Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On an explosive day the latest CON leader betting and chart

1356711

Comments

  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Just caught up on FMQs and it was very much a repetition of yesterday's brutal destruction of Ruth Davidson and her only policy.

    https://twitter.com/ScoPoliticsNews/status/748523070021902336

    After being ripped to shreds by the First Minister, Kezia had a good go at Ruth, who was subdued throughout the whole session. I almost felt sorry for Ruth. Almost.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    JackW said:

    National Poll - JNN/Angus Reid

    Clinton 25 .. Trump 19 .. Falconer 56

    :smiley:


    Ha ha ha ha ha ha
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Alistair said:

    Scottish Independence Polling Noodling

    Looking at the Sunday Times/Panelbase poll the big thing that jumps out is that although it is tight with a headline figure of 52/48 ABC1s are more likely ot vote Yes than C2DEs which is an inversion of the IndyRef (both demographics are a Yes vote)

    Sunday was years ago. Catch up! Scotland wants to be on the CANZUK express!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    The pledge dropping re the ECHR is awful. How can she possibly have changed her mind in this space of time?

    TBF - as I understand it - the issue isn't the ECHR (which we have existed happily with for 50+ years) but the incorporation of the ECHR into the ECJ's remit and some of the decisions that the ECJ has been making.

    On leaving the EU, the ECJ's view no longer applies - we go back to being able to ignore the ECHR if we see fit (I think)

    Hence, why spend the political capital taking down something that will resolve itself in 2 years anyway
    Yes it was the charter of fundamental rights that was incorporated into Lisbon that causes all of the issues. We are free to ignore Strasbourg's decisions if it is incompatible with UK law, we can't do that for ECJ decision. It is massive judicial overreach by the EU. We have no need to leave the ECHR now.
    But until we leave the EU we are still under the ECHR and ECJ.
    Yes, but we're leaving the EU so no need to bother leaving the ECHR and damaging our international reputation for nothing. The ECJ and the charter were much more egregious than the ECHR has ever been. If May reforms the HRA a bit and we define better what constitutes a "family life" in the UK then we should be okay.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Johnson's Olympian removal of himself from the squalid Tory rat race is chillingly masterful.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Jobabob said:

    Floater said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: And still it goes on. Rob Marris has just resigned as Shadow Treasury Minister. Anyone keeping count?

    Funny ... but also tragic.

    One of the two major parties is destroying itself in plain sight.
    It has no choice.

    It has to keep doing this until Corbyn resigns. There is no other way.
    He has to soon, surely? I don't care how stubborn he is, how much of a mandate he has, or even whether he really is a sleeper agent - at the moment the Labour Party is not being of much use to anyone, not the left or right of the party
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,614
    John_M said:

    OK, genuine question: who will Cameron and Osborne support? It should be May, surely? I'm possibly overthinking this :).

    Cameron will say nothing. Osborne might be for May, Gove or Crabb. He'll probably say nothing until the final two are confirmed.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Louise Mensch's awful punning will be the straw that broke the camel's back for Corbyn. The equivalent of Vogon poetry.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,262

    Brom said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    hezza going postal about boris.... hated hearing every word...

    Hezza is just awful - he can't resist getting very rude and personal. I've had more than enough of him already.
    Heseltine was the Boris of his day, perhaps it's bringing all the bad memories back!
    Heseltine actually achieved things. There should be statues to him built in Docklands and elsewhere.

    Boris has two outstanding attributes: he can write and speak well, and he can play the fool. There's no heft to him, no substance. He's SeanT with a political career.
    Not sure you can accuse him of having no heft.
    Who? BoJo?

    You can. very easily. Just look at the way he handled the referendum, yet along the aftermath.

    Unless that was meant as a dig at me?
    No it was meant as a dig at Boris's stature.

    Sensitive much?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Lowlander said:

    Just caught up on FMQs and it was very much a repetition of yesterday's brutal destruction of Ruth Davidson and her only policy.

    https://twitter.com/ScoPoliticsNews/status/748523070021902336

    After being ripped to shreds by the First Minister, Kezia had a good go at Ruth, who was subdued throughout the whole session. I almost felt sorry for Ruth. Almost.

    As I recall it was the people of the UK who precipitated this 'disaster',unless suddenly everyone who voted out is a conservative, in which case well don the Tories for getting 35% or whatever in Scotland.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    Alistair said:

    Scottish Independence Polling Noodling

    Looking at the Sunday Times/Panelbase poll the big thing that jumps out is that although it is tight with a headline figure of 52/48 ABC1s are more likely ot vote Yes than C2DEs which is an inversion of the IndyRef (both demographics are a Yes vote)

    Sunday was years ago. Catch up! Scotland wants to be on the CANZUK express!
    Why bother with silly acronyms when there is the perfectly cromulent Oceania to use instead?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Jobabob said:

    Floater said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: And still it goes on. Rob Marris has just resigned as Shadow Treasury Minister. Anyone keeping count?

    Funny ... but also tragic.

    One of the two major parties is destroying itself in plain sight.
    It has no choice.

    It has to keep doing this until Corbyn resigns. There is no other way.
    He has to soon, surely? I don't care how stubborn he is, how much of a mandate he has, or even whether he really is a sleeper agent - at the moment the Labour Party is not being of much use to anyone, not the left or right of the party
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855

    Johnson's Olympian removal of himself from the squalid Tory rat race is chillingly masterful.

    Ok, I'll bite - how so?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,797

    John_M said:

    OK, genuine question: who will Cameron and Osborne support? It should be May, surely? I'm possibly overthinking this :).

    Gove at present or Crabb. May ruled out the emergency budget and that makes Osborne look a fool.
    Osborne made Osborne look like a fool.

    Osbourne kicked it to the Autumn on Monday. At which point you can use the Autumn statement to announce cuts and emergency tax increases in 2017/18.. - So you don't need a budget to do what you need.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999
    AndyJS said:

    Leadsom now 11/2 to be next PM. What a spectacular rise.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.105756340

    And probably fall. Were the Tories in opposition, she might be a runner (though even there, I think she'd look over-promoted); in government, where she'd be PM from day 1, it's surely too much to ask. MPs must know that.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    Gove 5.1
    Leadsom 5.9
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    Alistair said:

    Scottish Independence Polling Noodling

    Looking at the Sunday Times/Panelbase poll the big thing that jumps out is that although it is tight with a headline figure of 52/48 ABC1s are more likely ot vote Yes than C2DEs which is an inversion of the IndyRef (both demographics are a Yes vote).

    I think ABC1's were 60/40 in favour of No last time out.

    Not exactly great for Yes if its only 52/48. Once some of the shock and anger unwinds, plus we start talking about our next move which is probably not going to look a lit different to today, it won't take a big swing to No for Sturgeon to back down.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,662
    edited June 2016
    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,614
    AndyJS said:

    Are there any inexplicable differences between the next PM and next Tory leader markets that we could exploit?

    There were up until 3 or 4 days ago, but it's all very marginal now.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999
    If May does become PM, it will be the first time anyone has moved directly from the Home Office to No 10 since 1855 (Lord Palmerston).
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,993

    Johnson's Olympian removal of himself from the squalid Tory rat race is chillingly masterful.

    His problem is that opportunities do not generally come along too often. This was his time, his opportunity. He had lined it up for years, as can be seen bu his dual-rolling as MoL and MP.

    His next opportunity will come at the next election - probably 2020, and probably only if the Conservatives lose. And by then there will be other, younger, fresher candidates from the 2010 / 15 intakes hungry for the job.

    This was Boris's time. And he's lost.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120

    Johnson's Olympian removal of himself from the squalid Tory rat race is chillingly masterful.

    Monikerdi- I'm increasingly seeing the quality of your prose

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,410
    edited June 2016
    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,614
    JackW said:

    National Poll - JNN/Angus Reid

    Clinton 25 .. Trump 19 .. Falconer 56

    :smiley:

    But Falconer resigned!
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    Owen Smith looks more likely now, maybe even Clive Lewis.
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    AndyJS said:

    Leadsom now 11/2 to be next PM. What a spectacular rise.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.105756340

    And probably fall. Were the Tories in opposition, she might be a runner (though even there, I think she'd look over-promoted); in government, where she'd be PM from day 1, it's surely too much to ask. MPs must know that.
    She's got a super CV.

    "EXPERIENCE: Councillor, South Oxfordshire District Council 2003-2007. Contested Knowsley South constituency in 2005. Treasury Select Committee 2010-14. Economic Secretary to the Treasury from April 2014-May 2015. Minister of State for Energy at the Department of Energy and Climate Change May 2015 to present

    OTHER EXPERIENCE: Barclays de Zoete Wedd (BZW) 1993-1997, Managing Director of De Putron Fund Management (DPFM) 1997-1999. Chief Investment Officer at Invesco Perpetual from 1999-2009."

    http://iaindale.com/posts/2016/06/29/conservative-leadership-runners-riders-andrea-leadsom
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Teachers hate Gove and the police hate May. One of them is probably going to be running the country within weeks.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    edited June 2016

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    That's what the red cross is for

    Ah never mind!
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Just caught up on FMQs and it was very much a repetition of yesterday's brutal destruction of Ruth Davidson and her only policy.

    https://twitter.com/ScoPoliticsNews/status/748523070021902336

    After being ripped to shreds by the First Minister, Kezia had a good go at Ruth, who was subdued throughout the whole session. I almost felt sorry for Ruth. Almost.

    As I recall it was the people of the UK who precipitated this 'disaster',unless suddenly everyone who voted out is a conservative, in which case well don the Tories for getting 35% or whatever in Scotland.
    That's how it has played out though. Of course the Tories won't get the backing of all 38%. But in the minds of voters they are the ones who have endangered the UK - against the basic premise of their own sole policy.

    Even Willie Rennie is using Ruth as a punch bag now. She is politically compromised, holed below the waterline with no where to hide. She is the Scottish face of this entire debacle.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Mr. Lowlander, whilst Scotland leaving is possible, it shouldn't be taken as read [also, I would hope the UK would retain its flag].

    Boris = Clodius Albinus.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,410
    RobD said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    That's what the red cross is for
    No, England is the horizontal cross. Plus Wales
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,262

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    And wasn't the flag already blue before Scotland joined?
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    Sandpit said:

    JackW said:

    National Poll - JNN/Angus Reid

    Clinton 25 .. Trump 19 .. Falconer 56

    :smiley:

    But Falconer resigned!
    Noooooooo! I thought he'll hang on till the bitter end!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418

    If May does become PM, it will be the first time anyone has moved directly from the Home Office to No 10 since 1855 (Lord Palmerston).

    Shush don't tell HYUFD who kept on telling us the successor would either be the Chancellor or Foreign Secrertary
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Jeremy Corbyn has appeared to compare Israel to Islamic State at the launch of Labour's antisemitism report."

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/30/angela-eagle-to-launch-labour-leadership-bid-in-battle-for-the-s/
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    ? It's got a flipping dragon on it. Supercool.

  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    Scotland and Ireland don't want them. They're yours.

    You Brexit you bought it.
  • BannedInParisBannedInParis Posts: 2,191
    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    The St David cross is black and gold, and that works well in the Jack.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    The pledge dropping re the ECHR is awful. How can she possibly have changed her mind in this space of time?

    TBF - as I understand it - the issue isn't the ECHR (which we have existed happily with for 50+ years) but the incorporation of the ECHR into the ECJ's remit and some of the decisions that the ECJ has been making.

    On leaving the EU, the ECJ's view no longer applies - we go back to being able to ignore the ECHR if we see fit (I think)

    Hence, why spend the political capital taking down something that will resolve itself in 2 years anyway
    Yes it was the charter of fundamental rights that was incorporated into Lisbon that causes all of the issues. We are free to ignore Strasbourg's decisions if it is incompatible with UK law, we can't do that for ECJ decision. It is massive judicial overreach by the EU. We have no need to leave the ECHR now.
    AFAIK the ECHR was incorporated into English law in 2000. One can enforce it in any county court, the bottom rung of the judicial system. Presumably if we leave, the CFR lapses, the ECJ becomes irrelevant and the Human Rights Act remains. Seems OK to me.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,410
    Lowlander said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    Scotland and Ireland don't want them. They're yours.

    You Brexit you bought it.
    At least there were several Unionist seats in NI wot voted LEAVE :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418
    Awesome, I support this idea

    Stephen Bush

    Civil servant suggests compromise that most could agree on: Article 50 not to be activated until Turkey given access to single market.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    AndyJS said:

    Teachers hate Gove and the police hate May. One of them is probably going to be running the country within weeks.

    That a minister is hated by a sector they had responsibility for doesn't strike me as a good or bad omen in fairness.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,923

    If May does become PM, it will be the first time anyone has moved directly from the Home Office to No 10 since 1855 (Lord Palmerston).

    Maybe we can look forward to gunboats up the Seine if the negotiations stall?
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    AndyJS said:

    Leadsom now 11/2 to be next PM. What a spectacular rise.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.105756340

    And probably fall. Were the Tories in opposition, she might be a runner (though even there, I think she'd look over-promoted); in government, where she'd be PM from day 1, it's surely too much to ask. MPs must know that.
    Would the MPs dare risk presenting us with the fait accompli of May v Fox? :)
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Sandpit said:

    John_M said:

    OK, genuine question: who will Cameron and Osborne support? It should be May, surely? I'm possibly overthinking this :).

    Cameron will say nothing. Osborne might be for May, Gove or Crabb. He'll probably say nothing until the final two are confirmed.
    Yes, officially Cameron and Osborne will say nothing. But who will they support?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Go for Gove!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,993

    Brom said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    hezza going postal about boris.... hated hearing every word...

    Hezza is just awful - he can't resist getting very rude and personal. I've had more than enough of him already.
    Heseltine was the Boris of his day, perhaps it's bringing all the bad memories back!
    Heseltine actually achieved things. There should be statues to him built in Docklands and elsewhere.

    Boris has two outstanding attributes: he can write and speak well, and he can play the fool. There's no heft to him, no substance. He's SeanT with a political career.
    Not sure you can accuse him of having no heft.
    Who? BoJo?

    You can. very easily. Just look at the way he handled the referendum, yet along the aftermath.

    Unless that was meant as a dig at me?
    No it was meant as a dig at Boris's stature.

    Sensitive much?
    A little at the moment, yes.

    Then again, you have in the past as well, Putin-supporter. ;)
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    May seems to be picking up MPs very steadily - her total on Con Home is rising every few minutes.

    In contrast, Crabb is totally static - he has the same number as last night.

    The others are obviously only just getting started - but notable that Fox hasn't picked up anyone since last night either - and I think he is actually down by 2.

    May 69
    Crabb 21
    Gove 11
    Leadsom 7
    Fox 6

    http://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2016/06/whos-backing-who-our-running-list-of-mps-supporting-each-leadership-candidate.html
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    ? It's got a flipping dragon on it. Supercool.

    A tin y dragon tucked in the corner - it should b in the middle if it is there.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    edited June 2016
    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Lowlander said:

    Alistair said:

    Scottish Independence Polling Noodling

    Looking at the Sunday Times/Panelbase poll the big thing that jumps out is that although it is tight with a headline figure of 52/48 ABC1s are more likely ot vote Yes than C2DEs which is an inversion of the IndyRef (both demographics are a Yes vote)

    Sunday was years ago. Catch up! Scotland wants to be on the CANZUK express!
    Why bother with silly acronyms when there is the perfectly cromulent Oceania to use instead?
    Oceania would work better in the new Union song if it was a ballad. But Canzuk! is an upbeat call to arms. It'll be fab.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
    Not the greatest shade of Green, but better than that other alternative.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    And wasn't the flag already blue before Scotland joined?
    We went through this several times during indyref. We'd keep the Union Jack. Scotland can have the Saltire.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


    The market is a portmanteau of at least 3 scenarios:

    1) A direct challenge to Corbyn
    2) A Corbyn resignation and a "normal" election
    3) Corbyn's successor in a "Labour" Party reduced to 40 MPs as the rest break away
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    If May does become PM, it will be the first time anyone has moved directly from the Home Office to No 10 since 1855 (Lord Palmerston).

    Convenient given finding a solution to the corner that we've painted ourselves into is up there with Schleswig-Holstein.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg

    We won't be changing flag, even in the unlikely event of Scotland voting to leave.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Lowlander said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    Scotland and Ireland don't want them. They're yours.

    You Brexit you bought it.
    Scotland and Ireland have seen enough of sectarianism to know your sordid con inside out.
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    ? It's got a flipping dragon on it. Supercool.

    A tin y dragon tucked in the corner - it should b in the middle if it is there.
    It's brand new! In a couple of years well make the dragon bigger, and add some blood dripping from the fangs.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,262

    Brom said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    hezza going postal about boris.... hated hearing every word...

    Hezza is just awful - he can't resist getting very rude and personal. I've had more than enough of him already.
    Heseltine was the Boris of his day, perhaps it's bringing all the bad memories back!
    Heseltine actually achieved things. There should be statues to him built in Docklands and elsewhere.

    Boris has two outstanding attributes: he can write and speak well, and he can play the fool. There's no heft to him, no substance. He's SeanT with a political career.
    Not sure you can accuse him of having no heft.
    Who? BoJo?

    You can. very easily. Just look at the way he handled the referendum, yet along the aftermath.

    Unless that was meant as a dig at me?
    No it was meant as a dig at Boris's stature.

    Sensitive much?
    A little at the moment, yes.

    Then again, you have in the past as well, Putin-supporter. ;)
    I shall say 'can be accused' next time. Hope you feel better soon.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    Theresa May is only three years younger than Tony Blair.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


    The market is a portmanteau of at least 3 scenarios:

    1) A direct challenge to Corbyn
    2) A Corbyn resignation and a "normal" election
    3) Corbyn's successor in a "Labour" Party reduced to 40 MPs as the rest break away
    Indeed. Nicely unpacked. It's a fool's market because too many balls are in the air at once.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    edited June 2016
    DanSmith said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    Owen Smith looks more likely now, maybe even Clive Lewis.
    Clive Lewis has charisma in spades, and just looks like he could be a winner, especially with a back story fighting in Afghanistan. If the next leader is a lefty, as is likely judging by the membership, at least let it be one who looks like he could win.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    John_M said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Aren't NI going to stay in the EU?
    And wasn't the flag already blue before Scotland joined?
    We went through this several times during indyref. We'd keep the Union Jack. Scotland can have the Saltire.
    The fimbriation is wrong, the red St George's cross has a border of white which separates it from the St Patrick's cross
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
    That could work. But I think we should have the dragon too.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Real Clear Politics and Politico assess Trump's poor start in Pennsylvania as part of his "Rust Belt Strategy" :

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/06/30/how_not_to_win_pennsylvania_131058.html

    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/donald-trump-pennsylvania-224966

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    The new trading area could be called: Not the European Union, or NEU for short.

    Pronounced 'new' of course.

  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Awesome, I support this idea

    Stephen Bush

    Civil servant suggests compromise that most could agree on: Article 50 not to be activated until Turkey given access to single market.


    I was at an event yesterday with senior movers and shakers and they said the Civil Service would come up with a way to stop Article 50 being invoked. This is one such way.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Jobabob said:

    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


    The market is a portmanteau of at least 3 scenarios:

    1) A direct challenge to Corbyn
    2) A Corbyn resignation and a "normal" election
    3) Corbyn's successor in a "Labour" Party reduced to 40 MPs as the rest break away
    Indeed. Nicely unpacked. It's a fool's market because too many balls are in the air at once.
    They're the best markets! I've got 50+ on Smith, 65+ on Nandy and 55+ on McDonnell in the last few days as people have erroneously discounted one or more of the above scenarios.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,993

    Brom said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    hezza going postal about boris.... hated hearing every word...

    Hezza is just awful - he can't resist getting very rude and personal. I've had more than enough of him already.
    Heseltine was the Boris of his day, perhaps it's bringing all the bad memories back!
    Heseltine actually achieved things. There should be statues to him built in Docklands and elsewhere.

    Boris has two outstanding attributes: he can write and speak well, and he can play the fool. There's no heft to him, no substance. He's SeanT with a political career.
    Not sure you can accuse him of having no heft.
    Who? BoJo?

    You can. very easily. Just look at the way he handled the referendum, yet along the aftermath.

    Unless that was meant as a dig at me?
    No it was meant as a dig at Boris's stature.

    Sensitive much?
    A little at the moment, yes.

    Then again, you have in the past as well, Putin-supporter. ;)
    I shall say 'can be accused' next time. Hope you feel better soon.
    Thanks.
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    edited June 2016
    delete
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,662
    Jezza should obviously pass the reigns to Clive Lewis.

    Who wouldn't be unhappy with that ?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


    The market is a portmanteau of at least 3 scenarios:

    1) A direct challenge to Corbyn
    2) A Corbyn resignation and a "normal" election
    3) Corbyn's successor in a "Labour" Party reduced to 40 MPs as the rest break away
    Indeed. Nicely unpacked. It's a fool's market because too many balls are in the air at once.
    They're the best markets! I've got 50+ on Smith, 65+ on Nandy and 55+ on McDonnell in the last few days as people have erroneously discounted one or more of the above scenarios.
    Great odds. The Smith bet is especially good. Well done.
  • JennyFreemanJennyFreeman Posts: 488
    MikeL said:

    notable that Fox hasn't picked up anyone since last night either - and I think he is actually down by 2.


    Fox 6

    http://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2016/06/whos-backing-who-our-running-list-of-mps-supporting-each-leadership-candidate.html

    Fox's lack of self-awareness is pretty staggering even amongst power-hungry politicians. Best thing he could do for everyone is withdraw right now.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
    That could work. But I think we should have the dragon too.
    I guess that would emphasise the link between Game of Thrones and UK politics.

    Chaos isn't a pit.
    Chaos is a ladder.
    Many who try to climb it fail and never get to try again.
    The fall breaks them.
    And some are given a chance to climb, but they refuse.
    They cling to the realm or the gods or love.
    Illusions.
    Only the ladder is real.
    The climb is all there is.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    If May does become PM, it will be the first time anyone has moved directly from the Home Office to No 10 since 1855 (Lord Palmerston).

    Perhaps she can offer a berth to the FCO's cat in that case :wink:
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418
    Pulpstar said:

    Jezza should obviously pass the reigns to Clive Lewis.

    Who wouldn't be unhappy with that ?

    There'd be some very unhappy goats in that scenario.
  • DanSmith said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    Owen Smith looks more likely now, maybe even Clive Lewis.
    I've had money on Clive Lewis for months, he's more charismatic than Corbyn and would get the support form the Momentum left. He is ruthless with no principles, it's all just an act.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    eek said:

    John_M said:

    OK, genuine question: who will Cameron and Osborne support? It should be May, surely? I'm possibly overthinking this :).

    Gove at present or Crabb. May ruled out the emergency budget and that makes Osborne look a fool.
    Osborne made Osborne look like a fool.

    Osbourne kicked it to the Autumn on Monday. At which point you can use the Autumn statement to announce cuts and emergency tax increases in 2017/18.. - So you don't need a budget to do what you need.
    Indeed - and i distinctly heard May confirm it this morning.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,797
    edited June 2016

    Jobabob said:

    tyson said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    I cannot understand the Labour leadership betting- why is McDonnell out to 14's? Emily Thornberry was 6-1 yesterday but she has moved out a wee tad today- to 360-1 no less. That still looks short to me.

    My man Clive Lewis is also on 14's and represents the other left contender.

    Clearly, the Labour party are completely clueless about the next step....both left and right.


    The market is a portmanteau of at least 3 scenarios:

    1) A direct challenge to Corbyn
    2) A Corbyn resignation and a "normal" election
    3) Corbyn's successor in a "Labour" Party reduced to 40 MPs as the rest break away
    Indeed. Nicely unpacked. It's a fool's market because too many balls are in the air at once.
    They're the best markets! I've got 50+ on Smith, 65+ on Nandy and 55+ on McDonnell in the last few days as people have erroneously discounted one or more of the above scenarios.
    From a standing start in 2 days I'm £150 green on every possible candidate... Given that I cleared my betfair account down to £50 I'm rather happy with that..
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Scott_P said:

    @STVNews: Israel's Labor party condemned Corbyn for "unacceptable" comparison with ISIS https://t.co/Nc7wYm5dcV https://t.co/YCGkHt55XM

    More manufactured outrage, and twisting of words. Btw, you should read what some Israelis say about Israel...
    http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/why-im-on-the-brink-of-burning-my-israeli-passport-9600165.html
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3579492/Netanyahu-rebukes-Israeli-general-Holocaust-speech.html

  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    tyson said:

    DanSmith said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Eagle may delay leader bid 'to give Corbyn time to quit': Former shadow minister Angela Eagle looks set to la...

    LOL

    Knows she'll get thrashed. Maybe I'll ask Anthony Joshua to give up his Heavyweight title belt so I can win a match against him too.

    Owen Smith looks more likely now, maybe even Clive Lewis.
    Clive Lewis has charisma in spades, and just looks like he could be a winner, especially with a back story fighting in Afghanistan. If the next leader is a lefty, as is likely judging by the membership, at least let it be one who looks like he could win.

    I think Lewis from the Left is a good candidate and I have no idea why the bunker hasn't struck a deal with the PLP by now whereby they would guarantee him enough nominations if Corbyn stood down.

    That, to me, is the best compromise to break the deadlock.
  • kle4 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Teachers hate Gove and the police hate May. One of them is probably going to be running the country within weeks.

    That a minister is hated by a sector they had responsibility for doesn't strike me as a good or bad omen in fairness.
    Given the state of thinking and leadership in many parts of the public sector the degree to which the minister is hated is a sign of their quality.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
    That could work. But I think we should have the dragon too.
    How about the red crosses of St Andrew and St George on a white background but top left quadrant all white with the Welsh dragon in red centred in that quadrant?
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    The St David cross is black and gold, and that works well in the Jack.
    Kippers won't accept using St David's cross. They won't be able to chant "there ain't no black in the Union Jack" anymore.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418
    @craigawoodhouse: Me to Labour HQ: "Have you got a line on Corbyn being referred to the compliance unit?"
    "Not yet."
    Extraordinary times.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Lowlander said:

    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    Lowlander said:

    Haha, they've even taken the time to add the new flag.

    https://twitter.com/HuffPostUKCom/status/748517808384970754

    Gods, our flag looks like crap without that Scottish blue
    To be honest, I think the simplest way to do it is to change the Blue for Welsh green.

    http://s29.postimg.org/lv7b06wt3/uk_wales.jpg
    That could work. But I think we should have the dragon too.
    I guess that would emphasise the link between Game of Thrones and UK politics.

    Chaos isn't a pit.
    Chaos is a ladder.
    Many who try to climb it fail and never get to try again.
    The fall breaks them.
    And some are given a chance to climb, but they refuse.
    They cling to the realm or the gods or love.
    Illusions.
    Only the ladder is real.
    The climb is all there is.
    And Crabb even looks a bit like Littlefinger too, so it is a good omen for him.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Pulpstar said:

    Jezza should obviously pass the reigns to Clive Lewis.

    Who wouldn't be unhappy with that ?

    The PLP?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Pleased to see my excellent MP Nus Ghani (a Leaver, since you ask) is backing Theresa May.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,428
    Lowlander said:

    Just caught up on FMQs and it was very much a repetition of yesterday's brutal destruction of Ruth Davidson and her only policy.

    https://twitter.com/ScoPoliticsNews/status/748523070021902336

    After being ripped to shreds by the First Minister, Kezia had a good go at Ruth, who was subdued throughout the whole session. I almost felt sorry for Ruth. Almost.

    There's no doubt Brexit has hugely damaged Davidson and the Conservative cause in Scotland generally, even though some other people voted Leave. It is her colleagues in London that are doing the separation. It's the inverse of the SNP paradox (why are you so keen on the EU if you want to get out of the UK?). In the case of the Tories: why are you so keen on the British Union if you want to destroy the European one?
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    Awesome, I support this idea

    Stephen Bush

    Civil servant suggests compromise that most could agree on: Article 50 not to be activated until Turkey given access to single market.

    Shouldn't the Civil Service be working flat out on preparations for WW3?
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    BUNKER READ THIS: Do a deal with Lewis and let Corbyn go.

    Israel-gate means Corbyn is eventually done for anyway – the Israeli Labor party comment makes it more likely that the UK party could suspend him.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    What happened to Nicky Morgan's leadership bid?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418
    BethRigby: Bojo supporters fury at Gove: "he's like a suicide bomber. He's destroyed Johnson & blown up himself" #ToryLeadership
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,923

    Awesome, I support this idea

    Stephen Bush

    Civil servant suggests compromise that most could agree on: Article 50 not to be activated until Turkey given access to single market.

    Shouldn't the Civil Service be working flat out on preparations for WW3?
    Haven't we voted for the Switzerland approach to WW3?
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    AndyJS said:

    What happened to Nicky Morgan's leadership bid?

    She's backing gove.
This discussion has been closed.