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  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    He will have to stick to hitting the fags instead....
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    SeanT said:

    @minefornothing 47s48 seconds ago
    ICM POLL TO BE RELEASED AT 5PM
    #Brexit

    Is that an informed source?

    Honestly, waiting for *that* exit poll at 10pm last year was easier than this.
    Given the age we've got to wait - I'm not that bothered about the result. Hours of fiddling about with the raw numbers after weeks of this.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    All this build up and it's probably going to be REMAIN 50% LEAVE 50%
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    GIN1138 said:

    All this build up and it's probably going to be REMAIN 50% LEAVE 50%

    From an ICM phone poll that would be news.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    GIN1138 said:

    All this build up and it's probably going to be REMAIN 50% LEAVE 50%

    Probably true - more or less.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170
    GIN1138 said:

    All this build up and it's probably going to be REMAIN 50% LEAVE 50%

    Billions of pounds traded for naught!
  • EstobarEstobar Posts: 558
    GIN1138 said:

    All this build up and it's probably going to be REMAIN 50% LEAVE 50%

    That's exactly my view
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    Estobar said:

    I've been out all afternoon. Rather than scroll through hundreds of posts can someone just explain quickly what has happened? Ta muchly.

    Someone got fat fingered. Old poll tweeted wrongly. Western Civilisation ended.
    Otherwise not much in reality.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue."
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    To be fair why would they bother? Since they could just claim the chaos proves them right?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,790
    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    I'd be very surprised if they did not already know.

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    None of this nonsense if you'd all simply voted Morris Dancer. Our sensible foreign policy of invading France would've happened in mid-May last year, and concluded late May 2015.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170

    None of this nonsense if you'd all simply voted Morris Dancer. Our sensible foreign policy of invading France would've happened in mid-May last year, and concluded late May 2015.

    Is taking what is rightfully yours an invasion? *innocent face*
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue."
    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit amphetamines."
  • Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    This ICM is moving bowels as well as markets.
  • EstobarEstobar Posts: 558
    welshowl said:

    Estobar said:

    I've been out all afternoon. Rather than scroll through hundreds of posts can someone just explain quickly what has happened? Ta muchly.

    Someone got fat fingered. Old poll tweeted wrongly. Western Civilisation ended.
    Otherwise not much in reality.
    Cool. Thank you :)
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Pound didnt like that false poll its now gone back in the red
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    I really was joking when I mentioned the d-notice.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    GIN1138 said:

    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue."
    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit amphetamines."
    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop quoting Airplane!"
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Lol. May need to have a third re-launch as they have really messed up this one.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170
    MP_SE said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Lol. May need to have a third re-launch as they have really messed up this one.
    Did they forget Elvis?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Just had a message from MikeK, saying he's in limbo and cannot post. Any mod chap know the score?
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    What would impact the UK more:

    1. WW3; or
    2. The destruction of Western civilisation
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Labour Leave
    Catch @John_mills_jml debating for 'Leave' on 'Better In or Out?' ahead of the EU Referendum on @BBCiPlayer > https://t.co/DKQMXhZ6B2 #EURef
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Mike was... briefly ... the most influential person in the entire world. o_O
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    marke09 said:

    Pound didnt like that false poll its now gone back in the red

    My Bloomberg has 1.4259 which is exactly - to the pip - unchanged for the day.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    MP_SE said:

    What would impact the UK more:

    1. WW3; or
    2. The destruction of Western civilisation

    3. Running out of Hobnobs
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,786
    MP_SE said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Lol. May need to have a third re-launch as they have really messed up this one.
    Is that Elvis bloke from the election available?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    Sean_F said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Inside Downing St. They wait for ICM....

    David Cameron: "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit smoking..."

    "Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue."
    "The tower?! The TOWER?!

    RAPUNZEL!...."
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    I want a vow that involves jelly, rubber and intense, long-lasting personal embarrassment.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,152

    TOPPING said:

    AA Gill writes brilliantly on restaurants and as a tv critic. .

    His Winnie-the-Pooh books are pretty good too.
    :smiley:
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    rcs1000 said:

    marke09 said:

    Pound didnt like that false poll its now gone back in the red

    My Bloomberg has 1.4259 which is exactly - to the pip - unchanged for the day.
    1.4263 now
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,266
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    Which is exactly why Cameron wouldn't have done it. He'd want maximum market carnage to be caused by a Leave-favourable poll, you know it, I know it, we all know it.

  • Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    I really was joking when I mentioned the d-notice.
    Sure. It will be interesting to see ICM's explanation for the delayed poll.

    Quite possibly it's just the Guardian holding it back, wanting to make more impact?

    And now I am actually going to get up, walk to the shops, and do something useful, for about ten minutes.
    The ICM phone polls normally come out between 3.30pm and 6pm.

    Someone, wrongly said it was out at 12.30pm, Martin Boon said at 12.30ish, ICM were still working on it.

    My guess is that fieldwork only ended this morning.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Brilliant...at least he didn't called anybody a bigot.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    rcs1000 said:

    marke09 said:

    Pound didnt like that false poll its now gone back in the red

    My Bloomberg has 1.4259 which is exactly - to the pip - unchanged for the day.
    i have totally different figures on poundsterlinglive
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170
    marke09 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    marke09 said:

    Pound didnt like that false poll its now gone back in the red

    My Bloomberg has 1.4259 which is exactly - to the pip - unchanged for the day.
    i have totally different figures on poundsterlinglive
    Hmmm, Bloomberg or poundsterlinglive?

    titters :D
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    Any idea where this huge meeting of the British People took place to decide this - I missed the invitation?
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited June 2016

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Brilliant...at least he didn't called anybody a bigot.
    I believe he kicked off earlier when Mrs Duffy was mentioned during a radio interview.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    I don't think so. There may have been some in Scotland who never really thought Yes would win and maybe didn't really want it either but wanted a good bargaining chip. In this case I think out means out.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    I want a vow that involves jelly, rubber and intense, long-lasting personal embarrassment.
    I think you might have just overshared there..
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Apparently it's not immigration that's the issue. It's illegal immigration. Kudos to his coaching staff; it must have been murder to stop him saying 'Tory illegal immigration'.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
  • For 15 minutes OGH was Master of the Universe
  • EstobarEstobar Posts: 558
    DavidL said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
    :D
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    edited June 2016

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Presumably he is loved by goldbugs worldwide?
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    I don't think so. There may have been some in Scotland who never really thought Yes would win and maybe didn't really want it either but wanted a good bargaining chip. In this case I think out means out.

    I agree. With Scotland I think there were some Scots who voted patriotically but deep down saw the UK as stable and a safer option. Now people are looking at Europe and see a complete mess, though many leavers like myself look at a new global era for the UK a lot of undecided voters will see retreating from the EU as a safer option in than continuing to put up with the chaos.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    edited June 2016
    Guido now has Con MPs:

    Remain 182
    Leave 139
    Not Declared 9

    Was 180-140-10 after the Wollaston switch - so not sure who has switched and declared since then.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vp6viBi5DA4avMgR2Y8lKrrAUqJp-0zL2LZB6iVD3uU/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=450656551
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,266
    DavidL said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
    I was going to say I'd not noticed his appeal here. Perhaps it's in Kirkaldy.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    Betfair moving NOW - Leave under 3 - looks like good poll for Leave.
  • Paul_BedfordshirePaul_Bedfordshire Posts: 3,632
    edited June 2016
    Great. Im stuck on a train outside St Pancras due to an idiot climbing on a goods train.

    Vote Remain for more law and order and trains that run ontime....shurely shome mishtake
  • JunglelandJungleland Posts: 40
    MikeL said:

    Betfair moving NOW - Leave under 3 - looks like good poll for Leave.

    Very good for leave, wont post up the ICM poll until confirmed officially but just got a txt from a decent source.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    I'm seeing some rumour herding on twitter.

    Will this be TDTPT?
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    edited June 2016
    Re ICM POLL

    Would PB readers prefer

    a) the wrong poll figures ASAP or

    b) the right poll figures tomorrow?
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    MikeL said:

    Betfair moving NOW - Leave under 3 - looks like good poll for Leave.

    We've been here before. And never mind opinion polls, on GE day last year the money was going on Labour.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    If rumours are true WOOHOO
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    MP_SE said:

    If rumours are true WOOHOO

    :open_mouth:
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    DavidL said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
    I was going to say I'd not noticed his appeal here. Perhaps it's in Kirkaldy.
    Maybe

    Whit wey does the engine say 'Toot-toot'?
    Is it feart to gang in the tunnel?
    Whit wey is the furnace no pit oot
    When the rain gangs doon the funnel?
    What'll I hae for my tea the nicht?
    A herrin', or maybe a haddie?
    Has Gran'ma gotten electric licht?
    Is the next stop Kirkcaddy?
    There's a hoodie-craw on yon turnip-raw!
    An' seagulls! - sax or seeven.
    I'll no fa' oot o' the windae, Maw,
    Its sneckit, as sure as I'm leevin'.
    We're into the tunnel! we're a' in the dark!
    But dinna be frichtit, Daddy,
    We'll sune be comin' to Beveridge Park,
    And the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    Is yon the mune I see in the sky?
    It's awfu' wee an' curly,
    See! there's a coo and a cauf ootbye,
    An' a lassie pu'in' a hurly!
    He's chackit the tickets and gien them back,
    Sae gie me my ain yin, Daddy.
    Lift doon the bag frae the luggage rack,
    For the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    There's a gey wheen boats at the harbour mou',
    And eh! dae ya see the cruisers?
    The cinnamon drop I was sookin' the noo
    Has tummelt an' stuck tae ma troosers. . .
    I'll sune be ringin' ma Gran'ma's bell,
    She'll cry, 'Come ben, my laddie',
    For I ken mysel' by the queer-like smell
    That the next stop's Kirkcaddy!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    MikeL said:

    Betfair moving NOW - Leave under 3 - looks like good poll for Leave.

    Very good for leave, wont post up the ICM poll until confirmed officially but just got a txt from a decent source.
    Argh, Don passim used to have superb insider scoops.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Brom said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    ICM Brexit poll to be released after market close.

    Which market, mind.

    That is an odd coincidence, isn't it?

    Remember what I said before... That if the poll was explosively pro-LEAVE then arguably the government might seek to delay it, by a few hours, to prepare the markets and the BoE.

    I don't mean this conspiratorially, I just mean as a sensible measure.

    I have no idea if such a thing would be legal or feasible, I'm just saying it is morally defensible.
    It could be the British people want to force Cameron and the EU to make a genuinely significant vow through real fear of Brexit..
    I don't think so. There may have been some in Scotland who never really thought Yes would win and maybe didn't really want it either but wanted a good bargaining chip. In this case I think out means out.

    I agree. With Scotland I think there were some Scots who voted patriotically but deep down saw the UK as stable and a safer option. Now people are looking at Europe and see a complete mess, though many leavers like myself look at a new global era for the UK a lot of undecided voters will see retreating from the EU as a safer option in than continuing to put up with the chaos.
    It is a bit disingenuous to suggest that we would somehow be any more immune to chaos inside the EU if we voted to leave, especially if we we caused it! I voted to remain in the UK in the Indy Ref, and I am now firmly voting to remain in the EU because I don't want to risk the very economic instability and security issues that our leaving would cause across Europe.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    edited June 2016
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    PlatoSaid said:

    MikeL said:

    Betfair moving NOW - Leave under 3 - looks like good poll for Leave.

    Very good for leave, wont post up the ICM poll until confirmed officially but just got a txt from a decent source.
    Argh, Don passim used to have superb insider scoops.
    You can find the purported numbers on Twitter.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    Mortimer said:

    I'm seeing some rumour herding on twitter.

    Will this be TDTPT?

    The day the polls.......?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170
    MP_SE said:

    If rumours are true WOOHOO

    Which ones? :D
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    Mortimer said:

    I'm seeing some rumour herding on twitter.

    Will this be TDTPT?

    The day the polls.......?
    Theres some big money trying to back Remain at 1.5
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Mortimer said:

    I'm seeing some rumour herding on twitter.

    Will this be TDTPT?

    The day the polls.......?
    Trembled?

    Tittered?

    Tumbled?

    Tumulted?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    £25 on "leave" at 3.0 for me...
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 4m4 minutes ago

    Until the poll is confirmed by ICM, the Guardian or us we'd recommend you take the rumours put about with a pinch of salt.
    9 retweets 12 likes
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    I don't think you should believe anything that doesn't come from ICM, directly.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    5% lead for Leave with ICM phone should see Leave become favourite IMHO
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    ICM website down
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    edited June 2016
    Just a gentle remind that months of polls were wrong at the General Election.

    Edited extra bit: +er
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Twitter awash with ICM - fingers crossed
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    Just a gentle remind that months of polls were wrong at the General Election.

    Edited extra bit: +er

    Those were the days when the polls demonstrated more or less the same thing!!
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Mr. 1000/Mr. Eagles, any word on MikeK's status? Says he's in limbo and cannot post.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Jungleland's source should be OK bearing in mind his (Jungleland) day job.

    Of course Caveat Emptor/DYOR and all that jazz.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    marke09 said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 4m4 minutes ago

    Until the poll is confirmed by ICM, the Guardian or us we'd recommend you take the rumours put about with a pinch of salt.
    9 retweets 12 likes

    That this needs stating and restating on this site of all places is truly remarkable.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,152
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
    I was going to say I'd not noticed his appeal here. Perhaps it's in Kirkaldy.
    Maybe

    Whit wey does the engine say 'Toot-toot'?
    Is it feart to gang in the tunnel?
    Whit wey is the furnace no pit oot
    When the rain gangs doon the funnel?
    What'll I hae for my tea the nicht?
    A herrin', or maybe a haddie?
    Has Gran'ma gotten electric licht?
    Is the next stop Kirkcaddy?
    There's a hoodie-craw on yon turnip-raw!
    An' seagulls! - sax or seeven.
    I'll no fa' oot o' the windae, Maw,
    Its sneckit, as sure as I'm leevin'.
    We're into the tunnel! we're a' in the dark!
    But dinna be frichtit, Daddy,
    We'll sune be comin' to Beveridge Park,
    And the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    Is yon the mune I see in the sky?
    It's awfu' wee an' curly,
    See! there's a coo and a cauf ootbye,
    An' a lassie pu'in' a hurly!
    He's chackit the tickets and gien them back,
    Sae gie me my ain yin, Daddy.
    Lift doon the bag frae the luggage rack,
    For the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    There's a gey wheen boats at the harbour mou',
    And eh! dae ya see the cruisers?
    The cinnamon drop I was sookin' the noo
    Has tummelt an' stuck tae ma troosers. . .
    I'll sune be ringin' ma Gran'ma's bell,
    She'll cry, 'Come ben, my laddie',
    For I ken mysel' by the queer-like smell
    That the next stop's Kirkcaddy!
    That's lovely. :smile:
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Bizarrely if anything Remains been backed in the last 10 mins.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    I have no information but I'd love to move the Forex markets. I can see how trading could be quite addictive.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Betfair about to hit £26M placed.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Mr. Midwinter, worth noting in an excellent book (The Political Punter, available at all good bookshops) it was written that some people in leadership contests backed themselves on the betting markets to try and create a narrative of momentum.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    I have no information but I'd love to move the Forex markets. I can see how trading could be quite addictive.

    THere seem to be alot of "binary FX" scams out there though.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247
    AnneJGP said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Labour just do not have an answer to the immigration question.

    Craig Woodhouse @craigawoodhouse
    Gordon Brown brought in to re-launch remain campaign, ends up picking fights with The Sun and BBC. Way to go.

    Does Brown have much appeal outside Scotland?
    Ahem. Couple of surplus words there.
    I was going to say I'd not noticed his appeal here. Perhaps it's in Kirkaldy.
    Maybe

    Whit wey does the engine say 'Toot-toot'?
    Is it feart to gang in the tunnel?
    Whit wey is the furnace no pit oot
    When the rain gangs doon the funnel?
    What'll I hae for my tea the nicht?
    A herrin', or maybe a haddie?
    Has Gran'ma gotten electric licht?
    Is the next stop Kirkcaddy?
    There's a hoodie-craw on yon turnip-raw!
    An' seagulls! - sax or seeven.
    I'll no fa' oot o' the windae, Maw,
    Its sneckit, as sure as I'm leevin'.
    We're into the tunnel! we're a' in the dark!
    But dinna be frichtit, Daddy,
    We'll sune be comin' to Beveridge Park,
    And the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    Is yon the mune I see in the sky?
    It's awfu' wee an' curly,
    See! there's a coo and a cauf ootbye,
    An' a lassie pu'in' a hurly!
    He's chackit the tickets and gien them back,
    Sae gie me my ain yin, Daddy.
    Lift doon the bag frae the luggage rack,
    For the next stop's Kirkcaddy!

    There's a gey wheen boats at the harbour mou',
    And eh! dae ya see the cruisers?
    The cinnamon drop I was sookin' the noo
    Has tummelt an' stuck tae ma troosers. . .
    I'll sune be ringin' ma Gran'ma's bell,
    She'll cry, 'Come ben, my laddie',
    For I ken mysel' by the queer-like smell
    That the next stop's Kirkcaddy!
    That's lovely. :smile:
    The queer-like smell wasn't Gordon Brown but the huge linoleum works that used to dominate the front of Kirkcaldy. I can just about remember it but its all gone now.
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    For 15 minutes OGH was Master of the Universe


    Surely this deserves OGH appearing before a parliamentary select committee to account for his misdemeanour.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001

    Mr. Midwinter, worth noting in an excellent book (The Political Punter, available at all good bookshops) it was written that some people in leadership contests backed themselves on the betting markets to try and create a narrative of momentum.

    Surely no law abiding citizen would stoop so low?
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    Mr. Midwinter, worth noting in an excellent book (The Political Punter, available at all good bookshops) it was written that some people in leadership contests backed themselves on the betting markets to try and create a narrative of momentum.

    True but a bit optimistic 5 mins before a poll comes out I'd imagine...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    ooohhhh oohhh one minute
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    rcs1000 said:

    ooohhhh oohhh one minute

    Idiot!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    Mr. Midwinter, worth noting in an excellent book (The Political Punter, available at all good bookshops) it was written that some people in leadership contests backed themselves on the betting markets to try and create a narrative of momentum.

    Surely no law abiding citizen would stoop so low?
    Lib Dems are people too.
  • midwinter said:

    Bizarrely if anything Remains been backed in the last 10 mins.

    Bet365 continues to have Leave at 3.0 as does BetVictor, but I imagine the big money is going on the exchange.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    It's now 5pm.

    Where's my poll???
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    Boom!
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    midwinter said:

    Mr. Midwinter, worth noting in an excellent book (The Political Punter, available at all good bookshops) it was written that some people in leadership contests backed themselves on the betting markets to try and create a narrative of momentum.

    True but a bit optimistic 5 mins before a poll comes out I'd imagine...
    Although I now have an image of Dave and George punting like maniacs on Betfair....
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    And a hush falls over the stadium.....
This discussion has been closed.