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  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Gove doing a good job so far.
  • ThrakThrak Posts: 494

    john_zims said:

    @Danny565


    'But the problem is that Joe Public either doesn't care about, or actively doesn't want, Britain to be an "open, internationalist country". Rightly or wrongly, the mood right now is that we have enough problems of our own, and we're best off focussing on them.'

    Spot on.

    Joe Public wants to get a GP appointment when they are ill,not 3 weeks later.

    Joe Public wants their kid to get into their local school, preferably one that's not overcrowded.

    Joe Public wants to have affordable housing.

    Joe public wants to compete on a level playing field.

    Joe Public wants a lot more public spending. Joe Public is right. But Joe Public is not going to get that from Boris, Priti and co.


    Joe Public wants "the immigrants" sent back where they came from (got that gem today in a conversation out of the blue).

    Joe Public wants the rich to pay punitive rates of income tax.

    Joe Public wants capital punishment reintroduced.

    Joe Public wants their own taxes down and spending well up.

    Populism when released is a dangerous animal.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,367
    I'm a bit puzzled by Theresa May's intervention, Is she saying that some things are up for re-negotiation in the event of a Remain vote. Or is it just a no ifs, no buts, let's forget I ever said it thing? Copyright Cameron D.
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    alex. said:

    It's possible that Osborne's budget stuff today was quite simply a desperate attempt to get the campaign away from Immigation, immigration, immigration. People don't have to believe the extent of the warnings, but at least they will be thinking about something other than immigration. And presumably the idea is to get people thinking "that's scaremongering, it won't be anywhere near that bad", but as long as they still think it will be a little bit bad then that is probably enough.

    It's the flipside of Leave exaggerating the contributions we make to the EU, it's not best countered by "it's nothing like £350m it's much less than that".

    Bringing Osborne into the spotlight in these crucial last days is a huge mistake.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    MP_SE said:

    Danny565 said:

    Michael Gove WON'T support Osborne's Punishment Budget.

    Good. Osborne is an odious creature.
    I find myself very conflicted on that.

    On the one hand Osborne has done a good job of managing the economy towards the very clear goals that he and Cameron set. You may disagree with those goals (personally I support them) but he has pursued them fairly doggedly and made reasonable progress. But now he puts all that progress at risk by making rash promises which have no basis in democracy (Tory MPs were elected on a manifesto that promised, for example, to ringfence NHS spending) and which undermine his credibility and by extension undermine the UK economy.

    On the other hand without the Cameron/Osborne alliance and their electoral effectiveness we wouldn't be having a referendum - so where did it all go wrong?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    alex. said:

    It's possible that Osborne's budget stuff today was quite simply a desperate attempt to get the campaign away from Immigation, immigration, immigration. People don't have to believe the extent of the warnings, but at least they will be thinking about something other than immigration. And presumably the idea is to get people thinking "that's scaremongering, it won't be anywhere near that bad", but as long as they still think it will be a little bit bad then that is probably enough.

    It's the flipside of Leave exaggerating the contributions we make to the EU, it's not best countered by "it's nothing like £350m it's much less than that".

    Exactly - you beat me by one minute.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,367
    Mr Thrak,

    "Populism when released is a dangerous animal." Yes, democracy is over-rated. Better with a benevolent dictator. I'm available for a king's ransom.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411
    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    In the Year of Our Lord 2016, English, Scottish, Welsh and Northern Irish patriots, starving and outnumbered, charged the fields of EUref.
    They voted like warrior-poets.
    They voted like Britons.
    And they won their Freedom.
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    edited June 2016
    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.
  • John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    edited June 2016
    It seems that the two parts of the British middle class have swapped places.

    The traditional whingers, who say and really believe that it's the poor old middles who always get trodden on (whether or not they themselves are buy-to-let scum types), while the authorities hand out their tax money to the lower orders, are pulling on their Union Jack underwear with great joy at the thought that next Thursday there will be some kind of a right-wing popular revolution. Their whinging has been a part of the country's culture for generations. And now for a while they've stopped!

    The more educated types, meanwhile, are moaning and moaning that working class people ("members of the public", "the WWC", "the general public", "Joe Public") are allowed to vote - or that they are allowed to vote Leave anyway. I've spotted that attitude in several different places now. These types don't traditionally whinge much. They're too busy eating focaccia, pratting about at the gym, and talking about Tuscany or the Dordogne. But now they're whingeing like pros! Guardian readers, you are the new Daily Mail readers!

    I seriously can't imagine that the Daily Mail isn't going to join the Sun in encouraging its readers to vote Leave. This referendum is over.

    Then what? Well what kind of idiot thinks a Johnson-Gove government is going to cut immigration by much? The employers want immigration, and they want weak trade unions. And that's what they've got, a combination that allows them to keep wages low and then lower them some more.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Gove visibly pissed off at the Guardian trying to manipulate his dad.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    ITV News running with a main story about the mess at North Middlesex A and E.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,714

    Ah yes Gordo, who bullied darling and where George said his policies would lead to sharing the proceeds of growth.

    They're not credible

    Osborne certainly is, given that he has been perhaps the most successful Finance Minister of any major developed economy since the crash.
    Errr No.
    So who would you say has done better?
    Ken Clarke, but really it's a loaded question as there isn't much choice.
    Ken Clarke was good, true, but I was really asking about other comparable economies since the crash - few of which started out with as bad a position as Osborne inherited.
    Wolfgang Schaeuble

    but then he has an easy hand to play
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @chestnut

    'ITV News running with a main story about the mess at North Middlesex A and E.'


    What mess, have the doctors gone on strike again ?
  • ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    john_zims said:

    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.

    What bubble? I've been surrounded by this type of person and they think that leave is going to stop all immigration and some, who consider this relatively liberal, expect voluntary but stop at forced repatriation. You can't have much contact with the WWC if you don't realise that a party offering those things would walk into many northern town constituencies.
  • John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    edited June 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Gove visibly pissed off at the Guardian trying to manipulate his dad.

    That narrative is just pissing into the wind. The Remain dirty tricks unit needs to plant black propaganda painting UKIP and Johnson as Kremlin assets. Come on, guys! Seriously! Have a look at some of Farage's speeches in Strasbourg (search on "Ukraine"), and his appearances on RT. As for Johnson, look at Russian money in London. Do you have to hire me to tell you this stuff, or what?
  • John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    edited June 2016
    deleted
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411
    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It's actually £163 million a week (2015, net).
  • BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    john_zims said:

    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.

    Fixing those things does not require us to leave the EU. It just needs a Government which chooses to fix those things.

    Cameron and Osborne have brought this on themselves by following an unnecessarily harsh policy of austerity.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,253
    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    Sharon Krossa notes that the film contains numerous historical errors, beginning with the wearing of belted plaid by Wallace and his men. In that period "no Scots ... wore belted plaids (let alone kilts of any kind)." Moreover, when Highlanders finally did begin wearing the belted plaid, it was not "in the rather bizarre style depicted in the film". She compares the inaccuracy to "a film about Colonial America showing the colonial men wearing 20th century business suits, but with the jackets worn back-to-front instead of the right way around.

    "The events aren't accurate, the dates aren't accurate, the characters aren't accurate, the names aren't accurate, the clothes aren't accurate—in short, just about nothing is accurate." The belted plaid (feileadh mór léine) was not introduced until the 16th century.

    Peter Traquair has referred to Wallace's "farcical representation as a wild and hairy highlander painted with woad (1,000 years too late) running amok in a tartan kilt (500 years too early)."

    Irish historian, Seán Duffy remarked "the battle of Stirling Bridge could have done with a bridge."

    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braveheart#Historical_inaccuracy
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Blind Harry wrote ‘Schir William Wallace, Knicht of Ellerslie', a bit of pro-Wallace propaganda.

    In till Breichyn thai lugyt all that nycht;
    Syne on the morn Wallace get graith thaim rycht,
    Displayed on breid the baner off Scotland
    In gud aray, with noble men at hand;
    Gert plainly cry, that sawfte suld be nayne
    Off Sotheroun blud, quhar thai mycht be ourtayn.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    john_zims said:

    @chestnut

    'ITV News running with a main story about the mess at North Middlesex A and E.'


    What mess, have the doctors gone on strike again ?

    Junior Doctors not deemed competent enough and not enough seniors by the sound of it.

    Also an amalgamation of two A and E units into one.

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/health/north-middlesex-hospital-ae-threatened-with-closure-over-serious-risk-to-patient-safety-a3271681.html
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    edited June 2016

    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It's actually £163 million a week (2015, net).
    I prefer £288 million a week - the gross amount after the rebate.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,714

    Danny565 said:

    Michael Gove WON'T support Osborne's Punishment Budget.

    And so the last bridge is burned.

    The Tories are eating themselves.

    It's brilliant isn't it ?

    But of course they're all just one big happy family.

    The Addams possibly.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    SeanT said:

    The most tragic aspect of all this is that, if the Leavers had actually done their homework over the past four years, we might have been going into the referendum with a coherent Brexit plan, and thus avoided much of the economic risk. It's about three years too late now, though.

    The most tragic thing about all this is that your fucking moron of a prime minister could have avoided all this if he'd been a tenth the statesman he claims to be, and got a decent renegotiation.

    Instead he decided to wing it, get any old bollocks, and then - even worse - try and sell it to the British people as a miracle of statecraft. He seemed surprised when we all laughed. And that's when REMAIN began to go off the rails.

    The man who wanted to be prime minister because "he thought he'd be quite good at it", will, if he loses (now likelier than not) go down in history as the worst prime minister in 100 years, or maybe ever.

    Impressive.


    Surely not! He will have played a key part in getting us out of the EU.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    Sharon Krossa notes that the film contains numerous historical errors, beginning with the wearing of belted plaid by Wallace and his men. In that period "no Scots ... wore belted plaids (let alone kilts of any kind)." Moreover, when Highlanders finally did begin wearing the belted plaid, it was not "in the rather bizarre style depicted in the film". She compares the inaccuracy to "a film about Colonial America showing the colonial men wearing 20th century business suits, but with the jackets worn back-to-front instead of the right way around.

    "The events aren't accurate, the dates aren't accurate, the characters aren't accurate, the names aren't accurate, the clothes aren't accurate—in short, just about nothing is accurate." The belted plaid (feileadh mór léine) was not introduced until the 16th century.

    Peter Traquair has referred to Wallace's "farcical representation as a wild and hairy highlander painted with woad (1,000 years too late) running amok in a tartan kilt (500 years too early)."

    Irish historian, Seán Duffy remarked "the battle of Stirling Bridge could have done with a bridge."

    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braveheart#Historical_inaccuracy
    The battle of Stirling Bridge could also have done with a river. If you remove the river and bridge there is no point in the battle.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Indigo said:
    Did I tell you what I did on my Gap yaaaahhhhh....
  • The most tragic aspect of all this is that, if the Leavers had actually done their homework over the past four years, we might have been going into the referendum with a coherent Brexit plan, and thus avoided much of the economic risk. It's about three years too late now, though.

    Not really, it'll be at least another four years until we actually Brexit, probably more, assuming we ever do.

    Just filled in and posted my vote .... feeling good about it.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited June 2016



    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.

    Which was the worst ? U-571 ?

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411

    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It's actually £163 million a week (2015, net).
    I prefer £288 million a week - the gross amount after the rebate.
    Yeah, but using the Net amount outflanks any REMAINIAN gripes on the lines of "But that's the Gross amount". Correct?
  • pbr2013pbr2013 Posts: 649

    Ah yes Gordo, who bullied darling and where George said his policies would lead to sharing the proceeds of growth.

    They're not credible

    Osborne certainly is, given that he has been perhaps the most successful Finance Minister of any major developed economy since the crash.
    Not any more.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    My (very very vaguely) remain other half has informed me Gove is doing "quite well".
  • OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    The brilliant TV drama series Spartacus was, weirdly enough, despite all the tits and blood, impressively accurate in historical terms. Right down to the clothes and language.

    It speculated only where it HAD to speculate. So it can be done.

    It's one of the unsung triumphs of TV in my opinion. An outright masterpiece.
    I would add that I think Braveheart is a thoroughly enjoyable film, but it's definitely historical fantasy.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    pbr2013 said:

    Ah yes Gordo, who bullied darling and where George said his policies would lead to sharing the proceeds of growth.

    They're not credible

    Osborne certainly is, given that he has been perhaps the most successful Finance Minister of any major developed economy since the crash.
    Not any more.
    Well if everything is as rosy post Brexit as the leavers say, then perhaps we'll have to review the opinion of him upwards ;) If he's built an economy to comfortably withstand Brexit then he must be doing something right!
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726

    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It's actually £163 million a week (2015, net).
    I prefer £288 million a week - the gross amount after the rebate.
    Yeah, but using the Net amount outflanks any REMAINIAN gripes on the lines of "But that's the Gross amount". Correct?
    The simple reply being that any money they condescend to give back to us comes with strings attached and the requirement in most cases for matched funding.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,253
    Indigo said:



    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.

    Which was the worst ? U-571 ?

    Yep - Gibson also makes the list at number 4 for The Patriot:

    http://web.archive.org/web/20110615070116/http://entertainment.timesonline.co.uk/tol/arts_and_entertainment/film/article6738785.ece
  • Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Indigo said:



    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.

    Which was the worst ? U-571 ?

    Yup
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    Tim_B said:

    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    Sharon Krossa notes that the film contains numerous historical errors, beginning with the wearing of belted plaid by Wallace and his men. In that period "no Scots ... wore belted plaids (let alone kilts of any kind)." Moreover, when Highlanders finally did begin wearing the belted plaid, it was not "in the rather bizarre style depicted in the film". She compares the inaccuracy to "a film about Colonial America showing the colonial men wearing 20th century business suits, but with the jackets worn back-to-front instead of the right way around.

    "The events aren't accurate, the dates aren't accurate, the characters aren't accurate, the names aren't accurate, the clothes aren't accurate—in short, just about nothing is accurate." The belted plaid (feileadh mór léine) was not introduced until the 16th century.

    Peter Traquair has referred to Wallace's "farcical representation as a wild and hairy highlander painted with woad (1,000 years too late) running amok in a tartan kilt (500 years too early)."

    Irish historian, Seán Duffy remarked "the battle of Stirling Bridge could have done with a bridge."

    In 2009, the film was second on a list of "most historically inaccurate movies" in The Times.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braveheart#Historical_inaccuracy
    The battle of Stirling Bridge could also have done with a river. If you remove the river and bridge there is no point in the battle.
    What really annoys me about the Battle of Stirling Bridge is that the tactics Wallace used there are excellent and certainly far better than just using sharp sticks to knock off the knights.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Great finale from Gove. Lots of applause.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Gove is a first-rate politician.
  • OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    He tweeted this a couple of hours ago:

    The fact that so many CON MPs have reacted so strongly against Osborne's budget move suggests they realise how potent the move is.

    I dont expect he is enjoying po,itics much at the moment. After all its only a year since Libdemgeddon.
  • John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    alex. said:

    pbr2013 said:

    Ah yes Gordo, who bullied darling and where George said his policies would lead to sharing the proceeds of growth.

    They're not credible

    Osborne certainly is, given that he has been perhaps the most successful Finance Minister of any major developed economy since the crash.
    Not any more.
    Well if everything is as rosy post Brexit as the leavers say, then perhaps we'll have to review the opinion of him upwards ;) If he's built an economy to comfortably withstand Brexit then he must be doing something right!
    The line might be that Osborne and Cameron were doing great - with the effortless ease that one expects of Clarendon school alumni who never need to "try hard" - and then the knuckle-dragging "Joe Publics" came along and wrecked everything, too busy having mixed-race babies in council flats to know what's good for them. But this can't quite get round the fact that the members and supporters of the Tory party are swarming to vote Leave. There is a highly amusing side to watching the party devour itself.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Is it time for the Leave bombshell?

    Perhaps Boris could come out and say if Leave wins, David Cameron and George Osborne will both have to find alternative employment.

    The PM's trust rating on Europe is less than 20%. Why not make it explicitly about getting him out?
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    George George George! One day of idiocy and look what you have done to the detoxing of the Tory party that Dave has been working on for years!

    https://twitter.com/Stewart4Pboro/status/742842587447472128
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411

    Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.

    Um, thanks. I have no idea if they actually saw my Be LEAVE tweets here or on Twitter :)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411

    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It's actually £163 million a week (2015, net).
    I prefer £288 million a week - the gross amount after the rebate.
    Yeah, but using the Net amount outflanks any REMAINIAN gripes on the lines of "But that's the Gross amount". Correct?
    The simple reply being that any money they condescend to give back to us comes with strings attached and the requirement in most cases for matched funding.
    I used this webpage for the net figure:

    https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Thrak said:

    john_zims said:

    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.

    What bubble? I've been surrounded by this type of person and they think that leave is going to stop all immigration and some, who consider this relatively liberal, expect voluntary but stop at forced repatriation. You can't have much contact with the WWC if you don't realise that a party offering those things would walk into many northern town constituencies.
    And the retirement areas on the south coast
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    MikeL said:

    It's obvious the Emergency Budget wouldn't actually happen.

    But that doesn't mean it is a mistake by Remain.

    It is simply about creating headlines.

    Just like Leave's £350m.

    It created the wrong headlines. 'Leave means massive tax rises' is an ok message to target waverers. 'Osborne will raise your taxes if we leave' is not, even if they mean the same thing when you get right down to it.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    edited June 2016
    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,253
    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    scotslass said:

    The John M

    As it happens Braveheart wasn't bad history at all. It got the essence of the story right. The Plataginat expansionists got their comeuppance at the hands of the plucky Scots. The source for Randall Wallace's script was a 15th century Scots rymer called Blind Harry. It was therefore better history than just about any other Hollywood historical blockbuster.

    Oh come on! Edward I didn't throw Piers Gaveston out of window. Queen Isabella didn't have an affair with Wallace (she was 5 when Wallace died). Wallace wasn't the father of Edward III.
    The brilliant TV drama series Spartacus was, weirdly enough, despite all the tits and blood, impressively accurate in historical terms. Right down to the clothes and language.

    It speculated only where it HAD to speculate. So it can be done.

    It's one of the unsung triumphs of TV in my opinion. An outright masterpiece.
    I would add that I think Braveheart is a thoroughly enjoyable film, but it's definitely historical fantasy.
    Films set in the past are really about the present and what concerns (and gets them to buy tickets) today's audience - so Braveheart says a lot more about America in 1995, than Scotland in 1305 - and their job is to entertain - its just a pity when they are treated as 'history'.....
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    edited June 2016

    Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.

    Um, thanks. I have no idea if they actually saw my Be LEAVE tweets here or on Twitter :)
    Didn't a Sun journalist (Lucian????) used to post here for years?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855

    Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.

    Um, thanks. I have no idea if they actually saw my Be LEAVE tweets here or on Twitter :)
    Like the fluttering of a butterly's wings, they started an unstoppable wave of demand that it become a real headline.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    What's moving the market? A poll?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    OGH is on holiday (back next week I think)

    However, one if his tweets on Monday very nearly caused a run on the Pound when he tweeted incorrect numbers for an ICM poll!
  • Leave out to 2.9 on Betfair....

    Everyone wants to back Remain when the polls aren't out.

    Some super confident people out there.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    I believe he is on holiday.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    murali_s said:

    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    What's moving the market? A poll?
    A BMG poll is expecting at some point tonight...
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790

    Danny565 said:

    Michael Gove WON'T support Osborne's Punishment Budget.

    He won't need to, he'll be the Chancellor who has to deliver it.

    Nope, Gove has now ruled out tax increases and promised more public spending. This will not end well for him.

    The stuff about Turkey is just plain dishonest. But to be fair to Gove, he is very good at delivering a lie.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,429
    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    Michael Gove on the telly.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411
    GIN1138 said:

    Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.

    Um, thanks. I have no idea if they actually saw my Be LEAVE tweets here or on Twitter :)
    Didn't a Sun journalist (Lucian????) used to post here for years?
    Yep, Lucian Fletcher (not his real name, natch). Met him a couple of times at PB pub meets, though not for a few years now.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,041
    GIN1138 said:

    murali_s said:

    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    What's moving the market? A poll?
    A BMG poll is expecting at some point tonight...
    Any indication as to a BMGpollBoy or BMGpollGirl?
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    RoyalBlue said:

    Is it time for the Leave bombshell?

    Perhaps Boris could come out and say if Leave wins, David Cameron and George Osborne will both have to find alternative employment.

    The PM's trust rating on Europe is less than 20%. Why not make it explicitly about getting him out?

    Because for most the alternatives are considerably worse (than Dave at least).
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    Michael Gove on the telly.
    mark reckless named at pmqs
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411
    murali_s said:

    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    What's moving the market? A poll?
    Probably a Czech :lol:
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    GIN1138 said:

    Belated congratulations to @Sunil for The Sun's front page yesterday.

    Um, thanks. I have no idea if they actually saw my Be LEAVE tweets here or on Twitter :)
    Didn't a Sun journalist (Lucian????) used to post here for years?
    Yep, Lucian Fletcher (not his real name, natch). Met him a couple of times at PB pub meets, though not for a few years now.
    He moved to Ireland & recently left the current bun. Last heard on the rock n roll.
  • GIN1138 said:

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    OGH is on holiday (back next week I think)

    However, one if his tweets on Monday very nearly caused a run on the Pound when he tweeted incorrect numbers for an ICM poll!
    They were the correct numbers, but alas not the right poll
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790

    Leave out to 2.9 on Betfair....

    Everyone wants to back Remain when the polls aren't out.

    Some super confident people out there.

    Fools and their money and all that.

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    GIN1138 said:

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    OGH is on holiday (back next week I think)

    However, one if his tweets on Monday very nearly caused a run on the Pound when he tweeted incorrect numbers for an ICM poll!
    It did cause a short run on the pound for about 10 minutes !
  • GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    Another balanced, hand selected, audience from the Beeb.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Pulpstar said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    OGH is on holiday (back next week I think)

    However, one if his tweets on Monday very nearly caused a run on the Pound when he tweeted incorrect numbers for an ICM poll!
    It did cause a short run on the pound for about 10 minutes !
    Edit: Not actually a run, a rally.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    O/T Referendum turnout.

    I'm on in the 65%-70% range - what do you guys think?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261

    The most tragic aspect of all this is that, if the Leavers had actually done their homework over the past four years, we might have been going into the referendum with a coherent Brexit plan, and thus avoided much of the economic risk. It's about three years too late now, though.

    Not really, it'll be at least another four years until we actually Brexit, probably more, assuming we ever do.

    Just filled in and posted my vote .... feeling good about it.
    Lifts my spirit and brings joy to my heart every time I read a post like this :smile:
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067

    murali_s said:

    MikeL said:

    Remain now in to 1.52.

    Midnight 1.66
    Pre QT 1.56
    Now 1.52

    What's moving the market? A poll?
    Probably a Czech :lol:
    Maybe a Slovakian after this evening's result!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,429
    I'm expecting a bad poll for Remain tomorrow with Ipsos Mori.

    I'm reading too much into Ben Page's tweet.

    He was asked 'A week ago you were still a Remain man, has your view changed now to Leave Sir?'

    and Ben replied with

    https://twitter.com/benatipsosmori/status/743109709322977280
  • Have we got BMG and Ipso mori tonight? Or is that tomorrow?
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
    edited June 2016
    But to be fair to Gove, he is very good at delivering a lie.

    'The most important quality for a politician to have is sincerity - and if you can fake that well you've got it made'. But in Gove's case he IS sincere. He put himself through serious grief to take on the Blob at Education for no obvious personal gain. He believes in a small state and putting the consumer before the producer. He'd make a fine PM.
  • ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    If the conservative right wing and the labour left wing are going to be in charge, plus with the national invisibility of the Liberal Democrats, surely the coming political realignment is going to include a new centrist grouping? That's a very large area being left open to exploit. Has anyone heard about anything? I presume that we won't know much until after the poll, just in case remain achieves a now unlikely win. John Major has been my favourite PM, even if not the most effective, I can't bring myself to vote for a leave-like conservative party though and Corbyn is out of the question. Nature abhors a vacuum so who steps up and gives centrist voters a home?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,429

    OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    Mike's on holiday until next Monday, he knows he can put his feet up when I'm in charge as nothing happens on his holiday.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    SeanT said:

    Leave out to 2.9 on Betfair....

    Everyone wants to back Remain when the polls aren't out.

    Some super confident people out there.


    Despite what I've just said, with a gun to my head I'd still predict a REMAIN win. People ARE scared. Enough will wobble
    Plenty will wobble, but the scale of some recent Leave polls, if sustained, makes me think it won't be enough. I'm feeling a little wobbly myself, a bit - I'm prepared to pay a price, for the country to pay a price, but there are limits, but deciding what that is when the EU is so unpalatable is hard - but it would require a lot of wobbling and people going from leave to remain, not just leave to no vote.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    midwinter said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Is it time for the Leave bombshell?

    Perhaps Boris could come out and say if Leave wins, David Cameron and George Osborne will both have to find alternative employment.

    The PM's trust rating on Europe is less than 20%. Why not make it explicitly about getting him out?

    Because for most the alternatives are considerably worse (than Dave at least).
    Possibly not
    image
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Anti-doping officials in Russia are being stopped from testing athletes and threatened by security services, says a World Anti-Doping Agency report.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/36542577

    Will the IoC have the balls to uphold the ban for Rio?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,411
    Right now I'm seeing a Labour Leave ad at the top of PB. The one with a pic of Dave and George and the caption "Wipe the smile off their faces. Vote Leave on June 23rd"
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Thrak said:

    If the conservative right wing and the labour left wing are going to be in charge, plus with the national invisibility of the Liberal Democrats, surely the coming political realignment is going to include a new centrist grouping? That's a very large area being left open to exploit.

    There is, but I confidently predict, on nothing but history and gut, that there will be no realignment, even if it would be a bloody good idea. Personally I'd have probably voted for a Coalition party last time if one was available. But no one will be offering that.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    murali_s said:

    O/T Referendum turnout.

    I'm on in the 65%-70% range - what do you guys think?

    I'm on the same.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    kle4 said:

    SeanT said:

    Leave out to 2.9 on Betfair....

    Everyone wants to back Remain when the polls aren't out.

    Some super confident people out there.


    Despite what I've just said, with a gun to my head I'd still predict a REMAIN win. People ARE scared. Enough will wobble
    Plenty will wobble, but the scale of some recent Leave polls, if sustained, makes me think it won't be enough. I'm feeling a little wobbly myself, a bit - I'm prepared to pay a price, for the country to pay a price, but there are limits, but deciding what that is when the EU is so unpalatable is hard - but it would require a lot of wobbling and people going from leave to remain, not just leave to no vote.
    It's completely unpredictable because of the skew in the voting intentions. One recent poll showed that 29% of Brexit voters didn't actually know what day the referendum was. Leave is reliant on a demographic that doesn't ordinarily vote. I doubt they'll be frightened off as such though.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    midwinter said:

    Thrak said:

    john_zims said:

    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.

    What bubble? I've been surrounded by this type of person and they think that leave is going to stop all immigration and some, who consider this relatively liberal, expect voluntary but stop at forced repatriation. You can't have much contact with the WWC if you don't realise that a party offering those things would walk into many northern town constituencies.
    And the retirement areas on the south coast

    A bloke on the Gove thing just now asked about repatriation and suggested it might be needed.

    I thought the reaction of the Spanish nurse, who has been here for fourteen years, was very interesting. Talking tough on immigration will win Leave the referendum, clearly. But then Gove and Boris have to go to Europe to get their deal. There are going to be a lot of voters in countries like Spain, Poland, the Czech Republic who will have heard what the Leave side have said about EU immigrants and - probably more pertinently - seen the headlines in the tabloids and they will not be wanting their governments to give the UK an easy time. There are lot more British immigrants in Spain, for example, than there are Spanish ones in the UK. I am not sure that Poland has a huge trade surplus with the UK, or that many Eastern European countries do.

    Winning is one thing. But with everything they say and do Leave are making delivery that much harder.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,041
    SeanT said:

    Leave out to 2.9 on Betfair....

    Everyone wants to back Remain when the polls aren't out.

    Some super confident people out there.


    Despite what I've just said, with a gun to my head I'd still predict a REMAIN win. People ARE scared. Enough will wobble
    People are also really very annoyed at the doom, more doom, and hang on we've found even more doom, argument.

    You're not scared, I'm not scared, I think we can conclude that nobody being scared is at least something of a runner.

    I'm with you though on Remain still being the most likely outcome.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Indigo said:

    midwinter said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Is it time for the Leave bombshell?

    Perhaps Boris could come out and say if Leave wins, David Cameron and George Osborne will both have to find alternative employment.

    The PM's trust rating on Europe is less than 20%. Why not make it explicitly about getting him out?

    Because for most the alternatives are considerably worse (than Dave at least).
    Possibly not
    image
    Why is Corbyn so high?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,932

    Right now I'm seeing a Labour Leave ad at the top of PB. The one with a pic of Dave and George and the caption "Wipe the smile off their faces. Vote Leave on June 23rd"

    I have it as well.

    Its also on UKPR.
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    edited June 2016
    @Bromptonaut@

    @Thrak

    'Populism when released is a dangerous animal.'

    Wanting to have a GP appointment when your ill, a school that's not overcrowded for your kids and affordable housing is somehow 'POPULISM & RACISM'.


    Can't believe how out of touch you are, you need to get out of your bubble occasionally.


    'Fixing those things does not require us to leave the EU. It just needs a Government which chooses to fix those things.'


    How can you fix any of those things when you don't know & have no control of the number of people coming into the country ?


    Government manifesto target 2010 100,000,330,000 net migration last year, what's your guess for this year ?
  • OGH has been surprisingly quiet this past week or so, especially in view of all the excitement about the matter in hand and the multitude of polls relating thereto.
    I do hope he's OK.

    Mike's on holiday until next Monday, he knows he can put his feet up when I'm in charge as nothing happens on his holiday.
    Except the odd flash crash in the markets when he wakes up in his sun lounger and starts tweeting old polls.

    :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,429
    Great fun announcement

    I've been out canvassing, but I've also been having some tremendous fun with datawrapper, the charts tools PB uses.

    They've developed a Brexit map tool, you can play around with, it's free to use.

    http://academy.datawrapper.de/create-brexit-maps-917486.html
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Sky news interviewer just asking david steel about clement Freud. Steel completely ignored the interviewer. I wonder why? Actually I think I know why.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    kle4 said:

    Indigo said:

    midwinter said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Is it time for the Leave bombshell?

    Perhaps Boris could come out and say if Leave wins, David Cameron and George Osborne will both have to find alternative employment.

    The PM's trust rating on Europe is less than 20%. Why not make it explicitly about getting him out?

    Because for most the alternatives are considerably worse (than Dave at least).
    Possibly not
    image
    Why is Corbyn so high?
    Because his (one) redeeming feature is authenticity, you can pretty much trust what he says is what he thinks, Osborne and Cameron, not so much.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,429

    Right now I'm seeing a Labour Leave ad at the top of PB. The one with a pic of Dave and George and the caption "Wipe the smile off their faces. Vote Leave on June 23rd"

    I have it as well.

    Its also on UKPR.
    Is a messagespace targeted advert.

    Wait until you see the Remain ads coming up for the next 8 days.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    Patrick said:

    But to be fair to Gove, he is very good at delivering a lie.

    'The most important quality for a politician to have is sincerity - and if you can fake that well you've got it made'. But in Gove's case he IS sincere. He put himself through serious grief to take on the Blob at Education for no obvious personal gain. He believes in a small state and putting the consumer before the producer. He'd make a fine PM.

    He certainly does not believe in putting the consumer before the producer. He believes in limiting the consumer's choice in services, for example: plumbing, plastering, building etc.

    And if he really believes that the government will not use its veto to prevent Turkey joining the EU then he believes that David Cameron is a liar. Thus meaning he wants a liar and someone we cannot trust to be our leader.

This discussion has been closed.