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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » 9% of members of the UK cabinet have now tested positive

BREAKING: UK says Prime Minister Boris Johnson has tested positive for the new coronavirus. https://t.co/hc4iaANa10
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Mexico has not only agreed to pay for the Wall but help build the f***ker quick
It starts with rats dying in the streets.
Just about to start a remote meeting. Could be a total disaster as I've never used the tech for group chat before.
The old Dem Nom Betfair market, that I'd not been looking at for a while, has gone completely mad now, with ten layable candidates. (four of whom can be laid below 40, and seven below 500). Andrew Cuomo is the man on the move, he's now 32-36.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28009878/multi-market?marketIds=1.128161111
You know what I mean...shaking hands after he had told us to elbow bump, that sort of thing.
I understand the point being made (9% infection and say 5% serious rate across the country would be catastrophic).
But, in a sense, our best hope is that the virus is more prevalent but less potent than feared.
This COULD be a sign of either.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZPW2oGNLVQ
According to a report by the German Institute for Disaster Medicine, compiled following a visit to the University Clinic in Strasbourg and seen by German news agency dpa, medics in the hard-hit region are no longer ventilating patients aged over 80 but were merely offering “terminal care” with opiates and barbiturates.
The report said the hospital in Strasbourg was facing a mass influx of new patients at an hourly rate and that medics were continuing to offer care even after they themselves had been infected with the virus.
The Strasbourg clinic on Friday rejected some of the details in the report, saying the “overall condition” of patients was crucial for prioritising access to ventilators, not age, and that the hospital had acquired new ventilators.
Brigitte Klinkert, the president of the French departement Haut-Rhin, confirmed that Alsace hospitals were forced to triage care, meaning some patients were prioritized because of a limited number of ventilators.
“We have already been practising triage for two weeks”, Klinkert told German newspaper Die Welt. “You can’t say it often enough, because it isn’t just the German neighbours but also the French outside Alsace who still aren’t taking the situation seriously”.
#CornyvirusPundemic
(not that anyone hopes the incumbent has to step down due to illness, of course)
Starmer 4.4-4.7
Sunak 4.9-6.4
Raab 12.5-28
Gove 28-42
Hunt 27-140
Hancock 28-90
Patel 38-50
Lay the two favourites?
Dorries’s mum seems to have got away with merely a couple of days of cough.
Hopefully lots of key people have made a point of having a deputy who never meets in person any of the people the boss also meets.
On the subject of the GE, I remain unconvinced anyone is going to care about Biden's minor slips of the tongue when set against Trump's handling of this.
It seems likely that the US is going to overshoot on numbers of cases by a long, long way compared to other countries.
Both my parents think they had it a few weeks ago. About half of my office seems to have had something or other; none particularly serious (although most are in their 20s).
Either there's a lot of hypochondria going around (Ok, there definitely is) or else London will have decent levels of herd immunity within a month or so.
sorry I am having a wicked laugh at my 12 year old son's expense.
He has been having a great time the last week with home schooling. We have been trying to make it as interesting as possible but of course it is not the same as being in the classroom. He was looking forward to this being the norm for the next few months.
The school has now contacted us to let us know that now they have got over the initial shakeup period and got a routine going they will be moving to online teaching which will match the curriculum they would have been doing in class. With additional homework set as normal. More importantly they have decided to go ahead with the end year school exams.
My son is mortified.
I am very amused.
Johnson is not in an at risk group, has mild symptoms, and will receive the best care. An imminent change is a very long shot and doesn't justify Raab coming in as far as he has.
Starmer is probably reasonable value there. He is almost certainly next Labour leader and there remains a fairly decent chance the next PM will be a Leader of the Labour Party.
Sunak is probably not amazing value. He is the flavour of the moment, and has had a good crisis, but the strong likelihood is that the next Tory leadership contest won't be for at the very least five years. A lot can happen to a Chancellor in that time (and it could possibly be in opposition, in which case the market will have been settled already).
For a slight twist, show childhood photos, which allows you to shift the focus towards better-known individuals without compromising on difficulty.
https://twitter.com/BradleyTiernan/status/1243517922640830464
How many MPs won their next electoral test (general election or by-election), having changed political party, since 2010?
I expect @eadric will owe that meal he mentioned
'Lord Robinson of offshore trusts, Lord Mandelson of Rio, and Tony Blair, Baron of _____'
The answer is 'ideas'. Only politicos will know this quote, but if they're good with words they'll probably get it. Or it will produce some interesting answers.
"Marijuana and heroin are the most consumed drugs during a time of collective anxiety. However, cocaine will be more in demand once the crisis is over.
“The lack of checks at the ports during the pandemic means cocaine will be able to travel more easily. The movement of cocaine will be at the highest levels ever.”
Mafia-linked drug dealers are already dodging the strict limits of movements placed on Italians by posing as pizza drivers, says Nicola Gratteri, the national anti-mafia prosecutor. "
Particularly concerning as I tick 3 of the high-risk boxes and came down with it the week following visits to both my dentist & the health center to have my annual bloods taken.
I do wonder how much of the country has actually had it already.
It's time for a lockdown now, even if you are a libertarian. What is important is to make sure that extraordinary measures are temporary, and emergency legislation has sunset clauses.
Anagrams are always quite hard to Google (so you get your obscure MP in that way - "which MP, who was caught up in the expenses scandal, is an anagram of [whatever]?"
Pictures are also possible to reverse image search but harder if taken off a bigger image and you can of course share on WhatsApp. Can be a person, possibly "when they were younger" or a hard to decipher signature of a politico for example.
Eg:Something, Within You Without You, Blue Jay Way and Dont't Bother Me. They are all songs, 60's songs, Beatles songs, Beatles Songs not released on single, songs written by George Harrison or Beatles songs written by George Harrison.
On Only Connect VCM can say "please be more specific" or decide on the spot that something is good enough, which for a "Pub quiz" unless it is a very small one, is difficult to do.
The German hospital federation said today they are confident of not having "Italian conditions" in Germany - at least not in the next 2 weeks (!). Supposedly now 30000 ventilation places in Germany, and adding 1500 a week.
I'm a bit worried, because although preparation is clearly happening, there doesn't seem to be a proper nationally organised response. But this might be just the German way, lots of organisations and regional authorities cooperating behind the scenes but less of the big national announcements, I don't know (and I'm somewhat in the loop, my wife being involved in the Düsseldorf preparations. but she doesn't know either eg if there is enough PPE. there's talk of the German army being prepared to set up field hospitals and take on other tasks).
People around seem to be generally buying the official line that Germany is better prepared than some of our neighbours, but I'm not convinced, and I think there's still a danger of complacency.
Antibody testing might be available by the end of next week - but only through the health system (at least initially), or so I've heard.
Gordon Brown rules out joining the euro with five tests
William Hague successfully campaigns to save the pound
Dominic Cummings successfully campaigns against joining the euro.
Anyway, a speedy recovery Sir!
+9k tests.
But if you're really worried, then the hardest thing to google would be 'dingbats' of politicians/phrases.
E.g. have a picture of a circle and an arrow pointing inside.
= "In the loop". Then have a question that says what politics movie is this?
PS - there's a great pic of Tony Blair in his youth rock band days which got a good laugh when I used it for a quiz.
Every time he appeared in a Liberal leaflet, my mother used to get it off the doormat and say, "That vain old bastard has been using the same photo on his leaflets since the early 1970s! He must be in his 60s/70s/80s [delete as appropriate] now!"
Anyway, towards the end of her working life, she got an office job at Devon County Council, and he came into the office and she met him for the first time in the flesh. That evening she came over all apologetic... turns out he was just one of those lucky chaps who never really aged (at least in the face) and he'd been updating the photo every election without her noticing!
Karex Berhad's three factories in Malaysia have been shut for 10 days already, meaning there are already 100 million fewer condoms, the company's chief executive Goh Miah Kiat told news agency Reuters.
The company, which produces one in five of the world's condoms, is now appealing to the Malaysian government for a partial exemption from a nationwide lockdown
Anyone else heard this? National Rail website is ambiguous about what even their official interpretation of the advice is (be it right or wrong). Different train companies appear to have interpreted it differently.
Grrrr
https://www.oldenburger-onlinezeitung.de/nachrichten/bericht-antikoerper-studie-soll-immunitaet-gegen-covid-19-feststellen-37572.html