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  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    Nor the astrologers!
    Or too many astrologers and not enough astronomers. :p
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    Nor the astrologers!
    Why haven't the government asked Mystic Meg what she thinks the strategy should be...to be honest, she will probably give just as good as advice as Prof Farage.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    edited March 2020
    TimT said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    I think you mis-typed there, Rob. Surely you meant astrologers?
    Na, I was mocking the astronomy professor who thinks they know better than the CMO and their staff on how to handle this crisis.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,423

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    How about some PB reminiscing.

    Does anyone have a favourite anecdote from the SeanT collective ?

    I liked 'farmy farm' which related to Gordon Brown's supposed toy farm hobby.
    My favourite SeanT: describing the Greeks during the financial crash as 'you feta-fiddling, moussaka-munching, Elgin-marbles-undeserving malingerers'.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Andy_JS said:

    It might be healthier to wash your bottom with water rather than use toilet paper. Do we have any experts on this?

    You end up really clean in my experience.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I did try today. But it is the consuming topic of the moment.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    maaarsh said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    And that's just waiting to see if you can go.
    Ah -but I've already been, if only for two days before I was airlifted out into solitary confinement.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,523

    The government need to get on the blower to the BBC and tell them this shit isn't on. They need to make it crystal clear this isn't 200 experts in the field, it is 200 random people included in academia across a whole load of fields who have nothing to do with this.

    The Beeb just can't fucking help themselves.

    They are going to drive us to some draconian press restrictions during this crisis.
    One's thing for certain the notion that the BBC is an indispensable public service is waning by the day.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    The entire country is about to join you on a black run.....
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369
    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    France has reported a total of 4,499 confirmed coronavirus cases – up from 3,661 on Friday, according to official figures.

    Time to ban travel from France.
    As long as they don't ban travel TO France.

    I have a skiing holiday booked for 11 April with my grandchildren in the French Alps with ClubMed.
    No, you really don't.....
    I do. My Italian skiing holiday was cut short last week.
    Nice one Barnesian - which resort? I`m thinking about a late ski trip with my daughter. I`ve been looking at Norway - never been there.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Absolutely
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671
    edited March 2020

    The government need to get on the blower to the BBC and tell them this shit isn't on. They need to make it crystal clear this isn't 200 experts in the field, it is 200 random people included in academia across a whole load of fields who have nothing to do with this.

    The Beeb just can't fucking help themselves.

    They are going to drive us to some draconian press restrictions during this crisis.
    Yes, quite a few of these people have less right to comment than I do, and I accept I don’t know enough to contradict the CMO by a long way.

    We spent some time picking the most qualified person to be CMO and instead of picking a random astronomer we picked Chris Whitty CB FRCP FFPH FMedSci, formerly Professor of Public and International Health at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, and instrumental to the international work to address the Ebola outbreak. Mad, I know.
    What you don't think we should listen to the random masters student or a lady with a BA? Its like basing public policy on a twitter poll or whatever Piers Morgan has spouted.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369
    JM1 said:

    TimT said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    I think you mis-typed there, Rob. Surely you meant astrologers?
    LoL!! TimT - are you still comfortable with the UK strategy? To me I don't see why it necessarily leads to a worse mortality rate than any other European country.
    Not all about mortality rate anyway - economics and freedom issues are also large factors.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 15,479
    edited March 2020
    BTW what an excellent article (and colourful) map from Mr Meeks. Thank you. Doesn't it all seem a long time ago on some other planet. If the Government's plan for most of us not dying comes off it will be very useful one day. If it doesn't, it is going to be of great use to historians when they try to remember who Boris Johnson was, why he was important, and what the colour blue used to mean in UK politics.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,841
    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    Stay away from the edge.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 23,392

    Alistair said:

    eadric said:

    eadric said:

    Panic buying is a slippery and dubious concept to identify, and generally more favourable to governments and those organising than individuals. What is irrational at one momemt can be immediately rational the next - I think rather the blanket condemnation of it it might be better for governments or supermarkets to focus on the positive - we everyone at some times might have reasons to buy more, but if we operate a more shared and gradual approach supplies are less likely to run out.

    In the end there will be wartime style rationing, and things will calm down. Everyone will get their 1-2 rolls per bottom per week.

    It's the few weeks of possible chaos/shortage between now and then that need to be bridged. And I mean chaos

    https://twitter.com/M_Davieswrites/status/1238728814110355457?s=20
    You may well be right. This thing's now about getting ahead of the curve: if you spend too much time feeling guilty about what other people won't be getting because you've got it, you just end up becoming other people yourself. Once the panic buying gets past a certain critical mass, the first wave of them stop looking silly and start looking prescient - and, until the retailers and the Government itself take proper action to restore order, it's very much a case of every household for itself.

    I have to be a bit choosy about what I stockpile because we've not got the space in the flat, but if we had a spare room I'd be filling it with at least two months' worth of long shelf life supplies.

    Oh, and if everyone thinks it's bad now, wait until the order goes out for every vulnerable sick person and everyone over 70 to go into quarantine at once. It'll be like those scenes when Black Friday first arrived in Britain, or possibly even the 2011 London riots. Fisticuffs are inevitable; outright civil disorder and looting is a distinct possibility.
    Yes, I think there will be some disorder, which is one reason I am fairly keen to leave London.

    BTW I also have a fairly small flat, but I've just accepted that half the living room is going to be full of tinned sardines and M&S penne for a while. Either we will shift it to a bigger place outside London, or we will eat it here. The problem will solve itself in time.

    Accepting all this is part of coping, I reckon.
    6 months worth of food can fit into just over a cubic meter if you buy smart and pack well. That's with a shopping list including olives and capers not just boring shit.
    A cubic metre is a surprisingly large area.

    It is the same as a thousand litres or enough space for the beer from two thousand 500ml bottles.

    The equivalent of about five pints a day for a year.
    Volume, not area!
    Fun fact - a cubic metre of water weighs near enough a (metric) tonne.
    Er... precisely a metric tonne surely, given that a gramme was defined as the weight of 1cc of water in 1795?

    http://smdsi.quartier-rural.org/histoire/18germ_3.htm
    Depends on the salinity.
    Water, as in pure H2O, has no salinity.
    OK, the density depends on the isotopic ratios of the hydrogen and oxygen atoms.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
    Thank you for that laugh, i needed it. :D
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    edited March 2020
    RobD said:

    Letter writing campaigns have started up again,

    Coronavirus: Scientists say UK virus strategy is 'risking lives'

    In an open letter, a group of 229 scientists from UK universities say the government's current approach will put the NHS under additional stress and "risk many more lives than necessary".

    In a separate letter to the government, more than 200 behavioural scientists have questioned the government's argument that starting tougher measures too soon would lead to people not sticking to them just at the point that the epidemic is at its height.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-51892402

    I mean just look what happened in Spain. Closing of schools etc. led to people congregating in parks, restaurants and bars. Probably made things worse in the long run.


    The second letter called on the government to reconsider its stance on "behavioural fatigue" and to share the evidence on which it based this stance.

    So they haven't seen the evidence the government used, but are saying it is wrong anyway?
    It was politically effective in the Brexit Wars. McDonnell started it the other day. I have little doubt these letters are politically orchestrated and motivated
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    tyson said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    My dislocated shoulder....that was the last time I put on a set of skis....

    I'd ski'd beautifully all week (not fallen once)...my last day, I was leaving the cable car and fell really innocuously adjusting my goggles.. 7 years ago....
    That's how it happens - when you're not paying attention. On a moguled black you are paying attention.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,841
    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    They’d be eclipsed by the others.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    IPA Pool is still being played

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/51692901
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    felix said:

    Andy_JS said:

    It might be healthier to wash your bottom with water rather than use toilet paper. Do we have any experts on this?

    You end up really clean in my experience.
    From a cross-cultural perspective, here's a Reddit discussion of how to use a tabo to wash yourself (as they do in the Philippines).

    Funny how quickly us Westerners have come to see loo roll as something necessary and universal when so few of us were using it, what, 100 years ago?
    I certainly wasn't using it 100 years ago.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,310

    Alistair said:

    eadric said:

    eadric said:

    Panic buying is a slippery and dubious concept to identify, and generally more favourable to governments and those organising than individuals. What is irrational at one momemt can be immediately rational the next - I think rather the blanket condemnation of it it might be better for governments or supermarkets to focus on the positive - we everyone at some times might have reasons to buy more, but if we operate a more shared and gradual approach supplies are less likely to run out.

    In the end there will be wartime style rationing, and things will calm down. Everyone will get their 1-2 rolls per bottom per week.

    It's the few weeks of possible chaos/shortage between now and then that need to be bridged. And I mean chaos

    https://twitter.com/M_Davieswrites/status/1238728814110355457?s=20
    You may well be right. This thing's now about getting ahead of the curve: if you spend too much time feeling guilty about what other people won't be getting because you've got it, you just end up becoming other people yourself. Once the panic buying gets past a certain critical mass, the first wave of them stop looking silly and start looking prescient - and, until the retailers and the Government itself take proper action to restore order, it's very much a case of every household for itself.

    I have to be a bit choosy about what I stockpile because we've not got the space in the flat, but if we had a spare room I'd be filling it with at least two months' worth of long shelf life supplies.

    Oh, and if everyone thinks it's bad now, wait until the order goes out for every vulnerable sick person and everyone over 70 to go into quarantine at once. It'll be like those scenes when Black Friday first arrived in Britain, or possibly even the 2011 London riots. Fisticuffs are inevitable; outright civil disorder and looting is a distinct possibility.
    Yes, I think there will be some disorder, which is one reason I am fairly keen to leave London.

    BTW I also have a fairly small flat, but I've just accepted that half the living room is going to be full of tinned sardines and M&S penne for a while. Either we will shift it to a bigger place outside London, or we will eat it here. The problem will solve itself in time.

    Accepting all this is part of coping, I reckon.
    6 months worth of food can fit into just over a cubic meter if you buy smart and pack well. That's with a shopping list including olives and capers not just boring shit.
    A cubic metre is a surprisingly large area.

    It is the same as a thousand litres or enough space for the beer from two thousand 500ml bottles.

    The equivalent of about five pints a day for a year.
    Volume, not area!
    Fun fact - a cubic metre of water weighs near enough a (metric) tonne.
    I was going to comment on this, but I was too late...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 37,513
    JM1 said:

    It seems from European countries that release data (Spain / Italy / France - I wish we did the same!) that the % of cases in the ICU is between 4 and 8% approximately (Italy is on the higher end but has been declining over the last few days quite considerably).

    I wonder if we are using this sort of number to determine how many infections we can tolerate before imposing lockdown, after which the number of new infections will slow drastically before shrinking? That would be a way to stretch the epidemic without leading to an increased mortality rate here?

    Also, note that the new localised data suggests we may have a cluster developing in London and one also in Hampshire (perhaps related to the Basingstoke story that was posted here yesterday?

    There seem to be very few cases in the Midlands. Just 2 in Birmingham for example out of population of 1.14 million according to this page. (Not sure when the last update was).

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,751
    tyson said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    My dislocated shoulder....that was the last time I put on a set of skis....

    I'd ski'd beautifully all week (not fallen once)...my last day, I was leaving the cable car and fell really innocuously adjusting my goggles.. 7 years ago....
    I did the same in France. Last run of the day, dropped my ski pole, turned to see where it had gone and twisted my left knee tearing the cartilage. I got pulled down the mountain in one of those orange body bags. The doctor who treated me was dead good looking I remember.

    A few years later I damaged the same knee in a cycling accident, though this time more seriously - ripping the cruciate ligament.

    Ski-ing is great fun. I loved it when I went regularly. I wish I had started when younger, though.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Anyone holed up and seeking some harmless entertainment could do worse than reviewing @communistbops’ oeuvre on Twitter:

    https://twitter.com/communistbops/status/1238929625734053888?s=21
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    Probably will be billed as a U-turn, despite the constant reminders it was always about the timing.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359

    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    The entire country is about to join you on a black run.....
    Gravity is your friend. If you fight it, you'll fall. You go with the flow, pay attention, rely on your instinct. So with covid-19.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,584
    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Difficult to tell because it came at the end of WW1. So certainly there was a massive cultural change over that period but it is difficult to know whether it could be ascribed to the flu or the war.

    Mind you, we lost 80,000 in Britain to Hing Kong flu over a few months in 1968 and I don't think there was any real social change ascribed to that outbreak.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    RobD said:

    Probably will be billed as a U-turn, despite the constant reminders it was always about the timing.
    I don't see how 4 months could possibly be enough.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Andy_JS said:

    JM1 said:

    It seems from European countries that release data (Spain / Italy / France - I wish we did the same!) that the % of cases in the ICU is between 4 and 8% approximately (Italy is on the higher end but has been declining over the last few days quite considerably).

    I wonder if we are using this sort of number to determine how many infections we can tolerate before imposing lockdown, after which the number of new infections will slow drastically before shrinking? That would be a way to stretch the epidemic without leading to an increased mortality rate here?

    Also, note that the new localised data suggests we may have a cluster developing in London and one also in Hampshire (perhaps related to the Basingstoke story that was posted here yesterday?

    There seem to be very few cases in the Midlands. Just 2 in Birmingham for example out of population of 1.14 million according to this page. (Not sure when the last update was).

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274
    5 Birningham cases now according to the government dashboard map but still low. Then again, the spread across the country seems fairly even overall.
  • RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    The world of 2020 slightly different to the world of 1919...
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    France has reported a total of 4,499 confirmed coronavirus cases – up from 3,661 on Friday, according to official figures.

    Time to ban travel from France.
    As long as they don't ban travel TO France.

    I have a skiing holiday booked for 11 April with my grandchildren in the French Alps with ClubMed.
    No, you really don't.....
    I do. My Italian skiing holiday was cut short last week.
    Nice one Barnesian - which resort? I`m thinking about a late ski trip with my daughter. I`ve been looking at Norway - never been there.
    La Plagne 2100. Last week it was Corvara.
  • ukpaulukpaul Posts: 649

    Second letter is the same, half are PhD students and also include people who just have a BA.

    I’d be much more interested to hear from the scientists making decisions in other countries on the UK plan. At least then you are comparing like with like.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    The world of 2020 slightly different to the world of 1919...
    Yeah, but I am curious why he thinks things won't start to return to some semblance of normality after it has passed.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 15,479
    If this story is true it moves things on quite a bit.

  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    RobD said:

    Probably will be billed as a U-turn, despite the constant reminders it was always about the timing.
    Yep - with more announcements to come

    I'm really pleased my fathers care home has told my brother he can't visit.

    It's tough but we have to protect the older generation as best we can
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    edited March 2020

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Oh my, the counter argument wings in - 800 Women's Institutes have now written a letter to the PM saying "Stay the distance. Oh, and here's some loganbrry jam."

    They have equal weight.

    Well, actually, with the jam, the WI letter is heavier.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,584
    That actually looks sensible and would tie in with what they have been doing so far.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    Alistair said:

    RobD said:

    Probably will be billed as a U-turn, despite the constant reminders it was always about the timing.
    I don't see how 4 months could possibly be enough.
    If it doubles every 2.5 days the entire country has it in five weeks. Apart form the biddies in quarantine, that is.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    Alistair said:

    eadric said:

    eadric said:

    Panic buying is a slippery and dubious concept to identify, and generally more favourable to governments and those organising than individuals. What is irrational at one momemt can be immediately rational the next - I think rather the blanket condemnation of it it might be better for governments or supermarkets to focus on the positive - we everyone at some times might have reasons to buy more, but if we operate a more shared and gradual approach supplies are less likely to run out.

    In the end there will be wartime style rationing, and things will calm down. Everyone will get their 1-2 rolls per bottom per week.

    It's the few weeks of possible chaos/shortage between now and then that need to be bridged. And I mean chaos

    https://twitter.com/M_Davieswrites/status/1238728814110355457?s=20
    You may well be right. This thing's now about getting ahead of the curve: if you spend too much time feeling guilty about what other people won't be getting because you've got it, you just end up becoming other people yourself. Once the panic buying gets past a certain critical mass, the first wave of them stop looking silly and start looking prescient - and, until the retailers and the Government itself take proper action to restore order, it's very much a case of every household for itself.

    I have to be a bit choosy about what I stockpile because we've not got the space in the flat, but if we had a spare room I'd be filling it with at least two months' worth of long shelf life supplies.

    Oh, and if everyone thinks it's bad now, wait until the order goes out for every vulnerable sick person and everyone over 70 to go into quarantine at once. It'll be like those scenes when Black Friday first arrived in Britain, or possibly even the 2011 London riots. Fisticuffs are inevitable; outright civil disorder and looting is a distinct possibility.
    Yes, I think there will be some disorder, which is one reason I am fairly keen to leave London.

    BTW I also have a fairly small flat, but I've just accepted that half the living room is going to be full of tinned sardines and M&S penne for a while. Either we will shift it to a bigger place outside London, or we will eat it here. The problem will solve itself in time.

    Accepting all this is part of coping, I reckon.
    6 months worth of food can fit into just over a cubic meter if you buy smart and pack well. That's with a shopping list including olives and capers not just boring shit.
    A cubic metre is a surprisingly large area.

    It is the same as a thousand litres or enough space for the beer from two thousand 500ml bottles.

    The equivalent of about five pints a day for a year.
    Volume, not area!
    Fun fact - a cubic metre of water weighs near enough a (metric) tonne.
    I was going to comment on this, but I was too late...
    Water under the bridge now.
  • GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    I'm actually quite annoyed the BBC didn't make this clear. I got the impression it was going to be 200+ doctors or professors of medicine.
    This is really irresponsible of the BBC. Again these aren't normal times.

    I am quite happy for the WHO to chime in, but to have 50+ PhDs in maths and physics be used for political points scoring (and have the nation even further doubting the strategy).

    In fact looking through, the vast vast majority are PhD or Post Doc in unrelated fields.

    Edit - They have included MSc students !!!

    This is bloody worse than the fake news Newsnight scoreboard.
    I've seen how these things are done. It's basically just a round Robin email. Do you want to sign a letter to the government? People who reply get their name added to the list. I remember the last one regarding Brexit.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,266
    Chameleon said:

    Chameleon said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    No it doesn't. None of them are experts in the relevant field. This is like when that doctor with a vendetta against rugby got a whole load of gender studies doctorates to sign her letter.
    Nah the Govt policy is shite. Absolute shite. Everyone's talking about it.

    Boris will flip flop - has to.

    And your epidemiology credentials are? Of all countries to be with Germany, Iceland, and the UK isn't a bad trio when it come to taking a fact based approach.
    Three months ago Mysticrose was predicting the election result on the basis of a tweet of a Brixton polling station.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369
    Barnesian said:

    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    France has reported a total of 4,499 confirmed coronavirus cases – up from 3,661 on Friday, according to official figures.

    Time to ban travel from France.
    As long as they don't ban travel TO France.

    I have a skiing holiday booked for 11 April with my grandchildren in the French Alps with ClubMed.
    No, you really don't.....
    I do. My Italian skiing holiday was cut short last week.
    Nice one Barnesian - which resort? I`m thinking about a late ski trip with my daughter. I`ve been looking at Norway - never been there.
    La Plagne 2100. Last week it was Corvara.
    I love La Plagne. Been before? I like the big mountain feel you get there. And the views across to Courcheval. Good move staying at 2100 for a late break.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671
    edited March 2020

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    I'm actually quite annoyed the BBC didn't make this clear. I got the impression it was going to be 200+ doctors or professors of medicine.
    This is really irresponsible of the BBC. Again these aren't normal times.

    I am quite happy for the WHO to chime in, but to have 50+ PhDs in maths and physics be used for political points scoring (and have the nation even further doubting the strategy).

    In fact looking through, the vast vast majority are PhD or Post Doc in unrelated fields.

    Edit - They have included MSc students !!!

    This is bloody worse than the fake news Newsnight scoreboard.
    I've seen how these things are done. It's basically just a round Robin email. Do you want to sign a letter to the government? People who reply get their name added to the list. I remember the last one regarding Brexit.
    It is clearly that. The vast majority of are from Queen Mary University and massively weighted towards particular departments such as Maths.

    Stop the strategy everybody, a lab tech has signed a letter saying they have this all wrong....

    Normally I don't really give a shit they have done this and sent it to the Guardian, but this isn't normal times.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    I keep talking about skiing. I love it. The adrenaline. The edge.
    The entire country is about to join you on a black run.....
    Gravity is your friend. If you fight it, you'll fall. You go with the flow, pay attention, rely on your instinct. So with covid-19.
    That's quite profound.

    This hermit-thinker thing is working for you!
  • Now the days of our ending have begun...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 37,513
    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631
    Good luck telling my mum that. Or my father-in-law for that matter.

  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    algarkirk said:

    If this story is true it moves things on quite a bit.

    People over 70 in strict isolation at home - that's a joke!!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
    Strange....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
    Strange....
    I thought it was quite charming.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    Barnesian said:

    algarkirk said:

    If this story is true it moves things on quite a bit.

    People over 70 in strict isolation at home - that's a joke!!
    Why? They are the most at risk group.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
    Strange....
    Lol
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    France has reported a total of 4,499 confirmed coronavirus cases – up from 3,661 on Friday, according to official figures.

    Time to ban travel from France.
    As long as they don't ban travel TO France.

    I have a skiing holiday booked for 11 April with my grandchildren in the French Alps with ClubMed.
    No, you really don't.....
    I do. My Italian skiing holiday was cut short last week.
    Nice one Barnesian - which resort? I`m thinking about a late ski trip with my daughter. I`ve been looking at Norway - never been there.
    La Plagne 2100. Last week it was Corvara.
    I love La Plagne. Been before? I like the big mountain feel you get there. And the views across to Courcheval. Good move staying at 2100 for a late break.
    I've been seven times. There's a glacier as well.
  • isamisam Posts: 42,645
    Cyclefree said:

    Barnesian said:

    tyson said:

    Anyway..when we are all locked in...inevitable now in a matter a couple of weeks and most probably sooner....

    How many hits will pbCOM get a day??

    I'm locked in. pcCOM is a godsend. Equivalent to the pub. But I find I'm eating and drinking too much. It's just too easy.
    It would though be even better if we occasionally, just occasionally, talked about something else.
    Plenty of people haven’t listed their eight desert island discs, a book and a film...
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,266

    That actually looks sensible and would tie in with what they have been doing so far.
    It might even persuade my oldies to stay at home.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369
    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I wouldn`t take much notice of this link. The article says "could" not "will". And "instructed by the government" not "made illegal to leave your home".

    My dad would be furious if they legally enforced this. He`d rather risk catching the virus.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671
    70 year olds in isolation, will they still be able to do things like regular blood tests many need for underlying conditions?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 37,513
    RobD said:

    Barnesian said:

    algarkirk said:

    If this story is true it moves things on quite a bit.

    People over 70 in strict isolation at home - that's a joke!!
    Why? They are the most at risk group.
    It would be better to take health into account as well as just age, but I can understand why that's not feasible because there isn't time to assess people.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Yes. Globalisation is done.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671
    edited March 2020
    From the article...

    Other measures already being planned include:

    "emergency manufacture by several companies of respirators that would be necessary to keep alive those who become acutely ill;"

    I would sort of hope they were doing that already....
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    RobD said:

    welshowl said:

    RobD said:

    This kind-of blows apart the UK Government strategy
    Does it...Did you look at those signatures. When they say 200 academics, there are an absolute load of PhD students in unrelated subjects, no offence to them, but they know square root of f##k all about this (and I have a PhD).
    Seem to be a lot of mathematicians in there and an astronomer thrown in for good measure. There are also several whose subjects aren't specified (fine art, modern languages, archeology?)
    No wonder the government's strategy is so crap, they don't have astronomers on the advisory panel.
    It’s a quark in the system.
    Strange....
    I thought it was quite charming.
    Well life’s full of ups and downs
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 130,286
    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719
    Stocky said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I wouldn`t take much notice of this link. The article says "could" not "will". And "instructed by the government" not "made illegal to leave your home".

    My dad would be furious if they legally enforced this. He`d rather risk catching the virus.
    I suspect they aren't going to have police roaming the streets with orders to shoot any old biddies seen trying to get their pension. I think it's more likely it's more budging from the behavioural group. If you get them all to go out less frequently, and many to stay inside almost permanently, the transmission can be significantly reduced.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,671
    It does seem like either this was the plan all along or they have taken on board Hunt's sensible suggestions like the care home ring fencing and running schools with skeleton staff to ensure front line workers can still go and do their jobs.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Anyone holed up and seeking some harmless entertainment could do worse than reviewing @communistbops’ oeuvre on Twitter:

    https://twitter.com/communistbops/status/1238929625734053888?s=21

    That is brilliant thanks
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Difficult to tell because it came at the end of WW1. So certainly there was a massive cultural change over that period but it is difficult to know whether it could be ascribed to the flu or the war.

    Mind you, we lost 80,000 in Britain to Hing Kong flu over a few months in 1968 and I don't think there was any real social change ascribed to that outbreak.
    This is less about the sheer death toll, though, and much more about the economic dislocation and radical changes to our way of living. Experiences of work (work-from-home really is likely to get a boost, the daily commute and new train lines might start looking quite out-of-date), our technical optimism about the future dented, the psychological effect for millions of people of long isolation, greater awareness of hygiene, social fragility and our own mortality, the way it will change relationships especially with those who enter the "cocoon" stage ... and I'm not even sure I've hit all the important ones!
    The deepest, longest recession any of us have ever experienced.
  • HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369
    Barnesian said:

    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Stocky said:

    Barnesian said:

    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    France has reported a total of 4,499 confirmed coronavirus cases – up from 3,661 on Friday, according to official figures.

    Time to ban travel from France.
    As long as they don't ban travel TO France.

    I have a skiing holiday booked for 11 April with my grandchildren in the French Alps with ClubMed.
    No, you really don't.....
    I do. My Italian skiing holiday was cut short last week.
    Nice one Barnesian - which resort? I`m thinking about a late ski trip with my daughter. I`ve been looking at Norway - never been there.
    La Plagne 2100. Last week it was Corvara.
    I love La Plagne. Been before? I like the big mountain feel you get there. And the views across to Courcheval. Good move staying at 2100 for a late break.
    I've been seven times. There's a glacier as well.
    The glacier is awesome. Great wide run down from the top. Some good off piste in La Plagne too. I`ve had a couple of good breaks there, staying in Champagny en Vanoise. The run down to Champagny late in the season would be slushy though. Stay up high.

    If you have a hire car it`s an easy 20 min drive to Courcheval for added variety.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I'm a 77 year old skier. No way will I stay in solitary confinement for four months! Now what could I do to deserve that? Bog roll mugger?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
    most? What mortality rates are you assuming?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 130,286
    edited March 2020

    HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
    Nope as it is going to be enforced within 20 days if you read the article and we are still far from the peak which will be 2 or 3 months away
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    Stocky said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I wouldn`t take much notice of this link. The article says "could" not "will". And "instructed by the government" not "made illegal to leave your home".

    My dad would be furious if they legally enforced this. He`d rather risk catching the virus.
    Question is, what are the sanctions on those who say "sod off?"

    This is Britain. There would be serious tutting. That should send them zimmer-framing it back home to their Reader's Digest Tricky Sudoku Vol 87.....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 37,513
    If this happens I'm going to have to take over my dad's business for 4 months, which I wasn't planning on doing.
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
    Nope as it is going to be enforced within 20 days if you read the article and we are still far from the peak which will be 2 or 3 months away
    Take a whole load of frail pensioners and lock them away for months. They'll be dead.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 56,314
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Yes. Globalisation is done.
    Which totally destroys the main liberal Leaver argument for Brexit.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 52,841
    Charles said:

    Anyone holed up and seeking some harmless entertainment could do worse than reviewing @communistbops’ oeuvre on Twitter:

    https://twitter.com/communistbops/status/1238929625734053888?s=21

    That is brilliant thanks
    That Beyoncé dancing Shostakovich has become quite a meme.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,719

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Yes. Globalisation is done.
    Which totally destroys the main liberal Leaver argument for Brexit.
    Still fighting yesterday's war? ;)
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    Stocky said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I wouldn`t take much notice of this link. The article says "could" not "will". And "instructed by the government" not "made illegal to leave your home".

    My dad would be furious if they legally enforced this. He`d rather risk catching the virus.
    Question is, what are the sanctions on those who say "sod off?"

    This is Britain. There would be serious tutting. That should send them zimmer-framing it back home to their Reader's Digest Tricky Sudoku Vol 87.....
    Stop their pension? Make them pay for their TV licence? (Oh...) :wink:
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,584

    Good luck telling my mum that. Or my father-in-law for that matter.

    I just had a chat with my Mum (mid 70s) about it after having seen the tweet. I told her it is a possibility but not necessarily certain and she was very pragmatic about it. Basically her attitude is that she knows she is at risk and she knows and understands the plan they have in place. Since that plan obviously necessitates isolation for her whilst it is being enacted she accepts that. She likes being alive and doesn't particularly want it to end any time soon so she will do what is necessary.

    I have to admit it is a relief as she is rather independent minded at times so I was not at all sure what her reaction would be.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,423
    I see Dom's name is mentioned. Is this serious or is he just trying to get in on the act?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 130,286

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
    Nope as it is going to be enforced within 20 days if you read the article and we are still far from the peak which will be 2 or 3 months away
    Take a whole load of frail pensioners and lock them away for months. They'll be dead.
    You really are clueless, they will be more likely to be dead without quarantine.

    Food can be delivered, many elderly are largely housebound anyway
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    Good luck telling my mum that. Or my father-in-law for that matter.

    I just had a chat with my Mum (mid 70s) about it after having seen the tweet. I told her it is a possibility but not necessarily certain and she was very pragmatic about it. Basically her attitude is that she knows she is at risk and she knows and understands the plan they have in place. Since that plan obviously necessitates isolation for her whilst it is being enacted she accepts that. She likes being alive and doesn't particularly want it to end any time soon so she will do what is necessary.

    I have to admit it is a relief as she is rather independent minded at times so I was not at all sure what her reaction would be.
    I shall be countering any objections from either my mum or my father-in-law with: "well you voted for this government" :wink:
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,369

    Stocky said:

    Andy_JS said:

    I hope age isn't the only determinant. Some 70 year olds are in better health than 55 year olds.
    I wouldn`t take much notice of this link. The article says "could" not "will". And "instructed by the government" not "made illegal to leave your home".

    My dad would be furious if they legally enforced this. He`d rather risk catching the virus.
    Question is, what are the sanctions on those who say "sod off?"

    This is Britain. There would be serious tutting. That should send them zimmer-framing it back home to their Reader's Digest Tricky Sudoku Vol 87.....
    I`ve heard that in Italy people are actually being fined for going out to walk their dog.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,266
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Yes. Globalisation is done.
    I suspect countries will want to have more self-sufficiency for security reasons which will put a dampener on international trade.

    There will also be an economic cost to this which in turn will mean less money for foreign holidays and imported consumer tat.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,898
    IanB2 said:

    Charles said:

    Anyone holed up and seeking some harmless entertainment could do worse than reviewing @communistbops’ oeuvre on Twitter:

    https://twitter.com/communistbops/status/1238929625734053888?s=21

    That is brilliant thanks
    That Beyoncé dancing Shostakovich has become quite a meme.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1hpRwha0qs
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    From the article...

    Other measures already being planned include:

    "emergency manufacture by several companies of respirators that would be necessary to keep alive those who become acutely ill;"

    I would sort of hope they were doing that already....

    As would I - there is plenty of evidence as to what is coming fast down the tracks
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,266
    Andy_JS said:

    If this happens I'm going to have to take over my dad's business for 4 months, which I wasn't planning on doing.

    Is it something you can, or want, to do ?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,631

    I see Dom's name is mentioned. Is this serious or is he just trying to get in on the act?
    This caught my eye: "What keeps ministers and officials awake at night is the fear that if the epidemic becomes too great they would have to make appalling decisions, such as that the NHS would stop treating people over a certain age, such as 65."

    Happy with that fellow PBers?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,359
    RobD said:

    Barnesian said:

    algarkirk said:

    If this story is true it moves things on quite a bit.

    People over 70 in strict isolation at home - that's a joke!!
    Why? They are the most at risk group.
    I find it odd that young people take risks (bungey jumping) and old people avoid risks when it should be the other way round.

    Young people have their lives before them. Old people don't. Old people can afford to take big risks, They don't have a lot to lose. That's why I did 69 km/h down a black run last Sunday.


  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Over 70s to be quarantined until July, sensible by Boris and the rest of us without pre existing health conditions can build up immunity
    Sensible in that most of them will be dead by then...?
    Nope as it is going to be enforced within 20 days if you read the article and we are still far from the peak which will be 2 or 3 months away
    Take a whole load of frail pensioners and lock them away for months. They'll be dead.
    Expose them to coronavirus. They'll be dead. And the frailer they are the more de facto locked away they are already.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,604

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    This is going to change everything, isn’t it?

    Yes. Seismic shift.

    Pre-Corona v. Post-Corona will be different eras.
    While I am not arguing there won't be disruption, but a different era? Was the Spanish flu as transformative?
    Yes. Globalisation is done.
    Which totally destroys the main liberal Leaver argument for Brexit.
    You really want to start that again in the same week the good Europeans in Berlin have banned medical exports to Italy?
This discussion has been closed.