
    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    Nissan is to announce a major expansion of battery production in Sunderland creating thousands of new jobs both directly and in the supply chain.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57640001
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,561
    Wimbledon: given that play is only possible on the two main courts because of rain, why on earth didn't they start earlier than the scheduled times so that more matches could be completed today?
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    eekeek Posts: 24,964
    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    An enlarged factory in Sunderland won't win any votes 100+ miles area in Batley.

    If anything it will emphasis how much Batley is a have not rather than a have place.
  • Options
    BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    Nissan is to announce a major expansion of battery production in Sunderland creating thousands of new jobs both directly and in the supply chain.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57640001
    I heard a rumour Boris will be visiting Sunderland later in the week.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Brom said:

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    Nissan is to announce a major expansion of battery production in Sunderland creating thousands of new jobs both directly and in the supply chain.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57640001
    I heard a rumour Boris will be visiting Sunderland later in the week.
    High viz jacket and all....
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    edited June 2021
    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    eek said:

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    An enlarged factory in Sunderland won't win any votes 100+ miles area in Batley.

    If anything it will emphasis how much Batley is a have not rather than a have place.
    Yes but what would the Tories rather have in the news cycle on Thursday morning - a Conservative British economic success story that comforts the Brexit voters of that part of Yorkshire or some new CCTV of Matt Hancock getting his fingers wet?

    If we're lucky we might get both of course.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Christ.. footage of the explosion at elephant and castle.

    https://twitter.com/MeganJearum/status/1409499332596932610?s=19
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    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167
    Andy_JS said:

    Wimbledon: given that play is only possible on the two main courts because of rain, why on earth didn't they start earlier than the scheduled times so that more matches could be completed today?

    They've got 13 days. It'll be fine.
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    Nissan is to announce a major expansion of battery production in Sunderland creating thousands of new jobs both directly and in the supply chain.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57640001
    Fair enough, but the report discloses a giant bung from the government. A bung that it will not disclose.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223

    DavidL said:

    ping said:

    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936

    Zero deaths recorded over the weekend despite this although no doubt there will be the odd laggard recorded. Even allowing for lags the link is broken. That is the key message (other than get your vaccines while their hot, 2 for absolutely nothing).
    The small print is that the Registers are normally closed over the weekend, so wouldn't expect any deaths recorded, but the message is right. The vaccines work. Get yours in.
    Absolutely. My 23 year old gets her first vaccine this afternoon at 4. My 17 year old has an appointment for his first in 2 weeks time. Daughter number 1 and us oldies are already double vaxxed.

    I really want my son to have had both jabs before he goes away for University in October. The incredible slow down in the rate of vaccination has been making me anxious about this (since he would want to have had it no later than mid September) but I hope it will still be possible.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    edited June 2021
    eek said:

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    An enlarged factory in Sunderland won't win any votes 100+ miles area in Batley.

    If anything it will emphasis how much Batley is a have not rather than a have place.
    However, Sunderland has 3 Labour seats of which 2 are nowadays very marginal. While Labour are struggling in what should be an easy hold the Tories are looking ahead....
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    GnudGnud Posts: 298
    Batley & Spen: any word on how Anne-Marie Waters, candidate for the extreme-right For Britain party (formerly of Labour and UKIP), is faring?

    Kind of strange how Tommy Robinson didn't show up on Saturday, because given his record you'd have thought he would be in his element. Or is the white-racist and Islamophobic extreme right not getting stuck into this one, for some reason?

    Waters may take some votes that would otherwise go to the Tories - from those who previously switched from Labour or who would switch now if she weren't standing.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,282
    edited June 2021
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    ping said:

    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936

    Zero deaths recorded over the weekend despite this although no doubt there will be the odd laggard recorded. Even allowing for lags the link is broken. That is the key message (other than get your vaccines while their hot, 2 for absolutely nothing).
    The small print is that the Registers are normally closed over the weekend, so wouldn't expect any deaths recorded, but the message is right. The vaccines work. Get yours in.
    Absolutely. My 23 year old gets her first vaccine this afternoon at 4. My 17 year old has an appointment for his first in 2 weeks time. Daughter number 1 and us oldies are already double vaxxed.

    I really want my son to have had both jabs before he goes away for University in October. The incredible slow down in the rate of vaccination has been making me anxious about this (since he would want to have had it no later than mid September) but I hope it will still be possible.
    It would be important if the uni is going to stop activities depending on vaccine status.

    As to the health issues, they are not particularly onerous, according to anecdata provided by my niece and nephew, both at uni, the former with Covid now and surrounded by those with Covid, the latter surrounded by those with Covid.

    Not brilliant situation but not more (at this point) than an inconvenience.
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
  • Options
    pingping Posts: 3,731
    edited June 2021

    Brom said:

    So are Nissan and Boris making the joint annoucement about creating thousands of jobs on Thursday morning then? Might help fill the news void on the day of the by-election and convert a few waverers.

    Of course many of us will still be discussing England's acrimonious exit from Euro 2020.

    Nissan is to announce a major expansion of battery production in Sunderland creating thousands of new jobs both directly and in the supply chain.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-57640001
    Fair enough, but the report discloses a giant bung from the government. A bung that it will not disclose.
    Yeah. That’s not on.

    I’m generally relaxed about a more interventionist state, but the bungs have to be transparent.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Yes.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2021
    More good news on vaccines...

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9732213/Fewer-one-1-000-patients-dying-Covid-compared-one-90-second-wave.html

    If we can get some better treatments and an updated booster jab looks like it gives even more protection (plus the news that it looks like at least Pfizer and Moderna provide many years of protection), we can beat this.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,431
    DavidL said:

    So basically the richer / smarter you are the less favourably you consider the liar in chief.

    Or, to put it another way, the better you did under the status quo the more likely you are to defend it. Which leaves the government is a somewhat ironic position for a Conservative party.
    It also puts me in an interesting philosophical position. I'm somewhere in ABC1 (hard to work out exactly where - mid/senior academic) but I think C2DE have had a pretty raw deal over the past 20-30 years (and I have C2/D - when they were working - parents). So, my postion is that politicians should again care about C2DE. C2DE seem to think, generally, that this conservative government is good of them - or at least better than the alternative. Do I take a paternalistic approach and vote against the government anyway as I don't believe they'll really deliver for C2DE (therefore assuming that "I know best" what is best for C2DE) or do I accept that they know what they're on about? Or do I pull up the drawbridge and vote for whoever is best for me personally, somewhere in ABC1?

    (I've probably voted LD, which is very ABC1, more often than for other parties over the past twenty years, although not recently, so I must concede I don't have much track record voting for the C2DE groups favoured parties).
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,561
    "It is a tinder box about to explode,” a Labour activist campaigning in Batley & Spen tells The Times. For the second time in as many months, the party is battling a Tory challenge as it tries to hold on to its seat at a by-election.Many in Labour have written off their chances of holding the seat.

    “The Muslim vote has collapsed,” one activist who has campaigned locally said. “In Spen, the way the pledges are coming back is similar to Hartlepool. Currently we’re losing it by about 6,000 to 7,000 and we could be propelled into third place.""

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-galloway-has-made-the-labour-leadership-a-key-issue-in-the-batley-spen-by-election-7db7zbz8v
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    ping said:

    A further 3,285 cases of Covid-19 have been recorded in Scotland, a new record high.

    A total of 12.6% of people who were tested for the virus were positive.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57638936

    Zero deaths recorded over the weekend despite this although no doubt there will be the odd laggard recorded. Even allowing for lags the link is broken. That is the key message (other than get your vaccines while their hot, 2 for absolutely nothing).
    The small print is that the Registers are normally closed over the weekend, so wouldn't expect any deaths recorded, but the message is right. The vaccines work. Get yours in.
    Absolutely. My 23 year old gets her first vaccine this afternoon at 4. My 17 year old has an appointment for his first in 2 weeks time. Daughter number 1 and us oldies are already double vaxxed.

    I really want my son to have had both jabs before he goes away for University in October. The incredible slow down in the rate of vaccination has been making me anxious about this (since he would want to have had it no later than mid September) but I hope it will still be possible.
    In about 2 weeks, the first vaccinations will be down to pretty much nothing - lack of demand. Your son will be able to get his second dose as early as he wants, I reckon.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,187
    An interesting header. So the big Johnson divide is educational not Brexit. The more book learning you have the more likely you are to see through him. I find this quite heartening because it means an anti-Johnson viewpoint is rather like a detached house with a patio and a basement wine collection - a sign of having arrived. As such, given the aspirational nature of the British people, it will be much sought after, and with it also being (unlike high end property and vintage merlot) attainable completely free of charge, simply requiring a quick and painless mental upgrade, the numbers are surely set to grow. I've just topped up on Starmer Next PM at 9.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    Andy_JS said:

    "It is a tinder box about to explode,” a Labour activist campaigning in Batley & Spen tells The Times. For the second time in as many months, the party is battling a Tory challenge as it tries to hold on to its seat at a by-election.Many in Labour have written off their chances of holding the seat.

    “The Muslim vote has collapsed,” one activist who has campaigned locally said. “In Spen, the way the pledges are coming back is similar to Hartlepool. Currently we’re losing it by about 6,000 to 7,000 and we could be propelled into third place.""

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-galloway-has-made-the-labour-leadership-a-key-issue-in-the-batley-spen-by-election-7db7zbz8v

    I wonder how much of that is just hype to gtvo!
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    If we get take-up to 90% of the population, that is very good, by vaccination standards.

    We are giving out the vaccine in just about every way that can be thought of, for free.

    The simple truth is that there are a chunk of people who won't take it. The government has tried with the recalcitrant sections of the population and is still trying. But, ultimately, we live in a world where people feel entitled to their own truth.

    From the anti-vax garbage I have seen, much of it is beyond reason.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2021

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    If we get take-up to 90% of the population, that is very good, by vaccination standards.

    We are giving out the vaccine in just about every way that can be thought of, for free.

    The simple truth is that there are a chunk of people who won't take it. The government has tried with the recalcitrant sections of the population and is still trying. But, ultimately, we live in a world where people feel entitled to their own truth.

    From the anti-vax garbage I have seen, much of it is beyond reason.
    I am certainly not wired into Bill Gates skynet after having my Moderna jabs...beep boop beep booppppppp.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,187
    Selebian said:

    DavidL said:

    So basically the richer / smarter you are the less favourably you consider the liar in chief.

    Or, to put it another way, the better you did under the status quo the more likely you are to defend it. Which leaves the government is a somewhat ironic position for a Conservative party.
    It also puts me in an interesting philosophical position. I'm somewhere in ABC1 (hard to work out exactly where - mid/senior academic) but I think C2DE have had a pretty raw deal over the past 20-30 years (and I have C2/D - when they were working - parents). So, my postion is that politicians should again care about C2DE. C2DE seem to think, generally, that this conservative government is good of them - or at least better than the alternative. Do I take a paternalistic approach and vote against the government anyway as I don't believe they'll really deliver for C2DE (therefore assuming that "I know best" what is best for C2DE) or do I accept that they know what they're on about? Or do I pull up the drawbridge and vote for whoever is best for me personally, somewhere in ABC1?

    (I've probably voted LD, which is very ABC1, more often than for other parties over the past twenty years, although not recently, so I must concede I don't have much track record voting for the C2DE groups favoured parties).
    It's your vote and I think you should unashamedly cast it on the basis of you know best.
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    Andy_JS said:

    "It is a tinder box about to explode,” a Labour activist campaigning in Batley & Spen tells The Times. For the second time in as many months, the party is battling a Tory challenge as it tries to hold on to its seat at a by-election.Many in Labour have written off their chances of holding the seat.

    “The Muslim vote has collapsed,” one activist who has campaigned locally said. “In Spen, the way the pledges are coming back is similar to Hartlepool. Currently we’re losing it by about 6,000 to 7,000 and we could be propelled into third place.""

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-galloway-has-made-the-labour-leadership-a-key-issue-in-the-batley-spen-by-election-7db7zbz8v

    It seems depressing to ask this but would labour be vulnerable to a similar Galloway-style attack in London if Sadiq Khan was replaced with a female non-muslim?
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974

    The interesting thing about that graphic is not the ABC remainers it is the ABC leavers.

    They are also strongly against Johnson.

    I thought the C2DE Remainers were also very interesting. They disagreed with him over Brexit, but they still like him a lot.
    Yes! in fact they like him more than the C2s who agreed with him!
    I think this might be the first bit of polling since the Brexit referendum when we've seen something (occupational class) that has a stronger determinant on public opinion (approval of Johnson) than Brexit referendum vote.
    Are there any figures on preferences vs gender differences. Although that's probably going to be progressively more difficult to determine.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,358

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    If we get take-up to 90% of the population, that is very good, by vaccination standards.

    We are giving out the vaccine in just about every way that can be thought of, for free.

    The simple truth is that there are a chunk of people who won't take it. The government has tried with the recalcitrant sections of the population and is still trying. But, ultimately, we live in a world where people feel entitled to their own truth.

    From the anti-vax garbage I have seen, much of it is beyond reason.
    I am certainly not wired into Bill Gates skynet after having my Moderna jabs...beep boop beep booppppppp.
    I have already sent an angry e-mail to Microsoft - I didn't turn into the Incredible Hulk after mine. Which means, back to the gym. Sigh. Defective chip, I suppose.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Oh dear....

    https://order-order.com/2021/06/28/galloway-and-leadbeater-camps-accuse-each-other-of-tearing-down-posters/

    "The farce up in Batley & Spen continues. Now, Labour’s former Mayor of Kirklees, councillor Gwen Lowe, has been accused along with her husband of tearing down George Galloway posters in the constituency – to which the pair claim was a retaliatory measure against the Galloway team for removing posters of Kim Leadbeater. "

    "In the video above, the pair can be seen bellowing at the Galloway supporter who caught them in the act, with Lowe restraining her furious husband before both stormed down the street. A source tells Guido the incident has now been reported to the police…"
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,915
    kinabalu said:

    An interesting header. So the big Johnson divide is educational not Brexit. The more book learning you have the more likely you are to see through him. I find this quite heartening because it means an anti-Johnson viewpoint is rather like a detached house with a patio and a basement wine collection - a sign of having arrived. As such, given the aspirational nature of the British people, it will be much sought after, and with it also being (unlike high end property and vintage merlot) attainable completely free of charge, simply requiring a quick and painless mental upgrade, the numbers are surely set to grow. I've just topped up on Starmer Next PM at 9.

    Back him to go by Aug as a Hedge?
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    You do know that there are hundreds of variants don't you? Only a few have characteristics that make a material difference to its ability to make people ill. And it cannot change too much it loses the ability to say bind to the ACE-2 receptors.
    We need to be careful of variants, but there is little prospect of a sudden emergence of a variant which completely evades the current vaccines.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    Why?

    It seems to me we have a better takeup than any other nation on the planet (considering Canada have authorised 12+ and we haven't).

    There will be a minority of refuseniks. That is their right. They're wrong, but they're entitled to be wrong and to live with their consequences.
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2021

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    You do know that there are hundreds of variants don't you? Only a few have characteristics that make a material difference to its ability to make people ill. And it cannot change too much it loses the ability to say bind to the ACE-2 receptors.
    We need to be careful of variants, but there is little prospect of a sudden emergence of a variant which completely evades the current vaccines.
    I believe what is encouraging to those that track this is that they are seeing the same 2-3 mutations over and over again (the difference is getting the 2 or 3 together in one variant), so it is following a predictable pathway. Now that might change, it is certainly looks possible to have a decent idea what the mutations that any booster needs to tackle for the forthcoming autumn / winter.

    The big problem with flu, and thus the jabs, is it is much more of a guess what is actually going to be like in 6 months.
  • Options
    pingping Posts: 3,731
    edited June 2021
    Forgive my ignorance, but…

    Are retirees classed as c2de?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,052

    Pfizer and Moderna vaccines look like they will protect for a very long time against covid.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/28/health/coronavirus-vaccines-immunity.html

    The early reports that people who had previously recovered from SARS a decade ago had good immunity against covid bode well for the long-term effectiveness of vaccines.
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    If we get take-up to 90% of the population, that is very good, by vaccination standards.

    We are giving out the vaccine in just about every way that can be thought of, for free.

    The simple truth is that there are a chunk of people who won't take it. The government has tried with the recalcitrant sections of the population and is still trying. But, ultimately, we live in a world where people feel entitled to their own truth.

    From the anti-vax garbage I have seen, much of it is beyond reason.
    You must, I guess, be appalled by the risks that many in the West are taking. US states and some European countries. Unlocking with much lower rates of vaccination.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Look at the stats. For U18 there is about 1 in 1000 chance of severe disease with Covid. For an individual its vanishingly small, but it means in a school of 1000 pupils who all get covid, one with be seriously ill with potential life changing consequences. Its not simple.
  • Options
    StockyStocky Posts: 9,718
    Where are we with vaccinating 12-18 year olds? Is it likely to start anytime soon? Weeks, months?
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,223

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    You do know that there are hundreds of variants don't you? Only a few have characteristics that make a material difference to its ability to make people ill. And it cannot change too much it loses the ability to say bind to the ACE-2 receptors.
    We need to be careful of variants, but there is little prospect of a sudden emergence of a variant which completely evades the current vaccines.
    Yes I do know. The variants of concern as they call them, which have basically been the SA one, Kent and now Delta, have each increased the infectivity of the virus and its propensity to spread. The evolutionary advantage of this is obvious and there is a recognised tendency for viruses to develop in this way, also becoming more benign because this keeps their host alive for longer allowing more opportunities for transmission. Going by the past pattern it seems inevitable that an even more infectious variant than delta will be along very shortly.

    The evidence to date is that none of these variants defeat the vaccine but in countries like ours where the majority of potential hosts are vaccinated the ability to do so would be a huge evolutionary advantage and any such variant would become dominant very quickly. We need to stay alert to this but the priority is to protect as many people as possible as quickly as possible.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167
    Stocky said:

    Where are we with vaccinating 12-18 year olds? Is it likely to start anytime soon? Weeks, months?

    JVCI not decided yet. I think they need to decide soon, as I think we are running out of arms that are older than 18...
  • Options
    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    Andy_JS said:

    "It is a tinder box about to explode,” a Labour activist campaigning in Batley & Spen tells The Times. For the second time in as many months, the party is battling a Tory challenge as it tries to hold on to its seat at a by-election.Many in Labour have written off their chances of holding the seat.

    “The Muslim vote has collapsed,” one activist who has campaigned locally said. “In Spen, the way the pledges are coming back is similar to Hartlepool. Currently we’re losing it by about 6,000 to 7,000 and we could be propelled into third place.""

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-galloway-has-made-the-labour-leadership-a-key-issue-in-the-batley-spen-by-election-7db7zbz8v

    Thought the first sentence was going to be about Labour's race baiting campaigning approach, but turns out it was an entirely solipsistic comment on their own electoral prospects.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,915

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.
    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Death is an incredibly low bar.
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    edited June 2021

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Look at the stats. For U18 there is about 1 in 1000 chance of severe disease with Covid. For an individual its vanishingly small, but it means in a school of 1000 pupils who all get covid, one with be seriously ill with potential life changing consequences. Its not simple.
    I find it extraordinary you are justifying mass vaccination of children on this basis. Utterly extraordinary.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 24,964
    ping said:

    Forgive my ignorance, but…

    Are retirees classed as c2de?

    Most pensioners (assuming they aren't 100% reliant on the State pension) remain where they are

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/11/25/how-well-do-abc1-and-c2de-correspond-our-own-class covers it.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,052

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Look at the stats. For U18 there is about 1 in 1000 chance of severe disease with Covid. For an individual its vanishingly small, but it means in a school of 1000 pupils who all get covid, one with be seriously ill with potential life changing consequences. Its not simple.
    I find it extraordinary you are justifying mass vaccination on this basis. Utterly extraordinary.
    You find it extraordinary that anybody could consider ethics in a way that isn't entirely selfish.
  • Options
    StockyStocky Posts: 9,718

    Stocky said:

    Where are we with vaccinating 12-18 year olds? Is it likely to start anytime soon? Weeks, months?

    JVCI not decided yet. I think they need to decide soon, as I think we are running out of arms that are older than 18...
    I thought they had decided that Pfiser is OK - is that incorrect?
  • Options
    TimTTimT Posts: 6,328
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    You do know that there are hundreds of variants don't you? Only a few have characteristics that make a material difference to its ability to make people ill. And it cannot change too much it loses the ability to say bind to the ACE-2 receptors.
    We need to be careful of variants, but there is little prospect of a sudden emergence of a variant which completely evades the current vaccines.
    Yes I do know. The variants of concern as they call them, which have basically been the SA one, Kent and now Delta, have each increased the infectivity of the virus and its propensity to spread. The evolutionary advantage of this is obvious and there is a recognised tendency for viruses to develop in this way, also becoming more benign because this keeps their host alive for longer allowing more opportunities for transmission. Going by the past pattern it seems inevitable that an even more infectious variant than delta will be along very shortly.

    The evidence to date is that none of these variants defeat the vaccine but in countries like ours where the majority of potential hosts are vaccinated the ability to do so would be a huge evolutionary advantage and any such variant would become dominant very quickly. We need to stay alert to this but the priority is to protect as many people as possible as quickly as possible.
    @ DavidL. Glad to see you back and hope you are doing well after your recent scare.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    LMAO

    https://twitter.com/patrickkmaguire/status/1409514115689766915

    In Batley and Spen, Labour will put you on an attack leaflet if you pose alongside Modi. In Brent North...
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Look at the stats. For U18 there is about 1 in 1000 chance of severe disease with Covid. For an individual its vanishingly small, but it means in a school of 1000 pupils who all get covid, one with be seriously ill with potential life changing consequences. Its not simple.
    I find it extraordinary you are justifying mass vaccination of children on this basis. Utterly extraordinary.
    Its a balance for the individual - how do you give the best health outcome. If the risk from the vaccine is less than the risk of harm from the disease, and in where cases are spreading rapidly in that cohort then yes I think it is justified.

    What are your concerns about it?
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    A missive from good old George Galloway - no doubt as to the target audience

    https://twitter.com/georgeeaton/status/1408783112809684992/photo/1
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,180
    kinabalu said:

    An interesting header. So the big Johnson divide is educational not Brexit. The more book learning you have the more likely you are to see through him. I find this quite heartening because it means an anti-Johnson viewpoint is rather like a detached house with a patio and a basement wine collection - a sign of having arrived. As such, given the aspirational nature of the British people, it will be much sought after, and with it also being (unlike high end property and vintage merlot) attainable completely free of charge, simply requiring a quick and painless mental upgrade, the numbers are surely set to grow. I've just topped up on Starmer Next PM at 9.

    I think it's nearly impossible that Starmer will be next PM. If Starmer is Labour leader at the next general election there are broadly three scenarios.

    1. Something like the status quo where the Tory majority ends up about the same, or a bit bigger. Starmer resigns as Labour leader and does not become next PM.

    2. Something a bit like 2015GE, where it looks close between Labour and the Tories, but the English swing behind the Tories to prevent the SNP propping up a Labour government. Starmer resigns as Labour leader and does not become next PM.

    3. Something happens between now and GE to make a 1997 landslide possible, and Conservative defeat seem inevitable. Starmer prepares to enter Number Ten. The Tories ditch Johnson in their desperation and make Sunak PM. Starmer still has a chance of being the next-but-one PM.

    There's simply no ideological commitment to Johnson within the PCP. It's only because they think he will help them win elections. As soon as that goes - so does Johnson - and so a Tory will be next PM.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,167
    Stocky said:

    Stocky said:

    Where are we with vaccinating 12-18 year olds? Is it likely to start anytime soon? Weeks, months?

    JVCI not decided yet. I think they need to decide soon, as I think we are running out of arms that are older than 18...
    I thought they had decided that Pfiser is OK - is that incorrect?
    MHRA have said yes, but the JCVI have not yet decided whether we should do it. I suspect they will, but are perhaps waiting to complete the over 18's as best as possible.
  • Options
    TimTTimT Posts: 6,328

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    The first vaccination rate in the UK is about 0.4% of adult population per day, with the number as of yesterday at 84% of adults. Wales strongly suggests that it will top out at about 89% of adults.

    That means in about 12-14 days*, the first vaccinations will be over - in terms of people actually trying to get vaccinated.

    The supply pipeline for vaccines is months long and you can't just get an extra delivery.

    So no, he can't change anything at this point.

    *Yes - that assumes it doesn't tail off.
    Its' good but not good enough. It leaves several million people unvaccinated and even more with only partial protection. We need to find ways to incentivise those we have missed, go looking for them and persuade. There is a lot to do here and it is very important to our protection from not only delta but the next variant off the block (which must surely be overdue).
    If we get take-up to 90% of the population, that is very good, by vaccination standards.

    We are giving out the vaccine in just about every way that can be thought of, for free.

    The simple truth is that there are a chunk of people who won't take it. The government has tried with the recalcitrant sections of the population and is still trying. But, ultimately, we live in a world where people feel entitled to their own truth.

    From the anti-vax garbage I have seen, much of it is beyond reason.
    I am certainly not wired into Bill Gates skynet after having my Moderna jabs...beep boop beep booppppppp.
    I have already sent an angry e-mail to Microsoft - I didn't turn into the Incredible Hulk after mine. Which means, back to the gym. Sigh. Defective chip, I suppose.
    After my second dose, I have had irresistible urges to smell lampposts and suspicious looking puddles on the pavement. I guess I got the tracking chip ...
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2021
    Well's that an interesting titbit....

    the CCTV cameras in the office were made by Hikvision, a Chinese firm banned in the US over concerns that it could be used by Beijing as a spying tool.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9728843/Matt-Hancocks-affair-footage-office-CCTV-reveals-GLEN-OWEN.html

    WTF are the government allowing Chinese CCTV cameras anywhere near their offices? The report says the DoH is leased from a private company, but still, that should be an absolute no no.
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    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    DavidL said:

    263,267 vaccinations in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 118,366 1st doses / 97,993 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 17,869 / 12,418
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 944 / 8,766
    NI 2,533 / 4,378

    Sigh. Absolutely no question what should be top of Sajid's in-tray. Indeed, empty the bloody in-tray into the bin and put the rate of vaccination back in. Nothing that is in our power is more important economically, socially, healthwise. Nothing.
    Disagreed.

    The vaccination program is over. We're now chasing up refuseniks and waiting for second doses to become eligible, but everyone has been eligible to get vaccinated now and mass walk in vaccinations are available no appointment necessary nationwide.

    If people aren't getting jabbed yet, its because they don't want to be. And if they don't want to be, we should under no circumstances be remaining restricted to protect them.

    There should be one item in Sajid's in-tray and that's saying that we are now lifting all legal restrictions. If you haven't yet had it and wish not to be infected with Covid, go get your vaccine, but the restrictions are no longer there to prevent it spreading.
    The next question is do we vaccinate kids over the summer holidays?
    Are we vaccinating the young

    A. to stop them spreading covid to granny who was double jabbed months ago

    or

    B. to make a pretty negligible threat to them even more negligible?
    Firstly we are not vaccinating the young yet (with some medically approved exceptions). And I think both A and B apply. If we wish to get true heard immunity in the face of the very transmissible delta, then we may need to get as many of the 12-18 year olds done too. In the face of rising cases, and with a non-zero risk of harm from covid in that age group there is a clinical case for vaccinating for their protection, in addition to the benefits to the entire population.


    Turbo mate the average person who passed away from covid was 82 with two or more co-morbidities.
    Look at the stats. For U18 there is about 1 in 1000 chance of severe disease with Covid. For an individual its vanishingly small, but it means in a school of 1000 pupils who all get covid, one with be seriously ill with potential life changing consequences. Its not simple.
    I find it extraordinary you are justifying mass vaccination on this basis. Utterly extraordinary.
    You find it extraordinary that anybody could consider ethics in a way that isn't entirely selfish.
    The selfishness has come entirely from the boomer generation, who have destroyed the education, mental health and life chances of young people to save themselves. At every single turn.

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