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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister,

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    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,061
    Yes... Angus gone.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,338
    Floater said:

    Danzuk loses

    Yay!
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,204
    edited June 2017

    The right wing press has been proved impotent. It is emasculated. That is huge. May followed the Mail and the Sun. A mistake.

    True enough.

    It may well be, worth nothing, that the Tories will still be the single most popular party in the UK, after all this.

    That's not certain, and they've gone backwards, but I trust the rhetoric will reflect that.

    If it isn't PM Corbyn that is.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,971
    wooooooo
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    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    Tara Angus Robertson
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    DruttDrutt Posts: 1,093
    Angus Robertson gone!

    K L A X O N S
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Labour got 32k votes in Tynemouth omg.

    26k in Stockton south.

    this what they call a wave, Jezzas anti-austerity campaign has been vindicated.
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819

    James Wharton gone. Stockton south gain

    I'm literally sobbing. Can't believe we did this.
    Well done comrade!
    Well done indeed. I was sceptical of Corbyn. I bought into the unelectable narrative. I was wrong. He has played a blinder despite all expectations.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,971
    woooooooooooooooooooooo
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    spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,313
    Tories take Moray! YAY!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,038
    HYUFD said:

    Moray Conservative gain

    Angus Robertson OUT

    YES! OMG
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291
    Moray - Con gain from SNP.

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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    Tories gain Ochil!
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    I must say I'm enjoying this enormously.

    +1

    The squealing from the Europhobes is delicious.

    They should have been trying to persuade me.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    The right wing press has been proved impotent. It is emasculated. That is huge. May followed the Mail and the Sun. A mistake.

    It's a great thing for Britain.

    Paul Dacre right now :lol:
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,948
    Toby Young on ITV
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Pulpstar said:

    Wimbledon under pressure

    Lab or LD?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Ruschliffe

    Conservative hold
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Has TWAT Salmond gone yet?
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Heywood & Middleton: Lab 53.3 Con 38 UKIP 6.5
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    SeanT said:

    Tories accept no majority. TMay resigns. Boris or Rudd (if she wins) or Hammond. Or Davis. Or .. fuck knows.

    By Election in Thanet South, Farage stands as a Tory, wins and is PM!
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories gain Moray.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,038

    KLAXON


    (sorry :D )
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Con gain moray
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour hold Wirral west massive hold
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    We are the voices of general election winning policies.

    We are the voices of lower taxation.

    We are the voices of social liberalism.
    One small silver lining, might we get our party back a little....to coin a phrase.
    Hopefully.

    I'm going flail the PBers/Tories that denied the awesomeness of Dave and George.
    Dave and George DID THIS. If Cameron had just multiplied by 2 the effort he put in to securing a sellable Remain case, he would still have looked pathetically lazy, but Remain would have got over the line. Awesome my arse.
    Isn't it about time you got over your bitterness about the terrible Remain campaign? It's ancient history now.
    Yes on the whole, but when I see the prize c*cksuckers who were the architects of the whole disaster being praised to the skies by Remainer couch potatoes, tetchiness ensues.

    But as you suggest, plenty of more recent stuff to be embittered about atm.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,267

    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.

    "Hey! Let's leave the Single Market and take your house from you! Vote for me, Mr Remainer with a 4-bed!" - T.May, April 2016
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Angus Robertson gone! Tragic.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    SeanT said:

    I now see a 2nd referendum as quite likely.

    It's all but inevitable I think. Can't govern without some sort of plan, and can't ignore the referendum. So ask again.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,607
    dr_spyn said:

    Moray - Con gain from SNP.

    Goodbye Angus Robertson.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,971
    Wow, they know how to do swing voting in Scotland.

    Good people; so chuffed for them.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,204
    I love you SCON.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Scotland really is a different country - lucky for tories

    PS Robertson gone
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,679
    Con gain Moray!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,912
    OH MY GOD. MORAY IS CON. ROBERTSON IS OUT. FUCKIN AYE.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Wycombe Conservative hold
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    OliverOliver Posts: 33
    Best thing about the ITV coverage is the saltiness of Tom Bradby and Allegra Stratton with each Labour success.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    This really is Brexit, trump.

    And no I don't regret my LEAVE vote, unlike remoaners I actually respect the result when it goes against my way.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    In order to make up for my slagging off of YouGov, I must get them a Christmas present.
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    Clown_Car_HQClown_Car_HQ Posts: 169
    May and Sturgeon have both misread the mood.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,442
    edited June 2017
    I know I said UNS would be useless for this election, but I didn't quite think it would be like this!!!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    14% SNP to Tory swing in Moray
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Heywood & Middleton: Lab 53.3 Con 38 UKIP 6.5

    Tory share up nearly 20%.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    Tories gain Ochil!

    The Ochil Hills are sublime, a little-known gem. If only I had the time to go back there.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    nunu said:

    This really is Brexit, trump.

    And no I don't regret my LEAVE vote, unlike remoaners I actually respect the result when it goes against my way.

    Well said sir
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    SeanT said:

    Tories accept no majority. TMay resigns. Boris or Rudd (if she wins) or Hammond. Or Davis. Or .. fuck knows.

    By Election in Thanet South, Farage stands as a Tory, wins and is PM!
    Farage is history. Lab takes Thanet South.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Western Isles SNP hold.
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    Roger said:

    Scott_P said:

    @isaby: Sorry to see long-standing Brexiteer David Nuttall lose Bury North, despite the lack of a UKIP candidate this time

    Brexit is fucked.

    Hallelujah!
    No. It's terrible for the UK. Some of us don't have foreign boltholes to escape to. :(

    A lesson from this: ignore people who are abroad, or can escape abroad. They are insulated from their decisions.

    Real people are not.
    If Corbyn gets in I will be escaping abroad. I don't have a bolthole, but I'll soon sort one out. Let's see how his policies pan out without the economic value add and tax take from people like me. KABOOM!
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,607
    Its almost disappointing that there is a recount in Perth. Why is it that close?
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,505

    James Wharton gone. Stockton south gain

    I'm literally sobbing. Can't believe we did this.
    Well done comrade!
    Having co-written the leaflets and key campaign messages I'm still in shock that we did it. A brilliant candidate with a clear message vs a Tory MP who literally didn't turn up to campaign having told us at the start hat he didn't need to bother
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,878
    Mortimer said:

    Con take MORAY!!!!!!!


    WOOOOOOOOOOO

    Great news.
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    madasafishmadasafish Posts: 659
    Chameleon said:

    alex. said:

    Is there any chance that Boris loses?

    No. The tories have two options, Ruth or Boris. Ruth is still in Scotland. No one else has enough profile yet.
    Considering that Ruth isn't a real option, the party is fucked. If Boris is leader, Corbyn is PM.
    Agree.

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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    Angus out, bloody hell. Bloodbath for SNP against all parties. Bloodbath for Tories against Labour. WTF is going on with this election.

    Sturgeon has to go. Alex Salmond about to be job searching.
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    TypoTypo Posts: 195
    I have money on Tories above 9.5 seats at 12-1

    Hoping to recoup my.folly bets on the likes of Hemsworth and Blyth Valley :D
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,330

    Con gain Moray!

    WooHoo!
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Y0kel said:

    Just as a note. Sinn Fein look like they will wipe out the SDLP, with 2 seats directly. If they stay out of Westminster then its two less to get a mathematical majority. It could be three less by end of night.

    Come on Sinn Fein. (oh gawd I sound like Jezza!).
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,204
    AndyJS said:

    Heywood & Middleton: Lab 53.3 Con 38 UKIP 6.5

    Tory share up nearly 20%.
    To no effect!
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    DavidL said:

    Its almost disappointing that there is a recount in Perth. Why is it that close?

    36
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    DruttDrutt Posts: 1,093

    Con gain Moray!

    Parliamentary and constitutional types - what is the route for Ruth to be PM?
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    kle4 said:

    I love you SCON.

    Ruth Davidson is here to save us!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,912
    Over a 4k majority for Con in Moray. Not even close.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab to take Cardiff North and Gower
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Wellingborough Conservative hold
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    SNP could go sub 30
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    FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    where's MalcolmG?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Tamworth Conservative hold
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    kle4 said:

    The right wing press has been proved impotent. It is emasculated. That is huge. May followed the Mail and the Sun. A mistake.

    True enough.

    It may well be, worth nothing, that the Tories will still be the single most popular party in the UK, after all this.

    That's not certain, and they've gone backwards, but I trust the rhetoric will reflect that.

    If it isn't PM Corbyn that is.
    In fairness, they have gone forwards in votes haven't they?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Rhondda Labour hold
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,038
    EDW20000 said:

    SNP could go sub 30

    titters
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    AndyJS said:

    Heywood & Middleton: Lab 53.3 Con 38 UKIP 6.5

    Tory share up nearly 20%.
    More useless votes.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Tasmina gone
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    Kellner says Scottish independence is dead.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,204

    Lab to take Cardiff North and Gower

    Not a surprise on this night.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,056
    HYUFD said:

    Rhondda Labour hold

    Boom
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    It's all over. Labour hold Bootle
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    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    edited June 2017
    SeanT said:

    I must say I'm enjoying this enormously.

    Me too.

    Bizarrely.
    It's a bit like Trump, awful but highly entertaining. Clinton short of being indicted for the email stuff would have been boring.
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    chloechloe Posts: 308

    kle4 said:

    I love you SCON.

    Ruth Davidson is here to save us!
    Ruth!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    SNP may lose Glasgow NE to Labour
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,858

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819

    The right wing press has been proved impotent. It is emasculated. That is huge. May followed the Mail and the Sun. A mistake.

    It's a great thing for Britain.

    Paul Dacre right now :lol:
    Yes, that is one of the great take homes from this, whatever the final result. Proof that it is not the Sun 'wot' wins it
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,191
    Yes, Angus Robertson gone. One good point on a bad night!
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    ab195ab195 Posts: 477
    "And it's down Along [Downing Street], that's where I long to be,
    Lying in the dark with a Provo company,
    A comrade on my left and another on my right
    And a clip of ammunition for my little Armalite".
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Lab gain Glasgow me

    Every seat in Glasgow is on table
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    isam said:

    SeanT said:

    Tories accept no majority. TMay resigns. Boris or Rudd (if she wins) or Hammond. Or Davis. Or .. fuck knows.

    By Election in Thanet South, Farage stands as a Tory, wins and is PM!
    Farage is history. Lab takes Thanet South.
    LOL, watch he's going to be UKIP leader (again) in a minute.
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    sarissasarissa Posts: 1,810

    The SNP are getting completely blitzed.

    Yes but they are getting MPs elected got 8 so far.
    Unionist surge going to the wrong candidates.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Drutt said:

    Con gain Moray!

    Parliamentary and constitutional types - what is the route for Ruth to be PM?
    Scotland invade England?
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Phew Pendle and Amber Valley - still points to CON largest party-
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited June 2017

    MaxPB said:

    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.

    Single worst policy I've ever seen announced. I and others called it on the night and we got told to shut up by Mrs May's cheerleaders. I hope they are happy now.
    +1. Did they trial it anywhere conservative voters gather?
    An idea that should have been focus grouped to death. And I mean, to death.

    Besides which, cleverer brains had invested far more effort investigating social care policy options before.

    It seems to have been a proposal half-baked in terms of practical efficiency (at the very least, why not go in for another expert consultation?) and not baked at all in terms of electoral palatability. Complete back-of-a-fag-packet stuff.

    Ironically, I presume it only made the manifesto because they expected to win a big majority and hoped to forestall trouble later down the line getting a tricky policy area through the Commons...
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,884
    SNP losing two Glasgow seats would be shocking
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Huntingdon Tory hold
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,267
    EDW20000 said:

    kle4 said:

    EDW20000 said:

    2nd Brexit ref' this summer

    Could they wait a bit? Our head of elections was supposed to retire in May.
    Dont see any other possibility. There will be another referendum, John Major foresaw all of this
    The Force was strong with him.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,912

    James Wharton gone. Stockton south gain

    I'm literally sobbing. Can't believe we did this.
    Well done comrade!
    Having co-written the leaflets and key campaign messages I'm still in shock that we did it. A brilliant candidate with a clear message vs a Tory MP who literally didn't turn up to campaign having told us at the start hat he didn't need to bother
    Congratulations, I hope that you enjoy the rest of the night.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold Amber Valley
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Bootle Labour hold
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Why do Sky make such a big thing of Ken Clarke - horrid man
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Swing to the Tories in Grimsby.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,346
    Grimsby Labour hold
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,878
    HYUFD said:

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    We are the voices of general election winning policies.

    We are the voices of lower taxation.

    We are the voices of social liberalism.
    One small silver lining, might we get our party back a little....to coin a phrase.
    Hopefully.

    I'm going flail the PBers/Tories that denied the awesomeness of Dave and George.
    If George Osborne had managed to balance the books as he promised by 2015 we would not have had 2 extra years of austerity which Corbyn has clearly mobilised leftwing voters against tonight (including some who voted UKIP in 2015)
    That's where my thinking is taking me.

    It would have been better to cut deeper, faster and quicker and get it over with. People can't take the prospect of 'the pain' never ending.

    Of course, that would have made it far harder for Dave to win against Ed Miliband in GE2015.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,607
    Tories didn't even win Bootle. Not their night.
This discussion has been closed.