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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Your sortable & searchable PB guide to Labour’s top 80 CON

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  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    I am astonished.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Wow. Oh dear.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Where's compouter?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036
    Con and DUP on their own?
  • toontoontoontoon Posts: 14
    Sky's exit poll is a shocker. Tories on 316? Sheesh kebab. Did not expect. Cameron can go it alone if that is true.

    It has to come, I do not believe they have won that many.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,504
    Wow.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,981

    NEW THREAD

  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Ok......this is just....
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,809
    Jesus!
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Anorak said:

    Where's compouter?

    ***** waves ******
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Could it be wrong???????????????????????? Tories now hoping NOT
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Ed is crap is not PM.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    Well if that Exit Poll is wrong, that is career over for those 5 experts.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    I don't believe it. But it's still a wow moment
  • JazJaz Posts: 21
    Wow...the exit poll
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    rcs1000 said:

    I would like some appreciation of my prediction Mr SeanT

    RCS is the new Gold Standard.

    Where the fuck is Jack W!!

  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    I'm watching beeb Scotland i'' update the amount of torn faces amongst slabbers.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    holy moly
  • BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    Terrible terrible for Labour.

    Crisis.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    But still, how do they rule. Need DUP + Lib Dems.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    MOE my insane bet. I love JackW and want to have his babies.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Who is the lone non SNP MP for Scotland??....
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    AndyJS said:

    I told you Cameron and Clegg would be back in Number 10.

    Clegg must be in danger if Libdems are down on 10.


  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Can we talk about the Lib Dems though...
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    Wheres compouter hahahahaahah
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    Cannot be.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Cameron will need Farage now.
    The LD with 10 will never support the Tories again especially if Clegg is out as the exit poll would suggest.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    Practically speaking, the LDs surely can't go back into coalition on those figures.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,049
    Nick Robinson "it's possible for Ed to form a government"

    WHICH PLANET IS HE ON???????????
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    LD 10 too low IMO. SNP 58 too high.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    fitalass said:

    Who is the lone non SNP MP for Scotland??....

    Carbuncle.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Huge for Tories, but one problem: only 10 LibDem allies? If the Tories end up with 310 rather than 316..........
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,929
    Saltire said:

    AndyJS said:

    I told you Cameron and Clegg would be back in Number 10.

    Clegg must be in danger if Libdems are down on 10.


    Silver linings and all.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Rod is busy rubbing his hands....chuckling away....
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Tories definitely the biggest party - question is, is the 316 figure right. I wouldn't be surprised if it is.

    Wonder how Labour have managed to make such little progress.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    New thread.. new thread.. new thread
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    kjohnw said:

    Wheres compouter hahahahaahah

    Err, here.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    edited May 2015
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    FUCK ME

    Hell no !!!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,713
    WTF!!!!!!!!!!!'
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Dear f-ing god..if that if anywhere near true, ed is toast.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    kle4 said:

    I don't believe it. But it's still a wow moment

    No LD incumbency or tactical voting.
    LordA's polls need hanging!
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Holy mcfuckity!

  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,168
    End of the Union pier show if the exit poll is right.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    edited May 2015
    politics.co.uk ‏@Politics_co_uk 2m2 minutes ago
    #GE2015 Exit poll: Con: 316 Lab: 239 SNP: 58 Lib Dems: 10 Ukip: 2 Greens http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2015/05/07/general-election-2015-live …

    This says 10 UKIP seats.
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Polling companies V Exit poll ...... Interesting.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Kezia not buying it. Infact no_one buying 58 SNP on beeb Scotland.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,713
    JESUS FUCKING CHRIST!!!!!!
  • CosmicCosmic Posts: 34
    What vote % would this imply?
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Artist said:

    But still, how do they rule. Need DUP + Lib Dems.

    On 316 minority government is probably the way to go. Maybe C&S if they really want with DUP and/or Libdems.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    Spare a thought for tim
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    welshowl said:

    Cannot be.

    It could be balls...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    SouthamObserver said:

    Practically speaking, the LDs surely can't go back into coalition on those figures.

    SO congrats = you called it right !!! :-)
  • noisywinternoisywinter Posts: 249
    Wonder what Owen Jones is feeling now hahaha
  • CosmicCosmic Posts: 34
    Shortly there will be an election, in which the Conservative party will increase its minority.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    fitalass said:

    Who is the lone non SNP MP for Scotland??....

    Carmichael? Or a failure in the Borders or Edinburgh.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    rcs1000 said:

    58 SNP
    10 LibDem - omg - I might lose my 11-20 bet

    GAH

    0-10 seats is the only Lib Dem band that will give me p[rofit
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    I said yesterday Conservatives would get 312.

    Does that make me the new ARSE ;) ?
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Tory 316 + DUP 8 + UKIP 2
  • macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Hope this is right, something never looked quite right about all these polls day after day, as soon as Tories had a couple of good ones Labour were back, my feeling is Labour activists were all over them.

    A triumph for Cameron if right, hope the Tories get the holds in the East Midlands, I bet Mr Palmer is feeling as happy as a Camel in the Arctic tonight.
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    compouter2 said:

    kjohnw said:

    Wheres compouter hahahahaahah

    Err, here.
    Did you read that fax upside down or something?

    I'm waiting for Seant and Bob Sykes :)

  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Kezia not buying it. Infact no_one buying 58 SNP on beeb Scotland.

    And I'm not buying just 2 seats for UKIP
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    edited May 2015
    MikeK said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Kezia not buying it. Infact no_one buying 58 SNP on beeb Scotland.

    And I'm not buying just 2 seats for UKIP
    I was thinking 3-4 and stand by that, but maybe the Tory squeeze did properly happen.

    Doubt Greens will get more than Lucas.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Alanbrooke said:

    Spare a thought for tim

    If twitter goes quiet then he's shot himself.
    How many weeks before the smell escapes from the bedsit?
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    The two seats for the Greens seems wrong.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Markets are very suspicious of this exit poll. Spreads (con-lab-ld)

    SPIN 303.5 - 252.5 - 16.5
    spreadex 304.5 - 252.5 - 16
    IG 306.5 - 252.5 - 14


  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Green 2?! Could that be Norwich South :-D
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    One thing about UKIP - if UKIP voters are wary of telling a phone pollster they would vote UKIP, why the hell would they tell someone in an exit poll?
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Odds shifting on Tories for Thanet South. I have added to my position as my average on them is 3.9 ish.

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,657
    How accurate was 2010 exit poll
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    Sky saying Miliband would try and form a government even if the exit poll was true.

    Problem with that is that I can think of five MPs off the top of my head (Stringer, Field, Danczuk, Hoey, Woodcock) who would go ape and would probably rebel.
  • paulyorkpaulyork Posts: 50
    How many seats ukip i wonder
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,952
    Cons hold Newark by 18,500. Sorry LibDemmers......there is no silver lining
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,937
    An excellent article? I have to say I'm enjoying the comments over on CiF blaming the electorate or the media.

    Perhaps we can have or a thread for Lib Dems and byelections next week, since there are now two on the cards?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    JGC said:

    Danny565 said:

    Ave_it said:

    Labour posters appear to be a bit less prominent on here than a few hours ago?!

    We had our fun, but now reality is coming crashing in.
    thats because we have all been out knocking on doors

    Here is a recent post from the Labourlist live blog

    "21.22 We’re hearing positive things from Nuneaton where Labour’s Vicky Fowler is hoping to unseat Conservative Marcus Jones. The seat is Labour’s 37th target and will be vital to a good night for us."
    oops
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