Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think the two campaigns' focus on Pennsylvania tells us they each believe it is close, in a way that's not true of Wisconsin or Michigan.
My wife described PA to me thus - "Pittsburgh on the left. Philadelphia on the right. A marginally less liberal and colder version of Alabama in the middle".
I think Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump - the Biden leads there are just too big.
Plenty of evidence in recent weeks that teh Trump campaign has reached the same conclusion - cancelling ads in Wisconsin, not many rallies in MI. They have essentially gone all in on PA which makes sense
Given that, and that Biden is not really defending any states, he only needs to pick up one more to win. there's a lot of options for him but trump needs to do well in all of his defences though.
Trump winning the popular vote has moved out from about 7 yesterday to almost 10 today. Punters are obviously losing confidence in any chance of it happening.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump - the Biden leads there are just too big.
Plenty of evidence in recent weeks that teh Trump campaign has reached the same conclusion - cancelling ads in Wisconsin, not many rallies in MI. They have essentially gone all in on PA which makes sense
On the other hand Trump's rally last night was in Kenosha, Wisconsin.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think the two campaigns' focus on Pennsylvania tells us they each believe it is close, in a way that's not true of Wisconsin or Michigan.
My wife described PA to me thus - "Pittsburgh on the left. Philadelphia on the right. A marginally less liberal and colder version of Alabama in the middle".
I have only ever been to Philadelphia which is very typical east-coast inner-city, and the well-off mainly-white suburbs which were full of people on both sides of the political divide, plenty of high-earning Rush L fans. Of course even white suburbs in America tend to be ethnically and racially diverse compared to most of Europe.
That's the EXACT mirror of 2016 if you adjust for faithless electors. And a touch too conservative for me. I want the landslide. I feel the landslide. I deduce the landslide. I've bet the landslide. Heart & Soul & Brain & Wallet aligned. That's rare.
I would love you to be right, and you may well be. Trump needs to be crushed by the voters and his enablers in the Republican party too. But there are still plenty of Americans who love him. So I'm not sure we are in landslide territory.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think the two campaigns' focus on Pennsylvania tells us they each believe it is close, in a way that's not true of Wisconsin or Michigan.
My wife described PA to me thus - "Pittsburgh on the left. Philadelphia on the right. A marginally less liberal and colder version of Alabama in the middle".
I have only ever been to Philadelphia which is very typical east-coast inner-city, and the well-off mainly-white suburbs which were full of people on both sides of the political divide, plenty of high-earning Rush L fans. Of course even white suburbs in America tend to be ethnically and racially diverse compared to most of Europe.
Central PA I don't know well - however I once went to a wedding in Ithaca, NY from NYC and one of the peculiarities of US geography means that the fastest route is actually through Pennsylvania. The feeling was closer to the south of the US than leafy New England where my wife is from. My wife's best friend teaches as Lycoming College and says much the same thing,
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
Problem is, it’s been little more than a very expensive and slightly delayed running commentary on the pandemic, rather than a means to enable its control.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
My view is its not so much the quantity as the quality. No amount of testing is any good unless you do anything meaningful with the data. And the data hasn't, it seems, been put to very good use.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
Problem is, it’s been little more than a very expensive and slightly delayed running commentary on the pandemic, rather than a means to enable its control.
Yes. Too much emphasis on the absolute number of tests, too little on (a) getting the results really fast, and (b) following up the contact-tracing (and virtually no backwards contact-tracing). The net result has been a huge expenditure for little benefit.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
The UK testing stats have been a bit dodgy ever since the infamous 100,000 target. But it seems like a lot of testing is happening now. Germany is doing something over 200,000k tests a day - so not much more than earlier on in the year. Last week the positive rate shot up to 5.8%, first time it's been above 5 I believe, maybe a sign that not enough tests are happening now. Should get new figures from RKI tomorrow. Still people who need a test seem to get one fairly promptly and results usually within 24 hours, at least locally.
This BBC forgeries, Diana interview stuff demands resignations and prosecutions and should be the end of the licence fee, but is passing virtually unnoticed.
This BBC forgeries, Diana interview stuff demands resignations and prosecutions and should be the end of the licence fee, but is passing virtually unnoticed.
I am pleased to see most of the markets moving towards Biden. I understand Florida which has been commented on. But I see Trump is still favourite on North Carolina. I think Biden wins this and am thinking of increasing my bet here. Why not?
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
I have had a covid idea that will appeal to the puritanical amongst you. Anyone found by the police to be in serious/repeated breach of the Covid regulations, is denied the right to free Covid care on the NHS and will be charged by credit card for their care should they require Covid hospitalisation. A simple per day charge. I think it would be very popular. 'NHS should be free at the point of use, not free at the point of abuse'.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
Problem is, it’s been little more than a very expensive and slightly delayed running commentary on the pandemic, rather than a means to enable its control.
Yes. Too much emphasis on the absolute number of tests, too little on (a) getting the results really fast, and (b) following up the contact-tracing (and virtually no backwards contact-tracing). The net result has been a huge expenditure for little benefit.
The indications from reports of the Liverpool experiment is that we’ll again fail to make best use of the (potentially far more useful) results.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think the two campaigns' focus on Pennsylvania tells us they each believe it is close, in a way that's not true of Wisconsin or Michigan.
My wife described PA to me thus - "Pittsburgh on the left. Philadelphia on the right. A marginally less liberal and colder version of Alabama in the middle".
I have only ever been to Philadelphia which is very typical east-coast inner-city, and the well-off mainly-white suburbs which were full of people on both sides of the political divide, plenty of high-earning Rush L fans. Of course even white suburbs in America tend to be ethnically and racially diverse compared to most of Europe.
Central PA I don't know well - however I once went to a wedding in Ithaca, NY from NYC and one of the peculiarities of US geography means that the fastest route is actually through Pennsylvania. The feeling was closer to the south of the US than leafy New England where my wife is from. My wife's best friend teaches as Lycoming College and says much the same thing,
There's an old joke that Pennsylvania consists of Philly and Pittsburgh and Kentucky in-between. (Or "Pennsyltucky" as it's sometimes called.)
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
Except that's deliberate not a flaw. Wyoming deliberately gets more by design not by accident.
In fairness to Sunil, he said it was a load of crap, not that it was a flaw it how it was designed. They designed other things which were a load of crap, even if on the whole the system has stood the test of time.
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
Why?
Remember, as far as they were concerned the United States was not a country. It was an organisation of 13 equal countries to co-ordinate matters of mutual interest.
They would therefore not have been surprised at disparities in size. That was the whole point of the Senate.
I am pleased to see most of the markets moving towards Biden. I understand Florida which has been commented on. But I see Trump is still favourite on North Carolina. I think Biden wins this and am thinking of increasing my bet here. Why not?
NC is now as close as you can get to even money, Trump fractionally shorter.
Just over a year ago the dog and I dropped into Wilmington Animal Hospital to get his pet passport signed off before we embarked on the ship back to the UK. Just along the road from there, Biden will be making his victory speech in the small hours tomorrow, US time.
This BBC forgeries, Diana interview stuff demands resignations and prosecutions and should be the end of the licence fee, but is passing virtually unnoticed.
Does anyone care?
Well, no, that was rather my point. If you are trying to say that you personally are not fussed about honourable and honest conduct in public life, I think we knew that.
Needless to say, there is a far more important race being run overnight and that's a kick off of 4am (UK) at Flemington - the Melbourne Cup.
I've backed TWILIGHT PAYMENT at 33/1 each way but I think SURPRISE BABY will keep the race at home this year.
The second part may be wrong but consolation is a £5 each way bet at 33s on the winner which will provide Mrs Stodge with a decent steak and lobster supper to console us in lockdown.
This BBC forgeries, Diana interview stuff demands resignations and prosecutions and should be the end of the licence fee, but is passing virtually unnoticed.
Just over a year ago the dog and I dropped into Wilmington Animal Hospital to get his pet passport signed off before we embarked on the ship back to the UK. Just along the road from there, Biden will be making his victory speech in the small hours tomorrow, US time.
Almost exactly one year ago - November 6, 2019 - I was tucking into freshly-shucked Gulf oysters in the Bourbon House oyster bar, in the French Quarter, in the warm, sultry autumn sunshine of New Orleans, with barely a care in the world.
What the F. What has happened. What has happened to us all.
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
I doubt it. The Founding Fathers took the difference between states very, very seriously.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump - the Biden leads there are just too big.
Yep. Michigan in particular seems like a dream for him now.
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
The founding fathers were distraught at what the electoral college turned into. Madison proposed a constitutional ammendment to fix the system that developed in most states.
The intent was unplegdged delegates that were sent to deliberate and decide not a pre-pledged delegate.
That's the EXACT mirror of 2016 if you adjust for faithless electors. And a touch too conservative for me. I want the landslide. I feel the landslide. I deduce the landslide. I've bet the landslide. Heart & Soul & Brain & Wallet aligned. That's rare.
Just over a year ago the dog and I dropped into Wilmington Animal Hospital to get his pet passport signed off before we embarked on the ship back to the UK. Just along the road from there, Biden will be making his victory speech in the small hours tomorrow, US time.
Almost exactly one year ago - November 6, 2019 - I was tucking into freshly-shucked Gulf oysters in the Bourbon House oyster bar, in the French Quarter, in the warm, sultry autumn sunshine of New Orleans, with barely a care in the world.
What the F. What has happened. What has happened to us all.
It’s true that those who were there with you do seem to have disappeared. From PB, at least.
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
I doubt it. The Founding Fathers took the difference between states very, very seriously.
I am pleased to see most of the markets moving towards Biden. I understand Florida which has been commented on. But I see Trump is still favourite on North Carolina. I think Biden wins this and am thinking of increasing my bet here. Why not?
NC is now as close as you can get to even money, Trump fractionally shorter.
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
And two senators each. I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
I doubt it. The Founding Fathers took the difference between states very, very seriously.
No, quite a few were pragmatists.
Well indeed but accepting the difference between the states was part of that pragmatism.
The 2 Senators per State and the inclusion of Senators in the Electoral College numbers was a deliberate bias to ensure that small states interests wasn't neglected in favour of large states interests.
Many small states still have the same concern today.
Just over a year ago the dog and I dropped into Wilmington Animal Hospital to get his pet passport signed off before we embarked on the ship back to the UK. Just along the road from there, Biden will be making his victory speech in the small hours tomorrow, US time.
Almost exactly one year ago - November 6, 2019 - I was tucking into freshly-shucked Gulf oysters in the Bourbon House oyster bar, in the French Quarter, in the warm, sultry autumn sunshine of New Orleans, with barely a care in the world.
What the F. What has happened. What has happened to us all.
It’s true that those who were there with you do seem to have disappeared. From PB, at least.
As soon as this medieval plague shit is over I am going somewhere gloriously sunny and wildly hedonistic.
I can't decide between New Orleans, Bangkok or maybe somewhere in the Indian Ocean
I’ve had half a bottle of wine and am about to have a disco nap ✌️
I’m stone cold sober and staying that way.
Don’t drink and gamble, kids!
That was the sensible path. Sadly the thought of even the possibility of Trump being re-elected seems to have led most of us less resolute souls astray already.
One area where, even with caveats about it, the public are less forgiving.
I find it hard to reconcile this belief with the actual numbers given on sites like Worldmeter.
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
Number of tests is a fairly irrelevant after a large number is reached after that it becomes about who you test rather than how many. Our testing system is basically a scattershot which waits for people to get symptoms or the worried well who irrationally fear they have caught it every time they step out of their house.
It oddly doesn't prioritise people who have been contacted by a track and trace team and instead asks contacts to isolate rather than get tested, we prioritise the worried well over people who have a higher likelihood of having the virus because they've been in contact with people who have tested positive.
In addition as I've said about a thousand times before, we do nothing after people have tested positive, we don't help them isolate, we don't check that they isolate and we don't ensure that they still have jobs after their isolation period.
Testing is only one variable, isolation, tracing and testing contacts rapidly all need to be done effectively for any system to have an effect on the R. Whether we do 300k or 500k tests is irrelevant. What those 25k people who get positive tests everyday do afterwards is much more important that increasing capacity.
Just over a year ago the dog and I dropped into Wilmington Animal Hospital to get his pet passport signed off before we embarked on the ship back to the UK. Just along the road from there, Biden will be making his victory speech in the small hours tomorrow, US time.
Almost exactly one year ago - November 6, 2019 - I was tucking into freshly-shucked Gulf oysters in the Bourbon House oyster bar, in the French Quarter, in the warm, sultry autumn sunshine of New Orleans, with barely a care in the world.
What the F. What has happened. What has happened to us all.
It’s true that those who were there with you do seem to have disappeared. From PB, at least.
As soon as this medieval plague shit is over I am going somewhere gloriously sunny and wildly hedonistic.
I can't decide between New Orleans, Bangkok or maybe somewhere in the Indian Ocean
I've already decided that I'm giving it until March and then, fuck it, I'm going to travel whatever.
Unless prompted by a direct question about those two states that should set an alarm bell going, FL everyone knows is a toss up so wouldn't be a stretch to have said 'win without FL' but PA? I try not to read into 'expectation' comments from campaign staff but,, I find it very strange she specified PA as well
Yes, that was my reading of it. Somewhat troubling.
Charlotte Alter @CharlotteAlter Jen O'Malley Dillon: Pennsylvania and Florida "are requirements for DT to get to 270, they are not requirements for Joe Biden to get to 270, because we have so many pathways" 4:40 pm · 3 Nov 2020·Twitter Web App
I don't think she's quite right. If Trump can hang on to one of the Great Lakes states then he could possibly do it without Pennsylvania, but on the other hand if he's winning there, he's probably winning in Pennsylvania too so it's unlikely.
I think Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump - the Biden leads there are just too big.
Yep. Michigan in particular seems like a dream for him now.
It took him four days to spread COVID in Saginaw...
Can I just say the Electoral Kindergarten is a load of crap?
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
Except that's deliberate not a flaw. Wyoming deliberately gets more by design not by accident.
In fairness to Sunil, he said it was a load of crap, not that it was a flaw it how it was designed. They designed other things which were a load of crap, even if on the whole the system has stood the test of time.
Comments
2016 results (https://enr.electionsfl.org/MAN/1652/Summary/ ):
Trump:101,944
Clinton: 71,224
2020 vote so far by registered party (https://www.votemanatee.com/Election-Information/Election-Voter-Turnout-View ):
Republican: 93,567
Democrat: 62,213
Other: 44,671
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.170211116
Early 40%
Today so far 17%
Total so far 57%
https://boe.cuyahogacounty.gov/en-US/livevoter.aspx
According to their numbers the UK has done more tests than any other country in the world except the big 4 - China, USA, India and Russia. A total of 34.4 million tests to date.
When it comes to tests per million people, with the exception of the smallest countries - those of les than 1 million population - only Denmark, Israel, the UAE and Singapore have done more tests per head of population then the UK.
Thing is, I agree with the perception that the UK has handled testing badly. That is my impression as well. But the numbers do not, on face value, support that claim.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jy1OhtQQRik
2.14/1 reg GOP/DEM
Tue undecided decide it!!!
Consider:
Wyoming, with barely 600,000 people, has THREE Electoral Votes, or 1 EV per 200,000 approx.
Whereas California, with 40,000,000 people (roughly) has 55 EVs, or 1 EV per 700,000 approx.
Of course, not all of the population is of voting age of course, but you get my drift!
Germany is doing something over 200,000k tests a day - so not much more than earlier on in the year. Last week the positive rate shot up to 5.8%, first time it's been above 5 I believe, maybe a sign that not enough tests are happening now. Should get new figures from RKI tomorrow.
Still people who need a test seem to get one fairly promptly and results usually within 24 hours, at least locally.
And now it's been a big hit and Netflix are under pressure to produce a second series, yet it is a self contained story.
I suspect the founding fathers themselves, undemocratic slave owners that many of them were, would be a little surprised by today’s disparities.
Steering vaguely back to the topic, I could see Biden playing a Giuoco Pianissimo. Steady, soporific, afraid to make errors.
Trump would just throw the board over. With a complaint that the dark squares were the wrong colour.
Remember, as far as they were concerned the United States was not a country. It was an organisation of 13 equal countries to co-ordinate matters of mutual interest.
They would therefore not have been surprised at disparities in size. That was the whole point of the Senate.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8910341/BBC-probe-Earl-Spencers-claim-journalist-Martin-Bashir-Princess-Dianas-Panorama-interview.html
ETA Earl Spencer and Boris are the same age so presumably were at Eton together.
What the F. What has happened. What has happened to us all.
First time I’ve been tempted to have a dabble.
The intent was unplegdged delegates that were sent to deliberate and decide not a pre-pledged delegate.
Don’t drink and gamble, kids!
If we must depart this world, let us do it with style
Enjoy!
(Cue the infantile comments that you and I are one and the same which ignores the equally compelling argument that writers are of a certain genre.)
One thing to be said for trump is that he hasn’t got us into any stupid wars, despite John Bolton.
On those states reporting live in FL its narrowed by over half as far as I can see
so it will come down to the large numbers of unaffiliated
The 2 Senators per State and the inclusion of Senators in the Electoral College numbers was a deliberate bias to ensure that small states interests wasn't neglected in favour of large states interests.
Many small states still have the same concern today.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyshtym_disaster
I can't decide between New Orleans, Bangkok or maybe somewhere in the Indian Ocean
Isn't she literally also suspended.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyshtym_disaster
And there are constant rumours of one in the 1960s that was much more successfully hushed up.
Superb
It oddly doesn't prioritise people who have been contacted by a track and trace team and instead asks contacts to isolate rather than get tested, we prioritise the worried well over people who have a higher likelihood of having the virus because they've been in contact with people who have tested positive.
In addition as I've said about a thousand times before, we do nothing after people have tested positive, we don't help them isolate, we don't check that they isolate and we don't ensure that they still have jobs after their isolation period.
Testing is only one variable, isolation, tracing and testing contacts rapidly all need to be done effectively for any system to have an effect on the R. Whether we do 300k or 500k tests is irrelevant. What those 25k people who get positive tests everyday do afterwards is much more important that increasing capacity.
I've witnessed a few board throwing incidents in chess tournaments. Some people really don't like losing.
Seriously, it was about as historically accurate as the Tudors, but it was very good. Jared Harris was brilliant.
Dom is nice. I like Churchill's Pol Roger.
I am also a big fan of the best English fizz. Nyetimber et al.