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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starting at 7pm the BBC QuestionTime special which sees four party leaders being grilled by the audience
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Birmingham Northfield a key target in Brum, as I was discussing with, iirc, Andy_JS, on here a couple of days ago.
ITV had one candidate too few, BBC has one too many.
Don't worry folks, it's "not institutional"
Also, it should've been in Leeds. More marginal territory than the People's Republic of South Yorkshire.
I’ll offer a positive a negative. He is good at selling something with his eyes and his persuasive voice, whereas May and Corbyn don’t look like they believe it themselves as they ask you to buy it. But he does have Trump way of straying from truth too readily, like Trump claimed today he has saved Hong Kong from attack from a million Chinese troops.
However I think you’re bang on.
Things is, Yorkshire is the opposite to most of the rest of the country in that the northern bit is very Conservative, and the southern bit is very Labour, and the middle bit has a fair few marginals in it.
Leeds is in the middle bit. Sheffield is in the middle of the People's Republic of South Yorkshire. Might make a difference. Then again, they might be trying to select an audience fairly as usual, and a number will be fibbers, as usual.
Agree about her ability, particularly in comparison to some of the other leaders.
Just because a party can't form a government by themselves, doesn't mean they can't influence it, enable it, negotiate, initiate it, or even be part of it. So, given their size and potential influence, they should be heard.
These four parties (plus perhaps the DUP, depending how they fall to ALL/UUP/SDLP/SF; and to a lesser extent PC and Greens etc) are the ones who will most significantly determine the next government, including if it's a hung parliament, SNP being the 3rd largest and likely to retain that.
Thus those deciding who they want to form or initiate the forming of a government have to hear them on that.
Election neutrality also means it would be verging on unlawful to ignore them and include parties with less representation.
Those people disinterested in SNP or Indyref2 should perhaps sop it up?
I would however say time is running out for Labour and if they’re not showing any signs of improvement by this time next week I think defeat and a Tory majority is very likely.
I'd not bother with the Lib Dems either. But there we are.
Anyway, I must be off. Play nicely, everyone.
No - that’s not necessarily the case at all.. The jury may well have been right to convict on the basis of the evidence in front of them. But it may well be that the evidence was wrong eg the statistical evidence in the Sally Clarke case or the forensic evidence in the case of the Birmingham 6. Or that there was relevant evidence which was not disclosed and put before the jury (eg alibi evidence in the case of Gerry Conlon, one of the Guildford 4). Or it could be that they were misdirected as to the law by the judge.
https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1197946315835158529
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/rising-labour-star-laura-pidcock-backs-last-resort-rail-strikes-in-london-over-christmas-a4293896.html
President Donald Trump has pilloried an envoy who testified in the impeachment inquiry, claiming she refused to hang his photo in the US embassy in Ukraine.
Mr Trump told Fox News' morning show former ambassador Marie Yovanovitch "didn't want to hang my picture in the embassy" in Kyiv.
The president did not offer further details about the matter.
Or do none read the Sun?
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/jose-mourinho-not-worth-13-million-pay-packet-says-john-mcdonnell-a4293931.html
Not sure if 8.30 is an advantage to Boris, audience will no doubt be quite hostile in part but then he also gets a chance to react to what Corbyn has said earlier.
https://twitter.com/Rachael_Swindon/status/1197935204993847298
Brexit Party Manifesto 2019 Part 1
It’s a manifesto. This ‘contract with the people’ malarkey is transparent bollocks. You cannot criticize other parties for not doing what their manifestoes promise, and insist your promises can be trusted because it’s not a manifesto. It’s not clever or funny, BXP, stop it.
Has a brief summary which even lists a few non Brexit policies, which is useful I assume for explaining quickly that they are not a single issue party.
No contents page as it is only 24 pages. Simple bullet point promises with little detail, and a very large highlighting of the main one for each section is memorable, but bland. As it is so short the question of why some things are included and not others does appear.
No ‘years of wrangling with Brussels’ is an enticing enough slogan, but it’s just not credible.
Why is David Bull MEP the only person besides Farage and Tice who gets a photo in the manifesto?
A political revolution
Standard stuff – representative voting, abolish lords, recalls for defections. Reform supreme court – be interesting to see if the Tories are so bold as to promise that.
‘Phase out the BBC licence fee’ – and do what instead?
More referendums promised! But with a time limitation on repeat votes – I wonder how long a limitation
The Brexit dividend
Abolish inheritance tax the big giveaway.
50bn for road and rail schemes in the regions.
I don’t think their raising 200bn adds up
A new workable apprenticeship scheme
Invest in the future
Fishing and coastal communities get 2.5bn – they know where support is.
Millions of trees planted. Recycle our own waste and make it illegal to be exported. So 100% recycling or what?
Invest in the NHS and Social care – that’s it, not an amount.
Big pledge is to invested in strategic issues since freed from state aid rules.
Cut the cost of living and turbo charge the economy
Cut VAT on duel. Reduce import tariffs.
Zero rate corporation tax for first 10,000 of pre tax profiles etc etc – this part is oddly detailed and precise considering the rest of the manifesto.
Transitional relief to key sectors to ensure a smooth Brexit – so they admit it will cause them disruption at last
Create freeports, whatever those might be.
Protect Britain’s Borders and People
Defence contracts to stay at home, 2% GDP to NATP
‘Reduce annual immigration’ – no targets, blind to ethnic origin it says
More police, target county lines, standard stuff
Invest in the NHS
No privatization, where it has failed it will return to public ownership. So what if it has not failed? What if other privatization might succeed too?
24 hour GP surgeries. Doesn’t sound feasible to me, but whatever.
Odd to promise to have a national debate on the NHS. Does that need to be in a promise alongside policy suggestions?
Invest in education
Abolish student loan interest, no apprentice levy, supports academies
Reform Universal Credit
12 month review and bring in reforms within 2 years – this is actually a more sensible timeframe that big party promises
Also pandering to the WASPI women, they must be getting sick of being pandered to, I would hope.
Rebuild the Housing System
Easier consent for brownfield sites, easier to borrow to build council housings, accelerate infrastructure grants, nothing really stands out
Mad commie --> Lefty --> Centre lefty --> Right
The good old days if you listen to the hard left bully boys.
Didn't even know.
Have they corrected for that?
Noone.
Not until 9pm on Thursday 12th December.
https://imgur.com/2VGVMnc
In fact, that's basically his whole spiele. Any of these questions he simply rolls another one of these off and says it with passion and cadence and intonation that is well practiced.
It's enough to impress a lot of people.
They can't risk Labour running away with the narrative and the polls tightening again.
The only credible approach is to include anyone who can mathematically form a majority Government irrespective of past record.
Otherwise it becomes an arbitrary exercise and a rationale for maintaining an adversarial rather than plural approach.