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  • TOPPING said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    LOL - now all leavers want to burn the house down in order to rebuild it anew.

    Jesus fucking christ this was all on the side of the bus, was it?
    I've zero relations to the bus and am not "all leavers".

    I've been a classic liberal (aka Libertarian) all my life. I've never once believed that staying in the same old 'house' and to prevent progress and the chaos it brings is the way to grow for the future.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,289
    edited February 2019
    TOPPING said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    LOL - now all leavers want to burn the house down in order to rebuild it anew.

    Jesus fucking christ this was all on the side of the bus, was it?
    Building anew was not on their radar.

    The concept of creative destruction is most cited by those that are merely destroyers and, in reality, indifferent to any creation that might follow in their wake.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    Let it go mate.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    Mr. Woolie, welcome back :)

    Mr. Alistair, ah. Probably should've checked that, but thank you for the information nevertheless.

    Passing visit ;)
    I'm into chess these days, playing lots of tournaments but new political toys are exciting
    Welcome back Mr Woolie!
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    _Anazina_ said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    Just to claim coining Tiggers – I was the first person on here to use it. Glad to see it is catching on.

    Bounce!!
    I am claiming Tribbles in case the explosion if support I expect materialuses :)
  • Welcome to PB, Mr. Engineer.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    TOPPING said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    LOL - now all leavers want to burn the house down in order to rebuild it anew.

    Jesus fucking christ this was all on the side of the bus, was it?
    I hadn't realised that Chaos With Ed Miliband was supposed to be a compliment!
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    I appreciate that, and it's very damaging, but it remains the case that net employment growth has proved to be very strong. It's not like the early eighties.
    The Japanese news on Honda and Nissan has more to do with the EU offering zero tariffs (may be to spite the UK for brexit) and the Japanese would rather manufacture in Japan than the UK . If the zero tariff agreement had happened without Brexit I dare say the Japanese companies would still be relocating back to Japan anyway.
    Well precisely.

    Honda are continuing to invest in the UK where it makes sense, highly technical F1 jobs for instance. Car manufacturers in cleaner technologies, or premium vehicles are continuing to invest in the UK.

    Lets not run around like headless chickens pandering to fearmongers and make our decisions based on what is rational.

    I'm shocked and a little bit disturbed by the number of people saying things like "this has nothing to do with Brexit but it doesn't matter".
    We are distinguishing between reality and how reality will be interpreted, which are quite different things. The latter is much more important in terms of influencing political outcomes.

    This is by far the worst news Brexit has suffered. The evening news will be filled of teary-eyed Leavers streaming out of the Swindon plant bemoaning their fate.

    It could be terminal.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    Sure, but brexit won't help inward investment to keep the lights on. And May's daft cap is no good for consumers who give a monkeys about what price they're paying for electricity either. Neither will any potential nationalisation plans by Corbyn...

    A plague on everyone's house !
  • So getting an economic trade deal with the USA and avoiding pending US tariffs on EU exports would help the Civic more than a deal with the EU?

    Seems like an argument in favour of exiting without tying ourselves into a permanent customs union or backstop.
    This economic trade deal with the USA of which you speak, an actual thing or a just possibly if Liam Fox doesn't fuck up and the unicorns don't have equine flu thing?
    A possibility for the long term future. Something I'd rather we be thinking of than clinging to the past.
  • Mr. City, I only know the vaguest part of the Williams history myself.

    Slightly surprisingly, I'm into history, and F1, but not the history of F1.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Sandpit said:

    Mr. Woolie, welcome back :)

    Mr. Alistair, ah. Probably should've checked that, but thank you for the information nevertheless.

    Passing visit ;)
    I'm into chess these days, playing lots of tournaments but new political toys are exciting
    Welcome back Mr Woolie!
    I like what you've all done with the place
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    _Anazina_ said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    Just to claim coining Tiggers – I was the first person on here to use it. Glad to see it is catching on.

    Bounce!!
    I am claiming Tribbles in case the explosion if support I expect materialuses :)
    You are hoping their influence will become Heffalumpine?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    Have you got a source for that "Honda CEO says..." comment?

    Genuinely interested - and can't find it.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited February 2019
    _Anazina_ said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    Just to claim coining Tiggers – I was the first person on here to use it. Glad to see it is catching on.

    Bounce!!
    Should have been the People's Independent Group.

    Piglets would have been more apt.
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,134
    edited February 2019
    Jezza not the only one having problems over Jewish issues...

    Polish PM cancels Israel visit after Netanyahu said ‘Poles cooperated with the Nazis’

    Poland's prime minister has canceled plans to send a delegation to meeting in Jerusalem after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Poles 'collaborated with the Nazis'.

    This was later followed by the acting Israeli foreign minister repeating Netanyahu's words, and adding that Poles 'sucked anti-Semitism from their mothers' milk.'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6716483/Poland-cancel-visit-Israel-amid-new-Holocaust-spat.html
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2019
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    He is on the money but both Danny 565 and Bjo prefer sneering at the Angela Smith gaffe. It's so much easier than a morsel of reflection .
    Danny 565 and BJO personify the reasons many of us have left the Labour Party.
    When were you a member?
    I resigned about 18 months after Corbyn won the leadership
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    Jezza not the only one having problems over Jewish issues...

    Polish PM cancels Israel visit after Netanyahu said ‘Poles cooperated with the Nazis’

    Poland's prime minister has canceled plans to send a delegation to meeting in Jerusalem after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Poles 'collaborated with the Nazis'.

    This was later followed by the acting Israeli foreign minister repeating Netanyahu's words, and adding that Poles 'sucked anti-Semitism from their mothers' milk.'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6716483/Poland-cancel-visit-Israel-amid-new-Holocaust-spat.html

    How to win friends and influence people.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    This is just another example of the press not having a clue.
    JLR sell more than the F-Pace in the USA, they sell Range Rovers and other Jags. Honda only make the Civic at Swindon and they make 100,000 in total.

    JLR sales 2017 for all models in the USA were 163,000.

    As I have said on here Trumps tariffs if implemented are far more damaging to the UK car industry than a no deal Brexit.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    This is absolutely bang on, as anyone who has spent any time in Swindon will know.

    Swindon was a company town once (GWR) and it's not that far off right now. The town has survived on Honda - the growth beyond Thamesdown Drive, at Wichelstowe, and increasingly to the east, has been fuelled by it and its support industries. You only have to look at the rest of the Wiltshire towns, then add in a dose of post-industrial malaise, to see how Swindon would be otherwise.

    There is still a small plant for BMW in the town (it's the subsidiary site for the Mini). If BMW pull out then it's game over. https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/new-cars/bmw-boss-reiterates-mini-pull-out-brexit-threat
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    _Anazina_ said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    Just to claim coining Tiggers – I was the first person on here to use it. Glad to see it is catching on.

    Bounce!!
    I am claiming Tribbles in case the explosion if support I expect materialuses :)
    You are hoping their influence will become Heffalumpine?
    Seriously, mood music suggests SDP on steroids
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Floater said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swindon MP: "Honda decision nothing to do with Brexit, since all European production will be moving to Japan by 2021".

    If that is correct, how many plants does Honda have across Europe?
    only other plant is in Turkey, this plant makes Civics for continental EU. The Civics made in the UK were for RoW with Japan and USA being the main markets.
    Are you saying that the Civics made here were not for the EU market?

    Yep - right hand drive and US models...
    So - does that not rather blow a hole in the "it's because of Brexit" theory?
    Depends whether you think that each and every component of the car is built up from the raw materials exclusively in the UK.

    https://europe.autonews.com/article/20180316/CUTAWAY01/180229801/suppliers-to-the-new-honda-civic

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,403
    Honda is closing it's plant in Swindon and Brexit has been cited as the final straw. Look squirrel!
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.



    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.



    Agreed. I don't understand why ultra-Leavers don't see this. It's those images that will tell, not the minutiae of whether Brexit was 10% responsible, or 80% responsible, for this decision. The sight of a town losing half its jobs overnight will be reminiscent of the worst times of the early 80s.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    Are you mental? They announced a date of 2022 and we all know there is every chance it might not even happen. It's pretty sad for RoyalBlue to get excited about people losing their jobs but for those who are still crying about the referendum result its hardly surprising. Not to mention a rather more significant news story today that will take all the headlines you may have heard about.

    Of course Ryton, Longbridge and Luton closing were nothing to do with being an EU member :)

    Your neurotic flip flopping is embarrassing to those on the Leave side. Trying to connect a Honda plant potentially closing to the Brexit vote and then assume millions will change their minds. If the entire Brexit debate was based around a Honda factory in Swindon then I must have missed it.
  • Mr. T, that 10%/80% difference is not minutiae, it's the heart of the story.

    I do agree with you, however, that it'll play badly for those who want us to leave the EU. Whether that's justified or not is another matter.

    Interesting that Wolff reckons a no deal scenario would have a severe impact on F1 in the UK, given a clear majority of teams and their suppliers are based here. At first glance, the suggestion sounds a bit odd, to me, at least.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    He is on the money but both Danny 565 and Bjo prefer sneering at the Angela Smith gaffe. It's so much easier than a morsel of reflection .
    Danny 565 and BJO personify the reasons many of us have left the Labour Party.
    And the reason many hundreds of thousands have joined.

    By hoovering up every far left groupie and trot in the country. It will be nowhere near enough to win a GE but I'm not sure many of you really care.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,281
    MaxPB said:

    Very disappointing and absolutely avoidable news on Honda. The blame lies with the idiot Liam Fox who should have been doing much more to get the Japanese on board for continuing the existing terms of trade for a few years and to Parliament who should have voted through the WA. Hopefully once we get a deal Honda can be convinced to reverse the decision.

    Unlikely - and even more so in context...

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/feb/18/japan-almost-cancelled-brexit-talks-high-handed-letter-liam-fox-jeremy-hunt
    Japanese officials have reportedly accused Jeremy Hunt and Liam Fox of taking a “high-handed” approach towards a post-Brexit free trade deal, and briefly considered cancelling bilateral talks due to take place this week...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    OllyT said:

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    He is on the money but both Danny 565 and Bjo prefer sneering at the Angela Smith gaffe. It's so much easier than a morsel of reflection .
    Danny 565 and BJO personify the reasons many of us have left the Labour Party.
    When were you a member?
    I resigned about 18 months after Corbyn won the leadership
    So you didnt like the 2017 Manifesto
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223

    Jezza not the only one having problems over Jewish issues...

    Polish PM cancels Israel visit after Netanyahu said ‘Poles cooperated with the Nazis’

    Poland's prime minister has canceled plans to send a delegation to meeting in Jerusalem after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Poles 'collaborated with the Nazis'.

    This was later followed by the acting Israeli foreign minister repeating Netanyahu's words, and adding that Poles 'sucked anti-Semitism from their mothers' milk.'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6716483/Poland-cancel-visit-Israel-amid-new-Holocaust-spat.html

    Israel is now unofficially working with the Gulf states (Qatar excepted) as part of their proxy war with Iran. Netanyahu knows that this makes Israel more secure than it has ever been, so he can afford some historical truth-telling. I’m not sure it’s a good long-term strategy.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    _Anazina_ said:

    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    Let it go mate.
    You should really direct that comment to the #FBPE mob on Twitter, who are really starting to sound like they are celebrating job losses.
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Floater said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swindon MP: "Honda decision nothing to do with Brexit, since all European production will be moving to Japan by 2021".

    If that is correct, how many plants does Honda have across Europe?
    only other plant is in Turkey, this plant makes Civics for continental EU. The Civics made in the UK were for RoW with Japan and USA being the main markets.
    Are you saying that the Civics made here were not for the EU market?

    Yep - right hand drive and US models...
    So - does that not rather blow a hole in the "it's because of Brexit" theory?
    Depends whether you think that each and every component of the car is built up from the raw materials exclusively in the UK.

    https://europe.autonews.com/article/20180316/CUTAWAY01/180229801/suppliers-to-the-new-honda-civic

    And presumably whether the finished cars are sold to RoW under trade deals we have thanks to the EU which at the moment could cease to apply in 6 weeks?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,281

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    Not the current kind of chaos - otherwise Venezuela would be the world's leading economy.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will ore jobs in aggregate.
    You do rea

    I appreciate that, and it's very damaging, but it remains the case that net employment growth has proved to be very strong. It's not like the early eighties.
    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.
    Well precisely.

    Honda are continuing to invest in the UK where it makes sense, highly technical F1 jobs for instance. Car manufacturers in cleaner technologies, or premium vehicles are continuing to invest in the UK.

    Lets not run around like headless chickens pandering to fearmongers and make our decisions based on what is rational.

    I'm shocked and a little bit disturbed by the number of people saying things like "this has nothing to do with Brexit but it doesn't matter".
    We are distinguishing between reality and how reality will be interpreted, which are quite different things. The latter is much more important in terms of influencing political outcomes.

    This is by far the worst news Brexit has suffered. The evening news will be filled of teary-eyed Leavers streaming out of the Swindon plant bemoaning their fate.

    It could be terminal.
    Agreed. I don't understand why ultra-Leavers don't see this. It's those images that will tell, not the minutiae of whether Brexit was 10% responsible, or 80% responsible, for this decision. The sight of a town losing half its jobs overnight will be reminiscent of the worst times of the early 80s.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    If unemployment was actually rising, as it was in the early eighties, then I think you might see that sort of switch. This is undeniably bad news, but I don't think the impact will be as dramatic as your last paragraph suggests.
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    He might be at odds with much of his party over Brexit (though notably he did vote for the Deal) but he is a former Health Secretary, Education Secretary, Home Secretary, Chancellor and Lord Chancellor, for whom there is a great deal of affection and respect in the ranks. Therefore his unrepentant pro-Europeanism is widely accepted by the membership (though not to the extent of being prepared to vote for him to be leader, natch). He's going nowhere other than the Lords.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Indeed. As I was saying earlier, Kendall stopped tweeting on Friday, which for her feed is unusual.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,134
    edited February 2019

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    IanB2 said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Indeed. As I was saying earlier, Kendall stopped tweeting on Friday, which for her feed is unusual.
    Oy! Are you calling the Lovely Liz a chatterbox?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,281
    TOPPING said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    LOL - now all leavers want to burn the house down in order to rebuild it anew.

    Jesus fucking christ this was all on the side of the bus, was it?
    Revolutionaries - not so different from Corbyn.
  • IanB2 said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Indeed. As I was saying earlier, Kendall stopped tweeting on Friday, which for her feed is unusual.
    Gone on half term hols?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    Honda is closing it's plant in Swindon and Brexit has been cited as the final straw. Look squirrel!
    Whatever the detailed implications, there is no getting away from the fact that Brexit is tarnishing Britain with a very anti-business tint, not least because we simply cannot answer any of their questions about future arrangements. At the very least it is obvious that government gives providing stability and certainty to business a very low priority.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    AndyJS said:

    LDs get their best poll rating for a long time:


    "@ElectionMapsUK
    Follow Follow @ElectionMapsUK
    More
    Westminster Voting Intention

    CON: 38% (+2)
    LAB: 35% (-1)
    LDM: 13% (+1)
    GRN: 5% (=)
    UKIP: 5% (-1)

    Via @BMGResearch, 4-8 Feb.
    Changes w/ 8-11 Jan."

    Shame a new grouping /party comes along.
    The survey is ten days old - Opinium data is more recent.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    He might be at odds with much of his party over Brexit (though notably he did vote for the Deal) but he is a former Health Secretary, Education Secretary, Home Secretary, Chancellor and Lord Chancellor, for whom there is a great deal of affection and respect in the ranks. Therefore his unrepentant pro-Europeanism is widely accepted by the membership (though not to the extent of being prepared to vote for him to be leader, natch). He's going nowhere other than the Lords.
    It's a stretch but I can see him doing it if no deal transpires
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will ore jobs in aggregate.
    You do rea

    I appreciate that, and it's very damaging, but it remains the case that net employment growth has proved to be very strong. It's not like the early eighties.
    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.
    Well precisely.

    Honda are continuing to invest in the UK where it makes sense, highly technical F1 jobs for instance. Car manufacturers in cleaner technologies, or premium vehicles are continuing to invest in the UK.

    Lets not run around like headless chickens pandering to fearmongers and make our decisions based on what is rational.

    I'm shocked and a little bit disturbed by the number of people saying things like "this has nothing to do with Brexit but it doesn't matter".
    We are distinguishing between reality and how reality will be interpreted, which are quite different things. The latter is much more important in terms of influencing political outcomes.

    This is by far the worst news Brexit has suffered. The evening news will be filled of teary-eyed Leavers streaming out of the Swindon plant bemoaning their fate.

    It could be terminal.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    If unemployment was actually rising, as it was in the early eighties, then I think you might see that sort of switch. This is undeniably bad news, but I don't think the impact will be as dramatic as your last paragraph suggests.
    When you lose a major manufacturer and its supply chain you tend to trade good, well paid, full-time skilled unionised jobs for lower-paid jobs in sectors like retail, which also have crap working hours and conditions. I would not be as sanguine as you.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    RoyalBlue said:

    Jezza not the only one having problems over Jewish issues...

    Polish PM cancels Israel visit after Netanyahu said ‘Poles cooperated with the Nazis’

    Poland's prime minister has canceled plans to send a delegation to meeting in Jerusalem after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Poles 'collaborated with the Nazis'.

    This was later followed by the acting Israeli foreign minister repeating Netanyahu's words, and adding that Poles 'sucked anti-Semitism from their mothers' milk.'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6716483/Poland-cancel-visit-Israel-amid-new-Holocaust-spat.html

    Israel is now unofficially working with the Gulf states (Qatar excepted) as part of their proxy war with Iran. Netanyahu knows that this makes Israel more secure than it has ever been, so he can afford some historical truth-telling. I’m not sure it’s a good long-term strategy.
    Not so sure about that. As far as I can tell, pretty much Netanyahu's sole reason for doing anything is that it increases his re-election chances (all the more so right now given that there's an election coming up). Picking fights with other countries in this way feeds into his strongman image; he's basically a small-time Trump. Agree that it's rotten strategy for the country.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.



    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.



    Agreed. I don't understand why ultra-Leavers don't see this. It's those images that will tell, not the minutiae of whether Brexit was 10% responsible, or 80% responsible, for this decision. The sight of a town losing half its jobs overnight will be reminiscent of the worst times of the early 80s.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    Are you mental? They announced a date of 2022 and we all know there is every chance it might not even happen. It's pretty sad for RoyalBlue to get excited about people losing their jobs but for those who are still crying about the referendum result its hardly surprising. Not to mention a rather more significant news story today that will take all the headlines you may have heard about.

    Of course Ryton, Longbridge and Luton closing were nothing to do with being an EU member :)

    Your neurotic flip flopping is embarrassing to those on the Leave side. Trying to connect a Honda plant potentially closing to the Brexit vote and then assume millions will change their minds. If the entire Brexit debate was based around a Honda factory in Swindon then I must have missed it.
    When did I ‘get excited’ about people losing their jobs? As for crying about the referendum result, I voted and campaigned for leave.

    Posts like yours make me wonder if I was right.
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    How very dare you!!!
  • BBC to make dramas for China for first time as it remakes Life on Mars set in 1990s Beijing

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/02/18/bbc-make-dramas-china-first-time-remakes-life-mars-set-1990s/

    Hmmm...not sure "Fire Up The Quattro" will quite work in that market.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Don't be silly. Trainers are perfectly fine.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    edited February 2019
    Nigelb said:

    MaxPB said:

    Very disappointing and absolutely avoidable news on Honda. The blame lies with the idiot Liam Fox who should have been doing much more to get the Japanese on board for continuing the existing terms of trade for a few years and to Parliament who should have voted through the WA. Hopefully once we get a deal Honda can be convinced to reverse the decision.

    Unlikely - and even more so in context...

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/feb/18/japan-almost-cancelled-brexit-talks-high-handed-letter-liam-fox-jeremy-hunt
    Japanese officials have reportedly accused Jeremy Hunt and Liam Fox of taking a “high-handed” approach towards a post-Brexit free trade deal, and briefly considered cancelling bilateral talks due to take place this week...

    At what stage can be get rid of these fucking clowns and insert someone vaguely sensible in government? The Tiggers could be it if they can shave off Labour's pro-business right, the Tories' sane, left flank, and mop up the Liberals.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    OllyT said:

    OllyT said:

    felix said:

    He is on the money but both Danny 565 and Bjo prefer sneering at the Angela Smith gaffe. It's so much easier than a morsel of reflection .
    Danny 565 and BJO personify the reasons many of us have left the Labour Party.
    When were you a member?
    I resigned about 18 months after Corbyn won the leadership
    So you didnt like the 2017 Manifesto
    For the first time in my life I didn't vote in 2017. I was never one of those who fell for the idea that Corbyn and Milne were anti-brexit.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    IanB2 said:

    Honda is closing it's plant in Swindon and Brexit has been cited as the final straw. Look squirrel!
    Whatever the detailed implications, there is no getting away from the fact that Brexit is tarnishing Britain with a very anti-business tint, not least because we simply cannot answer any of their questions about future arrangements. At the very least it is obvious that government gives providing stability and certainty to business a very low priority.
    Speaking to a grain merchant over the weekend - not a single post-March 29th grain vessel has been traded. No one is prepared to take on the potential liability of tariffs in the event of no deal.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,289

    IanB2 said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Indeed. As I was saying earlier, Kendall stopped tweeting on Friday, which for her feed is unusual.
    Gone on half term hols?
    Slightly left of CenterParcs
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    He might be at odds with much of his party over Brexit (though notably he did vote for the Deal) but he is a former Health Secretary, Education Secretary, Home Secretary, Chancellor and Lord Chancellor, for whom there is a great deal of affection and respect in the ranks. Therefore his unrepentant pro-Europeanism is widely accepted by the membership (though not to the extent of being prepared to vote for him to be leader, natch). He's going nowhere other than the Lords.
    Yep. He’s Ken, he’s always been Ken and he’s served his party and country very well over several decades. He’s always had his own views on Europe, but that doesn’t really distract from his excellent work elsewhere. May he enjoy his retirement sitting on the red benches.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
  • Sandpit said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    He might be at odds with much of his party over Brexit (though notably he did vote for the Deal) but he is a former Health Secretary, Education Secretary, Home Secretary, Chancellor and Lord Chancellor, for whom there is a great deal of affection and respect in the ranks. Therefore his unrepentant pro-Europeanism is widely accepted by the membership (though not to the extent of being prepared to vote for him to be leader, natch). He's going nowhere other than the Lords.
    Yep. He’s Ken, he’s always been Ken and he’s served his party and country very well over several decades. He’s always had his own views on Europe, but that doesn’t really distract from his excellent work elsewhere. May he enjoy his retirement sitting on the red benches.
    Hear hear. One of the few big beasts still in the HofC at this time of flimflammery.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    AndyJS said:

    The usual furinner hating crackpot areas.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Endillion said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Don't be silly. Trainers are perfectly fine.
    A capitalist pig would say that.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626
    Endillion said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Don't be silly. Trainers are perfectly fine.
    If you've spent £700 on them....
  • AnotherEngineerAnotherEngineer Posts: 64
    edited February 2019
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Confirmed by Honda . The threat of new tariffs as the UK leaves the EU was the final straw .

    I posted that I could not understand the EU position in not locking in the trade deal early. This will also hurt their suppliers to Honda based on the continent as well.
    They have a cut of your nose to spite your face brexit strategy.
    Does this Honda "confirmation" actually mention Brexit, or is it actually about the threat of new tariffs from the US / Trump? That would make more sense given the market for Swindon.
    Welcome to PB. I wonder how much the new EU-Japan trade deal had to do with it. I think they can now export from Japan tariff free.
    /Thanks. Long time lurker.../

    They can only export tariff free to the EU - I'm not sure what tariffs the US has with Japan? Remember - Civics made in Swindon aren't going to the EU.

    There might be some rules of origin involved in selling the completed vehicle but there aren't any tariffs on car parts, so I wouldn't think the suppliers were the problem.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,134
    edited February 2019

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    How very dare you!!!

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    He's a silly old buffer, he will do it for the heck of it in retirement
    How very dare you!!!
    To be fair to Ken I recall sitting in a pub beer garden the day after the 97 election and said if the Tories picked Ken they'd be back in 2 elections, a generation if not. Wasn't far out
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705

    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    Have you got a source for that "...the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit..." comment?

    That's a 'no' then.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    _Anazina_ said:

    When you lose a major manufacturer and its supply chain you tend to trade good, well paid, full-time skilled unionised jobs for lower-paid jobs in sectors like retail, which also have crap working hours and conditions. I would not be as sanguine as you.

    And there's not going to be a lot of retail demand in Swindon if 3,500 people have suddenly lost their monthly pay packet. The place has been struggling as it is (look at the Canal Walk area and the streets around it).
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    Has she resigned from the new party where one of her 6 other defectors has already had to apologise for her funny tinge comment?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    There's still a lot of resistance to the idea it's even possible. Anecdote alert, but just today so done commented to me they find the allegations hard to believe because of what labour stand for, that they could understand it of the Tories. And I know this person voted Tory more than labour!
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    Has she resigned from the new party where one of her 6 other defectors has already had to apologise for her funny tinge comment?
    And that affects the charge that Labour is institutionally anti-semitic how exactly?
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    Has she resigned from the new party where one of her 6 other defectors has already had to apologise for her funny tinge comment?
    Are you not in the slightest concerned? If I was a member of a party, whose members were leaving citing threats of violence against them by their own members due to their religion, I would be extremely concerned what the hell was going on.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    By the way, American issues worth keeping an eye on over the next month, I think its going to go a bit 'the empire strikes back'
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006
    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    You are missing the point.

    The Brexit crowd gained traction over the years by blaming all sorts of things on the EU regardless of whether it was true or not.

    Even if Honda or Nissan has nothing to do with Brexit you are about to reap what you sowed. People are going to believe it was because of Brexit and that's what really matters.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    _Anazina_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will ore jobs in aggregate.
    You do rea

    I appreciate that, and it's very damaging, but it remains the case that net employment growth has proved to be very strong. It's not like the early eighties.
    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.


    I'm shocked and a little bit disturbed by the number of people saying things like "this has nothing to do with Brexit but it doesn't matter".
    We are distinguishing between reality and how reality will be interpreted, which are quite different things. The latter is much more important in terms of influencing political outcomes.

    This is by far the worst news Brexit has suffered. The evening news will be filled of teary-eyed Leavers streaming out of the Swindon plant bemoaning their fate.

    It could be terminal.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    If unem
    When you lose a major manufacturer and its supply chain you tend to trade good, well paid, full-time skilled unionised jobs for lower-paid jobs in sectors like retail, which also have crap working hours and conditions. I would not be as sanguine as you.
    Over the past year, though, growth in employment has been almost all in full-time work, and wages have rising quite strongly.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    nico67 said:

    A lot of whining from some on social media about the seven but if Corbyn would have respected the party conference motion then this wouldn’t have happened .

    Now I get it!

    Were you #6 or #7 on the list of resigning MPs?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    Charles said:

    nico67 said:

    A lot of whining from some on social media about the seven but if Corbyn would have respected the party conference motion then this wouldn’t have happened .

    Now I get it!

    Were you #6 or #7 on the list of resigning MPs?
    I don't think that it's just Brexit that's motivating the Seven.
  • kle4 said:

    Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    There's still a lot of resistance to the idea it's even possible. Anecdote alert, but just today so done commented to me they find the allegations hard to believe because of what labour stand for, that they could understand it of the Tories. And I know this person voted Tory more than labour!
    That doesn't surprise me. Labour's brand is still strong. As I say, I can disagree with the policies of the Labour Party (although much of what I heard today from the 7 seemed perfectly reasonable), but I never would imagine they would have their own MPs running for the doors after months / years of anti-semitic abuse from the membership.
  • Formerly of this parish always worth catching up on...

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius/status/1097484517747683328
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    Do you want a sportsman's bet on that? I think Honda will be one of the top three stories on the BBC news at 6 AND at 10.

    If you disagree, then we could have a little wager, say £5, the loser to pay the money to the winner's favourite charity. Deal?
    I'll have a wager £5 that the Labour split will be the main story and run for 5-10 minutes at the start of both the BBC and ITV News. Honda closing in 2022 just isn't on the same public interest level.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,134
    edited February 2019
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    Do you want a sportsman's bet on that? I think Honda will be one of the top three stories on the BBC news at 6 AND at 10.

    If you disagree, then we could have a little wager, say £5, the loser to pay the money to the winner's favourite charity. Deal?
    I would imagine the BBC will tie them together, as although the gang of 7 won't have known this news, they do relate to one another.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,134
    edited February 2019

    Formerly of this parish always worth catching up on...

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius/status/1097484517747683328

    Not just not Corbyn. Nobody in his office contacted her over this....Just imagine for a second if something had happened. I mean it isn't like we haven't had several nutters attack MPs over the past few years.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    OllyT said:

    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    You are missing the point.

    The Brexit crowd gained traction over the years by blaming all sorts of things on the EU regardless of whether it was true or not.

    Even if Honda or Nissan has nothing to do with Brexit you are about to reap what you sowed. People are going to believe it was because of Brexit and that's what really matters.
    And given how business-unfriendly the UK is becoming, the argument that bad business news is nothing to do with Brexit simply won't stand up any more.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    OllyT said:

    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way the FBPE crowd are ignoring the fact the Honda CEO says it's nothing to do with Brexit, the fact no jobs are moving to the EU and the fact even after the vote they decided to keep their EU HQ in the UK. Unfortunately car manufacturing is an industry in severe decline, it's just a shame that those desperate for project fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    You are missing the point.

    The Brexit crowd gained traction over the years by blaming all sorts of things on the EU regardless of whether it was true or not.

    Even if Honda or Nissan has nothing to do with Brexit you are about to reap what you sowed. People are going to believe it was because of Brexit and that's what really matters.
    People are going to believe it or just ardent Europhiles? Bit of a difference. It'll take more than job losses in Swindon in 6 years to change the minds of 17 million people. Project Fear will continue to make the same mistakes because they think people can be easily scared into changing their minds and that everything revolves around economic news. Well if it did then as a nation we'd be rejoicing at low inflation and low unemployment but clearly we are not.
  • Nigelb said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    And that is always the consequence of losing a big manfacturer. While brexit is not the driver in this decision in the publics eyes it may well be.

    We need TM's deal passed fast and lift some of the doom
    Why? When as you have said "Brexit is not the driver in this decision"?

    Why pander to those who are trying to cause fear when it is not real. We need a deal if a deal is right for us, not because the optics of real life changes happen to look a particular way.
    We need stability not chaos with no deal
    Stability and chaos are both double-edged swords. Being sclerotic is a form of stability and it is not what we should seek.

    On the other hand rapid technological and economic growth comes with it an amount of chaos.
    Not the current kind of chaos - otherwise Venezuela would be the world's leading economy.
    Our current kind of chaos has seen our employment rate grow to the highest ever recorded, while inflation is below our 2% target. Can Venezuela say any of that?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    edited February 2019
    LBC is always worth a listen to get a range of views on the story of the day.

    Right now a Labour councillor Danny from Bexley is phoning in to describe how unpleasant the party is right now and how he is cheering the seven defectors on. Edit/ also PPC in 2017 in Old Bexley
  • Parody accounts up and running already.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    Do you want a sportsman's bet on that? I think Honda will be one of the top three stories on the BBC news at 6 AND at 10.

    If you disagree, then we could have a little wager, say £5, the loser to pay the money to the winner's favourite charity. Deal?
    I'll have a wager £5 that the Labour split will be the main story and run for 5-10 minutes at the start of both the BBC and ITV News. Honda closing in 2022 just isn't on the same public interest level.
    No bet. Tut tut. You first claimed that Honda would be a "minor" story. If it is in the top three stories, the headlines announced at the start of the news, then it is definitely not a "minor" story.

    So you are scared to make a wager on your own claim.
    But you said this story would affect millions of voters and radically alter opinion polls despite not even being the main news story? Not sure how that works.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    PS I think you'll lose your bet if you accept it.

    Honda is now the most read news story on the BBC website. The gang of 7 are second.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news
    I've got Gang of 7 as first and it's a much older news story.
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    Sean_F said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    kjohnw said:

    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will ore jobs in aggregate.
    You do rea

    I appreciate that, and it's very damaging, but it remains the case that net employment growth has proved to be very strong. It's not like the early eighties.
    The Japanese nto Japan anyway.


    I'm shocked and a little bit disturbed by the number of people saying things like "this has nothing to do with Brexit but it doesn't matter".
    We are distinguishing between reality and how reality will be interpreted, which are quite different things. The latter is much more important in terms of influencing political outcomes.

    This is by far the worst news Brexit has suffered. The evening news will be filled of teary-eyed Leavers streaming out of the Swindon plant bemoaning their fate.

    It could be terminal.

    The optics are disastrous for LEAVE. I can see polls switching quite severely now, towards REMAIN. What if, a week before Brexit Day, polls are showing the public split 60/40 or even 65/35 in favour of REMAIN?
    If unem
    When you lose a major manufacturer and its supply chain you tend to trade good, well paid, full-time skilled unionised jobs for lower-paid jobs in sectors like retail, which also have crap working hours and conditions. I would not be as sanguine as you.
    Over the past year, though, growth in employment has been almost all in full-time work, and wages have rising quite strongly.
    You are answering a different question. I am pointing out what tends to happen when an area loses a major structural employer. I didn't post anything at all about the stats in the wider economy over the past 12 months.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,281
    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    Do you want a sportsman's bet on that? I think Honda will be one of the top three stories on the BBC news at 6 AND at 10.

    If you disagree, then we could have a little wager, say £5, the loser to pay the money to the winner's favourite charity. Deal?
    I'll have a wager £5 that the Labour split will be the main story and run for 5-10 minutes at the start of both the BBC and ITV News. Honda closing in 2022 just isn't on the same public interest level.
    No bet. Tut tut. You first claimed that Honda would be a "minor" story. If it is in the top three stories, the headlines announced at the start of the news, then it is definitely not a "minor" story.

    So you are scared to make a wager on your own claim.
    But you said this story would affect millions of voters and radically alter opinion polls despite not even being the main news story? Not sure how that works.
    The two stories reinforce each other.
    And they will be the top two stories on the BBC - as they are on the from page of the newspaper websites.

    Understand now ?
  • Thinks she needs a better PR team...although her lawyer certainly said some interesting things in the past.

    Jihadi bride Shamima Begum says Manchester Arena bombing was 'fair retaliation' for military strikes in Syria as she reveals she has named her son Jerah 'after Islamic warlord who massacred infidels'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6716167/Jihadi-bride-east-London-Shamima-Begum-family-lawyer-says-want-baby-son-home.html
  • Mr. Woolie, I'd vote Vader.

    Zero percent tolerance for rebel scum. And he got the Death Star built on time.
  • Head on block time. I'd be very surprised if the Tiggers don't number in the teens at least within a fortnight

    There are two Labour groups to watch: those who are very noisy (eg Ian Murray, Owen Smith), and those who are very quiet (eg Liz Kendall).

    As for the Conservatives, presumably their move is a little later.
    Yes, agreed. I think tipping point is the long term goal, say 50 from the PLP? That would signal the end days for labour. Tories probably waiting for Brexit settlement one way or another. Woolaston, Allen and Soubry I think, Ken Clarke but AFTER he leaves parliament
    I'd be staggered if Ken Clarke went anywhere.
    Well I think he quite likes a trip to the Jazz club...
    I prefer the Jezz Club
    That's the one where the bouncers says, no trainers, no tories, no jews*...

    (small print) *exceptions made for card carrying communists who don't believe Israel has the right to exist.
    Shameful comment but true to form for you TBF.

    Actually its the one with a 500,000 capacity where everybody is welcome as long as they know the words to the White Stripes number 1 hit (Glastonbury version) and are prepared to chant it for 3 hours non stop.
    Well Ms Berger thinks your party is now institutionally anti-Semitic...but carry on. I honestly never thought I would see the Labour Party described as such, not least by one of its own.
    Has she resigned from the new party where one of her 6 other defectors has already had to apologise for her funny tinge comment?
    The last two parliamentary parties to lose 13 MPs in a single parliament were the Tories (1992-7)* and Labour (1979-83). But if you're fine with those precedents, similarly occasioned by existential splits, carry on.

    * The Tories ended the parliament down 12 (8 by-election defeats and 4 defections). The peak loss in the parliament came in 1994-5, following the removal of the whip from 8 MPs after they rebelled on a Europe-related Confidence vote in November 1994, and the resignation of one more, on top of 4 losses in by-elections to that point. The eight received the whip back in April 1995.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    Because of the gang of 7 it's safe to say the Honda news will be a minor story tonight. For those FBPE supporters linking it to Brexit it seems Chuka has scored a bit of an own goal by crowding out the press coverage.

    Do you want a sportsman's bet on that? I think Honda will be one of the top three stories on the BBC news at 6 AND at 10.

    If you disagree, then we could have a little wager, say £5, the loser to pay the money to the winner's favourite charity. Deal?
    I'll have a wager £5 that the Labour split will be the main story and run for 5-10 minutes at the start of both the BBC and ITV News. Honda closing in 2022 just isn't on the same public interest level.
    No bet. Tut tut. You first claimed that Honda would be a "minor" story. If it is in the top three stories, the headlines announced at the start of the news, then it is definitely not a "minor" story.

    So you are scared to make a wager on your own claim.
    I was just pondering the running order on the news. I reckon the magnificent 7 will get top billing as splits in a major political party occur less often than car plants closing down. But I might be wrong.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,281
    SeanT said:

    Brom said:

    OllyT said:

    Brom said:

    _Anazina_ said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    nunuone said:

    SeanT said:

    The Honda news is a potential game-changer. And I speak as a Leaver.

    It has been timed with perfection. Deliberately?

    We've seen this before. A company announcing they are pulling out of Brexit Britain only to see a few days later the story is way overblown. In a few days time we will realise this news has also been overblown.
    But it keeps happening. Remainers don't have to keep explaining away big inward investment stories.
    Yet employment levels keep surging ever upwards.
    And, will probably further show a further rise tomorrow, but the flip side of my comment to Sean T is that one business shedding 3,500 jobs will generate far more publicity than lots of businesses generating more jobs in aggregate.
    You do realise that it won't just be 3,500 jobs. It will be all the jobs that support those jobs, the ancillary industries, the suppliers, the hauliers, right down to little corner shops in Swindon. The Honda plant was one of the biggest employers in the West Country.

    It could take another 10,000 jobs with it.

    Sean, it is time for you and other intelligent Leavers to reluctantly abandon your support for this project. It has been delivered unbelievably badly, and the optics going into Brexit day are terrible. Give it up.
    I love the way toject fear to come true choose to grasp at any straw possible.
    You are missing the point.

    The Brexit crowd gained traction over the years by blaming all sorts of things on the EU regardless of whether it was true or not.

    Even if Honda or Nissan has nothing to do with Brexit you are about to reap what you sowed. People are going to believe it was because of Brexit and that's what really matters.
    People are going to believe it or just ardent Europhiles? Bit of a difference. It'll take more than job losses in Swindon in 6 years to change the minds of 17 million people. Project Fear will continue to make the same mistakes because they think people can be easily scared into changing their minds and that everything revolves around economic news. Well if it did then as a nation we'd be rejoicing at low inflation and low unemployment but clearly we are not.
    The job losses start in 2021. Two years. Not six.
    The associated cuts in investment plans start now.
This discussion has been closed.