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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Looks like Labour MPs have been reading their Macbeth. If i
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Looks like Labour MPs have been reading their Macbeth. If it were done when ’tis done, then ’twere well It were done quickly.
Moderate MPs who believe Mr Corbyn can never win back power think his failure to close down public rows which flare up and dominate the news channels leaves him vulnerable.
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"As we near the business end of the campaign there has been an enormous rise in the number of people signing up to volunteer. As I write this, there are 709 people who have gone to the trouble of pledging their support or ability to help with campaigning in Newham. That is an increase of nearly 200 in one week in just one borough. I am told this is being repeated across London and the entire country."
http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/06/eu-referendum-campaign-diaries-week-3-shy-leavers-emerge-as-do-remain-councillors-as-the-big-decision-approaches.html
Leave 51%
Remain 49%
Sri Lanka need 317 runs with 9 wickets left.
Polling yesterday had him 63-37 to stay in post even if we Leave.
The moderates need to ask whether they speak for Labour voters judging by all the talk of Labour leavers.
Either that or tell you they agree just so you leave...
Can you provide me with a list of suitable news organisations I can base PB threads on?
There's real money being staked here.
I'm busy for the next few hours, and will cover it on my return.
Is the coat real fur?
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/13/brexit-will-not-mean-big-drop-in-immigration-hilary-benn-says
Not before time. They've both become utterly stale and treat the underclass with open contempt. The plebs need to land one back.
It's happened to Scottish Labour, it's happened to the Lib Dems, it will be the Cameroons and what's left of the Blairites next.
Assuming it's a phone poll, of course.
Anyway, if they did try and arrange a coup, what's to stop the £3 lot from signing up again and voting him back in?
Article 49.
"Any European State which respects the values referred to in Article 2 and is committed to promoting them may apply to become a member of the Union. The European Parliament and national Parliaments shall be notified of this application. The applicant State shall address its application to the Council, which shall act unanimously after consulting the Commission and after receiving the assent of the European Parliament, which shall act by an absolute majority of its component members. The conditions of admission and the adjustments to the Treaties on which the Union is founded, which such admission entails, shall be the subject of an agreement between the Member States and the applicant State. This agreement shall be submitted for ratification by all the contracting States in accordance with their respective constitutional requirements. The conditions of eligibility agreed upon by the European Council shall be taken into account."
Seems to me that Labour's best bet is to hope for Brexit, then campaign to take Britain back in under Article 49.
On topic: Labour have made their bed, they're going to have to lie on it. They couldn't organise a coup in a Central American Banana Republic.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-12/leave-takes-shocking-19-point-lead-brexit-poll-if-it-happens-gold-will-be-worlds-str
Leave 53
Remain 47
The betting movements this morning may have been related to the ICM data, if someone had advanced knowledge of it then it would be a golden opportunity to get in Leave at 2.8-3 and watch it tumble to 2.5-2.7 when the poll is out.
Corbyn’s strength is that he is authentic.
To turn him into a Europhile would have damaged his credibility beyond repair.
Just another turncoat politician who says things he doesn’t mean ...
I wasn't needed on our Vote Leave stand as they were too many people wanting to do it!
Just finished the morning delivery. Feeling very positive about the final two weeks.
Now's the time to lend every shoulder to the wheel. If you are for Leave, please volunteer. Every leaflet delivered and door knocked takes us one step nearer to getting our country back.
Unfortunately, FPTP mitigates against a split - as does the loyalty that Labour MPs feel to the party name and its history, if not the leadership.
blockquote class="Quote" rel="Patrick">Are Opinium a respectable pollster? See Zerohedge is reporting Opinium just published a 'shocking' 19% lead for Leave:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-12/leave-takes-shocking-19-point-lead-brexit-poll-if-it-happens-gold-will-be-worlds-str
"And by not answering the question, Brown is attempting to persuade voters to support ‘Remain’ without addressing the elephant in the room. Instead, the former PM suggested, migration was just an obsession of the BBC, calling it the corporation’s ‘agenda’. It seems that whilst Brown might have apologised for his run-in with Gillian Duffy, he’s learnt nothing from the encounter."
It's Bruges Group commissioned, so I'd be a little bit cautious.
There are many Tories whose Euroscepticism trumps (appropriately) their Conservatism.
So I think we shouldn't read too much into it.
TSE: "Looking at the demographics, Dewsbury is 77% White British and less than 20% Asian."
Not so according to the Kirklees Census for 2011 which shows the Asian population for Dewsbury South as then being 45% of the total and for Dewsbury West as then being 49%.
Doubtless these percentages have increased significantly in both wards over the intervening five years as a result of immigration and higher birth rates, and therefore my estimate of 60% was probably not very far off the mark.
Good afternoon, everyone.
What destroys it is the fact that the Express reported it with no weighting or basic corrections as if it were a real poll result. It is no wonder Opinium were somewhat annoyed
I am not sure that I agree, but there is an argument to be made here and it could provide Boris with some real wriggle room once he gets negotiations underway and he comes under pressure from the City and industry.
http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/06/eu-referendum-campaign-diaries-week-3-shy-leavers-emerge-as-do-remain-councillors-as-the-big-decision-approaches.html
The Remain guy, Andrew Marshall, is just brilliant. He manages to convey Remain's complacency, snobbery, and elitist' piggy snout troughery' all in the same paragraph.
How about this for a quote "Alistair Burt MP was also with us, as was a relaxed-looking Andrew Lansley. We were on the marvellous and rather plush ConservativesIn battle bus, including a rather high-tech coffee machine. A good investment by ConservativesIn. The mood was pretty good in Cambridge, though as elsewhere with a big skew by age and (apparent) education. "
Please give Mr Marshall a more prominent campaigning role in Remain. We need more from this man.
On a more serious note, seeing the videos flooding the internet that is absolutely clear. I think the worrying thing for everybody is the willingness to go after anybody and everybody. There are a number of videos of people well away from the front line of the battle quietly having a drink getting being attacked and don't look like the sort of people who "want some".
Traditionally hooliganism was between two sets of knuckle draggers who organized fights between those that wanted to step off and test who the hardest.
one stall in the main shopping street (leave)
One poster (Remain)
Two leaflets through our door (Leave)
No canvassers
It's all a lot less than for the general election, even in a fairly safe seat which was never likely to influence the result, there was 4-5 times as much campaigning as there has been for the referendum.