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  • theakestheakes Posts: 929
    The only possible saviour for Remain is her Majesty, will she make a comment at the weekend on the lines of the Balmoral statement that Sunday moring before the Scots referendum.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,460

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.
    How will you feel about a Cabinet with Corbyn, McDonnell and Abbott, and no EU rules to limit state interference in the economy?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.

    Farage is the bogey-man being used to try and stop Leave.

    "If Leave win, Farage will be in government"

    "If you vote Leave, you will be a Faragette"

    "Leave means you think like Farage"

    Rinse, repeat.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.
    How will you feel about a Cabinet with Corbyn, McDonnell and Abbott, and no EU rules to limit state interference in the economy?
    That thankfully we live in a democracy and they will have five years maximum damage to inflict upon us before we get the next chance to kick them out.

    Unlike the undemocratic EU where elections don't decide policy.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,630
    PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is Kate Hoey still a part of the Farage Leave campaign? If so, she should either immediately disown that poster or be expelled from the Labour party. That poster is among the most disgusting I have ever seen. Absolutely repulsive. What a revolting man Nigel Farage is, standing there grinning in front of something that demonises people fleeing from mass-murdering psychopaths.

    I looked at it and winced. Then looked at it again and thought back over so many conversations with voters both during the GE campaign and more recently. And concluded the poster probably gets it right for its audience.
    Farage and UKIP do what they want. On the issue about all this outrage from REMAINers, presumably this is reason number 201 from REMAIN as to why they going to win?

    No, Remain will lose. And there is a proper and important discussion to be had about immigration. But the racism and xenophobia that Farage panders to has no part in it. Like Trump, Farage has thrown the dogwhistle away.

    I'm in a quandary like SeanT in some ways.

    I've been a Brexiteer because I worry about democracy and sovereignty (or lack of) immigration has never been a concern for me and finding myself on the same side of the debate as Farage and UKIP is very uncomfortable... In normal circumstances I rate these people as complete nut cases and would be ashamed to be associated with them as I'm sure has been noted over the years

    This is the great pity of Cameron's lost renegotiation opportunity. Because of his lamentable failure to get a genuine deal that reforms our relationship with with the EU I've been forced to the same side as Farage... A place I'm very uncomfortable to be it must be said.
    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.

    The Kate Hoey who was sailing down the Thames with Nigel Farage yesterday?

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,233
    PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is Kate Hoey still a part of the Farage Leave campaign? If so, she should either immediately disown that poster or be expelled from the Labour party. That poster is among the most disgusting I have ever seen. Absolutely repulsive. What a revolting man Nigel Farage is, standing there grinning in front of something that demonises people fleeing from mass-murdering psychopaths.

    I looked at it and winced. Then looked at it again and thought back over so many conversations with voters both during the GE campaign and more recently. And concluded the poster probably gets it right for its audience.
    Farage and UKIP do what they want. On the issue about all this outrage from REMAINers, presumably this is reason number 201 from REMAIN as to why they going to win?

    No, Remain will lose. And there is a proper and important discussion to be had about immigration. But the racism and xenophobia that Farage panders to has no part in it. Like Trump, Farage has thrown the dogwhistle away.

    I'm in a quandary like SeanT in some ways.

    I've been a Brexiteer because I worry about democracy and sovereignty (or lack of) immigration has never been a concern for me and finding myself on the same side of the debate as Farage and UKIP is very uncomfortable... In normal circumstances I rate these people as complete nut cases and would be ashamed to be associated with them as I'm sure has been noted over the years

    This is the great pity of Cameron's lost renegotiation opportunity. Because of his lamentable failure to get a genuine deal that reforms our relationship with with the EU I've been forced to the same side as Farage... A place I'm very uncomfortable to be it must be said.
    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.
    True. Michael Gove was very impressive on QT last night as well.
  • So Hammond is Remain. May is Remain. And Clarkson has confirmed Remain. Oh well
    http://news.sky.com/story/1712859/pm-steps-up-a-gear-and-calls-in-clarkson
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Anyone know what happens to EHIC cards post Brexit? I asked a while ago and might have missed an anwer.

    Nothing for two years presumably (or until we officially exit) - if we remain in the EEA then it presumably is unaffected.

    The EEA = EU + Switzerland + Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. It allows them to be part of the EU’s single market. (Government website)

    If not then presumably this is one thing up for negotiation. As I work in Insurance I would remind people that the EHIC is not a substitute for travel insurance - I would also mention that many insurance companies rate the whole of Europe at one rate (as well as some currently covering the North African coastal countries and Israel.)
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    theakes said:

    The only possible saviour for Remain is her Majesty, will she make a comment at the weekend on the lines of the Balmoral statement that Sunday moring before the Scots referendum.

    Nope. The Crathie statement risked cheesing off ±4% of the UK, any EU statement would risk cheesing off ±50% of the UK.......
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    PlatoSaid said:

    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.

    Hoey was quite happy to stand shoulder to shoulder with Farage yesterday.

    Although she seems a bit shy today
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    Anyone know what happens to EHIC cards post Brexit? I asked a while ago and might have missed an anwer.

    It would almost certainly continue. We have exactly the same arrangement on a bilateral basis with every other country in Europe outside the EU -although the former Russian stares are currently suspended because of sanctions.

    I would expect that the arrangements would continue unchanged.
    thanks.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    How long will that be? 10 years? 20 years? Longer?

    Meanwhile millions are hugely unhappy with our EU relationship *now*, and we will be treated as a sullen, resentful (but ultimately cowardly) awkward child if we stay. Remaining solves absolutely nothing, and we will get nothing, except giving into our fears.

    There's a decade of uncertainty alright; that's if we stay.

    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.

    Farage is the bogey-man being used to try and stop Leave.

    "If Leave win, Farage will be in government"

    "If you vote Leave, you will be a Faragette"

    "Leave means you think like Farage"

    Rinse, repeat.
    It's not working either. It just looks childish and personal - it doesn't deliver what Remain needs to pull back.
  • EstobarEstobar Posts: 558
    theakes said:

    The only possible saviour for Remain is her Majesty, will she make a comment at the weekend on the lines of the Balmoral statement that Sunday moring before the Scots referendum.

    But she supports Leave so that's unlikely
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    A source close to Mr Johnson denied the claims, saying they were "hogwash."
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    theakes said:

    The only possible saviour for Remain is her Majesty, will she make a comment at the weekend on the lines of the Balmoral statement that Sunday moring before the Scots referendum.

    Or, alternatively, she makes a statement that it's so nice to see her people trying to regain control over their future.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458

    A source close to Mr Johnson denied the claims, saying they were "hogwash."
    I feel the urge to channel Mandy Rice-Davies
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
    Act in haste repent at leisure.....
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,690
    edited June 2016



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    It seems to be on a knife edge. Suppose Remain wins, but perhaps 45% opted Leave, and many of them are highly motivated. There would then seem to be mileage in putting such a pledge into a (Conservative) manifesto, recalling Scotland after the referendum there.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Alastair - have we now abandoned our common sense that says if something is politically suicidal, it won't happen?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
    Act in haste repent at leisure.....

    Haste? 40 ***** years!
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,960

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    How long will that be? 10 years? 20 years? Longer?

    Meanwhile millions are hugely unhappy with our EU relationship *now*, and we will be treated as a sullen, resentful (but ultimately cowardly) awkward child if we stay. Remaining solves absolutely nothing, and we will get nothing, except giving into our fears.

    There's a decade of uncertainty alright; that's if we stay.

    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
    If it were done when 'tis done then t'were well it were done quickly
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    Anyone know what happens to EHIC cards post Brexit? I asked a while ago and might have missed an anwer.

    I'm sure that we'll negotiate an advantageous arrangement.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    geoffw said:



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    It seems to be on a knife edge. Suppose Remain wins, but perhaps 45% opted Leave, and many of them are highly motivated. There would then seem to be mileage in putting such a pledge into a (Conservative) manifesto, recalling Scotland after the referendum there.
    And FPTP could deliver us 'freedom' (sic) on 35% of the vote......
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,460



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
    Act in haste repent at leisure.....

    Haste? 40 ***** years!
    They'll be known in future as 'les quarante glorieuses'.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,630
    Estobar said:

    theakes said:

    The only possible saviour for Remain is her Majesty, will she make a comment at the weekend on the lines of the Balmoral statement that Sunday moring before the Scots referendum.

    But she supports Leave so that's unlikely

    Yep, she is making her own stand against the Establishment elite.

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231
    Lennon said:

    Once Article 50 was triggered, the terms of British exit would be negotiated not by British politicians or officials, but by the other 27 nations of the Union. Britain would find itself in the same position as the United Provinces of the Netherlands in 1713, when they were frozen out of negotiations to end the War of the Spanish Succession by the great powers of Austria, Britain, France, Portugal and Spain. The French diplomat Melchior de Polignac taunted the Dutch, saying that discussions would be “de vous, chez vous, mais sans vous” – “about you, in your own home, but without you”.

    http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2016/06/eu-referendum-was-meant-be-tory-nightmare-it-has-become-one-labour

    Not so. The EU would decide their negotiating position whilst ghe UK decided theirs. There would then be negotiations. But neither side is forced to accept any deal they do not agree with.
    So at the end of two years the UK is out of the EU without a deal.....
    The we leave anyway and negotiate a trade deal.

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.
    Indeed. Although there is a bit of a prisoners dilemma for the EU. As in my view a "beefed up" EFTA with us, Iceland, Norway would potentially be pretty attractive to Sweden and Denmark (and maybe Ireland?) - particularly if they moved together. Would the EU tolerate that, or would they want to prevent it, and harm both us and them in the process?
    For existing non eurozone members not committed to full economic union, I think they'd tolerate it. It simplifies their core EU.

    Bear in mind that the UK's central policy objective for centuries has been to preserve the balance of power in Europe. Creating a non-EU non-euro zone power centre is now the only real way to do this, politically.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,690

    geoffw said:



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    It seems to be on a knife edge. Suppose Remain wins, but perhaps 45% opted Leave, and many of them are highly motivated. There would then seem to be mileage in putting such a pledge into a (Conservative) manifesto, recalling Scotland after the referendum there.
    And FPTP could deliver us 'freedom' (sic) on 35% of the vote......
    Quite so.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,460

    Bear in mind that the UK's central policy objective for centuries has been to preserve the balance of power in Europe. Creating a non-EU non-euro zone power centre is now the only real way to do this, politically.

    And knowing that, do you think the EU will be naive about how it negotiates with the UK post-Brexit?
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,908
    Cameron campaigning for Remain in Gibraltar
    "Opinion polls suggest UK citizens in Gibraltar will vote to remain in the EU, amid concerns its border with Spain would be closed if Britain left,"
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36548175
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231



    We simply MUST not let this opportunity pass.

    Why?

    If we don't like the way the EU develops we can elect a government with a manifesto pledge to take us out and don't even need to have another referendum. Then we're out.
    We must get this done and get this done quickly.
    Act in haste repent at leisure.....
    My decision is the culmination of many years and is anything but hasty.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893
    PlatoSaid said:

    It's not working either. It just looks childish and personal - it doesn't deliver what Remain needs to pull back.

    Remain has spent the last couple of months calling Leavers racist and getting bankers to whine about how they will not be quite as rich if we leave the EU. Why Remain have decided to double down on this guff is beyond me. The fact that Remain can't come up with a convincing positive message about our EU membership is pretty telling if you ask me.
  • timmotimmo Posts: 1,469
    weejonnie said:

    Leave drifting again on Betfair - now 2.56.

    Do you think that either the BoE or Goldmans are in propping up the betfair market?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    glw said:

    Remain has spent the last couple of months calling Leavers racist

    Then Nigel does this

    https://twitter.com/journostephen/status/743424256130842624
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    Main London news - Illegal immigrants found in back of lorry in Havering.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,460
    Scott_P said:

    glw said:

    Remain has spent the last couple of months calling Leavers racist

    Then Nigel does this
    Apparently it's just 'good cop, bad cop', so that's ok then.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231

    Bear in mind that the UK's central policy objective for centuries has been to preserve the balance of power in Europe. Creating a non-EU non-euro zone power centre is now the only real way to do this, politically.

    And knowing that, do you think the EU will be naive about how it negotiates with the UK post-Brexit?
    Absolutely not, but I believe it will be practical as today's telegraph front page demonstrates.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Apparently it's just 'good cop, bad cop', so that's ok then.

    Good cop, racist cop.

    Proven formula...
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893
    Scott_P said:

    Then Nigel does this

    Nigel is not all Leavers, not even a majority. Remain keep making that mistake.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    glw said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    It's not working either. It just looks childish and personal - it doesn't deliver what Remain needs to pull back.

    Remain has spent the last couple of months calling Leavers racist and getting bankers to whine about how they will not be quite as rich if we leave the EU. Why Remain have decided to double down on this guff is beyond me. The fact that Remain can't come up with a convincing positive message about our EU membership is pretty telling if you ask me.
    Labour's message today is vote Remain because Boris, Gove Evil Tories. It failed when Eagles did it. They seem stuck in a rut.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2016

    Alastair - have we now abandoned our common sense that says if something is politically suicidal, it won't happen?
    It doesn't matter whether or not its going to happen, it's whether people believe it - the tories did the same thing running up to 2015 - all sorts of stories about Ed/SNP "secret talks" etc etc.

    Leave have left themselves very vulnerable to this sort of thing.

    What surprises me most is Crick playing along.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    glw said:

    Nigel is not all Leavers, not even a majority. Remain keep making that mistake.

    And yet Leavers have made no move to distance themselves from him

    Funny that
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Oh shit, Jo Cox MP stabbed and shot at constituency office
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    On the EU's likely negotiating strategy, this seems pretty succinct to me:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/stewart-wood/brexit-eu-referendum_b_10479582.html

    "2. Securing a new trade deal with the EU

    Key to the prospect of Britain thriving outside the EU will be our ability to deliver on the Brexiteers’ claim that the EU will have a strong interest in offering us access to the single market. Much discussed has been the terms on which this might take place - ranging from the Norwegian and Swiss options to the South Korean and Albanian option. But what kind of deal will the EU give us? Surely, Brexiteers argue, given how much the EU relies on buying UK goods, they will not refuse a deal that would cause economic self-harm.

    Well, actually, they might. In fact they probably will. To believe otherwise you’d have to think that statements such as that of German finance minister Schaeuble, insisting that Britain will not enjoy access to the Single Market if it left the EU, are pre-referendum bluffs. You would also have to believe that the EU is prepared to decide to offer the departing UK a deal that includes the main benefits of membership without the costs. Just why a club would find it in its interest to offer better terms to non-members than members is unexplained. Let alone why an EU, most of whose governments face an unprecedented surge in radical Eurosceptic populism, would give this amount of encouragement to anti-EU political forces in their own country.

    It is a misunderstanding of the revealed preferences of Germany and other EU member state governments - who prize the integrity of the EU so strongly - to think that Britain will not pay a big trade penalty for initiating divorce proceedings. And it suggests a strange contradiction in Eurosceptic reasoning: the same people who believe that Britain is constantly frustrated by an intransigent EU while it is a member think that the minute we leave we will succeed in getting the trade deal of our dreams from Brussels."
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    Cameron campaigning for Remain in Gibraltar
    "Opinion polls suggest UK citizens in Gibraltar will vote to remain in the EU, amid concerns its border with Spain would be closed if Britain left,"
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36548175

    Given how 'robustly' Cameron negotiated with Europe for his deal, I'd be very worried if I were a Gibraltarian.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,960
    SeanT said:

    Here's a moral dilemma, perhaps pb-ers can help me

    I am a convinced LEAVER. I have very carefully weighed everything, and have - with great reluctance, and some trepidation - decided that OUT is best for my country, long term. Better for my kids.

    I really really wanted Cameron to deliver some proper reform, something close to his Bloomberg aspirations, but he didn't. He came nowhere near. He failed, miserably.

    That said, I have lots of friends who are now panicking, some of them are outright terrified. People poorer than me, who won't be able to endure recession or house price falls, the way I can. People worried their jobs will go.

    These are people I love. I love my friends. I am about to do something that will very possibly harm them.

    What do I do? What is the moral course of action?

    I have had a few gos at trying to answer your question, but since I consider REMAIN to be the moral course of action I can't answer your question without steering you to that verdict, and I sense you would not find that helpful.

    So in the end all I can give you is: do as you consider right for yourself and your family, be neither cruel nor cowardly, and hope that your decision (whatever it is) will be one that you can live with thereafter. I hope that that is sufficient and good luck with whatever you decide.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,908

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.
    What is a 'Leave Government' when did we elect them?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Scott_P said:

    glw said:

    Nigel is not all Leavers, not even a majority. Remain keep making that mistake.

    And yet Leavers have made no move to distance themselves from him

    Funny that
    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    MP Jo Cox injured following reports of shooting and stabbing in Birstall, West Yorkshire

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-36550304
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    breaking: Labour MP injured in shooting and stabbing incident...
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,630
    Jesus, those anthems. Even God Save the Queen was passionately sung. The Welsh one is a killer.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    If this is related to the Referendum....
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?

    Post the official statement from Vote Leave, or Kate Hoey, or Boris, or Gove, distancing themselves from his poster launch this morning.

    Otherwise keep quiet.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,462
    PlatoSaid said:

    @GIN1138 I have made it clear since I first came off the fence for Remain that I did so not out of any love for Remain but because it was clear that Leave was going to be led in the wrong direction by the wrong people. In other words, Leave was going to result in an inferior outcome to Remain.

    The thought of Lord Farage sitting in the Cabinet after standing in front of that poster makes me shudder.

    Farage is coming nowhere bloody near a Leave Government.

    Actually think Leadsom, Gove, May, Davidson, and others, will make a fantastic and sensible team, though.

    Farage is the bogey-man being used to try and stop Leave.

    "If Leave win, Farage will be in government"

    "If you vote Leave, you will be a Faragette"

    "Leave means you think like Farage"

    Rinse, repeat.
    It's not working either. It just looks childish and personal - it doesn't deliver what Remain needs to pull back.
    It was on the personal leaflet sent to me by Remain. "Don't let Farage speak for you." He doesn't, Remain. He never will.... And him being a Leave voter won't stop me voting Leave. Any more than Osborne being for Remain won't stop Labour voters putting their cross against Remain, will it?

    Will it?
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893

    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?

    There's barely any point engaging in conversation with Scott you will only get another straw man in response.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Apparently, Jo Cox is the one who was shot.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231

    On the EU's likely negotiating strategy, this seems pretty succinct to me:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/stewart-wood/brexit-eu-referendum_b_10479582.html

    "2. Securing a new trade deal with the EU

    Key to the prospect of Britain thriving outside the EU will be our ability to deliver on the Brexiteers’ claim that the EU will have a strong interest in offering us access to the single market. Much discussed has been the terms on which this might take place - ranging from the Norwegian and Swiss options to the South Korean and Albanian option. But what kind of deal will the EU give us? Surely, Brexiteers argue, given how much the EU relies on buying UK goods, they will not refuse a deal that would cause economic self-harm.

    Well, actually, they might. In fact they probably will. To believe otherwise you’d have to think that statements such as that of German finance minister Schaeuble, insisting that Britain will not enjoy access to the Single Market if it left the EU, are pre-referendum bluffs. You would also have to believe that the EU is prepared to decide to offer the departing UK a deal that includes the main benefits of membership without the costs. Just why a club would find it in its interest to offer better terms to non-members than members is unexplained. Let alone why an EU, most of whose governments face an unprecedented surge in radical Eurosceptic populism, would give this amount of encouragement to anti-EU political forces in their own country.

    It is a misunderstanding of the revealed preferences of Germany and other EU member state governments - who prize the integrity of the EU so strongly - to think that Britain will not pay a big trade penalty for initiating divorce proceedings. And it suggests a strange contradiction in Eurosceptic reasoning: the same people who believe that Britain is constantly frustrated by an intransigent EU while it is a member think that the minute we leave we will succeed in getting the trade deal of our dreams from Brussels."

    Usual europhile "everyone will be ghastly" guff.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351

    On the EU's likely negotiating strategy, this seems pretty succinct to me:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/stewart-wood/brexit-eu-referendum_b_10479582.html

    "2. Securing a new trade deal with the EU

    Key to the prospect of Britain thriving outside the EU will be our ability to deliver on the Brexiteers’ claim that the EU will have a strong interest in offering us access to the single market. Much discussed has been the terms on which this might take place - ranging from the Norwegian and Swiss options to the South Korean and Albanian option. But what kind of deal will the EU give us? Surely, Brexiteers argue, given how much the EU relies on buying UK goods, they will not refuse a deal that would cause economic self-harm.

    Well, actually, they might. In fact they probably will. To believe otherwise you’d have to think that statements such as that of German finance minister Schaeuble, insisting that Britain will not enjoy access to the Single Market if it left the EU, are pre-referendum bluffs. You would also have to believe that the EU is prepared to decide to offer the departing UK a deal that includes the main benefits of membership without the costs. Just why a club would find it in its interest to offer better terms to non-members than members is unexplained. Let alone why an EU, most of whose governments face an unprecedented surge in radical Eurosceptic populism, would give this amount of encouragement to anti-EU political forces in their own country.

    It is a misunderstanding of the revealed preferences of Germany and other EU member state governments - who prize the integrity of the EU so strongly - to think that Britain will not pay a big trade penalty for initiating divorce proceedings. And it suggests a strange contradiction in Eurosceptic reasoning: the same people who believe that Britain is constantly frustrated by an intransigent EU while it is a member think that the minute we leave we will succeed in getting the trade deal of our dreams from Brussels."

    Of course they are pre-referendum bluffs. Schaeuble will do anything he can to prevent a Brexit but once it has happened he will act in the best interests of his country and his own political career just like any other self serving politician (the first necessarily deriving from the second).

    And again this all assumes we do not choose the EFTA route.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,908

    Scott_P said:

    glw said:

    Nigel is not all Leavers, not even a majority. Remain keep making that mistake.

    And yet Leavers have made no move to distance themselves from him

    Funny that
    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?
    Calm down dear and stop shouting. Just give us a few links to prominent Leavers condemning Farage's poster and we'll be satisfied.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    glw said:

    There's barely any point engaging in conversation with Scott you will only get another straw man in response.

    Shoe me the statements distancing themselves from his poster launch this morning
  • glwglw Posts: 9,893
    PlatoSaid said:

    Labour's message today is vote Remain because Boris, Gove Evil Tories. It failed when Eagles did it. They seem stuck in a rut.

    Another tone deaf Remain message, in effect they are saying "Vote Cameron and Osborne" because of "Boris and Gove". How the hell is that supposed to work?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2016
    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Here's a moral dilemma, perhaps pb-ers can help me

    I am a convinced LEAVER. I have very carefully weighed everything, and have - with great reluctance, and some trepidation - decided that OUT is best for my country, long term. Better for my kids.

    I really really wanted Cameron to deliver some proper reform, something close to his Bloomberg aspirations, but he didn't. He came nowhere near. He failed, miserably.

    That said, I have lots of friends who are now panicking, some of them are outright terrified. People poorer than me, who won't be able to endure recession or house price falls, the way I can. People worried their jobs will go.

    These are people I love. I love my friends. I am about to do something that will very possibly harm them.

    What do I do? What is the moral course of action?

    I have had a few gos at trying to answer your question, but since I consider REMAIN to be the moral course of action I can't answer your question without steering you to that verdict, and I sense you would not find that helpful.

    So in the end all I can give you is: do as you consider right for yourself and your family, be neither cruel nor cowardly, and hope that your decision (whatever it is) will be one that you can live with thereafter. I hope that that is sufficient and good luck with whatever you decide.
    Screw the morals, just vote remain Sean.

    From what I've grasped from your PB postings, you're AB1 and old and live in London - it's in your Interest to remain.

    Were you a 25 year old DE living in Stoke, Leave would be a no-brainer.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,068
    Hope Jo will be alright :(
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231
    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Shit. If it is (by an enraged Leaver) then it's lost for Leave, IMHO.

    Heart goes out to her.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Danny565 said:

    Apparently, Jo Cox is the one who was shot.

    WTF :anguished:
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Scott_P said:

    That's an outright LIE. Vote Leave have tried to keep their utmost distance away from him and were furious he was invited onto ITV. Considering you whine about what you call lying what makes you think you can get away with this LIE?

    Post the official statement from Vote Leave, or Kate Hoey, or Boris, or Gove, distancing themselves from his poster launch this morning.

    Otherwise keep quiet.
    Vote Leave have nothing to do with this poster. But here's some statements you lying ignorant fool.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36273499
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-vote-leave-furious-as-itv-announces-debate-between-nigel-farage-and-david-cameron-a7025226.html
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/12/vote-leave-lambasts-itv-over-eu-debate-between-cameron-and-farage
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    Danny565 said:

    Apparently, Jo Cox is the one who was shot.

    Good grief, this is absolutely awful.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Shit. If it is (by an enraged Leaver) then it's lost for Leave, IMHO.

    Heart goes out to her.
    Why would an enraged Leaver be going around shooting people?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    FF43 said:

    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    I am fairly confident that post-Brexit former Remainers will compromise with moderate Leavers for a consensus on the EEA, on the grounds it was the least of the evils. Leave were lying through their teeth about a ton of other things, why should they care about retaining freedom of movement when they said they would reduce immigration?

    Whether the other players will accept the UK signing up to the EEA is open IMHO. It would be a classic EU "extend and pretend" move. OTOH the EU generally thinks the arrangement with Switzerland was a mistake, which they may be conscious of not repeating. Also Norway has said categorically that the EEA won't work for the UK. They are the main current player on the EFTA side.
    AS I have said numerous times before we would not be 'signing up' to EEA membership as we are already a member and an independent signatory to the original treaty.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Let's hope she is okay.

    Attacked at a surgery could be any lunatic. Didn't it happen to Stephen Timms?
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    @Casino_Royale I appreciate that you disagree. But the article concisely explains that other things may well be more important to those on the other side of the table than short term economic impact.

    Given that Leave's whole schtick is that there are more important things than short term economic impact, I would have hoped that you could at least accept the possibility that others might approach questions similarly.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Vote Leave have nothing to do with this poster. But here's some statements you lying ignorant fool.

    No statement distancing them from Farage's racist poster launch

    So I am not the one who is lying, or ignorant
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    glw said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Labour's message today is vote Remain because Boris, Gove Evil Tories. It failed when Eagles did it. They seem stuck in a rut.

    Another tone deaf Remain message, in effect they are saying "Vote Cameron and Osborne" because of "Boris and Gove". How the hell is that supposed to work?
    I don't think Gordon or McIRA thought that far ahead.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,276
    Danny565 said:

    Apparently, Jo Cox is the one who was shot.

    Breath held and fingers crossed.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,886
    edited June 2016
    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Wiki says the Syrian Civil War is one of her main campaigning issues, though not in what respect. Not to jump to conclusions, but that seems a more likely connection.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    DanSmith said:

    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Shit. If it is (by an enraged Leaver) then it's lost for Leave, IMHO.

    Heart goes out to her.
    Why would an enraged Leaver be going around shooting people?
    Her husband participated in the protest on the Thames yesterday.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231

    @Casino_Royale I appreciate that you disagree. But the article concisely explains that other things may well be more important to those on the other side of the table than short term economic impact.

    Given that Leave's whole schtick is that there are more important things than short term economic impact, I would have hoped that you could at least accept the possibility that others might approach questions similarly.

    I have laid out my thoughts on the EU's negotiating approach and I think these are far more anchored in fact.

    That huff post article is so bias it's unreal.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,462
    Scott_P said:

    glw said:

    Nigel is not all Leavers, not even a majority. Remain keep making that mistake.

    And yet Leavers have made no move to distance themselves from him

    Funny that
    I pointed out immediately that it was a UKIP poster, not a poster by any Leave campaign I am standing beside.

    Loose-cannon Farage was always at risk of doing his own Me! Me! Me! thing.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,231
    DanSmith said:

    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Shit. If it is (by an enraged Leaver) then it's lost for Leave, IMHO.

    Heart goes out to her.
    Why would an enraged Leaver be going around shooting people?
    It could be a deranged, unstable constituent infuriated by her support and campaigning for Remain.

    I really hope I'm wrong and that she's ok.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,162
    PlatoSaid said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is Kate Hoey still a part of the Farage Leave campaign? If so, she should either immediately disown that poster or be expelled from the Labour party. That poster is among the most disgusting I have ever seen. Absolutely repulsive. What a revolting man Nigel Farage is, standing there grinning in front of something that demonises people fleeing from mass-murdering psychopaths.

    I looked at it and winced. Then looked at it again and thought back over so many conversations with voters both during the GE campaign and more recently. And concluded the poster probably gets it right for its audience.
    Farage and UKIP do what they want. On the issue about all this outrage from REMAINers, presumably this is reason number 201 from REMAIN as to why they going to win?

    No, Remain will lose. And there is a proper and important discussion to be had about immigration. But the racism and xenophobia that Farage panders to has no part in it. Like Trump, Farage has thrown the dogwhistle away.

    I'm in a quandary like SeanT in some ways.

    I've been a Brexiteer because I worry about democracy and sovereignty (or lack of) immigration has never been a concern for me and finding myself on the same side of the debate as Farage and UKIP is very uncomfortable... In normal circumstances I rate these people as complete nut cases and would be ashamed to be associated with them as I'm sure has been noted over the years

    This is the great pity of Cameron's lost renegotiation opportunity. Because of his lamentable failure to get a genuine deal that reforms our relationship with with the EU I've been forced to the same side as Farage... A place I'm very uncomfortable to be it must be said.
    Simply ignore Farage - he's not even a MP, if we vote Brexit - he'll be out of that MEP job too. Think of Gisela and Hoey and Leadsom. They're the mainstream.
    Oh really - link to where they have condemned that poster please.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,230
    edited June 2016
    chestnut said:

    Let's hope she is okay.

    Attacked at a surgery could be any lunatic. Didn't it happen to Stephen Timms?

    Yep but its remarkable how quickly people take 1 news report and a single comment and come to an insane conclusion...
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    Vardy would have buried that. Why is Sterling playing instead of him?
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,288

    Cyclefree said:

    I really wish we could get a view on how the EU would react. Or even some intelligent comment from somewhere on how they might react. Would they be shocked and seek to do a better deal? Or would they breathe a sigh of relief, accept that Britain's participation has not worked out well and wave us goodbye? And if the latter, what sort of a deal would we get?

    It's not a monolithic organisation with a set position, it's a combination of 27 other states of differing political persuasions and each with their own interests to defend, a bureaucracy, and a rag-tag parliament with MEPs from all sorts of odd parties. There's no reason to suppose that all those disparate voices will react in the same way.
    Even given all that they tend to end up with one position. And I'd still like to hear from them!

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    chestnut said:

    Let's hope she is okay.

    Attacked at a surgery could be any lunatic. Didn't it happen to Stephen Timms?

    A woman pissed off about Iraq war knifed him in the stomach
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    viewcode said:

    Besides I still believe the most likely result is EFTA membership.

    Despite the fact that VoteLeave have explicitly rejected those options.
    VoteLeave will not be making that decision after Brexit. And as I pointed out the other day there is a clear majority for EFTA membership in the event of a Leave win.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    BBC saying gunman might still be on the loose, local primary school "in lockdown"...
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    Scott_P said:

    glw said:

    Remain has spent the last couple of months calling Leavers racist

    Then Nigel does this

    https://twitter.com/journostephen/status/743424256130842624
    Contrary to what other commentators on here have said about that poster, it's not a picture of people fleeing persecution, it was taken on the Serbia/Slovenia border.
    Some of the people in the picture may have originally fled war torn Syria but they have passed through many other countries where they were perfectly safe including Turkey and Greece.
    It's also been found that many of those who made that crossing are not originally from Syria but people from numerous other countries seeking to enter Europe on the back of the Syrian crisis.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,351
    edited June 2016

    Given the campaign by Vote Leave and the public statements of Gove, Boris and other leading figures, I don't think there's any realistic chance of us applying for an EEA or EEA-style deal, even if one were on offer, which is looking increasingly unlikely.

    Why do you say EFTA membership is looking increasingly unlikely to be offered? In fact all the recent statements from politicians in places like Norway and Iceland have been more favourable.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,458
    My friends from LabourIn in West Yorkshire say Jo Cox has been seriously injured.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    DanSmith said:

    Danny565 said:

    If this is related to the Referendum....
    Shit. If it is (by an enraged Leaver) then it's lost for Leave, IMHO.

    Heart goes out to her.
    Why would an enraged Leaver be going around shooting people?
    It could be a deranged, unstable constituent infuriated by her support and campaigning for Remain.

    I really hope I'm wrong and that she's ok.
    You might be right but seems unlikely.

    Both sides need to be careful how they handle this, could blow up in either or both faces. Cool heads please.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    Eye witness - two shots, looked like a makeshift or WW1 type gun. Dry cleaner guy wrestled with the assailant.

    Shot in the street. Guy looked in his 60s
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Dear God.

    Hope this isn't something major in Yorkshire.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Cyclefree said:

    Even given all that they tend to end up with one position. And I'd still like to hear from them!

    Well, I suppose they'll have to end up with one position, but my point is more that even they can't tell you now what it would be. There will be a range of views at the moment (plus a lot may depend on how the financial markets react).
  • RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    Danny565 said:

    BBC saying gunman might still be on the loose, local primary school "in lockdown"...

    Danny565 said:

    BBC saying gunman might still be on the loose, local primary school "in lockdown"...

    That's awful news altogether. Hope he's caught soon.
This discussion has been closed.