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  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,800
    Goodness. Never heard of Jo Cox but that's awful. It happened with Stephen Timms a few years ago. Crazy to be relatng this to the referendum at this stage.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,162
    matt said:

    Anyone know what happens to EHIC cards post Brexit? I asked a while ago and might have missed an anwer.

    I'm sure that we'll negotiate an advantageous arrangement.
    Very re-assuring - and we'll be in the single market, no free mvmt and ice cream for tea.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016

    Danny565 said:

    BBC saying gunman might still be on the loose, local primary school "in lockdown"...

    Danny565 said:

    BBC saying gunman might still be on the loose, local primary school "in lockdown"...

    That's awful news altogether. Hope he's caught soon.
    Apparently he toddled off slowly down the street - no one wanted to tackle him again. Another Lab MP saying she's critical condition.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Oh, there's every chance. If it's 51/49 to Leave there won't be much of a mandate to do much else.

    Then we'll pull the emergency brake until 2020. General election.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,233
    edited June 2016
    Dreadful news about Jo Cox MP.

    Let's hope she's going to be OK.
  • PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is Kate Hoey still a part of the Farage Leave campaign? If so, she should either immediately disown that poster or be expelled from the Labour party. That poster is among the most disgusting I have ever seen. Absolutely repulsive. What a revolting man Nigel Farage is, standing there grinning in front of something that demonises people fleeing from mass-murdering psychopaths.

    I looked at it and winced. Then looked at it again and thought back over so many conversations with voters both during the GE campaign and more recently. And concluded the poster probably gets it right for its audience.
    Farage and UKIP do what they want. On the issue about all this outrage from REMAINers, presumably this is reason number 201 from REMAIN as to why they going to win?

    No, Remain will lose. And there is a proper and important discussion to be had about immigration. But the racism and xenophobia that Farage panders to has no part in it. Like Trump, Farage has thrown the dogwhistle away.

    I'm in a quandary like SeanT in some ways.

    I've been a Brexiteer because I worry about democracy and sovereignty (or lack of) immigration has never been a concern for me and finding myself on the same side of the debate as Farage and UKIP is very uncomfortable... In normal circumstances I rate these people as complete nut cases and would be ashamed to be associated with them as I'm sure has been noted over the years

    This is the great pity of Cameron's lost renegotiation opportunity. Because of his lamentable failure to get a genuine deal that reforms our relationship with with the EU I've been forced to the same side as Farage... A place I'm very uncomfortable to be it must be said.
    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.
    The Leave campaign is cross -party, In the event of Leave will Kate Hoey and Gisela Stuart be given a role??

    And how will that go down with the PLP??
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited June 2016

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Why do you say EFTA membership is looking increasingly unlikely to be offered? In fact all the recent statements from politicians in places like Norway and Iceland have been more favourable.
    EFTA membership would probably not be a problem. But EFTA membership wouldn't of itself give us access to the Single Market, we'd need to negotiate joining the EEA as a non-EU member (i.e. the opposite side of the agreement from our current position). That, despite your repeated assertions to the contrary, will clearly require the consent of the other 27 EU states.

    The reason I think it's unlikely to be on offer is basically because of the comments by Wolfgang Schäuble and Emmanuel Macron. I think the Huffington Post view of the politics of this is basically right.

    It's academic anyway, we won't be applying for it.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893
    PlatoSaid said:

    I don't think Gordon or McIRA thought that far ahead.

    It's quite something to see senior Labour people campaigning in effect for the continuation of the careers of a pair of Tories they otherwise hate. I don't know how that is meant to enthuse Labour Remainers.

  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is Kate Hoey still a part of the Farage Leave campaign? If so, she should either immediately disown that poster or be expelled from the Labour party. That poster is among the most disgusting I have ever seen. Absolutely repulsive. What a revolting man Nigel Farage is, standing there grinning in front of something that demonises people fleeing from mass-murdering psychopaths.

    I looked at it and winced. Then looked at it again and thought back over so many conversations with voters both during the GE campaign and more recently. And concluded the poster probably gets it right for its audience.
    Farage and UKIP do what they want. On the issue about all this outrage from REMAINers, presumably this is reason number 201 from REMAIN as to why they going to win?

    No, Remain will lose. And there is a proper and important discussion to be had about immigration. But the racism and xenophobia that Farage panders to has no part in it. Like Trump, Farage has thrown the dogwhistle away.

    I'm in a quandary like SeanT in some ways.

    I've been a Brexiteer because I worry about democracy and sovereignty (or lack of) immigration has never been a concern for me and finding myself on the same side of the debate as Farage and UKIP is very uncomfortable... In normal circumstances I rate these people as complete nut cases and would be ashamed to be associated with them as I'm sure has been noted over the years

    This is the great pity of Cameron's lost renegotiation opportunity. Because of his lamentable failure to get a genuine deal that reforms our relationship with with the EU I've been forced to the same side as Farage... A place I'm very uncomfortable to be it must be said.
    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.
    The Leave campaign is cross -party, In the event of Leave will Kate Hoey and Gisela Stuart be given a role??

    And how will that go down with the PLP??
    I'd certainly hope Gisela was given a role in negotiations. It's her long suit apparently - background in EU law and spent 18months dealing with last big EU round.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,288

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Me too. I don't think it will happen though. I bloody hope not.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    RodCrosby said:

    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP

    Use of an air ambulance doesn't sound good.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
    No this misunderstands the way a treaty works. The UK will remain a signatory to the treaty and a member of the EEA as long as it does not breach the terms of the treaty. That means that it must either be a member of the EU or EFTA. Your question about EFTA not wanting us is valid but given recent statements seems very unlikely. But so long as we do join EFTA there is nothing the EU can do because we would not have actually left the EEA.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    RodCrosby said:

    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP

    Ye Gods, that's awful. Let's hope they can save her.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    RodCrosby said:

    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP

    Ye Gods, that's awful. Let's hope they can save her.
    Shot and stabbed twice...
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Oh, there's every chance. If it's 51/49 to Leave there won't be much of a mandate to do much else.

    Then we'll pull the emergency brake until 2020. General election.
    Immediately pulling emergency measures to get round the core principle (Article 1 of the EEA Treaty) of free movement would be a huge act of bad faith. It would kill any single market arrangement with the EU stone dead.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Why do you say EFTA membership is looking increasingly unlikely to be offered? In fact all the recent statements from politicians in places like Norway and Iceland have been more favourable.
    EFTA membership would probably not be a problem. But EFTA membership wouldn't of itself give us access to the Single Market, we'd need to negotiate joining the EEA as a non-EU member (i.e. the opposite side of the agreement from our current position). That, despite your repeated assertions to the contrary, will clearly require the consent of the other 27 EU states.

    The reason I think it's unlikely to be on offer is basically because of the comments by Wolfgang Schäuble and Emmanuel Macron. I think the Huffington Post view of the politics of this is basically right.

    It's academic anyway, we won't be applying for it.
    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    What the hell possesses humanbeings to do things like this.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    There are some odious people on both sides of the Remain/Leave divide.

    Racists, terrorist sympathisers, anti-semites, homophobes.

    The important thing is that people react gracefully to the result, whatever it may be, and behave in a conciliatory and positive manner and make whatever we decide work in the most effective manner.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Attacker described as being between 65 and 70 years of age...
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    RodCrosby said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP

    Ye Gods, that's awful. Let's hope they can save her.
    Shot and stabbed twice...
    Eye witness said he thought the guy may have had a feud with her. Apparently she's had a lot of abuse for nominating Corbyn, then voting for Liz - and written about how much she regretted the Corbyn decision.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
  • TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited June 2016
    del
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    RodCrosby said:

    Attacker described as being between 65 and 70 years of age...

    Beard?
    I didn't hear that. The guy who tackled him had a beard.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    It's decisive proof that it's not "clearly" false...
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
    No this misunderstands the way a treaty works. The UK will remain a signatory to the treaty and a member of the EEA as long as it does not breach the terms of the treaty. That means that it must either be a member of the EU or EFTA. Your question about EFTA not wanting us is valid but given recent statements seems very unlikely. But so long as we do join EFTA there is nothing the EU can do because we would not have actually left the EEA.
    I really don't think this is correct. An essential aspect of the EEA is supervision and jurisdiction. If parties are not subject to the rules and institutions of the EU, they have to be subject to the EFTA Surveillance Authority and the EFTA Court.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Cyclefree said:

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Me too. I don't think it will happen though. I bloody hope not.
    It was put into the media by a "friend of Farage", which is a good sign it was a complete fabrication by Farage to try to force Boris's hand should he become PM.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Mortimer said:

    Vardy would have buried that. Why is Sterling playing instead of him?

    Well Scott has warned about the negative impact on Sterling if Brexit were to pull ahead - perhaps blame Farage and Boris ?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    It's decisive proof that it's not "clearly" false...
    Not for someone who has actually read the treaty.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,233
    PlatoSaid said:

    RodCrosby said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Cox 'critical and may not make it' - fellow MP

    Ye Gods, that's awful. Let's hope they can save her.
    Shot and stabbed twice...
    Eye witness said he thought the guy may have had a feud with her. Apparently she's had a lot of abuse for nominating Corbyn, then voting for Liz - and written about how much she regretted the Corbyn decision.
    Crikey,
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458

    Beard?

    Try being a human being.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
    No this misunderstands the way a treaty works. The UK will remain a signatory to the treaty and a member of the EEA as long as it does not breach the terms of the treaty. That means that it must either be a member of the EU or EFTA. Your question about EFTA not wanting us is valid but given recent statements seems very unlikely. But so long as we do join EFTA there is nothing the EU can do because we would not have actually left the EEA.
    I really don't think this is correct. An essential aspect of the EEA is supervision and jurisdiction. If parties are not subject to the rules and institutions of the EU, they have to be subject to the EFTA Surveillance Authority and the EFTA Court.
    That is exactly what I have been saying, If we did not join EFTA we would be in breach of the treaty terms and would be considered to have left the EEA. But as long as we join EFTA from the EU we will remain a member of the EEA>
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Vardy would have buried that. Why is Sterling playing instead of him?

    Well Scott has warned about the negative impact on Sterling if Brexit were to pull ahead - perhaps blame Farage and Boris ?
    Guffaw!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,676
    Horrible news about the Labour MP. Hopefully the culprit is caught.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    From the Telegraph: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/16/labour-mp-jo-cox-shot-in-leeds-witnesses-report/

    Witness: Gun went off twice after MP stepped into row between two men
    Witness Hithem Ben Abdallah, 56, was in the cafe next door to the library shortly after 1pm when he heard screaming and went outside.

    He said: "There was a guy who was being very brave and another guy with a white baseball cap who he was trying to control and the man in the baseball cap suddenly pulled a gun from his bag."

    After a brief scuffle, he said the man stepped back and the MP became involved.

    He added: "He was fighting with her and wrestling with her and then the gun went off twice and then she fell between two cars and I came and saw her bleeding on the floor."

    After around 15 minutes, the shop owner said emergency services arrived and tended to her with a drip.

    Ms Cox's assistant confirmed she had been attacked and said he was trying to get more information from police at the scene.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Just heard of the Jo Cox shooting and stabbing incident. How lamentable. Let's hope she recovers quickly.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    If true that could blow the referendum back the other way.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    52yrs man arrested
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited June 2016
    52 year-old man arrested...
  • viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Here's a moral dilemma, perhaps pb-ers can help me

    I am a convinced LEAVER. I have very carefully weighed everything, and have - with great reluctance, and some trepidation - decided that OUT is best for my country, long term. Better for my kids.

    I really really wanted Cameron to deliver some proper reform, something close to his Bloomberg aspirations, but he didn't. He came nowhere near. He failed, miserably.

    That said, I have lots of friends who are now panicking, some of them are outright terrified. People poorer than me, who won't be able to endure recession or house price falls, the way I can. People worried their jobs will go.

    These are people I love. I love my friends. I am about to do something that will very possibly harm them.

    What do I do? What is the moral course of action?

    I have had a few gos at trying to answer your question, but since I consider REMAIN to be the moral course of action I can't answer your question without steering you to that verdict, and I sense you would not find that helpful.

    So in the end all I can give you is: do as you consider right for yourself and your family, be neither cruel nor cowardly, and hope that your decision (whatever it is) will be one that you can live with thereafter. I hope that that is sufficient and good luck with whatever you decide.
    Perhaps Sean should consider just why it is that his friends are terrified. It is because there has been a tsunami of threats and warnings from Cameron and Osborne. This is the same Cameron who only a few months back was saying that if he did not get a good deal from the EU he might recommend us leaving. He also implied that the UK could manage quite well outside of the EU.
    If what Cameron is now saying is what he truly believes, why did he not refuse to have this referendum? Why did he not say to the electorate..."It would be catastrophic if we were to leave, and therefore I cannot allow you to even to consider it. We must stay in the EU for the rest of time.
    This disgusting barrage of threats has belittled the position of the Prime Minister. It is he ( and his lackeys) who are responsible for the fear in so many people.

    I believe Sean should not worry about voting Leave.
    The swing back to Remain will ensure a comfortable victory for them.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458
    edited June 2016
    Danny565 said:

    What the hell possesses humanbeings to do things like this.

    Passions are inflamed on both sides, I've encountered more anger/rudeness in this referendum than I've encountered in all the others campaigns I've been involved before combined.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    Man arrested according to Guardian liveblog, who say according to BBC
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,676
    It sounds like she was trying to stop a fight. Hopefully the judge and jury throw the book at the person responsible.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:


    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.

    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
    No this misunderstands the way a treaty works. The UK will remain a signatory to the treaty and a member of the EEA as long as it does not breach the terms of the treaty. That means that it must either be a member of the EU or EFTA. Your question about EFTA not wanting us is valid but given recent statements seems very unlikely. But so long as we do join EFTA there is nothing the EU can do because we would not have actually left the EEA.
    I really don't think this is correct. An essential aspect of the EEA is supervision and jurisdiction. If parties are not subject to the rules and institutions of the EU, they have to be subject to the EFTA Surveillance Authority and the EFTA Court.
    That is exactly what I have been saying, If we did not join EFTA we would be in breach of the treaty terms and would be considered to have left the EEA. But as long as we join EFTA from the EU we will remain a member of the EEA>
    In practice it would be a new arrangement and therefore, in practice, we would need the agreement of the other parties. There will be documents to sign and because of a risk of parties not signing them even when normally it would be routine, it would be foolish not to get everyone on board.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Fuck

    @GuidoFawkes: UPDATE: 52 year old man arrested. @meaglemp says attacker shouted "Britain First"
    https://t.co/aRJVtEae4O https://t.co/tzOlszzbPc
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    It's over for Leave.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458
    TGOHF said:

    If true that could blow the referendum back the other way.
    Keep calm, and wait for more info to become available. Looks like they've arrested the chap
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    Nope. The Treaties themselves are proof.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,908

    Scott_P said:

    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?

    Post the official statement from Vote Leave, or Kate Hoey, or Boris, or Gove, distancing themselves from his poster launch this morning.

    Otherwise keep quiet.
    Vote Leave have nothing to do with this poster. But here's some statements you lying ignorant fool.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36273499
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-vote-leave-furious-as-itv-announces-debate-between-nigel-farage-and-david-cameron-a7025226.html
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/12/vote-leave-lambasts-itv-over-eu-debate-between-cameron-and-farage
    You do realise that all of those links are about the ITV debate and you haven't addressed the poster launch at all?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    Nope. The Treaties themselves are proof.
    I agree.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893
    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    I wouldn't jump to any conclusions about this incident from early reports, the Madrid train bombings being an infamous example of how attributing a cause before the facts are truly known can be wrong.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    FF43 said:

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Oh, there's every chance. If it's 51/49 to Leave there won't be much of a mandate to do much else.

    Then we'll pull the emergency brake until 2020. General election.
    Immediately pulling emergency measures to get round the core principle (Article 1 of the EEA Treaty) of free movement would be a huge act of bad faith. It would kill any single market arrangement with the EU stone dead.
    I agree. I am not happy that this suggestion has emerged over the last few weeks and am not clear what the basis for it is. I always thought Richard N's assertion was correct that as far as freedom of movement is concerned there is not difference between the EU and EEA.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,023
    Mortimer said:

    Man arrested according to Guardian liveblog, who say according to BBC

    Is it Tim Farron?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    glw said:

    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    I wouldn't jump to any conclusions about this incident from early reports, the Madrid train bombings being an infamous example of how attributing a cause before the facts are truly known can be wrong.
    As were the Norway attacks.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231
    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    That's the blackest of black swans I'd always secretly feared.

    I hope so much she survives.

    I feel sick.
  • Lets just hope that Jo Cox pulls through, she is the mother of two young children. Sky coverage is wholly unhelpful until we have some facts.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    I feel sick to the stomach about the shooting. I pray Jo Cox pulls through.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893

    As were the Norway attacks.

    An ever better example that wrong-footed just about everyone.

  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    glw said:

    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    I wouldn't jump to any conclusions about this incident from early reports, the Madrid train bombings being an infamous example of how attributing a cause before the facts are truly known can be wrong.
    ...and caused a major backlash against the side that tried to make political capital out of claims that turned out to be false.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,630
    Please don't let this lunatic speak for anyone but himself. He is a madman. Nothing to do with the referendum.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    FF43 said:

    I feel sick to the stomach about the shooting. I pray Jo Cox pulls through.

    Absolutely. Not a praying man myself but hope she recovers.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @faisalislam: On the @vote_leave bus @BorisJohnson says he is going to suspend campaigning after the shooting of Jo Cox MP

    Good move
  • tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,564

    FF43 said:

    I feel sick to the stomach about the shooting. I pray Jo Cox pulls through.

    Absolutely. Not a praying man myself but hope she recovers.
    Quite. All of a sudden we are united despite our differences.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    VoteLeave has suspended campaigning.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    Scott_P said:

    @faisalislam: On the @vote_leave bus @BorisJohnson says he is going to suspend campaigning after the shooting of Jo Cox MP

    Good move

    Everyone should - it is terribly sad, all MPs must feel it especially hard.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    Why should that be? Are you suggesting that this was a premeditated attack on the MP; When eye witnesses say that she interposed herself on a private quarrel. Remain are really trying to beat Leave with any handy stick.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,645
    Elderly attacker 'shouted Britain First' before MP Jo Cox shooting and stabbing

    Oh dear

    This is very bad.

    Hope she survives this.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,676

    Please don't let this lunatic speak for anyone but himself. He is a madman. Nothing to do with the referendum.

    Absolutely right. I hope that Cox pulls through and the responsible party receives the longest possible sentence.
  • NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    Danny565 said:

    What the hell possesses humanbeings to do things like this.

    Passions are inflamed on both sides, I've encountered more anger/rudeness in this referendum than I've encountered in all the others campaigns I've been involved before combined.
    Indeed so. I received a lot of rudeness from the inevitably middle class remainers while canvassing last night. In politics having a thick skin is part of the job.

    As for the poor Labour MP bad as the attack sounds I don't think the referendum will turn on that. These kind of people so often have a medical history.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    FF43 said:

    I feel sick to the stomach about the shooting. I pray Jo Cox pulls through.

    Seconded.
    Woe betide anyone who tries to exploit this heinous act.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Wales lead England 1-0
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,887
    What a strike!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458
    Looks like England will be out before the rest of the UK
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,676
    Ffs England are losing
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,462
    We're going home, we're going home, England's going home....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,068
    :o
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,460

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    Nope. The Treaties themselves are proof.
    You could have some fun drafting the clause to follow this one in the EFTA convention if we rejoined.

    "Having regard to the successive withdrawals from the Convention by the Kingdom of Denmark and the United Kingdom on 1 January 1973; the Republic of Portugal on 1 January 1986; the Republic of Austria, the Republic of Finland and the Kingdom of Sweden on 1 January 1995"
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,741
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Hope Jo Cox can make a full recovery.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,068
    What a corker of a goal though.
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    edited June 2016
    MikeK said:

    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    Why should that be? Are you suggesting that this was a premeditated attack on the MP; When eye witnesses say that she interposed herself on a private quarrel. Remain are really trying to beat Leave with any handy stick.
    No one should turn a tragedy into a political incident. Boris has suspended campaigning and I am sure REMAIN will do the same. It's just the decent thing.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    Nope. The Treaties themselves are proof.
    You could have some fun drafting the clause to follow this one in the EFTA convention if we rejoined.

    "Having regard to the successive withdrawals from the Convention by the Kingdom of Denmark and the United Kingdom on 1 January 1973; the Republic of Portugal on 1 January 1986; the Republic of Austria, the Republic of Finland and the Kingdom of Sweden on 1 January 1995"
    True. :-)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458

    What a strike!

    A decent keeper should save that.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Pulpstar said:

    What a corker of a goal though.

    I thought so at first, but on the replay it's awful positioning from Joe Hart - he has to save that.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,462
    Norm said:

    Danny565 said:

    What the hell possesses humanbeings to do things like this.

    Passions are inflamed on both sides, I've encountered more anger/rudeness in this referendum than I've encountered in all the others campaigns I've been involved before combined.
    Indeed so. I received a lot of rudeness from the inevitably middle class remainers while canvassing last night. In politics having a thick skin is part of the job.

    As for the poor Labour MP bad as the attack sounds I don't think the referendum will turn on that. These kind of people so often have a medical history.
    Anyone wandering around Leeds with a pistol is in a different mind-space to the vast majority...
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    MikeK said:

    MP_SE said:

    It's over for Leave.

    Why should that be? Are you suggesting that this was a premeditated attack on the MP; When eye witnesses say that she interposed herself on a private quarrel. Remain are really trying to beat Leave with any handy stick.
    Lets wait for the full facts. If Remain try to jump in and make political capital for them it would be game over for them.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,023
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
    The UK is part of the EEA by dint of being also member of the EU. If the UK loses its EU membership it will have to join EFTA to continue with the EEA. There are important questions of jurisdiction. Now could the EU block re-accession to the EEA via EFTA? (Leaving aside the question of whether EFTA member Norway would also do the same). Technically EFTA membership isn't under the control of the EU but I it would be foolish to assume they can't stop us getting into the EEA
    I've now read through the EEA agreement (http://www.efta.int/media/documents/legal-texts/eea/the-eea-agreement/Main Text of the Agreement/EEAagreement.pdf) and I'm afraid I have changed my mind. I no longer share Richard's view that we would automatically join the EEA should we become a member of EFTA.

    My interpretation rests on two pillars:

    1. While the treaty uses the words "EFTA states" a lot, it specifically defines that term to mean "Norway, Iceland and Litchenstein".
    2. The treaty contains specific provisions regarding new members of the EU becoming automatically party to the agreement. There is no corresponding text regarding new members of EFTA.

    Based on this, I'm now fairly certain that us joining EFTA would not automatically lead to us being a member of the EEA.

    Perhaps one of our resident lawyers could have a read and see if my interpretation is correct.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Oh, and who was it who gave away the free kick?
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Good afternoon all. Terrible to hear about Jo Cox. I have no words.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351

    No we would not. That is absolutely wrong as I have pointed out to you many times before. The treaty stands and we would remain signatories. The only way the EU could prevent it is by breaching or withdrawing from the treaty entirely.

    LOL, I love the way that you think that 'Richard Tyndall pointing something out' is decisive proof!
    Nope. The Treaties themselves are proof.
    You could have some fun drafting the clause to follow this one in the EFTA convention if we rejoined.

    "Having regard to the successive withdrawals from the Convention by the Kingdom of Denmark and the United Kingdom on 1 January 1973; the Republic of Portugal on 1 January 1986; the Republic of Austria, the Republic of Finland and the Kingdom of Sweden on 1 January 1995"
    Wouldn't you just love to be the one who drafted it to say

    "And the return of the United Kingdom on 1 January 2018 because they can't make their bloody minds up. " :-)
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400

    We're going home, we're going home, England's going home....

    To be honest, probably a relief as it will save the English fans from embarrassing their country anymore.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    FF43 said:

    I feel sick to the stomach about the shooting. I pray Jo Cox pulls through.

    Seconded.
    Woe betide anyone who tries to exploit this heinous act.
    I second that too. Keeping my fingers crossed for Jo Cox
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,786
    edited June 2016
    England never fail to live to expectations....

    Very sad to hear about the MP.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,068

    Oh, and who was it who gave away the free kick?

    Rooney.
  • Innocent_AbroadInnocent_Abroad Posts: 3,294
    John_M said:

    Good afternoon all. Terrible to hear about Jo Cox. I have no words.

    Terrible indeed. But not surprising. And there will be others. Representative democracy is finished.

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,741
    Mr. Eagles, are you suggesting the nation's foremost shampoo salesman wasn't up to the job?
  • Remain backed into 1.58 on the motive of the shooting.
This discussion has been closed.