Boris needs to get outside Downing Street tomorrow and make a statement assuring the people that the NHS is safe in his hands and that no one should have to be without a bed. He needs to link the Brexit dividend back to the NHS and promise £350 million extra a week from the moment we leave .
But why would anyone believe him? He has been caught lying before - he was even fired once because of his creative imagination...
Is it now taken as given that Tories always lose vote share throughout a campaign or is it a recent phenomenon?
It's very simple - the sheer scale of media smearing of Labour these days (basically now they are seen as a genuine threat to the establishment and not just a tame Tory Plan B ) massively depresses their polling and performance in second order elections but when it comes to the real vote and people start looking at the policies and real people involved they start to realise they actually like them after all.
We are in a new zeitgeist just like 1979 but the other way and it is only the immense power of our country's elite to shape the narrative that is keeping the Tories going against political gravity. But it's running out of steam and soon.
The Tories are still caught up in their origin myths of the eighties and think that things will never change.
"We're all f***ed. I'm f***ed. You're f***ed. The whole department is f***ed. It's the biggest cock-up ever. We're all completely f***ed." - Sir Richard Mottram
Is it now taken as given that Tories always lose vote share throughout a campaign or is it a recent phenomenon?
It's very simple - the sheer scale of media smearing of Labour these days (basically now they are seen as a genuine threat to the establishment and not just a tame Tory Plan B ) massively depresses their polling and performance in second order elections but when it comes to the real vote and people start looking at the policies and real people involved they start to realise they actually like them after all.
We are in a new zeitgeist just like 1979 but the other way and it is only the immense power of our country's elite to shape the narrative that is keeping the Tories going against political gravity. But it's running out of steam and soon.
The Tories are still caught up in their origin myths of the eighties and think that things will never change.
This poll has given Labour voters still with the Lib Dems a reason to switch back. They can steal 2% from there easily and they still have the Greens and undecideds to squeeze.
This poll has given Labour voters still with the Lib Dems a reason to switch back. They can steal 2% from there easily and they still have the Greens and undecideds to squeeze.
Hung Parliament here we come. GTTO.
With respect, the sensible thing for all those opposed to the Tories is to think tactically. No point in potential LibDem voters in Cities or Finchley or Esher switching to Labour... the opposite needs to happen.
In many other seats, where Labour are the closest challenger, LDs should switch to Labour since that would give them the best chance of influencing power post election.
What would really blow this election apart would be for Corbyn and Swinson to publicly ask that, for a dozen or so selected seats each, where the other party is the closest challanger, their voters support that challenger rather than vote for their own party.
That would likely wipe the majority away.
In fact, from Corbyn's perspective he should do that regardless of any reciprocity from the LDs. If the LDs can grab another dozen seats from the Tories because Labour are tacitly telling their supporters only the LDs can win there, that could make all the difference.
What would really blow this election apart would be for Corbyn and Swinson to publicly ask that, for a dozen or so selected seats each, where the other party is the closest challanger, their voters support that challenger rather than vote for their own party.
That would likely wipe the majority away.
In fact, from Corbyn's perspective he should do that regardless of any reciprocity from the LDs. If the LDs can grab another dozen seats from the Tories because Labour are tacitly telling their supporters only the LDs can win there, that could make all the difference.
Not going to happen though is it?
I don't think so but as Heseltine effectively said Brexit is for life, not just for Xmas.
Labour clearly can't win Cheltenham and the LDs can't win either Milton Keynes seat. It only needs people in 20 seats like that to swap their vote.
Boris needs to get outside Downing Street tomorrow and make a statement assuring the people that the NHS is safe in his hands and that no one should have to be without a bed. He needs to link the Brexit dividend back to the NHS and promise £350 million extra a week from the moment we leave .
That is what he should have said yesterday, thinking on his feet and without a script, like the master campaigner we all assumed he was.
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I have had to revert to Vanilla (ugh!) as PB.com is not allowing me to sign on to comment
[Edit - longer, updated version posted up-thread (or down-thread.... whichever) ]
Keep on thinking @CorrectHorseBattery !
We are in a new zeitgeist just like 1979 but the other way and it is only the immense power of our country's elite to shape the narrative that is keeping the Tories going against political gravity. But it's running out of steam and soon.
The Tories are still caught up in their origin myths of the eighties and think that things will never change.
The Tory majority looks to come unravelled by a surprise poor performance in London, Wales and Scotland. Which the latter was my original prediction.
https://twitter.com/joe_armitage/status/1204473686985789440?s=20
Hung Parliament here we come. GTTO.
In many other seats, where Labour are the closest challenger, LDs should switch to Labour since that would give them the best chance of influencing power post election.
That would likely wipe the majority away.
In fact, from Corbyn's perspective he should do that regardless of any reciprocity from the LDs. If the LDs can grab another dozen seats from the Tories because Labour are tacitly telling their supporters only the LDs can win there, that could make all the difference.
Not going to happen though is it?
Labour clearly can't win Cheltenham and the LDs can't win either Milton Keynes seat. It only needs people in 20 seats like that to swap their vote.