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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » While we await the Cummings presser my nomination for the book

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  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    The "Led by Donkeys" demo and neighbours heckling last night have helped him in his point that his London house is not a particularly "safe" location.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,601

    The statement was fine - but he comes across as so arrogant when he answers questions.

    That's interesting, because he comes across as unusually calm and level-headed to me. Just shows how different people can view things differently.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    When he was blind....

    Does his wife drive?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,555
    DougSeal said:

    eadric said:

    The Barnard Castle thing is the weak link. If he can secure that, he's OK

    With impaired eyesight?
    It is so weak that they avoided admitting it until today - and clearly would have denied it if possible. The justification given is very weak. Exercise would have been a better excuse, though still with problems.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176

    tlg86 said:
    Not really


    Question. Was driving to Durham worse than shagging one's mistress during lockdown? Answer No
    I was thinking more that Cummings is mentioning his importance to government. So was Ferguson.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,816
    algarkirk said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Cummings strikes me as a Sherlock Holmes type figure, in the sense that he's a genius on some subjects but doesn't know the first thing about other subjects, such as where the boundary of London is.

    Quite. SH didn't know or care whether the earth went round the sun or the sun round the earth. (Study in Scarlet)
    Greater London boundary quite hard to learn 100%.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    On his wife's birthday.

    To a well known local beauty spot.

  • Without the castle visit, I think he might have got away with it.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    On his wife's birthday.

    To a well known local beauty spot.

    It’s total nonsense. Hilarious really.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421
    nico67 said:

    Started off okay and it then turned into a train wreck . Refusing to apologize and some pathetic excuse for popping off to Barnard Castle will be what most people remember .

    He is reminding me of Sir Charles Dilke, who acquitted of a criminal offence most unwisely sued for libel, lost spectacularly and ruined his life and career as a result.

    He might have got away with the statement. The questions are a total train wreck.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    HYUFD said:

    This is epic. Really couldn't be better. He isn't going anywhere but has made the situation a whole load worse for the government.

    "I left wifey who had symptoms and went back to work (at Downing Street FFS)" - not allowed
    "I drove 260 miles" - not allowed.
    "I had conversations with my parents" - not allowed.
    "I took a test drive with the sprog in the car to test I could see well enough to drive" - illegal
    "I didn't stop at all in the 5 hour trip to Durham yet the sprog needed a piss after my illegal can I see 30 minute test drive" - fuck off

    Epic epic fail. I remember Black Wednesday destroying the Tories financial reputation for 2 decades. And at no point on Black Wednesday did leading SPAD David Cameron push his way to the front of Lamont's press conference and take a Giant Shit before the cameras

    This is not Black Wednesday.

    Millions lost their homes and jobs after Black Wednesday (and Labour was already ahead in the polls beforehand).

    WTO terms Brexit combined with the economic effects of the lockdown and the deaths from Covid might be Black Wednesday but Cummings' actions are not, at most they might be the equivalent of bad tabloid headlines over Ministers' indiscretions
    The snowball has started rolling!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,707
    edited May 2020
    Is the current interviewer crying?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    This is epic. Really couldn't be better. He isn't going anywhere but has made the situation a whole load worse for the government.

    "I left wifey who had symptoms and went back to work (at Downing Street FFS)" - not allowed
    "I drove 260 miles" - not allowed.
    "I had conversations with my parents" - not allowed.
    "I took a test drive with the sprog in the car to test I could see well enough to drive" - illegal
    "I didn't stop at all in the 5 hour trip to Durham yet the sprog needed a piss after my illegal can I see 30 minute test drive" - fuck off

    Epic epic fail. I remember Black Wednesday destroying the Tories financial reputation for 2 decades. And at no point on Black Wednesday did leading SPAD David Cameron push his way to the front of Lamont's press conference and take a Giant Shit before the cameras

    This is not Black Wednesday.

    Millions lost their homes and jobs after Black Wednesday (and Labour was already ahead in the polls beforehand).

    WTO terms Brexit combined with the economic effects of the lockdown and the deaths from Covid might be Black Wednesday but Cummings' actions are not, at most they might be the equivalent of bad tabloid headlines over Ministers' indiscretions
    The UK government’s worst-in-class (except for parts of the US) response to coronavirus is Black Wednesday. This is singing in the bath. That was what everyone remembered.
    Except Belgium and Spain also have higher death rates per head than the UK and the Tories had a 12% lead still in the latest poll at the weekend
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited May 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    The statement was fine - but he comes across as so arrogant when he answers questions.

    That's interesting, because he comes across as unusually calm and level-headed to me. Just shows how different people can view things differently.
    You want to like him, I really do not like him. So I don't think either of us is particularly impartial.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview
    Let's wait for the next YouGov before concluding that.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,354
    nico67 said:

    Started off okay and it then turned into a train wreck . Refusing to apologize and some pathetic excuse for popping off to Barnard Castle will be what most people remember .

    He is a valued public servant. Couldn't he have been chauffered back to London?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    MaxPB said:

    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
    I disagree. Boris will be going with him.
  • Can a journalist please ask if his wife can drive
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,601
    How did we get here?!
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    The musings of a 'career psychopath'?

    I think I need to thank the other DC for that idea.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117

    nico67 said:

    Started off okay and it then turned into a train wreck . Refusing to apologize and some pathetic excuse for popping off to Barnard Castle will be what most people remember .

    He is a valued public servant. Couldn't he have been chauffered back to London?
    Does his wife drive?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    Its one rule for Cummings and one rule for the rest of us.

    The rest of us don;t have to run the gauntlet of threats and people who hate us knowing where we and our families live.

  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    We need some polling damnit.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    edited May 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    How did we get here?!

    Blame the poor pangolin in Wuhan that got shat on by a bat....

  • IshmaelZ said:

    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was

    Fair enough. Personally he reminds me of a lot of Software Engineers I've met, an inability to deal with people well but they tend to know their limitations and don't bother.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,533

    DougSeal said:



    Except that there are plenty of backbench Tories baying for Cummings blood.

    'Plenty' is how many Boris once expelled from the party in a single day for defying him. That was a big scandal then too.

    I predict they'll back down.
    A menacing note. Are you associated with the whips' office?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,102

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview
    Let's wait for the next YouGov before concluding that.
    The polls will be a car crash
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,652
    Making us hate unelected elites. Classic Dom.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421
    IshmaelZ said:

    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was

    I think he’s been warned he needs to cool it. Yesterday he just came across as mind bending ly arrogant.

    But the admissions he has made are devastating.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    Good question. Did he ask anyone in London to help
  • I didn't even ask any friends in London to help out. Ouch.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    He can't answer that one.
  • I will be fascinated to see polling after this.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421

    I didn't even ask any friends in London to help out. Ouch.

    Ooof. Not as devastating as that was.
  • Do any of his nieces drive?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,708
    He can't remember when or where he refuelled? His credit card records should answer that.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,102
    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
    I disagree. Boris will be going with him.
    Boris needs to take a break and go on paternity leave
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited May 2020

    DougSeal said:



    Except that there are plenty of backbench Tories baying for Cummings blood.

    'Plenty' is how many Boris once expelled from the party in a single day for defying him. That was a big scandal then too.

    I predict they'll back down.
    A menacing note. Are you associated with the whips' office?
    Random politics nerd, I'm afraid. But I imagine that what happened at the end of last year hasn't entirely faded from backbenchers' minds.

    EDIT: I couldn't be a whip anyway, because it's already been established that I'm Dominic Cummings. I'm currently typing this using my knees :wink:
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,652

    The "Led by Donkeys" demo and neighbours heckling last night have helped him in his point that his London house is not a particularly "safe" location.

    More likely they inspired the authors of that part of the story. Literally every MP and journalist could use the same excuse.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Chris said:

    TGOHF666 said:

    A queue of torn faced whiners line up at the podium to cry crocodile tears.

    A beautiful moment.

    This pandemic really is a trolls' paradise, isn't?
    The media are awkward but they're not trolls to be fair.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
    I disagree. Boris will be going with him.
    He won't, Boris is the best Tory election winner since Thatcher
  • The questions session has been the real mistake in all of this. I can't think who advised him to do that
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381

    The statement was fine - but he comes across as so arrogant when he answers questions.

    Some of the questioners have been excellent, some on the other hand have been dire

    What have we learned? It is all the fault of the media. So that clears everything up
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,816

    He can't remember when or where he refuelled? His credit card records should answer that.

    maybe he drove off without paying?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117

    Do any of his nieces drive?

    Or his wife

  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    That aspect of the story is transparent BS. It was a day trip.
    Only that aspect?

    I've never heard such a conglomeration of whopping lies in my life.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    edited May 2020
    Still a bit iffy, but half as iffy as the press scrum around his house. Where was the social distancing then? One law for the oress, and one for the plebs. Did any of the channels not see that, or did they ignore it because they are special? Hypocrites.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    Given the current timeline of events is it possible that Dom was the superspreader in Downing Street? His wife had symptoms and he then went to work in Downing Street. Does the timeline match up for that?
  • The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,464

    I didn't even ask any friends in London to help out. Ouch.

    Has he got any friends? As opposed to associates?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,878
    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Ave_it said:

    It's a non story.

    Now - let's get the economy restarted and the pubs open!

    You plebs can go to the pub!

    I just want to feel safe enough to be able to complete my conquest of ScotRail by doing those last two trains west and north of Inverness. :)
    Do the trains still split to Thurso and Wick or is there now the one which shuffles back to Thurso from Wick? I think it did that the last time.
    When I was last there in 2015 it went to Thurso and reversed.
    Yeah it goes to Georgemass then Thurso, back to Georgemass then Wick. Which is a bit of a shame as Thurso is the most northerly station in Great Britain, and the train stays there for barely 5 minutes!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,102
    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    nico67 said:

    Started off okay and it then turned into a train wreck . Refusing to apologize and some pathetic excuse for popping off to Barnard Castle will be what most people remember .

    He is reminding me of Sir Charles Dilke, who acquitted of a criminal offence most unwisely sued for libel, lost spectacularly and ruined his life and career as a result.

    He might have got away with the statement. The questions are a total train wreck.
    There's a more famous example of that, surely? "Posing as somdomite" (sic).
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,354
    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was

    I think he’s been warned he needs to cool it. Yesterday he just came across as mind bending ly arrogant.

    But the admissions he has made are devastating.
    Bit defensive, isn't he! Never seen him like that before.

    He's cleared up a lot of the facts, but he still broke the guidelines, more than once. The 'reasonable excuse' defence doesn't really hold for someone in his position. He ought to resign, but he won't.

    That's very bad for the Government, and for those trying to beat this Virus.
  • Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment

    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment
    I know what it's like when your hero gets attacked mate, been there with Corbyn. So do have sympathy for you.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421

    The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.

    These questions are throwing up more questions.

    Persistently refusing to consider his future. Clearly doesn’t think he needs to apologise or show contrition.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Scott_xP said:
    How the fuck did he distance him? BoJo said he spoke extensively with him about it yesterday.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Agreed. Screwed up the politics of this but that's what it is now: politics.

    People on a witch-hunt will still seek to get a political scalp. But a father wanting to look after his young family is reasonable.

    If the media and dickheads like Led By Donkeys weren't constantly acting like twats outside his London home maybe he'd have felt safer there too.
  • https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1264955606512873472

    In actual fact, it would have made his position untenable and he would have had to resign.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,602
    Nearly an hour in, he's still coming across as terribly reasonable, for someone who doesn't spend their days doing press conferences. His lack of media polish is possibly even a point in his favour.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was

    I think he’s been warned he needs to cool it. Yesterday he just came across as mind bending ly arrogant.

    But the admissions he has made are devastating.
    Bit defensive, isn't he! Never seen him like that before.

    He's cleared up a lot of the facts, but he still broke the guidelines, more than once. The 'reasonable excuse' defence doesn't really hold for someone in his position. He ought to resign, but he won't.

    That's very bad for the Government, and for those trying to beat this Virus.
    A dwindling number seemingly, given the number of people out and about in the past few days.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,878

    The questions session has been the real mistake in all of this. I can't think who advised him to do that

    Boris?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Ave_it said:

    It's a non story.

    Now - let's get the economy restarted and the pubs open!

    You plebs can go to the pub!

    I just want to feel safe enough to be able to complete my conquest of ScotRail by doing those last two trains west and north of Inverness. :)
    Do the trains still split to Thurso and Wick or is there now the one which shuffles back to Thurso from Wick? I think it did that the last time.
    When I was last there in 2015 it went to Thurso and reversed.
    Yeah it goes to Georgemass then Thurso, back to Georgemass then Wick. Which is a bit of a shame as Thurso is the most northerly station in Great Britain, and the train stays there for barely 5 minutes!
    Wick much nicer than Thurso IMO.

    It was best when they used to split the train one bit going to Thurso one bit to Wick
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,555

    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    On his wife's birthday.

    To a well known local beauty spot.

    It’s total nonsense. Hilarious really.
    The issue is not 'is this nonsense' - of course it is. Everyone with a bit of nous can see that. It's 'can he get away with it'. It's feel more like criminal proceedings than is healthy really. The Castle thing is easily the weakest bit in that the rest of it has a charge of emotional justification which can't be wholly denied. The Barnard Castle thing hasn't and is plainly a post hoc ratiocination.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    The government is paying a hefty price to keep him. When we look back on this period the government will be remembered as doing its own thing, whilst we locked down.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment
    Every gyration of the weathercock is.
  • So I guess there are two views on this.

    On the one hand you think the media have been horrible to him and he deserves sympathy.

    On the other hand, he chose to break the rules and act arrogantly, really leaving the media no choice.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,878
    HYUFD said:

    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
    I disagree. Boris will be going with him.
    He won't, Boris is the best Tory election winner since Thatcher
    Even Thatcher had to resign eventually!
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    ydoethur said:

    The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.

    These questions are throwing up more questions.

    Persistently refusing to consider his future. Clearly doesn’t think he needs to apologise or show contrition.
    wah wah its not fair he's not resigning when I want him to.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,708
    Phil said:

    "I was just testing my eyesight by driving to Barnard’s Castle” is the going to be the new "We just went to Salisbury to see the lovely cathedral" at this rate.

    New advertising campaign: "Barnard Castle? Should've gone to Specsavers."
  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038

    I didn't even ask any friends in London to help out. Ouch.

    Has he got any friends? As opposed to associates?
    He has colleagues. Roger Gale MP said on R4 that he was entitled to ask the Head of the Civil Service for help in a family crisis. Why didn't he?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.

    Land Rover USA quotes combined MPG of 21, with a usable capacity of 17.7 gallons (US) which comes out to a range of about 370 miles by my reckoning. So I think it’s plausible.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    HYUFD said:

    tlg86 said:

    MaxPB said:

    DougSeal said:

    Should you have told the Prime Minister...?

    "I don't know... I have to protect the Prime Minister's time".

    How long does a text message take to read?

    Plausible deniability. Not telling the PM gives Boris an out when the shit hits the fan. What Dom has done today is ensure Boris doesn't go down with him when the eventual resignation comes in a couple of days.
    I disagree. Boris will be going with him.
    He won't, Boris is the best Tory election winner since Thatcher
    Even Thatcher had to resign eventually!
    She was Prime Minister for 11 years, Boris just 1 so far. So only another decade to go.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,102

    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment

    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment
    I know what it's like when your hero gets attacked mate, been there with Corbyn. So do have sympathy for you.
    Where has hero come from.

    I have never supported Cummings and Boris lost me last night

    But I try to be fair in my comments (unless Corbyn is involved)
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    Sandpit said:

    Nearly an hour in, he's still coming across as terribly reasonable, for someone who doesn't spend their days doing press conferences. His lack of media polish is possibly even a point in his favour.

    Is he over-egging the 'threats in London' thing a bit I wonder...
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,816
    Its a good lesson to a society to never make draconian laws because everyone breaks them and its just politics and who you know as to whether you go down for them. thats why the phrase " well if you have nothing to hide " is such a bad one - everyone breaks the law sometimes , so don't make too many of them!
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    Agreed. Screwed up the politics of this but that's what it is now: politics.

    People on a witch-hunt will still seek to get a political scalp. But a father wanting to look after his young family is reasonable.

    If the media and dickheads like Led By Donkeys weren't constantly acting like twats outside his London home maybe he'd have felt safer there too.
    You keep saying this, but answer the question: in what way does driving to a beauty spot in Barnard Castle on his wife’s birthday “to test his eyesight” have anything to do with looking after his young family.

    I’ll tell you the answer: nothing.

    This whole thing is total bollocks.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421

    ydoethur said:

    The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.

    These questions are throwing up more questions.

    Persistently refusing to consider his future. Clearly doesn’t think he needs to apologise or show contrition.
    wah wah its not fair he's not resigning when I want him to.
    You still here? I was hoping after @Philip_Thompson and I slapped you down over the 1919 pandemic you had gone away to grow up.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    So I guess there are two views on this.

    On the one hand you think the media have been horrible to him and he deserves sympathy.

    On the other hand, he chose to break the rules and act arrogantly, really leaving the media no choice.

    No, the majority view is that he broke the rules and should resign, the media doesn't even come into the picture.
  • Daily Mirror will be working overtime to prove the Castle story is bollocks
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    IshmaelZ said:

    He comes across as sad and geeky and humble in a way I hadn't expected at all. I feel more sympathetic than I expected, but doesn't change my mind. I am a lot angrier with Johnson than with him but then I always was

    Yes agree. Sounds very reasonable.

    Were it not the case that all of that notwithstanding he broke at least the spirit of the laws he helped to formulate he would deserve some sympathy. But I'm guessing thousands of people with equally sympathetic and plausible stories stayed put.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,878

    We need some polling damnit.

    We could have had that "worm" thing they had in the TV debates :)
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751
    algarkirk said:

    eadric said:

    Why did he take a child on a potentially dangerous test drive?

    On his wife's birthday.

    To a well known local beauty spot.

    It’s total nonsense. Hilarious really.
    The issue is not 'is this nonsense' - of course it is. Everyone with a bit of nous can see that. It's 'can he get away with it'. It's feel more like criminal proceedings than is healthy really. The Castle thing is easily the weakest bit in that the rest of it has a charge of emotional justification which can't be wholly denied. The Barnard Castle thing hasn't and is plainly a post hoc ratiocination.
    I suppose it depends whether the Tory MPs can stomach him staying or whether they show some backbone.

    He'll get away with it, I think. But the story will probably unravel a bit more over a few days, and it will get a bit more evident just how much he's got away with.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    Chris said:

    So the conclusion from PB is.

    Those who always thought Cummings was innocent still do.

    Those who thinks Cummings was guilty still do.

    Have I missed anyone?

    I think he was unwise, made mistakes, but he will have some sympathy following this interview

    The guardian have questions to answer
    You're hilarious.
    You may not like it but that is a fair comment
    It really isn't. The Guardian reporting witnesses reporting him somewhere isn't as yet in question. Dom says he wasn't. But so what as he's telling an absolute load of cobblers and explicitly made statements that haven't transpired to be true.

    This is a political crisis. He cannot exonerate himself by proving that charge 17 was false therefore the long list of things he has just confessed to having done that are directly contrary to the rules and some literally illegal don't matter
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    Why is no-one asking “If you acted out of concern for the safety of your child, why did you take him and your wife on a drive to see if your eyesight was safe to drive?”
  • rpjs said:

    The petrol stuff seems implausible. He drives a Range Rover, the fuel economy on those is dreadful.

    Land Rover USA quotes combined MPG of 21, with a usable capacity of 17.7 gallons (US) which comes out to a range of about 370 miles by my reckoning. So I think it’s plausible.
    He drove to a castle and drove back home right? All without stopping for petrol?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,421

    Phil said:

    "I was just testing my eyesight by driving to Barnard’s Castle” is the going to be the new "We just went to Salisbury to see the lovely cathedral" at this rate.

    New advertising campaign: "Barnard Castle? Should've gone to Specsavers."
    Now that’s unfair. Barnard Castle is beautiful.

    Maybe ending up in Consett by mistake would be the way of doing it.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    I didn't even ask any friends in London to help out. Ouch.

    Has he got any friends? As opposed to associates?
    He has colleagues. Roger Gale MP said on R4 that he was entitled to ask the Head of the Civil Service for help in a family crisis. Why didn't he?
    Surely your instinct is to ensure your young child is looked after by someone you know, a family member or friend, not a civil servant!
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,555

    https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1264955606512873472

    In actual fact, it would have made his position untenable and he would have had to resign.

    You can't set out your case early on unless it is entirely true and complete - which is not an option here. You have to say nothing until you know what the case against you is, and then frame your defence around it. That's exactly what he has done. This is why the Barnard Castle bit is the weakest, because it is really hard to make up something good about the incident. Hence the hope until today that they would not have to admit it.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    EPG said:

    The "Led by Donkeys" demo and neighbours heckling last night have helped him in his point that his London house is not a particularly "safe" location.

    More likely they inspired the authors of that part of the story. Literally every MP and journalist could use the same excuse.
    How many MPs had demos and heckling outside their houses yesterday?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    Agreed. Screwed up the politics of this but that's what it is now: politics.

    People on a witch-hunt will still seek to get a political scalp. But a father wanting to look after his young family is reasonable.
    Not when the advice published by his government do not allow the actions he took
  • algarkirk said:

    https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1264955606512873472

    In actual fact, it would have made his position untenable and he would have had to resign.

    You can't set out your case early on unless it is entirely true and complete - which is not an option here. You have to say nothing until you know what the case against you is, and then frame your defence around it. That's exactly what he has done. This is why the Barnard Castle bit is the weakest, because it is really hard to make up something good about the incident. Hence the hope until today that they would not have to admit it.
    But the easiest thing about the Barnard Castle thing was surely to say nothing.

    If that is a lie, it really does undermine the rest of his statement.

    If that was a bit more convincing, he might have got away with it.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,707
    Only a quarter of the journalist questions have genuinely moved the story on. Most of them are pish.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    edited May 2020
    Jonathan said:

    The government is paying a hefty price to keep him. When we look back on this period the government will be remembered as doing its own thing, whilst we locked down.

    No. The majority of people neither know nor care about Cummings.

    The real story is 35K+ dead, what could the government have done better? Not about an advisor driving to Bernard Castle.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,005
    Nice coincidence that this test drive to Barnard Castle was on his wife’s birthday. Really lucky that they could make a day out of it with such a good reason.
This discussion has been closed.