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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview May 18th 2017 (T-21 days until Elect
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview May 18th 2017 (T-21 days until Election 2017)
Reeth and Arkengarthdale on Richmondshire (Ind defence, death of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 21, Independents 7, Richmondshire Independents 4, Liberal Democrats 2 (Conservative majority of 8) Result of ward at last election (2015): Ind 544 (76%), Green 116 (16%), Lab 56 (8%) EU Referendum Result (2016): REMAIN 11,945 (43%) LEAVE 15,691 (57%) on a turnout of 75% Candidates duly nominated: Ian Scott (Con) Result: Conservative GAIN from Independent, unopposed
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EDIT: Sixth like Man Utd.
Are you one of those who is enthusiastic about the rise to power of the Corbyn/Momentum wing in the party - or one of the so-called moderates who don't like it?
I bet Dejan Lovren does a Jamie Pollock on Sunday.
That has been taken away.
And well he knows it.
https://twitter.com/kellytolhurst/status/865206990255120384
Independent = Tory
Residents Association = Tory
Ratepayers = Tory
Any other dodgy description = Tory
Thing is, if we're talking about a 33-48 split or somewhere there abouts, there'll still be a Tory landslide. The poll figures for May have been less brilliant given labours modest recovery, but they are far from the danger zone. We are instead looking at a return to two party politics. In such a situation, of course Labour are going to do better than they where when UKIP and the LDs were polling over 10 plus percent of the vote.
Interesting times ahead though. I could easily see Corbyn using such a score to justify staying on. He is, so far, having a good bad election.
Mrs May should absolutely gobble up the southern UKIP vote, and Labour's long-term negative trend in Essex will surely only be compounded in this election.
The present system is iniquitous, because you are forced to sell your home to pay for your care and to subsidise the fees of those for whom the state pays.
Don't you lot have standards over there?
The double lock means pensioners are now invested in the success of the economy and jobs/wages.
It remains to be seen whether or not the more optimistic projections of Labour's vote will be met, but it appears at least as if Corbyn will probably do better than Michael Foot in 1983. The problem for Labour being that May will probably do better than Margaret Thatcher in 1983, too! I'm growing increasingly uncertain of anything in politics but, given a sustained third party squeeze, the odds would appear to favour both of these outcomes.
I gave up.
https://twitter.com/lukeoneil47/status/865255028545781760
Moussa Sissoko is wanted by Barcelona, Real Madrid and AC Milan
http://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/sport/football/transfer-news/ex-newcastle-moussa-sissoko-transfer-13053345
25th April had them on 13%.
It should also be remembered that the state pension will still, under the double lock, be gold plated: those of us additionally invested in private schemes can only look forward to increases index-linked to inflation.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/05/daily-chart-13
He's got a bit of momentum and appearing tonight could only have helped.
Downside would have been minimal.
Residents Association = Tory who's posher than the local Tories
Ratepayers = Tory in a Labour stronghold
St Theresa is secure, though.
That was long before he became the heart, soul and underpants of Rhondda, My Valley Brave
A dying party
A fringe party
A party that only 8% of the population can vote for
A party that only 5% of the population can vote for
Yeah, television event of the year, innit?
I remember seeing him on the TV looking so upset that a Tory Prime Minister had introduced same sex marriage
Remember, the polls caused much of the discussion during the campaign to be about Hung Parliament scenarios, rather than what Cameron might do with an outright victory. Afterwards the media was heavily criticised for allowing what turned out to be erroneous polls to dictate the news agenda.
You see a bit more about polling returns on the rolling news channels, where there's space to devote to their analysis, but they seem to feature very little in the main bulletins.
To give you some idea of his personal and professional standing, the Universities and Colleges Union is informally called the Useless Tristrams Union by its members (after he ignored their picket lines to lecture on Marxism).
When May opted out of the debates she did him a bigger favour than anybody.
I'm straightI have four children."The extent to which we hate and fear each other now – that's not any one person's fault. But no one person was more at fault than Roger Ailes. He never had a soul to sell, so he sold ours. It may take 50 years or a century for us to recover. Even dictators rarely have that kind of impact.
Enjoy the next life, you monster."
That's exactly right - he sounds wound up and like an angry schoolboy having a rant.
ie Not credible to be in a senior position.