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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB moves to 4% lead with Survation and Ed now ahead of Dav

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  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    GIN1138 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Look

    We are going to get an Ed clusterfuck government

    Anyone with any shrewd intellect will have already and certainly now be calculating how to steer clear of the final Labour catastrophe.

    To any lefties I worked fecking hard for my skills and my money, my business and those I do employ.

    I am not ever again going to let Labour use that money in a public urinal.

    Our business won't survive another Labour financial disaster that's for sure...

    Our business was launched under Labour and thrived under Labour. Not that Labour had anything much to do with it. We've also done well under the Tories, I hasten to add.

  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    I wish the markets hadn't closed and I could cash out my equities

    I seriously think there's gonna be a very red ed day on the markets tomorow

    At least my laying Con position (-3.2k con, +5.6k lab) compensates a bit.

    I will have serious contempt for the general public if this comes about

    igindex has the ftse up 15 points, so I would be inclined not to panic yet.
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Moses_ said:

    Look

    We are going to get an Ed clusterfuck government

    Anyone with any shrewd intellect will have already and certainly now be calculating how to steer clear of the final Labour catastrophe.

    To any lefties I worked fecking hard for my skills and my money, my business and those I do employ.

    I am not ever again going to let Labour use that money in a public urinal.

    Presumably the people you employ are saying they prefer a Labour government that they think will look after them rather than a Conservative government who they think only care about rich people like you .
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    GIN1138 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Look

    We are going to get an Ed clusterfuck government

    Anyone with any shrewd intellect will have already and certainly now be calculating how to steer clear of the final Labour catastrophe.

    To any lefties I worked fecking hard for my skills and my money, my business and those I do employ.

    I am not ever again going to let Labour use that money in a public urinal.

    Our business won't survive another Labour financial disaster that's for sure...
    Sad and I understand

    Make plans and quickly
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    Wait for the phone polls next week
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Plato said:

    Well quite. Over-reacting to polls in a serious way makes me wonder about the sanity of some posters.

    We can have fun or exploit headless chicken reactions by others - but I won't be knee-jerking based on these.

    chestnut said:

    UKIP on 18.....in London.......SNP on 56

    Looking forward to when the serious pollsters start.

    Dear Ms Plato, you are clearly not in tune with the modern zeitgeist. The Internet is nothing without over-emoting and hyperbole.

    Will you not join me in chanting "Ed Milliband Will Be Prime Minister. May the good Lord have mercy on our souls"?
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    Millsy said:

    Wait for the phone polls next week

    Although tonight's YouGov may steady nerves....or not!
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    GIN1138 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Look

    We are going to get an Ed clusterfuck government

    Anyone with any shrewd intellect will have already and certainly now be calculating how to steer clear of the final Labour catastrophe.

    To any lefties I worked fecking hard for my skills and my money, my business and those I do employ.

    I am not ever again going to let Labour use that money in a public urinal.

    Our business won't survive another Labour financial disaster that's for sure...

    Our business was launched under Labour and thrived under Labour. Not that Labour had anything much to do with it. We've also done well under the Tories, I hasten to add.


    Not the kind of Labour that Miliband has in mind.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    edited April 2015
    murali_s said:

    How do this week's polls fit in with this graph?

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/585149148980187136

    It's time for a part-ELBOW methinks...
    Still awaiting Panelbase tables, but inc. Survation, Lab lead by 2.1%.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    Some of the nonsense the right-wing nut-jobs are coming out with this afternoon is pure comedy gold.

    It's now the people's fault...

    Yeah right

    LOL.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,964
    Miss Plato, I quite agree.
  • nu123nu123 Posts: 25
    "labour and respect fight where I live." So u live in Bradford West then lol. Rand Paul is a good candidate for the Republicans if they have one ounce of sanity (big if) they'll select him. Would be funny if Hilary was selected for Dem nomination and was beaten by Paul lol.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    murali_s said:

    Some of the nonsense the right-wing nut-jobs are coming out with this afternoon is pure comedy gold.

    It's now the people's fault...

    Yeah right

    LOL.

    Last time a good poll for Labour came out, this classic was delivered by one of them

    "I don't believe any of this, it just doesn't make any sense. "
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    I haven't been around today. Have the nats here apologised for perpetuating the lies and bullying about that girl who asked the question in the scottish debate?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    edited April 2015
    There were, in fieldwork chronology, 8 Lab poll leads in a row in February. We have 6 in a row as of today.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited April 2015
    t's now the people's fault...

    It is never the people's fault.

    It is the tories' fault.

    Ed is doing SOMETHING, and people are noticing this.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    murali_s said:

    Some of the nonsense the right-wing nut-jobs are coming out with this afternoon is pure comedy gold.

    It's now the people's fault...

    Yeah right

    LOL.

    To be fair, a democratically elected government is always the people's fault.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    JohnO said:

    Millsy said:

    Wait for the phone polls next week

    Although tonight's YouGov may steady nerves....or not!
    So john,you getting worried ;-)
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Com Res out tonight too.

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    edited April 2015
    isam said:

    murali_s said:

    Some of the nonsense the right-wing nut-jobs are coming out with this afternoon is pure comedy gold.

    It's now the people's fault...

    Yeah right

    LOL.

    Last time a good poll for Labour came out, this classic was delivered by one of them

    "I don't believe any of this, it just doesn't make any sense. "

    Sadly we'll probably see more Labour government and more disaster before another Thatcher comes along and turns things around again.

    Too many people do not understand the danger, and do not realise how the last Labour gov had a golden legacy to rely on. We won't have that this time.

  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Reminds me of the anecdote about upper class lady who said after Labour won in 1945, "But the public won't stand for it".
    isam said:

    murali_s said:

    Some of the nonsense the right-wing nut-jobs are coming out with this afternoon is pure comedy gold.

    It's now the people's fault...

    Yeah right

    LOL.

    Last time a good poll for Labour came out, this classic was delivered by one of them

    "I don't believe any of this, it just doesn't make any sense. "
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.
    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

  • @jameschappers: Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.


    James Chapman (Mail) @jameschappers · 5m 5 minutes ago
    Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm


    Why are there so many polls today?
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    @jameschappers: Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm

    Streak of Lab leads about to be broken, then.
  • Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    Survation is another poll where a significant chunk of Labour's vote comes from people who didn't vote in 2010 and yet they barely get weighted down at all. Time will tell if they actually stick with the party
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited April 2015
    ''Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.''

    Already being trailed as having some 'interesting moves'

    Very black Thursday for the tories in the offing.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    edited April 2015
    So, my notoriously unreliable gut is wondering if we're finally seeing the movement that has long been promised (only in the reverse direction), and whether the signs are the Tories are finally waking up to the fact they should be panicking, as even if Lab cannot replicate these 'nearing a majority' numbers (and definitely a majority numbers if not for Scotland) it would appear at best the Tories are level pegging, and that's as good as they have been able to manage.

    IDK, it just feels like more of them are realising it's time to panic. Going after Ed M for his taking on his brother, confusion over whether to focus on him being a fool or a ruthless danger, and bewilderment at the polls not moving decisively in the Tories' favour may be turning to anger, it just feels like a sense of desperation is creeping in.

    This isn't over reacting to one or two polls. No matter how close the Tories have managed to get, even eking out minor leads, they appear unable to pull away and the things meant to help them do so appear to be doing the opposite, and the longer that goes on the less hopeless the Labour narrative becomes and the less likely some of them might stay home or vote for someone else, as the more it appears viable that Ed will be PM, the less pessimistic and so firmer the Lab vote will be.

    The Tories have had little hope for a while, but they had hope. Much more of this - without a significant and sizable reversal of fortunes in their favour - and that will change to zero hope.
  • Moses_ said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Look

    We are going to get an Ed clusterfuck government

    Anyone with any shrewd intellect will have already and certainly now be calculating how to steer clear of the final Labour catastrophe.

    To any lefties I worked fecking hard for my skills and my money, my business and those I do employ.

    I am not ever again going to let Labour use that money in a public urinal.

    Our business won't survive another Labour financial disaster that's for sure...
    Sad and I understand

    Make plans and quickly
    My word! You sound like Glenn Beck telling people to buy farmland and leave the cities after Obama won in 2012!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    Depressing polls for PB Tories. Any news on the Scottish YouGov poll?
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Danny565 said:

    @jameschappers: Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm

    Streak of Lab leads about to be broken, then.
    Lib Dem Surge
  • RobD said:

    Depressing polls for PB Tories. Any news on the Scottish YouGov poll?

    We need you to jump on a plane.

    Scot YouGov out at 10pm
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    kle4 said:

    So, my notoriously unreliable gut is wondering if we're finally seeing the movement that has long been promised (only in the reverse direction), and whether the signs are the Tories are finally waking up to the fact they should be panicking, as even if Lab cannot replicate these 'nearing a majority' numbers (and definitely a majority numbers if not for Scotland) it would appear at best the Tories are level pegging, and that's as good as they have been able to manage.

    IDK, it just feels like more of them are realising it's time to panic. Going after Ed M for his taking on his brother, confusion over whether to focus on him being a fool or a ruthless danger, and bewilderment at the polls not moving decisively in the Tories' favour may be turning to anger.

    This isn't over reacting to one or two polls. No matter how close the Tories have managed to get, even eking out minor leads, they appear unable to pull away and the things meant to help them do so appear to be doing the opposite, and the longer that goes on the less hopeless the Labour narrative becomes and the less likely some of them might stay home or vote for someone else, as the more it appears viable that Ed will be PM, the less pessimistic and so firmer the Lab vote will be.

    The Tories have had little hope for a while, but they had hope. Much more of this - without a significant and sizable reversal of fortunes in their favour - and that will change to zero hope.

    Plus if a labour majority genuinely looks on the cards on polling day, all the effort the blues have spent on "Vote Ed, get Nicola" is totally wasted.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    taffys said:

    ''Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.''

    Already being trailed as having some 'interesting moves'

    Very black Thursday for the tories in the offing.

    Last Com Res was 4pt Con lead...
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Last Com Res was 4pt Con lead...

    Gulp....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044

    RobD said:

    Depressing polls for PB Tories. Any news on the Scottish YouGov poll?

    We need you to jump on a plane.

    Scot YouGov out at 10pm
    Don't worry, I'll be getting on at least 10 between now and polling day.. :D
  • I wish the markets hadn't closed and I could cash out my equities

    I seriously think there's gonna be a very red ed day on the markets tomorow

    At least my laying Con position (-3.2k con, +5.6k lab) compensates a bit.

    I will have serious contempt for the general public if this comes about

    Nice show of contempt for your fellow countrymen there. Could attitudes like that be part of the problem perhaps?

    On the polls I still think the Conservatives, with their greater certainty to vote, will emerge with most seats.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited April 2015
    You could say a move from a 4% Con lead to all square wouldn't be 'interesting'.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387

    @jameschappers: Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm

    Sounds like bad news for Con...

  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited April 2015
    EdM managed to find a Doncaster North address to put on the SoPN....
    Tristam also shows a Stoke Central address as home address
    Dromey lists a Birmingham address unlike last time when he used the Southwark one
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    No guarantee Ed will be savaged in the opposition debate either, he could look like the reasonable statesmanlike option given how well prepared and controlled he has been. I'd put the chances of Labour polling increasing to be about 50/50 with it decreasing.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,655
    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    36 Con, 32 Lab, 9 LD, 12 UKIP, 5 GRN
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,655
    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    What's worse, is this is by no means a cheap hotel.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415

    I've just taken £25 at 32 on Betfair LAB majority.

    Overall Majority
    Lab 1485.41
    NOM 58.27
    Con 393.35

    With about £300 of stake within NOM at the moment.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,655
    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    That was also a phone poll.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Survation have used 40:60 weighting ratio for ABC1:C2DE

    Ipsos, ICM and YG all do 55:45 ratio of these social categories.

    Subsets

    ABs: Tories +5
    C1s: Tories + 11.4
    C2s: Lab + 5.6
    DEs: Lab + 20.4

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    That was also a phone poll.
    Of course you know what I meant and are just being irritating...
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?


    What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    You got a bed.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    How can you be "almost windowless". It's a binary question, not a relative one.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I stayed in the Kraft in Florence years ago. It was supposedly 4* and cost a bomb. My room smelled of formaldehyde. I was upgraded to a windowless room that looked fine until I realised the hot water was intermittent.

    And then I got food poisoning. It tainted my view of Florence - a lot!
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    What's worse, is this is by no means a cheap hotel.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    36 Con, 32 Lab, 9 LD, 12 UKIP, 5 GRN
    Unless the 'interesting' part of the poll is Con increasing its lead, I think the slight 'Tory advantage but basically tied' status quo narrative may need slight adjustment.
  • noisywinternoisywinter Posts: 249
    Had a nibble laying Con over 278.5 seats at 1.39. Still a bit more at that price. Seems good value I think?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    edited April 2015
    If ComRes had gone from Con +4 to say Lab +4 I would have thought that would be more than "interesting" - more like a major shock.

    So maybe, just maybe, ComRes isn't too disastrous for Con - which I would define as no worse than Lab +1 (given today's other polls).
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    I stayed there when I interviewed for UBS earlier this year. It was absolutely awful. The room you didn't stay in doesn't have any natural lighting. I checked out and paid for my own room in the Movenpick hotel at Zurich Airport. I would highly recommend it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    How can you be "almost windowless". It's a binary question, not a relative one.
    If the window meets the letter but not the spirit of the concept of a windowed room I guess, like 1ft square of glass at above head height on one wall or something. Sure it's there, but it hardly provides the sort of ambiance you'd expect.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Maybe ComRes has no real moves, which would be "interesting" in the light of today's other polls...
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    DomNishambles never happened

    Remember when the BBC went full on when Oz went to a yacht

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk

    Tedious of course. Still no mention and buried. However had this been a UKIp coalition or Tory guess what?.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415

    Had a nibble laying Con over 278.5 seats at 1.39. Still a bit more at that price. Seems good value I think?

    Sure does, gone 19.5/47.5 here.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3032190/Forget-polls-follow-money-Punters-overwhelmingly-backing-Tories-win-100-think-Ukip-largest-party.html

    For what its worth, there is a bit of an 'ignore the polls' narrative emerging in the tory press...
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    Horrible polls for the Blues. Topped up a bit of Lab Maj on Betfair and sold Con on SPIN.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Maybe ComRes has no real moves, which would be "interesting" in the light of today's other polls...

    Quite
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    What's worse, is this is by no means a cheap hotel.
    Did you get a bath? Some singles only have showers.

    On the plus side you get champagne for breakfast apparently, so hang in there.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,655
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    I stayed there when I interviewed for UBS earlier this year. It was absolutely awful. The room you didn't stay in doesn't have any natural lighting. I checked out and paid for my own room in the Movenpick hotel at Zurich Airport. I would highly recommend it.
    Today I woke up at 4:45am at the other end of Switzerland, so I could fly to Madrid for a day of meetings, and now I'm in Zurich.

    If I wasn't completely knackered I would follow your advice.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    MaxPB said:

    Horrible polls for the Blues. Topped up a bit of Lab Maj on Betfair and sold Con on SPIN.

    Fool .... money ....quickly parted

  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    taffys said:
    The last time I saw this was Balls vs some Tory, with the the Tory backers saying punters had a better read than the polls. I bet on Balls.

    I think it is time to admit that Ed is going to PM and just try and profit from it. Lab Maj is still available to back at 25 on Betfair.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Danny565 said:

    Maybe ComRes has no real moves, which would be "interesting" in the light of today's other polls...

    But was the tweet written before this afternoon's polls came out - or at least before the author had seen this afternoon's polls?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,655
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    That was also a phone poll.
    Of course you know what I meant and are just being irritating...
    If you'd been given my room for CHF400/night, you'd be irritating too...
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    This national polling just isn't tallying with the marginal polling. Or the Scotland polling. Or my straw polling.

    Everything in my gut says '92 all over again.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    Good cartoon from Marf just been posted in the header
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Survation: YouGov

    Con: 31 (34)
    Lab: 35 (35)

    ABC1
    Con: 35 (38)
    Lab: 28 (33)
    LD: 13 (9)
    UK: 11 (9)

    C2DE
    Con: 27 (30)
    Lab: 40 (37)
    LD: 6 (5)
    UK: 18 (16)
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    I stayed there when I interviewed for UBS earlier this year. It was absolutely awful. The room you didn't stay in doesn't have any natural lighting. I checked out and paid for my own room in the Movenpick hotel at Zurich Airport. I would highly recommend it.
    Today I woke up at 4:45am at the other end of Switzerland, so I could fly to Madrid for a day of meetings, and now I'm in Zurich.

    If I wasn't completely knackered I would follow your advice.
    Sounds like a fun kind of day. If you're there over the weekend then it's probably worth it though.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    taffys said:
    Dangerous. It can be true, but when you need to rely on it...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    MikeL said:

    Danny565 said:

    Maybe ComRes has no real moves, which would be "interesting" in the light of today's other polls...

    But was the tweet written before this afternoon's polls came out - or at least before the author had seen this afternoon's polls?
    I just don't think it can be any better for the Blues than a tie. It would be so out of kilter with the rest of the polling.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    That was also a phone poll.
    Of course you know what I meant and are just being irritating...
    If you'd been given my room for CHF400/night, you'd be irritating too...
    I'd never pay for a room that expensive. Not even with OPM.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    I wonder what JackkW' ARSE is going to predict
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    Nice cartoon, Marf!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    taffys said:
    What a crap bar chart. 100+, 200+, 400+.. bloody hell.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    If this polling continues how long will Lynton last?
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Plato said:

    I haven't forgotten their epic leading questions and moniker of ComedyRes.

    I'm waiting for phone polls.

    TGOHF said:

    Com Res out tonight too.

    Tonight's ComRes is a phone poll.
    what was the last comres?
    That was also a phone poll.
    Don't know why, that made me laugh!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149
    Plato said:

    I stayed in the Kraft in Florence years ago. It was supposedly 4* and cost a bomb. My room smelled of formaldehyde. I was upgraded to a windowless room that looked fine until I realised the hot water was intermittent.

    And then I got food poisoning. It tainted my view of Florence - a lot!

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If anyone ever has to go to Zurich, can I sincerely recommend not staying at the Schweizerhof Hotel.

    Upon check in, I was told I had been upgraded. I was then led to a tiny, almost windowless, room with a single bed in it. What have I been upgraded from, I wonder?

    What's worse, is this is by no means a cheap hotel.
    I can recommend the Crowne Plaza in Amsterdam South (Zuid) if anyone's going that way. A few miles from the centre, but Metro can get you there in 15 minutes or so. And travel isn't too bad. Three days on the city's bus/tram/metro costs only 16 Euros.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Well well well well.

    I said I thought the tories blew it at the budget. It was a complete 'meh' but worse than that, it suggested the leaders didn't realise the country doesn't want another 5 years of uncaring top down austerity from people who don't know what scraping the barrel means.

    Now having said all that I think we need to be might careful. Schools are still on holiday and I'm not gonna rush this one. We need to see what happens next week.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    A fair point, to be sure. Although plenty of Tories, including those running the campaign strategy, seem to still believe the Cleggasm, temporary though it was, remains the largest single factor as to why they did not achieve a majority in 2010, so presumably if this is the new Cleggasm, those same Tories should remain despondent.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    edited April 2015

    If this polling continues how long will Lynton last?

    Surely until May 8th, at least publicly. If the Tories do begin to panic the last thing they need is top publicly declare it by firing their campaign chief. Keep him on payroll anyway and quietly ignore him would be the only option.

    EDIT: I don't think the Tories will panic incidentally. even if this polling continues they have decided that the country is incapable of voting EdM to be PM, a theory which has the benefit of being impossible to test until polls close.

    EDIT 2: By 'they' I mean the Tory strategists. Not every Tory in the country or on this site.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Whatever else there has been mahooooosive value on Labour. In from 44 to 25 this afternoon. Still way way too long.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Mortimer said:

    This national polling just isn't tallying with the marginal polling. Or the Scotland polling. Or my straw polling.

    Everything in my gut says '92 all over again.

    Survation's socio-economic weightings are transparently wrong.

    It's still a Lab lead but more like a 31-33 or 32-33.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    I also desperately wanna see a phone poll. Mike do you know which and when?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591

    suggested the leaders didn't realise the country doesn't want another 5 years of uncaring top down austerity from people who don't know what scraping the barrel means.
    .

    Well, the country may not want that, but Ed M or Cameron, we're still getting top down austerity either way, and personally I don't see that the 'caring' factor will matter that much (there's only a limited set of options for cutting after all, particularly when some budgets but not all are protected), but it would appear really do think that a Labour cutting axe is better than a Tory cutting axe.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Mortimer said:

    This national polling just isn't tallying with the marginal polling. Or the Scotland polling. Or my straw polling.

    Everything in my gut says '92 all over again.

    Clutching-at-straw polling?
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Tonight's ComRes is phone isn't it? This is critical.

    Don't know. My heart says today's significant but my head says it's just not. Need to see next week.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    Squeaky bum time for Cameron.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Danny565 said:

    @jameschappers: Some interesting moves in our @ComResPolls latest telephone survey, out at 10pm

    Streak of Lab leads about to be broken, then.
    If you are in the red team which I doubt, I would hate to have you anywhere near the dressing room,the players would go over the white line already defeated.

    Southam at least has an excuse as a spurs supporter and a terrible tipster to boot.
    He gets very election wrong from the USA to the Scottish referendum.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    kle4 said:

    suggested the leaders didn't realise the country doesn't want another 5 years of uncaring top down austerity from people who don't know what scraping the barrel means.
    .

    Well, the country may not want that, but Ed M or Cameron, we're still getting top down austerity either way, and personally I don't see that the 'caring' factor will matter that much (there's only a limited set of options for cutting after all, particularly when some budgets but not all are protected), but it would appear really do think that a Labour cutting axe is better than a Tory cutting axe.
    Just run a deficit like every household in britain does apart from the top tories.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,149

    murali_s said:

    How do this week's polls fit in with this graph?

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/585149148980187136

    It's time for a part-ELBOW methinks...
    Still awaiting Panelbase tables, but inc. Survation, Lab lead by 2.1%.
    Including Panelbase, Labour's lead in the part-ELBOW increases to 2.5%...

    Lab 34.7
    Con 32.2
    UKIP 14.7
    LD 8.4
    Grn 4.6
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Whatever else there has been mahooooosive value on Labour. In from 44 to 25 this afternoon. Still way way too long.

    I see WillHill are no longer offering 2.5 on EdMPM on 1 August. Congrats to everyone who enjoyed that over the past couple of days.
  • noisywinternoisywinter Posts: 249
    Should I lay Labour under 311.5 seats at 1.13? I'm contemplating it!
This discussion has been closed.