Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab’s resignation sparks off huge movements on the TMay exit,

1810121314

Comments

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677
    edited November 2018

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    John McDonnell: “If we can’t get a general election, yes we will keep a People’s Vote on the table”

    Is Jezza out of the loop now?
    Hey I win about 3 grand if he is somehow next PM :p
    It’s a great time to lay Jezza.

    If May loses, it’s a Tory. If she narrowly wins she’ll go next year, and then it’s a Tory.

    Only Jezza with an early GE.
  • The Tory loons are genuinely unhinged, aren’t they?
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    I see the Tories' game playing around the Home Rule Act of April 1912 has come back to bit them on the arse. :lol:
  • glwglw Posts: 9,916
    TGOHF said:

    Cameron offers the nation a sh1t sandwich - gets told to do one.

    May offers the nation a reheated sh1t sandwich every day for the next XX years - gets told to do one.

    What is wrong with Con leaders - why they so tone deaf ?

    As far as I can see there is no plausible outcome on offer that would receive even a lukewarm welcome by a majority of the public.

    I think we will likely end up Remaining in the EU, but the public will be unhappier and more divided than ever.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    Your first clear thought of the day. Blame Brown.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Feel like Gove would be mad to take that job offer if letters are really going in
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited November 2018
    Remainer May has failed. Which Brexiteer Prime Minister has failed?
  • Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.

    Why let Labour destroy the country when the Tories can do it so much better?

  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315

    'My point is that at age 18 you've made an overall extremely n'egative net contribution to the treasury if you were born and schooled here, versus if you just moved here. I was wondering if you thought that should be taken into account in your calculations, and if not why not?

    No - because a country owes primary loyalty to its citizens first (including of course kids) - and then permanent residents who have paid in and then foreign nationals who have just arrived. At least that is how it works in 90 per cent of the world. Most kids have parents who will have paid in over a number of years as opposed to parents arriving from the EU who place their kids in school straight away at a cost of £7k a year to the taxpayer without having paid in.

    Post Brexit EU nationals in terms of partner rights will actually have more rights in the UK under the agreed deal as our own citizens as they won't be subject to the £18k limit. Are we the only world nation happy to give its own citizens fewer rights in their own country than foreign nationals?
  • Scott_P said:
    No confidence vote, May survives, deal fails to get through Parliament all odds in, in my view.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.

    Why let Labour destroy the country when the Tories can do it so much better?

    They really are spectacularly rubbish. I didn't think they would get this bad, but wow.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    Whilst true, it's pointless whatifery.

    The Conservatives have fucked themselves up: or more accurately, the Brexiteer loons and their moderate winnet's have.

    And in the process, they're fucking up the country in such a way that, when he gets in, Corbyn can do all sorts of damage and blame it on the Conservatives.

    I feel so sorry for you and the reasonable Conservatives on this board. I do wonder if the Conservative Party will survive this.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,301
    Somehow, I don't think that was a message of support for her...
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I feel so sorry for you and the reasonable Conservatives on this board. I do wonder if the Conservative Party will survive this.
    Of course it will - look we picked a duff leader. It happens. We need a better one.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,469
    Scott_P said:
    This is just laughably pathetic.
  • Leigh is off to form the Research Group of Europe
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.
    Oh yeah I forgot your weird view on how everything would somehow be fine if only we'd done some token intervention in Syria. Or how Cameron failing to persuade parliament and Obama lacking conviction is all Ed's fault
  • Remainer May has failed. Which Brexiteer Prime Minister has failed?

    There be unicorns somewhere. Meanwhile, in the real world Britain is an island off the coast of France. Even Dominic Raab knows that.

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,301

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party....
    By reducing it to a rump of ideologues.
  • I like the way JRM operates. When he's assassinating you he does it precisely, thoroughly and whilst he is looking you square in the eyes.

    Like him or loathe him there's no doubt that he would have led troops over the top in WW1.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    Has the ERG concluded its research into Europe yet ?
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    Nigelb said:

    Somehow, I don't think that was a message of support for her...
    It was - they were clapping McVey's decision to resign and saying well done. But then you would have actually had to watch the debate.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    Your first clear thought of the day. Blame Brown.
    Blame Brown for a decision taken by Tony Blair, who was Prime Minister at the time? In any case, Lisbon had already been downgraded by the EU following referendums elsewhere.
  • Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.
    Oh yeah I forgot your weird view on how everything would somehow be fine if only we'd done some token intervention in Syria. Or how Cameron failing to persuade parliament and Obama lacking conviction is all Ed's fault
    Ed Miliband told David Cameron that he would support him, so Cameron felt no need to whip his own MPs.

    At the last moment Ed Miliband changed his mind, heck even Ed Miliband's Shadow Defence Secretary admitted he should have resigned over Ed Miliband's shitty behaviour.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    Given May got burnt with the GE gamble last year, I suspect she won't gamble by getting allies to submit a letter to force a vote.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900

    I like the way JRM operates. When he's assassinating you he does it precisely, thoroughly and whilst he is looking you square in the eyes.

    Like him or loathe him there's no doubt that he would have led troops over the top in WW1.
    He'd have shot himself in the foot before he even got on the ladder.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    brendan16 said:


    'My point is that at age 18 you've made an overall extremely n'egative net contribution to the treasury if you were born and schooled here, versus if you just moved here. I was wondering if you thought that should be taken into account in your calculations, and if not why not?

    No - because a country owes primary loyalty to its citizens first (including of course kids) - and then permanent residents who have paid in and then foreign nationals who have just arrived. At least that is how it works in 90 per cent of the world. Most kids have parents who will have paid in over a number of years as opposed to parents arriving from the EU who place their kids in school straight away at a cost of £7k a year to the taxpayer without having paid in.

    Post Brexit EU nationals in terms of partner rights will actually have more rights in the UK under the agreed deal as our own citizens as they won't be subject to the £18k limit. Are we the only world nation happy to give its own citizens fewer rights in their own country than foreign nationals?

    Sorry I'm confused, is this about contributions or "loyalty"? Or is one perhaps being used as a paper-thin veil over the other?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    Your first clear thought of the day. Blame Brown.
    Blame Brown for a decision taken by Tony Blair, who was Prime Minister at the time? In any case, Lisbon had already been downgraded by the EU following referendums elsewhere.
    Leave them alone. The old tunes of blaming Brown are giving them some comfort in their darkest moments. Let them sing themselves into a long deep sleep.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    One of the few benefits of opposition.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469

    Scott_P said:
    No confidence vote, May survives, deal fails to get through Parliament all odds in, in my view.
    May stays on, just like Cameron....
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,291
    tlg86 said:

    Given May got burnt with the GE gamble last year, I suspect she won't gamble by getting allies to submit a letter to force a vote.

    I don't think she needs to any more. Despite the ERG split, I suspect 48 will be reached now. I just hope she gets a bite of lunch and a cup of tea before the 1922 committee call her in.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,059
    Scott_P said:

    kle4 said:

    The people voted for brexit which shows, at the time, that's what the people wanted. The motivation of the pm at the time doesn't erase that 52% of the voting populace wanted some kind of exit and that sort of talk tries to imply no one cares. Clearly they dud given how we voted when given the chance.

    Not really.

    They voted to stop immigration.

    They voted for £350m for the NHS

    Brexit solves none of the problems they were concerned about
    Which ballot paper did you see? The only one I saw didn't mention the NHS or immigration. It only mentioned leaving the EU. We can spin conjecture about other causes, but that's all it is.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    One is eternal damnation. the latter could be a huge improvement in the medium to long term with a radical and bold free market goverment.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.
  • Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.

    Why let Labour destroy the country when the Tories can do it so much better?

    They really are spectacularly rubbish. I didn't think they would get this bad, but wow.

    It is genuinely extraordinary. This government is almost surrealy incompetent.

  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.
    Oh yeah I forgot your weird view on how everything would somehow be fine if only we'd done some token intervention in Syria. Or how Cameron failing to persuade parliament and Obama lacking conviction is all Ed's fault
    Ed Miliband told David Cameron that he would support him, so Cameron felt no need to whip his own MPs.

    At the last moment Ed Miliband changed his mind, heck even Ed Miliband's Shadow Defence Secretary admitted he should have resigned over Ed Miliband's shitty behaviour.
    At which point Cameron said "ah, fuck it, never mind then", which Obama echoed. Clearly none of these people put as much importance on intervention as you
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    TGOHF said:

    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    One is eternal damnation. the latter could be a huge improvement in the medium to long term with a radical and bold free market goverment.
    And, we won't get the latter, because the public will turn to Labour.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,690
    (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop
  • The same point keeps being raised and the same answer by May keeps being given.

    She intends to continue her course. She intends to conclude discussions with the EU and then in a couple of weeks come back to the House to be heavily defeated.

    She keeps wittering on about the National Interest. But how can it be in the national interest to carry out this course of action? And if you are the EU team why would you bother wasting any time sealing a deal which they know will not pass?

    This draft deal will not pass. If she seriously intends to continue knowing it will not pass then it is clearly in the national interest that she is removed from office.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,206
    Firstly May is not going anywhere, her opponents lack the numbers and if she wins a No Confidence vote that keeps her in place for a year.

    Second even if she lost it I would suggest Davis a more likely caretaker than Raab given he resigned first over Chequers
  • Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.
    Oh yeah I forgot your weird view on how everything would somehow be fine if only we'd done some token intervention in Syria. Or how Cameron failing to persuade parliament and Obama lacking conviction is all Ed's fault
    Ed Miliband told David Cameron that he would support him, so Cameron felt no need to whip his own MPs.

    At the last moment Ed Miliband changed his mind, heck even Ed Miliband's Shadow Defence Secretary admitted he should have resigned over Ed Miliband's shitty behaviour.
    At which point Cameron said "ah, fuck it, never mind then", which Obama echoed. Clearly none of these people put as much importance on intervention as you
    Dave respected the will of Parliament.

    Typical Labour, never take any responsibility.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861

    Leigh is off to form the Research Group of Europe
    :-)

    May exit this year is now odds on at Betfair! 1.7-1.71.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Amazing
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,206

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.
    Instead you will end up with permanent customs union under PM Corbyn
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,752

    (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Amazing
    It's a spoof account.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900


    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.

    Seems so at the moment. While the DUP and most of the ERG are probably intractable, I wonder how backbench Labour MPs will see things in a week - say after Barnier and co have said "this deal is it", and sterling has dropped 10 cents.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    One of the few benefits of opposition.
    Long may it stay that way....
  • (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Satire
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413
    edited November 2018
    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see no rewards in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    I take it nothing eventful has happened?
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    brendan16 said:



    Post Brexit EU nationals in terms of partner rights will actually have more rights in the UK under the agreed deal as our own citizens as they won't be subject to the £18k limit. Are we the only world nation happy to give its own citizens fewer rights in their own country than foreign nationals?

    One suspects it is preferable to be a foreigner in North Korea
  • (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Fake news
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited November 2018

    (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Amazing
    It's not amazing that @bigjohnowls has fallen for a parody account.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    edited November 2018

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.
    Well if the Gov't was defeated 313 - 328 (I think that's the number with all Tories in favour, everyone else against); markets would have dropped then the 2nd vote got enough Labour rebels for the vote to pass - or Labour owns "No deal"
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    brendan16 said:

    There is nothing in law requiring the PM to be a Member of Parliament - indeed all of them spend election campaigns not as an MP. So why just look to the tired members of the green benches.

    Possible leaders of the National Government
    Nigel Farrage
    Tony Blair
    Alan Sugar
    Howling Laud Hope
    Jane Horrocks (it worked on The Amazing Mrs Pritchard

    Eddie Re(d)mayne
    David Baddiel
    Annie Loof (Swedish centre party leader) and
    Someone from Noddle to work out our credit rating.
    We can't have David. A Baddiel is what we are trying to avoid.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,301
    brendan16 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Somehow, I don't think that was a message of support for her...
    It was - they were clapping McVey's decision to resign and saying well done. But then you would have actually had to watch the debate.
    Apologies - I made the mistake of assuming they knew who she was.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Quite easily.
    Indeed. So that we could revel in today's strong and stable example of government
    A Labour government reliant on the SNP would have destroyed the country.

    Remember the Ed Miliband is such a shit he screwed the world by buggering up the Syria vote for partisan reasons.

    Salmond and Sturgeon would have walked all over him.
    Oh yeah I forgot your weird view on how everything would somehow be fine if only we'd done some token intervention in Syria. Or how Cameron failing to persuade parliament and Obama lacking conviction is all Ed's fault
    Ed Miliband told David Cameron that he would support him, so Cameron felt no need to whip his own MPs.

    At the last moment Ed Miliband changed his mind, heck even Ed Miliband's Shadow Defence Secretary admitted he should have resigned over Ed Miliband's shitty behaviour.
    At which point Cameron said "ah, fuck it, never mind then", which Obama echoed. Clearly none of these people put as much importance on intervention as you
    Dave respected the will of Parliament.

    Typical Labour, never take any responsibility.
    I'm happy for Labour to take credit for doing the right thing. More confused by your position, but I guess when you have so few justifications for voting to enable this shambles, you have to cling to what you've got
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    The ERG are making the same mistake the anti-Treaty IRA made in 1922. They should understand this deal does not get them all that they want, but it does get the single most important thing that they want, an exit from the EU., plus it provides a route for them to get all or most of what they want, just over time.

    Although if Mrs May survives the rest of the week she should probably refrain from taking the ministerial limo on any tours of the backways of deepest Somerset for the forseeable future.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,752
    Andrew said:


    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.

    Seems so at the moment. While the DUP and most of the ERG are probably intractable, I wonder how backbench Labour MPs will see things in a week - say after Barnier and co have said "this deal is it", and sterling has dropped 10 cents.
    It will put huge pressure on Corbyn to back a second referendum.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    (((Dan Hodges)))

    Verified account

    @DPJHodges
    Follow Follow @DPJHodges
    More
    Whatever the concerns in Cabinet, they were not significant enough for anyone to resign. And on an issue of this magnitude, people would have resigned if the differences were fundamental. Wouldn’t they. Wouldn’t they...?

    8:26 PM - 14 Nov 2018


    Dominic Raab MP


    @DominicRabb
    Follow Follow @DominicRabb
    More Dominic Raab MP Retweeted (((Dan Hodges)))
    Dan I literally told you last week I was resigning, you said you couldn't run the story because of the Corbyn coat story, that's the last time I give you a scoop

    Amazing
    It's not amazing that @bigjohnowls has fallen for a parody account.
    :(
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    John McDonnell: “If we can’t get a general election, yes we will keep a People’s Vote on the table”

    Is Jezza out of the loop now?
    Hey I win about 3 grand if he is somehow next PM :p
    It’s a great time to lay Jezza.

    If May loses, it’s a Tory. If she narrowly wins she’ll go next year, and then it’s a Tory.

    Only Jezza with an early GE.
    Unless May withdraws the whip from the ERG group, leaving Corbyn as the leader of the largest party.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    rpjs said:

    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    The ERG are making the same mistake the anti-Treaty IRA made in 1922. They should understand this deal does not get them all that they want, but it does get the single most important thing that they want, an exit from the EU., plus it provides a route for them to get all or most of what they want, just over time.

    Although if Mrs May survives the rest of the week she should probably refrain from taking the ministerial limo on any tours of the backways of deepest Somerset for the forseeable future.
    Deep down, do they even want to leave the EU?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677
    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.
    Well if the Gov't was defeated 313 - 328 (I think that's the number with all Tories in favour, everyone else against); markets would have dropped then the 2nd vote got enough Labour rebels for the vote to pass - or Labour owns "No deal"
    Nah. People blame the government when shit happens. We know this from the ERM, Iraq, the Winter of Discontent, the 3-day week, Suez and the 2008 crash. All complex things, all with many causes, but if you are there when the music stops, you carry the can.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Andrew said:


    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.

    Seems so at the moment. While the DUP and most of the ERG are probably intractable, I wonder how backbench Labour MPs will see things in a week - say after Barnier and co have said "this deal is it", and sterling has dropped 10 cents.
    It will put huge pressure on Corbyn to back a second referendum.
    We're still at the Brexiteer and Remainer ultras' denial and anger stages. Let's see how they feel in a week or two.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,291

    The same point keeps being raised and the same answer by May keeps being given.

    She intends to continue her course. She intends to conclude discussions with the EU and then in a couple of weeks come back to the House to be heavily defeated.

    She keeps wittering on about the National Interest. But how can it be in the national interest to carry out this course of action? And if you are the EU team why would you bother wasting any time sealing a deal which they know will not pass?

    This draft deal will not pass. If she seriously intends to continue knowing it will not pass then it is clearly in the national interest that she is removed from office.

    To do what? To bring another course, another negotiation that has an equal chance of failing? This is the most direct route to the conclusion of all this, everything else just likely loops back to this moment in a few months time, whoever is on the government benches.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Sean_F said:

    rpjs said:

    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    The ERG are making the same mistake the anti-Treaty IRA made in 1922. They should understand this deal does not get them all that they want, but it does get the single most important thing that they want, an exit from the EU., plus it provides a route for them to get all or most of what they want, just over time.

    Although if Mrs May survives the rest of the week she should probably refrain from taking the ministerial limo on any tours of the backways of deepest Somerset for the forseeable future.
    Deep down, do they even want to leave the EU?
    Probably not. That may well have been the biggest reason Brexit has failed.

  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,878
    Pulpstar said:

    Has the ERG concluded its research into Europe yet ?

    Yes. They conclude they don't like it, and can it just jolly well f*ck off.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,044
    Pulpstar said:

    Has the ERG concluded its research into Europe yet ?

    Dominic Raab has just informed them that it isn't far from Dover.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,728
    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I feel so sorry for you and the reasonable Conservatives on this board. I do wonder if the Conservative Party will survive this.
    Of course it will - look we picked a duff leader. It happens. We need a better one.
    It has survived a great many problems over the last couple of centuries. But it may not survive this: it is riven.
  • tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,565

    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see no rewards in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
    After up to 40 years of saying no to everything to do with Europe, they're finding it impossibly uncomfortable to have to switch to support, agreeing and dealing mode. And they look like risking losing everything they thought they'd won.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628

    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see rewarss in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
    But the underlying concern is that it is NEVER finished. May's Hotel California Brexit was not going to be accepted. The negotiators should have made that clear, shuffled their papers and gone home to prepare for No Deal Brexit if the EU wouldn't accept it. Inept negotiation has got us to this point. Under a mandate micro-managed by May.

    I've long said I wanted a deal - and that No Deal would represent the ultimate fuck-up by both sides. A deal that gives no certainty that we can 100% have that departure in our own hands is that ultimate fuck-up. Not recognising it from day one is why May should not be in the job. She has failed everybody, pleased nobody.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677

    Pulpstar said:

    Has the ERG concluded its research into Europe yet ?

    Yes. They conclude they don't like it, and can it just jolly well f*ck off.
    Mogg and Bozza when on the Eton geography field trip to Calais in 1978. The tried to buy bangers and flick knife comb, but they were confiscated. It was that moment that the research was done and policy was set.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,752
    rpjs said:

    Andrew said:


    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.

    Seems so at the moment. While the DUP and most of the ERG are probably intractable, I wonder how backbench Labour MPs will see things in a week - say after Barnier and co have said "this deal is it", and sterling has dropped 10 cents.
    It will put huge pressure on Corbyn to back a second referendum.
    We're still at the Brexiteer and Remainer ultras' denial and anger stages. Let's see how they feel in a week or two.
    Deal or no deal will still be a false choice in a week or two, so focusing on those two options can only drive support for abandoning Brexit altogether.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,301
    From the Guardian cricket report:
    "Dilruwan Perera allowed another 41 to be added whereupon he departed, just before Esther McVey, lbw to Leach...."
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,206

    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see no rewards in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
    If May wins a No Confidence vote she is unstoppable for a year, if she loses the Deal vote she can then call an EU referendum in January or February on Deal No Deal or Remain which would pass the Commons most likely, Remain would probably win and the ERG end up with nothing
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Sean_F said:

    rpjs said:

    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    The ERG are making the same mistake the anti-Treaty IRA made in 1922. They should understand this deal does not get them all that they want, but it does get the single most important thing that they want, an exit from the EU., plus it provides a route for them to get all or most of what they want, just over time.

    Although if Mrs May survives the rest of the week she should probably refrain from taking the ministerial limo on any tours of the backways of deepest Somerset for the forseeable future.
    Deep down, do they even want to leave the EU?
    I have wondered this myself. We need a psychologist to give us the answer.

    I think that’s one profession we don’t have on PB. Think of all the material they’d have to work with...
  • David Davis thought we’d be negotiating Brexit with Berlin.
    Dominic Raab did not know Britain is an island off the coast of France.
    Can you imagine them actually running the country?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413
    tpfkar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see no rewards in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
    After up to 40 years of saying no to everything to do with Europe, they're finding it impossibly uncomfortable to have to switch to support, agreeing and dealing mode. And they look like risking losing everything they thought they'd won.
    If they held their noses and voted yes, they be looking at one of their own replacing May next year and a shot at getting re elected.

    Now theyve voted to hand Labout the next election and to sit in irrlevance for a decade.

    Probably just best to wind up the Tories and get a decent opposition in place
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,677
    It would be fun if after all this they do not get to 48. If I were Brady I would be tempted to say so, just to wind people up.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413
    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_P said:
    I honestly don't know how people like TSE justify voting for Cameron and his referendum over Miliband in 2015.
    Cameron certainly bears the heaviest burden of guilt for the current debacle. May inherited an almost impossible situation; however she took every opportunity to make it worse.
    All of this could have been avoided if Labour had honoured their commitment to hold a referendum on Lisbon.

    If Blair hadn't dicked about the voting system for partisan reasons for European elections UKIP would have never surged.
    I love the way the Tories try to palm this off onto anyone else, Corbyn, Blair, The EU, UKIP, Bobby Davro, H from Steps, Pope Gregory IX, Morph.
    I love the way Labour is a responsibility-free zone.....
    If the Tories had a scintilla of discipline about them, today could have been made very difficult for Corbyn.
    I suspect the ERG have called this badly wrong, The country simply wants the thing finished and signed. I see no rewards in referendum 2 for them and only bigger downsides. They just dont know when to settle.
    If May wins a No Confidence vote she is unstoppable for a year, if she loses the Deal vote she can then call an EU referendum in January or February on Deal No Deal or Remain which would pass the Commons most likely, Remain would probably win and the ERG end up with nothing
    which ever way you look at it the Tories are unmanageable
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    RoyalBlue said:

    Sean_F said:

    rpjs said:

    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    To be fair to most leavers on this board they seem far more capable of compromise than the diehards in the ERG. The happiest leavers on this board are the Labourites who are cock a hoop with the Gov't being in a proper mess.
    The ERG is more Flash and Thompson rather than Mortimer and Royale.
    Agreed. I don't like Remain, and I don't like a car crash Brexit. But, it looks as if we'll get one of them.
    The ERG are making the same mistake the anti-Treaty IRA made in 1922. They should understand this deal does not get them all that they want, but it does get the single most important thing that they want, an exit from the EU., plus it provides a route for them to get all or most of what they want, just over time.

    Although if Mrs May survives the rest of the week she should probably refrain from taking the ministerial limo on any tours of the backways of deepest Somerset for the forseeable future.
    Deep down, do they even want to leave the EU?
    I have wondered this myself. We need a psychologist to give us the answer.

    I think that’s one profession we don’t have on PB. Think of all the material they’d have to work with...
    "There's enough material there for an entire conference."
  • Well, I've carefully evaluated the probabilities of all the possible outcomes, and I can confirm that they are all impossible.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    edited November 2018
    Jonathan said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Well, this is fun, isn’t it?

    Remember when you said only a Leave win would finally unite the Tory party.
    The Leave win was usurped by Remainer May who seeks to thwart us leaving in practice and not in name only.

    A real Leave would eventually finally unite the Tory party. But a real Leave isn't what May has sought.
    Leavers like Royal Blue and Mortimer support this deal, it is the headbangers who ruining this.

    As I predicted they would.
    With the DUP pissed off, there is no deal - Tory headbangers or no. Not one Labour MP put their hand up to say they would support it. That is a stone dead deal.
    Well if the Gov't was defeated 313 - 328 (I think that's the number with all Tories in favour, everyone else against); markets would have dropped then the 2nd vote got enough Labour rebels for the vote to pass - or Labour owns "No deal"
    Nah. People blame the government when shit happens. We know this from the ERM, Iraq, the Winter of Discontent, the 3-day week, Suez and the 2008 crash. All complex things, all with many causes, but if you are there when the music stops, you carry the can.
    The difference is, in none of those cases were the governing party following the instructions of the voters. Brexit is what they were told to do it.

    Where they will get rightly punished is in doing it as if they didn't want ot have to do as they were instructed. That is what has come through crystal clear.

    May knew what was required of her when she threw her hat in the ring. A never-ending, never quite out, do as the EU tells you in the meantime is a fundamental failure to follow instructions. Even if she thought she was doing her best for her country, who she felt had been stupid in giving her that instruction in the first place.

    Not. The. Person. Needed.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    Most PBers seem to think May will/would win a VONC. Betfair disagrees.

    Tory MPs may conclude that May's determination to stick with a deal that many of them don't like and most of them believe can't get through parliament, means that they need a new leader to have a go?
This discussion has been closed.