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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Your essential Thursday evening companion. AndyJS’s general el

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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,457
    Russia: fuck off.

    That's all.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    GIN1138 said:

    JohnO said:

    JohnO said:

    I'd like to reapply for the bedwetters club, please.

    Application refused.
    Still confident Mr O ?
    Of course.
    The JohnO Is Not For Turning!
    Implacable.
    Any more jaunts to SW London?
    Three hours delivering in deepest Tolworth earlier but knocking up (in the best possible taste) tomorrow afternoon.
    I am told Labour numbers are going up. Bad news for Davey.
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,660
    kyf_100 said:

    JackW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I'm moving to Los Angeles

    Are you making a pitch for PB - The Movie .... using old stars of the silver screen reanimated in CGI - Starring :

    Yul Bryner as Mike Smithson
    Bet Davis as Peter the Punter
    Charles Hawtrey as Robert Smithson
    Sid James as SeanT
    David Niven as JohnO
    Sean Connery as JackW
    is there a message in you choosing the only person alive?
    I always imagined that SeanT based his persona on Oliver Reed.
    Bill Nighy. He always plays someone who cops off with younger women.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,760

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    so not the dirtiest campaign ever ?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    Was it down to letters from a well known political website owner?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,869
    There's a special place in hell reserved for poll rampers.
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    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,662

    I've emailed David Herdson to check that it was him that posted that comment because I have my doubts based on the IP address used.

    If it's someone else and they also post on here - the culprit deserves permanent banishment to conhome and to spend the rest of eternity wearing richard burgon's soiled underwear on their head.
    I'd vote for a party who advocated that sort of justice!
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323

    IanB2 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    nichomar said:

    kyf_100 said:

    nichomar said:


    You don't need to hold right wing views to think Corbyn is crap. I'm left of centre but dare not put my criticism of Corbyn on fb to my family, I told them during both leader elections they were robbing decent needy people of representation and hope but to them a socialist labour party was more important than winning. Oddly enough I don't actually they will have knocked on 20 doors between them and went to music festivals at the weekend.

    feel intimidated by them. I hate to think how much some of the abuse I see online would scare my gran. It really is a stain on politics, and on decent left wing people such as yourself and my activist friends, who've been active in their local Labour party for years.
    Well I'm actually a left leaning lib dem who could vote for a sensible labour party in the right seat but my two brothers always told me I was middle aged middle class and boring. Whilst it hurts me to admit this most Tories I encountered in local government as with other parties understood the concept of public service even if I disagreed with them. The current labour breed have missed this as I think all that local shit is irrelevant. It's a crying shame to see hard working labour mps vilified by momentum types and not recognizing what they actually achieve for their constituents.
    Out of interest - and because I know a fair few Blairites but only one Lib Dem, and he only joined last year because of Brexit - could you put a cigarette paper between being a Blairite and a left-leaning Lib Dem right now?

    I have suggested to one or two of the Blairite Labour people I know that they might be happier voting Lib Dem but the tribalism runs deep - in retrospect I should have seen that coming rather than predicting vast swathes of centrist Labour voters would turn Lib Dem at this election.
    Centralisation, control and target-setting versus decentralisation and localism is the principle philosophical difference.
    I would agree with that, but it is to a degree why Corbyn apppeals to Lib Dems. He also believes in local accountability. At the heart of his criticisms of anti terrorist and police powers historically is the lack of democratic and judicial accountability. He sees how such excessive powers can become instruments of state oppression.

    Yes, but like all left-wingers, once in power his principle driving force will (would) be how to control everything.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    JackW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I'm moving to Los Angeles

    Are you making a pitch for PB - The Movie .... using old stars of the silver screen reanimated in CGI - Starring :

    Yul Bryner as Mike Smithson
    Bet Davis as Peter the Punter
    Charles Hawtrey as Robert Smithson
    Sid James as SeanT
    David Niven as JohnO
    Sean Connery as JackW
    Some people might find the casting a bit biased.
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    RhubarbRhubarb Posts: 359
    edited June 2017

    Russia: fuck off.

    That's all.

    What have they done now?
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    ab195ab195 Posts: 477
    A thought, albeit a depressing one. We know there was an attempt to interfere with the US and French elections via online means, and yet there's been nothing here. Why not? Better security? Obvious result so no point? Or has something been done that we haven't seen yet?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,536
    Is this a good time to mention that I backed the Lib Dems to win Vauxhall at 10/1
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    DougieDougie Posts: 57
    edited June 2017
    Pro bono publico, no bloody panico.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,457
    To be honest, there will be a lot of ramping of particular seats tonight to drive up turnout.

    That doesn't mean one party is very confident, but it probably means it is *relatively* close.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323
    A tad worrying for our rcs...
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,194
    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    surbiton said:

    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    GIN1138 said:

    JohnO said:

    JohnO said:

    I'd like to reapply for the bedwetters club, please.

    Application refused.
    Still confident Mr O ?
    Of course.
    The JohnO Is Not For Turning!
    Implacable.
    Any more jaunts to SW London?
    Three hours delivering in deepest Tolworth earlier but knocking up (in the best possible taste) tomorrow afternoon.
    I am told Labour numbers are going up. Bad news for Davey.
    Masses of LibDem posters (none for James Berry) BUT I don't know whether they are fewer than in 2015.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Ahh St Albans, at every election since the Romans it's been about to fall to the LDs.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,488
    Scott_P said:
    And the award for most foreseeable endorsement goes to...
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    Scott_P said:
    They play to a group of people that do not care about anything else but winning independence, as such changing their tack every other day doesn't matter to them. That and their readership is somewhere south of 8k.
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621

    I've emailed David Herdson to check that it was him that posted that comment because I have my doubts based on the IP address used.

    Thank Thor for that. It means I can put the rubber pants back away.

    Must admit I didn't think the Kremlin would be hacking PB, despite its central important to UK democracy.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,960

    kyf_100 said:

    JackW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I'm moving to Los Angeles

    Are you making a pitch for PB - The Movie .... using old stars of the silver screen reanimated in CGI - Starring :

    Yul Bryner as Mike Smithson
    Bet Davis as Peter the Punter
    Charles Hawtrey as Robert Smithson
    Sid James as SeanT
    David Niven as JohnO
    Sean Connery as JackW
    is there a message in you choosing the only person alive?
    I always imagined that SeanT based his persona on Oliver Reed.
    Bill Nighy. He always plays someone who cops off with younger women.
    I always imagine SeanT to speak like Martin Amis
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323
    glw said:

    JackW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I'm moving to Los Angeles

    Are you making a pitch for PB - The Movie .... using old stars of the silver screen reanimated in CGI - Starring :

    Yul Bryner as Mike Smithson
    Bet Davis as Peter the Punter
    Charles Hawtrey as Robert Smithson
    Sid James as SeanT
    David Niven as JohnO
    Sean Connery as JackW
    Some people might find the casting a bit biased.
    Clive Dunn, not Sid James, surely?
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,134
    Chameleon said:

    If May emerges on Friday without a majority, just how badly will she go down in the all time rankings of Con leaders?

    Let's just say, in a small village in Wilstshire, Sir Anthony Eden is willing her to fail.....

    "At last - somebody worse than me!!"
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    GIN1138 said:

    JohnO said:

    JohnO said:

    I'd like to reapply for the bedwetters club, please.

    Application refused.
    Still confident Mr O ?
    Of course.
    The JohnO Is Not For Turning!
    Implacable.
    Any more jaunts to SW London?
    Three hours delivering in deepest Tolworth earlier but knocking up (in the best possible taste) tomorrow afternoon.
    I recall chatting to a chap many moons ago who spent a day knocking up in Wentworth and environs. Got round about a dozen residences all day but boy did he have a jolly time. Finished up at a cocktail party and then rumpy pumpy with the hostress.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    I've emailed David Herdson to check that it was him that posted that comment because I have my doubts based on the IP address used.

    Thank Thor for that. It means I can put the rubber pants back away.
    .
    Best keep them around for possible 1-2 polls showing Lab leads. just in case.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    rcs1000 said:

    Candidates I hope lose tomorrow:

    Tim Farron
    Vince Cable
    Zac Goldsmith
    David Tredinnick
    Claire Louise-Leyland
    Dennis Skinner
    That eight year old SNP MP lady
    Alex Salmond
    Caroline Lucas

    Feedback in Bosworth has been positive, but not enough to unseat Tredinnick, I fear.
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    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,662

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Tax? I don't remember that bit; did they mean dementia tax, wealth tax, stealth tax....?
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    isamisam Posts: 40,960
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323
    Chameleon said:

    Ahh St Albans, at every election since the Romans it's been about to fall to the LDs.
    It was Liberal before the Romans turned up.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    TudorRose said:

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Tax? I don't remember that bit; did they mean dementia tax, wealth tax, stealth tax....?
    I don't lead. That was what they said. Could've been the garden tax too.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Note Corbyn was not mentioned.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,536
    Hah just remembered before the Richmond by election the Lib Dems released canvass data showing them ahead.

    Oh please let it be true.
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    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    TudorRose said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Essexit said:

    When are we expecting this poll? I want to play Civilization VI...

    Personally, I'm playhing Endless Space 2 - excellent game.
    There's so many space 4x games out there - any idea how it stacks up against rivals?
    Very well for my taste. I'm a MOO 2 fan - I like lots of rich detail plus asymmetric races plus turn-by-turn play plus decent AI. I hate3D fiddling and real-time action. Endless Space 2 is perfect for me - all the good stuff, plus evocative films of the battles (which one can switch off) but no real-time control. I'm beating the AI at Normal, but Hard is a bit more of a challeng, and it works well with humans too.
    Stellaris is a very decent recent addition to the genre. Paradox games generally are very high quality. Victoria 2 & Crusader Kings being my stand out recommendations.
    Europa Universalis can be heavy but very rewarding and immersive.
    They change the rules every time I learn them!!
    Just try the board game that EU cribs many of its ideas from....
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Kantar's number in the May poll are fascinating.

    Would love ot see the changes with the most recent. The May poll had only 23% of 18-24 year olds as definitely voting (and only 47% whole population definitely voting).
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,660

    Is this a good time to mention that I backed the Lib Dems to win Vauxhall at 10/1
    It might also be a good time to close out that position.
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    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    Chameleon said:

    I've emailed David Herdson to check that it was him that posted that comment because I have my doubts based on the IP address used.

    Ooh the plot thickens. Or perhaps he is down the pub. Either that or Putin is turning his sights on pb...
    Putin wants to move the betting markets and make some money? But he already has £billions.

    BTW can anyone explain why the spreads are currently centred on a turnout of only 62.6%? Earlier today the discussion was on the general theme of a super-high turnout, probably over 65%, thanks to all these new young voters going out to vote.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,457

    TudorRose said:

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Tax? I don't remember that bit; did they mean dementia tax, wealth tax, stealth tax....?
    I don't lead. That was what they said. Could've been the garden tax too.
    Are you the real Alastair Meeks?

    *prods*
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    surbiton said:

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Note Corbyn was not mentioned.
    Note he was.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Why am I not sad about a Labour loss ?
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    ab195 said:

    A thought, albeit a depressing one. We know there was an attempt to interfere with the US and French elections via online means, and yet there's been nothing here. Why not? Better security? Obvious result so no point? Or has something been done that we haven't seen yet?

    We aren't important enough.

    PS: if the result is obvious, can you share?
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Eh? Vauxhall is a 'Labour' defence. I use the inverted commas because it is the odious Kate Hoey who is the Labour MP there. Let's hope she loses.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    ab195 said:

    A thought, albeit a depressing one. We know there was an attempt to interfere with the US and French elections via online means, and yet there's been nothing here. Why not? Better security? Obvious result so no point? Or has something been done that we haven't seen yet?

    Joining online polling panels would seem one obvious way in for the Russians.

    Or supplying the leaked anti-Corbyn material (since Russia would want the Tories to win to deliver Brexit -- breaking up Europe is the prize).
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,762
    The Conservatives will stay in power, probably with an increased majority, although there's a small possibility of a minority government. The next parliament will be dominated by Brexit, which we don't have any control over after triggering Article 50. It will be a huge mess. No-one has a clue what they are doing. Mrs May called this election, in part, on a policy of not having a policy for Brexit. She didn't get her non-policy policy mandate. Expect lots of arguements unless her majority is massive.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    edited June 2017
    Scott_P said:

    hps://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/872552285481709568

    Voters say Britain needs new centre-ground party

    Where do they say that? It's a return to 2 party politics, if the result is as the Indy says, then we don't need a new party, and someone believes the result is bad, we need the one we have to do better.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Mulholland, yes, but the other 3 will be fine.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031
    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    what's happening in 6 weeks? A big move?

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Serious question for tomorrow:

    What's everyone drinking?

    I'm wondering about opening a bottle of Ridge Montebello* at 9:50pm tomorrow evening. I'll probably finish it about two, and move onto the whisky before crashing out at four.

    * I wouldn't normally drink such nice wine on my own. But we're moving to LA in about six weeks and I have a whole cellar to get through.

    I can help you solve that problem ...
    I have (lots of) Ridge Montebello, (a bit of) Ridge Estate, (a case of) Haut Brion, some Corton Charlemagne, a (bottle of) Mouton Rothschild, and a bunch of other less valuable stuff. I'm happy to sell to any PBers at a sensible discount to true value, because not even SeanT could drink all my wine in the next six weeks.
    Waiting for 008 to announce challenge accepted!!!
    I'm moving to Los Angeles
    Congratulations! Taking over from the Rock for Baywatch 2?
    Actually, I'm casting for Pamela Anderson's role.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2017
    Scott_P said:

    twitter.com/hendopolis/status/872552285481709568

    I can't believe they still waste their time on a digital front page when their website is a pile of shit.
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Sean_F said:

    There's a special place in hell reserved for poll rampers.

    Quite right.
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    ab195ab195 Posts: 477
    edited June 2017
    Ishmael_Z said:

    ab195 said:

    A thought, albeit a depressing one. We know there was an attempt to interfere with the US and French elections via online means, and yet there's been nothing here. Why not? Better security? Obvious result so no point? Or has something been done that we haven't seen yet?

    We aren't important enough.

    PS: if the result is obvious, can you share?
    It's not yet in the bag but so long as young people don't take their own pen, it's covered off.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    what's happening in 6 weeks? A big move?

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Serious question for tomorrow:

    What's everyone drinking?

    I'm wondering about opening a bottle of Ridge Montebello* at 9:50pm tomorrow evening. I'll probably finish it about two, and move onto the whisky before crashing out at four.

    * I wouldn't normally drink such nice wine on my own. But we're moving to LA in about six weeks and I have a whole cellar to get through.

    I can help you solve that problem ...
    I have (lots of) Ridge Montebello, (a bit of) Ridge Estate, (a case of) Haut Brion, some Corton Charlemagne, a (bottle of) Mouton Rothschild, and a bunch of other less valuable stuff. I'm happy to sell to any PBers at a sensible discount to true value, because not even SeanT could drink all my wine in the next six weeks.
    Waiting for 008 to announce challenge accepted!!!
    I'm moving to Los Angeles
    Congratulations! Taking over from the Rock for Baywatch 2?
    Actually, I'm casting for Pamela Anderson's role.
    Left or right?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097
    edited June 2017
    Final 2015 polls compared to now

    Kantar TNS

    2015
    Tory 34
    Lab 33
    LD 7
    UKIP 15

    2017
    Tory 43
    Lab 38
    LD 7
    UKIP 14

    Opinium

    2015
    Tory 35
    Lab 34
    LD 8
    UKIP 12

    2017
    Tory 43
    Lab 36
    LD 8
    UKIP 5

    Comres

    2015
    Tory 35
    Labour 34
    LD 9
    UKIP 12

    2017
    Tory 44
    Lab 34
    LD 9
    UKIP 5

    ICM

    2015
    Tory 34
    Lab 35
    LD 9
    UKIP 11

    2017
    Tory 46
    Lab 34
    LD 7
    UKIP 5


    So every pollster showing a swing to the Tories since 2015 based on their final polls then and now, especially ICM and Comres

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Eh? Vauxhall is a 'Labour' defence. I use the inverted commas because it is the odious Kate Hoey who is the Labour MP there. Let's hope she loses.
    I was confused too, but I think the point was if LDs are up massively in Vauxhall but the national polls are right they are making no progress, then it is likely the LDs are doing well in London but poorly elsewhere, meaning other LDs are under threat?
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    volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Ladbrokes again are best priced 5-6 joint favourire the 2 in Hove.Some confidence this will stay red.Peter Kyle is a no-brainer in a Corbyn government.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    Joining online polling panels would seem one obvious way in for the Russians.

    GCHQ boasts of being able to manipulate online polls, but I assume they mean defeating the basic checks that some voodoo polls use (rate limiting, IP checks and so on), not filling panels with puppets. I wouldn't say it is impossible unless a pollster has some thorough verification, not that I think that's happening here.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,194

    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Eh? Vauxhall is a 'Labour' defence. I use the inverted commas because it is the odious Kate Hoey who is the Labour MP there. Let's hope she loses.
    Sorry, I mean if the Lib Dems are close (i.e. if they are picking up a lot of votes here, they are losing them elsewhere to stay standing still).
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?
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    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,662
    matt said:

    TudorRose said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Essexit said:

    When are we expecting this poll? I want to play Civilization VI...

    Personally, I'm playhing Endless Space 2 - excellent game.
    There's so many space 4x games out there - any idea how it stacks up against rivals?
    Very well for my taste. I'm a MOO 2 fan - I like lots of rich detail plus asymmetric races plus turn-by-turn play plus decent AI. I hate3D fiddling and real-time action. Endless Space 2 is perfect for me - all the good stuff, plus evocative films of the battles (which one can switch off) but no real-time control. I'm beating the AI at Normal, but Hard is a bit more of a challeng, and it works well with humans too.
    Stellaris is a very decent recent addition to the genre. Paradox games generally are very high quality. Victoria 2 & Crusader Kings being my stand out recommendations.
    Europa Universalis can be heavy but very rewarding and immersive.
    They change the rules every time I learn them!!
    Just try the board game that EU cribs many of its ideas from....
    I managed to get a second hand copy; so many cardboard chits!! I gave up in the end and went back to the computer version.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,343
    If the polls that show a labour lead are not out soon they will miss the paper reviews and will not be reported in the media tomorrow
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    I'd be satisfied with one kaboom to be honest.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,960
    edited June 2017
    Elm Park! Used to love going there on my bike as a kid. Most famous for the tube station piping classical music through the speakers to calm the nerves, and the BNP meetings in the old pub. No mention of Ukip winning, alas for my 33/1 bet :disappointed:

    https://twitter.com/davehill/status/872551497405534208
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    hps://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/872552285481709568

    Voters say Britain needs new centre-ground party

    Where do they say that? It's a return to 2 party politics, if the result is as the Indy says, then we don't need a new party, and someone believes the result is bad, we need the one we have to do better.
    If voters want a centre ground party they are sure as hell going about showing it the wrong way it seems.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,108
    kle4 said:

    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Eh? Vauxhall is a 'Labour' defence. I use the inverted commas because it is the odious Kate Hoey who is the Labour MP there. Let's hope she loses.
    I was confused too, but I think the point was if LDs are up massively in Vauxhall but the national polls are right they are making no progress, then it is likely the LDs are doing well in London but poorly elsewhere, meaning other LDs are under threat?
    I think Ian's point is the correct one. If the LDs are up where it matters, it could be under the radar in a national poll but they could outperform on seats. If we have a return to tactical voting, all bets are off.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    Note Corbyn was not mentioned.
    Note he was.
    Sums, not his personality or leadership.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    what's happening in 6 weeks? A big move?

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Serious question for tomorrow:

    What's everyone drinking?

    I'm wondering about opening a bottle of Ridge Montebello* at 9:50pm tomorrow evening. I'll probably finish it about two, and move onto the whisky before crashing out at four.

    * I wouldn't normally drink such nice wine on my own. But we're moving to LA in about six weeks and I have a whole cellar to get through.

    I can help you solve that problem ...
    I have (lots of) Ridge Montebello, (a bit of) Ridge Estate, (a case of) Haut Brion, some Corton Charlemagne, a (bottle of) Mouton Rothschild, and a bunch of other less valuable stuff. I'm happy to sell to any PBers at a sensible discount to true value, because not even SeanT could drink all my wine in the next six weeks.
    Waiting for 008 to announce challenge accepted!!!
    I'm moving to Los Angeles
    Congratulations! Taking over from the Rock for Baywatch 2?
    Actually, I'm casting for Pamela Anderson's role.
    Which bits ?!?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Scott_P said:

    twitter.com/carrie_symonds1/status/872553343486488577

    Disappointing from the currant bun.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,848
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,762

    I ran a social experiment tonight. I asked two voters who said they weren't very interested in politics what they recalled of the campaign. They named the following seven items:

    Care
    Diane Abbott (this drew particularly strong responses)
    Police cuts
    Theresa May's u turn
    Jeremy Corbyn's sums not adding up
    The terrorist attacks
    Tax

    I thought that was an excellent summary of the election.

    No mention of Brexit however.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,352
    edited June 2017

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Essexit said:

    When are we expecting this poll? I want to play Civilization VI...

    Personally, I'm playhing Endless Space 2 - excellent game.
    There's so many space 4x games out there - any idea how it stacks up against rivals?
    Very well for my taste. I'm a MOO 2 fan - I like lots of rich detail plus asymmetric races plus turn-by-turn play plus decent AI. I hate3D fiddling and real-time action. Endless Space 2 is perfect for me - all the good stuff, plus evocative films of the battles (which one can switch off) but no real-time control. I'm beating the AI at Normal, but Hard is a bit more of a challeng, and it works well with humans too.
    Stellaris is a very decent recent addition to the genre. Paradox games generally are very high quality. Victoria 2 & Crusader Kings being my stand out recommendations.
    +1 for Paradox. Although City Skylines would appeal to the aspirant mayors in here.
    Agreed. I used to play their WW2 games a lot too, before I got a bit too busy. The economics were rubbish but the politics were delightfully detailed - you could simulate what would have appened if the USA went Communit with President Gus Hall, or Britain went pro-Nazi, or other unlikely alternate histories.
    Is that hearts of iron? The various versions struggle to get the right balance between complexity/micro-management and over-simplification.
    Hearts of Iron IV is a serious time thief
    Yes, HOI. I never got past HOI III. The military side was fascinating, but the dumbed-down eonomics seemed a real pity. How does HOI IV change it?
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,136

    Hah just remembered before the Richmond by election the Lib Dems released canvass data showing them ahead.

    Oh please let it be true.

    Surely it's just another version of the "It's a two-horse race, X can't win here" ploy.

    Lib Dem guidance for knockers-up is always: "Don't worry about irritating people, they'll have forgotten about it by next time".
  • Options
    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    edited June 2017
    My home village Fallin - was location of Polmaise pit !
    https://twitter.com/stephenckerr/status/872525824918007809
  • Options
    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    https://twitter.com/martinboon/status/872553155753648133

    So only 1 not 2 polls showing Labour leads then?
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    I'm unconvinced by this whole "CEO of serious data and analysis business moonlights as Court Jester" thing.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    JackW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    what's happening in 6 weeks? A big move?

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Serious question for tomorrow:

    What's everyone drinking?

    I'm wondering about opening a bottle of Ridge Montebello* at 9:50pm tomorrow evening. I'll probably finish it about two, and move onto the whisky before crashing out at four.

    * I wouldn't normally drink such nice wine on my own. But we're moving to LA in about six weeks and I have a whole cellar to get through.

    I can help you solve that problem ...
    I have (lots of) Ridge Montebello, (a bit of) Ridge Estate, (a case of) Haut Brion, some Corton Charlemagne, a (bottle of) Mouton Rothschild, and a bunch of other less valuable stuff. I'm happy to sell to any PBers at a sensible discount to true value, because not even SeanT could drink all my wine in the next six weeks.
    Waiting for 008 to announce challenge accepted!!!
    I'm moving to Los Angeles
    Congratulations! Taking over from the Rock for Baywatch 2?
    Actually, I'm casting for Pamela Anderson's role.
    Which bits ?!?
    Both of them.
  • Options
    volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    surbiton said:

    Why am I not sad about a Labour loss ?
    You simply cannot believe these Lib Dem barcharts.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323
    TudorRose said:

    matt said:

    TudorRose said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Essexit said:

    When are we expecting this poll? I want to play Civilization VI...

    Personally, I'm playhing Endless Space 2 - excellent game.
    There's so many space 4x games out there - any idea how it stacks up against rivals?
    Very well for my taste. I'm a MOO 2 fan - I like lots of rich detail plus asymmetric races plus turn-by-turn play plus decent AI. I hate3D fiddling and real-time action. Endless Space 2 is perfect for me - all the good stuff, plus evocative films of the battles (which one can switch off) but no real-time control. I'm beating the AI at Normal, but Hard is a bit more of a challeng, and it works well with humans too.
    Stellaris is a very decent recent addition to the genre. Paradox games generally are very high quality. Victoria 2 & Crusader Kings being my stand out recommendations.
    Europa Universalis can be heavy but very rewarding and immersive.
    They change the rules every time I learn them!!
    Just try the board game that EU cribs many of its ideas from....
    I managed to get a second hand copy; so many cardboard chits!! I gave up in the end and went back to the computer version.
    Empires at arms? Read the rulebook and look forward to a brilliant game...but unplayable in practice.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    edited June 2017
    Scott_P said:

    hps://twitter.com/carrie_symonds1/status/872553343486488577

    Going for the 'he's clueless' approach rather than 'he's a terrorist(apologist)' approach I see (yes they mention it, but it's one of many points, and the image is about him being a fool, not dangerous).

    Terrible headline though. They can do better.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,960

    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    I'm unconvinced by this whole "CEO of serious data and analysis business moonlights as Court Jester" thing.
    Ruskies have hacked Boon and Herdson?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    glw said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    hps://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/872552285481709568

    Voters say Britain needs new centre-ground party

    Where do they say that? It's a return to 2 party politics, if the result is as the Indy says, then we don't need a new party, and someone believes the result is bad, we need the one we have to do better.
    If voters want a centre ground party they are sure as hell going about showing it the wrong way it seems.
    Indeed! It reminds me of the Greens talking about being the voice of the people, such a disconnect.
  • Options
    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    If the national polls are anywhere near accurate and Labour are close in Vauxhall, then I think Farron, Clegg, Mulholland and Lamb are toast.
    Eh? Vauxhall is a 'Labour' defence. I use the inverted commas because it is the odious Kate Hoey who is the Labour MP there. Let's hope she loses.
    Sorry, I mean if the Lib Dems are close (i.e. if they are picking up a lot of votes here, they are losing them elsewhere to stay standing still).
    There are special circumstances in Vauxhall. It's a deep red, ultra liberal, highly europhile, central London seat. Hoey is a socially conservative arch Labour Leaver who fraternised with Farage. It is has possibly the most incongruous MP of any seat in the whole country.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,488
    Chameleon said:

    Scott_P said:

    @martinboon: Hearing Kaboom 2 might be misfeed. Don't know, we'll soon find out.

    just blown up in his face?

    I'd be satisfied with one kaboom to be honest.
    I could do without any kabooms, personally
  • Options
    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    kle4 said:

    Boon needs Kabooning.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,031
    PeterC said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    what's happening in 6 weeks? A big move?

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Serious question for tomorrow:

    What's everyone drinking?

    I'm wondering about opening a bottle of Ridge Montebello* at 9:50pm tomorrow evening. I'll probably finish it about two, and move onto the whisky before crashing out at four.

    * I wouldn't normally drink such nice wine on my own. But we're moving to LA in about six weeks and I have a whole cellar to get through.

    I can help you solve that problem ...
    I have (lots of) Ridge Montebello, (a bit of) Ridge Estate, (a case of) Haut Brion, some Corton Charlemagne, a (bottle of) Mouton Rothschild, and a bunch of other less valuable stuff. I'm happy to sell to any PBers at a sensible discount to true value, because not even SeanT could drink all my wine in the next six weeks.
    Waiting for 008 to announce challenge accepted!!!
    I'm moving to Los Angeles
    Is that a long-term move? Will you still be on PB?
    Of course I'll still post!

    I don't know if it's long-term. I'm thinking of it as a two year project. But you never know. Maybe I'll end up staying.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    kle4 said:

    Boon needs Kabooning.
    +1.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,848
    Riddle me this:

    If Kaboom 1 Was YouGov showing a bigger Con Lead (still on) and Kaboom 2 was Survation showing a small Lab Lead (now cancelled) what does it mean for PB Bedwetters? ;)
  • Options
    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,662
    kle4 said:
    I still don't know what Kaboom 1 was.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,323

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Chameleon said:

    kle4 said:

    Essexit said:

    When are we expecting this poll? I want to play Civilization VI...

    Personally, I'm playhing Endless Space 2 - excellent game.
    There's so many space 4x games out there - any idea how it stacks up against rivals?
    Very well for my taste. I'm a MOO 2 fan - I like lots of rich detail plus asymmetric races plus turn-by-turn play plus decent AI. I hate3D fiddling and real-time action. Endless Space 2 is perfect for me - all the good stuff, plus evocative films of the battles (which one can switch off) but no real-time control. I'm beating the AI at Normal, but Hard is a bit more of a challeng, and it works well with humans too.
    Stellaris is a very decent recent addition to the genre. Paradox games generally are very high quality. Victoria 2 & Crusader Kings being my stand out recommendations.
    +1 for Paradox. Although City Skylines would appeal to the aspirant mayors in here.
    Agreed. I used to play their WW2 games a lot too, before I got a bit too busy. The economics were rubbish but the politics were delightfully detailed - you could simulate what would have appened if the USA went Communit with President Gus Hall, or Britain went pro-Nazi, or other unlikely alternate histories.
    Is that hearts of iron? The various versions struggle to get the right balance between complexity/micro-management and over-simplification.
    Hearts of Iron IV is a serious time thief
    Yes, HOI. I never got past HOI III. The military side was fascinating, but the dumbed-down eonomics seemed a real pity. How does HOI IV change it?
    I understood it simplified a lot of the micro-management from III but spoiled the depth of the game in the process. So I didn't buy it. Maybe I should reconsider?
This discussion has been closed.