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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Your sortable & searchable PB guide to Labour’s top 80 CON

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  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    Smarmeron said:

    Or 10.....*cleans glasses*

    8.....
  • DimitryDimitry Posts: 49
    I've voted in every election since 1970 and I can't remember one where the result was so tense as tonight's is.
    I've always felt that I had a pretty good feel for what was going to happen but this one is baffling. I've always felt just on that experience that JackW's ARSE was fundamentally correct and about what I would expect but goodness knows. There's certainly more point than usual in staying awake to watch the drama unfold. My latest "feel" is Conservatives on low 290s but the confidence level in the estimate is pretty low.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    RobD said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    Have we won? Been in governors meeting... poor timing!

    Supreme Governor Scrapheap?
    The force is strong in my family..
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    GIN1138 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Massive turnout in my safe Tory constituency. Nothing been seen like it in 30 years.

    Con's or Kippers I wonder?

    From the few people I know in the constituency it is the fear of Ed driving them to the Tories.
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    edited May 2015
    I stayed up all night during the last GE and then drove to Devon for a family weekend away the morning afterwards. My boy was ten months old then and the worst sleeper ever - he wouldn't settle in Devon and I had hardly sleep the night afterwards either.

    He's just fallen asleep next to me now, nearly six and good as gold.

    Funny how time flies.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Ooog a bit of movement on betfair is that i see?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    Slackbladder said:

    Ooog a bit of movement on betfair is that i see?

    Which way?
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    EICIPM :-)
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Definitely movement on betfair fir the blues
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    FrankBooth said:

    Danny565 said:

    New Statesman Blog says Labour think they've done very well in London, pretty well in Wales but are "braced for disappointment" otherwise.

    Wow. If they haven't made decent progress in the rest of England the polls must be wrong.

    No - it just means they're piling up votes in seats they already hold.


  • peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,956
    Brave of Sporting to keep their markets open for the next few minutes.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    The LDs had tellers swapping out every 2hrs in my polling station and so I got to have many great chats with a wide variety of sorts. Several said that Stephen Lloyd was their version of a Tory and that they'd have voted for the Tory Caroline Ansill if their MP had been crap.

    I was really pleasantly surprised, the lack of wider political knowledge was astounding - not knowing how many MPs they had - who was vulnerable, tactical voting from Tories to save Clegg et al. I guess one gets a totally skewed view hanging out on PB.
    Mortimer said:

    Plato said:

    Just back from telling and I'm sun and wind burnt - what a day weather wise down here in Eastbourne. My ward polling station had a steady stream all day - 80% didn't know there were also three local council seats up for grabs out of about 600 voters I talked with.

    I didn't know until the other day - very poor campaigning on this one and I'm really surprised. Right after 10hrs of this I don't think I'll get the power of speech back again until next week!

    Well done! 10 hours in one place? That deserve a medal! Think I've clocked up about 5.5 hours today; my tan will be better than Ed's foundation by tomorrow!

    Wishing I had taken a tactical nap now - but just want to pop back to local polling statute on at 10 to see if there is a queue....
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    6 minutes to go.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    edited May 2015
    compouter2 said:

    EICIPM :-)

    Someone call Dimbebey and tell him his services won't be required, as the result has been declared
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    I'm leaving and coming back at 10:05. I don't want the exit poll rumours.
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    Monksfield said:

    nigel4england said:

    Fenster said:

    peter_from_putney said:

    I wonder how many pairs of eyes see the exit poll between it being handed over to the broadcasters in 5 minutes time and it being screened approx 17 minutes later?

    Compouter gets a copy faxed to him.
    Rubbish.

    Nobody has a fax anymore.
    We have a fax. Tbh it can be quicker than email. Not sure why they really went out of fashion.
    1.7 million fax machines were sold in Japan last year - can't imagine any UK legal firm operating without one either
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    compouter2 said:

    EICIPM :-)

    Had a sneak peek?
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    34/33 lab/Tory?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,729
    I feel ill. I hate waiting for exit polls. It's even worse knowing the last two were more or less on the money.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    isam said:

    MP_SE said:

    Massive turnout in my safe Tory constituency. Nothing been seen like it in 30 years.

    Which seat?
    I messaged you the constituency as would rather keep it private.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @IsabelOakeshott: Tories I've spoken to today believe that if the exits don't show them at least two points ahead it's game over...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,951
    compouter2 said:

    EICIPM :-)

    Betfair thinks Tories most seats is a 1/5 shot though
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Tory down to 1,2 on betfair
  • Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    High turnout at my polling station. "Almond no time for reading" was the polling clerk's comment.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    compouter2 said:

    EICIPM :-)

    Source?
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    GIN1138 said:

    Roger said:

    Are the Sun likely to have seen the exit polls or indeed done one of their own?

    I think the politicians and everybody in the media (including Rupert and TND) will know what the exit poll say's now.

    BBC may well be about to take the champagne and party poppers out of ice! :smiley:

    Or handing them back on a 'sale or return' basis.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,879
    edited May 2015
    kingbongo said:

    Monksfield said:

    nigel4england said:

    Fenster said:

    peter_from_putney said:

    I wonder how many pairs of eyes see the exit poll between it being handed over to the broadcasters in 5 minutes time and it being screened approx 17 minutes later?

    Compouter gets a copy faxed to him.
    Rubbish.

    Nobody has a fax anymore.
    We have a fax. Tbh it can be quicker than email. Not sure why they really went out of fashion.
    1.7 million fax machines were sold in Japan last year - can't imagine any UK legal firm operating without one either
    I'm not sure I can work out what they're for. we have a combined printer/fax/copier at work and it is a pain in the arse.

  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,809
    Exit normally doesn't give vote share.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,748
    edited May 2015
    weejonnie said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Roger said:

    Are the Sun likely to have seen the exit polls or indeed done one of their own?

    I think the politicians and everybody in the media (including Rupert and TND) will know what the exit poll say's now.

    BBC may well be about to take the champagne and party poppers out of ice! :smiley:

    Or handing them back on a 'sale or return' basis.
    BBC will be happy come what may as Tories have 0% chance of a majority and thus the telly tax is safe.
  • JGCJGC Posts: 64
    looks like tories most seats but not enough to form a gov
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,951
    Casino_Royale said:

    compouter2 said:

    EICIPM :-)

    Source?
    Exit Poll hopefully
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Tory now sub 1,2
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    I am afraid my Labour chums got rather over exhubrerant last night and earlier today, and will now have to suck it up.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,202
    I have to go to work, folks (nothing to do with the telly, for avoidance of doubt) Will be with you in spirit
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbcnickrobinson: Just seen exit poll. Don't you dare switch off. It's interesting
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Fiona Bruce wearing Tory blue. What a surprise ?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    I have Dire Straits playing... Sultans of Swing...

    Seems appropriate :-)
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,229
    These last few minutes remind me of the moment when my supposed mate txt me congrats when finals' results were put up at the exam schools - I obviously responsed 'do tell' - he responded 2:2. The gap between that and his following correction txt was painful!
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Lets hope that this blog will operate nicely under the expected strain to come.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Scott_P said:

    @bbcnickrobinson: Just seen exit poll. Don't you dare switch off. It's interesting

    Off course it is.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    Scott_P said:

    @bbcnickrobinson: Just seen exit poll. Don't you dare switch off. It's interesting

    Arghhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Time to turn the TV on
    BBC News 24? ITV?

    What do PBers recommend?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Here we go.....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,748
    Looks like Andrew Neil hasn't been sent on a cruise this time....
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    YES!!!!!!!!!!
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Relatively little market reaction so far, so other they're not betting, or the prices were already fairly accurate.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Con 316
    Lab 239
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Time to turn the TV on
    BBC News 24? ITV?

    What do PBers recommend?

    radio 4 via internet
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    OMG!
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    King ell
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,926
    HOLY HELL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Wow 316 Tory prediction
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Wow oh wow oh wow
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    WOWW!!!!!!!!!!! YYEEEEEEESSSS
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited May 2015
    FUCK ME 316 WTF IS GOING ON
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411

    LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,810

    FUCK ME

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    A tory majority!
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Woah exit poll 316 Tory, 239 Labour
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,951
    EMWNBPM
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Hahahahahahahaha
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,045
    WOW!!!!!!!
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Fuck me
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    SNP 58 WOah
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Ha
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    I told you Cameron and Clegg would be back in Number 10.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    UP 9
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,729
    WOW
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    I'm about to take a lot of Mike Smithsons money
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Tories largest party 316 Labour 239 SNP 58 LD 10 SNP 9
  • MattWMattW Posts: 28,309
    EICINPM

    Apparently
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    WOW
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    58 SNP
    10 LibDem - omg - I might lose my 11-20 bet

    GAH
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Yesssssssss please please please let that be true
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Has Ed resigned yet?
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    Miliband a dead man walking!
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Well, guess that explains the markets.

    Polling companies all going bust.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    CON GAIN??????????
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,748
    Tories largest party....Tories largest party...

    WTF....WTF...WTF..316...316...316
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    ARSE!!!
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    Yowza - JackW must be smirking!
  • BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    Well, well, well...

    JackW what a guy.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Christ.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,815
    OMFG
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    I would like some appreciation of my prediction Mr SeanT
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 44,060
    OH MY JESUS F*******G HELL
  • noisywinternoisywinter Posts: 249
    WOW
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Wow.

    Super good for the Conservatives

    Super good for SNP

    Very poor for Labour

    Very poor for LD
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    CROSSOVER
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Holy crap !!!
    316 exit for Tories
    Sky says 10 seats error either way....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,748
    LIB DEM 10...LIB DEM 10...
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    Crikey etc.
  • NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,329
    Wooooooaaahh
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    58 SNP
    10 LibDem - omg - I might lose my 11-20 bet

    GAH

    Will Nick Cleeg win his seat?
  • rullkorullko Posts: 161
    Dair said:

    SNP 58 WOah

    It's the showdown everyone's been waiting for - Carmichael vs Bain!

    (I don't actually believe the SNP will get 58)
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Bonkers.
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    edited May 2015
    239! 58! 10!
    Holy smoke!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,611
    In ARSE we trust!!
  • steve_garnersteve_garner Posts: 1,019
    Where's IOS?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    Even worse for Labour than I thought. But no real surprise.
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