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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Nuneaton declaration, at about 2am, looks set to be the

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  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045

    Mr. Cooke, that's a useful list. I hope things like that can be included in articles the site runs on the night (unsure if I'll stay up or not).

    Mr. Slackbladder, he's complacent, or full of it. Or both.

    It would be if I'd got my Leaves and Remains the right way round... :(

    Everyone please substitute "Leave" for "Remain" above.
    To be fair, this won't make much difference; these are the ones within 0.5% of parity, but still...
    Basically, that list is the knife-edge list if the vote is, as a whole, on a knife edge. The specific numbers should just be seen as "neck and neck"
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    pbr2013 said:

    Dave's speech just on the grid anyway? Or private polling freaked No 10 out? Bizarre either way. And not good for Remain either way.

    I can't help feeling that after being compared to Neville Chamberlain on BBC1 - plus all the other brickbats from rowdy voters, his confidence has been seriously bruised.

    He didn't come across as his smooth urbane self on breakfast telly and this snap press conf just confirms his emotional need to get in front of the cameras to make his case.

    I think it's a mistake. When your boss is upset, he's not thinking rationally - nor will it make him a good advocate. Far too much raw feeling on display - and when that's fear, we can all see it.

  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    pbr2013 said:

    Dave's speech just on the grid anyway? Or private polling freaked No 10 out? Bizarre either way. And not good for Remain either way.

    I assume it's simply news grid control. A Final Statement From the Prime Minister is going to lead the headlines, regardless of content. Insures against the Remain team screwing up in the debate.

    We're a long way past that famous (and in my view rather wonderful) election eve exchange from 1945:

    Excited journalist: "Mr Attlee! Have you one final message to the British people before they go to vote tomorrow?"
    Attlee: "No."
  • Anyone know if M. Juncker is turning up? He was supposed to be intervening if the polls were bad for remain.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,723
    fitalass said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sounds like a resignation speech

    No, this is Cameron reminding us why he came from nowhere to beat the favourite and win the Conservative Leadership, lasted eleven years and is now a second term PM as part of a Coalition and then with a majority. As with the Conservative party Conference back in 2007, he is at his best when his back is against the wall. For all the abuse being levelled at him on here, he delivered on referendums on our voting system, Scottish Independence and now our EU membership. And for all the complaints on all sides about the EU Ref campaign, if the turnout this Thursday is anything like a GE or the Indy Ref, then it has been great for public political engagement in the big UK decisions.
    Dave has a groupie
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Ladbrookes political betting man on Sky News.

    Says those betting on REMAIN bet an average of £450 whilst those betting on LEAVE bet on average less than £100.

    So rich people placing bets on REMAIN and poorer people placing bets on LEAVE - no doubt based on the opinions of the people they mix with.

    Hence the difference between the betting odds which stronly favour REMAIN and the pollsters' 50/50.

  • TimTim Posts: 44
    malcolmg said:

    fitalass said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sounds like a resignation speech

    No, this is Cameron reminding us why he came from nowhere to beat the favourite and win the Conservative Leadership, lasted eleven years and is now a second term PM as part of a Coalition and then with a majority. As with the Conservative party Conference back in 2007, he is at his best when his back is against the wall. For all the abuse being levelled at him on here, he delivered on referendums on our voting system, Scottish Independence and now our EU membership. And for all the complaints on all sides about the EU Ref campaign, if the turnout this Thursday is anything like a GE or the Indy Ref, then it has been great for public political engagement in the big UK decisions.
    Dave has a groupie
    No, the Cameron of 2007, even 2015, would have taken a TV debate. He knows he's losing the argument and, what's worse, he's not even passionate about staying in.

    “I feel about a thousand times more strongly about our United Kingdom than I do about the European Union.”

    http://www.euractiv.com/section/uk-europe/news/uk-about-a-thousand-times-more-important-to-cameron-than-eu/
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