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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab’s resignation sparks off huge movements on the TMay exit,

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  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    TOPPING said:

    1. is not going to get past the EU so you might as well take it off the list. Why do so many people think that the world revolves around the UK? The UK can't just "go back" to the EU and ask for this, that or the other.

    Well we can go back and ask. Won't get it though.

    .
    You don't go into a negotiation with that attitude.

    Listen, it doesn't suit the EU for us to walk away with no deal. We can bargain with a better leader at the helm. We can be much much tougher with them on key issues.

    And we'd win.
    Unbelievable! Still some people cling to the myth that 'they need us more than we need them'.

    That's not what I wrote. Money talks and EU business does not want to see No Deal. It would hit them very hard. And us. We have a strong negotiating hand on that front, the one which always matters most. Money.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    IanB2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    We're wargaming it in my office. My colleague (very anti Labour, anti Brexit would probably switch to remain now. He also thinks the Tories are going to get slaughtered if we do remain in a second ref. I don't think he's wrong.

    If he is anti Brexit that is hardly a switch?
    Sorry he was pro Brexit 1st ref.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,300

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    'Agree a national position...' a perfect example of begging the question.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    TOPPING said:

    1. is not going to get past the EU so you might as well take it off the list. Why do so many people think that the world revolves around the UK? The UK can't just "go back" to the EU and ask for this, that or the other.

    Well we can go back and ask. Won't get it though.

    .
    You don't go into a negotiation with that attitude.

    Listen, it doesn't suit the EU for us to walk away with no deal. We can bargain with a better leader at the helm. We can be much much tougher with them on key issues.

    And we'd win.
    Unbelievable! Still some people cling to the myth that 'they need us more than we need them'.

    A No Deal WTO crash-out, would hurt the EU... but not nearly as much as allowing the UK to continue to have the benefits of membership without the obligations. Nor would No Deal hurt the EU anything like as much as it will hurt the UK.
    And the upside for them is that they maintain their unity and commitment to the European project (which Brexit has strengthened) and the self-inflicted damage we incur is a very effective demonstration that countries are better off as members.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    hmmm your having a Brexit fit

    come back when youve calmed down
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    edited November 2018

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Who is 'we' ?

    And that's the issue: 'we' as a nation are totally split wrt the EU. There are those who want to remain, the Eurosceptcis who quite like the idea but thing it's going a bit far, and the Europhobes. In between are a whole gamut of opinions and views, from xernophobic throw-out-the-furriners thugs to the join-the-Euro happy loons.

    Even if you push and squeeze into various groups, there is not a majority for any one option, and too many people believe strongly that *their* view is the right one, and hence compromise is impossible.

    The issue was that leave, in order to win, had to promise inconsistent things. And when they won, leavers saw *their* promise as the one that had to be delivered, even if it was different to another leavers'.

    May's deal is a compromise. It may or may not be a messy one, but it is about the only compromise possible. Sadly, too many people are unwilling to compromise.
    Most people see 'We' as 'Me' or 'I'
    Therein lies the root of many of the problems of modern society.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    A very piercing question from JRM there.

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728
    Scott_P said:
    I don't know how people can answer fully whether they want another referendum or not unless they have a clear idea what'd be on the ballot.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    I think May is right about the "go back and think again" tag applying to a 2nd referendum... I would love us to reamin but I fear a 2nd referendum would provoke a (not very sensible) "sod-em" reaction. This deal is the best option imo.
  • Scott_P said:
    I don't know how people can answer fully whether they want another referendum or not unless they have a clear idea what'd be on the ballot.
    37% might be enough in a three way ballot*


    *lots of problems with that though
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728
    Okay, time for a serious question: what are the time pressures that face us, both internally and externally? Is it just the EU elections, or are there other deadlines?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,412
    IanB2 said:

    TOPPING said:

    1. is not going to get past the EU so you might as well take it off the list. Why do so many people think that the world revolves around the UK? The UK can't just "go back" to the EU and ask for this, that or the other.

    Well we can go back and ask. Won't get it though.

    .
    You don't go into a negotiation with that attitude.

    Listen, it doesn't suit the EU for us to walk away with no deal. We can bargain with a better leader at the helm. We can be much much tougher with them on key issues.

    And we'd win.
    Unbelievable! Still some people cling to the myth that 'they need us more than we need them'.

    A No Deal WTO crash-out, would hurt the EU... but not nearly as much as allowing the UK to continue to have the benefits of membership without the obligations. Nor would No Deal hurt the EU anything like as much as it will hurt the UK.
    And the upside for them is that they maintain their unity and commitment to the European project (which Brexit has strengthened) and the self-inflicted damage we incur is a very effective demonstration that countries are better off as members.
    Equally it may discourage other countries from joining but I'm not sure what countries are rushing to join the EU...
  • Rees Mogg has pretty much said he's going to send in a letter to Sir Graham Brady
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    hmmm your having a Brexit fit

    come back when youve calmed down
    Nope, not having a fit.

    Just enjoying seeing leavers squirm at trying to avoid the blame for the mess they've created.
  • Okay, time for a serious question: what are the time pressures that face us, both internally and externally? Is it just the EU elections, or are there other deadlines?

    I think the next EU budget period starts in 2021, which is why the transition period provisionally ends at the end of 2020.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Mogg asks May for a single good reason he shouldn't write to Brady.

    Ooh, you catty bitch.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    edited November 2018

    Scott_P said:
    I don't know how people can answer fully whether they want another referendum or not unless they have a clear idea what'd be on the ballot.
    And given its been funded by the people's vote campagn it would be interesting to see the exact questions asked of those polled.

    As we know based on previous polling ask people if they want a second referendum on Brexit and a people's vote on the deal and you can get very different results even though they are potentially the same thing.

    Why are they called the people's vote campaign rather than the second Brexit referendum campaign?!
  • Okay, time for a serious question: what are the time pressures that face us, both internally and externally? Is it just the EU elections, or are there other deadlines?

    Article 50 date - extendable by unanimity
    Then end of the transition which aligns with the budget period - not yet agreed so inherently negotiable
  • Leslie and Rees Mogg have done May in.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    Okay, time for a serious question: what are the time pressures that face us, both internally and externally? Is it just the EU elections, or are there other deadlines?

    Article 50 date - extendable by unanimity
    Surely the case for this is now compelling? Remainers want it. Brexiters probably will too. Sane middle of the road people would.

    Why?

    Because Theresa May has come up with the worst of possible worlds. An awful deal that must be kicked into touch.
  • Keaton Jennings is a coward.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    hmmm your having a Brexit fit

    come back when youve calmed down
    Nope, not having a fit.

    Just enjoying seeing leavers squirm at trying to avoid the blame for the mess they've created.
    you need a lie down or go for a walk, a break will do you good
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Tory members need to remember that May continually delivers above 40% in the national polls.

    I'm no fan of her but over the past two decades that's unprecedented.

    Can removing her guarantee better polling?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
  • I think May is right about the "go back and think again" tag applying to a 2nd referendum... I would love us to reamin but I fear a 2nd referendum would provoke a (not very sensible) "sod-em" reaction. This deal is the best option imo.

    It is the best option but it’s not going to get through the current parliament so we either have no deal, another vote, extend article 50 and keep negotiating this mythical dream alternative deal, or a GE.

    Those are the options on the table as far as I can see.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    'Cause you had a bad May
    You're taking one down
    You sing a sad song just to turn it around
    You say you don't know
    You tell me don't lie
    You work at a smile, and you go for a ride
    You had a bad May
    The camera don't lie
    You're coming back down, and you really don't mind
    You had a bad May
    You had a bad May
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    Rees Mogg has pretty much said he's going to send in a letter to Sir Graham Brady

    Which letter would that be? Personally I quite like Z; it's much under-appreciated.

    Perhaps that's the problem: the thick idiots are sending a letter at a time: "D", "e", "a", " r," etc, rather than a fully-fledged letter.

    And the letters are probably written in crayon ...
  • Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    hmmm your having a Brexit fit

    come back when youve calmed down
    Nope, not having a fit.

    Just enjoying seeing leavers squirm at trying to avoid the blame for the mess they've created.
    you need a lie down or go for a walk, a break will do you good
    How about you having a break whilst you consider the mess you helped us get into? I can recommend some good walks.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    Fenster said:

    Tory members need to remember that May continually delivers above 40% in the national polls.

    I'm no fan of her but over the past two decades that's unprecedented.

    Can removing her guarantee better polling?

    I think that some of the MPs are beyond caring. Their true enemy is each other.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    edited November 2018
    Bloody hell. Francois (Essex Brexiteer) coming out for a second referendum, is that?
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234

    Rees Mogg has pretty much said he's going to send in a letter to Sir Graham Brady

    Which letter would that be? Personally I quite like Z; it's much under-appreciated.

    Perhaps that's the problem: the thick idiots are sending a letter at a time: "D", "e", "a", " r," etc, rather than a fully-fledged letter.

    And the letters are probably written in crayon ...
    No, it'd be some obsolete anglo saxon letter like thorn or eth
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591

    Jeremy Hunt watching his leadership ambitions going up in smoke.

    Imagine his beady eyes being all sad as he realizes he may have missed the optimal resignation window.

    Hunt is a nauseating careerist with no political beliefs or convictions apart from his own self-advancement. So he fits into modern Westminster very well.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Please can Tory MPs put the poor woman out of her misery? #MayMustGo
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676
    A Tory backbencher speaks, in the background a Tory colleague mutters "what a twat".

  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Jeremy Hunt watching his leadership ambitions going up in smoke.

    Imagine his beady eyes being all sad as he realizes he may have missed the optimal resignation window.

    Uh oh, I hope he doesn't give into the temptation every male of his species faces in dark times and let his mate eat his head
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,700
    edited November 2018
    Nicky Morgan nails the No Deal Brexiteers for the hypocritical wankers that they are.
  • Nicky Morgan supports TM
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,469
    May playing chicken with the House of Commons... So irresponsible.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,916

    I think May is right about the "go back and think again" tag applying to a 2nd referendum... I would love us to reamin but I fear a 2nd referendum would provoke a (not very sensible) "sod-em" reaction. This deal is the best option imo.

    Even if Remain won, it doesn't fix anything, as no issue that lead to Leave winning is resolved by Remain. As a country we'd be back to where we were in 2015 and still have all the same problems with the EU to deal with.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676

    Nicky Morgan supports TM

    It's almost as if there is a job going.
  • Nicky Morgan nails the Brexiteer for the hypocritical wankers that they are.

    I’m not going to lie, she is going up in my estimation. Everything she and Mad Anna were screaming about the leavers since Brexit has been shown to be pretty much spot on.
  • Please can Tory MPs put the poor woman out of her misery? #MayMustGo

    i think that'll happen this evening...
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Where's Govey?

    WHERE IS HE?

    I can feel his presence, somewhere just out of sight. Are his intentions benign or malign? When will he strike, whatever that means?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,892

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
  • Well, look on the bright side. No British MP has yet landed up in hospital as a result of brawling on the floor of the House:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/15/shameful-day-sri-lanka-mps-fight-in-parliament-as-power-struggle-deepens
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    I have to say that May has gone up in my estimation. Trying to lead this shower must take the patience of Job.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    She can't really bring this to a vote, can she? Certain defeat, and humiliation. Only last night, it was cheerfully asserted it would pass on Labour votes and abstentions.
    No chance.
  • XenonXenon Posts: 471

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Who is 'we' ?

    And that's the issue: 'we' as a nation are totally split wrt the EU. There are those who want to remain, the Eurosceptcis who quite like the idea but thing it's going a bit far, and the Europhobes. In between are a whole gamut of opinions and views, from xernophobic throw-out-the-furriners thugs to the join-the-Euro happy loons.

    Even if you push and squeeze into various groups, there is not a majority for any one option, and too many people believe strongly that *their* view is the right one, and hence compromise is impossible.

    The issue was that leave, in order to win, had to promise inconsistent things. And when they won, leavers saw *their* promise as the one that had to be delivered, even if it was different to another leavers'.

    May's deal is a compromise. It may or may not be a messy one, but it is about the only compromise possible. Sadly, too many people are unwilling to compromise.
    So leave didn't really win the referendum in your eyes because you didn't like the campaign, so we can't properly leave.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Sean_F said:

    I have to say that May has gone up in my estimation. Trying to lead this shower must take the patience of Job.

    I agree. As Richard Nabavi says, posterity will be kind to May, because she's been clearly trying to do her best, even as her best was nowhere near good enough.

    They'll love her when she's on strictly 2019
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676
    Amber Rudd doing her Churchillian best. Another good job application.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Sean_F said:

    I have to say that May has gone up in my estimation. Trying to lead this shower must take the patience of Job.

    It was her awful decision to call a General Election and piss-poor performance that lost her a stonking majority.

    She is entirely to blame.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    Rudd and Morgan have both been helpful to May. She doesn't deserve either of them.
  • dixiedean said:

    She can't really bring this to a vote, can she? Certain defeat, and humiliation. Only last night, it was cheerfully asserted it would pass on Labour votes and abstentions.
    No chance.

    I think it has to come to a vote otherwise it is no deal
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    According to the press he was kept in the dark and never saw the deal until just before the cabinet meeting.
  • dixiedean said:

    She can't really bring this to a vote, can she? Certain defeat, and humiliation. Only last night, it was cheerfully asserted it would pass on Labour votes and abstentions.
    No chance.

    I would.

    If it gets voted down the markets crash and MPs will be under pressure to accept the deal.

    This is what happened with TARP in America back in 2008, and what George Osborne's former Chief of Staff predicted would happen earlier on this week
  • XenonXenon Posts: 471

    TOPPING said:

    1. is not going to get past the EU so you might as well take it off the list. Why do so many people think that the world revolves around the UK? The UK can't just "go back" to the EU and ask for this, that or the other.

    Well we can go back and ask. Won't get it though.

    The curious thing is the Brexiteers have got all hung up on the withdrawal agreement, but the actual draft declaration on the future relationship - which is after all what matters - looks rather good, better that I expected. Of course the devil will be in the detail, but it's encouraging, or would be if Brexiteers weren't hell-bent on trying to ensure Brexit is either a total disaster or never happens.
    Was it actually a good agreement? I had the impression we still had to do everything the EU wants with no say in anything.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Where's Govey?

    WHERE IS HE?

    I can feel his presence, somewhere just out of sight. Are his intentions benign or malign? When will he strike, whatever that means?

    Something about your forum name makes me wonder where Cox is.
    Has he been seen today?
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Pat McFadden who was in the list of Labour MPs who might be persuaded to support this deal just called it a “failure” and “a humiliation”.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318
    edited November 2018
    It would be interesting - and highly relevant - to know what the EU and other member states are making of what's happening today.

    If they come to the view that Britain cannot stick to its side of the bargain, what will they do?

    Say "This is the deal. Take it or leave it. And if you don't take it before 29 Marchit's the hardest of Brexits for you. After that date come back to talk to us when you're serious. Our focus will be on protecting ourselves and our citizens."

    Or what?
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469

    Where's Govey?

    WHERE IS HE?

    I can feel his presence, somewhere just out of sight. Are his intentions benign or malign? When will he strike, whatever that means?

    When Sarah Vine tells him to....
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,892
    As for JRM surely the answer was, well, have you asked your nanny yet Jacob?

    Beneath contempt.

    I have not been a fan of May, I have been appalled by her incompetence and prevarication, her failure to prepare for no deal, the undermining of those trying to negotiate, the deliberate obfuscation and the meaningless cliches but really, enough.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Nigel Dodds nodding along with Corbyn's assessment of the deal.

    WHAT HAVE YOU DONE, THERESA?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    According to the press he was kept in the dark and never saw the deal until just before the cabinet meeting.
    1. I find that hard to be believe, but 2. if he was being kept in the dark, then he ought to have resigned sooner.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    dixiedean said:

    She can't really bring this to a vote, can she? Certain defeat, and humiliation. Only last night, it was cheerfully asserted it would pass on Labour votes and abstentions.
    No chance.

    Not in the current atmosphere. Things probably need to cool down a bit, allow remainers to realise that there's no time for a 2nd referendum now before March, and the less crazy ERG types hopefully start to see the dangers of a Corbyn government.

    It's this withdrawal agreement, or nothing. The EU negotiators aren't going to offer anything more.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    Although there were reports that he wasn't given access to it until very late.
    https://order-order.com/2018/11/15/raab-refused-board-jet-brussels-last-night/
  • Great from Lucas: "This is not a parlour game, this is people's lives"
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220

    Pat McFadden who was in the list of Labour MPs who might be persuaded to support this deal just called it a “failure” and “a humiliation”.

    Has Flint spoken yet, that'll be the nail in the coffin.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318
    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I'm never supporting the Tories. They are a disgrace. May is useless but she is trying her best. The others are just self-indulgent wankers.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    philiph said:

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    Although there were reports that he wasn't given access to it until very late.
    https://order-order.com/2018/11/15/raab-refused-board-jet-brussels-last-night/
    Yesterday anybody who spoke out was being unforgivably rash for not reading the full text first. Today they're unforgivably duplicitous for stringing May along all day
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    Sean_F said:

    I have to say that May has gone up in my estimation. Trying to lead this shower must take the patience of Job.

    It was her awful decision to call a General Election and piss-poor performance that lost her a stonking majority.

    She is entirely to blame.
    We are where we are. I wish the Conservative had a working majority (although they'd probably still fight like ferrets in a sack) but they don't. Given where we are, I don't see how anyone could have done any better.
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469
    Started a while ago.... There are now signs that the SNP are breaking up into different factions, only united in the varying dislikes of Sturgeon and Murrell...
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    According to the press he was kept in the dark and never saw the deal until just before the cabinet meeting.
    1. I find that hard to be believe, but 2. if he was being kept in the dark, then he ought to have resigned sooner.
    He should have resigned at the weekend because he met with Coveney and said he needed a get of clause from the backstop. May immediately dispatched Liddington to see Varadkar and undermined him. This has been the whole strategy from May, secret squirrel stuff especially after she moved Robbins and 1/2 of DexEU to work in No 10. The cabinet had no idea of Chequers until months of work was magically produced.
    One of the main reasons May is in this mess is her lack of person management skills.
  • That JRM question was perfection. Specific. At a measured pace and tone. Brutal. With an inferred threat at the end.

    Epic epic epic
  • Great from Lucas: "This is not a parlour game, this is people's lives"

    Disagree with pretty much everything she says but on that she’s utterly spot on.

    The political class is eating itself.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    I have to say that May has gone up in my estimation. Trying to lead this shower must take the patience of Job.

    It was her awful decision to call a General Election and piss-poor performance that lost her a stonking majority.

    She is entirely to blame.
    We are where we are. I wish the Conservative had a working majority (although they'd probably still fight like ferrets in a sack) but they don't. Given where we are, I don't see how anyone could have done any better.
    Then you're not a negotiator.

    You have to play hard. And not have people like Olly Robbins dictating it.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    "You cannot square a whale?"
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177

    philiph said:

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I agree. He should either not have accepted the job of Brexit Secretary, or stepped down weeks ago. Going along with a deal, and then disowning it at the last moment is dishonourable.
    Although there were reports that he wasn't given access to it until very late.
    https://order-order.com/2018/11/15/raab-refused-board-jet-brussels-last-night/
    Yesterday anybody who spoke out was being unforgivably rash for not reading the full text first. Today they're unforgivably duplicitous for stringing May along all day
    The cabinet will have seen all the detail last night they knew then if they backed it
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    Cyclefree said:

    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    I'm never supporting the Tories. They are a disgrace. May is useless but she is trying her best. The others are just self-indulgent wankers.
    I rejoined Battersea association a few months ago, but it's hard to disagree.
  • Cyclefree said:

    It would be interesting - and highly relevant - to know what the EU and other member states are making of what's happening today.

    If they come to the view that Britain cannot stick to its side of the bargain, what will they do?

    Say "This is the deal. Take it or leave it. And if you don't take it before 29 Marchit's the hardest of Brexits for you. After that date come back to talk to us when you're serious. Our focus will be on protecting ourselves and our citizens."

    Or what?

    Pretty much. They may also add that they still have affection for Britain and would be willing to pretend that the last three years didn't happen if we asked them to forget it all.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I'm looking forward to SindyRef2
  • Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Who is 'we' ?

    And that's the issue: 'we' as a nation are totally split wrt the EU. There are those who want to remain, the Eurosceptcis who quite like the idea but thing it's going a bit far, and the Europhobes. In between are a whole gamut of opinions and views, from xernophobic throw-out-the-furriners thugs to the join-the-Euro happy loons.

    Even if you push and squeeze into various groups, there is not a majority for any one option, and too many people believe strongly that *their* view is the right one, and hence compromise is impossible.

    The issue was that leave, in order to win, had to promise inconsistent things. And when they won, leavers saw *their* promise as the one that had to be delivered, even if it was different to another leavers'.

    May's deal is a compromise. It may or may not be a messy one, but it is about the only compromise possible. Sadly, too many people are unwilling to compromise.
    So leave didn't really win the referendum in your eyes because you didn't like the campaign, so we can't properly leave.
    Mr Jessop is right, Leave argued for all sorts of things but very few argued for 'No Deal' (is that what you mean by 'proerly leave'?)
    Mrs May's deal would fulfil the referendum result even if it is Brexit In Name Only and worse than staying.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,300
    DavidL said:

    Mortimer said:

    Keaton Jennings is a coward.

    Not resigning?
    Sent in a night watchman for an over.

    You're an opener, this is what you have to do.
    The world's gone mad. And Westminster isn't much better.

    I for one will never support a party led by Dominic Raab. I think what he has done today is despicable and reckless.
    Agreed about Raab.
    But as for opting for a nightwatchman, one over to go before close of play is about the only time it's ever right to consider it (and then reject the idea).
  • Andrew said:

    dixiedean said:

    She can't really bring this to a vote, can she? Certain defeat, and humiliation. Only last night, it was cheerfully asserted it would pass on Labour votes and abstentions.
    No chance.

    Not in the current atmosphere. Things probably need to cool down a bit, allow remainers to realise that there's no time for a 2nd referendum now before March, and the less crazy ERG types hopefully start to see the dangers of a Corbyn government.

    It's this withdrawal agreement, or nothing. The EU negotiators aren't going to offer anything more.
    Only if the UK offers something more in return.

    No deal can pass without a meaningful break clause. I'm astonished that the PM and Robbins thought that could be agreed to (however unlikely it is to ever be used). In order to get that, the government will probably need to sign up to an even closer transitional arrangement, which also happily removes the NI/GB distinction and hence satisfies the DUP's red line.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:

    Xenon said:


    You should form a double-act.

    Which one of you wants to be Bart SImpson as the 'I didn't do it' kid?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtVteemLin4

    What are you talking about?
    The Brexiter line: it's always some else's fault. It's the EU's fault. It's May's fault. It's not my fault.

    But it is. Anyone who voted for leave owns this, and owns the consequences.
    Well done for completely ignoring my point.
    Your 'point' wasn't a point. It was a pathetic blame-shifting exercise (and ignored the fact we'd had a previous referendum).
    So how should we have left the EU then?

    And the previous referendum wasn't for what the EU turned into. Geez some people really are EU fanatics.
    For the record, I'm not a fan of the EU; I could live with it as it is, but do not like the direction it is heading in. I was going to vote leave, but the sheer inconsistencies and tone of the leave campaigns made me vote for the lesser evil of remain.

    If that makes me an 'EU fanatic', so be it.

    I could respond in kind, but as you're a new poster I'll let you off gently. ;)
    But what was the alternative? Stay in the EU forever in a direction the majority don't want? or something else?

    I'm honestly struggling to see what the best thing we should have done is.
    Agree a national position then declare A50, negotiate from WTO to an eventual settlement
    Another leaver sharing their infinite wisdom with us ...

    Tell me, how the fuyck do we agree a 'national position' given the lies of the leave campaign?
    hmmm your having a Brexit fit

    come back when youve calmed down
    Nope, not having a fit.

    Just enjoying seeing leavers squirm at trying to avoid the blame for the mess they've created.
    you need a lie down or go for a walk, a break will do you good
    How about you having a break whilst you consider the mess you helped us get into? I can recommend some good walks.
    whilst you consider the mess you helped us get into?

    thats just funny, remind me how exactly I shaped the nation's politics ? LOL
  • Question. Will the Chief Whip lie to her and say "don't worry PM it will pass". Or like Captain Smith will she cling to the wheel as the ship sinks?
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Excluding the PM, the current tally of people who have spoken in favour of the deal still stands at 2.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    edited November 2018

    "You cannot square a whale?"

    Whale2

    Edit except I can't do formatting!
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Please can Tory MPs put the poor woman out of her misery? #MayMustGo

    It is sad to see a PM in parliament been so torn apart , with MPs laughing at her replies.

    I think she has done her best .
    But she seems not to be taking in the reality of the parliamentary situation.

    She is becoming delusional.
  • I must give thanks to my now former employer for freeing up my time to be able to watch this (and indeed further Brexishambles) and to be paying me handsomely to do so.
This discussion has been closed.