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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister,

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  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Recount Canterbury
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    LOL Recount at Canterbury
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,289
    kle4 said:

    I feel very Sean T like in mood right now. I've never been so rocked to my core as tonight, and I don't much like it, I am placid and that's the way I prefer it.

    Should'a voted LibDem...
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    Surely John Curtice is due a knighthood?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    'Crisis of legitimacy' being chucked around on ITV regarding both sides.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Recount in Canterbury according to Adam Boulton!
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Canterbury RECOUNT!!!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,348

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    We are the voices of general election winning policies.

    We are the voices of lower taxation.

    We are the voices of social liberalism.
    Indeed, but unfortunately we lost the referendum
    But Parliament is sovereign which is what the Brexiteers said the referendum was about, not immigration.

    So if Parliament decides to keep us in the EU, or the single market or the customs union, hurrah for a sovereign Parliament.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    Never seen them together in the same room. One works the other by Bluetooth.

  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    HYUFD said:

    Vale of Glamorgan
    Conservative hold

    Good result in tonight's shitty-stick context
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759

    Labour GAIN Stroud.

    woohoo!
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour got 32k votes in Tynemouth omg.

    26k in Stockton south.
  • Clown_Car_HQClown_Car_HQ Posts: 169
    Recount in Canterbury.
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    "Their fourth gain of the night. Labour have yet to lose a seat." I'm still in a daze.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,144
    Ave_it said:

    LOL Recount at Canterbury

    As it was foretold. LOL.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449

    Recount in Canterbury

    Hahahaha....egg on the face of all those who mocked YouGov showing it close there
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,348
    Recount in Canterbury
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No, I still want to be an independent self-governing country. No federalist nonsense.
    We can't blame ourselves for May's ridiculous social care shambles.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951
    MaxPB said:

    Careless to lose Battersea

    We're losing because of hard Brexit in London and house confiscation in middle England. Theresa May is the worst Tory leader I've ever seen, worse even than IDS.
    The narrative changed the day the word 'dementia tax' entered the popular mindset. The moment people realised the Tories were coming for what was theirs.

    Of course Labour are coming for it too, and more...
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,924
    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,635
    Does this result mean we can get rid of Trident ?

    I'd be in favour of that.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,853

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    Aren't you enjoying the sovereignty and global trade opportunities?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Ave_it said:

    LOL Recount at Canterbury

    Bloody hell. Yougov really seems to have got things right...
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    MikeL said:

    Con Maj is 5.1

    Surely not?

    Not. I'm just clinging to Con most seats. Damn, it's too close for comfort.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    Recount in Canterbury.

    Shit the bed.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    After 91 results, the swing is 1.0% from Con to Lab.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,949
    Ishmael_Z said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    My Lib Dem friend in Sheffield Hallam says Clegg's a gonner.

    Odd UKIP to Lab swing!

    Our campaign completely failed to drag Labour into the same Hard Brexit box as us. Labour became an easy choice for remain voters and even soft Brexit UKIP/Tory Leavers voters.

    The campaign was just horrible.
    This is all the fault of Brexiters. It was totally avoidable.

    Still, at least you're away from it all, eh?
    Not really, it was May and her team who ran this shit campaign and who came out with these shit policies, but also who backed hard Brexit to win UKIP votes while others said go for centrist Brexit to win votes in the centre. She and her team take the blame for this failure.
    LOL. What a poor attempt to absolve yourself.

    You are insulated from this, and you've already pissed off. Some of us are not as lucky.

    One thing we've learnt from all this is that some 'Conservative's are not 'conservative'.
    "All the fault of the brexiters" is contemptible blame-shifting. The referendum was Remain's to lose, and Remain lost it. I was a lukewarm remainer, because the merits of the case were not as clear to me than as now, but a remainer. I didn't campaign or subscribe to a campaign, and I regret that. But the more self righteous and blowhardish you get against Leave, the more you invite the question why you did nothing to secure a remain vote, but sat and waited for it to fall into your lap.
    No. Leave campaigned on several different end-results (a 'lie' as I called it). Now they're reaping the consequences. I was a swing voter, and the hardcore Europhobes chose to insult rather than persuade.

    At the end of the 2015GE I was considering joining either the Lib Dems or the Conservatives. In the last year there's been only one choice.

    Sadly.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    rcs1000 said:

    Is Farage pissed?

    I'm not exactly happy
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546

    Labour GAIN Stroud.

    Another 5k majority for the Tories lost.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    If Boris lost his seat it'd be amazing.
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Pickle sounds broken
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    60% for Rupa, what the heck
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Will Boris hold his seat?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamieRoss7: An SNP source says the Tories will take Banff and Buchan. A 14,000 majority in 2015.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,408
    Can't believe I am agreeing so much with George Osborne.

    Whose coverage are you all finding the best?
    ITV seem to be holding my attention the most...
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    There is now a real chance that Labour will have most seats but behind on votes.

    FPP being absolutely gamed by the millennials who were being traduced all week for being lazy and feckless on here.

  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    Ealing
    Central
    and
    Acton
    majority
    13,800
    13,800
    13,800
    13,800
    13,800
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    Rupa Huq! ECA no longer a marginal!
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    We are the voices of general election winning policies.

    We are the voices of lower taxation.

    We are the voices of social liberalism.
    One small silver lining, might we get our party back a little....to coin a phrase.
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No, do you?
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I'm looking forward to @Alanbrooke's take.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,736

    Tories don't win more than 10 seats in Scotland. And she's already lost how many seats? There is ZERO chance of an overall majority. Lay hard.

    Con have only lost 3 seats so far.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,366
    Pulpstar said:

    Does this result mean we can get rid of Trident ?

    I'd be in favour of that.

    Nope, cold, dead hands and all that.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    Yes. Let us hope the country is strong enough to get through that mistake.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Is there any chance that Boris loses?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,924
    Pulpstar said:

    Does this result mean we can get rid of Trident ?

    I'd be in favour of that.

    Agreed.

    Plus HS2 and Hinckley C.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.

    Bad omens for Oxfordshire. Witney in particular...
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,439

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No. I was given the choice and voted what I truly believed.

    Everything has followed has done so because of the ineptitude of Con politicians.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BraidenHT: Labour's Callum McNally congratulating Jo Swinson as she arrives in Bishopbriggs for the East Dunbartonshire count. #GE17
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,984
    Stockton Lab gain - looks as though ALL the UKIP votes went to Labour, and none the Tories.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    Bury North - Lab win.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour gain Bury North
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    oh fuck Bury North
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,384
    Lab gain BURY
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,318

    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.

    Single worst policy I've ever seen announced. I and others called it on the night and we got told to shut up by Mrs May's cheerleaders. I hope they are happy now.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour gain bury north. 4k majority
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546

    Recount in Canterbury

    That's was an 8k majority for the Tories....
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,348
    Lab gain Bury North
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 758
    What I've learned from sitting here during electoral events is whatever everyone thinks is going to happen, isn't.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    edited June 2017

    There is now a real chance that Labour will have most seats but behind on votes.

    FPP being absolutely gamed by the millennials who were being traduced all week for being lazy and feckless on here.

    For historically being so (which is fact). Good on them for not being so this time.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,366
    DavidL said:

    Paisley and Renfrewshire another Unionist split vote with SNP through the middle. Irritating. Good result for Tories but bah.

    Something else to blame on Jezza.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamieRoss7: Labour will take Glasgow North East.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    Yes, but more because of the developments after it, rather than the decision itself.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Kirsty Wark talking about slender majority because of Scotland.

    I'd be very careful with backing NOM....
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,318

    Lab gain Bury North

    God we're fucked aren't we.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,683
    Kirsty Wark now saying it may be new Tory MPs in Scotland give Tories a slender majority overall
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    GIN1138 said:

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No. I was given the choice and voted what I truly believed.

    Everything has followed has done so because of the ineptitude of Con politicians.
    Yep
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,949
    MaxPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @SamCoatesTimes: George Osborne: "Is there a majority in the Commons for leaving the single market? I don't think so." Wow

    Sensible gent.
    I don't think there is a majority for leaving the single market in the country. That's become clear tonight.
    Because the leave campaigns - supported by you - who has since pissed off abroad - did not give a coherent argument. You gathered the disreputables in your arms.

    The ends justified the means.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,216

    I'm looking forward to @Alanbrooke's take.

    He's going to be almost unbearable if his bet with MalcolmG comes off. Mind you it will be worth it.
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No! The quad liquidated!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Watson is laughing at the result...."I went to Bury....but in Bury South..."
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,348

    Listening to George Osborne talking on TV is exactly like reading TSE on here.

    Uncanny.

    We are the voices of general election winning policies.

    We are the voices of lower taxation.

    We are the voices of social liberalism.
    One small silver lining, might we get our party back a little....to coin a phrase.
    Hopefully.

    I'm going flail the PBers/Tories that denied the awesomeness of Dave and George.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    I was saying con maj 90-100 as a bit of expectations management a mere five hours ago. This is the first time in my life I have seriously thought I might be about to wake up from a bad dream. Just fuck it.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Just as a note. Sinn Fein look like they will wipe out the SDLP, with 2 seats directly. If they stay out of Westminster then its two less to get a mathematical majority. It could be three less by end of night.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    Chameleon said:

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    Yes, but more because of the developments after it, rather than the decision itself.

    What is the difference....???
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,318
    MikeL said:

    Tories don't win more than 10 seats in Scotland. And she's already lost how many seats? There is ZERO chance of an overall majority. Lay hard.

    Con have only lost 3 seats so far.
    5 now.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270
    rkrkrk said:

    Can't believe I am agreeing so much with George Osborne.

    Whose coverage are you all finding the best?
    ITV seem to be holding my attention the most...

    ITV, Osborne is so sharp and spot on.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    In the south-west it looks like the Tory vote is up by more than Labour in most seats declared so far. It'll be different in Bristol of course.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,949
    MaxPB said:

    Lab gain Bury North

    God we're fucked aren't we.
    Yes. And thanks to *you*.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Jezza looks happy - cant begrudge him that
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,127

    James Wharton gone. Stockton south gain

    I'm literally sobbing. Can't believe we did this.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    When was the last piece of non scottish good news for the Tories? Genuine good news, not increasing majority in a safe seat or barely holding a 10000 majority seat?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546
    edited June 2017
    HYUFD said:

    Kirsty Wark now saying it may be new Tory MPs in Scotland give Tories a slender majority overall

    I can't see how they get a majority. What we know about GE, the all important swing....The swing is Tory -> Labour.

    The way things are going be lucky to be largest party.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,894
    kle4 said:

    When was the last piece of non scottish good news for the Tories? Genuine good news, not increasing majority in a safe seat or barely holding a 10000 majority seat?

    angus
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    HYUFD said:

    Kirsty Wark now saying it may be new Tory MPs in Scotland give Tories a slender majority overall

    Nah, Tories are moving backwards too quickly in London & Wales to be balanced out by SCon.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253

    Recount in Canterbury.

    Shit the bed.
    Yeah. Every time I make a political prediction, it's proved to be wrong.

    It's starting to make me look a bit of a prat.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No, this needs to happen tbh.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    alex. said:

    Is there any chance that Boris loses?

    No. The tories have two options, Ruth or Boris. Ruth is still in Scotland. No one else has enough profile yet.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,984
    Shame about Jane Ellison getting crushed by the London tsunami- another loss on the left of the party.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @isaby: Sorry to see long-standing Brexiteer David Nuttall lose Bury North, despite the lack of a UKIP candidate this time

    Brexit is fucked.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    MaxPB said:

    Lab gain Bury North

    God we're fucked aren't we.
    Yes. And thanks to *you*.
    He called the election did he?

    You need to step away from keyboard for 10 mins
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    kle4 said:

    When was the last piece of non scottish good news for the Tories? Genuine good news, not increasing majority in a safe seat or barely holding a 10000 majority seat?

    None so far.
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Brexit - empty chair
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,384

    James Wharton gone. Stockton south gain

    I'm literally sobbing. Can't believe we did this.
    Well done comrade!
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951
    Floater said:

    Jezza looks happy - cant begrudge him that

    Jezza looks like a man who knows he's going to be PM in the morning.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Ishmael_Z said:

    I was saying con maj 90-100 as a bit of expectations management a mere five hours ago. This is the first time in my life I have seriously thought I might be about to wake up from a bad dream. Just fuck it.

    That's exactly how we felt on June 24.
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    MaxPB said:

    The Conservatives are going down the shitter in places with expensive houses.

    Single worst policy I've ever seen announced. I and others called it on the night and we got told to shut up by Mrs May's cheerleaders. I hope they are happy now.
    +1. Did they trial it anywhere conservative voters gather?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    tyson said:

    Chameleon said:

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    Yes, but more because of the developments after it, rather than the decision itself.

    What is the difference....???
    There was a chance (some would say very high, others less so) of the former happening because of the latter, but not a certainty.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    MaxPB said:

    MikeL said:

    Tories don't win more than 10 seats in Scotland. And she's already lost how many seats? There is ZERO chance of an overall majority. Lay hard.

    Con have only lost 3 seats so far.
    5 now.
    No way they get a majority now, even with 12 seats potentially in Scotland
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253

    Anyone else deeply deeply regret voting for Brexit?!

    No. May has fucked it up.
This discussion has been closed.